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Afternoon. Welcome to this Daily Politics special, live from the | :00:29. | :00:31. | |
Tory Party conference, here in Manchester, where it's the final | :00:31. | :00:35. | |
day of the conference. For the first time, there's a sense of | :00:35. | :00:41. | |
excitement. Last night, the Prime Minister's spin masters briefed the | :00:41. | :00:44. | |
media that David Cameron will use his speech this afternoon to tell | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
us to pay off our credit card debts. The newspapers and broadcasters, as | :00:48. | :00:53. | |
you have no doubt seen, duly reported that this morning. | :00:53. | :00:59. | |
That buzz before new revised figures for economic growth | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
downgraded estimates. The British economy has not grown for nine | :01:03. | :01:08. | |
months. So the cry went up, if the economy is flat-lining, what would | :01:08. | :01:14. | |
happen if we all stopped spending to pay off our debts? Do you | :01:14. | :01:19. | |
remember Brains in the Thunderbirds? He used to say, | :01:19. | :01:22. | |
"Aaahhh! Of Course! Why didn't I think of that before?". Queue the | :01:22. | :01:27. | |
spinners to el us that the media have -- tell us that the media miss | :01:27. | :01:33. | |
understood what they were briefed. They have gone back to the drawing | :01:33. | :01:37. | |
board to replan what he has to say in a couple of hours. As I say, | :01:37. | :01:43. | |
excitement and turmoil. Mr Cameron delivers his speech against the | :01:43. | :01:49. | |
grimmest economic backdrop since the mid-1970s. It turned out the | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
recession is deeper than thought. We lost 7prst of our national | :01:53. | :01:59. | |
wealth, not -- 7% of our national wealth, not 6%. Italy's credit | :01:59. | :02:04. | |
rating has been cut again as the eurozone hovers on the brink of | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
recession and crisis. Even Tescos sales have dropped. | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
Last year the Prime Minister told this conference that Britain was | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
out of the danger zone. He won't be repeating that this afternoon. We | :02:17. | :02:21. | |
will look back at the highs and lows of David Cameron's first year | :02:21. | :02:31. | |
:02:31. | :02:32. | ||
in advance of his big speech. And that's not all... It east such an | :02:32. | :02:37. | |
important -- it's such an important day that even Jo has had to hot- | :02:37. | :02:43. | |
foot it to Manchester. I could not stay away. We sent Adam out to test | :02:43. | :02:48. | |
the mood on the coalition. Not everyone likes their partners in | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
crime. We sent Quentin Letts out. He has not been a happy bunny in | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
Manchester. We have not been able to take the cameras into the bars | :02:56. | :03:02. | |
late at night. The lobbying, oh, I tell you, if the voters and if the | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
viewers of Britain knew what went on at these events they would be | :03:06. | :03:16. | |
:03:16. | :03:18. | ||
You have to stay tuned for that. It is coming up in the next hour. | :03:18. | :03:24. | |
There's more, we'll be back at 2pm this afternoon here on BBC Two with | :03:24. | :03:31. | |
live and uninterrupted, at least we hope it will be uninterrupted David | :03:31. | :03:38. | |
Cameron's speech. Two of the finest, the Guardian's | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
Allegra Stratton and Iain Martin. What do you make of all of this - | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
pay off your credit card, the Prime Minister says? It is chaotic. It | :03:48. | :03:53. | |
may not end up in the speech. If you talk to the Osborne team about | :03:53. | :04:01. | |
why don't you do a tax cut, they will say, "hang on we don't want a | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
recovery that is on the backs of people spending more money, | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
consuming more stuff." That was the problem of the economy under Blair | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
and Brown. They are economically pure. They think if we start... | :04:14. | :04:20. | |
Everyone is talking about the paradox of thift. If you look at | :04:20. | :04:25. | |
the figures, people are paying down their credit cards. When they talk | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
about paying down the debt, it's the Government that's not paying | :04:28. | :04:33. | |
down the debt. It will go from 900 billion to 1.4 trillion. So the | :04:33. | :04:38. | |
Government is telling us to pay off its debt while the Government is | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
adding 500 billion to its own debt - is that the position we're in? | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
Absolutely. They came to this conference needing to lay out a | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
serious agenda for growth. They have failed on that. Figures have | :04:52. | :04:57. | |
been put out which show if people paid off the credit card debt there | :04:57. | :05:05. | |
would be a slash to growth of 0.25%. I think they didn't think it | :05:05. | :05:10. | |
through. They are obsessed with this credit card analogy. They | :05:10. | :05:17. | |
think that is how they've got through to the public, this | :05:17. | :05:25. | |
otherwise difficult an algae has made it -- analogy. They went too | :05:25. | :05:29. | |
far with this, and pay off your store card thing. They were shocked | :05:29. | :05:34. | |
when all the journalists seized on it as the story. So, do you think | :05:34. | :05:42. | |
that the two peas -- Ps were bigger than the two Es in the Prime | :05:42. | :05:49. | |
Minister's degree. He's very proud of the big E. Let's look at the | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
figures. To get the growth rate predicted, they are unlikely to get | :05:54. | :05:59. | |
these between now and 2015. Consumer credit rises by almost | :06:00. | :06:06. | |
�600 billion. We add to the credit card. It's unfair to ask you, but I | :06:06. | :06:13. | |
don't understand how you reconcile that. You're dealing a Tory | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
leadership, modernisers. When they took over they didn't expect it to | :06:16. | :06:23. | |
be about economics. It was a settled issue in 2005-2006. | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
Sharing the growth? If only there was growth to share. Then the crash | :06:27. | :06:31. | |
hits in 2008. They find themselves without a credible policy. They | :06:31. | :06:38. | |
could not say, "we told you so." Since then, they have made it up | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
since they go along. The reason why I think the politics of this is | :06:42. | :06:47. | |
difficult for them, I would suggest, is that you use the word "Chaotic." | :06:48. | :06:55. | |
I use the word "Turmoil." Yet the backdrop is economic chaos. It is a | :06:55. | :07:01. | |
grim, grim backdrop. What is happening does not encourage | :07:01. | :07:07. | |
competence. In 200 when David Cameron was doing his pre--- 2008 | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
