25/01/2012 BBC News at Ten


25/01/2012

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Tonight at ten, the economy takes a turn for the worse, raising fears

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of a new recession. At the end of last year, growth fell by 0.2%,

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provoking a new debate about the government's strategy. How bad do

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things have to get in our economy to shake him out of his

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complacency? The party opposite has only one answer, and that is to

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deal with a debt crisis by borrowing more and adding to debt.

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We will be reporting on the growing pressure for the Government to

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change course. Also tonight: Your Scotland, your

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referendum. Scotland's First Minister spells

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out his plans for a vote on independence.

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Two aid workers held captive in Somalia have been rescued in a raid

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by American special forces. I think the contents have it.

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The biggest defeat so far for the government's welfare reforms in the

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House of Lords. And the mood in Argentina ahead of

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the 30th anniversary of the Falklands War.

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Later on the BBC News Channel, I will be here with Sportsday, with

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all the goals from Anfield and the Carling Cup semi-final.

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And City get back into the tie, but Good evening. There is concern that

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the British economy is heading into recession for the second time in

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three years. At the end of last year, growth fell by 0.2%, with

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notable weakness in manufacturing and production. The Chancellor said

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the figures were disappointing, but not unexpected, and they have

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provoked more debate today about the wisdom of the government's

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strategy. The letters stand for gross

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domestic product, the sum total of everything produced in the UK. In a

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recovery, it is supposed to keep getting bigger, but not lately and

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not in the last three months of 2011. In that fourth quarter, our

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national output officially shrank by 0.2%. It is a very weak number.

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It is a disappointing number, although it is one that was

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expected by analysts and financial markets. It reiterates the

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challenges that the UK and global economies face as we head into 2012.

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The figures show that manufacturing did particularly badly, but for

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Tony Hancock in Doncaster, who makes ground handling machines for

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the aviation industry, it is not about statistics, it is about

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survival. I will survive, because that is my nature. I do not know

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yet exactly how I will survive, but the last thing I will do is lose

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staff. If I lose any more staff, I would have to look at saying, let's

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close the doors and move on. 2009 was the worst year of the recession,

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when our economy shrank by 4.4%. 2010 looks better now than it felt

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then. Revised figures show growth of 2.1%. Last year was not half as

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good, with an expansion of just 0.9%. The average forecast for 2012

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keeps falling. The betting now is that we will barely grow at all.

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The Prime Minister said the figures were disappointing, but don't blame

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him. They reflect three things - the overhang of the debt and the

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deficit that we have to deal with... They reflect the higher food and

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fuel prices that put a squeeze on household income towards the end of

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last year, and yes, they also reflect the crisis in the Eurozone

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that has frozen Europe's economies. He said unemployment would fall. It

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didn't. He said the economy would grow. It hasn't. He said we are all

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in this together. We are not. When will the Prime Minister's visit to

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the fact that his policies are failing our country? It was mainly

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weak spending here at home that held back the UK economy last year.

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Our trade with other countries and even Europe in fact held up well.

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But the Prime Minister is right that the Government was not the

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only one squeezing UK households last year. They also faced a big

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rise of energy and food prices coming from the rest of the world

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and uncertainty about the Eurozone probably did not weigh on

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confidence last year. It will be more important in 2012. Take

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tourism. Last year, we had more foreign visitors and spending by UK

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holidaymakers rose by more than 10%. But 2012 is hard to call. On the

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plus side, we have the fantastic global exposure of the Queen's

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Diamond Jubilee and the London Olympic and Paralympic Games. On

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the negative side, we have the turmoil in Europe. If we have a

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flat year, we would still be doing well. Today's news is a bit worse

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than expected, but the broad message is the same - the UK

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economy is flat. But that is enough bad news to be getting on with two

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and a half years after the steepest recession in living memory is

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supposed to have ended. Let's go live to Downing Street and

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talk to our political editor Nick Robinson. We are just two months

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and a bit away from the Budget, so how will these figures affect the

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thinking? The intriguing thing about today is that any economist

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will tell you that it does not make a lot of difference if it is plus

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0.2% or minus 2%. But anyone in the building over there will toadied

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there is a vast difference between a plus and a minus, because it

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allows the government's opponents to say, you are going backwards.

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Also, it means the politicians inside Downing Street fear the next

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number. In other words, if there was another negative figure in the

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next quarter of growth, that is technically how economists define a

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recession. And that would be serious for the Government. That

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means there is more on -- a more lively debate now about what should

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be in the Budget. Interestingly, the deputy prime minister Nick

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Clegg tomorrow will make a speech arguing that the Government should

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now make tax cuts for people on low incomes and middle incomes. The

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chancellor's private reply is bound to be sure, but we have to work out

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where we can get the money. The debate going on in government was

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echoed inside the IMF. Today you had the head of the IMF, Christine

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Lagarde, saying the government has no room to change course. But her

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own chief economist said that if they can slow down the cuts, they

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would find there was some benefit for growth. That will be the

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agonising going on inside government at the moment. But the

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Chancellor is not an economist, he is a politician, and he needs to

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prove that this is not going well. Scotland's First Minister Alex

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Salmond has been outlining his proposals for a Richenda --

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referendum on independence, which he would like to see in the autumn

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of 2014. He told the Scottish parliament that the vote would be

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the most important decision made by the public of Scotland in 300 years.

