18/05/2012 Daily Politics


18/05/2012

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Good afternoon and welcome to the Daily Politics. As if he didn't

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have enough on his plate David Cameron wants to help you bring up

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your children or at least provide classes to lend you a hand. Has the

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champion of the Big Society embraced the nanny state? Now he's

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got that out of the way, the Prime Minister is heading to the US for a

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meeting of the world's biggest economies, with Greece, Spain and

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the euro crisis top of the agenda. We'll have the latest from

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Washington and ask UKIP's Nigel Farage and former Europe Minister

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Denis MacShane where the EU goes from here. And what happens when a

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politician more famous than the party they lead stands down? After

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Caroline Lucas steps down as Green Party leader we'll talk one person

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parties. How fast do you drive? 60, 70? What about 80 miles per hour?

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That's the government's plan for Britain's motorways but road safety

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campaigners say it will cost lives. We'll debate whether the planned

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new limit is the right one. Treasury whip just received the

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steps from a Labour Whip saying Please Please come to the chamber

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for the start of the final day of the Queen's Speech today. Ed Balls

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is opening for us and really needs his support. Oh dear. We'll explore

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the perils of mixing politics with modern technology. All that in the

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next hour. And with us for the whole programme today are Anne

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McElvoy from the Economist and Steve Richards from the Independent.

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Let's start with the Prime Minister's plans to help parents

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bring up their children by offering state-funded parenting classes,

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some of which will be made available in high street stores.

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Here's what he had to say about the idea this morning. Parents want

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help, it is in our interests as a society to help people bring up

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children. We are taught how to drive so I think it makes perfect

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sense to keep -- help people with parenting. I wish I had had more

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support. These are practical, sensible tips from midwives,

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featuring real families, real information. It is a good thing and

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people who say it is the nanny state do not listen to them. David

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Cameron speaking this morning. Steve, does this have a hint of the

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nanny state? I am a strong supporter of the nanny state, I

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think the idea it is a derogatory phrase is part of the problem with

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Britain at the moment when any one is too scared to outline clear

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rules. I think it is a really good idea, absolutely right but it does

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not go far enough. I think parenting classes should be made

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binding, not voluntary. My worry is that the kind of people that would

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really benefit from these classes like young parents will not take up

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the offer. It is not enough, so should be more nannying, not less!

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This paranoia about being a nanny state is a real problem. Look at

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the smoking ban. Liberating measure. The problem for him is he has

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always moaned about the so called nanny state that you support. Is it

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just surprising coming from David Cameron, this sort of policy?

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because it is not even nannying. It is voluntary, it is Advisory,

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offering advice, resources, facilities. It is not nannying. If

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you cannot do something like this when a few of his advisers rightly

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say we insist on people taking driving instructions but have no

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guidelines on parenting, if you cannot do this through fear of

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appearing bossy you might as well give up politics because they are

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in a position where they can do something about this. The issue is

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it is not enough. But are the right people going to take up any of this

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advice which can be classed as e- mails, I forget what else. Early

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intervention will save money further down the line. Tony Blair

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never came up with this idea. Is this going to do the trick? No. The

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reason is because they fear being accused of being a nanny state, so

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they will not impose the Sony one. -- this on any one. Where actually

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the only way you make progress is where people have to do it

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otherwise people will not. So I fear it will not reached the people

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that will benefit most. Everybody will benefit because nobody knows

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how to parent, I wish I had been forced to do it. But I do not think

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it will reach the right people. That means becoming more of a nanny

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state, then you can. We're used to the eurozone lurching from crisis

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to crisis, but the single currency has never looked under greater

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threat. After nine days of wrangling party leaders in Greece

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this week gave up their attempt to form a government, raising the

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prospect of a "Grexit" - Greece crashing out of the euro and

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returning to the Drachma. One economist warned that the cost of a

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Eurozone breakup could reach as much as one trillion dollars and

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would hit the UK hard. With depositors apparently taking their

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money out of Greece, we've then heard unconfirmed reports of a run

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on banks in Spain. And last night ratings agency Moody's said 16

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Spanish banks were being downgraded because of the country's weak

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economy. Spain's banking crisis threatens to reach Britain's high

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streets, as the UK arm of Santander was also downgraded. Amid the chaos

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David Cameron has appealed to the eurozone's leaders to take decisive

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action to save the single currency. But will his lectures risk souring

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relations with world leaders gathered near Washington for the

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annual G8 summit? Well he won't be the only world leader calling for

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action, with President Obama urging Europe to stiumulate growth.

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Joining us from Washington DC is our political correspondent Norman

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Smith. He cannot escape this crisis because it will be top of the

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agenda. There is no way round it but what is interesting is that in

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a way David Cameron is perhaps calling for the most radical action

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at the summit. We know Francois Hollande and Barack Obama won more

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pro-growth measure but in Downing Street they are saying the measures

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they're arguing for like bringing forward structural funds and credit

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easing is not enough, it is far too marginal given the scale of the

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economic crisis now. In a funny way, David Cameron finds himself almost

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a closet Euro-federalist having to argue a much more radical cause of

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action including the creation of greater fiscal integration, a much

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higher bail-out fund. So it is not Mr Cameron calling for austerity.

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In a funny way he is the one trying to crank up the pressure on the

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eurozone and needs to do more. is that why we are getting briefing

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saying there is no rift between David Cameron and Francois Hollande,

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bearing in mind the rhetoric has been different in the past? At a

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personal level it would frankly be bizarre if there was not a slight

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coldness between the two. But I think the truth is whatever their

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personal differences I think it would be extraordinary if I was

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allowed to skew of course there talks later today. It would be like

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two neighbours arguing over a hedge when the foundations of the House

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are crumbling. They will be focused on the political, the priority. The

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real focus, the person who will really come under pressure at this

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summit is not David Cameron, not Francois Hollande, certainly not

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Barack Obama, in all likelihood it will be the German Chancellor

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because all the remedies these men are pushing for, all of them

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require stacked loads of money and the only country with a stack loads

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of money is Germany. It will be critical. Good luck. So where does

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this all meet the European project? -- leave. We're joined by former

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Minister for Europe Denis Macshane and UKIP Leader and MEP Nigel

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Farage. So after two years of saying we were at a critical point,

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his is the critical moment when the two options of Greece going or

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Germany doing something dramatic to prevent that? I will give you a

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European answer - yes and no. People just look at Britain, read

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the Financial Times hearing we are in the worst slump since the 19th

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century, that we have cut investment, my firm is ready to go,

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build houses, provide catering service, all they want is a nod

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from the government so what the rest of Europe is doing and saying

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to Britain is Will you help increase demand because we cannot

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get ourselves out about crisis if Britain remains locked in

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stagnation and slump? Arguably that will not help Greece at this stage,

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and it is at that stage where the rest of Europe is looking to. Do

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you think the meeting today will be a make or break? No because I think

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Barack Obama will knock a few heads together and put his ideas forward.

