20/02/2012 Daily Politics


20/02/2012

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Good afternoon and welcome to the Daily Politics. Half term is over

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and it's back to work we go. The Prime Minister and his Health

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Secretary, Andrew Lansley, are heading to Downing Street. In an

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hour's time, they are hosting a health summit. So why haven't they

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invited the main doctors and nurses groups?

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What about British manufacturing? We have heard it's been on its

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uppers for so long you'd be forgiven for thinking there is

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hardly any of it left! But is it actually doing rather well?

:01:05.:01:08.

Should head-teachers allow kids to go off on holiday during term-time?

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At the moment they have got some discretion. But the government

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doesn't like the effect it has on overall attendance rates.

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And a new Sun rises over Wapping. But will Rupert Murdoch's new paper

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receive a warm welcome here at Westminster?

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All that in the next hour. With us this afternoon is Nikki

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King, managing director of Isuzu Trucks. Welcome. If you have any

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thoughts or comments on anything we are discussing, you can send them

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Let's start with Ed Balls and yesterday's call from Labour for

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big tax cuts in next month's Budget. We are imposing an austerity which

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is self-defeating. There is a big problem in growth in jobs. The

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government has borrowed 158 million more than they planned. George

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Osborne says there is nothing he can do. I say it is complacent and

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irresponsible and he should act. Let's debate how we can act. I have

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proposed a temporary VAT Act. The Lib Dems say raise personal

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allowance. David Davies says cut personal gains tax. We need

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stimulus to get jobs back. It is the only way to get the deficit

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down. Nikki King, do you agree? Is it time for tax cuts? Is a good

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time to raise the tax threshold at the bottom end? If this was wartime,

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the media and the opposition would be shot because there is a lot of

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good news. Why is it not coming through them? You said you have had

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a good deal and that business is booming for you but why is that not

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filtering through? The trucks industry is the first industry to

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go into recession and normally the first to start coming out because

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when the high street is quiet, nobody buys trucks any more. We are

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in the middle of February and we have done 60% of our sales target

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for the year already! Everybody I talked to is having a reasonably

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good time. Why is that not see it should be no national figures that

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show that growth is flat lining -- why is that not coming up in

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national figures? Why it is the economy not showing that those

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times? Retail was 0.9% up in January. There are signs of growth

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in the market. Why are we not celebrating that. There are green

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shoots of stock do you think -- green shoots. Do you think that you

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need to stimulate the economy, do you not think it would boost

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consumer demand? No, confidence will boost consumer demand.

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Confidence will boost businesses to grow and employed people. We need

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to know green shoots are coming, there is light at the end of the

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tunnel, and it is not coming out in the media. Would any tax cuts help

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your business? No. Sorry. Fair enough!

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David Cameron and Andrew Lansley are holding a summit today at

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Downing Street in a bid to get the Health and Social Care Bill off

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It's a select meeting. The chairs of the emerging GP-led

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commissioning groups have been invited. But organisations like the

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BMA and Royal College of Nursing won't be there. And critics say

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there is not much point having a health summit without the doctors

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and nurses. But groups like the BMA oppose the plans to give GPs and

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other clinicians more responsibility for spending the

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budget in England and increasing competition, saying the bill still

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presents unacceptable risks to the NHS.

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But are they too late? The 151 Primary Care Trusts, which are

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losing control of the NHS budget to GPs under the plans, have already

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been merged. And the ten Strategic Health Authorities, which

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effectively kept an eye on the system, have also joined forces to

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create four super-hubs. However, research published this morning by

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the London School of Economics suggests that forcing NHS hospitals

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to compete with one another can A little earlier this morning,

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before he headed off towards today's summit, the Health Minister

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Simon Burns explained why some groups have been invited and some

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have not. This is an ongoing series of meetings that the Prime Minister

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and the Department of Health have had across the last 20 months with

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interest groups, with people who work in the health service, and to

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have a meeting with those who are constructively taking part and

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helping to implement the modernisation programme.

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Norman Smith joins us now from Downing Street. Are we hearing

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there are not any plans to meet the groups that have not been invited

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today? Apparently nothing has been pencilled into the Prime Minister's

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diary in terms of possible meetings with those health groups that are

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critical in terms of reform. Number 10 seems to think these groups are

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by no means representative of all doctors and nurses and that their

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influence is perhaps exaggerated. Secondly, there is perhaps a view

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that the time for whether to go ahead with reviews his past. The

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aim now is to speak to the groups who will carry out the

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implementation of the reforms. It looks a bit like slamming the door

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in the bunker and waiting for the storm to pass but my sense is, the

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government hoped to convey the idea that a sizable number of health

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professionals do support the reforms and thereby get the public

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on board, because if we are honest, most people do not understand the

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nitty-gritty of all of the different health boards, clinical

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senatess, etc, and most people will probably form their views by seeing

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what they GP does and there are no stars, so the health professionals

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in that context are critical to winning the argument -- what then

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nurses do. The debate really just need to get this through in

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whatever form and moved on? reminds me of polar explorers

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heading south. They have gone so far that it doesn't matter how

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bleak the way ahead is, they have to press on. It is to late to go

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back and push Andrew Lansley down a crevasse. They have to soldier on

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with him. The light at the end of the tunnel for them is that they

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hope once the reforms are in place, by and large life will continue as

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normal, people will not notice the NHS having radically changed and

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people will forget. The danger is, if things do go wrong, if there are

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difficulties because perhaps of reduced funding, people will say,

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that is all because of government reforms. Although the hope is

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people with and it is OK, it is possible things will go wrong and

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they will blame it on these government reforms. Norman Smith,

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thank you. With us now is Dr Jacky Davis, a

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consultant radiologist, who is a founder member of Keep Our NHS

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Public. And the Conservative MP for Ipswich, Dr Dan Poulter, who still

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works as a medical practitioner from time to time. Will come to

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both of you. Do you know how many clinical commissioning groups are

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supposed to have replaced PC TVs and are up and running? -- PCTs.

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Three-quarters of the country will be putting doctors and health care

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professionals in charge of running the NHS, which is a good thing.