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The plan will now go out for consultation. This report contains

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flash photography. Edinburgh Castle, Historic Scotland.

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Awaiting his place in that history, Scotland's First Minister. Alex

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Salmond chose the castle's Great Hall for a referendum plan which

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could restore Scottish independence. We offer a malice towards nobody.

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We offer friendship towards all, particularly those other nations in

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these islands. The venue, a calculated echo of 1997, when

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Labour's devolution plan was also celebrated at the castle. From that

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base of devolution, Scots will now be given the chance to go further,

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to adopt independence and so end the union. The proposed question

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is: Alex Salmond wants 16 and 17- year-olds to be able to vote in the

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referendum, and he wants the ballot to be held in the autumn of 2014.

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The First Minister now accepts that the Electoral Commission should

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monitor the ballot, but he wants the option to ask a second question

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about handing Holyrood full financial power, but short of

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independence. If there is an alternative of maximum devolution

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which would command wide support in Scotland, it is only fair and

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democratic that adoption should be among the choices open to the

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people of Scotland. But his opponents at Holyrood think that is

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confusing, and so does the UK government. We must have a

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referendum that is decisive and does not allow one side or the

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other to cry foul. Many constitutional experts will say the

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best way to achieve that is with a short, sharp, decisive question on

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the issue of whether Scotland remains part of the UK or not.

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Holyrood, they have been preparing for tonight's Burns Supper, but in

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getting ready for the referendum, they may need to consider how

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others see it, because a legally watertight pilot needs

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Westminster's sanction. So an historic day here at Edinburgh

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Castle, but the referendum rules are still hedged around with

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uncertainty. To be clear, Alex Salmond is still fulfilling his

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promise on timing, but he made that promise at least partly because he

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suspects that the Scots might not be ready to go for independence

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right now, at a time of economic uncertainty. But it is about

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cultural confidence as well. Helping win new fans for Burns's'

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poetry, the First Minister says Scotland would thrive under

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independence. His opponents say it would be a blow for Scotland and

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the UK. Today brought that choice closer.

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Earlier this evening, the Government suffered its biggest

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defeat so far in the House of Lords over its plans to change the

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welfare system. Peers rejected plans to charge single parents a

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fee to use the Child Support Agency. Our political correspondent has the

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details. In your view, how significant was this? This is the

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sixth defeat the Government has suffered in the House of Lords over

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the Welfare Reform Bill. What is extraordinary about this one is the

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number of Conservative peers who took part, more than 30. The

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Government wants to encourage parents who separate to make their

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own arrangements for maintenance payments, and where they in future:

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the child support agency to put those arrangements in place, they

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will have to pay a fee. Many in the Lords he objected that proposal.

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They say it would have the effect of penalising children, so the

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Government suffered a huge defeat of 270 votes to 128. But the

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government said tonight that CSA cases can cost �25,000 or more and

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that if people use that agency, they should be asked to contribute.

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President Obama has paid tribute to the US Special Forces who rescued

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two Western hostages from Somali pirates. US Navy Seals freed an

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American woman and a Danish man who had been held since October. Nine

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of their kidnappers were killed. The raid was carried out by the

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same unit that killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan last year.

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Kidnapped in Somalia three months ago. Aid workers Jessica Buchanan

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from the US and Poul Hagen Thisted from Denmark. Tonight, they are

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spending their first night of freedom, rescued by in the US Navy

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Seal commandos. This was how it was done. The hostages were held in a

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compound in northern Somalia. US Navy commanders mounted the

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operation. They parachuted into the area, landing close to the compound

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at 2am. Gunfire broke out as they approached their objective. In the

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fighting that followed, all nine kidnappers were killed. There were

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no American casualties. The hostages were then flown by

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helicopter to the safety of a US based in neighbouring Djibouti. The

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entire operation lasted one hour. The president personally authorised

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this. We used our special operations forces. The president

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gave them the go-ahead. His relief last night was obvious. This could

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have gone very wrong. Good job tonight. On his way to give the

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State of the Union address, President Obama congratulated his

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Defence Secretary on a successful rescue mission. He also broke the

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good news to Jessica Buchanan's father. His calculated risk paid

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off. This morning's raid was the highest profile US military action

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in Somalia since US forces pulled out of there in 1994. But that

