03/02/2017 BBC Business Live


03/02/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Rachel Horne

:00:08.:00:10.

Snapchat files for a stock market flotation -

:00:11.:00:13.

that could be the biggest tech IPO since Facebook.

:00:14.:00:16.

Live from London, that's our top story on Friday 3rd February.

:00:17.:00:38.

It's set to be a massive deal - Snapchat could be worth up

:00:39.:00:41.

to $25 billion, but the photo messaging company

:00:42.:00:43.

is yet to record a profit in its five year history.

:00:44.:00:46.

Apple switches its focus to India following a slowdown in China -

:00:47.:00:51.

The European markets have opened for for the latest.

:00:52.:01:00.

The European markets have opened for trade and are holding pretty steady.

:01:01.:01:07.

We will bring them to you when we get them.

:01:08.:01:09.

Also in the programme: Brexit - round one.

:01:10.:01:11.

As EU leaders gather in Malta - its Prime Minister calls

:01:12.:01:14.

for a "fair deal" for Britain - but warns it will pay

:01:15.:01:16.

And following the announcement that Snapchat will be listing

:01:17.:01:26.

on the US stock market, today we want to know -

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would you buy shares in a company with a limited track record

:01:30.:01:32.

The value of Facebook has tripled since it went public in 2012,

:01:33.:01:39.

but will Snapchat be a similar success?

:01:40.:01:53.

In the last few hours the social networking company has filed

:01:54.:01:58.

documents to float its shares on the New York Stock Exchange.

:01:59.:02:01.

It's likely to be the biggest IPO in the technology world

:02:02.:02:04.

For those of you who don't use it - it's kind of the opposite

:02:05.:02:12.

of Facebook - instead of making a permanent record of your life it

:02:13.:02:15.

lets you send picture messages that then disappear.

:02:16.:02:17.

According to the company - 158 million people use Snapchat

:02:18.:02:23.

every day to send picture messages or Snaps.

:02:24.:02:27.

That's nothing compared to the almost 2 billion

:02:28.:02:31.

But it's very popular among young people,

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An estimated 41% of Americans aged 18-34 are on Snapchat.

:02:36.:02:42.

Its users are young - and so are its founders.

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It was set up by Evan Spiegel, on the left - now still only 26 -

:02:46.:02:50.

Three years ago they turned down $3 billion

:02:51.:02:57.

in cash for the company from Facebook boss Mark Zuckerberg.

:02:58.:03:01.

We'll find out - Snapchat could have a stock market value

:03:02.:03:08.

Making the founders multi-billionaires.

:03:09.:03:17.

How does that sound? I want to cry.

:03:18.:03:23.

With me is our Technology Correspondent Rory-Cellan Jones.

:03:24.:03:27.

I could have got deja vu here because around five years ago we

:03:28.:03:33.

would have been sitting in the BBC studio somewhere talking about

:03:34.:03:37.

Facebook before it went public and gone how is it going to monetise its

:03:38.:03:43.

ads and make money, and it's the same here, I will Snapchat make

:03:44.:03:49.

money? It already is that you are right, there is a huge parallel with

:03:50.:03:52.

Facebook but is there a parallel with Twitter? We have a company, it

:03:53.:04:00.

is not aimed at you, and Rachel I am not even sure it is aimed at you.

:04:01.:04:05.

Sadly not, just out the bracket! It is aimed at 15 to 24-year-olds, I

:04:06.:04:19.

have just done a little Snap which features us fooling around with

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fresh. It's about reinventing the camera which is what the company

:04:24.:04:29.

say, injecting fun into the way kids interact. People who understand this

:04:30.:04:34.

understand it brilliantly and use it all day, but the rest of us struggle

:04:35.:04:40.

with it. If it is going to be worth what the market thinks it's worth it

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has two continue growing its audience. There are some quite

:04:45.:04:50.

worrying charts in the IPO document released overnight, one of them

:04:51.:04:53.