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There is good evidence from Cumbria that this works, that it improves

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patient care, and that is what these reforms are about. Do you

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think it was a cock-up? Not inviting the main groups that

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represent doctors, midwives and nurses? The people that engage with

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reforms... What about the BMA and Royal College of Nursing? The BMA

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opposed the formation of the NHS in the first place and every

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consecutive government... I am a member of the BMA. What about the

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PR aspect of having a health summit and not inviting health

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professionals? They were consulted over an 18 month period. Some of

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those groups have come out in outright opposition to the Health

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Bill, that is their right, but the vast majority of doctors, all the

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people engaged in these reforms and wanting to improve patient care and

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work with the government are represented today. You have heard

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the case there and also from Simon Burns. We are such a long way down

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the line. The process is almost complete in terms of commissioning

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groups being set up. It is time to go along with it, isn't it?

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argument that GPs have formed commissioning groups and therefore

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support the Health Bill is like saying that people going into a

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lifeboat is supporting a ship sinking. Most people did not have

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any choice. To interpret that as if they support it. And to argue that

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you are in a mess and to justify going further with that mess is

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nonsensical. This can be stopped. This can be reconfigured. It is

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important that it is stopped. To argue that we have to go on because

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we are in a mess is inappropriate. Do you think Bickleigh Nichols

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groups should be stopped or GP commissioning? -- do you think the

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clinical groups? A lot of GPs are already doing commissioning. I know

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GPs in Cumbria and they do that very well. The legislation has to

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be stopped because it does not do what it says on the 10th.

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Cumbria, GPs are running services and it is that model that the

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government wants to run out and that does not happen elsewhere in

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the country. We need to put the best people who could act in the

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best interest of the patients in charge of the service. That will

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free up �5 billion that is listed in bureaucracy. I think it is

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disingenuous to say the reforms are a mess. The principles... A be

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legislation is a mess. I am not sure people are saying all of the

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reforms are a mess but you must accept that there difficulty,

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because the government even cannot get people to agree to it -- there

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is difficulties. We need a service that puts money into patient care,

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that reduces bureaucracy, that have doctors and nurses running the

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services, and that we have a health service commission from the

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community and focuses on preventive health care, and the focus of

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funding is on delivering... Do you agree with the principles as they

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are being set out? Which the legislation aside. -- put the

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legislation as side. His Cumbria a good role model? This Bill does not

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do what it says it is going to do. This argument will put power in the

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hands of GPs. 90% of doctors are against this because they see their

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GPs are being set up to fail. 20 billion in cuts will be made. The

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other reason they are being set up to fail is that in London the

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commissioning process has already been handed over to private

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companies in London, for example to a company who has put in put into

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this Health Bill. GPs have not been consulted about this, bringing in

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private companies to support them doing commissioning and that

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support will constitute an awful lot of the commissioning process so

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the idea GPs will be doing this is simply wrong. The use of private

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companies in the NHS is actually under legislation by the previous

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Labour government that has allowed this to happen. We are in a

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situation where the Labour Party has accepted that private

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healthcare companies, where they can been added to improve patient

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care, actually can bring value to the NHS... Just one more point.

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What the real discussion, one minute you are saying Cumbria is a

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good thing, the next you say it is a bad thing, and it is

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fundamentally a good thing because doctors and nurses are the best

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people placed to actually understand the needs of their

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patients and the best people to provide quality patient care.

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are looking at this from the outside. Does it sound like it is

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something the government should be embarking on? As a Lehmanns, all I

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can say is procrastination is a dangerous thing -- Lehman. We all

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know the NHS has to change. Treatment is getting more expensive,

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we are living longer and something has to be done. Anything that makes

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it carers start to run the NHS is good. My experience of the NHS is

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that the worst thing is government interference and it has lost its

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humanity. Top-down. It is time we brought humanity down back into the

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NHS. Their two. I will have to leave it there. -- thank you.

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Relations between the West and Iran seem to be getting worse and worse.

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Last week President Ahmadinejad showed off the latest developments

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in Iran's nuclear programme, and yesterday the country's oil

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ministry announced it was stopping shipments to Britain and France

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ahead of new sanctions which were scheduled to come into force in

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July. But today in the Commons, MPs will discuss a motion calling for

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the government to rule out the use of force against Iran and reduce

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tensions by redoubling diplomatic Our correspondent is in the House

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of Commons, with two MPs who will be taking part in the debate.

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That's right. That debate kicks off in a few hours' time. I'm joined by

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two of the protagonists. First of all, John Baron, can I just ask you,

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can you give me an example of a time when sanctions without the

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threat of military force actually work? What we do know with regards

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to Iran is that the policy of the West, of sanctions and sabre-

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rattling, has clearly failed. These are yesterday's policies. Iran is

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not going to give up its nuclear programme, it is about time we

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accepted that. What my motion does is actually to say, let's take off

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the table the use of force, which everybody says would be a disaster,

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let's reduce tensions, bring us back from the brink of war, and

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redouble our diplomatic efforts. Military intervention should always

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be the last resort, and we have not reached all other avenues yet.

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your time as Defence Secretary, Bob Ainsworth, what is it that makes

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you believe that the threat of military action is even credible?

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agree with the overwhelming majority of what John Baron said,

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we really do need to avoid a military outcome to this crisis. It

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is how you do that. The naive notion that some kind of CND-minded

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approach, dealing with someone like Iran, actually helps, I think is

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exactly wrong. What is naive is pursuing a policy which is clearly

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failing. What women -- what we must do is to realise that we must

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better engage with Iran. We are keeping on the table the option of

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force, and this is illogical. We are pursuing a policy which

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everybody accepts would be a disaster, against a country that

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chooses to ignore it, and yet the policy Haydn's tensions and reduces

:18:13.:18:18.

the chances of a diplomatic, peaceful outcome. It is a complete

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nonsense. Isn't it really all about Israel, you want sanctions to be

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given time to work so that Israel does not act unilaterally, and you

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want them to know that Britain and America will actually support them,

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so they will not have to go it alone - is that fair? Well, I

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believe we should offer Iran implicit recognition of its

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regional superpower status, we should do what Nixon did in the

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1960s and 1970s, with China, and actually accept the might of China.

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We should accept that we created this regional superpower in Iran,

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through our misguided war in Iraq, which fundamentally altered the

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balance of power in the region. We need to accept that it is a

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regional superpower, offer this new relationship and try to reduce

:19:10.:19:14.

tensions that way, which, at the end of the day, would be in

:19:14.:19:18.