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He needs to knock our view together that the government should not

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spend any money together with Chris's 2% of the grease economy,

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all the money that has gone to them so far has been recycled back to

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banks in Europe, including some in London, which rather than spending

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on improving the Greek economy. The Greek primary deficit is 1%, ours

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is 8%. So actually Greece has a lot of pain to go through but the

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notion Greece will bring Europe down his fantasy. Do you think this

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is a critical moment? I sense we may have passed the point of no

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return. The run on the banks, the rich people got the money out of

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Greece last year, the middle classes and are desperate to get

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their money out. But there are not use of people going round the

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corner like with Northern Rock. Take Spain, a billion euros I think

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we have a bank run going on, and a recognition amongst the electorate

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that the north of Europe is not prepared to pay continually to bail

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out the South. And the South is starting to vote differently as

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well. So you think this is the point at which everyone except

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Greece goes? I think they will go quickly. The does not a remote

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issue for Britain. If Greece goes the risk of contagion, a trillion

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dollars, the cost of a potential break-up, is also huge. The real

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problem is Spain because if it goes after Greece with a domino effect...

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But with your policy that is more likely isn't it? If these countries

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are kept trapped inside the eurozone it could lead to

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revolution, violence, Allsorts of awful things so the best thing is

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to take the medicine to help these countries get out of the euro and

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get our own currencies back. It will be better than staying as we

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are with something that is failing. But that amounts to saying to every

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Greek rush to your bank today, that would be soon, you would have to be

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armed guards outside banks because the money would be under people's

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beds. It is not happening in Spain. It is officially denied. Cash

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deposits went up 20% increase and they are falling this year.

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means people will feel no hope, unable to pay the police, the army,

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goodness knows what will happen, they will flood north light in the

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Yugoslavian crisis, when our government said it was somebody

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else's problem to solve. If we want a million Greeks flooding into the

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UK, go down your road, Spain... him defend it. The Greek economy

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has contracted by 20% over the last years, it is due to fall 67% this

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year, youth unemployment is 57%, we even have neo-Nazi parties winning

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seats in Greek parliament. The situation there is desperate. The

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only hope they have got us a competitive devaluation, to have a

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rebirth in the tourism industry, to give their exports some chance.

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Those are the same scenarios that have been on the table for a long

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time. Is there any notion at this stage that Germany is going to

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finally say OK, we are going to persuade the European Central Bank

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to step in, we're going to prevent Greece leaving the euro to save the

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currency? Or is it they are working on Greece leaving, then they will

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try to save the rest? We might have a clear idea after this weekend.

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There are about 25 different elements to this story. We know the

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answer to some of them. The Spanish bank situation is frightening but

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we know what we need to do because we experience that ourselves and so

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did the US in 2008. You need to throw money at these banks. It

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Spain are now officially denying it as lies. There are not queues

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outside banks to take money out. Spanish banks are solvent, Spanish

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debt is manageable so the Spanish state, we have a Prime Minister who

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I agree on the British element. It is difficult for David Cameron and

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George Osborne to lecture other countries when Britain is part of

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the problem with the economic policy it is pursuing. In terms of

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Greece and whether it will leave the euro, I haven't a clue. We have

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been here about 25 times over the last year. A let me take a look at

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the European project, broadly. Denis McShane, you promoted it at

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the time. It is now endangering jobs and security for millions. Do

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you accept that it has failed? what has endangered jobs and

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security is bad banking policies. This is not just me thinking it,

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but the most respected commentator in Europe. In Britain, we have the

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weakest major economy in the world. But looking at the Eurozone, do you

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accept that that has failed? And not at all. I have just come back

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from Turkey, which would like to join Europe. If you go to eastern

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European countries, even Ireland, the idea that they want to return

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to control of their own currencies and their own national economic

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policies, Nigel believes in that, but I don't. You are stuck with a

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big idea that you believed in for decades. You can't recognise that

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it has gone wrong. People of Europe now want a Europe in which we trade

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together, but one how own national democracies. The other side of that

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argument is that what went wrong was that there was not a closer

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political and fiscal union, which might happen now, with a smaller

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Europe. In is unlikely. You cannot build a political union without the

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political consent inside that union. We tried that with Yugoslavia.

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Nobody in Europe has been asked whether they want most of their

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laws made by the European Commission. They would reject it

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all over Europe. It but Denis MacShane's point, recent programmes

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have shown that many in Greece and Ireland do not want to leave the

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euro. That is as it was in Argentina ten years ago. The day

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before they left, two thirds of people did not want to leave. The

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day after, they were delighted. When the opinion polls do not go

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your way, they are wrong. It is clearly failing. Nigel Farage, I

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know you feel it will not happen, but if Greece does go and maybe

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some of the other southern European countries, and there is a small

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Europe with Germany at the helm, might Britain not be more isolated?

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I thought the Eurozone might work in northern Europe for a time, but

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over the last couple of years, the competitiveness gap between France

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and Germany is also very wide. The whole thing will break-up. In is

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the price of keeping Greece in the euro worth it at whatever cost?

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is for the Greeks to decide. We had two elections in 1974. Some people

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need more than one election to get where they think they should be

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going. A big debate is taking place in Europe. On balance, the idea of

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reintroducing capital controls in countries and bringing back the

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drachma and the peseta would cause havoc for the 800,000 Brits living

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in Spain. They would be the first victims if Spain is affected by the

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Greek problem, which almost certainly will happen. We will work

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our way through this. We adopt new policies such as those that Obama

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and so on are calling for, or we go back into the road of the

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Balkanisation of Europe. We have had arguments about austerity and

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growth, but let's think about the G8's brief, bringing together,

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Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande and Obama - that will be DG8 on the

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phone! So sorry! You are forgiven. The Washington hotline has

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contacted me now to say exactly what Merkel is going to do.