when David Cameron was doing his pre-election speech, and George | :07:10. | :07:16. | |
Osborne had to go to London. George Osborne is preoccupied with | :07:16. | :07:22. | |
that. I have to say, with this I don't | :07:22. | :07:29. | |
think they were pushing, seriously pushing this economic argument. | :07:29. | :07:35. | |
They would, I think they were trying to make a point. They didn't | :07:35. | :07:40. | |
realise.... This is a conference without many policy stories. They | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
didn't realise if you went forward with two journalists then they will | :07:44. | :07:49. | |
go for language. Talking about credit cards means they think they | :07:49. | :07:56. | |
are connecting with ordinary people. What do you make of this overall | :07:56. | :08:04. | |
mood? Where is this conference at now? It's been the most boring Tory | :08:04. | :08:11. | |
conference since Robert Peel laid out a manifesto. | :08:11. | :08:16. | |
Broadcasting was challenging then. I had to hold a lantern in those | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
days. There's a sense, at the end of this season, of politics being | :08:20. | :08:28. | |
in a holding patd tern and none has reallyal -- pattern and none has | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
really altered. Final thought from you? They are happy. Look at the | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
Europe debate, they are happy they have managed to contain that. | :08:37. | :08:43. | |
Despite the cat. Despite the cat- flap, which was again chaotic! | :08:43. | :08:48. | |
Over to Jo now. Thank you. It's been quite a 12 months for the | :08:48. | :08:51. | |
partners of the coalition. This time last year, they might have | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
thought that Britain would be on its way to economic recovery. | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
Instead the world has been hit by a second economic crisis and the most | :08:58. | :09:03. | |
sustained drop in living standards since the 1920's is predicted. They | :09:03. | :09:13. | |
:09:13. | :09:18. | ||
are putting a brave face on things. At this time of great national | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
challenge, two parties have come together to help make it happen. | :09:23. | :09:29. | |
The longer you leave it, the worse it gets. You pay more interest, | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
millions of pounds, every single day that goes to the foreign | :09:32. | :09:37. | |
Governments we owe. We will withdraw child benefit from | :09:37. | :09:42. | |
households with a higher rate tax band. David Cameron says the | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
changes to tax benefit are tough but fair? They are tough, I am not | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
sure about fair. Will the cuts hurt? They will hurt. The gamble | :09:50. | :09:55. | |
from the men from the Treasury is they will also work. We will ensure, | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
like every solvent household in the country, that what we buy we can | :09:59. | :10:04. | |
afford. That the bills we incur we have the income to meet. | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
sprinted through a long, complex list of benefits to be cut. Every | :10:09. | :10:19. | |
:10:19. | :10:29. | ||
I am here for people who have been knocked off from benefits. We need | :10:29. | :10:34. | |
to move away from the system we've had for 20 years where ministers | :10:34. | :10:37. | |
dictate everything that happens in schools. | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
Under the new system, everyone will pay back less than what they pay | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
under the current system. The poorest will pay less. The richest | :10:46. | :10:50. | |
will pay more. Only the Prime Minister could treble tuition fees | :10:50. | :10:56. | |
and then claim it's a better deal for students. | :10:56. | :11:01. | |
323. Three-quarters of the Government's | :11:01. | :11:07. | |
majority had been wiped out. "Shame", Labour MPs called, but it | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
was too late. We need a social recovery to mend the broken society. | :11:11. | :11:14. | |
To me, that is what the "big society" is all about. I don't see | :11:14. | :11:19. | |
how you can build a bigger society when you're harming the very | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
organisations at the heart of communities who are delivering that | :11:21. | :11:31. | |
:11:31. | :11:42. | ||
We will not delay in taking the action that is necessary. | :11:42. | :11:49. | |
Pause, listen to reflect and to improve our NHS modernisation plans. | :11:49. | :11:54. | |
Almost every hand raised in protest, almost every nurse here, angry. | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
wanted us to make clear that competition is not there for its | :11:58. | :12:08. | |
:12:08. | :12:15. | ||
own sake, but to make life better To be fair to my right honourable | :12:15. | :12:21. | |
friend, the, he's only been in his job for a year. He's doing a superb | :12:21. | :12:31. | |
:12:31. | :12:40. | ||
job. There's plenty more fuel in The Liberal Democrats made up this | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
Parliament and they seem to be influencing our school policy, | :12:43. | :12:47. | |
health, immigration and abortion. Does the Prime Minister think it's | :12:47. | :12:52. | |
time he told the Deputy Prime Minister who is the boss. | :12:52. | :13:00. | |
Calm down, dear. Calm down. Listen to the doctor. | :13:00. | :13:04. | |
Conservative vote has proved to be more robust. They were doing well | :13:04. | :13:14. | |
:13:14. | :13:21. | ||
against their coalition partners, Do you have any regrets? | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
With 20/20 hindsight and all that follows I would not have offered | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
him the job. I suspect he would not have taken it. If it turns out I've | :13:29. | :13:34. | |
been lied to, that would be a moment for a profound apolicy. In | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
that event, I can tell you I will not fall short. It's not about | :13:38. | :13:44. | |
whether Mr Coulson lied to him. It's about all the warnings the | :13:44. | :13:49. | |
Prime Minister ignored. All of us would have what hoped to | :13:49. | :13:56. | |
have avoided the use of force. This could have been complied with if | :13:56. | :13:59. | |
Gaddafi complied with the resolution. The fact is he didn't. | :13:59. | :14:04. | |
Colonel Gaddafi said he would hunt you down like rats, but you showed | :14:05. | :14:12. | |
the courage of lions and we salute your courage. | :14:12. | :14:16. | |
There are pockets of our society that are not just broken, but | :14:16. | :14:20. | |
frankly sick. Europe's economic crisis is | :14:20. | :14:25. | |
spreading. A warn from the EU commission. The debt contagion now | :14:25. | :14:31. | |
threatens Italy and Spain.... Tonight, at 10pm, another surge in | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
unemployment. Britain will stick to the deficit | :14:34. | :14:38. | |
plan we have set out. It is the rock of stability on which our | :14:38. | :14:48. | |
:14:48. | :14:51. | ||
I am joined now by three backbenchers, Andrea Leadsom, Jacob | :14:51. | :14:53. | |