Israel's best interests. Ainsworth, do you accept that one

:19:18.:19:24.

day Iran will have nuclear weapons? An awful lot of people have tried

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to do exactly what John says, Jack Straw had real initiatives with

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Iran, Barack Obama has reached out the open hand. We are dealing with

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a religious dictatorship there. It is more worried about its own

:19:41.:19:45.

people than anything else, and it is behaving in very strange ways.

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They are not ready to assume the role that we all know they are

:19:49.:19:54.

capable of assuming, and we all want them to assume, which is as a

:19:54.:19:56.

very important part of the international community. But with

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the kind of regime they have got in place, they are never going to do

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that. This is a paranoid police state, with the panoply of

:20:05.:20:09.

religious Islam as a disguise to that basic fact. Thank you both

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very much indeed for that. As you can see, a very complex question,

:20:13.:20:18.

for which there would seem to be no easy answers, and no consensus in

:20:18.:20:21.

the House of Commons, for the moment. That debate taking place

:20:21.:20:24.

later this afternoon. Recent statistics about British

:20:25.:20:27.

manufacturing show that some parts have been hit by the recession, but

:20:27.:20:34.

other areas, such as car production, are growing well. Are government

:20:34.:20:38.

efforts to rebalance the economy towards manufacturing what

:20:38.:20:48.
:20:48.:20:51.

businesses actually need? We visited a company and Rochdale.

:20:51.:20:55.

There is an idea that British manufacturing is somehow in

:20:55.:21:00.

terminal decline, from world leader to life-support in 30 years. Like

:21:00.:21:04.

all legends, there is a spark of truth, some firms have gone to the

:21:04.:21:08.

wall, people have lost jobs, certain products we once made and

:21:08.:21:11.

sold to the world are now made to the rest of the world, and we buy.

:21:12.:21:16.

But it is not the whole story. Parts of UK manufacturing are very

:21:16.:21:20.

far from ready to lie down and expire. Granada Material Handling

:21:20.:21:24.

have been building lifting equipment for about 30 years, but

:21:24.:21:28.

whilst everyone was going through a recession, they branched out,

:21:28.:21:31.

taking something of a risk, into the niche market of making lifting

:21:31.:21:35.

equipment for offshore wind farms. And it seems that British

:21:35.:21:40.

manufacturing is not really dying, but those that are small, able to

:21:40.:21:45.

adapt, are the best equipped to survive. The figures tend to hide

:21:45.:21:50.

this evolution, but signs of improvement are there. According to

:21:50.:21:54.

the Office of National Statistics, manufacturing output fell by. Take

:21:54.:21:57.

coffee in the last quarter of last year, however, it bounced back in

:21:57.:22:07.
:22:07.:22:11.

December, increasing by a 1%. -- fell by 0.8% in the last quarter.

:22:11.:22:17.

The key to rebalancing the economy would seem to be exports. The worst

:22:17.:22:21.

part was October, November, when businesses really battened down the

:22:21.:22:25.

hatches, mainly because they were worried about the eurozone. Now,

:22:25.:22:30.

there are tentative signs that the storm cloud is moving away. Granada,

:22:30.:22:36.

and companies like them, are keen to explore new markets, design new

:22:36.:22:40.

products, and above all, feel positive. They are the best hope

:22:40.:22:46.

for UK manufacturing. Can the state help foster that? There's a lot of

:22:46.:22:50.

businesses out there which are looking to government to help them

:22:50.:22:54.

get over the hurdle of diversifying, getting into new industries. There

:22:55.:22:59.

is also an area of lethargy in British manufacturing - you have to

:22:59.:23:03.

get out there and, to a certain extent, do-it-yourself. There is

:23:03.:23:07.

plenty of work out there, you have just got to go and get it, it is

:23:07.:23:14.

out there. The question that should be rattling politicians is, is the

:23:14.:23:24.
:23:24.:23:25.

help they are actually offering what firms actually need? Is the

:23:25.:23:27.

government responding quickly enough in a rapidly changing

:23:27.:23:31.

economic landscape? So, is the Government doing the right thing

:23:31.:23:36.

for British business, to rebalance the economy? We are joined by the

:23:36.:23:42.

head of Isuzu Trucks UK, Nikki King, and we are also joined by a former

:23:42.:23:46.

science minister, from the last Labour government, Lord Drayson,

:23:46.:23:50.

who now runs his own company. How much help should the Government

:23:50.:23:55.

give to manufacturing? The state needs to recognise that

:23:55.:23:58.

manufacturing has to go a lot faster, to compensate for the

:23:58.:24:02.

shrinking public sector, and the shrinking financial sector. We

:24:02.:24:06.

already have a strong manufacturing sector, but it needs to do even

:24:06.:24:10.

better. Should it be doing so more on its own, that's the point? Does

:24:10.:24:13.

it come back to the question about picking winners, which has always

:24:13.:24:18.

been dangerous, for the Government, to say, we're going to invest in

:24:18.:24:22.

this car manufacturer, it is going to create such and such a number of

:24:22.:24:26.

jobs. No government should pick winners, but the Government should

:24:26.:24:30.

be identifying, what other things which are stopping growth, and what

:24:30.:24:34.

can government do to remove those? One of the most important right now

:24:34.:24:40.

is the need for investment. We have an opportunity to capitalise on the

:24:40.:24:43.

strong growth which we are seeing in certain sectors, but it is being

:24:43.:24:51.

held back by a lack of finance. That finance is needed to invest in

:24:51.:25:01.

reedack, to invest in plants, which the companies need. The banks are

:25:01.:25:04.

not providing enough financed a manufacturing business. This needs

:25:04.:25:14.
:25:14.:25:14.

to be addressed quite urgently. Do you agree with that, that the

:25:14.:25:17.

investment should come in some form or another from the government, if

:25:17.:25:22.

the banks are not going to provide it? Yes, absolutely, I think the

:25:22.:25:26.

government ought to be offering guarantees at least to businesses.

:25:26.:25:32.

It is a big issue not just in manufacturing, but overall call for

:25:32.:25:36.

