Browse content similar to 21/06/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Afternoon, folks. Welcome to the Daily Politics. It could be back to | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
the 80s for exams, as the Government considers a return to O | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
levels. We'll ask whether the changes could restore the | :00:48. | :00:53. | |
reputation of secondary school qualifications. Paying your taxes? | :00:53. | :00:56. | |
You're having a laugh. Comedian Jimmy Carr apologies for avoiding | :00:56. | :01:01. | |
tax after David Cameron slaps him down. But will the joke end up | :01:01. | :01:05. | |
being on the Prime Minister? doctors take industrial action | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
today over government changes to their pension scheme, the BMA and | :01:08. | :01:14. | |
the Health Minister join us to debate the issues. And as Aung San | :01:14. | :01:17. | |
Suu Kyi visits Westminster on the latest leg of her trip to the UK, | :01:17. | :01:20. | |
we'll ask Foreign Office Minister Jeremy Browne why the Government is | :01:20. | :01:25. | |
also inviting the military-backed Burmese President to Britain. | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
what of England's chances at the Euros? We've been asking | :01:29. | :01:37. | |
parliament's best footballing brains if they can go all the way. | :01:37. | :01:44. | |
We must not get carried away. We have to take each game as it comes. | :01:44. | :01:48. | |
I think he will be getting carried away when it comes to the match | :01:48. | :01:53. | |
with Italy, even carried out! All that in the next hour. With us for | :01:53. | :01:55. | |
the duration former Director General of the CBI, Labour Trade | :01:55. | :02:01. | |
Minister and keen football fan, it says here, Digby Jones. He supports | :02:01. | :02:07. | |
Aston Villa, which I'm told is a football team! Thank you for having | :02:07. | :02:13. | |
me. Prince William supports him. And also David Cameron. Welcome. | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
Let's start with David Cameron's decision to criticise the TV comic | :02:16. | :02:22. | |
Jimmy Carr for his tax arrangements. It was revealed in the Times | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
newspaper. The comedian has been using an off-shore scheme to pay as | :02:25. | :02:29. | |
little as 1% income tax. This morning Mr Carr said he'd made a | :02:29. | :02:31. | |
terrible error of judgement, despite the scheme being entirely | :02:31. | :02:40. | |
legal. Here's what Mr Cameron had to say. Some of these schemes where | :02:40. | :02:45. | |
people are parking huge amounts of money offshore and taking loans are | :02:45. | :02:49. | |
back to minimise their tax rates, it is not morally acceptable and I | :02:49. | :02:54. | |
put it like this. Think of all those people who work hard, pay | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
their taxes, and out of their post- tax incomes, save up to go and see | :02:59. | :03:02. | |
Jimmy Carr, he is taking that money and of putting it somewhere where | :03:02. | :03:08. | |
he does not have to pay taxes. That is not right. The Prime Minister | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
talked about the morality of paying taxes in relation to Jimmy Carr's | :03:12. | :03:19. | |
tax affairs. Should be commenting on individual tax payer? He is in | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
Mexico taking a trade delegation with him, and they wish he had | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
stuck to his knitting and created jobs and wealth for Britain by | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
being there, rather commenting on such a domestic issue, but it's a | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
very, very difficult path for a Democratic elected politician to | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
take. On the one side, it's great politics. Especially at the moment, | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
it is excellent to be able to say, we've got these rich people not | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
breaking the law but they are morally repugnant. That's a phrase | :03:50. | :03:59. | |
which could come back to haunt them. Spot on. To get popularity, the | :03:59. | :04:04. | |
problem is, one man's tax avoidance is another man's planning. And | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
everybody does something which is perfectly legal but is a way of | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
minimising it. Jimmy Carr says he met with his financial adviser who | :04:11. | :04:17. | |
asked them, do you want to pay less tax and it's totally legal? Jimmy | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
Carr said yes. What is morally repugnant about that? If it's so | :04:21. | :04:27. | |
bad, why doesn't the Government close the loophole? Labour was in | :04:27. | :04:29. | |
power for 13 years, and the loophole has been there all this | :04:29. | :04:35. | |
time. If these things are so wrong, why do they exist? I actually sat | :04:35. | :04:40. | |
next to Gordon Brown at a dinner and he was clamping down on self- | :04:41. | :04:46. | |
employed IT professionals. Years ago, now. I remember saying, why | :04:46. | :04:50. | |
are you going after these people? What they are doing is illegal. And | :04:50. | :04:55. | |
not every professional footballer in the Premiership? Frankly, the | :04:55. | :05:00. | |
tax avoidance, which goes on with highly remunerated of footballers... | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
He said, if you think I'm going to lose the boats are the people who | :05:04. | :05:09. | |
support these footballers, you have got to be joking. -- the votes. | :05:09. | :05:12. | |
People have to make a moral judgement about what they do and | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
then governments are there to reflect the electorate's view on | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
whether it should be illegal or not and if it's not right, pass a law | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
to stop it. Over the years, politicians of all persuasions have | :05:23. | :05:29. | |
made the tax code more and more complicated. And they have put | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
taxes on there and loopholes there. Look at the film schemes introduced | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
by Labour as a way to get money in, but the tax guide under Gordon | :05:37. | :05:44. | |
Brown went from this thick to this thick. My accountant said to me, I | :05:44. | :05:49. | |
can't carry around the tax code any more because it's too big. With | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
smart accountants, finding dodgy ways around it... We have a | :05:54. | :05:59. | |
politician railing against the market. You put it tax up to a rate | :05:59. | :06:03. | |
where it pays some body to try to avoid it but it was lower, people | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
wouldn't do it. If the market doesn't like what Jimmy Carr is | :06:07. | :06:15. | |
doing, they won't go and watch his show. How do you differentiate | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
between it aggressive tax avoidance and straightforward tax avoidance? | :06:19. | :06:27. | |
I do great... I gave money to charity and a try to put other 10 | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