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they really from such different perspectives? They are, no question.

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When David Cameron claims that Hollande is with him in terms of

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what needs to be done, that is not what Hollande himself believes. I

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know that from conversations he has had with others in Britain. There

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are very different ways in which this austerity versus Growth debate

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could go. When people look back, they will recognise that the media

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reaction in 2008 to the crisis, which was when we entered this new

:20:30.:20:35.

era, the country's broadly got it right. Obama and Brown, who is not

:20:35.:20:41.

allowed to be mentioned these days, and others, persuaded Merkel to

:20:41.:20:49.

introduce a short-term fiscal stimulus. And Sarkozy. But since,

:20:49.:20:54.

this austerity package within Europe and Britain has stifled the

:20:54.:20:58.

small amount of growth that surfaced after the 2008 crisis.

:20:58.:21:06.

Angela Merkel will not be persuaded. She will not go for the euro bonds,

:21:06.:21:13.

which is David Cameron's idea. big worry is, one reaction in

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Greece might be to cancel the arms deal with Germany. That is what

:21:19.:21:21.

happens when you have the Balkanisation of national economies.

:21:21.:21:27.

They stop trading with each other. I have to say goodbye to you.

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Wiedersehen. British voters have backed UK

:21:32.:21:37.

membership of the European Union in a referendum, but that was in 1975,

:21:37.:21:41.

37 years ago. Now the People's Pledge campaign is trying to put

:21:41.:21:44.

pressure on the Government to hold a new referendum on whether we

:21:44.:21:48.

should stay in the EU. Claiming Europhile as well as Euro-sceptic

:21:48.:21:52.

support, backers range from Tory MPs Mark Reckless and Priti Patel

:21:52.:21:56.

to Caroline Lucas of the Greens and Labour's new policy chief Jon

:21:56.:22:00.

Cruddas. The group held their own mini referendum on the issue in the

:22:00.:22:06.

Essex constituency of Thurrock, where 30% of electors returned

:22:06.:22:09.

ballads and 89% backed the campaign. This morning, they announced plans

:22:09.:22:13.

to hold prefer the votes in the neighbouring Lib Dem help seeds of

:22:13.:22:17.

Manchester Withington, Cheadle and Hazel Grove. With the possibility

:22:17.:22:21.

of a vote on EU membership being taken increasingly seriously by all

:22:21.:22:24.

the political parties, the politicians will be watching with

:22:24.:22:29.

interest. We are joined now by the director of communications for the

:22:29.:22:34.

People's Pledge campaign, Ian Mackenzie. And Anne McElvoy has

:22:34.:22:40.

also made it. Ian, do you want Britain to leave the EU or stay in?

:22:40.:22:44.

The People's Pledge does not have a position on that. We have people

:22:44.:22:48.

from pro Europe and anti-Europe. Personally, I am a Europhile, but I

:22:48.:22:52.

want to take the politics out of it. The British people should decide on

:22:52.:22:56.

our relationship with our European neighbours, not the political

:22:56.:23:01.

parties. It you look at a lot of the polling evidence,

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overwhelmingly, people seem to be more Euro-sceptic. Not necessarily.

:23:06.:23:11.

15% are in favour of staying in without question. 47% in the middle

:23:11.:23:17.

want to renegotiate on some level. We should clear matters up with a

:23:17.:23:23.

referendum so that after 37 years, people have the chance of a say.

:23:23.:23:33.
:23:33.:23:34.

Looking at the results, in the name, would you accept that the people

:23:34.:23:39.

who would respond to a referendum like that would be those motivated

:23:39.:23:44.

by wanting to leave the EU? For at the moment, I can't deny that the

:23:44.:23:48.

centre of gravity is clearly Euro- sceptic, certainly in therapy. It

:23:48.:23:52.

depends where you go, of course. But for the last few decades, we

:23:52.:23:55.

have had Nigel Farage and chaps on the Euro-sceptic wing arguing

:23:55.:24:00.

against it. And the air time for pro-Europeans barely happens.

:24:00.:24:07.

you think if there was more of a debate, the Euro-sceptics have

:24:07.:24:12.

dominated the argument. So you have chosen these three constituencies

:24:12.:24:17.

next. Why those three? Were looked at different options. Many factors

:24:17.:24:22.

were involved - the politics of the MPs and the local parties, our

:24:22.:24:27.

local support, psephology, local statistics. There are all Lib Dem.

:24:27.:24:34.

No particular reason for that? have a Labour MP and a Conservative

:24:34.:24:41.

MP launching a campaign. The smart be music to your ears. I agree. The

:24:41.:24:48.

more people that recognise that that referendum that seven years

:24:48.:24:51.

ago was not about the European Union. My parents did not vote for

:24:51.:24:55.

that, they voted to stay part of a Common Market, a very different

:24:55.:25:00.

thing to what we have today. The more debate there is, the better.

:25:00.:25:04.

Anne McElvoy, does it test the temperature of people in terms of

:25:04.:25:09.

wanting a referendum? Bitch should certainly test the temperature. But

:25:09.:25:13.

I am not clear up what it is a referendum on. When he and talks

:25:13.:25:17.

about it clarify our relations, if you are going to do that, you could

:25:17.:25:21.

have done that at many points. The Lisbon Treaty might have been the

:25:21.:25:25.

moment to do it, but there was not the political will to go ahead. At

:25:25.:25:30.

the moment, it is hard to say what the EU will be very shortly. So

:25:31.:25:34.

there is a charity issues that face us this campaign, which is what are

:25:34.:25:38.

you asking people to vote on? From a Europhile position, you want

:25:38.:25:43.

people to renegotiate. You can't have a referendum asking if we can

:25:43.:25:47.

renegotiate. Referendums give you clear and blunt outcomes. You are

:25:47.:25:52.

muddying the waters if you bring in renegotiation. It is either out or

:25:52.:25:58.

in on the terms on the table. Firstly, we are not talking about

:25:58.:26:01.

renegotiating now. We would want to focus on the crisis. The next

:26:01.:26:05.

Parliament would be the time to do it. A referendum requires a

:26:05.:26:08.

referendum Act, which needs a referendum bill, and that requires

:26:08.:26:13.

consent among the parties. That can only happened after a general

:26:13.:26:18.

election. But that he may look different by then. Let's find out.

