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Morning. Welcome to this two-hour conference special. Has Ed Miliband | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
got it in him to kick-start the economy? The Shadow Chancellor | :00:56. | :01:01. | |
thinks he has. No surprise there. As if to underline that, he's been | :01:01. | :01:08. | |
showing off this morning his football prowess in a match. He's | :01:09. | :01:13. | |
only found the back of the net, but found a way to spend an extra �3 | :01:13. | :01:19. | |
billion or so on affordable new homes. Mr Balls addresses | :01:19. | :01:24. | |
Conference just after midday. We will take his speech live and | :01:24. | :01:29. | |
uninterrupted. You may have heard Ed the geek, now meet Ed the human. | :01:29. | :01:36. | |
He's like you and me - even went to a comprehensive. Can ordinary Ed | :01:36. | :01:42. | |
carry Labour to victory in the next election? It has been dominated by | :01:42. | :01:49. | |
foreign policy so far. Would Labour support a referendum on Europe? | :01:49. | :01:54. | |
Here we go, here's a former minister. He should know. I've got | :01:54. | :02:04. | |
to answer a phone call. Boring! Boring! Was he talking about us? | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
All that in the next two, yes, two hours this morning. Two for the | :02:08. | :02:13. | |
price of one! Don't you dare complain about the license fee to | :02:13. | :02:20. | |
me! With us for the duration Graeme Leach from the Institute of | :02:20. | :02:26. | |
Directors and Duncan Weldon, chief executive of the TUC. Two chiefs! | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
Welcome to you two. In a moment we will head up to Manchester to check | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
out the mood at the Labour conference. Let's hope it's not as | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
wet up there as it is down here. First this morning, let's talk | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
about a whole host of Government measures which come into force | :02:43. | :02:52. | |
today. The national minimum wage rises from today by a whole 11p. | :02:52. | :02:58. | |
Don't spend it all at once. There'll be VAT on alterations to | :02:58. | :03:04. | |
listed buildings and on hairdressers' chairs. And on some | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
hot food snacks which led to the great pasty tax backlash. Remember | :03:10. | :03:17. | |
that? I do! Another one to do with pensions. | :03:17. | :03:22. | |
People who own small businesses now will be signed on - they may opt- | :03:22. | :03:29. | |
out at a later stage. Is this something we should welcome? | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
should reverse decades of falling pension provision. It is something | :03:32. | :03:38. | |
we, in the TUC, will be welcoming. Unlike the CBI, you have a lot of | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
businesses and small and medium- sized businesses, are they worried | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
about the bureaucracy or the cost? They'll have to contribute to this, | :03:47. | :03:52. | |
won't they? They are worried about mission creep here. What starts out | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
as a low employer contribution will escalate over time. Even with a | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
full whack of contributions now it is still not enough to give you a | :04:02. | :04:08. | |
pension you need in retirement. much at the moment, to begin with, | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
how much will employees put in and employers put in? At the moment 3% | :04:14. | :04:21. | |
for the employer. That goes up over time as well. To how much? 8%. | :04:21. | :04:27. | |
it a combined 8%? That's right. used to have some of the best | :04:27. | :04:32. | |
private pension provision in the world. That has gone down the swany. | :04:32. | :04:37. | |
Isn't this an attempt to rebuilt it over time? When it is an attempt to | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
rebuild a pension system which is a decadeal shift. It will not move in | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
the next two years. You have to start somewhere though, don't you? | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
There is a problem that at the end of the day that employees putting | :04:52. | :04:58. | |
their money in may actually in many instances be better off staying on | :04:58. | :05:03. | |
the outside. We are quite concerned on a range ofishs here. At the | :05:04. | :05:13. | |
moment you are saying it is all right. If you are in your mid- | :05:13. | :05:19. | |
twentys or early 30s, you will now see a chunk come out of your income. | :05:19. | :05:25. | |
Do you think some people will say, I want the money to spend now? | :05:25. | :05:29. | |
would encourage people to go into the system. The earlier you start | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
saving, the less you have to save as a percentage of your income. We | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
have some concerns as well that already some employers are trying | :05:37. | :05:43. | |
to put extra costs into the schemes, they are saying complying with | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
autoenrolment means consultants. We don't want any back-sliding. At the | :05:48. | :05:54. | |
moment the Government has set out the contributions and that is clear. | :05:54. | :05:59. | |
Why do you need a consultant? key thing is not so much back- | :05:59. | :06:04. | |
sliding by the employer, it is also by the employee. Where we only have | :06:04. | :06:08. | |
1.5% earnings growth, where it will be more pension contribution.... | :06:09. | :06:15. | |
That was the input of my question to the chief economist of the TUC. | :06:15. | :06:21. | |
It is easy. As the employer, you have to put in X per cent into the | :06:21. | :06:26. | |
pension and the employee gets Y per cent deducted to go into the | :06:26. | :06:32. | |
pension pot. Even I can work that out! There are a lot of | :06:32. | :06:36. | |
bureaucratic issues. Companies are worried about that. A lot are not | :06:36. | :06:43. | |
aware, on the small firm side, that this is coming in. On to the | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
important issue. What kind of pasty is going to be taxed and what | :06:47. | :06:54. | |
isn't? If you buy a pasty now, it is fine, you can put it into a | :06:54. | :07:02. | |
microwave. I am not sure the Chancellor can tell us. Chickens | :07:02. | :07:09. | |
today will be up 20%. I stocked up yesterday. If you brought them | :07:09. | :07:14. | |
yesterday you wouldn't have to pai. You can see the hot chicken market | :07:14. | :07:19. | |
falling out! To Fleet Street, where two of the | :07:19. | :07:25. | |
finest were waiting to speak to us. We have Jackie Ashley from the | :07:25. | :07:30. | |
Guardian and parsz Parris from the Times. What -- Matthew Parris from | :07:30. | :07:37. | |
the Times. What a sight! There was this head of Come puss, who said | :07:37. | :07:47. | |
:07:47. | :07:47. | ||
over the weekend, he had never seen a more lazy, less dra maltic -- | :07:47. | :07:53. | |
dramatic build-up to a Conference. He's wanting to make a name for | :07:54. | :07:58. | |
himself. We don't hear you very well. We heard something about hot | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
chickens some time ago. We wish you were here. In fact, you should have | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
come here. Matthew, what is the mood of the conference? Well, they | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
are not on fire. That's perfectly fire. They are not on fire. On the | :08:13. | :08:18. | |
other hand, I think the mood is fairly steady. Last year, there was | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
a lot of murmuring about Ed Miliband's leadership. I think that | :08:22. | :08:29. | |
murmuring has gone away. They are in a muted, subdued mood. There are | :08:29. | :08:34. | |
no rebellions, no mutinys. Everybody is looking forward to | :08:34. | :08:41. | |
hearing Ed Balls later this morning. All this money that nobody knew | :08:41. | :08:46. | |
anything about - very good news! The speech is the highlight of the | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
day. The papers this morning and the blogs, they are full of already | :08:50. | :08:54. | |
what he's going to say. Now every major leader now does this. Do you | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
think it is wise that they tell us what they are going to say before | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
they say it? Not really. It is a tradition which has gone on for | :09:02. | :09:08. | |
years now. They have the briefing about 3pm or 4pm the evening before | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
and the news paper journalists write it up. Why do we bother to | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
list on the the speech? Maybe one day they'll do it differently. I | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
don't think he will say much more about what he would do if he were | :09:20. | :09:24. | |
Chancellor after the next election. I think it is sensible. It is too | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
early to do that. By the time he makes the speech, the Tories will | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
have their rebuttal in. It's a curious business this | :09:33. | :09:36. | |
preannouncement. We were just wondering on the Times whether bals | :09:36. | :09:45. | |
ball bals has discovered that -- Ed Balls has discovered that and he | :09:45. | :09:50. | |
has sneaked in first. It is possible. The whole license thing | :09:50. | :09:56. | |
is tied up in a legal mess at the moment. Mr McCluskey, the biggest | :09:56. | :10:01. | |
union baron in the country, saying he wants a purge of Blairites. Mr | :10:01. | :10:06. | |
Miliband yesterday saying he's wrong, "I'm not going to do that." | :10:06. | :10:11. | |
Are the union militants n the end, are they helpful to Mr Miliband, or | :10:11. | :10:16. | |
is there a problem coming down the pike? I think the unions are being | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
very unhelpful. Mr McCluskey is. I don't think there's this Great War | :10:20. | :10:24. | |
starting up in the party that some people are trying to characterise | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
it as well. There were the Blairite people last night and they were | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
supportive of Ed, all saying the right things T unions are making | :10:34. | :10:37. | |
the rumbling noises in the background, but are not that | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
influential any more. They are not that influential any more. They may | :10:42. | :10:51. | |
pay the bills, but not that influential. Len McCluskey said his | :10:51. | :10:56. | |
party would stop funding Members of Parliament who did not toe the line. | :10:56. | :11:00. | |
The put down on the Ma'arra programme was remarkably sharp. | :11:00. | :11:06. | |
Maybe -- on the Marr programme was remarkable sharp. Maybe he has done | :11:06. | :11:11. | |
him a favour by showing who is in charge. All the people around Ed | :11:11. | :11:16. | |
Miliband are saying this will be his best speech yet, it is a good | :11:16. | :11:21. | |
one. They say this will be fantastic. We will see. Talk about | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
managing expectations! I think they are doing it the wrong way around. | :11:24. | :11:29. | |
They are meant to say he's mediocre, then we are all surprised. How is | :11:29. | :11:35. | |
this Ed the human project going? Well, it is a work in progress, | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
shall we say! It is good. He has stopped trying to be image-made. | :11:39. | :11:46. | |
There was an effort to fix his nose and fix his voice. They are given | :11:46. | :11:52. | |
up now and said let Ed be Ed. Before he was leader he was a | :11:52. | :11:58. | |
natural, dare I say a charismatic performer. He was good with an | :11:58. | :12:05. | |
audience. He needs to rediscover that old self. Recent polls only | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
show 3% of the country think he is charismatic. You must be one of the | :12:09. | :12:18. | |
3%. As I say, work in progress. I am not too pessimistic. Stpwh | :12:18. | :12:24. | |
think very often complaining about the nose or the voice is a toe tum | :12:24. | :12:28. | |
for people not knowing what the party stands for. I don't think | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
there's anything wrong with Ed Miliband, the way he looks, talks, | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
stands. He has stature, he has dignity. He has intelligence. He | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
has to have something to say. Once he has something to say, then all | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
these problems of personality and grooming will cure themselves. | :12:43. | :12:49. | |
it comes to something to say, I assume we're not going to get a | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
range of policies which might not be the sensible thing for Labour to | :12:52. | :12:56. | |
do any way. What we are looking for, what we expect is a sense of | :12:56. | :13:02. | |
direction. Is that correct? I think he is starting to sketch that out. | :13:02. | :13:08. | |
He has made it clear his position on the bank - he will be tougher on | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
the banks. Responsible capitalism. I think we are seeing a reform of | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
the public services. We are seeing some policy ideas coming out. You | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
will not get chapter and verse of things. That would be silly at this | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
stage. We'll have a clearer sense by the end of the week about what | :13:24. | :13:30. | |
kind of Prime Minister he would be. I very much doubt it. The big | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
question Ed Miliband has to answer, it has become dull, but, what is | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
the point of a Labour Government, when there is no money to spend? | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
That is what he has got to show us. Maybe more 4G licenses is the | :13:43. | :13:49. | |
answer! Thanks to you both. Time for our | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
daily quiz. The question for today is: What does Ed Miliband say he's | :13:54. | :14:04. | |
:14:04. | :14:12. | ||
done in response to text from Vince At the end of our show the guests | :14:12. | :14:16. | |
will give you the correct answer, won't you? | :14:16. | :14:20. | |
I know, you probably don't. Later in the week, the nation will be | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
treated, as I said there, to Ed The Movie. It is a party political | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
broadcast, which will attempt to banish the idea of Ed Miliband as a | :14:29. | :14:36. | |
geek with a Rubik's Cube and paint him as a family man and a project | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
of an ordinary London comprehensive. He denied he was having a makeover. | :14:40. | :14:46. | |
Why the focus on selling the party leader rare than the policies? Well, | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
his party is having no problem, according to voters. They are | :14:50. | :14:54. | |
enjoying a 10-point lead over the Conservatives, according to a | :14:54. | :14:59. | |