and I took huge exception to being told, when I put a bit in and the | :06:32. | :06:36. | |
Government puts a bit in and the charity gets it, it is morally | :06:36. | :06:40. | |
repugnant tax avoidance. I thought, if you're going go down this path, | :06:40. | :06:45. | |
be careful because you will put a lot of people down a road where | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
they have a label they don't deserve or forgive. The Prime | :06:48. | :06:51. | |
Minister has made to open season on people like Jimmy Carr. We should | :06:51. | :06:56. | |
look at Tory donors, Tory MPs, Cabinet colleagues, celebrity | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
supporters. We will see where this ends. It will be very interesting. | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
Now, today's Daily Mail has something of a scoop. We are giving | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
the Daily Mail credit. Usually it just steals other people's scoops | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
and does not give them credit. They've got hold of leaked | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
documents from the Department of Education on Government plans to | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
overhaul the exam system. Michael Gove was summoned to the Commons | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
this morning to confirm the plans which he said are going out to | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
consultation. So what has he got in mind and what could it mean for | :07:24. | :07:30. | |
school children in England? Here's Jo with the details. Yes, it seems | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
Michael Gove and his team have been burning the midnight oil. They've | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
come up with a new plan for school exams in England. Well, not so new | :07:37. | :07:40. | |
as it turns out. They're looking at getting rid of GCSEs and bringing | :07:40. | :07:46. | |
back O Level style exams. Remember them? It's understood the Education | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
Secretary believes GCSEs have led to a collapse in standards. And the | :07:49. | :07:52. | |
new tests would, it's claimed, meet or exceed the highest standards in | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
the world for that age group. The subjects would include English, | :07:56. | :07:59. | |
Maths and the individual sciences Physics, Chemistry and Biology. | :07:59. | :08:02. | |
There could also be new exams in History, Geography and modern | :08:02. | :08:08. | |
languages. Less able pupils might also sit a simpler CSE-style exam. | :08:08. | :08:11. | |
What's more, it's been reported that Mr Gove wants just one exam | :08:11. | :08:14. | |
board to set the new papers instead of schools being able to pick and | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
chose, something which ministers have claimed contributes to a race | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
to the bottom. However head teachers will have more choice on | :08:22. | :08:24. | |
what they teach, as the plans include proposals to scrap the | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
national curriculum in secondary schools. Something that already | :08:26. | :08:35. | |
happens in academies. Andrew. Thanks. We're joined to discuss the | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
plans by Conservative MP Liz Truss. And the shadow schools minister | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
Kevin Brennan. Welcome. Why don't we start with a short opening | :08:43. | :08:48. | |
statements. What is the case for this reform? Britain is | :08:48. | :08:53. | |
underperforming, our international competitors, we are 28th in the | :08:53. | :08:58. | |
world, 16th for science. It's not good enough. We have been overtaken | :08:58. | :09:03. | |
by Germany. The Asian countries are racing ahead, Canada is doing very | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
well and unfortunately, although we have seen the great inflation in | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
schools, the real results are not better as shown by the | :09:12. | :09:14. | |
international comparisons. The exam boards are competing with each | :09:14. | :09:19. | |
other to make the exams easier, to get schools to take them, and we | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
have seen the expose by the Telegraph this year showing it's | :09:22. | :09:27. | |
going on so we need radical change. Will Labour oppose these reforms | :09:27. | :09:32. | |
and why? If as reported in today's Daily Mail and we are returning | :09:32. | :09:39. | |
back to O-levels and CSC's, yes, we would, because we fear it will | :09:39. | :09:44. | |
close of opportunities for young people and Ken Baker this morning | :09:45. | :09:49. | |
described by CSCs as a worthless piece of paper, as they were. I | :09:49. | :09:55. | |
taught them. It was a change brought in by Mrs Thatcher for a | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
reason, to make sure opportunities were not closed off to children at | :09:59. | :10:04. | |
the age of 14. At the moment, 40% of students are not getting five | :10:04. | :10:11. | |
good grades at GCSEs. They're getting grade which are not well | :10:11. | :10:16. | |
regarded by employers. What we need to do, we're not talking about | :10:16. | :10:19. | |
returning to that system but what we are saying, in top-performing | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
countries, 80% of students are getting good quality qualifications | :10:24. | :10:28. | |
at 16. Those who are not able to reach those standards, 20%, should | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
be able to show what they can do in terms of mastering basic | :10:32. | :10:36. | |
mathematics and English. They can't do that in the current GCSE | :10:36. | :10:42. | |
structure. We are moving to a two- tier system, aren't we? There will | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
be two sorts of qualifications and one of them inevitably would be | :10:46. | :10:50. | |
seen as one for the poor. We have a two-tier system at the moment, 40% | :10:50. | :10:56. | |
of students not getting good grades at GCSE is and who are bringing | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
qualifications that employers don't take seriously and are having to | :10:58. | :11:03. | |
retrain people to do. I think it's better to say... They are being | :11:03. | :11:08. | |
sifted out by schools at the age of 14. Are they are told that they | :11:08. | :11:15. | |
have to go for an inferior qualification. I'm afraid that is | :11:15. | :11:22. | |
what will happen. I will come back. We have got plenty of time. Your | :11:22. | :11:29. | |
party had 18 years. Yours had 12 years. 13 years. Between you, that | :11:29. | :11:33. | |
is three scholastic generations. Three generations of children going | :11:33. | :11:37. | |
through school. After 11 years of full-time, free compulsory | :11:37. | :11:42. | |
education in this country, half the children, 48% who take a GCSE this | :11:42. | :11:48. | |
summer, will not get a grade above a C grade. 42% of the employers, | :11:48. | :11:52. | |
public and private sector, are people who come out of school and | :11:53. | :11:58. | |
have to give them remedial training, teach them to read. You are | :11:58. | :12:03. | |
squabbling now. What the average kid and empire once, just teach | :12:03. | :12:09. | |