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still leaves over 150 hostages, mostly sailors, held by a Somali

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pirates and bandits. The ransoms for their release are rising,

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running well into the millions. These ransoms are making the

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situation in the economy in Somalia worse. Millions of dollars are

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being poured into a criminal economy, in a country that is

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bereft of security and administration and where millions

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are starving. One of those still held in Somalia is a British

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tourist, snatched from this Kenyan beach resort last September. It is

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partly what has prompted David Cameron to call an international

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conference on Somalia next month. Somali piracy and kidnapping will

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not stop with a single rescue operation. So while tonight, two

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former hostages can sleep safely, preparations are likely to be under

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way to hold the next victims to President Obama has delivered his

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State of the Union Address, his last before this year's

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presidential election. He called for a fairer tax system with the

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wealthiest Americans paying a bigger share - a policy opposed by

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most Republicans. It's a short drive from the White

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House to the capital, but for President Obama this could be the

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last time he makes this journey to deliver the State of the Union.

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President of the United States. will only make another if he stays

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President and this speech was his manifesto, his campaign blueprint

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for re-election. First, a moment of high emotion as he hugged the

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Congress woman Gabby Giffords. shrinking number of people do well,

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while a growing number of Americans barely get by. We can restore an

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economy where everyone gets a fair shot and everyone does their fair

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share and everyone plays by the same set of rules. APPLAUSE As this

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White House film shows, months of debate, rewriting and editing goes

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into this speech which has become a national ritual. The overriding

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theme? Fairness. An end to tax breaks for the wealthy. No bail-

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outs, no handouts, no cop-outs. An America built to last insists on

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responsibility from everybody. Republican attack ads were on

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screen before he got to his feet. But it is how the President's

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message plays on main street that matters. This man is comfortably

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off. America has had a reputation where the rich are admired, not

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envied or resented so Republicans are spitting with fury at Obama's

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speech. They say when he talks about fairness, what he means is

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class war. This business has had a rough time in the recession. The

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company has shrunk. He can't rent out this office space and he thinks

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the President is looking for scapegoats. I think he's trying to

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play on the anger of the middle- class against Wall Street and the

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wealthy and it is very easy to rally the troops when you have a

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common villain as we saw in Germany. You think it is dangerous? I do.

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This is the State of the Union roadshow. President Obama is take

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his message to the country over the next few days. Only if it goes down

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well, will he get to talk to the nation this time next year.

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Coming up: The Royal Ballet is rocked by the sudden departure of

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one of its biggest young stars. As we approach the 30th anniversary

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of the start of the Falklands conflict, the diplomatic tension

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between Britain and Argentina is rising. Last month, a powerful

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South American trading bloc banned ships flying the Falkland island

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flag from using certain ports. Fergal Keane is in Argentina and he

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reports on the view from Buenos Aires.

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Every morning the ceremonial guard arrives. Here at the national

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memorial to Argentina's most bitter defeat. More than 600 Argentine

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servicemen died in the conflict. Many of them young conscripts.

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Their names are embedded in this wall, reminders of an era that most

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people in this country wish to forget. It was the age of dictators,

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who sent their troops to the Falklands in a bid to restore their

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fading power. When the war was lost, the military junta was overthrown.

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This man was 18 when he fought against 3 Para. The islands, las

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Malvinas as they call them, remain a passionate cause.

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TRANSLATION: It has been 30 years, the anniversary allows us to think

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of those we have lost but also gives us the strength to keep on

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fighting for what is right. As the diplomatic rangle between Argentina

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and Britain escalates, protesters have converged on the British

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Embassy. The rights of the Falkland islanders to remain brirn aren't

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recognised. Surely if they want to remain British, that is their

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democratic right? TRANSLATION: We also have a right

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to reclaim what is ours. government, the mood has been

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hardening. David Cameron's assertion that Argentina was guilty

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of colonialism provokes a bitter response.

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TRANSLATION: Argentina was shocked and we felt disrespected by the

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British Prime Minister. Argentine history is far from colonialism,

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that is much more like the British history. It was ironic to listen to

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such an accusation from the British. Buenos Aires rules out military

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action. The new strategy is to try and isolate the Falklands, just as

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British oil firms begin exploration there. Falklands ships are banned

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from several Latin American nations including Brazil. Dr Jorge Castro

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says Argentina wants to use the growing political clout of Latin

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America. South America as a group has become more and more important

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because all the emerging countries are now the centre of the economic

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growth in world terms. There may be no more military adventures, but

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Britain faces a real diplomatic challenge in a region asserting its

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new-found strength. That is the view from Argentina.

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Next week, we will be reporting on the views among Falkland islanders

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themselves. A major police search is under way

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for a prisoner who escaped from the grounds of a hospital in Suffolk.