survey this week. Ten points are ten points. That would be enough to | :14:59. | :15:05. | |
send Mr Miliband to Number Ten, if it translated into votes in 2015. | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
The mid-term opposition, they usually fade as we get close tore | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
the general election. More concerning for Labour is the fact | :15:12. | :15:15. | |
that David Cameron is still seen by the public as a stronger leader. | :15:15. | :15:21. | |
They also think the Prime Minister is a r more decisive, more likable. | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
Has a clearer vision for Britain and has the better strategy for | :15:24. | :15:28. | |
getting the country out of recession. The only areas where Mr | :15:28. | :15:33. | |
Miliband has the lead is being seen Miliband has the lead is being seen | :15:33. | :15:35. | |
as more in touch with ordinary people and slightly more | :15:35. | :15:38. | |
trustworthy. While his personal ratings remain | :15:38. | :15:46. | |
poor, the polls say he's a much more appealing figure than Ed Baps | :15:46. | :15:56. | |
:15:56. | :16:03. | ||
or his wife, Yvette Cooper. -- Ed It is pretty much accepted by all | :16:03. | :16:08. | |
commentators like me that indeed Ed Miliband will lead Labour into the | :16:08. | :16:12. | |
next General Election. Well this is what Ed Miliband had to say about | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
it all on the Andrew Marr programme yesterday. Ideas a matter in | :16:16. | :16:21. | |
politics but I am not embarrassed about that. Let me be clear about | :16:21. | :16:27. | |
this. I gave a speech last year at the Labour Party conference, it was | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
controversial. I talked about predatory behaviour. I do not | :16:32. | :16:37. | |
regret it. Over the last year people have said, maybe he is right | :16:37. | :16:43. | |
about that. I am clear about this. I am my own person and I will do it | :16:43. | :16:47. | |
my own way. In the end people respect somebody who has | :16:47. | :16:52. | |
seriousness of purpose, a clarity of ideas. People will always know | :16:52. | :16:56. | |
where I stand, and that is the most important test of leadership. And | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
the real test of who will be next Prime Minister will be who can | :17:00. | :17:04. | |
stand up and rebuild Great Britain and rebuild the economy. I think we | :17:04. | :17:07. | |
can win this election. And joining me from Brighton are | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
Dan Hodges, he used to work for the Labour Party and now writes for the | :17:11. | :17:17. | |
Telegraph. And Andrew Harrop of the Fabian Society, that's a Think Tank | :17:17. | :17:27. | |
:17:27. | :17:28. | ||
affiliated to Labour. Andrew, let me come to you first, why don't the | :17:28. | :17:36. | |
voters think Mr Miliband is made of Prime Ministerial stuff? I think | :17:36. | :17:40. | |
the first thing voters thing about Ed Miliband is they don't know much | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
about him. It is not necessarily they dislike him, but they don't | :17:45. | :17:49. | |
know what he stands for and what he would be like as a leader. The most | :17:49. | :17:55. | |
important thing for him is to define himself rather than let the | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
Conservatives define him in a negative light. People have said | :17:58. | :18:03. | |
this week, the way to do that is set out some big signature policies | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
and say how he would make Britain different from the coalition if he | :18:06. | :18:11. | |
was in power. Is it the absence of policy that makes people | :18:11. | :18:16. | |
circumstance about Mr Miliband, or is it what they see on the | :18:16. | :18:22. | |
television screens? I think it is substance rather than style. I | :18:22. | :18:28. | |
don't have by Avis, if he was a wonderful, charismatic leader, | :18:28. | :18:31. | |
everybody would be putting Ed Miliband posters on the wall. It is | :18:31. | :18:35. | |
a combination of the policy and a lack of policy that is feeding into | :18:35. | :18:40. | |
the negative ratings. What people want to see in a leader is someone | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
who is prepared to take hard and difficult decisions. That is what | :18:44. | :18:50. | |
the polling is demonstrating in relation to Ed Miliband. It seems | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
he is not prepared to do that. The strategy he pursued to become | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
leader was to go with the grain of his party and its thinking. That | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
sadly is not going with the grain of what the country is thinking. I | :19:03. | :19:08. | |
have been hearing for two years, people saying, they don't know what | :19:08. | :19:12. | |
Ed Miliband stands for and when they get to know him, they were | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
like him. I think they do know who he is now, and the direction he is | :19:16. | :19:23. | |
taking the party in, and they don't like it. Andrew? Ida -- disagree | :19:23. | :19:30. | |
with that. We have been the research and the way they are | :19:30. | :19:33. | |
reshaping the economy and the future of the welfare state is very | :19:33. | :19:38. | |
much what Labour has been saying. Does Labour have a policy on | :19:38. | :19:48. | |
:19:48. | :19:48. | ||
welfare reform, I think I miss that? -- missed that. You say how | :19:48. | :19:52. | |
Labour Reform gels with what the British people were thinking, I'm | :19:52. | :20:02. | |
:20:02. | :20:02. | ||
not sure what that is? There is a lot more to come. It wouldn't | :20:02. | :20:09. | |
reverse the cuts that have been made. That his coalition policy. | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
has been said Ed Miliband is being timid and plain to the left, but he | :20:14. | :20:21. | |
is taking on people saying they won't be a reverse because Labour | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
cannot afford it. We have heard Ed Balls will be making a big | :20:25. | :20:30. | |
announcement on housing later. That is the sort of thing, housing, jobs | :20:30. | :20:35. | |
for young people were Labour needs to stand out and show it is | :20:35. | :20:39. | |
different to the coalition. But it is money he does not have. Dan | :20:39. | :20:46. | |
Hodges, the party is ahead in the polls, why don't you just get | :20:46. | :20:56. | |
:20:56. | :20:57. | ||
behind the party? Apparently if I'd shut it, Ed Balls would be -- Ed | :20:57. | :21:02. | |
Miliband would be soaring ahead. If you look historically, and you | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
pointed this out before, the Labour's leader in the polls is not | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
high enough. It is averaging 10 points in the polls in the middle | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
of a double-dip reception -- recession and with all of the | :21:15. | :21:21. | |
Government's problems. It is at a time when the Lib Dems aren't 8% | :21:21. | :21:26. | |
and UKIP of bouncing around on nine or 10%. I don't think anybody | :21:26. | :21:31. | |
seriously believes the Lib Dems will get 9% at the next election or | :21:31. | :21:40. | |
that UKIP will get 10%. Were the Lib Dems to shift the leader and | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
would David Cameron to make some policy announcement, as many expect | :21:43. | :21:48. | |
him to do in relation to Europe, will bring those UKIP people back | :21:48. | :21:54. | |
to him. That is Ed Miliband's lead gone without anything being done of | :21:54. | :21:58. | |
significance on either side. That is before the situation of | :21:58. | :22:06. | |
everybody thinks everybody is on a gradual economic recovery. And that | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
is it the Tories get their act together. And Ed Miliband and his | :22:10. | :22:15. | |
party, as we get closer to the General Election, will come under | :22:15. | :22:20. | |
some very vigorous scrutiny. My have not seen much from Ed Miliband | :22:20. | :22:24. | |
that encourages me to be able to resist that scrutiny. Andrew, do | :22:24. | :22:31. | |
you think people will buy this part of Ed Miliband to sell him as an | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
ordinary boy from north London? He may have gone to a comprehensive, | :22:35. | :22:41. | |
but we both know he is north London Labour aristocracy, he is not | :22:41. | :22:48. | |
ordinary at all? We need to get over the personality politics. He | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
has obviously been within the political world for most of his | :22:51. | :22:57. | |
career. All of it! He does stand out from David Cameron in terms of | :22:57. | :23:03. | |
the sort of issues he talks about, who he cares about. The one thing | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
he does poll very well on his he is in touch with people and cares | :23:07. | :23:11. | |
about everyone in the country and not just delete the David Cameron | :23:11. | :23:16. | |
is linked to. I want to pick up down on what he said on the polls. | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
Fabian has just been doing some research which challenges this myth | :23:20. | :23:25. | |
that has gone around that Labour's lead in the polls is very soft. We | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
look at how many people who say they are certain to vote Labour at | :23:29. | :23:34. | |
the next election, and it is 8 million people already. He only | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
needs 11 million to win and a majority. Some Liberal Democrats or | :23:38. | :23:43. | |
will go back, but there are awful lot of Lib Dems who have not made | :23:43. | :23:47. | |
up their mind. The same goes for the Conservatives. Very few | :23:47. | :23:54. | |
Conservatives have shifted from the Tories to Labour. Actually, Ed | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
Miliband's support, those who say they want to vote for him, is | :23:58. | :24:05. | |
immune to then go and support David Cameron later. Do you buy that, it | :24:05. | :24:11. | |
sounds dodgy to me? I was just going to ask, I looked at some of | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
that and your research shows Ed Miliband is still 2.5 million votes | :24:15. | :24:20. | |
short of where he was meant to be. If he has not secured those 2.5 | :24:20. | :24:29. | |
million votes in the middle of a double-dip recession, and this | :24:29. | :24:36. | |
summer shambles which turned into an almost Ultra shambles, why is it | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
those people who are not convinced about him now, suddenly start | :24:40. | :24:46. | |
flocking to him? I lot of people are considering voting for Labour. | :24:46. | :24:51. | |
I understand the considering voting Labour, we are in the middle of a | :24:51. | :24:54. | |
double-dip recession, the Government has been in a shambles, | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
Tories are fighting amongst themselves. If people under that | :24:58. | :25:02. | |
background are not saying they are convinced about him, why will they | :25:02. | :25:07. | |
be convinced in two years? A lot of them are. You just said they were | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
not, we were talking about the people who have not made their | :25:10. | :25:16. | |
minds of. Why if people have not made their minds up about him now, | :25:16. | :25:19. | |
against that background, why would they make their minds up closer to | :25:19. | :25:25. | |
the election? The state people are in his desperate. Why aren't people | :25:25. | :25:29. | |
embracing Ed Miliband? The chances of Ed Miliband getting a majority | :25:29. | :25:35. | |
Government are far higher than David Cameron. I am sorry to | :25:35. | :25:40. | |
interrupt you, I was enjoying that. Dan Hodges, what is it like to be | :25:40. | :25:44. | |
the most unpopular person at the Labour conference? It is wonderful, | :25:44. | :25:51. | |
I love it. I embrace it, Andrew, as you know. Ben Shore and you will | :25:51. | :25:57. | |
look after you and act as your bodyguard. I will try. -- I am sure. | :25:57. | :26:07. | |
Thanks for joining us from Manchester. We are always being | :26:07. | :26:09. | |
criticised about dealing in personalities. He took about the | :26:09. | :26:14. | |
man, the woman and not the policies. But his Labour conference, they | :26:14. | :26:20. | |
want to give us more of an idea of what Labour stands for, its policy. | :26:20. | :26:25. | |
But equally, they are trying to do something about Mr Miliband's image. | :26:25. | :26:30. | |
They are talking about personality? I agree with that Matthew Parris, | :26:30. | :26:36. | |
it is not about personality, it is about policies. Ed Miliband, in the | :26:36. | :26:41. | |
last two years we have not had much about specific, individual policies. | :26:41. | :26:47. | |
But we have had the direction of travel, responsible capitalism last | :26:47. | :26:53. | |
year. That agenda is resonating with people. It is important in one | :26:53. | :26:57. | |
way, the easiest thing for Labour to do now, is we are in a double- | :26:57. | :27:02. | |
dip recession, we need more demand in the economy, get over that and | :27:02. | :27:06. | |
we will be fine. But Ed Miliband is saying there were problems in our | :27:06. | :27:11. | |
economy before the crash. Too many rewards in Arbroath were going to | :27:11. | :27:17. | |
people at the top, it was unbalanced. -- in growth. It is an | :27:17. | :27:23. | |
interesting direction to be moving in. Policy may give Ed Miliband a | :27:23. | :27:28. | |
different persona to the public, but as I understand it, Ed the | :27:28. | :27:38. | |
:27:38. | :27:38. | ||
movie is not about politics, it will show him about the lad from | :27:38. | :27:43. | |
the local comprehensive. The son of immigrants fleeing Nazi journey. It | :27:43. | :27:49. | |
is not policy? It is not. But all the party leaders have their own | :27:49. | :27:55. | |
connection with the general public. If you look at some of the positive | :27:55. | :27:58. | |
measures for David Cameron at the moment, you could say before the | :27:58. | :28:05. | |
last election, Gordon Brown had the same positive ratings against David | :28:05. | :28:09. | |
Cameron and it did not give him the election. They have the same | :28:09. | :28:14. | |
connection, but I would agree, it is about the economy. That is what | :28:14. | :28:19. | |
will decide it. Actually, it helps Labour in the sense that a don't | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
think the economy will do the Government any favours in the short | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
term. If it was all about policies, that is what they would be | :28:27. | :28:31. | |
concentrating on. If they had a series of policies they thought | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
would game changes, that is what the political broadcast would be | :28:34. | :28:39. | |
about. But it is not, it is about Ed Miliband the man, the human, not | :28:39. | :28:45. | |
be geek? In terms of specific policies, it is not the wisest | :28:45. | :28:49. | |
thing three years before the election. We have had some | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
interesting things, last year at the conference we have support for | :28:53. | :28:57. | |
a state Investment Bank, National Investment Bank, which did not get | :28:57. | :29:04. | |
a lot of attention, but Vince Cable announced he is going to do it. It | :29:04. | :29:11. | |