them to read, write and count. -- employee wants. This constant | :12:09. | :12:14. | |
social streaming concept. You have got to teach them to read. | :12:14. | :12:19. | |
completely agree that we didn't do enough when we were in government. | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
Were you wrong to introduce the GCSEs? Margaret Thatcher did it. | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
The A-level system was not right because not enough people were | :12:27. | :12:33. | |
getting good quality occasions. were you wrong? Answer yes or no. | :12:33. | :12:38. | |
It isn't right. It must have been on otherwise you would not be | :12:38. | :12:46. | |
making these changes. It's IBS on know. The Tory high command is not | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
going to hang you from Westminster Bridge! Just answer truthfully, yes | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
or no. They were better than what went before but not as good as what | :12:54. | :13:01. | |
we could have now. No one is holding you accountable. I did a | :13:01. | :13:06. | |
GCSE in media studies myself, Andrew, so I'm well aware. Confess | :13:06. | :13:11. | |
and be honest. Was it wrong to do it? They were an improvement but | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
not enough of an improvement. there's an improvement, why are you | :13:15. | :13:21. | |
going back to the way it was? want to say why it will be | :13:21. | :13:25. | |
different. What we are envisaging his students will study in the same | :13:25. | :13:30. | |
classes but when they get to 16 there will be a question about, are | :13:30. | :13:38. | |
they up to doing the rigorous GCSEs or do they sit... So they sit at | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
the same classroom but do it to different qualifications? Excuse me. | :13:43. | :13:48. | |
You've had a good go, even they didn't answer my question. How can | :13:48. | :13:54. | |
this country hope to compete with Germany or China or Singapore? One | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
of the questions in the GCSE science paper is, do you use a | :13:58. | :14:04. | |
microscope or a telescope to look at the moon? If you ask somebody | :14:04. | :14:10. | |
that, you would think you were Jimmy Carr having a laugh. There is | :14:10. | :14:15. | |
a good piece in today's Financial Times a dressing that very question. | :14:15. | :14:20. | |
I haven't read it. It points out that the GCSE is available to | :14:20. | :14:25. | |
children at every level and that may sound like an extremely simple | :14:25. | :14:33. | |
question. It is, but it's not testing the ability of the pupils | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
who are being stretched. What is the answer? Do you think Chinese | :14:37. | :14:42. | |
children are being asked that question? They do get a paper like | :14:42. | :14:50. | |
that. Do you think a Chinese kid is being asked that in a serious | :14:50. | :14:57. | |
science exam in the Shanghai? idea. The answer is no. It is an | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
all ability paper. If you're going to put in some children in a small | :15:00. | :15:06. | |
number, clearly questions of that kind will be on it. It shows we | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
have a two-tier system at the moment. Students are being asked | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
low-grade questions at the moment. It's better to get basic English | :15:14. | :15:20. | |
and maths in place. Back in the distant past, when the education | :15:20. | :15:23. | |
system was ruined through the introduction of comprehensive | :15:23. | :15:27. | |
schools, instead of saying it let's make the bits that don't work well, | :15:28. | :15:36. | |
secondary modern, and CSC's, instead of saying that letters make | :15:36. | :15:42. | |
that better, create more vocational skills and training, and Taylor | :15:42. | :15:45. | |
something to people whose academic abilities is not so good, instead | :15:45. | :15:55. | |
:15:55. | :16:04. | ||
of that, both of you in different Will it actually raise standards? | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
If the problem is you were going to have a mediocre set of results, it | :16:09. | :16:17. | |
will not raise standards, will it? We're asking schools to have higher | :16:17. | :16:23. | |
aspirations. Students in all these other countries - 80% or 90% are | :16:23. | :16:31. | |
doing high quality academic qualifications until they are 16. | :16:31. | :16:37. | |
Why did you leave out then? That is top of the table. I do not think we | :16:37. | :16:43. | |
can have a system that only educates a minority of people. | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
Academic education is becoming more and more important. Mathematics | :16:48. | :16:53. | |
commands highest earnings premium in the workplace. He cannot write a | :16:53. | :17:03. | |
:17:03. | :17:08. | ||
whole bunch of students off. Half of students cannot read? Actually | :17:08. | :17:12. | |
those standards have improved. I know you say about the return back | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
to the system of having selection at 11, which is presumably what you | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
favour in terms of grammar school as and secondary moderns. The vast | :17:22. | :17:28. | |
majority of such -- children, literacy was terrible. It is wrong | :17:28. | :17:32. | |
to say that half the children cannot read. It is wrong to say | :17:32. | :17:38. | |
they cannot read at 16 - half the children. Why is it Beth half of | :17:38. | :17:48. | |
:17:48. | :17:50. | ||
the Labour MPs actually supported our policy? -- that. We are out of | :17:50. | :17:56. | |
time. A great debate. I am sure we will continue it. If you had | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
surgery or an appointment planned with your consultant, chances are | :18:00. | :18:06. | |
you're not be seeing a doctor because of industrial action over | :18:06. | :18:12. | |
changes to pensions. We will bring to representatives of both sides of | :18:12. | :18:18. | |
the dispute to argue their cases. The public finances we inherited | :18:18. | :18:23. | |
were in a terrible situation. There was a necessity to rebalance public | :18:24. | :18:28. | |
service workers' contributions to their pensions with taxpayers' | :18:28. | :18:35. | |
subsidies. Instead of, for example, �4 out of �5 being contributed, | :18:35. | :18:44. | |
there has been a shift. I wanted it still to be a really good pension | :18:44. | :18:50. | |
scheme. When you look at it, for a junior doctor starting out, over | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
their working lifetime, if the works through G68, some he is | :18:54. | :19:04. | |
starting out at 2015 and 24, they will be able to have a pension -- a | :19:04. | :19:11. | |
large pension. All the doctors will get the pension they expected when | :19:11. | :19:20. | |
it spent -- expected. Starting with you, do you feel there is little | :19:21. | :19:27. | |
sympathy for you and the strike? Some of the headlines in the papers | :19:27. | :19:34. | |
saying, the strike will confirm a growing perception that the | :19:34. | :19:40. | |
profession is fuelled by greed. This is the first time in nearly 40 | :19:40. | :19:45. | |
years that doctors have taken any sort of action. The public have to | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
ask what has driven them to this and what meant that 70% of them | :19:49. | :19:52. | |