-- but overall. It is a fact of life that the banks are not lending

:25:36.:25:43.

money. But how do you pick those businesses? It is such a dangerous

:25:43.:25:53.
:25:53.:25:53.

game, isn't it, for governments? think we should have a balanced

:25:53.:25:58.

economy, we should be helping everybody. There's strong signs of

:25:58.:26:01.

lots of people starting small businesses, it is an overall

:26:01.:26:08.

situation, but the Government has to grasp. But should we go for the

:26:08.:26:11.

export-led recovery? Absolutely, we know where the growth opportunities

:26:11.:26:15.

are, we know that countries like Brazil and China are growing fast,

:26:15.:26:19.

and we have a good idea of what those countries want, so we can

:26:19.:26:23.

look at the sectors which the UK has real competitive advantage in,

:26:23.:26:27.

and say, if we invest in those sectors, provide the investment

:26:27.:26:32.

that is needed, those sectors can win for us. I agree with the

:26:32.:26:36.

principle, but having dealt for many years with the country 6,000

:26:36.:26:41.

miles away, I know that to grow businesses overseas takes a long

:26:41.:26:45.

time. It is a long-term strategy. You do not just suddenly get up one

:26:45.:26:49.

morning and say, I'm going to sell to Brazil. You have to develop

:26:49.:26:54.

links, partnerships, trust, all of these things. It takes a bit longer

:26:54.:26:59.

than just having a weak pound for a while. But the Government can also

:26:59.:27:04.

do things in small ways, which make a big difference. In my sector,

:27:04.:27:08.

high-performance engineering, motor sport, the UK leads the world, but

:27:08.:27:12.

we have a real shortage in skilled engineers, particularly systems

:27:12.:27:17.

engineers. Where do you get them from? So, we need more people

:27:17.:27:20.

studying these subjects at university. Frankly, the

:27:20.:27:23.

universities need to be directed by the Government to put on the

:27:23.:27:26.

courses that industry needs. We have this tragedy of youth

:27:26.:27:30.

unemployment at the moment. I graduated during a recession in the

:27:30.:27:34.

1980s, I know what it is like. I was lucky enough to study advanced

:27:34.:27:38.

manufacturing, and I have had a successful career. We do not train

:27:38.:27:41.

enough people in Advanced Manufacturing Technologies, and not

:27:41.:27:44.

enough young people know that there are really good job opportunities

:27:44.:27:48.

for them in these areas. But it comes back to the issue of

:27:48.:27:56.

investment, doesn't it? Yes, and again, it is long-term investment.

:27:56.:28:00.

So, is it still the key to the recovery? It is not necessarily

:28:00.:28:03.

about spending more money, it is sometimes about shifting resources

:28:03.:28:07.

from one area to another. For example, that could mean

:28:07.:28:11.

identifying those courses, in pharmaceuticals, another great

:28:11.:28:15.

success story for UK manufacturing, there is a shortage of

:28:15.:28:19.

pharmacologists. So, universities need to train more, there are jobs

:28:19.:28:26.

for those people. Thank you both very much. So, we're back from

:28:26.:28:29.

recess, and we have got a packed week ahead. In a moment I will be

:28:29.:28:33.

joined by two of the brightest and best from Fleet Street. First, we

:28:33.:28:37.

can take a look at what we can expect this week. European finance

:28:37.:28:42.

ministers are meeting today to discuss the bail-out Greece needs

:28:42.:28:48.

to stave off bankruptcy. Some have doubted whether the deal will be

:28:48.:28:52.

enough to keep the country in the euro. On Wednesday, Labour are

:28:52.:28:57.

holding an opposition day debate on the NHS reforms. The debate will

:28:57.:29:07.
:29:07.:29:09.

centre on the publication of the NHS Risk Register & Report. And

:29:09.:29:13.

following the news that News International will be publishing a

:29:13.:29:19.

Sun on Sunday, we have found out that it will be published this

:29:19.:29:29.
:29:29.:29:32.

Sunday. I think you can just see the sun over their shoulder. Let's

:29:32.:29:36.

get a little response to the news, first of all, from Craig Woodhouse.

:29:36.:29:40.

The timing is interesting, for the launch of this new newspaper?

:29:40.:29:46.

it was only Friday when Rupert Murdoch said there would be a Sun

:29:46.:29:49.

on Sunday very soon, I don't think anybody thought that would mean a

:29:49.:29:53.

week on Sunday. But it has certainly centre bars around Fleet

:29:53.:29:57.

Street, at a time when we're feeling battered and bruised. -- it

:29:57.:30:04.

has certainly sent a buzz around Fleet Street. I have to say, I

:30:04.:30:09.

thought it was a bit cheeky on the part of Rupert Murdoch, just when

:30:09.:30:12.

some senior journalists are being investigated by the police, he

:30:12.:30:16.

comes in and announces, Right, far from hiding away, we're going to

:30:16.:30:20.

come up with something special, which we were not expecting. You

:30:20.:30:24.

have to hand it to him, amazing. is not holding back. Let's talk

:30:24.:30:31.

about the health reforms. You have written today, Jackie Ashley, that

:30:31.:30:34.

the bill is no longer really functioning, because it has had the

:30:34.:30:39.

guts ripped out of it. But we have heard that there are more than 200

:30:39.:30:42.

new commissioning groups in England, these reforms are happening anyway,

:30:42.:30:48.

aren't they? They are, but I would argue it is not too late to stop it.

:30:48.:30:52.

There is a sense of, we have made a mess of it, but we're going to

:30:52.:30:56.

carry on and make a worse mess of it. That is a great pity, I think.

:30:56.:31:03.

There are too many doctors, and lots of other people, who should be

:31:03.:31:08.

coming to this summit today, one not. If it is going to work, you

:31:08.:31:10.

have to carry the medical profession with you. That's not to

:31:10.:31:14.

mention the patients, who do not seem to have a voice in this.

:31:14.:31:24.
:31:24.:31:25.

They spent so long in opposition trying to convince people that the

:31:25.:31:30.

NHS would be safe in Tory hands and Labour have quite rightly jumped on

:31:30.:31:35.

this and every day with a negative headline is another day the voters

:31:35.:31:39.

will think, can we trust the Tories with the NHS? That could be fatal

:31:39.:31:44.

for the next election. Labour think they're on top of this issue and

:31:44.:31:49.

gaining ground but there are problems from the Liberal Democrats

:31:49.:31:55.

still. Simon Hughes effectively said that Andrew Lansley should go

:31:55.:31:59.

and the Lib Dems have their conference coming up where there

:31:59.:32:05.

will be calls to vote against part of the bill. Last year's Liberal

:32:05.:32:08.