is a policy Labour were supporting, TUC were supporting. Lots of | :29:11. | :29:14. | |
businesses supported it and now it looks as though it is making it to | :29:14. | :29:21. | |
the statute. But a lot of people won't have much to invest so it | :29:21. | :29:30. | |
might not even be a bank. When we talk about connection, it isn't | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
just one party political broadcast... It is a programme, you | :29:33. | :29:38. | |
are right. At the last election, everyone was in love with Nick | :29:38. | :29:45. | |
Clegg, and he lost seats a week later. Personality is quite an | :29:45. | :29:49. | |
unstable basis on which to build political appeal? If it is more fun | :29:49. | :29:54. | |
for people like yourself to talk about personalities instead of the | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
case for Estate Investment Bank. I'm much more at home talking about | :29:58. | :30:08. | |
:30:08. | :30:15. | ||
Let's see what Danny Alexander had to say. | :30:15. | :30:25. | |
:30:25. | :30:25. | ||
Stop the modern world, we want to get off. -- Douglas Alexander had | :30:25. | :30:30. | |
to say. Stop the modern world. We want to get off. Conference, | :30:30. | :30:35. | |
Britain exists in a modern world, in which everyone is connected to | :30:35. | :30:41. | |
everything. A world of quite unimaginable interdependence and | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
the fundamental flaw of the Conservatives' aprosh to foreign | :30:46. | :30:50. | |
policy that that two -- approach to foreign policy is that two years | :30:50. | :30:56. | |
into office they remain unreconciled to that truth. Let's | :30:56. | :31:01. | |
take the most pressing example - of course it's Europe. Does it matter | :31:01. | :31:05. | |
to Britain? Absolutely. Does it require fundamental reform? | :31:05. | :31:09. | |
Certainly. Does this Conservative Government have a clue how to | :31:09. | :31:14. | |
affect that reform in Britain's national interest? Absolutely not. | :31:14. | :31:19. | |
Now, we all know that change is coming to Europe. That is why, | :31:19. | :31:24. | |
under Ed Miliband's leadership, Labour will argue for reform in | :31:24. | :31:31. | |
Europe, not exit from Europe. Why... APPLAUSE | :31:31. | :31:35. | |
Why will we hake that case for Britain? We make that case because | :31:35. | :31:42. | |
British jobs, British exports and yes, British influence in the wider | :31:42. | :31:46. | |
world benefits from Britain's continued membership of the | :31:46. | :31:51. | |
European Union. Now, of course next week, we will no doubt hear some | :31:51. | :31:57. | |
boosts and some blusters from David Cameron about Europe, as he tries | :31:57. | :32:01. | |
to assuage his Everested backbenchers. Let's be honest about | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
high that is happening, it is happening because if you start with | :32:06. | :32:11. | |
a bunch of them on your backbenchers, you end up with the | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
fiasco of the non-veto last December, where the Conservative | :32:14. | :32:18. | |
front bench managed to unite the whole of Europe. The only problem | :32:18. | :32:22. | |
is they managed to unite them against the United Kingdom. So, | :32:22. | :32:27. | |
when you hear David Cameron next week, remember this truth - the | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
real tragedy t national tragedy is that the Conservatives have | :32:32. | :32:36. | |
marginallised Europe's voice in Britain just when it matters most. | :32:36. | :32:42. | |
Two years into office, Conference, that is David Cameron in a nutshell. | :32:42. | :32:52. | |
:32:52. | :32:55. | ||
Out of touch at home, out of his -- APPLAUSE | :32:55. | :33:00. | |
Conference, let's try and figure this out - what is the | :33:00. | :33:04. | |
Conservative's strategy on Europe? Nothing. What is their strategy for | :33:04. | :33:09. | |
the G20? It is a blank page. What is their strategy for the World | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
Trade Organisation today? Nothing, it is a blank page. Even as we | :33:13. | :33:18. | |
heard in the defence part of the debate, their defence strategy for | :33:18. | :33:22. | |
NATO - nothing - it is a blank page. The Conservatives don't get it. | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
They don't understand that in the modern world Britain's citizens are | :33:27. | :33:32. | |
stronger and safer when we co- operate and collaborate with our | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
international partners. And that blindness to the need to network in | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
the modern world is at times damaging and at times dangerous. | :33:41. | :33:45. | |
When David Cameron became the Prime Minister of the country in May 2010, | :33:45. | :33:52. | |
he said this, and this is a direct quotation." Afghanistan will be my | :33:52. | :33:56. | |
Government's number one foreign policy priority." Conference, that | :33:56. | :34:00. | |
is as it should be, with thousands of young British men and women | :34:00. | :34:07. | |
still in harm's way in Afghanistan they deserved nothing less. Now, we | :34:07. | :34:12. | |
have heard again from some members of the British Armed Forces on this | :34:12. | :34:18. | |
platform in this debate, they are quite simply the best of British | :34:18. | :34:22. | |
and they deserve, once again, our thanks and appreciation. | :34:22. | :34:30. | |
APPLAUSE But, conference, the young men and | :34:30. | :34:36. | |
women in harm's way in Afghanistan deserve something more than our | :34:36. | :34:41. | |
public applause. They deserve from the British Government a political | :34:41. | :34:47. | |
strategy worthy of their military heroism and their military efforts. | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
And yet, David Cameron, the self same Prime Minister, who told us in | :34:50. | :34:57. | |
May, 2010, that Afghanistan would be his number one foreign policy | :34:57. | :35:01. | |
priority has now not made a single speech on Afghanistan to the House | :35:01. | :35:07. | |
of Commons in 14 months. Conference, that is shameful. | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
That was Douglas Alexander, the shadow Foreign Minister. We will | :35:11. | :35:18. | |
speak to the Shadow Defence Secretary in a few moments. Let's | :35:18. | :35:22. | |
get a flavour of his speech to the Labour Conference in Manchester | :35:22. | :35:27. | |
this morning. We face an enormous challenge. From | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
a Tory Party that behaves like it is born to rule and a Liberal | :35:31. | :35:35. | |
Democrats party determined not to die, we have to address some of the | :35:35. | :35:38. | |
issues in opposition that we would have to address if we were in | :35:38. | :35:43. | |
Government. That's why myself and the shadow defence team have been | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
really clear about the fact we would have to make savings when it | :35:46. | :35:51. | |
comes to defence. That is why I can announce today that the future | :35:51. | :35:55. | |
Labour Government would subject the Ministry of Defence budget to | :35:55. | :36:01. | |
independent expert, external review of all the decisions we take. No | :36:01. | :36:06. | |
smoke, no mirrors, no delays on the big decisions A culture of | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
consequence - no miss match between resources and global ambition. Ours | :36:09. | :36:16. | |
will be a defence-economic policy, alongside a industrial strategy, | :36:16. | :36:21. | |
that proudly celebrates the contribution of 300,000 skilled | :36:21. | :36:24. | |
British workers and the contribution they make to the | :36:24. | :36:30. | |
defence of our country. Now, as we debate all of this, and we discuss | :36:30. | :36:36. | |
our own policy, we should also be clear that politics of course is | :36:36. | :36:40. | |
about emphasiss the -- emphasising the differences between the parties | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
but also about making a difference. While we are out of Government we | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
are not totally out of power. That is why we have launched the | :36:47. | :36:50. | |
campaigns to support and end discrimination against our Armed | :36:50. | :36:55. | |
Forces. Why we are campaigning so hard to support veterans, carers | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
and why we are campaigning to extend the Armed Forces kove | :36:59. | :37:05. | |
vernapblt. It is why we have introduced the veterans' interview | :37:05. | :37:10. | |
programme, you have heard of. It is trying to deal with a very real | :37:10. | :37:14. | |
difficulty. It is simply wrong that a man or woman who served in | :37:14. | :37:20. | |
Afghanistan, who served our nation so ferociously and so bravely, that | :37:20. | :37:25. | |
they come back from Afghanistan to a hero's welcome, to a public | :37:25. | :37:31. | |
parade in their town, city, and there's flag-waving, only to be | :37:32. | :37:34. | |
sacked thereafters by their Government and told as well to take | :37:34. | :37:40. | |
the place at the back of the queue in the local Jobcentre. I tell you, | :37:40. | :37:45. | |
it's wrong. It's unfair, it's unjust. It should not be happening. | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
I give you a guarantee, under the next Labour Government it will not | :37:48. | :37:57. | |
happen. APPLAUSE | :37:57. | :38:01. | |
That's why I can announce today that the Labour Party will be the | :38:01. | :38:07. | |
first and only party to adopt a procedure, the principals of the | :38:07. | :38:12. | |
Armed Forces kove ver napbt because nobody, no member -- covenant, | :38:12. | :38:16. | |
because no member of the Armed Forces should face discrimination, | :38:16. | :38:19. | |
in employment, housing, health or any other walk of life, including | :38:19. | :38:25. | |
in politics and in the Labour Party. Social justice and human rights are | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
the very reason for our existence. They are why we are Labour. For | :38:29. | :38:34. | |
this movement now and through history, social justice has no | :38:34. | :38:39. | |
borders, only new front years to be conquered. That's why I am | :38:39. | :38:44. | |
delighted to announce the party which created Sure Start in Britain | :38:44. | :38:49. | |
will also be the party which champions the case for prioritising | :38:49. | :38:50. | |
early years development across the world. | :38:50. | :39:00. | |
:39:00. | :39:01. | ||
APPLAUSE I have asked the founder and First | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
Minister for Sure Start and architect of our Olympic success to | :39:04. | :39:10. | |
lead a global campaign to ensure an integrated approach to early years | :39:10. | :39:17. | |
is at the new post of the 2015 global framework. I am delighted | :39:17. | :39:22. | |
that Sarah Brown, patron of the White Ribbon Alliance, who has done | :39:22. | :39:28. | |
so much, has agreed to sum port Tessa in her new -- support Tessa | :39:28. | :39:33. | |
in her new role. If all the evidence demonstrates investment in | :39:33. | :39:37. | |
the earliest years makes the most difference to our children's lives, | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
the same evidence must apply to the health, education and parenting of | :39:41. | :39:49. | |
the poorest children in the world. Conference, as staunch defenders of | :39:49. | :39:58. | |
development, we must be reformers. Like any department, who is not | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
immune to resources. The greater the risks we are taking. We should | :40:02. | :40:06. | |
be honest about that. My value for money test will be | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
what difference is our spending making to the poorest? And whether | :40:10. | :40:20. | |
:40:20. | :40:24. | ||
it is country bueting to an end to The last time Labour was in | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
opposition it came up with the idea of an ethical foreign policy. It | :40:29. | :40:34. | |
went on to commit British troops into Kosovo and Sears and of course | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
invade Afghanistan and Iraq. It was not what most of us thought was | :40:38. | :40:44. | |
ethical. What can Labour do to create a foreign policy for the | :40:44. | :40:54. | |
:40:54. | :40:58. | ||
The architect of an ethical foreign policy. The advocate of the case | :40:58. | :41:03. | |
for foreign wars. The most pressing foreign policy problem we face, | :41:03. | :41:07. | |
therefore, is to identify the circumstances in which we should | :41:07. | :41:12. | |
get actively involved in other people's conflicts. And its logical | :41:13. | :41:16. | |
conclusion. New Labour foreign policy - designed in opposition, | :41:16. | :41:22. | |
forged in the real world. New Labour turned out to be one of the | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
most interventionalists of Governments. Its legacy can still | :41:25. | :41:31. | |
be felt. According to one of the key players, maybe not as you would | :41:31. | :41:38. | |
imagine. Is a continuity between Tony Blair's Chicago speech in 1999, | :41:38. | :41:41. | |
which proceeded our Kosovo intervention and from what David | :41:41. | :41:45. | |
Cameron is arguing for in Syria. What David Cameron has been arguing | :41:45. | :41:54. | |
for, not least in his speech to the UN General Assembly has been | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
liberal intervention. Putting into practise the concept of the | :41:57. | :42:01. | |
responsibility of the international community to protect. Maybe. Iraq | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
was the moment many people inside and outside the party broke faith | :42:05. | :42:08. | |
with Tony Blair and new Labour, which must have a profound effect | :42:08. | :42:13. | |
on how it designs foreign policy for the future. Labour is trying to | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
get back to liberal intervenalism, as Tony Blair outlined in 1999. | :42:18. | :42:22. | |
Iraq and Afghanistan have left us with a bit of a downer in terms of | :42:23. | :42:26. | |
foreign policy and defence policy. Labour is trying to get its | :42:26. | :42:32. | |
confidence back, saying a more ethical world is a world which will | :42:32. | :42:35. | |
be better for British foreign policy in general. How much can a | :42:35. | :42:40. | |
party in opposition really do about future foreign policy? The only | :42:40. | :42:45. | |
thing you can do in opposition is make as many contacts as you can | :42:45. | :42:48. | |
with leaders and potential leaders around the world. Opposition | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
parties find that difficult to do, partly because it is expensive and | :42:51. | :42:55. | |
it runs the risk of looking as if the front bench team are on junkets | :42:55. | :43:00. | |
all over the world. There's a good point to that - it is really | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
important to establish personal relationships. Time and time again | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
in foreign policy it is when people know each other than they -- that | :43:08. | :43:11. | |
they establish a rapport which becomes a positive piece of foreign | :43:11. | :43:16. | |
policy. You should avoid labels which may come back to haunt you. | :43:16. | :43:21. | |
understood why Robin branded his foreign policy as ethical. He was | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
against the "arms to Iraq" scandal and so on. I would not have done | :43:24. | :43:31. | |