Rees-Mogg and Anna Soubry. Welcome to all of you. Let's reflect on | :14:53. | :14:58. | |
that for a moment. Anna, the high point for you over the past year? I | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
think the high point about the coalition is it's working well. | :15:02. | :15:07. | |
you think id wouldn't? It is so new to have two parties who fought an | :15:07. | :15:10. | |
election coming together in the national interests. It has worked | :15:10. | :15:17. | |
out really well. It's a difficult time. The economy is go ing to... | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
Whatever we do. It is such a big, serious problem. Is it difficult to | :15:21. | :15:27. | |
say, on that basis, if you look at some things which were picked in | :15:27. | :15:31. | |
that film, we had the AV referendum, Libya. Yet on this biggest issue, | :15:31. | :15:36. | |
on the economy, on economic growth, David Cameron struggled to find the | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
message, that appears to have been reflected today in some of the | :15:40. | :15:43. | |
speech which have been put out beforehand? The message is right, | :15:43. | :15:47. | |
that it's serious and it's going to be wrong. It's going to be long. | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
About the message about what people should do? They should pay down | :15:51. | :15:53. | |
their debt. They have to restructure, not just the | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
Government, but individuals as well. There was too much debt within the | :15:57. | :16:02. | |
system and until debt is repaid, we can't begin to have a well-founded | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
recovery. Is that wise to your constituents, at a time when many | :16:05. | :16:10. | |
of them cannot afford to pay off those bills? It is wise to tell | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
people the truth, even if it is an unpalatable one. Won't people think | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
he doesn't get the situation, he being David Cameron. If he is | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
telling people to pay off their credit card bills at a time they | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
are struggling with family income, he has missed the point, hasn't he? | :16:25. | :16:28. | |
I don't think so at all. My constituency bag is full of letters | :16:29. | :16:33. | |
from people saying they understand the need for cuts. Yes, the cuts, | :16:33. | :16:43. | |
:16:43. | :16:43. | ||
but what about telling individuals? We want to create a better world | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
for our children. We can go on to Don't you want people to spend? The | :16:48. | :16:52. | |
message has been that growth is the biggest priority and you are | :16:52. | :16:59. | |
telling people to stay at home. That is a contradictory message. | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
is after a fashion. Not everybody is indebted. You want people who | :17:03. | :17:11. | |
can spend to promote growth but equally you do not want people to | :17:11. | :17:18. | |
be indebted. As it has been said time and time again, you cannot | :17:18. | :17:19. | |
spend your way up of debt. You have to sort out, balance your books, | :17:19. | :17:22. | |
whether it is your house or books on national books, and then you can | :17:23. | :17:28. | |
move on a positive way. They growth figures have been revised downwards, | :17:28. | :17:35. | |
albeit slightly, and David Cameron's message is, pull up the | :17:35. | :17:41. | |
drawbridge. She relates it to her own constituents. Not everybody is | :17:41. | :17:50. | |
in debt. A lot of people are and they know, because people have been | :17:50. | :17:55. | |
so responsive and have been paying off their credit card debts and we | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
are saying, continued to do that. Those who do who are the good | :17:58. | :18:01. | |
people who have taken sensible measures and he will continue to | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
spend because they are managing their family finances -- is | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
possibly. That might strike a chord with women because a lot of them | :18:10. | :18:14. | |
deal with family finances. Why is David Cameron not getting through | :18:14. | :18:22. | |
to women voters? I do think we can generalise. -- don't. There are | :18:22. | :18:26. | |
certain sections of Women voters who have fallen away from us. Some | :18:26. | :18:30. | |
of those are because unfortunately the cuts have hit women who work in | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
the public sector because traditionally more women work in | :18:33. | :18:35. | |
the public sector than men. Obviously people will be less | :18:35. | :18:38. | |
enamoured with a government they see responsible for them losing | :18:38. | :18:44. | |
their jobs. The policies are hitting women harder. In some | :18:44. | :18:50. | |
respects that is true and it is unfortunate. He cannot generalise - | :18:50. | :18:56. | |
- you cannot. David admitted, in terms of trying to attract them up. | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
It has been a great pain. Is it about the policies or is it about | :19:00. | :19:10. | |
:19:10. | :19:24. | ||
Do you think he needs to do more to attract the fairer sex? If we have | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
the right policies and they succeed, the people of Britain will support | :19:27. | :19:32. | |
the Conservatives. Having gimmicks, for whatever part of the community, | :19:32. | :19:37. | |
men, women, whatever, is not right. It is setting your course, sticking | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
to it, and getting the economy right. And that his policies. What | :19:41. | :19:48. | |
about as a leader? A personal appeal? I think he has great appeal. | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
To men and women. Is he showing the right leadership qualities? There | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
has been debate about the leadership needed now in terms of | :19:56. | :20:03. | |
the economy. He is a fantastic leader. He is a genuinely | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
empathetic Person. He gets on well with people and is honest and | :20:06. | :20:12. | |
forthright. I think he is superbly done. And the media have chosen | :20:12. | :20:14. | |
unfortunately to pick on two incidents in the chamber when at | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
the time we laughed about, men and women. The story the next day was | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
that if -- different to our understanding. And the choices we | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
have made as a party. In spite of the need to get small businesses | :20:26. | :20:30. | |
going again, to get the economy going again, to do as much as we | :20:30. | :20:37. | |
can to get regulation and red tape to enable tables to get going, we | :20:37. | :20:47. | |
:20:47. | :20:57. | ||
We are showing a balance of the economies. It is about families. | :20:57. | :21:04. | |
When we came on air, I told you that the Prime Minister's people | :21:04. | :21:10. | |
brief that the speech would tell us to pay of a credit card bills and I | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