:26:18.:26:22.

But you should find out, because you are putting this before the

:26:22.:26:28.

people. I have a problem with the principle of referendums. Firstly,

:26:28.:26:33.

they don't change anything for very long. If you look at the 1975

:26:33.:26:38.

referendum, by 1979 onwards, Labour were arguing to pull out of the

:26:38.:26:46.

European Union or the Common Market, as it was. The other thing is, it

:26:46.:26:50.

is always used in Britain - I know Nigel has been campaigning for it

:26:51.:26:54.

for a long time - for party political reasons. I bet Labour

:26:54.:26:59.

will adopt a referendum proposal, but it will be partly to

:26:59.:27:05.

outmanoeuvre the Tories. It is always done for the wrong reason. I

:27:05.:27:13.

am a referendum sceptic. They are promised and never held. What would

:27:13.:27:21.

be the point of UKIP after that? we have a referendum and we vote to

:27:21.:27:25.

leave the European Union, that will be day one of Britain being able to

:27:25.:27:30.

renew herself, to fulfil a global role. We are the only party putting

:27:30.:27:35.

together policies for how Britain could be run them. And the end what

:27:35.:27:41.

will you do? Get a proper job. are coming to that in a moment.

:27:41.:27:45.

Now, the leader of the Greens is standing down from the job,

:27:45.:27:48.

although she will stay on as an MP. Caroline Lucas says she is doing it

:27:48.:27:52.

so that other members of her party can raise their profiles, but can

:27:52.:27:56.

the smaller parties ever get over the problem that sometimes their

:27:56.:28:06.
:28:06.:28:09.

leaders are bigger than they are? Let's call it the Gulliver dilemma.

:28:09.:28:15.

What do you do if you are a big political figure, but your party is

:28:15.:28:19.

a bit small? That question has been posed after the Greens' any MP,

:28:19.:28:23.

Caroline Lucas, announced that she is standing down as the party's

:28:23.:28:28.

leader so that others can share the limelight. The problem a lot of

:28:28.:28:31.

small parties have is that their leader becomes huge in political

:28:32.:28:35.

terms, and there is a vacuum below them. The danger for the Greens

:28:35.:28:38.

would be that they became more about Caroline Lucas and not the

:28:38.:28:42.

rest of the party. It is an opportunity for someone else to

:28:42.:28:46.

step forward. Sadly for UKIP, when their leader Nigel Farage decided

:28:46.:28:52.

to stand down, the person who stepped forward was Lord Pearson.

:28:52.:28:55.

Has he read your manifesto? A course. You don't seem familiar

:28:55.:29:00.

with it. I had not read it all in detail. He did not come to talk

:29:00.:29:05.

about your manifesto? I did, but not in the detailed... Of whether I

:29:05.:29:08.

have talked to some policemen in some car park. Which is why Mr

:29:08.:29:15.

Farage returned pretty soon afterwards. Although sometimes, it

:29:15.:29:20.

is help for having a boss who is famous. I have seen you on the

:29:20.:29:26.

telly. Rob it Kilroy-Silk launched veritas in 2000 and pets five, and

:29:26.:29:32.

then left. Can you name their current leader? And the referendum

:29:32.:29:36.

Party of the late '90s may be a gift -- distant memory, but the

:29:36.:29:41.

high profile of their founder, Sir James Goldsmith, helped them secure

:29:41.:29:50.

around 800,000 votes at a general election. Celebrity can sometimes

:29:50.:29:55.

create confusion, though. Many think George Galloway's the leader

:29:55.:30:00.

of Respect. He is not, he is just a humble MP. It is easy to make fun

:30:00.:30:05.

of these people who tower over their party. But underestimate them

:30:05.:30:10.

at your peril. They help set the agenda for the larger parties.

:30:10.:30:13.

Whereas no one would pretend that UKIP will be a major electoral

:30:13.:30:18.

force, the influence of UKIP is felt more in terms of how the other

:30:18.:30:22.

parties react. Ditto with the Greens. They have certainly managed

:30:22.:30:26.

to ensure that their agenda, albeit from their perspective watered down,

:30:27.:30:31.

is now a permanent part of the three main parties. There may be

:30:31.:30:34.

all this talk about the Bishop distracting from the fact that all

:30:34.:30:38.

parties, no matter what size they are, need enough little people to

:30:38.:30:42.

do the difficult work, things like knocking on doors. Wheel size

:30:42.:30:52.
:30:52.:30:53.

Nigel Farage are still with us. Small parties benefit from having a

:30:53.:30:56.

larger than life of vocal leader like yourself. More many smaller

:30:56.:31:00.

parties are founded by somebody, drawn from the top and support

:31:00.:31:04.

comes up towards the leader and you see this across Europe. In this

:31:04.:31:10.

country I would argue UKIP is different, the Greens are similar,

:31:10.:31:12.

where grass roots movement where the support for the party bubbles

:31:12.:31:18.

up from the bottom. There has never been a dominant figure. What?!

:31:18.:31:25.

There was briefly with that suntan follow -- fellow. I beg to differ.

:31:25.:31:35.
:31:35.:31:35.

You what the dominant figure. -- you are. If I were to fall under a

:31:35.:31:41.

bus, have a crash, who knows? If I disappeared tomorrow, UKIP would

:31:41.:31:48.

not disappear. The up we be as successful? For many people you are

:31:48.:31:53.

UKIP. We are a grassroots organisation, 300 branches in the

:31:53.:31:56.

country, I might be the dominant figure at the moment but it is

:31:56.:32:01.

about more than me. But if you were to step aside for whatever reason,

:32:01.:32:05.

where are the next generation of UKIP leaders? There are a couple of

:32:05.:32:08.

people that could do the job now actually, people have been elected

:32:09.:32:12.

to European Parliament, gained political experience. It would not

:32:12.:32:16.

be easy but it never is. Why did not come into this as a known

:32:16.:32:25.

celebrity, I came to this as a nobody. I had to work at it.

:32:25.:32:30.