knit the same way, because it has - - it was hung around Robin's neck. | :43:31. | :43:36. | |
I quietly abandoned the label, without abandoning a sense I was | :43:36. | :43:42. | |
acting in an ethical way. He could not predict that new Labour would | :43:42. | :43:47. | |
oversee five conflicts. Opposition parties can design foreign policy. | :43:47. | :43:52. | |
Ultimately events dictate it. Well the Shadow Defence Secretary, Jim | :43:52. | :43:57. | |
Murphy, he is in Manchester. We can talk to him now. Good morning Mr | :43:57. | :44:02. | |
Murphy. Good morning, Andrew. defence cuts would you make that | :44:02. | :44:08. | |
are not being made at the moment? Well, we have identified billions | :44:08. | :44:12. | |
of pounds of savings it would make. I will not put a percentage on it. | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
We are working through that now. We will look at the process the | :44:17. | :44:21. | |
Government should have gone through - a proper security and Defence | :44:21. | :44:26. | |
Review. As you know, and it has been said, the Government came in | :44:26. | :44:31. | |
with a question in mind, which is how deeply can we cut we are going | :44:31. | :44:36. | |
through a process, which says what is Britain's role in the world? | :44:36. | :44:40. | |
What size defence budget do you need? That is why the announcement | :44:40. | :44:44. | |
I made at the conference today, well, it might sound technical, it | :44:44. | :44:48. | |
is important, which is we're going to, the Labour Government at the | :44:48. | :44:53. | |
next election, we'll have a ten- year defence budget, so over two | :44:53. | :44:56. | |
Parliaments. There'll be real-time, expert review of the decisions we | :44:56. | :45:01. | |
make in defence. As you know, as you watch these things closely, | :45:01. | :45:06. | |
what happens is a Defence Secretary gets asked what happened 10-12 | :45:06. | :45:12. | |
years about his or her predecessor five times removed. We want real- | :45:12. | :45:15. | |
times scrutiny. Some of the things which are affecting Labour and | :45:15. | :45:18. | |
affecting the Conservatives today are not repeated. I think that is a | :45:18. | :45:22. | |
good thing. You said you have identified billions of pounds of | :45:22. | :45:32. | |
:45:32. | :45:33. | ||
defence cuts which could be made. We said we would bring troops back | :45:33. | :45:37. | |
from Germany earlier if it would save money. We said we would accept | :45:37. | :45:41. | |
some of the cuts in the Navy and some of the freeze in the | :45:41. | :45:46. | |
allowances of the armed forces. Get rid of some of the top heavy armed | :45:47. | :45:51. | |
forces, very top-heavy in terms of the size of the armed forces in | :45:51. | :45:56. | |
comparison to the numbers of the numbers we need at the top in terms | :45:56. | :46:01. | |
of senior ranks. As we go through our defence policy review process, | :46:01. | :46:06. | |
we will keep identifying savings we would make. A lot of these are cups | :46:06. | :46:16. | |
that the Government is making that you say you support. -- cuts. What | :46:16. | :46:21. | |
I'm asking is, what cuts would you make in the Defence the Budget of | :46:21. | :46:27. | |
that are not already been made? are identified one in my earlier | :46:27. | :46:34. | |
answer. We itch one was that? will look at it in much more | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
forensically in the amount of senior officers we have. The amount | :46:39. | :46:43. | |
of cuts in the junior ranks across the armed forces, we have not had | :46:43. | :46:49. | |
the same process in the senior ranks. It would be important. | :46:49. | :46:54. | |
Things like Nimrod, we do not like the decision, we accept it, we | :46:54. | :47:03. | |
wouldn't reverse it. It is a list. I am looking for new cuts. It was | :47:03. | :47:09. | |
clear throughout the Labour years, and long before that the British | :47:09. | :47:16. | |
military was top-heavy, we had more admirals than Royal Navy ships. | :47:16. | :47:20. | |
Even if you were to put that right, and you did not in 13 years, it is | :47:20. | :47:28. | |
peanuts, not billions. Let me have one final go, I am trying to get | :47:28. | :47:33. | |
you to tell me what cuts in defence you would make that it would be | :47:33. | :47:38. | |
substantive and save billions that are not already been made? We are | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
going through that process at the moment. I know what is behind the | :47:43. | :47:50. | |
question, and it is a fair enough approach. We will go into the | :47:50. | :47:58. | |
election with the aid costed policy on what cuts we would make. You | :47:58. | :48:03. | |
wouldn't expect me to announce in the middle of a second recession | :48:03. | :48:07. | |
what the defence budget would be like in 10 years' time. It is not | :48:07. | :48:13. | |
how a family runs its home finances and it is not how the Ministry of | :48:13. | :48:18. | |
Defence runs its finances. A know when I am beaten. But let me see if | :48:18. | :48:24. | |
I can get an answer on this, are you in favour of British Aerospace | :48:24. | :48:31. | |
merging with the 80 s, are you in favour of them being the big Airbus | :48:31. | :48:36. | |
manufacturer? A I am meeting both of the companies in Manchester and | :48:36. | :48:41. | |
making -- meeting to trade unions. Our approach is how does it affect | :48:41. | :48:49. | |
the UK defence sovereignty? Will we be able to manufacture a | :48:49. | :48:56. | |
capability? But importantly, what does it mean for the workers in | :48:56. | :49:02. | |
this country? How many redundancies would there be? It is clear as the | :49:02. | :49:06. | |
changes in defence budgets across the world in recent years, US at | :49:06. | :49:10. | |
the moment, Germany, France and Europe, we will have to find | :49:10. | :49:15. | |
different ways of doing it. So this potential merger has the chance of | :49:15. | :49:20. | |
creating an industrial giant with a very big UK footprint. So you are | :49:20. | :49:26. | |
in favour of it? As you would expect, things have got to change. | :49:26. | :49:31. | |
The companies themselves are coming to see me at Manchester to make | :49:31. | :49:36. | |
their case. I hope to be the Defence Secretary, but there is | :49:36. | :49:41. | |
another important issue, the UK has a golden share in BAe at the moment. | :49:41. | :49:47. | |
What would it means that these two companies for the UK tax perk and | :49:47. | :49:54. | |
that industry? -- tax payer. Staying with us Mr Murphy, I want | :49:54. | :49:59. | |
to move on to the issue of Europe. Now there's a whispering in | :49:59. | :50:02. | |
Westminster circles that the PM is toying with the idea of a | :50:02. | :50:10. | |
referendum on Europe, should the Conservatives win the next election. | :50:10. | :50:16. | |
I suggest that is what he wants his backbenchers to think. Would Labour | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
support the idea? We sent Adam out with an awful lot of balls to find | :50:20. | :50:24. | |
out. Let's find out what Labour Party members think of this idea | :50:24. | :50:29. | |
about offering a referendum on the EU. I have got the balls, and there | :50:29. | :50:35. | |
is the box. There is no point asking a question about backing out | :50:35. | :50:41. | |
of Europe. I am a European and I am happy to be European. A Yes. Why is | :50:41. | :50:49. | |
that? I think it is a waste of time at the moment. There are far more | :50:49. | :50:54. | |
pressing issues we should be spending our time on. Why did you | :50:54. | :50:59. | |
say yes? The legitimacy of the opinion has come under questioning | :50:59. | :51:04. | |
from the right and the left. It is about time people from a new | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
regeneration should have the opportunity to say if they should | :51:07. | :51:13. | |
support it. It is my favourite subject. I would happily take 1000 | :51:13. | :51:20. | |
of them balls and put them in the No box. Someone has just given me | :51:20. | :51:25. | |
this, five reasons why the EU is better for Britain. The situation | :51:25. | :51:32. | |
at the moment it is good. It is good? In the EU? It's works for us. | :51:32. | :51:38. | |
I understand whether people would understand the issues properly. | :51:38. | :51:43. | |
They are not Democratic people, they vote on other reasons, whether | :51:43. | :51:48. | |
they hate in Nick Clegg, for example. Hitler favoured | :51:48. | :51:54. | |
referendums. This is a former minister, what does he think? | :51:54. | :52:02. | |
have to answer the telephone. Boring. Definitely not. Why not? | :52:02. | :52:06. | |
have one, decided to become members and that a referendum was passed | :52:07. | :52:12. | |
with a more than two thirds majority. I wasn't even born then! | :52:12. | :52:19. | |
But I was. Why have a referendum on EU membership and up the UN | :52:19. | :52:23. | |
membership, the United Nations? person in the street would be | :52:23. | :52:30. | |
saying, how come these guys in prison are getting a vote? How come | :52:30. | :52:35. | |
they are getting human-rights when the mice had just murdered somebody. | :52:35. | :52:41. | |
When they have done an inhuman act, why should... Because of Europe? | :52:41. | :52:48. | |
Yes, because of Europe. Katie, D match used -- do you wear shoes to | :52:48. | :52:53. | |
match the balls? The people like the idea of referendums, but we're | :52:53. | :52:58. | |
having a referendum in Scotland in two years on independence. We don't | :52:58. | :53:02. | |
want to be a country where we have referendums every five minutes, but | :53:02. | :53:06. | |
at some point we need to have that debate. We have been celebrating | :53:06. | :53:11. | |
the Olympic Games. We applauded all the other competitors from other | :53:11. | :53:15. | |
countries and recognised there was good from other countries even if | :53:15. | :53:20. | |
we didn't win everything. It is clear, the big majority voting | :53:20. | :53:25. | |
against. The only referendum happening around here on the EU is | :53:25. | :53:30. | |
this one. Let's go back to Jim Murphy who has | :53:31. | :53:34. | |
been waiting patiently in Manchester. Under what | :53:35. | :53:38. | |
circumstances, if any, would Labour give the British people a | :53:38. | :53:43. | |
referendum on Europe? I think there will have to be a referendum on the | :53:43. | :53:50. | |
European Union. In Scotland, we have tussled with the issue over | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
the Scottish relationship with the United Kingdom. I think it will be | :53:53. | :53:58. | |
settled when we have a referendum on Scotland's membership of the | :53:58. | :54:03. | |
Union, the United Kingdom. A relationship with de you will be | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
settled once we have a referendum on the union of Europe. It won't | :54:07. | :54:13. | |
stop the argument. The day after the referendum and the decision, | :54:13. | :54:17. | |
people were still argue for independence. And if the s campaign | :54:17. | :54:22. | |
wins, the argument will continue to be fixated by Europe. It is | :54:22. | :54:27. | |
important, but in terms of the time line, it is not for me to announce. | :54:27. | :54:31. | |
But it is important we have that referendum. I don't think it is | :54:31. | :54:35. | |
today, all within the next year, but it should happen. You say at | :54:35. | :54:41. | |
some point, it should happen. Can you give us any indication at what | :54:41. | :54:47. | |
that means? What referendum will it be? Will it be an inch out | :54:47. | :54:52. | |
referendum? David Cameron, as you said, is toying with the idea | :54:52. | :54:55. | |
because he has to go to this conference next week. I'm asking | :54:55. | :55:02. | |
about you? Of course, but we're not under that sense of pressure within | :55:02. | :55:08. | |
the party. We have a view that it is good for the United Kingdom to | :55:08. | :55:13. | |
be engaged in the Europe. Not in the euro but engaged in Europe. In | :55:13. | :55:17. | |
terms of the timescale, we can work through that. But it shouldn't be | :55:17. | :55:21. | |
in the midst of a financial crisis that is affecting the globe. We | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
need to get through this recession, get through the Euro crisis before | :55:25. | :55:30. | |
we do that. There is big change coming to Europe, the 17 nations of | :55:30. | :55:35. | |
the Euro themselves are going to have a closer union. At the end of | :55:35. | :55:39. | |
that, Europe will look different. If we come through that and the | :55:39. | :55:43. | |
financial crisis, after that the time for a referendum would be upon | :55:43. | :55:50. | |
us. You cannot give me any idea when it would be, or whether it | :55:50. | :55:59. | |
would be an in or out referendum. It is not a policy to me? I did not | :55:59. | :56:05. | |
give you a proper answer, I think it should be and in or out | :56:05. | :56:09. | |
referendum when the time comes, the same of Scotland whether they want | :56:09. | :56:15. | |
to be part of the Union. It is a sensible way to do it. I don't have | :56:15. | :56:19. | |
a calendar with a date circled, we will do it when the time is right, | :56:19. | :56:24. | |
which means getting through the financial crisis and having a | :56:24. | :56:30. | |
potter -- proper debate and referendum. If you look at, not | :56:30. | :56:34. | |
your timescale because you have not given be one, but the debate coming | :56:34. | :56:39. | |
up in Europe, it looks like the eurozone countries will be moving | :56:39. | :56:45. | |
to a more federal type Europe, which I assume we want to be part. | :56:45. | :56:47. | |
Because at night the you or the Conservatives think we should be | :56:47. | :56:52. | |
part of Europe. Should we joined the eurozone in a federal type of | :56:52. | :56:56. | |
Europe, but stay out of it, but stay in the European Union, under | :56:56. | :57:00. | |
new terms, or should be get out altogether? Unlike in Scotland it | :57:00. | :57:08. | |
seems to me you may have A3 to his question? I am not a fan of eight | :57:08. | :57:12. | |
pick-and-mix, multiple-choice referendum. You end up with the | :57:12. | :57:21. | |
option which may only gain 40% support. Any referendum should be | :57:21. | :57:27. | |
set by Electoral Commission. But instinctively, I am more inclined | :57:27. | :57:30. | |
to and in and out referendum rather than a multiple choice of voting | :57:30. | :57:36. | |
system, that leads to a few choices. There is a Maltese be Europe | :57:36. | :57:42. | |
already. It is already with us, we just happen not to be in the | :57:42. | :57:47. | |
vanguard of that European politics, because we are outside the Europe - | :57:47. | :57:52. | |
- Europe. Whenever the referendum comes, almost everyone in the | :57:52. | :57:56. | |
Labour party, probably along with the Lib Dems, British business and | :57:56. | :58:01. | |
unions will argue we stay part of the European Union because it is | :58:01. | :58:05. | |
good for the economy and good for Britain. If I thought it was bad | :58:05. | :58:14. | |
for Britain, I wouldn't want to be part of it. Mr Murphy, thanks. | :58:14. | :58:19. | |
We are expecting Ed Balls to begin his speech about 12:10pm, and we | :58:19. | :58:25. | |
are told the subject is rescuing the economy. The Chancellor Best | :58:25. | :58:29. | |
Shadow Chancellor said he wouldn't reverse any coalition spending cuts | :58:29. | :58:34. | |
at the 2015. But that wouldn't stop Ed Balls offering George Osborne | :58:34. | :58:41. | |
advice on how to handle the economy. And now he's going to announce a | :58:41. | :58:47. | |
housebuilding plan using the proceeds from the sale of the 4G | :58:47. | :58:52. | |
phone licences. Does it make sense to build a housebuilding policy on | :58:52. | :58:58. | |