suggested this created turmoil and that some finesse of redrafting of | :21:14. | :21:24. | |
:21:24. | :21:24. | ||
the speech was going on. I can tell you now, from Nick Robinson, his | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
aides are saying that what she wrote in the papers and heard and | :21:27. | :21:34. | |
the BBC this morning was actually due to "sloppy drafting". And the | :21:34. | :21:38. | |
briefing for the unfinished speech. Whereas in the original draft he | :21:38. | :21:42. | |
was going to tell us that means households, all of us, paying off | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
the credit card and store card bills, he will now have redrafted | :21:46. | :21:50. | |
to say, the only way out of the debt crisis is to deal with your | :21:50. | :21:55. | |
debts. That is why households and none of us are paying off the | :21:56. | :22:03. | |
credit card and store card bills. Already a change. It is hardly a | :22:03. | :22:08. | |
sign of competence he cannot get it right. It is a debt crisis. The | :22:08. | :22:12. | |
answer is not to stack up additional borrowing. And I think | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
the Prime Minister is right to say that we had a crisis in the economy | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
in this country and in other countries, precipitated by debt in | :22:19. | :22:25. | |
this country, not only government, that carried on borrowing and | :22:25. | :22:29. | |
failing to invest when it could have done. And also many households | :22:29. | :22:33. | |
at a cost to a level of debt that was unsustainable. If we have | :22:33. | :22:37. | |
recovery that is sustainable, it will have to be based, as the Prime | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
Minister and Chancellor of Exchequer have made clear, on | :22:39. | :22:46. | |
Investment. And exports. Unsustainable consumer spending -- | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
and sustainable consumer spending. You have said the only way out is | :22:50. | :22:56. | |
not to recover more debt. cannot escape for a debt crisis by | :22:56. | :23:00. | |
borrowing more. So why is the Government adding �500 billion to | :23:00. | :23:04. | |
our debt? Because we have a clear debt reduction plan. You don't | :23:04. | :23:10. | |
actually. We have a deficit reduction plan. Part of that means | :23:10. | :23:18. | |
you will add between now and 2015 �500 billion in debt. Which is far | :23:18. | :23:22. | |
less than the Labour Party were planning to do. And it takes us to | :23:23. | :23:30. | |
a place where the annual deficit, it is brought back into balance. | :23:30. | :23:34. | |
And that his watch... From the point of view of funding debt, you | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
have to be in a position where you are not adding to it from annual | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
deficits at a place that is unsustainable. You have told us you | :23:42. | :23:47. | |
cannot get out of a debt crisis by adding to our debts. That is what | :23:47. | :23:51. | |
you're telling individuals. You are part of a government that is adding | :23:51. | :24:00. | |
half a trillion pounds to our debt! both statements cannot be right. | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
inherited a situation which nothing meal out debt to balloon, but the | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
deficit to reach a place where literally we were borrowing more | :24:07. | :24:12. | |
for what did he than Greece. We have to come to a place, and | :24:12. | :24:16. | |
readmitted after the election, through the deficit reduction plan, | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
how we were going to take an unsustainable deficit on the | :24:19. | :24:24. | |
Government's finances to a point were the deficit has been | :24:24. | :24:34. | |
:24:34. | :25:08. | ||
If you have household debt, you should not max out on credit cards | :25:08. | :25:13. | |
butchered a stop you have to live within your means. When people's | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
pay is not keeping price with rising prices, when taxes are | :25:17. | :25:23. | |
rising, particularly in the middle income levels, where people are put | :25:23. | :25:29. | |
into the 40% tax brackets, you are taking obey their child benefit. | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
And you are lecturing them to pay off their credit card bills? I am | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
not lecturing them. All of us are in a position where we have to live | :25:37. | :25:43. | |
within our means. We'll have occasions when we borrow to invest. | :25:43. | :25:47. | |
We have mortgages. Nobody suggests that we shouldn't have borrowing | :25:47. | :25:53. | |
where it makes sense. The housing market is a great example. If you | :25:53. | :25:57. | |
get to a place where you are borrowing at levels that are | :25:57. | :26:00. | |
completely unsustainable and not related to the security in your | :26:00. | :26:06. | |
house, it cannot carry on. The same is true for stalked card debts and | :26:06. | :26:11. | |
credit cards. Is it part of the Government's economic policy, then, | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
that consumer debt should come down? It is the Government's policy | :26:16. | :26:22. | |
to ensure sustainable recovery. it part of the Government policy | :26:22. | :26:30. | |
that, as we'll get rid of this debt bubble, that consumer debts have to | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
be reduced? I don't believe the Government has any target for | :26:34. | :26:40. | |
consumer debt. He had been telling us to get rid of our credit card | :26:40. | :26:43. | |
debts. It is clear that whether it is a household or the country, we | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
cannot get out of the debt crisis by expanding our debt. The issue is, | :26:48. | :26:58. | |
:26:58. | :26:59. | ||
each of us, what we have to do is move to a more sustainable path. It | :26:59. | :27:08. | |
is that export and competitiveness. The Prime Minister will say this | :27:08. | :27:11. | |
afternoon the only way out of the debt crisis is to deal with your | :27:11. | :27:17. | |
debts. This is the new draft. That is why households are paying off | :27:17. | :27:24. | |
credit card bills. That is the Government policy. It is fact. | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
is all of your growth forecast assumes that consumer debt will | :27:28. | :27:35. | |
rise by �600 billion between now and 2015? The Treasury forecasts | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
are their estimation, their understanding of what they | :27:38. | :27:44. | |
anticipate will happen. The basis of your gross factors, your growth | :27:44. | :27:49. | |
projections, assumed consumer debt will rise by �600 billion, not �400 | :27:49. | :27:56. | |
billion? Do you know what you're doing? Absolutely. It is shifting | :27:56. | :28:01. | |
from an economic situation which is unsustainable because it is based | :28:01. | :28:04. | |
on rising government debt and rising household debt that was not | :28:04. | :28:09. | |
cake will have been repaid to a position where it is. There's | :28:09. | :28:13. | |
nothing wrong with people financing themselves through borrowing, but | :28:13. | :28:19. | |
if they do so on a sustainable basis. Are you aware that your | :28:19. | :28:24. | |