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Two guards were confronted by a gunman outside Suffolk Hospital as

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they arrived there with Andrew Farden.

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The Ministry of Defence has named the British soldier who died at a

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base in southern Afghanistan yesterday. 21-year-old Signaller

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Ian Sartorius-Jones of 200 Signal Squadron was from Runcorn. He died

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at a NATO patrol base in Helmand Province. His death is not thought

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to have been the result of hostile action.

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David Cameron says the European Court of Human Rights should

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interfere less in decisions made by National Courts. He told the

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Council of Europe today that the concept of human rights was being

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discredited by some of the court's rulings. Britain holds the

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presidency of the Council of Europe and the Prime Minister was there

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speaking in that capacity. In the wake of the Second World War,

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Europe agreed a new convention on human rights, its aim was to give

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people back the freedoms they had lost in years of conflict. But

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David Cameron came to Strasbourg today to say that the European

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Court of Human Rights that upholds the Convention had strayed from its

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origins and the time for reform had come. Controversial decisions such

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as giving prisoners the vote was corroding support for human rights.

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The court should be free to deal with the most serious violations of

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human rights and not be swamped with a backlog of cases, it should

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not act as a Small Claims' Court. The court should hold us all to

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account. It should not undermine its own reputation by going over

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national decisions where it doesn't need to. This is what he is talking

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about, the European Court's decision last week to prevent

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Britain deporting the radical Muslim cleric, Abu Qatada, for fear

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that he would not get a fair trial in Jordan. But on the very same day,

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the court also ruled that three of Britain's most dangerous murderers,

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including Peter Moore, shouldn't have their life sentences reviewed.

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Supporters of the court says it is getting the balance right and warns

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reform carries risk. Some of the proposals from member states, such

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as the UK, seriously threaten the rights of individuals all across

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Europe to seek justice for human rights violations. David Cameron's

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come to Strasbourg because he believes that the judges are

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interfering too much in British national life. His reforms even if

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they are agreed will take years to implement and, for some, he is not

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going far enough. That is because the European Court is expected to

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rule on whether prisoners should get the vote. If it insists that

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they should, many Tory MPs believe it will be time not for reform but

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withdrawal from the Court entirely. For now, David Cameron's won some

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support for his reforms and he's bought himself time with MPs

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pushing for change. But one day soon the Prime Minister may have to

0:24:140:24:17

decide between the democratic wishes of the Parliament and the

0:24:180:24:21

legal obligations of the court. Nothing he has said today will

0:24:210:24:26

change that. Now, the Royal Ballet has been

0:24:260:24:31

rocked by the departure of its youngest ever principal male dancer,

0:24:310:24:35

Sergei Polunin. He has resigned with immediate effect, days before

0:24:350:24:40

the opening of a new production. The 21-year-old has admitted having

0:24:400:24:44

some difficulty with the strict regime that is imposed on

0:24:440:24:53

professional dancers. He was one of the Royal Ballet's

0:24:530:24:58

superstars, compared by some to Nuryev. The company had made him a

0:24:590:25:06

principal at just 19 years old. No male dancer had achieved such

0:25:060:25:11

heights so young at Covent Garden. Yesterday, when still only 22,

0:25:110:25:18

Sergei Polunin stunned the company and the dance world by walking out.

0:25:180:25:23

For a 22-year-old dancer who has done so much for us, who has so

0:25:230:25:27

much promise, such an amazing career ahead of him, recognised by

0:25:270:25:34

all of us to leave us at this point is shocking. He has everything you

0:25:340:25:39

would want in a perfect classical line and apart from that, he has

0:25:390:25:43

the elevation, the jump, the spins, and he's never off balance. I have

0:25:430:25:47

never been able to catch him out when I have been looking at him. It

0:25:470:25:53

is almost too good to be true. has been suggested he found the

0:25:530:25:57

life of a classical ballet dancer too restrictive. He said that he

0:25:570:26:06

would love to have behaved badly, an ambition he retains, judging by

0:26:060:26:11

some of his tweets. Sergei Polunin might be leaving the Royal Ballet

0:26:110:26:16

but that doesn't mean he will be giving up performing. In fact, he

0:26:160:26:22

will be dancing here in Sadler's Wells on Friday night. The

0:26:220:26:27

production, Men In Motion, is being put on by Ivan Putrov, who was also

0:26:270:26:32

once a principal at the Royal Ballet. Being in a company has this

0:26:320:26:36

element that you are sometimes told what to do, you have to be part of

0:26:360:26:41

the, if you want to be part of the company you have to maybe shut up

0:26:410:26:47

and do what you are supposed to do. If you want to be an artist, an

0:26:470:26:54

artist creates. Craftsman does what he is told. An artist creates.

0:26:540:26:59

Sergei likes to create. Sergei Polunin was due to take the lead in

0:26:590:27:04

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