shows the growth tailing off a little just as they are coming to

:04:54.:05:01.

market. You don't want to see that. That reflects they are up against

:05:02.:05:05.

the gorilla in the room, Facebook, which has been taking their ideas

:05:06.:05:09.

and putting them into Instagram which it owns and winning over some

:05:10.:05:15.

of that audience. Rachel wants to come in but can I bring that end,

:05:16.:05:20.

you said it, Mark Zuckerberg says here is $3 billion, they did not

:05:21.:05:29.

take it so he went and bought Instagram, thinking if I cannot have

:05:30.:05:35.

you nobody will. Mark Zuckerberg was offered billions at quite an early

:05:36.:05:41.

stage in his early 20s, for Facebook, he was brave, rejected all

:05:42.:05:45.

offers and said I will do it my way. The Snapchat guys are doing exactly

:05:46.:05:51.

what Mark Zuckerberg did. The question is if they can follow the

:05:52.:05:54.

same path but I think a lot of people will be spooked by slowing

:05:55.:05:59.

user growth. In the listings they talk about themselves as a camera

:06:00.:06:03.

company, what is that about, are they trying to monetise through

:06:04.:06:09.

hardware? They released spectacles. Yes, they have released these things

:06:10.:06:15.

were you record instant video. They are trying to stress the difference

:06:16.:06:18.

between them and Facebook and Twitter. They are not about text,

:06:19.:06:22.

they are about images and they think they have tapped into something real

:06:23.:06:28.

and powerful amongst that group, the millennial is that love to

:06:29.:06:34.

communicate and have fun. They think it's powerful to advertisers. Always

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a pleasure, we have two wrap it up but let's put you on the spot to

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revisit in five years, will it be Twitter or Facebook? I think it will

:06:48.:06:48.

be Twitter. Sad. The Chief Executive and co-founder

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of Uber, Travis Kalanick, has quit President Donald Trump's

:06:53.:06:55.

business advisory group. The boss of the ride hailing service

:06:56.:06:57.

has been coming under mounting pressure over the Trump

:06:58.:07:00.

administration's Critics included Uber drivers, many

:07:01.:07:01.

of whom are themselves immigrants - and a social media campaign urging

:07:02.:07:05.

users to delete the Uber app. The e-commerce giant Amazon has

:07:06.:07:16.

reported record sales of $43.7bn However that was short of market

:07:17.:07:18.

expectations so it's shares have The US based firm said growing costs

:07:19.:07:25.

would hit future profits. Apple is to start making iPhones

:07:26.:07:41.

in India this year as the firm looks to tap into a booming middle class,

:07:42.:07:45.

as sales in China slow. The chief executive Tim Cook said

:07:46.:07:52.

this week the company intends to "invest significantly" in India -

:07:53.:07:55.

where they only have a 2% share Isn't the issue with these Apple

:07:56.:08:16.

iPhone's, are they not just too expensive for the market?

:08:17.:08:21.

Absolutely, it's beyond the reach of many ordinary citizens. They did

:08:22.:08:28.

ship about 2.5 million iPhone's, a record for Apple, but in the Indian

:08:29.:08:32.

market which consumes about 300 million smartphones in a year it is

:08:33.:08:37.

only in tenth place. One of the problems is that it is so expensive

:08:38.:08:44.

because they are not manufacturing or assembling in India. They have

:08:45.:08:49.

just had a meeting with IT officials in a southern state to express the

:08:50.:08:54.

intention to maybe assemble and in the long-term manufacturer there. I

:08:55.:08:57.

spoke to the local IT minister who confirmed they had this meeting and

:08:58.:09:02.

they are hopeful they might start as soon as April this year. Apple has

:09:03.:09:09.

tied up with a company from Thailand and they might start making these

:09:10.:09:16.

iPhones very soon. If they want to scale up they also have

:09:17.:09:19.

manufacturing facilities in India so it will be an easy job. There are

:09:20.:09:26.