said they wanted to take action because of the fact the Government | :19:52. | :20:00. | |
had come back on the 2008 pension scheme. Let's have a look at | :20:00. | :20:05. | |
doctors and GPs. What you say to reports that at supporters also | :20:05. | :20:12. | |
waning? There were poles by GPs saying that 281 GP centres, 22% | :20:12. | :20:16. | |
confirmed there would not be taking part. Doctors have taken this | :20:16. | :20:20. | |
decision very reluctant they. I can fully understand and sympathise | :20:20. | :20:25. | |
with doctors who do not want to take this dispute out on patients. | :20:25. | :20:29. | |
That is why we have tried to minimise the impact on patients. | :20:29. | :20:39. | |
:20:39. | :20:41. | ||
All doctors are treating emergency cases. I'm not out to maximise the | :20:41. | :20:46. | |
adverse reaction on the public. We are talking but highlighting the | :20:46. | :20:52. | |
problem and resolving the issue. What do you hope to achieve? | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
Ministers could not have been clearer. They said the action | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
stands no chance to talk in changing government policy. One way | :21:00. | :21:05. | |
or another, one has to try to resolve these. There are be far | :21:05. | :21:11. | |
better to resolve but sooner rather to talk, sit down and tried to find | :21:11. | :21:17. | |
a way out of the problem. Why could do not have stop this happening? | :21:17. | :21:24. | |
believe the deal being put forward is fair. You'll notice the nurses | :21:24. | :21:29. | |
and Unison members are not striking today. Department of Health | :21:29. | :21:35. | |
officials have had 23 meetings with the BMA to discuss this. It is | :21:35. | :21:37. | |
unfortunate that chair of the pension committee did not turn up | :21:37. | :21:43. | |
to the meetings. Hamish has had five meetings with the Secretary of | :21:43. | :21:49. | |
State. Why have you not worked this out? Do not so we have not engage | :21:49. | :21:53. | |
properly in negotiation. The head of our pensions department has been | :21:53. | :21:57. | |
at every single meeting - the equivalent of every other union | :21:57. | :22:02. | |
personnel was there as well. The idea we have not been committed to | :22:02. | :22:08. | |
the discussions is untrue. Are you saying you will not negotiate? | :22:08. | :22:14. | |
have come up with a fair deal. Ind has been accepted by the nurses' | :22:14. | :22:22. | |
and Unison. -- it has been. If you joined the pension scheme in 2015, | :22:22. | :22:27. | |
if you retire at 65, you will get a pension of �53,000. If you retire | :22:27. | :22:35. | |
later, at 68, you will receive �68,000 a year pension, which is a | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
pot of �1.5 million from the private sector. Why is that not | :22:39. | :22:45. | |
acceptable? We went into more the issues about pensions in 2008. We | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
had a deal where doctors would work longer, pay more and, where any | :22:50. | :22:54. | |
future impact on the pension system would be taken by the employees and | :22:54. | :22:59. | |
not by the Government. People live longer and the cost of pensions go | :22:59. | :23:05. | |
up. That would be paid for by the employees and not the Government. | :23:05. | :23:14. | |
It is wrong to compare it with another pot. At the moment, that is | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
supplied �2 billion a year surplus to the Treasury. You have run a | :23:19. | :23:28. | |
Tarmac deal? No, we have not. -- gone back on that deal? Very few | :23:28. | :23:33. | |
have joined that scheme. That scheme renegotiated, Winnie was | :23:33. | :23:38. | |
less good than the current scheme that doctors had. -- we knew. We | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
agreed to it in the interest of the public. It is not surprising that | :23:42. | :23:50. | |
few doctors joined bad. What you are now offering was far less good. | :23:50. | :23:55. | |
The 2008 scheme which was put together did not take into account | :23:55. | :24:01. | |
two key factors - one the economic situation and the cost to the | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
country. You are saying you a change it because of the economic | :24:05. | :24:11. | |
situation. Also because of changes in the lifespan of people. If you | :24:11. | :24:21. | |
:24:21. | :24:24. | ||
retire at 60, it could be 34 years. Amanda working on the line a Jaguar | :24:24. | :24:31. | |
has jumped through every hoop to keep in work. -- a man. Rarely have | :24:31. | :24:37. | |
I ever sat in a television studio unwashed a turkey voting for | :24:37. | :24:43. | |
Christmas. -- and watched. On behalf of that kite in Birmingham, | :24:43. | :24:48. | |
making motor cars, you have just wash -- lost the street-cred your | :24:48. | :24:55. | |
profession deserves. I am sorry you think that is the case. Doctors are | :24:55. | :25:03. | |
now in the 30th of a pay freeze. -- third year. Doctors have agreed to | :25:03. | :25:08. | |
pay more. Lord Hutton said, this is not the race. Public sector | :25:08. | :25:13. | |
pensions are not gold-plated. It has always been part of working in | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
the public sector that you had a degree of job security and | :25:17. | :25:22. | |
reasonable pensions. Now doctors are having to pay almost twice as | :25:22. | :25:27. | |
much as equivalents in the Civil Service. That cannot be fair. | :25:27. | :25:32. | |
should doctors' pay much more for their pensions and well-paid civil | :25:32. | :25:38. | |
servants and MPs? First of all, it is wrong to just isolate one aspect | :25:38. | :25:45. | |
of the whole pension package. should they pay much more? 14.5% | :25:45. | :25:55. | |
:25:55. | :25:55. | ||
Against 9%. Why is it so different? You are wrong! 14.5% after tax | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
relief, that is 8.7%. If you are talking about MPs, they are | :26:00. | :26:09. | |
currently paying 13.5% for their pensions. It rose from 11.25 %. | :26:09. | :26:13. | |
That is bought eight 20th accrual. Matters in half the time the | :26:13. | :26:23. | |
doctors would take. -- that is in half the time. On the broad., let's | :26:23. | :26:30. | |
not get bogged down into much detail in terms of figures. -- on | :26:30. | :26:39. | |
the broad point. Is it fair? Senior civil servants are earning, on | :26:39. | :26:45. | |
average, �78,000 a year. Consultants are earning �116,500. | :26:45. | :26:50. | |
The average pension for all civil servants, including senior, middle | :26:50. | :26:57. | |
and junior, is about �31,000 the year. The average in the NHS scheme | :26:57. | :27:06. | |
is �7,000. The doctors won �53,000, rising to 68 as an pounds. -- the | :27:06. | :27:16. | |
:27:16. | :27:20. | ||
doctors want. -- the doctors want �53,000 rising to �68,000. Is it | :27:20. | :27:25. | |
clever to cut funding for the NHS, introduce competition and carry out | :27:25. | :27:31. | |
the biggest reorganisation of the NHS, impose a pay freeze and | :27:31. | :27:35. | |
changed doctors pensions at the same time? BhS is a protected | :27:36. | :27:43. | |
budget. They are having a modest real terms increase. -- the NHS is | :27:43. | :27:48. | |
a protected budget. This was not going to get the doctors on side. | :27:48. | :27:54. | |
It was difficult to get doctors on side at times at all. The NHS needs | :27:54. | :28:00. | |
to continue to evolve. We cannot stand still. You are looking greedy | :28:00. | :28:04. | |