Democrats' spring conference was dominated by this issue, it would

:32:08.:32:12.

surely Williams leading the charge, and I think we will get even more

:32:12.:32:19.

on this issue, but it seems to beat the All wrong way round to

:32:19.:32:26.

reshuffle Andrew Lansley after the Bill has been passed. Andrew

:32:26.:32:30.

Lansley should be reshuffled right now and somebody else can at least

:32:30.:32:33.

explain it better and except some of the amendments passed in the

:32:33.:32:39.

Lords and make this Bill a lot better. Moving on to their health

:32:39.:32:45.

of Ed Miliband's leadership. This seems to be Ed Balls's pre-Budget

:32:45.:32:54.

salvo on tax cuts. Economics aside, is this a clever wheeze in terms of

:32:54.:32:58.

trying to allow himself to the Tory Right and Lib Dems of raising the

:32:58.:33:03.

tax threshold at the same time? thought Ed Balls's intervention was

:33:03.:33:08.

fascinating. A lot of what he has already been saying he freshened up,

:33:08.:33:13.

and then allied with the Lib Dem call for the �10,000 income tax

:33:13.:33:18.

threshold. The question is, with people see him already have such a

:33:18.:33:22.

political animal and say, this is Ed Balls using politics but would

:33:22.:33:27.

it be good for the economy? What do you think? With heat and George

:33:27.:33:33.

Osborne to go for these tax cuts -- will he tempt George Osborne?

:33:33.:33:36.

will be difficult for George Osborne to do nothing because the

:33:36.:33:41.

argument everybody has put to him is without tax cuts, there will be

:33:41.:33:47.

no growth. Growth is the big worry. The Tory Right are calling for the

:33:47.:33:51.

50 pence tax rate to come down well made that and the Lib Dems are

:33:51.:33:54.

calling for more help from the bottom but I would be surprised if

:33:54.:34:00.

he did not do something. Thank you. Joining us for the next half hour

:34:00.:34:03.

or so to look forward to the political week is our panel of MPs,

:34:03.:34:06.

the Liberal Democrat, John Pugh. Labour's Theresa Pearce and the

:34:06.:34:14.

Conservative, Gavin Barwell. Welcome. On this call for early tax

:34:14.:34:20.

cuts, what do you think? The Tory party have always called for tax

:34:20.:34:27.

cuts. Unfunded tax cuts are not the right way to go. If we were to put

:34:27.:34:31.

Borodin up even further, that could have serious consequences for

:34:31.:34:36.

interest rates but I think there is a case if we can find a way of

:34:36.:34:42.

making changes to the tax system or other savings or a tax cut to help

:34:42.:34:47.

the economy and personally, my opinion is the priority should be

:34:47.:34:55.

those in work on middle and low incomes. Which bit of good balls's

:34:55.:35:01.

proposals -- Ed Balls? Would you target it directly? The coalition

:35:01.:35:07.

agreement has a clear commitment... Not now. The problem is Ed Balls is

:35:07.:35:11.

making these suggestions were that any idea of how they will be paid

:35:11.:35:19.

for. -- without any idea. Yes, tax cuts are not desirable if you have

:35:19.:35:25.

to borrow more. Labour's five point plan has been set out a number of

:35:25.:35:32.

times. We should be looking at VAT and collecting tax that is due.

:35:32.:35:36.

Rangers Football Club 040 it million pounds in tax. That is what

:35:36.:35:43.

we should be doing -- �48 million. Would you be happy to increase

:35:43.:35:47.

borrowing in order to have tax cuts? No, I don't think we should

:35:48.:35:52.

be increasing borrowing. You have a Labour MP who does not think there

:35:52.:35:56.

should be increased borrowing. Where would you make the cut

:35:56.:36:00.

squares that the Chancellor would have to look at how to arrange

:36:00.:36:05.

things. Whether there are changes to make him the tax system to make

:36:05.:36:10.

it their wrath. I want to see people on low to middle income has

:36:10.:36:15.

given a helping hand -- make it Sarah. We don't know if George

:36:15.:36:20.

Osborne has the head room to make any of these changes. It is

:36:20.:36:24.

certainly highly desirable that he does because it will boost consumer

:36:24.:36:28.

demand. Because you think all austerity measures have gone too

:36:28.:36:33.

far? Economics is an art and George Osborne is good at that. He needs

:36:33.:36:38.

to make the relevant adjustments in the right way. We don't need to be

:36:38.:36:44.

too bothered about loss of face, we need to get it right. But you agree

:36:44.:36:49.

with Nick Clegg that raising threshold now...? That is crucial.

:36:49.:36:53.

It is the one lever you can push which will have a definite effect

:36:53.:36:57.

on demand and will feed through into growth. What about mansion

:36:57.:37:04.

tax? I think we should look at that. The research on that is very poor.

:37:04.:37:10.

I think it would be highly desirable, to. Let's move to Greece.

:37:10.:37:13.

Eurozone finance ministers are meeting today and the big question

:37:13.:37:16.

is whether or not to authorise a second bailout for Greece worth 130

:37:16.:37:23.

billion euros. The deal follows months of wrangling, with the Greek

:37:23.:37:25.

parliament agreeing to ever tougher austerity measures and private

:37:25.:37:28.

holders of Greek debt effectively being forced to accept a 70% write-

:37:28.:37:32.

down. On the Sunday Politics yesterday, the Greek Minister for

:37:32.:37:34.

International Economic Relations, Constantine Papadopoulos, told

:37:34.:37:36.

Andrew Neil that Greece was committed to achieving its debt

:37:36.:37:40.

targets but it involved making major sacrifices. It has come to

:37:40.:37:49.

the crunch and don't underestimate what we did under the first

:37:49.:37:52.

memorandum. A lot of things were done but a lot more needs to be

:37:52.:37:58.

done. There is so much to do, it would be unrealistic to expect

:37:58.:38:04.

things to happen in a matter of two years. If it wasn't for the

:38:04.:38:09.

pressure from the financial markets, what we are aiming for would

:38:09.:38:15.

normally take something like five or ten years. That is how ambitious

:38:15.:38:19.

the programme Mears. But we are forced to do it in a much shorter

:38:19.:38:26.

space of time. The pain on the Greek economy. Do you trust the

:38:26.:38:31.