challenges ahead because Apple want a lot of concessions which India has

:09:27.:09:32.

not agreed to and already other manufacturers are protesting. Great

:09:33.:09:32.

explanation, thank you. So lets take a look at the markets

:09:33.:09:38.

and in Asia there was a bit of a shock when China's central bank

:09:39.:09:43.

announced plans to raise the cost of short term borrowing -

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no official word on why they've done this but analysts think

:09:48.:09:49.

the government is worried about the huge amount of lending

:09:50.:09:51.

that has been going on - concerned about a property bubble

:09:52.:09:54.

so tightening policy. The Chinese markets had been closed

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for a week because of lunar new year and when they opened they fell

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posting their biggest losses for two weeks -

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and that followed on from what investors called

:10:03.:10:06.

a cautious day on Wall Street. The Dow closing ever so slightly

:10:07.:10:11.

down. In Europe markets

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were expected to continue that cautious trend -

:10:17.:10:18.

but lots of figures due out today - services PMI for germany

:10:19.:10:22.

and france and a key US Jobs report - so lets go

:10:23.:10:27.

to Wall Street and see It's the first Friday of a new month

:10:28.:10:37.

which means we are expecting the latest American job numbers. The

:10:38.:10:41.

unemployment rate is currently at 4.7%, the lowest in almost a decade.

:10:42.:10:46.

This particular report will be closely watched by the Federal

:10:47.:10:53.

reserve and of course the new Trump administration. Something delicious

:10:54.:10:58.

will be happening on Friday, the maker of her shoes and Reese 's

:10:59.:11:03.

peanut butter cups will be reporting earnings, they have raised their

:11:04.:11:07.

full-year profit forecast in October because demand strengthened in the

:11:08.:11:13.

United States and they spent less on advertising. It also expects new

:11:14.:11:20.

products to help boost sales during the holiday season. Funny that I now

:11:21.:11:23.

fancy some chocolate. I always fancied some chocolate.

:11:24.:11:26.

Joining us is Michael Hewson, Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets.

:11:27.:11:29.

Good to have you with us, the Chinese, the lunar New Year holiday,

:11:30.:11:39.

the centre back coming back saying let's surprise them, are they

:11:40.:11:44.

worried about a real estate bubble in China? I think they have been for

:11:45.:11:49.

quite some time and I don't think this slight tightening of policy

:11:50.:11:53.

will make that much difference. There are wider issues at play,

:11:54.:11:57.

financial conditions are tightening across the world. We see it

:11:58.:12:02.

reflected in bond yields, rising inflation, maybe they are concerned

:12:03.:12:06.

about that, Chinese factory gate prices have rebounded massively.

:12:07.:12:13.

Maybe they are sounding a note of caution with reserve to that, the

:12:14.:12:19.

Bank of England yesterday was resident about upgrading inflation

:12:20.:12:22.

forecasts, I think inflation will run a lot hotter than a lot of

:12:23.:12:26.

people think it will do and I think this is maybe a reflection of that

:12:27.:12:30.

and also there is a concern with Donald Trump in the White House they

:12:31.:12:34.

do not want to weaken the currency at the moment. American job figures

:12:35.:12:39.

out later today, people say it might be about a hundreds 2000, you think

:12:40.:12:45.

it may be 200,000? I think it could be above 200,000, the private

:12:46.:12:55.

payroll report, generally there is a close correlation over the last 12

:12:56.:13:02.

months between the two, never more than a 30,000 discrepancy, 246,000,

:13:03.:13:10.

I think as President Obama's legacy... These are his last

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numbers. I think we should get an number in excess of 200,000. We

:13:16.:13:17.

shall find out. Also in the programme:

:13:18.:13:26.

Brexit - round one. As EU leaders gather in Malta -

:13:27.:13:30.

its Prime Minister calls for a "fair deal" for Britain -

:13:31.:13:33.

but warns it will pay You're with Business

:13:34.:13:35.