and self-interested. You have not gone strike that money being sent | :28:04. | :28:13. | |
for the NHS. You ask about your pensions. You know as well as I can, | :28:13. | :28:17. | |
industrial law is you cannot go on strike for something like that - | :28:17. | :28:24. | |
only for a contractual thing. could make a bigger deal upper tip. | :28:24. | :28:31. | |
The beer maybe -- made a big deal about the changes. We were the | :28:31. | :28:36. | |
first body to talk about this. We both have scars on our back to | :28:36. | :28:42. | |
prove it. When teachers started to strike in the early 80s, they lost | :28:42. | :28:47. | |
the link of trust between society and them. You're just about to go | :28:47. | :28:53. | |
down the same path and that is a tragedy. Thank you both very much. | :28:53. | :28:58. | |
Contrary to what Digby was saying, if any techies are watching this | :28:58. | :29:05. | |
programme, I would like to reassure you, Christmas is a long way off! - | :29:05. | :29:12. | |
- techies. It has been veiled Jimmy Carr paid in cash for his �8.5 | :29:12. | :29:21. | |
million house. -- it has been revealed that Jimmy Carr. I think | :29:21. | :29:25. | |
we are in the wrong business the stuff we need to be comedians. Got | :29:25. | :29:35. | |
Until very recently it would have been unthinkable. But this | :29:35. | :29:38. | |
afternoon Aung Sang Sui Kyi, leader of Burma's Opposition and a woman | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
who endured house arrest at the hands of her country's military | :29:41. | :29:44. | |
junta for 15 years, will address both Houses of Parliament. She's | :29:44. | :29:49. | |
only the second woman after the Queen to do so. In a moment, we'll | :29:49. | :29:52. | |
talk to the Foreign Office minister Jeremy Browne about the trip and | :29:52. | :29:54. | |
Britain's invitation to the President of Burma to visit the UK | :29:54. | :29:59. | |
later in the year. But first let's go over to Adam Fleming who's | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
outside the Houses of Parliament with two women whose lives have | :30:02. | :30:05. | |
been touched by Aung San Suu Kyi and her campaign. | :30:05. | :30:10. | |
Good afternoon. A really historic day in the Commons today. They just | :30:10. | :30:14. | |
started cutting the grass on College Green but to discuss | :30:14. | :30:18. | |
today's events we are joined by boot to women who have been | :30:18. | :30:22. | |
affected by Aung San Suu Kyi. A woman who wrote a film about the | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
Burmese opposition leader. And a woman who is from the Burma | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
campaigner UK. Rebecca, this would be a great climax for your thumb, | :30:30. | :30:37. | |
wouldn't it? Yes, when I voted for years ago, Aung San Suu Kyi had | :30:37. | :30:41. | |
been under house arrest for over 20 years and the film was a | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
campaigning film to campaign for her release so little did we know, | :30:45. | :30:49. | |
history would move so quickly. does this fit into the story of her | :30:49. | :30:55. | |
life? Today is a wonderful day. She's on a five-country tour of | :30:55. | :30:59. | |
Europe and I think that in addressing both houses of | :30:59. | :31:02. | |
parliament today, which is an honour accorded to usually only | :31:02. | :31:08. | |
heads of state, I think the West are sending a clear signal to the | :31:08. | :31:15. | |
military of Aung San Suu Kyi, but she has the right for leader, and | :31:15. | :31:21. | |
she has who we wanted a business with. She won a landslide election | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
victory in the 1991 and it will mean she will return to Burma at | :31:25. | :31:32. | |
the end of this week with increased political clout. What is it like | :31:32. | :31:37. | |
knowing you are going to be watching her? It is wonderful. Very | :31:37. | :31:45. | |
inspiring and encouraging. To see Aung San Suu Kyi travelling outside | :31:45. | :31:54. | |
Burma. She has the confidence she will be allowed back in Burma. Many | :31:54. | :31:59. | |
others have been campaigning for her release. It is just very | :31:59. | :32:03. | |
helpful and encouraging to see this, but I think the most important | :32:03. | :32:08. | |
thing for us to see is what she has to say. The political messages she | :32:08. | :32:13. | |
has been delivering throughout her trip in Europe is very good and | :32:13. | :32:19. | |
very inspiring. There are still hundreds of political prisoners in | :32:19. | :32:24. | |
Burma. The international committees, governments, have to do something | :32:24. | :32:29. | |
about it for their release and, at the same time, for humanitarian aid | :32:29. | :32:34. | |
to be increased in at Burma, especially for Refugees, to have a | :32:35. | :32:39. | |
genuine peace in ethnic areas. The International Committee should pay | :32:39. | :32:45. | |
attention. Are you worried that if people see Aung San Suu Kyi touring | :32:45. | :32:49. | |
around Europe, they will think everything is fine now? Some people | :32:49. | :32:54. | |
who don't know much about Burma, of course they might think that the | :32:54. | :32:58. | |
problems are solved now but Aung San Suu Kyi makes it very clear | :32:58. | :33:05. | |
that we still have a long way to go in Burma and the international | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
community needs to support the people in Burma. Although the | :33:09. | :33:18. | |
Government in Burma is opening up some kind of political phrases by | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
stabilising problems in Burma... It's a problem for the | :33:23. | :33:26. | |
international committee to support our community and the people in a | :33:26. | :33:30. | |
Burma to have genuine peace. what about the British Government's | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
invite to the President? It's far too soon. The British Government | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
has sent bench marks against the Government in Burma and none of | :33:39. | :33:44. | |
those benchmarks have been met. Thank you both for joining us. We | :33:44. | :33:49. | |
have run out of time. The speech starts at 3pm and then there is a | :33:49. | :33:56. | |
reception later on. Thank you, Adam. And welcome to | :33:56. | :34:02. | |
viewers in Scotland. We're discussing Aung San Suu Kyi's visit | :34:02. | :34:07. | |
to Britain. Her speech to the joint session of Parliament. And we're | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
joined by Jeremy Browne, Foreign Office Minister. Are we in danger | :34:11. | :34:16. | |
of thinking that the situation has been resolved in Burma now? Yes, | :34:16. | :34:21. | |
because it has not been resolved but has shifted significantly. The | :34:21. | :34:26. | |
balance to have to strike in the play Missy is to recognise change | :34:26. | :34:30. | |
when you see it and reward it but not anticipate future change before | :34:30. | :34:35. | |
it has happened. We are trying to get that balance right, encourage | :34:35. | :34:40. | |
progress in Burma. This is a sick of a good part, this week, but we | :34:40. | :34:48. | |
are not being blinded by it -- a significant part. That woman thinks | :34:48. | :34:53. | |
it's too soon to invite the President of this country. He was a | :34:53. | :34:58. | |
former general. He leads a military-backed party. Still a | :34:58. | :35:04. | |