a sale of Spectrum which we don't even know is going to happen yet? | :58:58. | :59:04. | |
It makes sense to get something to move the economy pulls stop | :59:04. | :59:08. | |
building 100,000 homes is a sensible policy. It is a short time | :59:08. | :59:13. | |
boost to the economy. We have lost thousands of construction jobs over | :59:13. | :59:18. | |
the last few years. He get people back in work and the economy moving. | :59:18. | :59:25. | |
And there is a long-term effect, it is something back gets the economy | :59:25. | :59:30. | |
moving now and give you long-term benefit. I understand the case for | :59:30. | :59:37. | |
investing in the housing, people go back to the 1930s and say it helped, | :59:37. | :59:41. | |
the recession then. Which was shorter than the one we are having | :59:41. | :59:46. | |
now. But financing it with the spectrum auction which hasn't | :59:46. | :59:52. | |
happened, and you do not know what it is going to be, which is tied up | :59:52. | :59:59. | |
in litigation, it does not sound like the sound basis for Keynesian | :59:59. | :00:07. | |
He wants to be able to show it is a costed policy. I think the | :00:07. | :00:13. | |
estimates are �3 billion-�4 billion. This policy seems well costed, even | :00:13. | :00:19. | |
using the lower estimate. This has been in litigation for four years - | :00:19. | :00:26. | |
these 4G licences. I am suspicious that it suddenly produces 100,000 | :00:26. | :00:31. | |
homes. Why? It is a nice round number, isn't it? At the end of the | :00:31. | :00:39. | |
day, this is peanuts. This is trying to distinguish Balls' fiscal | :00:39. | :00:45. | |
policy from Osborne's fiscal policy. �3 billion will not impact on the | :00:45. | :00:50. | |
economy. It could impact on the economy, couldn't it? Use it for | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
deficit reduction if and when this money materialised. Let's use it | :00:54. | :01:00. | |
for infrastructure, let's use it for digital infrastructure. A lot | :01:00. | :01:03. | |
of small businesses in the construction - house building and | :01:03. | :01:09. | |
providing the fixtures and fittingings. Wouldn't members like | :01:09. | :01:14. | |
to see... There is land designated to build 300,000 homes. Wouldn't | :01:14. | :01:20. | |
this get towards a third of this figure? It could do. When we are | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
spending the Government's money or public money, the Government is | :01:23. | :01:31. | |
spending that, we have to focus on what will boost long-term growth. | :01:31. | :01:36. | |
Isn't housing infrastructure, when you have to build sewers, roads and | :01:36. | :01:41. | |
ditches. We all now the key challenges we all face in the UK. | :01:41. | :01:46. | |
That is a huge issue. We are not allocating the resources to that | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
that we need. The 4G money, if it materialises, would be better | :01:51. | :01:56. | |
putting in that direction. The fundamental problem with the UK | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
construction industry - yes there is a demand problem, but there is a | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
supply problem. We talk about people not getting on the housing | :02:05. | :02:12. | |
ladder. The big reason is... What do you say to that? What do you say | :02:12. | :02:16. | |
to his members? We have to step back and look at the last two years. | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
The long-term picture of the UK economy of the last two years is of | :02:21. | :02:26. | |
stagnation. We had a little growth - too weak. We fell back into a | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
double-dip recession... So the picture is two years of stagnation. | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
There is a terrible squeeze on living standards. Banks are not | :02:34. | :02:40. | |
prepared to lend. There is what is happening in the eurozone. There is | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
the contraction. I am not saying austerity alone is to blame for two | :02:44. | :02:49. | |
years of stagnation, but it has contributed to it. When you have a | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
global crisis, you have a squeeze in living standards, banks which | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
cannot lend - that is the time the Government should be stimulating | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
the economy, stimulating demand, rather than pulling in the wrong | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
way. You think Ed is the solution there, I think Meryvn is the | :03:05. | :03:15. | |
:03:15. | :03:16. | ||
solution. I think the monetary policy is a bazooka. We've had �375 | :03:16. | :03:21. | |
billion. Andrew we would have had a depression without quantitative | :03:21. | :03:29. | |
easing. That is a lesson from the '30s. Thanks to Mr Bern bern and Mr | :03:29. | :03:36. | |
King in London, it has not stimulated the economy. It has | :03:36. | :03:41. | |
prevented things from being worse.... It is the stimulus bit we | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
are arguing about! We don't have quantitative easinging to the level | :03:44. | :03:50. | |
the blang want it. They want money -- Bank of England want it. They | :03:50. | :03:57. | |
want money supply grow up to 6%. We are nudging 3% at the moment. | :03:57. | :04:04. | |
prize of the Antiques Roadshow. He has just passed his Grade I piano | :04:04. | :04:11. | |
exam. He is regarded as a bruiser and likes to bake cakes. I think he | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
likes to bake cakes. Paul Kenny from the GMB union thinks he would | :04:16. | :04:20. | |
give an aspirin a headache. I am not sure how that would work, but | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
there you go. In a few moments the Shadow Chancellor will take to the | :04:24. | :04:29. | |
floor of the Conference. The second biggest speech of the week. The | :04:29. | :04:35. | |
other being Mr Miliband tomorrow. What is he like? We sent Adam to | :04:35. | :04:42. | |
find out. A brilliant mind, lazy at carry yolk I can. Have you ever had | :04:42. | :04:52. | |
one -- Kareoke. Have you ever had one of his cakes? No. People in | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
politics have strong opinions. Speaking as I found him, when I had | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
to work closely with him when he was Education Minister, I was | :04:59. | :05:04. | |
Justice Minister, I found him a very, very good minister. He gets | :05:04. | :05:08. | |
under the skin of David Cameron like nobody else. When he sits | :05:08. | :05:13. | |
there and he's muttering and flat- lining hand signals and things like | :05:13. | :05:19. | |
this, part of the theatre of Parliament is personality and he | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
has a personality. This cafe is full of the rank and file. Let's | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
find out what ordinary party members think about him. He is reg | :05:27. | :05:32. | |
-- He has recognised we need a policy for growth and demand in the | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
economy is critical. That is something in both respects that the | :05:37. | :05:43. | |
coalition Government have neglected. I also saw him dancing at the | :05:43. | :05:49. | |
Diversity night. Is he a good dancer? He S What sort of moves? | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
Good moves. He is an excellent person. I think people are warming | :05:53. | :05:58. | |
to him. He's very approachable and also, of course, he's got the | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
ability to see through on detail. That is what his party think of him. | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
What is his reputation with the press? | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
I just think Miliband has to show that he's master of his own | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
finances while Balls is there, it ain't possible. I quite like him. I | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
never, ever thought I would say that. If you said that to me two or | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
three years ago, I would have laughed in your face. He is a | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
likable individual. He has a side to his personality, he needs to be | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
doing something outside politics to give him a challenge. He ran the | :06:30. | :06:36. | |
marathon. He is now learning to play the piano. Goodness knows what | :06:36. | :06:44. | |
he has lined up next. Nick Robinson joins us live. The main bit of the | :06:44. | :06:50. | |
speech, this 4G licence, it has been well trailed. He's had a | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
kicking from Mr McCluskey of Unite, on public spending squeeze. Is this | :06:55. | :06:59. | |
going to be a tougher speech than he might have thought? I don't know | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
if it will be tougher. It is not the backdrop, in one sense, he | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
would have wanted. If you are Ed Balls fighting the unions about | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
being too tough on public spending, is not a bad place to be. Len | :07:11. | :07:18. | |
McCluskey, the General Secretary of Unite, who started this con-- | :07:18. | :07:24. | |
Conference by saying he wanted to kick the Blairite birds out after | :07:24. | :07:29. | |
the nest, he has spoken on this floor and opposed the policy of | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
backing public pay restraint. 1% over the next two years. He said it | :07:34. | :07:39. | |
is a false choice to trade lower pay for more jobs. Precisely what | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
Ed Miliband and Ed Balls have said. He used a lively phase about saying, | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
"it is time they came out of the shadows," he said. They were | :07:47. | :07:53. | |
nervous the men from Unite. When he had a go at Ed, people might think | :07:53. | :08:02. | |
he was going at Ed Miliband. No, we are told he meant Ed Balls, the | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
Shadow Chancellor. Since they share the policy it adds up to the same | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
thing. Let's hear what Len McCluskey had to say. He's the | :08:10. | :08:15. | |
union leader of Unite. It is the biggest union in the country. He | :08:15. | :08:19. | |
seemed to have a go at Ed Balls here and it went down very well | :08:19. | :08:27. | |
with the faithful. No more false choices, please of jobs or wages. | :08:27. | :08:35. | |
Low wages, paid by big companies... APPLAUSE | :08:35. | :08:40. | |
Conference, low wages paid by big companies depress demand and jobs. | :08:40. | :08:44. | |
We end one the taxpayers subsidising poverty pay. So I say | :08:44. | :08:49. | |
to Ed, a public spending squeeze while the City continues to let rip | :08:49. | :08:57. | |
is simply not acceptable. APPLAUSE | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
Conference, asking the poorest for further sacrifices for a crisis | :09:02. | :09:08. | |
that they did not cause is the road to political ruin and to defeat at | :09:08. | :09:14. | |
the next general election. It is time for Labour to want -- for once | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
and for all to turn their back on the neo-liberalism of the past, | :09:18. | :09:24. | |
reject the siren voices, Ed, from those whose policies and philosophy | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
have been discredited and embrace the radical alternative the country | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
wants and which is the only way, the only way Conference, Labour | :09:33. | :09:43. | |
:09:43. | :09:47. | ||
will return to power. I move. Well, Nick, there comes a time, | :09:47. | :09:53. | |
even in today's well-controlled disciplined Conferences of all the | :09:53. | :09:58. | |
parties, suddenly someone says what the party faithful are thinking, | :09:58. | :10:01. | |
which is not what the party leadership is thinking. Did we just | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
see an example of that? Yes, I think a lot of people are like that. | :10:05. | :10:14. | |
It took a while to warm up. It is a rather dead Conference hall. A big | :10:14. | :10:19. | |
hangar of a place. They there are fewer people in the hall. There's | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
less of an atmosphere, less of an tispaigs that there'll be trouble. | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
The motion that Len McCluskey was pushing was originally designed to | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
be a motion that tweaked the tail of the Labour leadership by | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
opposing calls for public sector pay restraint. In the end, through | :10:36. | :10:43. | |
this odd bolting bits of motions from different people, it ended up | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
noting the policy. No problem for the Labour leadership if the motion | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
goes through. As you say, Andrew, actually from the hall to the | :10:51. | :10:53. | |
pleasure of quite a large percentage, my guess would be and | :10:53. | :10:59. | |
it is only a guess, it felt to me in the hall half or two-thirds of | :10:59. | :11:05. | |
the hall were warmly applauding Mr McCluskey, did hear a call for a | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
radical alternative rather than a pale shadow of coalition austerity. | :11:09. | :11:13. | |
Mr McCluskey is the biggest union leader in the land, in terms of the | :11:13. | :11:17. | |
numbers in his union. His union has given �6 million to the Labour | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
Party. He gave an interview to the Sunday Times at the weekend beating | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
up on the Blairites. There he was making a speech to the Labour | :11:26. | :11:30. | |
conference and then the cut away, as he walked away, as our viewers | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
saw there, there were empty seat after empty seat, after empty seat. | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
They cannot turn up for the biggest bank rolling union leader in the | :11:39. | :11:48. | |
land? No. It is because there is an understanding that the debates | :11:48. | :11:51. | |
don't matter any more. Essentially what you are doing if you go into | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
that hall is you are hearing a series of people lining up to | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
compete to condemn the coalition or praise whatever idea they are in | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
favour of. Many are seeking a career in politics. They are | :12:03. | :12:07. | |
showing off in front of the people who might promote them. The more | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
junior ministers are trying to make a good show in front of them and in | :12:11. | :12:16. | |
front of journalists. There are rare moments in which you feel | :12:16. | :12:23. | |
something is being decided. That was a rare moment, if not decided | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
there was an actual debate taking place. Even Len McCluskey, who has | :12:27. | :12:32. | |
been willing to cause trouble for the leadership said no, when I | :12:32. | :12:40. | |
attack Ed, I am not attacking that Ed, I am not attacking that Ed. Ed | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