Live from BBC News. Some supermarket's are rationing

:13:36.:13:44.

some vegetables to customers - blaming poor growing conditions

:13:45.:13:46.

in Europe for a shortage Both Tesco and Morrisons

:13:47.:13:48.

are limiting shoppers, following a UK courgette shortage

:13:49.:14:00.

last month, after wet and cold weather in southern

:14:01.:14:03.

Europe devastated crops. Our business correspondent

:14:04.:14:10.

Theo Leggett joins us now Did I hear this right, some

:14:11.:14:23.

supermarkets are limiting iceberg lettuce to three? When is the last

:14:24.:14:29.

time somebody bought three? There is a point to this that I will get to

:14:30.:14:34.

but yes Tesco are limiting customers to three iceberg lettuce's per

:14:35.:14:39.

person, Morrisons with the same limit and they are limiting people

:14:40.:14:43.

to three florets of broccoli per person as well, I think that is the

:14:44.:14:48.

right term, broccoli is not my specialist subject. A lot of this

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vegetables over the winter come some southern Spain where you can get a

:14:53.:14:58.

winter crop, grown in regions near Valencia, but there has been

:14:59.:15:03.

appalling weather in that region over Christmas. Whites bled

:15:04.:15:07.

flooding, crops ruined, fields out of action. When the young crops were

:15:08.:15:12.

coming through there was also frost and snow, the coldest weather in

:15:13.:15:19.

decades. So the crop from Spain has been drastically reduced which has

:15:20.:15:23.

greeted the shortage. This shortage has been made worse by supermarkets

:15:24.:15:27.

because you have catering companies and restaurants and corner shops

:15:28.:15:31.

running out of supplies and heading down to the supermarkets to stop up.

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It is them those rules are aimed at, because if I go into a supermarket I

:15:37.:15:41.

am not going to buy three iceberg lettuces what a catering company

:15:42.:15:45.

that is thinking all my goodness the normal supplier cannot get us what

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we need, they will go down to the supermarket and clear the shelves.

:15:50.:15:52.

Letters and broccoli, also courgettes. Go and get your quarter.

:15:53.:16:00.

Have you ever bought three... You have got it?

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Yes, but they don't eat a whole iceberg each!

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It is a lot for your hamburgers! Too much.

:16:13.:16:14.

Our top story - the social networking company Snapchat has

:16:15.:16:18.

filed documents to float its shares on the New York Stock Exchange.

:16:19.:16:25.

It's likely to be the biggest IPO in the technology world

:16:26.:16:28.

The company is yet to return a profit in its five-year history,

:16:29.:16:39.

but Snapchat could still be worth up to $25 billion when it goes public.

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Staggering. That is a lot of money.

:16:43.:16:47.

Let's cross over to the Maltese capital Valletta now -

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EU leaders are gathering for their first summit of the year

:16:50.:16:52.

two days after the British parliament voted overwhelmingly

:16:53.:16:54.

Prime Minister Theresa May will be holding one-on-one talks

:16:55.:16:59.

with various EU leaders - so what is she up against?

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Malta holds the rotating presidency of the EU.

:17:03.:17:09.

Its Prime Minister, Joseph Muscat, has been clear Britain can't

:17:10.:17:12.

He has told the European Parliament, "We want a fair deal

:17:13.:17:25.

But "that deal necessarily needs to be inferior to membership".

:17:26.:17:28.

Assuming Britain formally gives its two-year leaving

:17:29.:17:34.

notice next month - known as triggering Article 50

:17:35.:17:37.

of the Lisbon Treaty - Mr Muscat says they must agree

:17:38.:17:40.

That's so it has time to be ratified by member states

:17:41.:17:44.

and the European Parliament before the UK is formally out.

:17:45.:17:46.

Then there's the small matter of this - the UK's bill

:17:47.:17:49.