military regime. She thinks it's too soon. That could then it is | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
sometimes made that in trying to reward progress and show good faith | :35:07. | :35:14. | |
-- criticism -- in terms of my decisions going on in Burma with | :35:14. | :35:20. | |
the people, we over reach ourselves. I don't accept that. I think we are | :35:20. | :35:23. | |
getting the balance right. Aung San Suu Kyi is in favour of telling | :35:24. | :35:27. | |
that level of engagement and the Prime Minister and Foreign | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
Secretary have been in Burma this year, and as well as meeting her | :35:31. | :35:34. | |
they had engaged with the Burmese authorities and the President as | :35:34. | :35:39. | |
well. We have to manage that relationship as a whole, and him | :35:39. | :35:47. | |
coming, I hope, will enable us to bring about reform in Burma. Have | :35:47. | :35:53. | |
we normalised relations with Burma? We won't sell them arms, but have | :35:53. | :35:59. | |
we returned to normality? Ride through, we had an embassy there. - | :35:59. | :36:05. | |
- a right through. I look forward to being at posted there! What poor | :36:05. | :36:10. | |
man had descended there! It's not normally the longest queue for that | :36:10. | :36:15. | |
job. It's a politically interesting job when you arrive at. The British | :36:15. | :36:18. | |
ambassador is back here for the Aung San Suu Kyi visit and is | :36:18. | :36:22. | |
playing a central role in that. We have suspended EU sanctions and | :36:22. | :36:27. | |
consciously not scrap them. They are in suspension and that was a | :36:27. | :36:31. | |
conscious decision led by David Cameron and the British Government | :36:31. | :36:36. | |
that we would have that hanging over them but if there was a | :36:36. | :36:41. | |
demonstration of progress, the rewards follow, so there is a bit | :36:41. | :36:47. | |
of coaxing. Over 400 political prisoners, still. Lots have been | :36:47. | :36:56. | |
released. Amnesty and others had a campaign where you had people's | :36:56. | :37:02. | |
names on your hands and campaigned for them. Those had been released | :37:02. | :37:06. | |
so there has been great progress. I had a meeting with Aung San Suu Kyi | :37:06. | :37:08. | |
and of Foreign Secretary this morning and she said she thought | :37:08. | :37:15. | |
there was about 271 remaining political prisoners but you can get | :37:15. | :37:17. | |
the ones who are most obviously political prisoners, they have been | :37:18. | :37:22. | |
released. It's what you classified as a political prisoner because | :37:22. | :37:27. | |
some of them, it may be described like that, may also be imprisoned | :37:27. | :37:33. | |
for violent acts, for example. She said the 271 was not an absolute | :37:33. | :37:40. | |
figure and there could be an error. A we are the biggest donor. | :37:40. | :37:45. | |
gives us some substantial leverage. Although William Hague was the | :37:45. | :37:50. | |
first British Foreign Secretary since the 1950s to visit Burma, and | :37:50. | :37:55. | |
Richards had previously been. There's all kinds of difficulties | :37:55. | :38:03. | |
in Burma. A lot of internal unrest. We are trying to help in that | :38:03. | :38:10. | |
regard and I hope that that gives us a bigger... When I was in Delhi, | :38:10. | :38:20. | |
:38:20. | :38:20. | ||
as a minister, I said when Burma finally opens up to the world, the | :38:20. | :38:25. | |
real end during way of keeping reform in their face will be | :38:25. | :38:30. | |
through trade. It will be through clean water, health care, education | :38:30. | :38:34. | |
and all that comes from wealth created by people trading and | :38:34. | :38:40. | |
investing. Am very supportive of what you're doing. I think the way | :38:40. | :38:45. | |
you have put it is spot-on. When the cameras have gone home and Aung | :38:45. | :38:49. | |
San Suu Kyi has gone home, and it's not flavour of the month any more, | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
the Burmese have got to understand democracy pays and that by a job, | :38:54. | :39:01. | |
healthcare, education. I strongly agree. What do we want to trade | :39:01. | :39:07. | |
with them? There's a lot of opportunities. Let me help you. | :39:07. | :39:10. | |
They have a lot of natural resources. The Chinese and the | :39:10. | :39:17. | |
Indians are in their though, aren't they? I mean the support services, | :39:17. | :39:23. | |
gas and oil fields. Really good people who can go in there. Also | :39:23. | :39:27. | |
they need capacity, how to deliver and we are quite good at that, | :39:27. | :39:35. | |
education and training. I want to move on. Will there be Lib Dem | :39:36. | :39:42. | |
unrest at these education reforms? I haven't seen the details of the | :39:42. | :39:46. | |
reforms but read some newspaper reports. I think what will be the | :39:46. | :39:51. | |
guiding principle for the rank and file Lib Dems is to have a system | :39:51. | :39:56. | |
where everybody is able to realise their potential. You don't have a | :39:56. | :40:01. | |
glass ceilings put in at different layers. It's a return to a two-tier | :40:01. | :40:06. | |
system. I think there has been some genuine concern, not only on the | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
Conservative benches, that we need to make sure that different exam | :40:10. | :40:15. | |
boards are not trying to compete with each other to make the system | :40:15. | :40:21. | |
easier. Will your party be happy with a two-tier system? English and | :40:21. | :40:26. | |
maths, we need to keep the rigour to be internationally competitive. | :40:26. | :40:32. | |
Will you be happy with a two-tier system, a return to O-levels and a | :40:32. | :40:40. | |
modern version of A C S E? instincts are obviously people will | :40:40. | :40:49. | |
get the top grades and people will get, but we want to try and keep | :40:49. | :40:55. | |
that under one umbrella bar than having separate strains. The OK. We | :40:55. | :41:01. | |
have done Education and Burma. Versatile today. Now the big issue. | :41:01. | :41:10. | |
England are playing Kiev on Sunday. I was unfairly treated earlier this | :41:10. | :41:16. | |
week on the subject for the did you see that? I apologise. I have no | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
idea what you're talking about. said England had never reached a | :41:20. | :41:24. | |
final of the tournament held outside England. And this was | :41:24. | :41:27. | |
reported as me predicting that England would not reach the final. | :41:27. | :41:35. | |
I didn't do that at all. Can I now get on with a questions? No | :41:35. | :41:39. | |
minister is going to go to the match in Kiev, in the Ukraine, | :41:39. | :41:47. | |
correct? The quarter-final. Yes. The semi-final, if we get through, | :41:47. | :41:53. | |
it's in Poland. So you can go there. What happens of England makes the | :41:53. | :42:03. | |
:42:03. | :42:04. | ||
final in the Ukraine? I think we are reserving our position. Why? | :42:04. | :42:07. | |
I'm definitely not going because I will be on the other side of the | :42:07. | :42:16. | |
world. If it were you? The position, it has been, and answering the | :42:16. | :42:23. | |
question, I'm not going. Would you go? The ministers in general? | :42:23. | :42:27. | |
they go to the final if we make it to the final? It remains under | :42:27. | :42:33. | |
review but I wouldn't have an assumption that they will do. | :42:33. | :42:35. | |
if it's right to boycott the Ukraine for the reasons you have | :42:35. | :42:40. | |