Balls's policy, which was to say that public sector pay restraint | :12:43. | :12:48. | |
was right now, does not tell us what he would do in office. A | :12:48. | :12:53. | |
series of things we will hear from the speech beg the question - yes, | :12:53. | :12:59. | |
you would spend this 4G spectrum sale, in other words when you sell | :12:59. | :13:04. | |
off the spectrum made freebie these 4G phones, you would have raised | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
money. Of course that would happen if Labour got into office by 2015. | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
What does it actually really tell us about Labour's priority? All it | :13:13. | :13:17. | |
tells us is that by instinct the Labour leadership have decided they | :13:17. | :13:21. | |
still think it is right to say to the public that you can spend your | :13:21. | :13:25. | |
way out of some of the economic problems. They think the coalition | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
will soon be proved wrong in their claim that austerity is the route | :13:29. | :13:33. | |
to getting the deficit down and therefore the route to getting | :13:33. | :13:38. | |
growth. Mr Balls has a complicated message, because it seems his | :13:38. | :13:42. | |
position is, yes, he's saying the deficit is too big, but in the | :13:42. | :13:47. | |
short-term we'll make it bigger and then later on we'll make it smaller. | :13:47. | :13:52. | |
I think instinctively that is a hard concept for people to gasp? | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
is a hard concept, but if you put it in a different way it is easier. | :13:56. | :14:03. | |
If you say, he will use words not dissimilar, look, if you put people | :14:03. | :14:09. | |
out of work and they are not paying taxes, then the tax-take of the | :14:09. | :14:14. | |
Government stkpwos down, then the - - goes down. Then you are in a | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
spiral where it gets worse. In a sense, you and I and many other | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
people watching, those classic economics, The View that you have | :14:22. | :14:28. | |
to spend in bad times in order to get the economy moving again. What | :14:28. | :14:31. | |
is striking when you look at the market research and I have talked | :14:31. | :14:37. | |
to people on both sides and the BBC does its own market research, to | :14:37. | :14:43. | |
see how our broadcasts are understood, the wording you use | :14:43. | :14:45. | |
drastically changes people's response. If the Tories point out | :14:45. | :14:50. | |
the deficit has fallen by 5% since they have fallen to office, their - | :14:50. | :14:55. | |
- 25% since they have fallen to office, their confidence will soar. | :14:55. | :14:58. | |
If Ed Balls points out something which is true, which is this year | :14:58. | :15:03. | |
borrowing has gone up 20%, Labour's representation for economic | :15:03. | :15:07. | |
competence goes up and the Tories go down. Both are part of the | :15:07. | :15:10. | |
debate. It is a sense and illustration of the fact that the | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
public are anxious but don't know which way to turn. There must be | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
concern, is there not, that in the Labour high command, that at a time | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
when there's been no economic growth since the coalition came to | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
power, real living standards have been squeezed, worse than at any | :15:26. | :15:31. | |
time since the 1920s, as you say, the deficit which is kind of the | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
reason the coalition is rising again in this financial year and I | :15:35. | :15:41. | |
could go on and on with the economic gloom, that the polls | :15:41. | :15:46. | |
suggest that the coalition or more Cameron and Mr Ostoss still -- Mr | :15:46. | :15:50. | |
Cameron and Mr Osborne still have more credible than Mr Miliband and | :15:50. | :16:00. | |
:16:00. | :16:01. | ||
The country is still giving the new Government the benefit of the doubt. | :16:01. | :16:06. | |
Of course people are still angry and frustration about what happened. | :16:06. | :16:11. | |
The inclination of the people is to say, let's give this new lot a try. | :16:11. | :16:17. | |
What they are banking on is when the Chancellor stands on November | :16:17. | :16:23. | |
5th, what he does his he publishes a forecast, an independent forecast | :16:23. | :16:28. | |
from the Office for Budget Responsibility, about whether he | :16:28. | :16:33. | |
will meet his own rules. He has two rules, and he's likely, not | :16:33. | :16:38. | |
definite, but likely to miss the first one and quite likely to miss | :16:38. | :16:43. | |
the second one as well. They are hoping and believing the electorate | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
will look at that and say, it isn't working, we must go down the route | :16:48. | :16:53. | |
of the Labour alternative. But the Government accounting on it or not | :16:53. | :16:57. | |
happen at all and if it is debt that is the problem, the coalition | :16:57. | :17:07. | |
:17:07. | :17:08. | ||
is the answer. Ed Balls is now on his feet at the coalition. | :17:08. | :17:12. | |
We all know what is supposed to happen when -- political parties | :17:12. | :17:19. | |
lose elections, Akram may, division, the party turning in on itself and | :17:19. | :17:25. | |
out of touch with the views of the country. Conference, two years on, | :17:25. | :17:31. | |
in this generation we have booked the that trend. | :17:31. | :17:40. | |
I cannot remember our party being so United, so determined to win | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
back the trust of the people again with our economy in recession and | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
the unfairness of this Tory lead coalition, now laid bare. Let us | :17:50. | :17:55. | |
show we are the people to rebuild Britain, strong and fur for the | :17:55. | :18:03. | |
future. And conference, making a case for | :18:03. | :18:09. | |
change, setting the agenda on reform of our media, banks and | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
responsibility in the economy from top to bottom, showing the strength | :18:12. | :18:18. | |
of purpose and moral conviction which won him the job and get him | :18:18. | :18:22. | |
to Downing Street. Let us pay tribute to my friend, our leader, | :18:22. | :18:28. | |
the next Prime Minister of our country, Ed Miliband. | :18:28. | :18:38. | |
:18:38. | :18:45. | ||
I am proud to serve in his shadow cabinet. Now, with more than 40% | :18:45. | :18:49. | |
women, the first time that as ever happened in British politics. | :18:49. | :18:59. | |
And what a contrast to David Cameron's cabinet. Where the men | :18:59. | :19:04. | |
get the jobs, the women get the sack and only the chaps get the | :19:04. | :19:09. | |
knighthoods. Let me ask you this, what does it take to get sacked | :19:09. | :19:16. | |
from David Cameron's cabinet? Swear at a police officer, call him a | :19:16. | :19:24. | |
pleb and you get defended to the hilt. Get caught red handed texting | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
market sensitive information to News International and you get | :19:27. | :19:32. | |
promoted. Flat line the economy, deliver the most shambolic budget | :19:33. | :19:37. | |
in living memory and you stay in your post. More than that, you are | :19:37. | :19:42. | |
allowed to stay part time. Do all of those things and David Cameron | :19:42. | :19:49. | |
will let you keep your job. But not if you are a woman. What kind of | :19:49. | :19:55. | |
Prime Minister thinks it is fair to sack a 54-year-old woman in his | :19:55. | :20:00. | |
Cabinet because she is to old and then give the job to a 56-year-old | :20:00. | :20:09. | |
man instead? Let Me Tell You, a Prime Minister | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
who only a point five women in the first place, sacks three of them, | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
demotes the of the two, and attacks the Labour leadership for not being | :20:19. | :20:29. | |
:20:29. | :20:36. | ||
bought enough! Porsche! What ever did he mean. If David Cameron is | :20:36. | :20:42. | |
the you see Ch, where does that leave George Osborne? Perhaps this | :20:42. | :20:48. | |
is why George Osborne will never be sacked. A Prime Minister and a | :20:48. | :20:54. | |
Chancellor going down fighting together, and this time, let's see | :20:54. | :21:02. | |
them ride off into the sunset, but Cameron and the flat line kid. | :21:02. | :21:11. | |
And doesn't it feel good to be back in Manchester. Or should I say to | :21:11. | :21:19. | |
be back in Labour Manchester. Four Labour MPs, three world-class | :21:19. | :21:24. | |
universities, two world-beating football teams, one Labour council | :21:24. | :21:29. | |
and not a single Tory councillor in the whole city, not a single one. | :21:29. | :21:39. | |
:21:39. | :21:44. | ||
And, let us pledge today to keep it that way. And elect the brilliance | :21:44. | :21:50. | |
Lucy Powell as Manchester's first ever, Labour woman MP. | :21:50. | :22:00. | |
I can think of no one better to be Manchester's first ever police and | :22:00. | :22:04. | |
crime Commissioner and the wise and respected Tony Lloyd. | :22:04. | :22:14. | |
:22:14. | :22:16. | ||
And conference, at the time of such tragedies for policing in this City | :22:16. | :22:21. | |
D, our whole country remembers two brave officers who lost their lives | :22:21. | :22:26. | |
doing their duty. We paid tribute to all those public servants up and | :22:26. | :22:31. | |
down the country, police officers, firefighters, armed forces, who | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
every day put their lives on the line to keep us safe. | :22:35. | :22:45. | |
:22:45. | :22:48. | ||
And conference, as we rightly praised the success of London 2012, | :22:48. | :22:54. | |
let's not forget it was Manchester's hosting of the 2002 | :22:54. | :22:57. | |
Commonwealth Games which showed the way and proved Britain was ready to | :22:58. | :23:03. | |
stage the biggest international sporting events. And conference, we | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
salute Graham Stringer and so Richard lease, and all those who | :23:07. | :23:11. | |
made it possible. We salute those who brought the Olympics to London | :23:11. | :23:15. | |
and made it such a success, Tony Blair, Prince William, Ken Lou | :23:16. | :23:22. | |
Vincent, Gordon Brown, Lord Coe and too many others to mention. None of | :23:22. | :23:26. | |
them would have been able to play their part it not for the one | :23:26. | :23:31. | |
person who made it possible, conference please join me in | :23:31. | :23:41. | |
:23:41. | :23:57. | ||
thanking Dame Tessa Jowell. Conference, it was Tessa's | :23:57. | :24:03. | |
officials who told her it would be a disaster to host the 2012 Games. | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
It would cost too much, the stadiums wouldn't be ready, | :24:07. | :24:12. | |
Transport could not cope, she and she could have listened to those | :24:12. | :24:17. | |
concerns, but she didn't. She persevered, we won and the rest is | :24:17. | :24:20. | |
now part of our national history. There is a lesson we should learn | :24:20. | :24:25. | |
from this. With wise leadership, a long-term vision and a strong | :24:25. | :24:31. | |
partnership between Government and citizens, we can do great things. | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
We can lead the rest of the world, we can rebuild Britain for the | :24:35. | :24:41. | |
future. But, if you listen to the doubters, if you never take a risk, | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
if you flinch when obstacles are in the way, you'll never get anything | :24:45. | :24:51. | |
done. It you spend your whole time fighting short term, political | :24:51. | :24:57. | |
battles, Dave verses Boris, Boris the verses for George, George | :24:57. | :25:02. | |
verses of Ince, you'll never rise to the long-term needs of the | :25:02. | :25:06. | |
country, and in the end you let people down and you lose their | :25:06. | :25:11. | |
trust. And no where is it more obvious than in our economy. Thank | :25:11. | :25:15. | |
goodness the Olympics has given us a short-term shot in the arm that | :25:15. | :25:20. | |
might be enough to take us out of recession this quarter. But that is | :25:20. | :25:25. | |
no substitute for a long-term strategy. Not when families are | :25:25. | :25:29. | |
struggling to make it ends meet, not when fuel and food prices are | :25:30. | :25:33. | |
going up and wages are frozen and tax read its cut. When so many | :25:33. | :25:38. | |
young people have been unable to find work and stay on in education. | :25:38. | :25:43. | |
Not when so many businesses are struggling to raise the finances to | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
survive until the year end. Not when so many working people in the | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
public and private sectors are worried about their jobs and | :25:50. | :25:56. | |
pensions, the human cost of this Government's economic failure. | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
Remember what Dave Cameron, George Osborne and Nick Clegg promised two | :26:00. | :26:05. | |
years ago. Tax rises faster, deeper spending cuts are faster would | :26:05. | :26:11. | |
secure the economy and make Britain a safe haven. That theirs was the | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
only credible plan to deal with the deficit. And, we were all in this | :26:16. | :26:25. | |
together. Conference, the recovery secured, we are just one of only | :26:25. | :26:29. | |
G20 countries in recession. De long as double-dip recession since the | :26:30. | :26:35. | |
Second World War. A credible plan to deal with our deficits, because | :26:35. | :26:41. | |
we are in recession, the deficit is not going down, it is going up. Up | :26:41. | :26:47. | |
by 22% so far this year. Rising borrowing not to invest in the jobs | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
of the future, but to pay for the mounting cost of this Government's | :26:51. | :26:56. | |
economic failure. There is nothing credible about a plan that leads to | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
a double-dip recession, to thousands of businesses going bust, | :27:00. | :27:06. | |
to a million young people out of work, businesses and -- billions | :27:06. | :27:11. | |
wasted on their welfare bill. That is not credible, it is wrong. | :27:11. | :27:21. | |
:27:21. | :27:25. | ||
And as for we are role in this together, we don't hear that line | :27:25. | :27:31. | |
any more. -- all in this together. Not from a Chancellor who presented | :27:31. | :27:36. | |
the most unfair and unpopular budget in a generation. It | :27:36. | :27:42. | |
generation -- Chancellor who tried to raise taxes on pasties, | :27:42. | :27:49. | |
churches... Who tried to raise mansion tax. It used six months' | :27:49. | :27:53. | |
time would try to raise tax from pensioners on the same day he cuts | :27:53. | :28:00. | |
the tax for the riches, a �3 billion tax cut giving �40,000 a | :28:00. | :28:07. | |
year to a millionaire. �40,000 a year! Conference, what kind of | :28:07. | :28:12. | |
Government asks pensioners to pay for a tax cut to millionaires? What | :28:12. | :28:17. | |
kind of Government believes a low- paid women will only work harder if | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
you take away their tax credits and make them worse off, but | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
millionaires will only work harder if you give them a tax cut to make | :28:25. | :28:35. | |