Hooker takeover now? Can you think of somebody? -- who could takeover

:32:30.:32:36.

now. I would struggle with that because as you say it is grassroots,

:32:36.:32:39.

you have good women associated with other things, known for campaigning

:32:39.:32:44.

on those issues. They are UKIP but not really associated in the public

:32:44.:32:48.

mind with it. You also have powerful figures who like to stay a

:32:48.:32:56.

bit behind the scenes. You have funders, grassroots, but what tends

:32:56.:33:01.

to happen is that somebody emerges who can catch the public

:33:01.:33:09.

imagination as you have, then it is very difficult when you go. It will

:33:09.:33:14.

not be easy to say I am moving out of the way for Caroline Lucas and

:33:14.:33:17.

somebody steps in. But is not how small parties work. What effect

:33:17.:33:22.

will it have on the greens of Caroline stepping down? Would

:33:22.:33:28.

smaller parties, although the leader's personality is important,

:33:28.:33:33.

and you are one of the great media performers in that... We are being

:33:33.:33:41.

so nice to! Forget about him! issue for the smaller parties is

:33:41.:33:47.

the issue they are identified with and how salient it is. That was

:33:47.:33:50.

arranged in question, if Nigel gets this referendum and Britain votes

:33:50.:33:55.

to stay in the European Union, what role then just for Nigel but for

:33:55.:34:00.

UKIP? Similarly for the Greens, when Caroline Lucas got that see

:34:00.:34:05.

the environment was one of the big issues before the recession.

:34:05.:34:09.

Weather remains as salient in the economic doldrums is a bigger issue

:34:09.:34:13.

when parties are associated with one particular policy area. I think

:34:13.:34:18.

their fate is more dependent on the policy area they are associated

:34:18.:34:24.

with. That may have been true, certainly a few years ago. But over

:34:24.:34:27.

the last few years we have broadened and people are voting for

:34:27.:34:32.

us in local elections. No electoral success has not been great. We do

:34:32.:34:35.

look at our progress in local elections just a couple of weeks

:34:35.:34:39.

ago people are going out and voting for us for more reasons than just

:34:39.:34:44.

the European question. A accept that question now was so salient at

:34:44.:34:50.

the top of the agenda. Let's look as some other nationalist parties.

:34:50.:34:56.

Look at Alex Salmond, not a small party but does that apply in the

:34:56.:35:00.

same way? No question. What did they have the referendum in

:35:00.:35:05.

Scotland and there was a boat to keep the union? I don't think I

:35:05.:35:11.

agree. I don't think Alex Salmond will go up for something you the

:35:11.:35:14.

things that will be the outcome, he will shaded towards an endless

:35:14.:35:24.

progression towards deep Lomax and He will keep pushing for more

:35:24.:35:28.

Scottish Power's and it does have bass drum and bass in the

:35:28.:35:37.

electorate. He could miss time it and get the wrong result. I would

:35:37.:35:41.

be surprised if we went back here and there was some SNP to be

:35:41.:35:47.

dealing with. The decline may be. We always bring you great political

:35:47.:35:51.

TV for free. So today we are going to be something Vos. After the

:35:51.:35:54.

programme go to your nearest computer, go on the internet and

:35:54.:35:59.

fill in an online survey run by the University of Strathclyde to test

:35:59.:36:09.
:36:09.:36:17.

how the nation really feels. Here How was the country feeling? The

:36:17.:36:19.

question of researchers at Strathclyde University are trying

:36:19.:36:26.

to answer would their survey. You log on anonymously, say where you

:36:26.:36:29.

are, answer a few questions and 15 minutes later the website will then

:36:29.:36:35.

take you where you are on the optimism scale. How do you feel

:36:35.:36:39.

about the events taking place around due, difficult circumstances,

:36:39.:36:44.

economic change, constitutional change, political change? How do

:36:44.:36:53.

they make you feel? Happy, nervous, when do things about pride? We are

:36:53.:37:00.

trying to get that sense. What you feel, rather than what you think.

:37:00.:37:04.

The is is the address to go to... We will bring you the result in a

:37:05.:37:09.

few weeks. Trust me, this is not your average online questionnaire.

:37:10.:37:18.

We look forward to it. The Web address for back survey is on our

:37:18.:37:27.

Facebook page. Now, the government are consulting on plans to increase

:37:28.:37:31.

the speed limit on motorways and some dual carriageways to 80 miles

:37:31.:37:34.

per hour, up from today's limit of 70. They say the current limit has

:37:34.:37:36.

been discredited because most drivers routinely exceed it and

:37:36.:37:39.

also claim it will have economic benefits. Road safety campaigners

:37:39.:37:42.

take a different view saying the change will inevitably lead to more

:37:42.:37:46.

fatalities. So, who's right? We're joined by Julie Townsend, Deputy

:37:46.:37:49.

Chief Executive of Brake and motoring journalist and former Top

:37:49.:37:54.

Gear presenter Chris Goffey. Julie, what is your worry on this? We are

:37:55.:37:58.

desperately concerned that if we see motorway speed limit increased

:37:58.:38:02.

we will see more devastating crashes and casualties on the roads.

:38:02.:38:07.

We have a range of evidence that indicate even a small increase in

:38:07.:38:10.

average speeds on our motorways will mean more people being

:38:10.:38:15.

needlessly and violently killed, more people being injured and this

:38:15.:38:19.

increases the burden on health and emergency services so it has

:38:19.:38:23.

economic repercussions and increased emissions as well.

:38:23.:38:29.

sounds like a terrible idea. A does, doesn't it? You can't argue with

:38:29.:38:32.

Brake, they're a great charity you have done great work. They were

:38:32.:38:37.

founded because a lady was killed in her car by a tanker that had did

:38:37.:38:43.

to -- had defective brakes. Since then they have campaigned for HTVs

:38:43.:38:49.

to be safer. But this does not affect HTVs, they will keep going

:38:49.:38:53.

at 56 miles an hour, their limit. But the rest of us are driving

:38:53.:38:56.

Rotimi at 80 miles an hour, being tolerated by police because our

:38:56.:39:03.

cars have moved on since 1965 when the limit came in. Sir it would

:39:03.:39:07.

just formalise what happens anyway, most people drive within that 10

:39:07.:39:12.

mile per hour grace that is given to them. We have not seen the sort

:39:12.:39:17.

of thing you have described over the last 10 years. All on the

:39:17.:39:26.

contrary, our fatalities have come rocketing down. -- on the contrary.

:39:26.:39:31.