government's own projections show household debt rising in the next | :28:24. | :28:30. | |
three years? I remember the budget and other components of GDP for the | :28:30. | :28:37. | |
future, and there are estimates of what level of investment and | :28:37. | :28:41. | |
expenditure by consumers and government. Are you aware household | :28:41. | :28:47. | |
debt is projected to rise in order to meet your future growth | :28:47. | :28:53. | |
prospects? It is not to meet them. When you calculate what they | :28:53. | :28:59. | |
anticipate the level of GDP is, level of consumer credit is a | :28:59. | :29:04. | |
component of that. It is not we are targeting for consumers to borrow a | :29:04. | :29:10. | |
given level of money. It is about individuals, households, the | :29:10. | :29:13. | |
Government, moving from unsustainable debts as a basis for | :29:13. | :29:19. | |
economic recovery to one that is sustainable. You have baffled me. | :29:19. | :29:23. | |
Should consumer debt rise or fall? Individual consumer debt is a | :29:23. | :29:27. | |
matter for individual households. The Government's job is to make | :29:27. | :29:31. | |
sure but on behalf of the taxpayers and public we do not allow our | :29:31. | :29:33. | |
economy to the damage in the way Labour did by unsustainable | :29:33. | :29:42. | |
borrowing. I think we had better The Tories and their coalition | :29:42. | :29:46. | |
partners, the Lib Dems, happiness thick as thieves for over a year. | :29:46. | :29:56. | |
:29:56. | :29:56. | ||
He has benefited the most on the These are the last minutes of the | :29:56. | :30:03. | |
conference. Which party has benefit this funding in the coalition? -- | :30:03. | :30:09. | |
which parted has benefited the most from the coalition? It looks as | :30:09. | :30:15. | |
though neither of them. They got power for the first time. And if | :30:15. | :30:20. | |
they play it right, they can show they are a party that is worthy of | :30:20. | :30:26. | |
having power given to them. Is it to the detriment of you guys? | :30:26. | :30:36. | |
:30:36. | :30:45. | ||
I think we've, I shouldn't say get away with, a lot of our policies. | :30:45. | :30:51. | |
Why have you gone for that? Well, I think they've ruined quite a lot of | :30:51. | :30:57. | |
Tory policies. Such as? Well, I think that we'd be harsher on | :30:57. | :31:02. | |
Europe, for one thing and the economy as welt. You worked very | :31:02. | :31:06. | |
hard for many years to have a Conservative Government and | :31:06. | :31:09. | |
Conservative policies and the Liberal Democrats are, some of | :31:09. | :31:14. | |
their policies are quite ridiculous. Which party has done best out of | :31:14. | :31:20. | |
the coalition? Why would you say that? Because they have a very | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
small size of the vote and a very large slice of the influence and | :31:25. | :31:30. | |
it's not right. I have an admiration for them. Of course they | :31:30. | :31:35. | |
are wrong on almost everything. That's because they are Liberal | :31:35. | :31:39. | |
Democrats. There is a chaos theory answer to this.... No, we simply | :31:39. | :31:43. | |
cannot find out, I am afraid. We both have benefits but not nearly | :31:44. | :31:48. | |
as much as the country. The liberals didn't want it. They | :31:48. | :31:52. | |
are scared stiff of it. They don't know what to do with it. I think | :31:52. | :31:56. | |
the Liberal Democrats should be grateful to have the chance of | :31:56. | :32:03. | |
having some junior ministerial positions. Whoops! | :32:03. | :32:09. | |
Take two! The sooner we can ditch them, the better. How about you? | :32:09. | :32:15. | |
agree. Why do you say that? Because they | :32:15. | :32:18. | |
didn't have any profile previously. We have been propped up by the | :32:18. | :32:20. | |
Liberal Democrats who have done very well themselves. Without the | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
Liberal Democrats we would not have got anything. We have some of our | :32:25. | :32:35. | |
:32:35. | :32:40. | ||
manifesto put in. It is not ideal, We're doing a poll for The Daily | :32:40. | :32:44. | |
Politics.... No Andrew Mitchell for Well, the balls have been flying | :32:44. | :32:49. | |
thick and fast. Let's see where they have been flying to. After an | :32:50. | :32:54. | |
early start, where people were scathing about the Lib Dems, it | :32:54. | :33:04. | |
:33:04. | :33:05. | ||
seems now the Tories think they are getting the most benefit. | :33:05. | :33:11. | |
Have you had a lot of liberal people in? No Lib Dems here. Why | :33:11. | :33:16. | |
are you so surprised when you see that result? I have to say, the | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
liberal tail is wagging the Conservative dog. How these guys | :33:20. | :33:25. | |
who are in Government, with their red boxes and enjoying stuff | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
enormously, let's face it, hardly anyone voted for them. They must | :33:29. | :33:33. | |
have done better out of it than we have. The bags are empty. Look | :33:33. | :33:39. | |
where they have gone. The majority of Tory delegates think they are | :33:39. | :33:43. | |
getting the benefit. A fair few thought the Lib Dems were and they | :33:43. | :33:53. | |
:33:53. | :33:54. | ||
were very mean about them. A clear... He started to talk before | :33:54. | :34:04. | |
:34:04. | :34:04. | ||
I introduced him. Brian Binley, does it surprise you | :34:04. | :34:09. | |
to see that? I think the British people didn't want another election. | :34:09. | :34:13. | |
They certainly didn't want Gordon Brown. We have a lot of | :34:13. | :34:16. | |
Conservative policy on the move. There's a problem with some | :34:16. | :34:24. | |
activists who have a perception, not only through rhetoric, but | :34:24. | :34:29. | |
through activity that the tail wags the dog a little too much. We hear | :34:29. | :34:34. | |
a lot from MPs, Conservative MPs, in the House, and also from | :34:34. | :34:39. | |
activists here, who feel they have too much influence, bearing in mind | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
they are far fewer in number. you are in the House, you see a lot | :34:44. | :34:51. | |
of the rhetoric traded back and forth across the debating chamber. | :34:51. | :34:54. | |
Let's think about policies, specifically. We heard somebody | :34:54. | :35:01. | |
there saying "We would have been harsh on Europe, got rid of the 50p | :35:01. | :35:08. | |
tax rate." Do you think these have been real down-sides for the | :35:08. | :35:12. | |
Conservatives and coalition or not? I doubt we would have gained more | :35:12. | :35:17. | |
from powers from Europe. The problem has been the eurozone. That | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
will give us potentially an opportunity. Do you characterise | :35:20. | :35:24. | |
the coalition as a necessary evil or a positive collaboration? It has | :35:24. | :35:28. | |
been good for British politics and good for the nation generally. I | :35:28. | :35:34. | |
would disagree a little with Jesse. We would have been more robust on | :35:34. | :35:39. | |
Europe. How? I think the words we would have used. It would not have | :35:39. | :35:44. | |
been policy. You could not have brought back any powers? You only | :35:44. | :35:49. | |
have to see how some Conservatives voted, particularly on support for | :35:49. | :35:53. | |
the eurozone to know that, I think, we would have been less forthcoming | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