Greeks to make these reforms? sceptical about happy endings. I

:38:31.:38:35.

think it is quite likely that Greece will drop out of the

:38:35.:38:40.

eurozone and there needs to be a mechanism for doing that without

:38:40.:38:44.

damaging the other members. Greece is a drama between austerity and

:38:44.:38:50.

democracy. Austerity being demanded by the world and the people not

:38:50.:38:54.

have the with what they need to do. Because they don't think they will

:38:54.:38:59.

ever be competitive again? Because they are in between a rock and hard

:38:59.:39:05.

place. Should they stay or go? is a really difficult question and

:39:05.:39:10.

it needs to be a problem for the whole of the eurozone. There needs

:39:10.:39:15.

to be collective responsibility. I don't think the Germans are playing

:39:15.:39:20.

a long as they should do. My concern, it is like a giant game of

:39:20.:39:25.

gender. You pull one bit out and everything falls down. The eurozone

:39:25.:39:30.

is totally important to the UK recovery so it is something we need

:39:30.:39:35.

to look at carefully. It is a single currency. We have collective

:39:35.:39:40.

responsibility. It sounds like you would rather Greece stays in the

:39:40.:39:45.

eurozone. I don't think there is a simple answer, that is the problem.

:39:45.:39:50.

The least worst option is what we are looking at now. Is it in terms

:39:50.:39:57.

of Britain? George Osborne has made a lot of the fact that our fortunes

:39:57.:40:01.

have been as a result of what has gone on in the eurozone? Labour

:40:01.:40:06.

disagrees with that to some extent. Would it make a big difference if

:40:06.:40:11.

Greece went? The best option for the UK is a resolution.

:40:11.:40:17.

resolution is the bail-out. seems to me that the other members

:40:17.:40:20.

of the eurozone have dragged their feet about whether they are willing

:40:20.:40:26.

to provide the money because they are not convinced about the Greek's

:40:26.:40:30.

government's ability to repay. I was not in favour of Britain

:40:30.:40:34.

joining the single currency. I think the there is a problem with

:40:34.:40:40.

people having different interest rates with the same currency but it

:40:40.:40:46.

has to stop dragging on. There are elections coming up in April and

:40:46.:40:50.

that is the problem. Are you happy that Britain has contributed to the

:40:50.:40:56.

bail-out? We don't know that yet. The IMF is there to help countries,

:40:57.:41:02.

not the currency. But there is a grey area. Are you in principle

:41:02.:41:07.

happy with that? I think it is right for the IMF to help countries

:41:07.:41:12.

that are in need of assistance. The first responsibility has to be with

:41:12.:41:22.
:41:22.:41:24.

the eurozone, the he's ECB, I think -- and the ECB. You are looking at

:41:24.:41:28.

potentially a 20% fall in living standards for degrees, twice what

:41:28.:41:34.

this country went through in the Great Depression -- in Greece. I

:41:34.:41:39.

think Parliament will want to look at... This is politically

:41:39.:41:44.

unbelievable in the UK context. Ruling out joining the euro ever?

:41:44.:41:49.

don't think it is on the distant horizon at the moment. I think that

:41:49.:41:54.

eurozone needs to spend a fair amount of time sorting itself out.

:41:54.:41:59.

The ground rules are not there. Or working effectively. Time to move

:41:59.:42:03.

Now according to at least one newspaper this weekend, the

:42:03.:42:06.

Education Secretary Michael Gove is planning to ban parents in England

:42:06.:42:09.

from taking their children out of school during term time to go on

:42:09.:42:13.

holiday. At the moment, head- teachers have some discretion in

:42:13.:42:17.

this area and often let families sneak off for a couple of weeks.

:42:17.:42:20.

But ministers don't like the effect this all has on overall attendance

:42:20.:42:22.

rates. Russell Hobby, General Secretary of the National

:42:22.:42:26.

Association of Head Teachers, joins us now from Brighton. What do you

:42:26.:42:31.

think of the idea from Michael Gove? Although I sympathise with

:42:31.:42:35.

people in a holiday crisis, education is more precious so I do

:42:35.:42:40.

think we need to do something serious to limit term-time holidays.

:42:40.:42:45.

A child has about 10 days a year off sick leave. If they take

:42:45.:42:49.

another 10 days off on holiday they have lost another 10 days of

:42:49.:42:53.

education and that is very hard to get back. Should it be that Dick

:42:53.:42:57.

tapped? Should it be up to head teachers themselves to make that

:42:57.:43:01.

decision was map we need to be very clear that it is not acceptable and

:43:01.:43:08.

I think it is a social issue rather than the choice of head teachers.

:43:08.:43:14.

There are what occasions where for important reasons, such as service

:43:14.:43:19.

personnel coming back, where you might want to grant that but there

:43:19.:43:22.

needs to be a general realisation that you take holidays in the

:43:22.:43:27.

holiday period. Parents would argue that we know that costs rocket in

:43:27.:43:31.

the school holidays and it seems to be extremely unfair and you may be

:43:31.:43:35.

talking about depriving some families off a break of any sort

:43:35.:43:39.

for the sake of a few days. Does it really have that much impact on

:43:40.:43:46.

their learning? Not two days but when it becomes a persistent habit

:43:46.:43:48.

and there of families that persistently take their holidays

:43:48.:43:53.

during term-time, including skiing trips and that sort of thing. Then

:43:53.:43:59.

I think we need to stop that. you not think it is ironic when the

:43:59.:44:04.

government is advocating free schools, free to put forward their

:44:04.:44:08.

own curriculum, so shouldn't they be free to decide whether they

:44:08.:44:14.

allow children to go on holiday in term time? They should be free to

:44:14.:44:17.

decide when their holiday periods should be and there is a lot to be

:44:17.:44:22.

done in terms of looking at the structure of our holidays. It's

:44:22.:44:26.

different areas had holidays at different times, that would even it

:44:26.:44:31.

out. If we had more holidays for shorter durations, that would take

:44:31.:44:34.

the pressure off the summer holiday, and I think that is what we should

:44:34.:44:41.

do. Russell Hobby, stay with us. That is interesting. Is it time to

:44:41.:44:45.

shake up the system and say, let's have holidays at different times?

:44:46.:44:51.