2010 was the best year ever for casualties in the UK. We have seen

:39:31.:39:35.

casualties fall dramatically, thankfully, in recent decades. Part

:39:35.:39:39.

of the reason for that is improved compliance with speed limits across

:39:39.:39:48.

our roads. No. Mo is people flout as 70 mile limit. A lot of people

:39:48.:39:54.

do. It is only a minority that get up to 80 at any given time. In any

:39:54.:39:57.

case, we would argue that just because we have people breaking the

:39:57.:40:01.

law at present does not mean that law is wrong, all we should raise

:40:01.:40:07.

it. We have this evidence, academic research which shows if we raise

:40:08.:40:11.

the limits we would see an increase in average speeds and we will

:40:11.:40:15.

therefore seem more crashes and casualties. What about a bit was

:40:15.:40:19.

enforced properly at 80 mph, if there was not that ten-mile grace,

:40:19.:40:22.

you have audit sceptred fatalities have come down, would you be happy

:40:22.:40:30.

with that? We would like to see improved speed enforcement on the

:40:30.:40:33.

motorways, we don't want to see that accompanied with an increase

:40:33.:40:39.

in the maximum speed limit. In fact, there has been a study which looked

:40:39.:40:44.

at this option of raising the limit and improving enforcement, it

:40:45.:40:48.

looked at introduced in 100 more average speed cameras across the

:40:48.:40:51.

network and raising the limit. They still found an increasing

:40:51.:40:54.

casualties. We would argue we should be coming at this from the

:40:54.:40:57.

other direction, how to improve safety and speed management and

:40:57.:41:03.

deliver the economic benefits associated with it. So the economic

:41:03.:41:06.

benefits that have been talked about, is that a bit overblown,

:41:06.:41:10.

that if we could drive faster there would be no traffic and the economy

:41:10.:41:15.

would be doing better? I don't think it is a huge economic

:41:15.:41:19.

argument, average speed journey times will not come down that much

:41:19.:41:22.

but it is the practicality of everyday life on the motorway and

:41:22.:41:26.

the fact that cars are so much safer, the technology has come on

:41:27.:41:34.

so far since the 70 limit was introduced that we are reasonable

:41:34.:41:40.

people driving at the sensible cruising speed of our cars. Do you

:41:40.:41:44.

drive too fast? S certainly did when I came back from living in

:41:44.:41:50.

Germany where there is effectively no speed limit. I learnt my lesson,

:41:50.:41:54.

I got my points and I'd learned by lesson. I am sceptical about this

:41:54.:42:04.

change because what I have seen in Germany is that people will drive

:42:04.:42:08.

faster, that is the thing I would worry about in Britain, we are used

:42:08.:42:14.

to that 10% give, fatalities are higher, and if there is a crash the

:42:14.:42:20.

chance of fatalities becomes much higher. I think that is a

:42:20.:42:24.

reasonable thing for the state to get involved in trying to keep it

:42:24.:42:34.
:42:34.:42:36.

down. I don't see it as an attack on my liberty. Is there a point at

:42:36.:42:40.

which you say why don't you bring it down to 60, if it is so

:42:40.:42:45.

dangerous, why stop at 70? You could say let's pitch it at 50. Is

:42:45.:42:49.

there an ideal point at which the number of deaths are acceptable?

:42:49.:42:54.

Having made a strong argument for the nanny state earlier in the

:42:55.:42:58.

programme, I disagree with that, I am quite relaxed about the speed

:42:58.:43:08.
:43:08.:43:09.

limit going up. Simply because... You have a fast car. A don't have a

:43:09.:43:14.

fast car. Whenever I buy a car people say it goes tour hundred and

:43:14.:43:17.

142 minutes. Obviously cars are more technologically developed

:43:17.:43:22.

since the 1960s and everybody does it so it really does not bother me

:43:22.:43:26.

that much if they formalise it. I do not think that will mean people

:43:26.:43:34.

then go from 80 to 90. Are you so sure about that? Every year in

:43:34.:43:40.

Germany I drove a bit faster and I really had to rehabilitate myself.

:43:40.:43:42.

They dread that extraordinary speeds there because there is no

:43:42.:43:50.

constraint. We are going back to Europe here! No more! Now, have you

:43:50.:43:54.

ever sent a text or an email to the wrong person? Can be a bit

:43:54.:43:58.

embarrassing, can't it? Well, how embarrassing depends on who you

:43:58.:44:02.

send it to and if they pass it on. It happened to Labour whip Lyn

:44:02.:44:07.

Brown yesterday. Take a look at this. My honourable friend, the

:44:07.:44:12.

government's Treasury whip, just received this text, a Labour Whip

:44:12.:44:15.

saying Please Please come to the chamber for the start of the final

:44:15.:44:19.

day of the Queen's Speech today, Ed Balls is opening for us and really

:44:19.:44:29.
:44:29.:44:37.

I'd give way to the lady who said the text! Can I explain to the

:44:37.:44:40.

honourable gentleman that we have a very different and more effective

:44:40.:44:50.

way of whipping our benches than he clearly has on his. Finally, to do

:44:50.:44:52.

with the economy, the Chancellor needs to pay more attention to

:44:52.:44:56.

detail because that was not the right reading of the text. Indeed,

:44:56.:45:06.

it was not accurate, just like much else he does. The Labour Party

:45:06.:45:10.

certainly does have a different whipping operation, they send their

:45:10.:45:16.

information to the other political party! How best to avoid those

:45:16.:45:26.
:45:26.:45:28.

awkward moments? Giles still what With most politicians having some

:45:28.:45:31.

kind of electronic device, you'd think they would be technologically

:45:31.:45:36.

savvy, but some don't know their apps from their e-mail. Here is my

:45:36.:45:40.

guide to using electronic devices. While rallying your backbenchers,

:45:40.:45:44.

pay attention to the mobile phone number you are texting. A couple of

:45:44.:45:49.

digits amiss, and you could be handing the opposition a cyber coup.

:45:49.:45:53.

Why she had the other mobile number is something of a mystery.

:45:53.:45:57.

When tweeting about leaks to journalists, make sure that hush-

:45:57.:46:02.

hush info is sent as a private message. Chris Huhne wrote someone

:46:02.:46:06.

saying that he didn't want his fingerprints all over the story.

:46:06.:46:09.

Unfortunately, it was posted to thousands of his followers and

:46:09.:46:13.

retweeted to thousands more. Linger on your lingo before

:46:13.:46:16.

pressing cent. Former News International executive Rebekah

:46:16.:46:20.