in that respect. George has put on a brave face. A lot of the | :35:57. | :36:01. | |
Conservative Party would have wanted us to have been less | :36:01. | :36:05. | |
forthcoming. The NHS Bill, that's been watered down somewhat because | :36:05. | :36:09. | |
of the liberal presence. I think that we would have had a boulder | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
Bill, which I think would have been more useful to the patients of this | :36:13. | :36:18. | |
country. Do you agree with that? would have had a boulder Bill on | :36:18. | :36:24. | |
the NHS. On the eurozone I don't think much would have changed. The | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
eurozone has continued to be worse. We are massively implicated even | :36:28. | :36:35. | |
though we have not signed 7 to more money over and -- that was of and | :36:35. | :36:39. | |
above pledged at the time. Are you hoping it will be a majority? | :36:39. | :36:41. | |
Conservative. I think we should have a Conservative Party leading | :36:41. | :36:44. | |
next time around. The Conservative Party is a National Party. What | :36:44. | :36:48. | |
we're seeing here is a decision by the delegates here to reflect the | :36:48. | :36:53. | |
nation's interest in the form of coalition. That's why they are | :36:53. | :36:56. | |
comfortable with coalition. One of the tensions reflected by Nick | :36:56. | :37:00. | |
Clegg's speech, he said, clearly, the Human Rights Act is here to | :37:00. | :37:09. | |
stay. Is it? No. Not in its present form. He says it is. You could have | :37:09. | :37:13. | |
worries and then look at repeal. Repeal has a lot of issues. We | :37:13. | :37:17. | |
would be bound by the.... Would you like to see it. Do you think Nick | :37:17. | :37:24. | |
Clegg is wrong? I'm one of the few people who think the Human Rights | :37:24. | :37:30. | |
Act is an impeccable piece of legislation. It was brought into | :37:30. | :37:35. | |
law by Winston Churchill. The Human Rights Convention was | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
brought into effect, not the act, which was brought into effect by | :37:39. | :37:44. | |
Tony Blair. As you know, Brian, they are identical word for word. | :37:44. | :37:48. | |
It's the same language. What about the British Bill of Rights. That | :37:48. | :37:52. | |
will not happen, will it? interesting thing will be how it | :37:52. | :37:55. | |
will be able to take the right tradition that the Conservatives | :37:55. | :38:00. | |
have supported of basic freedoms for human beings and through into a | :38:00. | :38:04. | |
new instrument. Take a badge before you go, please. I know you like all | :38:04. | :38:11. | |
of them, "Don't panic" "love the coalition." Who is your favourite | :38:11. | :38:17. | |
Liberal Democrats? I like Mark Hunter. I am not spoilt for choice. | :38:17. | :38:25. | |
I like Martin Horwood. He is my neighbour in Cheltenham. We will go | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
back to the conference floor where William Hague has been speaking. | :38:29. | :38:33. | |
are putting forward the real growth agenda, which is what Europe | :38:33. | :38:39. | |
desperately needs. It does not need any more institutions, costly | :38:39. | :38:43. | |
regulations, cumbersome directives or a single more bureaucrat. It | :38:43. | :38:49. | |
needs burdens on businesses, lifted the expansion of the single market | :38:49. | :38:56. | |
and a passionate belief in the benefits of trade. It is now | :38:56. | :39:01. | |
acknowledged that when we said that joining the euro would be a | :39:01. | :39:07. | |
disaster for Britain, we were right. When we said.... APPLAUSE | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
When we said that Labour should not have let us get sucked into the | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
eurozone bail outs, we were right. Now, thanks to David Cameron, | :39:15. | :39:21. | |
European bail outs for Greece will not call on the British taxpayer. | :39:21. | :39:27. | |
When we said... APPLAUSE When we said the costs of the EU | :39:27. | :39:31. | |
budget were out of control, we were right. Now, we have had | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
unprecedented success in bringing it under control. | :39:34. | :39:38. | |
When we said that no more areas of power should go to the EU, we were | :39:38. | :39:47. | |
right. Now, thanks to the European Union Act, 2011, bylaw, that cannot | :39:47. | :39:51. | |
happen without a referendum in this country. | :39:51. | :39:59. | |
APPLAUSE. And we are just as right that the European Union has more | :39:59. | :40:03. | |
power in our national life than it should have. | :40:03. | :40:07. | |
I belief as strongly as I ever have that when the right moments come | :40:08. | :40:10. | |
this party should set out to reduce that power. | :40:10. | :40:20. | |
:40:20. | :40:20. | ||
APPLAUSE 14 years ago I predicted the | :40:20. | :40:25. | |
eurozone would become a burning building with no exits. But because | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
the eurozone countries are our friends and neighbours, because our | :40:29. | :40:32. | |
prosperity and financial stability is tide to theirs, we must now | :40:32. | :40:37. | |
support them in their efforts to quench the flames. | :40:37. | :40:41. | |
That was William Hague. The foreign affairs theme continued on the | :40:41. | :40:44. | |
conference floor with a speech from the Defence Secretary, Liam Fox. | :40:44. | :40:49. | |
There are those in Europe who are calling for the EU to take a | :40:50. | :40:56. | |
greater role in Europe's security. Let me tell you, Europe already has | :40:56. | :41:00. | |
a guarantor of its defence. It's called NATO. | :41:00. | :41:05. | |
It is nonsense to duplicate and divert from NATO at a time when | :41:05. | :41:10. | |
resources are scarce. The last thing we need is more EU | :41:10. | :41:19. | |
bureaucracy. APPLAUSE | :41:19. | :41:24. | |
You know, many of those calling for deeper EU defence integration are | :41:24. | :41:29. | |
already failing to fulfil the commitments they have made to NATO. | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
My message to them is clear: You cannot expect to have the insurance | :41:34. | :41:39. | |
policy, but ask oh thisers to pay the premiums for u. | :41:39. | :41:46. | |
-- for you. APPLAUSE | :41:46. | :41:50. | |
NATO must maintain its primacy in European defence. NATO is the | :41:50. | :41:55. | |
alliance that keeps the United States in Europe and that is not a | :41:55. | :42:02. | |
luxury, it is a necessity. APPLAUSE | :42:02. | :42:07. | |
At a time when we are reducing the number of military headquarters in | :42:07. | :42:12. | |
NATO, where I shall be this afternoon, it is not the time to | :42:12. | :42:17. | |
start increasing them in the European Union. That is why William | :42:17. | :42:21. | |
Hague vetoed the long-term Euro- aspiration of creating a permanent | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
EU military headquarters. APPLAUSE | :42:25. | :42:29. | |
That was the Secretary of State for defence. He'd just had his 50th | :42:29. | :42:34. | |
birthday. Mrs Thatcher turned up. That is an achiefment. We don't do | :42:34. | :42:38. | |
titles on this programme. We have a man with one though, he is | :42:38. | :42:42. | |
International Development Secretary, he is Andrew Mitchell. Welcome back | :42:42. | :42:46. | |