given, surely it doesn't matter whether it is the tiddlywinks | :42:40. | :42:45. | |
championship or the finals of the year 2012? If you want to make an | :42:45. | :42:50. | |
effective boycott, the final is the place to do it. Not going to a | :42:50. | :42:57. | |
quarter-final,, a final, it consistently es or no. The position | :42:57. | :43:03. | |
is that there is widespread feeling, shared by the British Government | :43:03. | :43:06. | |
that they have been a serious errors of concern in the Ukraine | :43:06. | :43:12. | |
and you want to demonstrate. The fact it's been discussed so widely | :43:12. | :43:16. | |
in a way, as shown that we have got across that message very powerfully | :43:16. | :43:20. | |
but there are people who say that it is appropriate, especially if | :43:20. | :43:25. | |
you go to the later end of the competition, to have that type of | :43:25. | :43:29. | |
representation. We will keep it under review but it wouldn't hold | :43:29. | :43:32. | |
any great prospect that we would attend because of those concerns | :43:32. | :43:37. | |
about human rights. You could make it that if you go to the final, you | :43:37. | :43:42. | |
then have to go and be ambassador in North Korea as a penalty? | :43:42. | :43:47. | |
that why you're not going? Are they hosting any tournaments any time | :43:47. | :43:53. | |
soon? They did well in a 1966 World Cup. Their record since then... | :43:53. | :43:57. | |
but then they could afford to eat. They are now richer than South | :43:57. | :44:01. | |
Korea, though. An amazing transformation in that type of the | :44:01. | :44:07. | |
world. Thank you very much. That's assuming England get to the final. | :44:07. | :44:11. | |
What do you think? I would ask you! It's already been a summer to | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
remember with Diamond Jubilees and the Olympics, not to mention | :44:13. | :44:16. | |
England's imminent triumph in the Euros. The eyes of the world will | :44:16. | :44:19. | |
be on Britain. So what better opportunity for putting our goods | :44:19. | :44:22. | |
and services in the shop window? But are government and business | :44:22. | :44:24. | |
really capitalising on it? And are they doing enough to promote | :44:24. | :44:27. | |
British trade with the emerging economic superpowers of Brazil, | :44:27. | :44:37. | |
:44:37. | :44:44. | ||
Russia, India and China? We sent We might not be able to guarantee | :44:44. | :44:49. | |
the weather but this summer will be Britain a past of his chance to | :44:49. | :44:57. | |
shine on the world's stage. We have had the Diamond Jubilee. -- | :44:57. | :45:02. | |
Britain's prime -- chance. Will any of this actually make a difference | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
to the image of Britain in the world? Will it help to put our | :45:06. | :45:13. | |
exports in the shop window? In the end, have you got the products? | :45:13. | :45:19. | |
Have you got the people? Is the Government backing you? Can you get | :45:19. | :45:25. | |
export and financial support? Too many answers remain, not quite, not | :45:25. | :45:30. | |
sure. That is not the view from the coalition front bench. British | :45:30. | :45:38. | |
exports to Brazil going at 37%. British exports to China going at | :45:38. | :45:43. | |
61%. British exports to India going up 73%. That is because the British | :45:43. | :45:46. | |
government is out there, championing British business, which | :45:46. | :45:53. | |
the other side neglected to do. Brazil Russia India and China are | :45:53. | :46:00. | |
the brick Nations. -- brake nations. These statistics do not tell the | :46:00. | :46:07. | |
holster talk -- story. In the UK club bottom of the leak of EU | :46:07. | :46:14. | |
nations when it comes to sending goods to emerging markets. -- the | :46:14. | :46:21. | |
UK is bottom of the leak. Russia is a very good example of exporting | :46:21. | :46:25. | |
its image. We're in the post- industrial age where Britain does | :46:25. | :46:31. | |
not produce as much as it did in the 19th century. Russians aspired | :46:31. | :46:37. | |
to everything, what is British and what is English. What open stores | :46:37. | :46:45. | |
in Brazil? In Brazil, we are known for football. It has a Briton who | :46:45. | :46:50. | |
took the first football in the 18 90s. We are known in different | :46:50. | :46:55. | |
places for different things. We could be promoting our message even | :46:55. | :47:00. | |
more. That is what is going to sell goods and services. Why aren't we | :47:00. | :47:07. | |
selling more? They do not cut as any slack. We think the Indians are | :47:07. | :47:12. | |
our friends. Belgian exports more to India than we do. Unless we have | :47:12. | :47:18. | |
the products, the personnel, we have to get up and go guys, but | :47:18. | :47:24. | |
above all we have a government that believes in helping companies | :47:24. | :47:30. | |
export. Ministers say they believe that there is no bang behind their | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
words. When I was in Brazil receiving British business figures, | :47:34. | :47:39. | |
there were two things they always said. They had no idea Brazil was | :47:39. | :47:44. | |
like it was. The second was that they will be back. Sadly, quite a | :47:44. | :47:52. | |
few were impressed but never came back. Heritage is one of Britain's | :47:52. | :47:59. | |
u s ps. That will determine whether our trade is left in the past. -- | :47:59. | :48:05. | |
unique selling points. Let's start with the image of Britain abroad. | :48:05. | :48:10. | |
How are reviewed on the trading saying? I was an international | :48:10. | :48:20. | |
:48:20. | :48:21. | ||
corporate finance a liar. It has -- lawyer. I do not think it has | :48:21. | :48:26. | |
changed. We are seen as slow but we are trusted. More than the | :48:26. | :48:30. | |
Americans and the French. More than the Germans and Japanese. We're a | :48:30. | :48:36. | |
trusted trading partner. People believe Bass and like to associate | :48:36. | :48:42. | |
with our values. -- belief asked. When you buy something for me by | :48:42. | :48:47. | |
because you feel good about it all. As emerging markets get richer, | :48:47. | :48:51. | |
middle classes have disposable income. What do they want to show | :48:51. | :49:01. | |
:49:01. | :49:04. | ||
off? And services. They want to buy a Mini. They want a Jaguar Land | :49:04. | :49:08. | |
Rover. They want a Vodafone made in Newbury. They want to send their | :49:08. | :49:13. | |
kids to a British university. That is buying into a feeling of | :49:13. | :49:20. | |
Britishness. In the last 30 years, nothing has changed. Middle classes | :49:20. | :49:27. | |
are growing and expanding in the -- in those countries. We make half of | :49:27. | :49:36. | |
every Airbus that is ever flown. A lot take off from Toulouse. It is | :49:36. | :49:43. | |
booked as the French export. Reebok kit as an export to France. We make | :49:43. | :49:52. | |
half of it. -- week book it. They book a whole thing. France sell a | :49:52. | :49:57. | |
lot more to India and China. That happens a lot. Secondly, an awful | :49:58. | :50:03. | |
lot of what we do it in emerging markets, we have come in from other | :50:03. | :50:07. | |
ways. Higher education is a fabulous export in this country. It | :50:07. | :50:14. | |
is them coming to us. Services is another one. On a monorail in Dubai, | :50:14. | :50:24. | |
:50:24. | :50:28. | ||
we ran it. It is not a sensible sale. -- Serco run it. We have a | :50:29. | :50:38. | |