Brooks reveal to the Leveson inquiry that David Cameron had

:46:20.:46:25.

signed off text messages aloe well, apparently thinking it meant lots

:46:25.:46:31.

of love. Don't let the office in turn get

:46:31.:46:35.

their hands on your Twitter account. An intern in Tom Watson's office

:46:35.:46:40.

caused consternation by logging on as Tom and using inappropriate and

:46:40.:46:44.

controversial language. And context, darling, context.

:46:44.:46:49.

Britain doesn't have any, so do you really want to post that tweet?

:46:49.:46:54.

Diane Abbott was accused of racism after saying that white people love

:46:54.:47:02.

playing divide and rule. She was forced to apologise.

:47:02.:47:08.

We are joined by Labour MP and confirmed Luddite Stephen Pound. Is

:47:08.:47:18.

that your new title? Embarrassing for Lyn Brown, wasn't it? You can

:47:18.:47:21.

come a cropper with tweeting, particularly in the Wapping

:47:21.:47:25.

operation. Were that true, it would be embarrassing, but it is a load

:47:25.:47:31.

of cobblers. I don't know what the rules about calling MP a lie are

:47:31.:47:37.

outside the chamber. It is on parliamentary inside the chamber. -

:47:37.:47:44.

- unparliamentary. Her I happen to have here in my hand - this is what

:47:44.:47:47.

the word - please come to the chamber for the start of the final

:47:47.:47:50.

day of the Queen's Speech. Ed Balls has opening for us. We have

:47:50.:47:53.

dominated so far. It is important to finish with a strong, confident

:47:53.:48:00.

finish. There is nothing there about "help out poor Ed". Ed was

:48:00.:48:06.

tearing strips off George Osborne. He was marvellous. He was in

:48:06.:48:12.

Godzilla mode. Hasn't this exposed the darker arts of whooping and

:48:12.:48:16.

political spin for what they are? Where there you read that out as

:48:16.:48:21.

the truth, as you say, or it is paraphrased by George Osborne, it

:48:21.:48:24.

just shows what goes on behind the scenes. That makes it a dangerous

:48:24.:48:29.

tool. It is different from the old dark arts of Wapping, which were

:48:29.:48:34.

more physical than electronic. It was like the last day of the

:48:34.:48:36.

football season. Everyone was watching their football team and

:48:37.:48:40.

listening to other matches going on. And in the chamber nowadays, it is

:48:40.:48:47.

like a group of penitence at prayer. You see these heads bent over these

:48:47.:48:53.

things, getting information. The other day, suddenly everybody was

:48:53.:48:58.

talking about Kenny Dalglish. You can't concentrate. Is it a bad

:48:58.:49:02.

thing in that sense, that you are keeping up so much of the time - I

:49:02.:49:05.

do it myself - you are inching through the stories as they

:49:05.:49:10.

happened, and it detracts from what is going on at the time? It becomes

:49:10.:49:15.

part of what is going on. This is what is weird at the moment. Prime

:49:15.:49:19.

Minister's Question Time is really interesting, because you see the

:49:19.:49:23.

press people of Cameron and Miliband looking at their iPads and

:49:23.:49:26.

phones to see what the Twitter verdicts are on Cameron and

:49:26.:49:30.

Miliband. So the two leaders know immediately when they leave the

:49:30.:49:34.

Chamber of whether they have robbed or been a success. I keep getting

:49:34.:49:44.
:49:44.:49:45.

messages in real time in PMQs from the teams, pointing out things that

:49:45.:49:50.

are on Twitter. That has accelerated massively since Stephen

:49:50.:49:58.

and I started watching. Have you made any terrible faux pas?

:49:58.:50:02.

remember surprising some so-called followers. It is very dangerous to

:50:02.:50:08.

do it when you have had a few drinks. That applies to many things.

:50:08.:50:12.

But with Twitter, you forget that it is a public forum after a vat of

:50:12.:50:18.

wine or two. I have tweeted in these circumstances. And people

:50:18.:50:21.

have expressed surprise at the messages. I will not reveal what

:50:21.:50:27.

they were. We want to know! Then I looked to see if I had any replies,

:50:27.:50:33.

and they said "rather surprised at that comment, blah, blah, blah". I

:50:33.:50:37.

was going to explain that I was completely... Plastered. Should it

:50:37.:50:41.

be avoided? Tony Blair had the right idea. He still wrote with a

:50:41.:50:46.

quill pen, but he did not send e- mails. He would not have had a

:50:46.:50:52.

Leveson moment in that sense. but as we saw with the Hutton

:50:52.:50:56.

Inquiry and many other post-mortems on the Labour government, once

:50:56.:51:00.

everyone started e-mailing each other, the next step would be that

:51:00.:51:05.

you did it on Twitter on social networks, so you can't stop it. And

:51:05.:51:13.

you can make a mistake when you are doing it in a hurry. This was a

:51:13.:51:17.

slightly pleading tone to the text. It was only intended to be seen by

:51:17.:51:22.

supporters, but seen from the other side, it is funny, like it was when

:51:22.:51:27.

I e-mailed my boss and left a list of things. And she said, I don't

:51:28.:51:36.

think this is for me. It was for the cleaner. Lyn Brown, that is her

:51:36.:51:43.

style. She does not do robotic tones. That is the danger. That is

:51:43.:51:48.

the point. I am still trying to work out how Greg got hold of it.

:51:48.:51:54.

That is for you to find out. I have got Gregg's on my speed dire!

:51:54.:51:58.

senior politician said to me that in the age of Twitter, nothing is

:51:58.:52:01.

off the record. Work on the assumption that everything will be

:52:01.:52:07.

known. That is what they said when e-mail came in. Let's go back to

:52:07.:52:12.

the quills. If we had a quill, we would give it to you as a parting

:52:12.:52:17.

gift, but we don't. Thank you very much.

:52:17.:52:21.

Now, in case you have not been paying attention, time to catch up

:52:21.:52:25.

on the political Week That Was. Here is Susana Mendonca with the

:52:25.:52:32.

week in 60 seconds. The new French President might have

:52:32.:52:34.

wondered whether the thunder was trying to tell him something this

:52:35.:52:38.

week. First it rained on his victory parade. Then a lightning

:52:38.:52:42.

bolt struck his plane while he was heading to meet Angela Merkel. The

:52:43.:52:45.