Parents want holidays at predictable times. I used to be a

:44:51.:44:54.

teacher and head teachers put downward pressure on parents who

:44:54.:44:58.

want to take holidays when the schools do not want them to. This

:44:58.:45:04.

has happened for a long time. But there are extenuating circumstances

:45:04.:45:10.

and there is the schizophrenia in Michael's attitude. At one stage he

:45:10.:45:14.

says head teachers need discretion, and then he is ending discretion in

:45:14.:45:19.

a sense. That seems wholly inconsistent. You can't just into

:45:19.:45:25.

be when you want to. That is the point. We have to see the detail.

:45:25.:45:35.
:45:35.:45:39.

There is an inconsistency here, isn't there? As Russell said, there

:45:39.:45:43.

is a problem with some families persistently taking children out of

:45:43.:45:47.

school. I imagine the Secretary of State is trying to send a clear

:45:47.:45:50.

message that it is not acceptable. We have already got the clear

:45:50.:45:55.

message, it has been around for generations. The effect on

:45:55.:45:59.

education is marginal, to be absolutely frank. The discretion of

:45:59.:46:04.

Head Teachers is an important aspect of the education system.

:46:04.:46:09.

am a parent, so I have sympathy, in terms of the cost of holidays. Just

:46:09.:46:13.

a couple of days is marginal, but you will know, if you look at the

:46:13.:46:17.

figures, within a families, there are some families for whom it is

:46:17.:46:22.

much more than a couple of days. you agree with the idea of a ban?

:46:22.:46:25.

No, I think it should be up to individual schools and head

:46:25.:46:31.

teachers. Although educationally it may not have a huge effect, I think

:46:31.:46:34.

it has a subliminal effect on children, about respecting the

:46:34.:46:37.

rules of the school. I think it is important for them to learn to

:46:37.:46:45.

respect teachers. This is why head teachers in general are very severe

:46:45.:46:51.

on this. But they do allow it, don't they? Well, they have to, in

:46:51.:46:55.

certain circumstances. I do not know how much effect it might have

:46:55.:47:02.

on lessons, on making sure that everybody is keeping up... If there

:47:02.:47:06.

were an absolute ban, do we expect that the attendance officer will be

:47:06.:47:10.

going round to people's houses? I don't think these things have been

:47:10.:47:16.

thought through. Do you think he should drop the idea? I want to see

:47:16.:47:21.

the detail first, but I think we are not talking about a ban, we're

:47:21.:47:29.

talking about headteachers... I think we are. Well, my

:47:30.:47:33.

understanding was that it would actually be unauthorised absence.

:47:33.:47:39.

Well, that is a ban, effectively. think there is an issue in terms of

:47:39.:47:43.

pupil attendance at schools, so I think Secretary of State is right

:47:43.:47:50.

to look at the issue. What about this issue of changing the holidays,

:47:50.:47:54.

this idea that we have so many weeks over the summer, is that

:47:54.:48:00.

practical, should the holidays be rearranged? I think if holidays

:48:00.:48:07.

were shorter, more spread out, it would be better, but what I would

:48:07.:48:10.

not want to see is different schools having different holiday

:48:10.:48:14.

periods, because some families have children at different schools, and

:48:14.:48:19.

that would be a nightmare. Yes, would it not be very difficult to

:48:19.:48:22.

administrate that idea of having a whole range of holidays, it would

:48:23.:48:28.

have to be consistent across the country, wouldn't it? It would have

:48:28.:48:31.

to become law within a local authority area. That would be the

:48:31.:48:35.

main thing, particularly if you have got one child at primary, and

:48:35.:48:40.

another at secondary. Beyond that, there is room for some variation

:48:40.:48:44.

across the country, I think. Members of parliament have just had

:48:45.:48:48.

a recess which is timed to fit in with the school holidays, for those

:48:48.:48:58.
:48:58.:48:59.

who have got children. So, the News Of The World is dead, long live the

:48:59.:49:04.

Sun on Sunday. But with police investigations and golfing the

:49:04.:49:10.

operations of the newspaper, can the new publication restore

:49:10.:49:13.

fortunes and reputations? Alastair Campbell, Tony Blair's former

:49:14.:49:17.

Director of Communications, thinks the new Sun on Sunday might

:49:17.:49:21.

struggle. I think it is fair to make the case that the closure of

:49:21.:49:31.

the News Of The World came at a moment of panic. I don't know the

:49:31.:49:34.

extent to which the proper preparation for the launch of a new

:49:34.:49:39.

Sunday title has been done. If it has been put together in a rush,

:49:39.:49:44.

then I suspect it will not be a success. In any event, they cannot

:49:44.:49:49.

assume that the daily Sun readers will automatically by the paper on

:49:49.:49:52.

a Sunday, and nor can they assume that former News of the World

:49:52.:50:02.
:50:02.:50:05.

readers will automatically buy this one. I am joined now by the

:50:05.:50:15.
:50:15.:50:15.

spokesman for the Hacked Off campaign. I think the question is

:50:15.:50:19.

not whether there is another Sunday paper, good luck to any new entrant

:50:19.:50:24.

into the Sunday market, it is a free market, and Mr Murdoch is

:50:24.:50:27.

entitled to publish a paper in this country, the question is whether

:50:27.:50:33.

the standards will be improved, whether or not News International,

:50:33.:50:37.

and the Sun in particular, has understood what is acceptable and

:50:37.:50:41.

what is not. It is not clear that that's the case, judging from

:50:41.:50:46.

recent events. Saying that, we have had all the revelations, it has

:50:46.:50:51.

been extremely expensive and embarrassing, the News Of The World

:50:51.:50:54.

closed, we have got the Leveson Inquiry - do you not have the faith

:50:55.:50:59.

that they will have learnt lessons from it? I'm fairly confident that

:50:59.:51:04.

they will not hack phones, but there is more to it than that. News

:51:04.:51:09.

International titles, not just the News of the World, were mentioned

:51:09.:51:14.

in the evidence of industrial scale data mining by many of the national

:51:14.:51:19.

newspapers, which was uncovered around 2002. News International, in

:51:19.:51:24.

their evidence to the Leveson Inquiry, have not accepted what the

:51:24.:51:28.