:28:35. | :28:36. | ||
them better off? Isn't this the truth, we know what | :28:36. | :28:41. | |
kind of Government this is, failing on the economy, failing on the | :28:41. | :28:46. | |
deficit and hitting the many to help the privileged few. Arrogant, | :28:46. | :28:51. | |
complacent and out of touch. It is the same old Tory Government. That | :28:51. | :28:57. | |
is what it is. David Cameron, George Osborne, Nick Clegg, the | :28:57. | :29:02. | |
same old Tories, every one of them. But you know what the worst thing | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
is? The two years they have told us all this pain will be worth it in | :29:06. | :29:13. | |
the end. It will be short-term pain for long-term gain. What we are now | :29:13. | :29:18. | |
seeing a short-term pain doing long-term damage in our economy. | :29:18. | :29:22. | |
Look at the facts, over 33,000 companies gone bust since the | :29:23. | :29:27. | |
General Election. Investment plans cancelled or averted overseas, | :29:27. | :29:32. | |
economy is weaker, capacity lost, more prone to inflationary | :29:32. | :29:38. | |
pressures when the recovery finally comes. Child poverty, used | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
unemployment becoming entrenched and damaging them for the rest of | :29:41. | :29:46. | |
their lives. Conference, if we carry on like this, divided | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
coalition muddling through, no vision, waiting for something to | :29:49. | :29:54. | |
turn up, the danger is that two last years become three and four, | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
and we slipped into a lost decade of slow growth, high unemployment | :29:58. | :30:03. | |
and stagnation. Last Investment, lost output, lost jobs, lost | :30:03. | :30:09. | |
exports, a decade when we fail to make investments and reforms we | :30:09. | :30:13. | |
need to make our economy stronger for the future. It does not have to | :30:13. | :30:23. | |
:30:23. | :30:27. | ||
Last year, private investment in Germany rose by 7%. One million | :30:27. | :30:32. | |
extra students enrolled in university in America. China is | :30:32. | :30:37. | |
building 80,000 miles of roads a year and is now planning 70 new | :30:37. | :30:45. | |
airports. Here in Britain, private investment, down 2%. More students, | :30:45. | :30:50. | |
no, over 50,000 fewer and not one of the road projects David Cameron | :30:50. | :30:56. | |
announced last year has even started in construction. When you | :30:56. | :31:02. | |
look at this picture of stagnation and inaction, is it any wonder the | :31:02. | :31:09. | |
deficit is now going up? We warned two years ago that drastic spending | :31:09. | :31:14. | |
cuts and early tax rises, too far, too fast, risked choking off the | :31:14. | :31:18. | |
economy and risked making a difficult situation worse. We | :31:18. | :31:26. | |
warned either learn the lessons of history or repeat the mistakes of | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
history. This is the fundamental truth. If more people are on the | :31:29. | :31:33. | |
dole, not paying tax, you cannot get the deficit down. If businesses | :31:33. | :31:38. | |
are going bust, not hiring new workers, you cannot get the deficit | :31:38. | :31:42. | |
down. If the economy is not growing, you cannot get the deficit down. | :31:42. | :31:49. | |
That is why we must act now, to kick-start the recovery, to tackle | :31:49. | :31:52. | |
rising borrowing, to make our economy stronger. A year ago, in | :31:52. | :31:57. | |
Liverpool, we set out five actions the Government should take then and | :31:57. | :32:03. | |
now to boost growth - tax, bank bonuses and use the money to create | :32:03. | :32:09. | |
jobs for 100,000 young people and 25,000 more homes. Bring forward | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
long-term investment in our infrastructure. Reverse the | :32:13. | :32:18. | |
damaging VAT rise. Give every small firm, taking on extra workers a | :32:18. | :32:23. | |
one-year national insurance tax break. Cut VAT to 5% for a year on | :32:23. | :32:27. | |
home improvements. Conference, since last year, David Cameron's | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
Government has done next to nothing. Their economic plan is failing. | :32:30. | :32:40. | |
They don't know what to do. Plan A, plan B, plan A plus. With this | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
Government I don't see any plan at all. That is why it is so urgent we | :32:45. | :32:51. | |
kick-start the economy. We must go further and we must act now. With | :32:51. | :32:56. | |
119,000 construction jobs lost in two years, a 68% fall in the number | :32:56. | :33:01. | |
of affordable homes being built, we need bold and urgent action now. | :33:01. | :33:09. | |
With Hillary Benn and Jack Dromy, the Government is anticipating a | :33:09. | :33:14. | |
wind fall of up to �4 billion from the sale of the 4G spectrum. In | :33:14. | :33:19. | |
good times Labour used every penny of the �22 billion from the sale of | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
the 3G licences to repay national debt. In difficult times, we | :33:24. | :33:29. | |
urgently need to put something back into our economy. So, with this | :33:29. | :33:34. | |
one-off windfall from, the sale of the 4G spectrum, let's cut through | :33:34. | :33:38. | |
this Government's dither and rhetoric and actually do something. | :33:38. | :33:43. | |
Not more talk, but action now. Let's use the money from the 4G | :33:43. | :33:48. | |
sale and build over the next two years, 100,000 new homes, | :33:48. | :33:52. | |
affordable homes to rent and buy, creating hundreds of thousands of | :33:52. | :34:00. | |
jobs. Let's get our construction industry moving again. | :34:00. | :34:07. | |
Add to that a stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers, we can | :34:07. | :34:10. | |
deliver real help to people aspiring to get on to the property | :34:10. | :34:15. | |
ladder. Conference, this is a clear and costed plan to kick-start the | :34:15. | :34:19. | |
recovery and get people back to work, building the homes we need | :34:19. | :34:23. | |
now and for the long term. Building our way out of recession and | :34:23. | :34:33. | |
:34:33. | :34:34. | ||
rebuilding Britain for the future. APPLAUSE | :34:34. | :34:40. | |
We also need reform, to boost long- term investment and skills. The | :34:40. | :34:44. | |
only rise to living standards for working people. We need a modern | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
industry policy to support long- term wealth creation, with | :34:49. | :34:52. | |
strategic support for advanced manufacturing and service | :34:52. | :34:56. | |
industries. We need to work and campaign together to tackle tax | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
avoidance and bogus self-employment and prevent the race to the bottom | :34:59. | :35:07. | |
through regional pay. We need to enforce the minimum wage. | :35:07. | :35:12. | |
We need to help parents balance work and family life and make sure | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
our labour market is genuinely flexible and fair for working | :35:15. | :35:18. | |
people. Let's go further and promote the living wage too. | :35:18. | :35:28. | |
:35:28. | :35:29. | ||
APPLAUSE We also know our banking system | :35:29. | :35:32. | |
needs cultural change and radical reform. Reform which this | :35:32. | :35:37. | |
Government is only interested in watering down. That is why Ed | :35:37. | :35:43. | |
Miliband and I are clear - we do need a full and independent inquiry | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
into the practises of the banking industry. We need radical reform to | :35:48. | :35:53. | |
separate retail and investment banking. We need active support for | :35:53. | :36:00. | |
mutuals and co-operatives. We need a proper investment bank - this one | :36:00. | :36:07. | |
properly backed by the Treasury. APPLAUSE | :36:07. | :36:13. | |
Conference, let me also say this about the hundreds of thousands of | :36:13. | :36:16. | |
working people, earning ordinary salaries, who work hard every day | :36:16. | :36:24. | |
behind the counters of our high street banks - they were shocked | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
and dismayed at the gross irresponsibility and greed of a few | :36:28. | :36:32. | |
millionaire bankers at the top, who caused such damage and gave their | :36:32. | :36:37. | |
industry a bad name. Working people who want tougher regulation, who | :36:37. | :36:41. | |
want banks to work for the long- term interests of our economy and | :36:41. | :36:51. | |
:36:51. | :36:52. | ||
who do not deserve to be pilloried for their hard work and service. | :36:52. | :36:59. | |
Conference, the financial crisis did expose deep-rooted problems in | :36:59. | :37:03. | |
our economy. It was always going to be difficult to get the deficit | :37:03. | :37:08. | |
down. Even if we get the economy growing again, even if we reform | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
our banking system we will face tough choices in the years ahead. | :37:12. | :37:18. | |
The longer this Government staggers on, with a failing economic plab, - | :37:18. | :37:23. | |
- plan, the worse it will get. Hard times will last longer than any of | :37:23. | :37:27. | |
us hoped. We cannot promise to put everything right straight away. | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
Which is why however difficult this is, when we don't know what we'll | :37:31. | :37:34. | |
inherit, we cannot make any commitments now that the Labour | :37:34. | :37:40. | |
Government will be able to reverse spending cuts. Unlike Nick Clegg, | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
we will not make promises we cannot keep. | :37:44. | :37:53. | |
Of course we will make different choices. We'll do things in a | :37:53. | :37:57. | |
fairer way. Conference, as I said to the TUC, we have to be up front | :37:57. | :38:02. | |
with the British people, that under Labour there would have been cuts. | :38:02. | :38:05. | |
On spending, pay and pensions, there'll be difficult decisions in | :38:05. | :38:08. | |
the future, from which we will not flinch. Before the next election, | :38:08. | :38:13. | |
when we know the circumstances we face, we will set out for our | :38:13. | :38:17. | |
manifesto tough new rules to get our current budget back to balance | :38:17. | :38:22. | |
and national debt on a downward path. Not a meaningless fiscal rule | :38:22. | :38:27. | |
like George Osborne, a promise to balance the book in five years' | :38:27. | :38:30. | |
time, with that period moving forward year after year. Schools | :38:30. | :38:35. | |
will be monitored by the Office for Budget Responsibility. We will take | :38:35. | :38:38. | |
the action required to meet them. When we sell off the Government's | :38:38. | :38:45. | |
shares in the banks, every penny will go to the national debt. That | :38:45. | :38:49. | |
is what we need by fiscal responsibility in the national | :38:49. | :38:54. | |
interest. And because... APPLAUSE And because we all know there | :38:54. | :38:57. | |
cannot be a post election spending spree, in our first year in | :38:57. | :39:02. | |
Government we will hold a zero- based Spending Review, to look at | :39:02. | :39:05. | |
every pound spent by Government. Looking at what the Government can | :39:05. | :39:10. | |
and cannot afford. Boosting productivity. Building on the work | :39:10. | :39:15. | |
that Rachel Reeves is leading, but we will do things differently to | :39:15. | :39:18. | |
this Government. Not slashing budgets without a care in the world, | :39:18. | :39:21. | |
damaging the economy, but also hitting women harder than men. | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
Instead we will assess every pound of taxpayers' money, including for | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
its impact on growth and fairness. Not opting for short-term cuts that | :39:30. | :39:37. | |
look easy, which end up costing more in the lefrpl, like deep cuts | :39:37. | :39:43. | |
toed a -- long-term, like deep cuts costing more. Not ducking the | :39:43. | :39:49. | |
issues we know we have not properly faced up to yet as a country. | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
Issues which transcend parties and Parliaments where we need a cross- | :39:53. | :39:57. | |
party consensus. Let us get a long- term plan to support the most | :39:57. | :40:01. | |
vulnerable in our society. Look after children and adults needing | :40:01. | :40:05. | |
special care. -- social care. | :40:06. | :40:13. | |
APPLAUSE Conference, this is not just about | :40:13. | :40:17. | |
policy, it is about the kind of country we want to be and the way | :40:17. | :40:22. | |
we do our politics. Where we faigs important long-term challenges we | :40:22. | :40:27. | |
must -- face important long-term chal enings we must face a | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
consensus which put politics aside and put the national interest first, | :40:31. | :40:36. | |
just as we did a decade ago. Nowhere is such a consensus more | :40:36. | :40:42. | |
essential than on our national infrastructure. | :40:42. | :40:47. | |
As we approach major projects in a long-term way and build a cross- | :40:47. | :40:54. | |
party sense of national purpose, we can deliver. And yet, it took 13 | :40:54. | :40:58. | |
years, after the opening of the Channel Tunnel to complete the | :40:58. | :41:03. | |
high-speed train link to London. Crossrail was delayed for years and | :41:03. | :41:07. | |
years, for decades. Why is it so often the case in our country? Yes, | :41:08. | :41:11. | |
our cumbersome planning system. Yes, proper and legitimate concerns for | :41:11. | :41:15. | |
the environment. Too often in the past Governments have assumed vital | :41:15. | :41:19. | |
infravubgure can only be funded by public investment and then bulked | :41:19. | :41:25. | |
at the bill. Above all, success sieve Governments, including our | :41:25. | :41:29. | |
own have ducked or delayed decisions on our national | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
infrastructure. Sometimes allowed politics to come first. Just look | :41:32. | :41:37. | |
at this Government in the last few months. Will Boris or Dave win on | :41:37. | :41:45. | |
Heathrow? Will Conservative MPs block high-speed rail? Will George | :41:45. | :41:50. | |
see Zac off on renewable energy? What a ridiculous way to run a | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
country. No wonder business is fast losing confidence in this | :41:53. | :41:57. | |
Government's ability to make long- term decisions. But this is not | :41:57. | :42:01. | |
just a problem with this Government. We have to be the party to break | :42:01. | :42:06. | |
that cycle, because if we don't, if we put off major decisions for | :42:06. | :42:10. | |
another generation, it will be our children and grandchildren who will | :42:10. | :42:16. | |
pay the consequences. Let me give you a few examples. We must decide | :42:16. | :42:20. | |
how and when we are going to deliver super fast broadband across | :42:20. | :42:24. | |
the whole of the UK and avoid a two-tier Britain. | :42:24. | :42:33. | |
APPLAUSE We must decide whether we need to | :42:33. | :42:36. | |
replace our antiquated National Grid or risk more power cuts in the | :42:36. | :42:40. | |
future. We must decide, as a country, on a clear plan, to invest | :42:40. | :42:45. | |
in nuclear power, wind and tidal power and other renewables, so we | :42:45. | :42:53. | |
can lead the world in delivering clean energy and green jobs. We | :42:53. | :42:58. | |
must decide how we will protect our country from rising sea levels and | :42:58. | :43:03. | |
exceptional rainfall, including whether we need to re-enforce the | :43:03. | :43:06. | |