As much as 60 billion euros is what Britain will owe -

:17:50.:17:56.

according to some in Europe - taking into account its share

:17:57.:18:06.

of budget commitments, pensions, spending on UK-based projects, etc.

:18:07.:18:18.

That bill, that's likely to be the subject of a lot of wrangling.

:18:19.:18:21.

Thomas, you are an independent analyst, great happy with us. They

:18:22.:18:32.

are going to be discussing all sorts of things, including... President

:18:33.:18:39.

Trump. In what way could he be a threat to the EU? We have seen

:18:40.:18:43.

comments prior to and since inauguration saying he thinks other

:18:44.:18:50.

countries might want to leave the EU said there is a fear among the

:18:51.:18:54.

member states that after the EU -- that after Britain leaving, there is

:18:55.:18:58.

a certain fear about that, so they are concerned and we saw this

:18:59.:19:02.

manifest in President Donald Tusk, the president of the European

:19:03.:19:05.

Council, in his statement to the European ladies, saying, United we

:19:06.:19:11.

stand, divided we fall. The future of the EU will be discussed at the

:19:12.:19:13.

afternoon session of the meeting today.

:19:14.:19:19.

Theresa May will be there this morning and then leave that

:19:20.:19:22.

lunchtime, then this afternoon the other states will discuss the future

:19:23.:19:25.

of the EU. What do you think will be on the agenda? This morning Pospert

:19:26.:19:32.

procession and the afternoon session are inextricably linked, this

:19:33.:19:35.

morning is about migration, specifically the mortar and Libya

:19:36.:19:39.

Brut, yesterday there were talks with Donald Tusk and the Italian

:19:40.:19:43.

Prime Minister to see how they can improve operations with Libyans on

:19:44.:19:46.

the ground and stop the migration flows. We know that in regular

:19:47.:19:51.

migration has been an issue in many European election campaigns, also in

:19:52.:19:54.

the Brexit referendum last year, so that brings us on to the future of

:19:55.:19:58.

the EU and how to take things forward. Donald Tusk essentially

:19:59.:20:04.

saying to all EU leaders, the EU 27, because Theresa May will not be

:20:05.:20:09.

there, we need a firm start, we have the migration crisis, we have

:20:10.:20:14.

Russia, we have the US administration which we are not sure

:20:15.:20:18.

where they are going with that, radical terrorism, populism, all

:20:19.:20:21.

these issues we need to take a stance. They can all very well sit

:20:22.:20:26.

there all these leaders and do the talking but the people in their

:20:27.:20:30.

respective countries may do the talking for them and they may not be

:20:31.:20:33.

the leaders any more? Very good point. That is the issue they will

:20:34.:20:41.

be facing, Netherlands, France, Germany elections. Exactly, go back

:20:42.:20:47.

to 2007, the 50th anniversary of the European Community which became the

:20:48.:20:52.

EU. Back in 2007 no-one would have said that ten years onward beat this

:20:53.:20:58.

crisis, the Ihenacho crisis, the social crisis and now the political

:20:59.:21:02.

crisis. This is something they will be whereof, they may welcome up with

:21:03.:21:06.

suggestions how to tackle migration, take the EU forward, but at the end

:21:07.:21:10.

of the date a lot of them will be concerned about domestic electoral

:21:11.:21:13.

issues closer to home. And whether they have a job or not! Thomas, we

:21:14.:21:18.

appreciate your time, we will talk to soon.

:21:19.:21:20.

In a moment we'll take a look through the Business Pages but first

:21:21.:21:23.

here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:21:24.:21:26.

The Business Live page is where you can stay

:21:27.:21:28.

ahead with all the day's breaking business news.

:21:29.:21:30.

We'll keep you up-to-date with all the latest details,

:21:31.:21:32.

with insight and analysis from the BBC's team of editors

:21:33.:21:34.

Get involved on the BBC Business Live web page,

:21:35.:21:41.

On Twitter we're @BBCBusiness, and you can find us on Facebook,

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Business Live on TV and online, whenever you need to know.