German Chancellor was trying to steer Francois Hollande in her

:52:45.:52:49.

direction on growth in the Eurozone. David Cameron had his own advice.

:52:50.:52:54.

It either has to make up, or it is looking at a break-up. Theresa May

:52:54.:53:00.

felt the force of the law as she faced police off the beat. Wasn't

:53:00.:53:05.

that an awkward backdrop? The Hunter became the hunted in the

:53:05.:53:10.

hacking saga, as Rebekah Brooks and her husband faced charges of

:53:10.:53:14.

conspiracy to pervert the course of justice. Unjust, they claimed.

:53:14.:53:19.

ratchet up the pressure on my wife, who is the subject of a witch-hunt.

:53:19.:53:23.

Played a seemed to tilt to the left in Ed Miliband's Mini reshuffle.

:53:23.:53:27.

And David Cameron revealed that his favourite album is Pink Floyd's

:53:27.:53:34.

backside of the moon. Is that another economic doom metaphor?

:53:34.:53:39.

That Was the Week That Was. Anne McElvoy, why don't we do a bit on

:53:39.:53:42.

growth, since you missed the beginning? We were talking about

:53:42.:53:46.

the rhetoric and everybody commented after David Cameron's

:53:46.:53:50.

speech that his rhetoric has changed. Is it heartfelt, or is it

:53:50.:53:54.

just to chime with Francois Hollande's arrival?

:53:54.:53:58.

government's position has always been more adaptive on this than it

:53:58.:54:02.

wanted to headline. It wanted to have clear blue water with Labour

:54:02.:54:07.

by saying "we are the party not afraid to do this austerity cutting

:54:07.:54:11.

thing properly". And then, as that has become less proven to be

:54:11.:54:15.

popular, we don't know if it will work in the long run, but at the

:54:15.:54:25.

moment the fashion is that Francois Hollande has come in on the left.

:54:25.:54:29.

This has always been a flexible proposition. They did increase

:54:29.:54:33.

spending and some point, and they also used quantitative easing, but

:54:33.:54:37.

they put out the message that they were super tough. They did not say

:54:37.:54:40.

they were super flexible, so we are now seeing that side. People will

:54:40.:54:45.

be confused. That is one reason why Labour's poll ratings on the

:54:45.:54:52.

economy have risen in the last week. Labour have pulled ahead in a

:54:52.:54:56.

significant way now. Some might say it is about time, bearing in mind

:54:56.:55:03.

what is going on in the economy. It was posed Budget that the big pull

:55:03.:55:07.

away happened. Is it that, or is it that people just don't believe the

:55:07.:55:12.

austerity message any more? Bearing in mind that we have been in

:55:12.:55:14.

difficult times for the last two years, why have Labour pulled

:55:15.:55:20.

ahead? De events of recent weeks have created a sense that the

:55:20.:55:24.

coalition and Cameron and Osborne in particular are not as competent

:55:24.:55:28.

as people thought. When you have doubts about competence, you then

:55:29.:55:32.

question the fundamental argument about the economic policy. And that

:55:32.:55:39.

gives them a chance to say, hold on a second, and in some cases turn

:55:39.:55:47.

back to Labour or least give them a hearing. But I do not think this is

:55:47.:55:51.

necessarily just a mid-term phenomenon. The local elections

:55:51.:55:56.

were interesting in their spread of Labour support. They are the only

:55:56.:56:01.

party now with support around the UK. If they are clever, they could

:56:01.:56:08.

use that to give themselves a new and credible picture. And it is not

:56:08.:56:13.

just the public. The timing has also been interesting, coincidental

:56:13.:56:18.

or not, of Peter Mandelson and Tony Blair, who have been quiet since Ed

:56:18.:56:21.

Miliband became leader of the Labour Party. But now they want to

:56:21.:56:26.

re-enter the domestic political scene. They believe Ed Miliband

:56:26.:56:29.

could be a future prime minister? Are I am not sure if they do

:56:29.:56:33.

believe that, but they think it is a possibility. And they both have

:56:33.:56:37.

reasons for wanting to get their own profile back up again domestic

:56:37.:56:47.
:56:47.:56:49.

kick. -- domestically. These five- year terms are very long. So it is

:56:49.:56:54.

all right to flounce out for a while. Then you suddenly think,

:56:54.:56:58.

during year three or four, maybe there are things they want to say.

:56:58.:57:01.

Mr Blair needs to reconnect with the domestic electorate for the

:57:02.:57:07.

sake of his own standing. It is true that they would not come back

:57:07.:57:10.

if Ed Miliband looked like an absolute basket case. Do you think

:57:10.:57:15.

he could be a future prime minister? When you ask me that

:57:15.:57:18.

directly, I still have difficulty seeing him on the steps of Number

:57:18.:57:25.

10. Leadership is his weakness. He is very bright and broad in the way

:57:25.:57:29.

he handles things. He has a good temperament, but he does not look

:57:29.:57:34.

like a confident leader. He needs to grab moments such as the great

:57:34.:57:37.

result in the local elections. Was the speech he gave after the best

:57:37.:57:41.

speech he could have given? He misses moments. Leaders need to

:57:41.:57:46.

catch moments. Find a look, look at this and see if you can work out

:57:46.:57:49.

why Lib Dem MP Tessa Munt is losing it on the floor of the House of

:57:49.:57:51.

Commons? We will announce our conclusion

:57:52.:58:01.
:58:02.:58:03.

shortly. Thank you, Mr Speaker. Sorry. Right. Was it something I

:58:03.:58:09.

said? I hope not. I look forward to hearing the honourable lady.

:58:09.:58:13.

you spot what happened? If not, here is a second chance from

:58:13.:58:17.

another angle. Keep your eye on Charles Hendry at the dispatch box

:58:17.:58:20.

on the left-hand side of the screen. We will announce our conclusion

:58:20.:58:30.
:58:30.:58:31.

shortly. Thank you, Mr Speaker. Oh, dear. If you did not spot it,

:58:31.:58:35.

Charles Hendry, the energy minister, managed to sit down on top of his

:58:36.:58:39.

boss, Lib Dem climate change Secretary of State Ed Davey. No

:58:39.:58:43.

wonder Tessa Munt lost it. And Ed Davey will be one of Andrew's

:58:43.:58:48.

guests this Sunday on the Sunday Politics at noon on BBC One. See

:58:48.:58:51.

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