Information Commissioner says, that that was unlawful activity, the

:51:28.:51:31.

procuring of that information - mobile phone numbers, friends and

:51:31.:51:36.

family numbers, accessing vehicle registration numbers at the DVLA -

:51:36.:51:42.

they have not accepted that it was unlawful. So it is not clear that

:51:42.:51:45.

News International have yet understood the difference between

:51:45.:51:48.

lawful and ethical conduct as journalists and unlawful or

:51:48.:51:54.

unethical conduct. And it is the same with the police inquiry.

:51:54.:51:58.

Nobody is arguing that sources should be protected when they're

:51:59.:52:01.

whistle blowers, but there was a huge difference between a public

:52:01.:52:05.

official who was a whistleblower, and someone in the police force

:52:05.:52:09.

who's paid a retainer of �10,000 a year to systematically give

:52:09.:52:18.

information to a newspaper. Surely the test will be public opinion,

:52:18.:52:24.

whether people buy the paper or not. At has never been an effective test

:52:24.:52:27.

of whether the secret news- gathering methods used by

:52:27.:52:35.

newspapers are lawful, because of the News Of The World -- because we

:52:35.:52:39.

now know what was going on at the News of the World. I don't think

:52:39.:52:43.

anybody is arguing that if people buy it, anything goes. No, we need

:52:43.:52:49.

to make sure that not only the content, which I'm sure will be as

:52:49.:52:54.

edgy as the Sun, and there is nothing wrong with that, complies

:52:54.:52:59.

with the code, but at the same time, that News International

:53:00.:53:06.

demonstrates that it has understood what being ethical means. Will you

:53:07.:53:11.

buy the paper? Actually, I do buy papers which are personally

:53:11.:53:21.

disagree with, to educate myself. So, yes, I will see what it is like.

:53:21.:53:28.

What about in your area, John Pugh, will people be buying it? I am from

:53:28.:53:33.

the Lancashire area, and very few people by the Sun at all. But I

:53:33.:53:37.

would like to see Merga producing a newspaper which is a heck of a lot

:53:37.:53:40.

better than the Sun has been. you think people will buy it in

:53:40.:53:45.

your area? There is very little chance, given the history of the

:53:45.:53:53.

Sun and Hillsborough. Do you welcome this new publication?

:53:53.:53:56.

scandal we have had, and the Leveson Inquiry, have opened up

:53:56.:54:01.

some very important issues, but the tabloid newspapers are a very

:54:01.:54:04.

important part of the political process, in terms of holding the

:54:04.:54:09.

politicians to account, and I think at its best, the Sun can be a

:54:09.:54:19.
:54:19.:54:20.

strong voice for hard-working people. Incidentally, this is not

:54:20.:54:23.

just an issue for News International. But the point is,

:54:23.:54:26.

there will be no great test of whether or not they have learned

:54:26.:54:32.

those lessons. That's right. It is not a new newspaper we need, it is

:54:32.:54:36.

a new culture. The culture of any newspaper comes from the top, and

:54:36.:54:41.

it remains to be seen whether that has changed. So, has it come too

:54:41.:54:46.

early, do you think? I think it has, and this is not a new newspaper,

:54:46.:54:52.

really, it is just an extra edition of the Sun, on a Sunday. Alastair

:54:52.:54:56.

Campbell alluded to the fact that newspapers running six days a week

:54:56.:55:04.

are not always successful, so, why launch it now? That is a commercial

:55:04.:55:08.

decision for News International, it is a free market. But the test is

:55:08.:55:10.

whether or not we see an improvement in journalistic

:55:10.:55:20.
:55:20.:55:24.

standards. I think it is important, this cannot be just about News

:55:25.:55:29.

International producing another version of the News Of The World. I

:55:29.:55:32.

think there would be deep distaste from the public if that happens. If,

:55:32.:55:36.

on the other hand, it emerges as something completely different, a

:55:36.:55:40.

better newspaper, then I think people will appreciate that. Do you

:55:41.:55:43.

have faith that the Press Complaints commission, with its new

:55:43.:55:48.

head, will be more effective? particularly, no. We will have to

:55:48.:55:53.

see. I think there is a widespread cynicism on this, about self-

:55:53.:55:58.

regulation in general. I think we will just have to see what happens.

:55:58.:56:05.

But the ball is in the newspapers' court. People said the Press

:56:05.:56:09.

Complaints commission did not do the job it was supposed to do

:56:09.:56:14.

effectively - will it be any different this time? I am cynical

:56:14.:56:17.

about that, I think we need something completely independent of

:56:17.:56:27.
:56:27.:56:28.

the press. As the public, we are regulators, if you do not like a

:56:28.:56:34.

newspaper, do not buy it. We all have a part to play in this.

:56:34.:56:38.

Whitney Houston died, how many extra editions were put on that

:56:38.:56:41.

morning. We buy things which are salacious and unpleasant, and we

:56:41.:56:47.

have to look to ourselves, we get the press we deserve some times.

:56:47.:56:51.

The press are now in the media spotlight themselves, and it is the

:56:51.:56:55.

media who will keep them honest. Are you going to buy it on Sunday?

:56:55.:57:01.

No, I will probably look at their online content. That's cheating! I

:57:01.:57:06.

do not know how much it will cost. Will you buy it? I doubt it, it

:57:06.:57:12.

will probably be behind a firewall. I do not buy Sunday newspapers,

:57:12.:57:18.

life is too short. Why not? They fill the house, and I never get

:57:18.:57:23.

round to reading them. You said you hoped it would be a success - do

:57:23.:57:29.

you think it will be? I think the Sun and the News Of The World, at

:57:29.:57:32.

their best, performed a very important role. They broke some

:57:32.:57:38.

important stories, as well as the very and six -- as well as the

:57:38.:57:42.

unacceptable things which went on. So in that sense, I hope it is a

:57:42.:57:46.

success, yes. But do you think with the Leveson Inquiry going on, has

:57:47.:57:56.
:57:57.:57:57.

the whole story moved on, will people forget about this? You would

:57:57.:58:03.

hope that the Leveson Inquiry will set a new standard for journalism.

:58:03.:58:13.
:58:13.:58:14.

It might not be for another year or so. It needs to be a change in

:58:14.:58:20.

culture, and that culture comes from the top. But a new newspaper,

:58:20.:58:27.

something which keeps journalists in work, I welcome it. Thank you

:58:27.:58:37.
:58:37.:58:37.

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