to The Daily Politics. In charge of foreign aid,s we used to call it, | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
and you are increasing the budget, spending billions more. What's it | :42:50. | :42:54. | |
like to be at a Tory conference in charge of the least popular policy | :42:54. | :42:59. | |
of your party? Well, I think it's getting better understood and | :42:59. | :43:03. | |
increasingly popular. Some of the polling suggests that is the case. | :43:03. | :43:07. | |
I've had the chance to make a speech at the conference on Sunday, | :43:07. | :43:12. | |
where I set out the reasons for this, that even in these extremely | :43:12. | :43:16. | |
difficult economic times we have a plan that stands by commitments on | :43:16. | :43:20. | |
development. We do this because it's the right thing to do and very | :43:20. | :43:24. | |
much in our national interest. you accept that there could be | :43:24. | :43:27. | |
circumstances where you couldn't keep to that commitment? Well, it | :43:27. | :43:32. | |
is a commitment on the size of the national cake. It is not a fixed | :43:32. | :43:34. | |
figure. I think that is the right | :43:34. | :43:38. | |
commitment to make. We have set out very clearly, | :43:38. | :43:42. | |
George Osborne set it out earlier this year, very clearly what our | :43:42. | :43:46. | |
spending plans are. We have every intention of sticking to those | :43:46. | :43:49. | |
plans. If the economy goes into recession, which is now a | :43:49. | :43:52. | |
possibility, you don't have to blame the Government for that - | :43:52. | :43:57. | |
look at events abroad, if the eurozone goes into meltdown, | :43:57. | :44:01. | |
unemployment starts to soar, living standards collapse more. Will you | :44:01. | :44:06. | |
still continue with our commitment to spend billions on overseas aid? | :44:06. | :44:08. | |
We are clear that is the case because it is the right thing and | :44:09. | :44:12. | |
you see British support for that and the -- in the response across | :44:12. | :44:16. | |
Britain to the disaster, for example in the Horn of Africa at | :44:16. | :44:19. | |
the moment, where times are straightened than in the past, | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
people are more generous. It is part of the British character, I | :44:23. | :44:26. | |
think. It is also very important for our national security. This | :44:26. | :44:30. | |
budget goes to ensure that we are more secure. Our security does not | :44:30. | :44:35. | |
only gained by guns and bullets, but by training the police in | :44:35. | :44:38. | |
Afghanistan, building up Government structures in the Middle East, | :44:38. | :44:42. | |
getting girls into schools in the Horn of Africa. Those things, as | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
well as guns and bullets help protect our security. It is hard to | :44:46. | :44:51. | |
prove any of it. You boost about spending money in schools in | :44:51. | :44:56. | |
Pakistan. You spend a fraction of what the Saudis spend in Pakistan. | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
Those schools are different from the ones you are spending on. That | :44:59. | :45:05. | |
bit is true, isn't it? The ma dra is as. Which is what the Saudis pay | :45:05. | :45:10. | |
for. Some are doing extremely good work at teaching kids the basics of | :45:10. | :45:16. | |
life. A lot are Islamic fundamentalist hot beds. I have | :45:16. | :45:20. | |
seen evidence that some of them are doing good work at teaching | :45:20. | :45:25. | |
children to read, write and count well. What we're seeking to do is | :45:25. | :45:29. | |
get four million children into school over the next four years in | :45:29. | :45:34. | |
Pakistan. I cannot think anything more that would frustrate the | :45:34. | :45:42. | |
terrorists' aims than having a well educated population. The bombers on | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
9/11 were well educated? That is not the point. They are reacting to | :45:46. | :45:49. | |
some of the very extreme causes of poverty that they see in their own | :45:49. | :45:56. | |
country. What we know is doing development upstream in countries | :45:56. | :46:01. | |
like Somalia and Afghanistan is more effective at tackling the | :46:01. | :46:06. | |
causes of before they spread out, where you have to handle the | :46:06. | :46:16. | |
Do you accept that 70% of the people he would rather protect the | :46:16. | :46:24. | |
collapse in police numbers and finance your department's budget? | :46:24. | :46:27. | |
think the number of people in the Conservative Party who have | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
reservations about the development budget is falling all the time. The | :46:31. | :46:34. | |
reason is that we are getting across this Plaid about it being | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
the right thing to do and in our national interest. We have made our | :46:38. | :46:44. | |
plans which have secured international recognition and | :46:44. | :46:47. | |
respect, which is why we have German rates of interest, although | :46:47. | :46:51. | |
we have Greek levels of debt, and those plans include giving strong | :46:51. | :46:54. | |
support to the police, making sure the front line is preserved, and | :46:54. | :46:58. | |
making sure we have strong defence forces for this country. That was | :46:58. | :47:04. | |
the result of the SDR last year. And also standing by hour of | :47:04. | :47:07. | |
international commitments and not balancing out books on the poorest | :47:07. | :47:13. | |
people. You are tax in the country highly in order to finance things | :47:13. | :47:18. | |
like your department -- you're taxing. Living standards are being | :47:18. | :47:23. | |
squeezed as never before. Not as 1925 according to the Governor of | :47:23. | :47:28. | |
the Bank of England. And yet the Tories are urging hard-pressed | :47:28. | :47:33. | |
people to spend even more in your area, give more of their own money. | :47:33. | :47:40. | |
Why are you doing that? If there are the billions more out of their | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
tax when they are hurting, why do they then have to dig into their | :47:43. | :47:50. | |
pockets even deeper? If you have seen the broadcast, when we see it, | :47:50. | :47:58. | |
it is a very good use of a party political broadcast. The is a bunch | :47:58. | :48:03. | |
of rich people asking ordinary people to give money. Every which | :48:03. | :48:09. | |
are one has contributed. They can afford it. It is creative use of a | :48:09. | :48:14. | |
political broadcast. If you look at Comic Relief for the last two years, | :48:14. | :48:18. | |
although each year the economy has got more difficult, people have | :48:18. | :48:23. | |
been more generous. It is part of the British DNA. Should people, if | :48:23. | :48:27. | |
they have spare cash, should they use it to give money in the way you | :48:27. | :48:37. | |
:48:37. | :48:37. | ||
Apology for the loss of subtitles for 43 seconds | :48:37. | :49:21. | |
Of the future, that is the slogan. William Hague started it off last | :49:21. | :49:26. | |
year. Last year we had a tricky time with the actor must stop the | :49:26. | :49:30. | |
him sharing a bedroom with his special adviser. This year the | :49:30. | :49:39. | |
relationship is back on. And now we embark on a difficult task, to take | :49:39. | :49:47. | |
the country that Gordon Brown and all those who run the Labour Party | :49:47. | :49:53. | |