Thames barrier, to prevent London from flooding. We must decide, | :43:06. | :43:11. | |
alongside decisions on rail and airport capacity, how we'll get | :43:11. | :43:15. | |
more freight off our roads and on to railways. It will not help our | :43:15. | :43:20. | |
grandchildren if they are all driving electric cars but they are | :43:20. | :43:24. | |
still in gridlock on the M6 or the M25. | :43:24. | :43:31. | |
On all these issues, if we don't start to plan now, what will we say | :43:31. | :43:36. | |
in 30 years' time? When our children ask, why didn't you act | :43:36. | :43:42. | |
when there was still time? That is why we need a comprehensive, long- | :43:42. | :43:48. | |
term plan to rebuild Britain's infrastructure for the 21st century | :43:48. | :43:53. | |
and a cross party consensus to deliver it. It is why when budgets | :43:53. | :43:57. | |
are tight we must think innovatively about how to finance | :43:57. | :44:02. | |
these coming projects, drawing on the private sector and pension | :44:02. | :44:08. | |
savings. So Ed Miliband and I have asked the chair of the Olympic | :44:08. | :44:15. | |
Delivery Authority, Sir Jon Armet, to consider how long-term | :44:15. | :44:19. | |
infrastructure decision-making, planning, delivery and finance can | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
be radically improved over the coming decades. I can announce | :44:23. | :44:29. | |
today that Sir Jon has agreed to lead this work and draw up plans | :44:29. | :44:31. | |
for a commission or process, independent of Government, which | :44:31. | :44:35. | |
can assess and make proposals on the long-term infrastructure needs | :44:35. | :44:39. | |
of our country over the coming decades and help build that | :44:39. | :44:49. | |
:44:49. | :44:50. | ||
consensus. Not repeating the mistakes of the | :44:50. | :44:54. | |
past, but learning from them. Building a consensus that crosses | :44:54. | :44:58. | |
party lines without chopping and changing want Parliament to the | :44:58. | :45:03. | |
next. This is what we mean by building a consensus to rebuild | :45:03. | :45:08. | |
Britain for the future. And conference, there is another lesson | :45:09. | :45:13. | |
we must learn from our history. Many people have said over recent | :45:13. | :45:22. | |
weeks, this has been written's greatest ever summer. -- Britain's. | :45:22. | :45:28. | |
But let me remind you of a greater summer still. The summer of 1945, | :45:28. | :45:33. | |
the end of six years of war, when our nation welcomed its he wrote | :45:33. | :45:37. | |
home from the battlefields of Asia, Europe and America and celebrated | :45:37. | :45:43. | |
the defeat of fascism. Confidence are predecessors were elected that | :45:44. | :45:48. | |
the year to rebuild the country ravaged by conflict. They faced | :45:48. | :45:56. | |
even greater talent is than we face today. An economy weakened by war, | :45:56. | :46:00. | |
and national debt double the size of ours today and they make tough | :46:00. | :46:06. | |
and unpopular decisions to continue with rationing, to cut defence | :46:06. | :46:11. | |
spending and to introduce prescription charges. But that the | :46:11. | :46:15. | |
Labour Cabinet also remained focused on the long-term task ahead | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
and they learned from history and they rejected the failed austerity | :46:19. | :46:29. | |
:46:29. | :46:29. | ||
of the 1930s. And that meant they could put in | :46:29. | :46:34. | |
place a long-term reforms end during achievements, vital to a | :46:35. | :46:40. | |
country's future. The Beveridge Report, new homes that he rose, the | :46:40. | :46:46. | |
school leaving age raised, and an NHS free to all, based on not an | :46:46. | :46:52. | |
ability to pay, over 60 years later celebrated in our Olympics opening | :46:52. | :46:56. | |
ceremony for the world to see. Still today the greatest health | :46:56. | :47:06. | |
:47:06. | :47:13. | ||
service in all the world. Conference, they were very | :47:13. | :47:19. | |
different times. But it is our task to recapture the spirit and values | :47:19. | :47:24. | |
and sense of national purpose of that time. It just think of the | :47:24. | :47:29. | |
people in whose footsteps we follow. Working men and women who in the | :47:29. | :47:34. | |
years before had seen a hardship that many of us would never | :47:34. | :47:39. | |
experience. But they are suffering did not teach them selfishness, it | :47:39. | :47:44. | |
taught them solidarity. And that is why they never settled for second | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
best in their battle Education's all, free health care and proper | :47:48. | :47:56. | |
rights at work. And we owe it to them, but more | :47:56. | :48:01. | |
than that we owe it to our children and their children to come, to | :48:01. | :48:08. | |
learn from that example, make the tough decisions but not sacrifice | :48:08. | :48:15. | |
their futures. Because, when our grandchildren look back at us, what | :48:15. | :48:22. | |
will they say? Will they say we cast a generation of young people | :48:22. | :48:28. | |
on the scrapheap of unemployment? Will they say we as a generation | :48:28. | :48:32. | |
dismantled the NHS and made it harder to go to university? Will | :48:32. | :48:38. | |
they say we plunge Britain into a decade of economic stagnation while | :48:38. | :48:43. | |
other countries raced ahead? Will they say it we left Britain a less | :48:43. | :48:52. | |
prosperous, more unequal and unfair? All, will they say even as | :48:52. | :48:58. | |
we made tough and painful decisions, that ours was the generation that | :48:58. | :49:04. | |
got a record number of people into apprenticeships and university? | :49:04. | :49:09. | |
Ours was the generation that safeguarded the NHS and started the | :49:09. | :49:11. | |
rebuilding of our national infrastructure? Ours was the | :49:11. | :49:15. | |
generation that tackled our debt by growing and reforming our economy | :49:15. | :49:19. | |
and making sure the banking crisis that caused it could never happen | :49:19. | :49:24. | |
again. Ours was the generation that broke from the cycle of political | :49:24. | :49:28. | |
short-termism and started to rebuild Britain a new in the long- | :49:29. | :49:33. | |
term interest. Let us go forward, not flinching from tough decisions, | :49:33. | :49:37. | |
giving our young people hope, rebuilding Britain for the future. | :49:37. | :49:42. | |
That is a challenge, that is our mission, let us go forward and do | :49:42. | :49:52. | |
:49:52. | :49:55. | ||
it together. Thank you. STUDIO: Ed Balls finishes his | :49:55. | :50:01. | |
speech to the Labour Party Conference. He then moved on to his | :50:02. | :50:07. | |
brief, the economy. He announced what is called a zero based | :50:07. | :50:11. | |
approach to public spending. It means a root-and-branch study of | :50:11. | :50:16. | |
all public spending before deciding what to do next. He announced new | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
fiscal rules, although they were a bit vague and would be monitored by | :50:20. | :50:29. | |
the Budget -- the Office for Budget Responsibility and he talked about | :50:29. | :50:34. | |
better infrastructure delivery which it is not very controversial. | :50:34. | :50:40. | |
He also was most keen of the need to kick-start the economy. And we | :50:40. | :50:47. | |
got the announcement of using the proceeds from the 4G spectrum sale. | :50:47. | :50:52. | |
And we are joined in the studio And the Economic Secretary to the | :50:52. | :50:55. | |
Treasury, Sajid Javid, is with me now. And the Shadow Chief Secretary | :50:55. | :50:58. | |
to the Treasury, Rachel Reeves, is waiting to speak to us from | :50:58. | :51:04. | |
Manchester. When the deficit starts to rise again, the economy needs a | :51:04. | :51:10. | |
kick-start? We heard more of the same, which is what I expected, | :51:10. | :51:17. | |
more borrowing, spending and more debt. More debt than there would be | :51:17. | :51:24. | |
otherwise. He talked about the 4G spectrum and use the proceeds, what | :51:24. | :51:29. | |
ever there may be to try it and invest affordable housing. It also | :51:29. | :51:33. | |
shows he is not consistent with what he says. Almost exactly this | :51:33. | :51:38. | |
time last year, he said he would use any future proceeds from the | :51:38. | :51:44. | |
sale of bank proceeds to pay down the debt. Now he said anyone for | :51:44. | :51:47. | |
the Government gets he wants to spend, so therefore increase the | :51:47. | :51:54. | |
debt. Just on the 4G, what would you do with the proceeds of 4G? | :51:54. | :52:00. | |
don't know what the proceeds will be. This say they are three or 4 | :52:00. | :52:06. | |
billion? We will boost jobs... would you do with it? We will | :52:06. | :52:10. | |
decide at the time. You do not know yet. The us is not about what we | :52:11. | :52:14. | |
will do, it is analysing what he said because he wants to be the | :52:14. | :52:21. | |
future Challen -- Chancellor. don't know exactly how much, it is | :52:21. | :52:24. | |
stuck in litigation. I have made that point several times on this | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
programme. If and when it comes, Labour has said they would like to | :52:28. | :52:33. | |
spend the money on affordable housing. It is legitimate to ask | :52:33. | :52:39. | |
you, if and when it comes what would you do? When the man comes | :52:39. | :52:44. | |
and we know the amount and timing, we will decide then the best way to | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
spend the money. What is more important is what Ed Balls said | :52:48. | :52:53. | |
today. Let's look at their policy on affordable housing. During their | :52:53. | :52:57. | |
period in Government, the number of affordable housing in terms of | :52:57. | :53:02. | |
twirling fell by a net 200,000. The people on the waiting list went up | :53:03. | :53:07. | |
from one million up to 1.8 million. That is their policy, and what he | :53:07. | :53:11. | |
has announced today won't make any difference. Your policy is to cut | :53:11. | :53:17. | |
the deficit, why is the deficit rising? It is not, it is down by a | :53:17. | :53:22. | |
quarter. How big is the deficit in the first five months of this | :53:22. | :53:26. | |
financial year compared to the same five months last year? If you pick | :53:26. | :53:30. | |
a few months that are selected to illustrate your point. It you look | :53:30. | :53:34. | |
at the time period from when we entered Government as a coalition, | :53:34. | :53:38. | |
determined to deal with the bad inheritance, the national deficit | :53:38. | :53:44. | |
has fallen from 156 billion to 119 billion, of the last set of | :53:44. | :53:50. | |
accounts we have. If you take the first few months of this fiscal | :53:50. | :53:54. | |
year and we have most of the year to go, I would rather make a | :53:54. | :53:58. | |
comment on whether deficit is when we have proper estimates. I had | :53:58. | :54:01. | |
taken the first five months because that is the only time I have | :54:01. | :54:06. | |
figures for. Is it still your claim the deficit this year will be | :54:06. | :54:10. | |
smaller than the deficit last financial year? It you have taken | :54:10. | :54:14. | |
the deficit for the first five months this time last year, asked | :54:14. | :54:18. | |
the same question, you would have looked at those numbers are still | :54:18. | :54:22. | |
for the deficit wouldn't pick the Government's target. If you look at | :54:22. | :54:26. | |
the ONS numbers published last week, the deficit is down to 119 billion | :54:26. | :54:34. | |
the Last Post newcomer 25% lower than where it was. -- 25% lower | :54:34. | :54:42. | |
than where it was. I use saying the deficit ending April 2013 will be | :54:42. | :54:48. | |
smaller than a pull just ended? will have more information when it | :54:48. | :54:57. | |
comes to the estimates for growth later in the year. The fact is, but | :54:57. | :55:01. | |
the first five months of this year, it is rising and the city is | :55:01. | :55:04. | |
projecting it will continue to rise and be higher than last year and | :55:04. | :55:08. | |
the national debt is troubling. What does David Cameron mean when | :55:08. | :55:14. | |
he says he is dealing with the debt? He means we inherited an | :55:14. | :55:19. | |
economic inheritance there almost bankrupt this country. You heard | :55:19. | :55:23. | |
about Ed Balls talking about a previous Labour Government, what he | :55:23. | :55:28. | |
missed out in 1976 we have to go cap-in-hand to the IMF under a | :55:28. | :55:33. | |
Labour Government. The first step - - step to dealing with debt is | :55:33. | :55:39. | |
making sure you don't borrow more than you have to. That's go to | :55:39. | :55:44. | |
Manchester. Ed Balls started his speech late, or Rachel Reeves, we | :55:44. | :55:50. | |
are delighted to see you there. If you take the 3 billion almost of | :55:50. | :55:55. | |
its a for new homes, obviously 100,000, that would only give you, | :55:55. | :56:00. | |
you would have to pay �30,000 a home, which is not very much to | :56:00. | :56:04. | |
build. How much extra with the housing associations have to borrow | :56:05. | :56:12. | |
to get to the 100,000? We think you could raise 3 billion or a bit more | :56:12. | :56:18. | |
through the mobile mock road Sale. We think that would be sufficient | :56:18. | :56:23. | |
for the construction of 100,000 new homes. The housing associations | :56:23. | :56:29. | |
would have to borrow and all, surely? These houses are for rent, | :56:29. | :56:34. | |
so also you would bring in revenues from that as well. We think this is | :56:34. | :56:38. | |
a conservative estimates about how much you would raise from the 4G | :56:38. | :56:42. | |
spectrum, and we would use the money of the two years for the | :56:42. | :56:46. | |
construction of those affordable new homes of families who | :56:46. | :56:51. | |
desperately need them. We think that money is sufficient and it is | :56:51. | :56:55. | |
a conservative estimate. You are saying 3 billion alone would build | :56:55. | :57:01. | |
100,000 houses at an average price of �30,000? We think it is possible. | :57:01. | :57:07. | |
We think it is affordable. We think we are being conservative about how | :57:07. | :57:14. | |
much that would raise. What are you building, matchboxes? I was at a | :57:14. | :57:18. | |
site today were 60 new family homes are being built their rent for | :57:18. | :57:23. | |
local people in Manchester. We think that money is sufficient. | :57:23. | :57:33. | |
:57:33. | :57:34. | ||
much did they cost each? I don't know how much, but they raise money | :57:34. | :57:38. | |
when those houses are for rent and money will come in through that way | :57:38. | :57:47. | |
as well. We think up to �4 billion for the sale of the 4G spectrum is | :57:47. | :57:55. | |
a conservative estimate. The 3D licence brought in �42 million. | :57:55. | :58:02. | |
am sorry to Russia, but we have not got much time. -- rush you. On the | :58:02. | :58:07. | |
splitting of the banks, your leader is in favour of it, Alastair | :58:07. | :58:12. | |
Darling has called it outdated. He was right? John because in his | :58:12. | :58:17. | |
report said there is a ring fence between retail and investment banks. | :58:17. | :58:21. | |
This Government is watering that down. Mervyn King at the Bank of | :58:21. | :58:27. | |
England and many others have said that. Retail banks can sell to | :58:27. | :58:32. | |
Riddick -- derivative products to small businesses going against what | :58:32. | :58:38. | |
John vicars recommended. Apart from this Government who are lobbying | :58:38. | :58:46. | |
them heavily. I am sorry to have rushed you, we have ran out of time. | :58:46. | :58:50. | |
The quiz of course, they took Ed Miliband's phone away so he could | :58:50. | :58:54. |