:21:48.:22:00.

Michael is back. Snapchat. I don't.

:22:01.:22:14.

Neither do I, we are far too old! Remember the press conference

:22:15.:22:24.

earlier this year where someone was caught doing bunnies, misbehaving?

:22:25.:22:27.

We asked our audience to send us a text, a Tweet! That his owl -- that

:22:28.:22:37.

is how old I am! To ask whether it will take off.

:22:38.:22:42.

I'm 26 and just signed up. Tut, it is confusing, don't see why it has

:22:43.:22:46.

spread outside millennials. Ryan things Snapchat will be a fad,

:22:47.:22:50.

a waste of money and people will look stupid in 12 months' time.

:22:51.:22:54.

A lot of people are saying, wait and see. There are so many of these

:22:55.:23:01.

social media instant gratification apps, Instagram, Twitter has just

:23:02.:23:09.

dropped Vine, which was six second videos, I'm not sure how different

:23:10.:23:15.

Snapchat is, $25 billion, hasn't made a profit, you have no voting

:23:16.:23:18.

rights with the shares. Investors need to decide whether or not to buy

:23:19.:23:22.

it, they cannot wait and see. What do you think will happen when it

:23:23.:23:27.

floats? I think initially there will be a bit of a pop but automatically

:23:28.:23:31.

when you look at the company you look at the commercials, and

:23:32.:23:35.

ultimately even though revenue growth is going the right way, user

:23:36.:23:39.

growth is starting to slow and that, for me, is the problem Twitter is

:23:40.:23:43.

having, they cannot monetise their user base. If Snapchat cannot

:23:44.:23:49.

monetise its user base, it will ultimately be a flash in the pan. Or

:23:50.:23:56.

a snap... Your household must be a barrel of

:23:57.:24:01.

laughs! This story is amazing, could you

:24:02.:24:06.

imagine UK, Brits, even Aussies, chipping into their own pockets to

:24:07.:24:10.

help out the Government? I am buying a house next week so I guess I am

:24:11.:24:14.

helping out the Government! Mongolian citizens offering cash,

:24:15.:24:17.

jewellery and horses to pay Government debt. Mongolia is a

:24:18.:24:22.

victim of the crash in property prices, it is a resource rich

:24:23.:24:26.

nation. What commodities do they have? Copper, gold, easily extract a

:24:27.:24:37.

ball, so it should be a rich country but the government went on a

:24:38.:24:40.

spending boom just as monetary conditions in China started to

:24:41.:24:43.

tighten and ultimately they spent more than they had coming in, so now

:24:44.:24:48.

IMF and their citizens have decided IMF and their citizens have decided

:24:49.:24:52.

to offer cash, jewellery, horses to help. That is lovely! Help your

:24:53.:24:58.

Government even though it has been completely incompetent. That is

:24:59.:25:03.

true! I don't think it would happen over here, somehow. Nordstrom, very

:25:04.:25:07.

nice department store in the United States, they have dropped Ivanka

:25:08.:25:18.

Trump's brand. Yes, this is a hashtag campaign that was started in

:25:19.:25:27.

October asking brands not to stock trump brands because of his

:25:28.:25:33.

rhetoric... But Nordstrom has said this is based only on performance?

:25:34.:25:36.

They have to say that, they don't want to be seen to be giving in to

:25:37.:25:42.

the politics. Michael, always a pleasure, have a great weekend and

:25:43.:25:43.

thank you for joining us. There will be more business news

:25:44.:25:46.

throughout the day on the BBC live webpage and on World Business

:25:47.:25:51.

Report. And unsettled spell of weather

:25:52.:26:12.

continues with some strong wind and heavy rain in the forecast today.

:26:13.:26:16.

Yesterday was a blustery, windy day, this was the scene around the Irish

:26:17.:26:21.

Sea coast, taken by one of our Weather Watchers,

:26:22.:26:23.

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