had their hands on for 13 years is to make it strong again. And that | :49:53. | :50:03. | |
:50:03. | :50:35. | ||
And there he with, rare footage showed him with a backbencher. | :50:35. | :50:45. | |
:50:45. | :50:52. | ||
You can see consistentsy. It will be welcomed by all those | :50:52. | :50:59. | |
people in the country. Downing Street talking to backbenchers is | :50:59. | :51:02. | |
not the only arm-bending that goes on at this conference. Look at | :51:02. | :51:07. | |
this! That's the sort of thing that the | :51:07. | :51:11. | |
Treasury does to statistics. Let's be honest, all politicians | :51:11. | :51:19. | |
treem of standing here, at -- dream of standing here, at the door of | :51:19. | :51:22. | |
Number Ten. The Mayor of London gave his routine speech, so routine | :51:22. | :51:27. | |
that parts were heated from last year. The delegates liked him and | :51:27. | :51:31. | |
he goes down very well. Is he really credible for this place? I'm | :51:31. | :51:37. | |
not convinced. We are insisting on homes that are | :51:37. | :51:41. | |
big enough for families with children and rooms big enough for | :51:41. | :51:47. | |
human beings, rather than hobbits. None of us, as you may have noticed, | :51:47. | :51:52. | |
none of us are getting any smaller. Boris lacks the seriousness of | :51:53. | :51:57. | |
George Osborne. The Chancellor gave a speech about deficit reduction. | :51:57. | :52:03. | |
It did have that pattern of gravity. His speech did not lift off. | :52:03. | :52:09. | |
The activists gairve him respebgtdable applause -- gave him | :52:09. | :52:18. | |
5th 4th May are in a debt crisis will stop you cannot borrow your | :52:18. | :52:22. | |
way out of debt. And so we reached the end, and I cannot say I am | :52:22. | :52:29. | |
sorry. There has been a decadence Quercus. We have not taken the | :52:29. | :52:32. | |
cameras into that bars. But the drinking has been sybaritic. The | :52:32. | :52:38. | |
lobbying by, if the voters and viewers of Britain knew what went | :52:38. | :52:44. | |
on at these events, they would be horrified! | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
We found three delegates. Don Valley Color of Pete Babri and | :52:48. | :52:55. | |
Theodora Clark. Where are the rule of delegates? The Tory grass roots? | :52:55. | :53:00. | |
Are you one of them? Yes I am for a stop I am not a researcher and I do | :53:00. | :53:05. | |
not work for an MP but I still has a parliamentary candidate last year. | :53:05. | :53:09. | |
There are some good financial reasons why a lot of people from | :53:09. | :53:13. | |
the grassroots level do not come first but it is quite expensive to | :53:13. | :53:17. | |
come to this conference, I feel for a star or so you agree that it is | :53:17. | :53:22. | |
not the same that it has been in previous years? Very much so. It | :53:22. | :53:26. | |
would be good if we could suggest that we have a single day passes. | :53:26. | :53:31. | |
Rather than having to come though the entire period. To me you agree? | :53:31. | :53:38. | |
Has it been hijacked by lobby and its? I wouldn't say so. I would say | :53:38. | :53:42. | |
I am so the cut Tory activist for a stop I think that is representative | :53:42. | :53:48. | |
of a whole lot of people who are here. It would you like to hear | :53:48. | :53:58. | |
:53:58. | :54:04. | ||
from the speech? It will be a He must also tell the economy and | :54:04. | :54:08. | |
show he is the right leader to work it out. Is it the right message, | :54:08. | :54:15. | |
asking people to pay off their bills? We do it? How many people | :54:15. | :54:21. | |
can genuinely pay-off their bills? You are still struggling, even | :54:21. | :54:27. | |
though interest rates alone. When I do not we come something -- why do | :54:27. | :54:33. | |
not come up with something inevitable? A had not have a credit | :54:33. | :54:38. | |
card before stuck -- I do not have. The importance of this is, and part | :54:39. | :54:42. | |
of conference is not just talking to activists, and giving a message | :54:42. | :54:49. | |
to the whole country. There is an important message in, reducing your | :54:49. | :54:57. | |
debt, in respecting the weight with the -- in respect of the way we | :54:57. | :55:07. | |
:55:07. | :55:11. | ||
We are joined to -- by our BBC political editor, Nick Robinson for | :55:11. | :55:16. | |
a stop there seems to be term there, Caersws, shambles, well over the | :55:16. | :55:25. | |
strutting -- there seems to the turmoil, chaos. The Prime Minister | :55:25. | :55:30. | |
and his aides have read and heard her players suggesting he wants | :55:30. | :55:38. | |
people to pay off their credit card. It implies he will stand up there | :55:38. | :55:47. | |
and say I cannot stop spending for a stop which would be catastrophic | :55:47. | :55:57. | |
:55:57. | :56:27. | ||
first stop what is being said is, Look, mistakes are made in | :56:27. | :56:29. | |
briefings and sometimes you say something and you realise that is | :56:29. | :56:34. | |
not going the way we thought it would be. We have to change course, | :56:34. | :56:38. | |
and that is what has happened here. The problem, I would suggest, for | :56:38. | :56:43. | |
them, is it is hard... I cannot remember covering a party | :56:43. | :56:50. | |
conference when the economic backdrop was grimmer, it is grimmer | :56:50. | :56:54. | |
than the Lehman Brothers' backdrop. You have to go back to 1968 to get | :56:54. | :56:59. | |
a grimmer one. Voters will be looking for a sense of competence | :56:59. | :57:07. | |
and they know what a're doing and saying. It is hard. He's walking a | :57:07. | :57:11. | |
tightrope. On one hand he wants - that is the message they wanted - | :57:11. | :57:16. | |
he wants a message of hope and optimism, saying this is what the | :57:16. | :57:21. | |
future could look like. He does not want to be accused of having | :57:21. | :57:25. | |
hopelessly in denial or unrealistic. That was the tightrope they were | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
focusing on staying on. He has fallen on something different, | :57:29. | :57:33. | |
which is to do with economic competence. I tell you why this has | :57:33. | :57:38. | |
happened, which is, and it happened before the last election - the | :57:38. | :57:41. | |
truth is, politicians have deliberately blurred the issue of | :57:42. | :57:46. | |
debt and the deficit. Andrew Lansley sitting in that | :57:46. | :57:50. | |
chair.... Why? When they do market research - people understand the | :57:51. | :57:55. | |
notion of debt and they fear it and don't like it. When the | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
Conservatives attacked Gordon Brown they always use the word "debt." He | :58:00. | :58:04. | |
would say "our debt is not particularly big." The argument was | :58:04. | :58:09. | |
about the deficit. In other words, the debt at which -- the rate at | :58:09. | :58:13. | |
which the debt is getting bigger. By using household parallels, which | :58:13. | :58:23. | |
:58:23. | :58:24. | ||
are not accurate.... Gets them into trouble. It is your birthday. This | :58:24. | :58:30. | |
will help you pay off the Nic Robinson credit card bill. Would | :58:30. | :58:36. | |
you like to open it? Have you seen this expensive wrapping paper? | :58:36. | :58:42. | |
Quick, we're running out of time. Thank you very much. A United scarf. | :58:42. | :58:47. | |
I was at Old Trafford on Saturday. 2-0 against Norwich. Very, very | :58:47. | :58:53. |