:50:39. | :50:42. | ||
Secretary of State who does not use British goods. They do not get it. | :50:42. | :50:49. | |
I came up against this all the time as Trade Minister. It is open | :50:49. | :50:56. | |
market. I do not want protectionism. What I want is in the DNA of people. | :50:56. | :51:02. | |
It is not protectionist. I would love Vince Cable to get in every | :51:02. | :51:09. | |
day the Toyota, Nissan or Honda made in Britain. The British | :51:09. | :51:15. | |
business minister gets into a Japanese car made in Japan? Because | :51:15. | :51:20. | |
they cannot understand why it matters. When I was the minister, | :51:20. | :51:28. | |
the first thing that happened Dom we made Nissan in Sunderland. | :51:28. | :51:35. | |
the first thing that happened at... I am saying if you put him in here | :51:35. | :51:39. | |
and asked if he was patriotic, he would say, of course I am. When I | :51:39. | :51:49. | |
:51:49. | :51:52. | ||
got there, they said, it is your car. They do not get it. As you can | :51:52. | :51:55. | |
imagine, we're getting very excited at the Daily Politics about | :51:55. | :52:00. | |
everything going on in Europe. Last minute transfer of the Greek right | :52:00. | :52:08. | |
wing, Germany giving nothing away. -- and plucky England planning | :52:08. | :52:11. | |
their own furrow and just about staying in the game. I'm not | :52:12. | :52:18. | |
talking about the euro crisis, I am talking about Euro 2012. I am told | :52:18. | :52:23. | |
it is a football tournament. Who will win? Can Greece beat back the | :52:23. | :52:33. | |
:52:33. | :52:39. | ||
Germans? Who better to ask than football-mad MPs? Occasionally talk | :52:39. | :52:44. | |
does slip towards Euro 2012. We are interested in both. There is a | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
danger that both will end in tears. Expectations are raised. Things | :52:48. | :52:55. | |
seem to be on the way up and dashed at the last moment. I think | :52:55. | :53:02. | |
everybody wants Greece to win. I am told Greece will only play if they | :53:02. | :53:06. | |
played against the German reserves. I would like Greece to win but I | :53:06. | :53:11. | |
expect Germany will win. If they win and we when we will play them. | :53:11. | :53:19. | |
Maybe they should decide the bail out conditions. I would like to | :53:19. | :53:22. | |
think they would drop out of the euro's first but I have a sneaking | :53:22. | :53:27. | |
suspicion that, if Italy do well, it will be a winning goal by Mario | :53:27. | :53:33. | |
Balatelli. Days are numbered to just a couple. Let's get behind the | :53:33. | :53:40. | |
lads. It is looking good. By God, the country needs a left! It is | :53:40. | :53:50. | |
:53:50. | :53:50. | ||
quite clear it will be the euro, any time soon. No is the straight | :53:50. | :53:55. | |
answer. I think we have done pretty well so far. We might beat Italy | :53:55. | :54:00. | |
but I think we will probably get knocked out by the Germans. First | :54:00. | :54:05. | |
of all we are unlucky side. I think we will be the only financially | :54:05. | :54:09. | |
sound country come the final and we will win because of that. They can | :54:09. | :54:16. | |
but we must not get carried away. We will take each game as it comes. | :54:16. | :54:20. | |
They have benefited from the lack of hype and the rest of it. They | :54:20. | :54:30. | |
:54:30. | :54:31. | ||
can go all the way. Can England win? If they do, or will it mean a | :54:31. | :54:41. | |
:54:41. | :54:41. | ||
feel-good factor and sweep the nation? Welcome to both of you. | :54:41. | :54:45. | |
What do you think? I think it has been a good performance, better | :54:45. | :54:51. | |
than expected so far. Will have to wait and see what happens at the | :54:51. | :54:53. | |
weekend. Better than expected because everyone had low | :54:53. | :54:58. | |
expectations. I have watched these matches. They are not brilliant. | :54:58. | :55:03. | |
They have got through, which is fantastic. Data not shown a great | :55:03. | :55:08. | |
sense of brilliance. We have had better England teams in the past. - | :55:08. | :55:13. | |
- they have not shown. We will will them on to win at the next game on | :55:13. | :55:17. | |
Sunday. What chances to they have of reaching the final? We have to | :55:17. | :55:23. | |
get past Sunday and probably get past the Germans. Let's see what | :55:23. | :55:27. | |
happens. Jeremy Browne asked about the consistency of policy in terms | :55:27. | :55:33. | |
of ministers going to watch matches in the Ukraine. Do you think they | :55:33. | :55:38. | |
should go if England reaches the final? I'm not sure they should go. | :55:38. | :55:44. | |
I take the position that, if you send a minister and they lose, they | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
could Jinks the team. I am the superstitious football fan. Maybe | :55:49. | :55:55. | |
we will just leave it. Next come on to the issue of effect on the | :55:55. | :56:02. | |
country and politics. -- next, to the issue. In terms of political | :56:02. | :56:10. | |
boost, it is hogwash. There is no evidence this has evidence on | :56:10. | :56:14. | |
people's political views. What is more significant is the state of | :56:14. | :56:19. | |
the weather. In the brief summer we had last month, the month before, | :56:19. | :56:24. | |
we had the slight blip in people's economic confidence and in a | :56:24. | :56:29. | |
general attitudes towards life. not football? Not football. What | :56:29. | :56:34. | |
about if they reach the final? With that whip up a bit of national | :56:34. | :56:41. | |
fervour? You can go back to 1966. I cannot remember the time what the | :56:42. | :56:46. | |
national mood was like. Going back and consulting the polling digests, | :56:46. | :56:52. | |
there was no discernible impact, even though we won it in London on | :56:52. | :56:57. | |
up own territory. On the tournament like this, possibly in the World | :56:57. | :57:01. | |
Cup, they might be an impact that last a week or so that nothing more | :57:01. | :57:09. | |
enduring than that. 1966 is a myth. The election took place 17 weeks | :57:09. | :57:14. | |
before the World Cup finals. polling numbers at the time, month- | :57:15. | :57:23. | |
by-month by month... In 1970, Harold Wilson lost unexpectedly -- | :57:23. | :57:30. | |
unexpectedly took Ted Heath. We to say there is no correlation between | :57:30. | :57:36. | |
Wilson losing an inspection -- an election he is expected to win and | :57:36. | :57:42. | |
England being lost out? I remember watching the World Cup in 1970. I | :57:42. | :57:48. | |
had to get my grandfather's house because he had the colour | :57:48. | :57:51. | |
television. -- to go to my grandfather's house. I do not think | :57:51. | :57:57. | |
there is the same access to the Games as there is today. I think it | :57:57. | :58:04. | |
is very easy. Do you think the Government might hope for a bit of | :58:04. | :58:11. | |
a lift from the football? I agree with Andrew. Football is the big | :58:11. | :58:17. | |
mass sport for the nation. I do not think a team's result has much to | :58:17. | :58:22. | |
an impact on the political situation. Harold Wilson blamed it | :58:22. | :58:28. | |
on a consignment of two jumbo jets and diamonds into Hatton Garden | :58:28. | :58:35. | |
which changed trade figures. Not football! England any wins the | :58:35. | :58:41. | |
World Cup when Labour was in power. That is his gag. That is | :58:41. | :58:45. | |
irrefutable. Thank you for being a guest of the day. Thank you to all | :58:45. | :58:51. |