Browse content similar to 10/01/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Afternoon, folks, and welcome to The Daily Politics. EU Referendum Bill | :00:39. | :00:47. | |
is back. Did you miss it? I did. This time, it is a war of attrition | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
in the House of Lords. There they are, settling in on the red benches | :00:52. | :00:58. | |
for the debate over the future of Europe and its relationship with the | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
British public . David Cameron says the floods were down to climate | :01:04. | :01:06. | |
change. His Environment Secretary does not sound quite so sure. We | :01:07. | :01:15. | |
will debate the issue. And why is Ayn Rand still so influential on the | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
right of politics? And the New Year is going from bad to worse for | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
Francois Hollande. Has he decided to embrace austerity, as well as an | :01:27. | :01:29. | |
actress, and will it do him any good? | :01:30. | :01:34. | |
All of that is coming up in the next hour. With me for the generation, to | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
journalists that I said I would never share the studio with again, | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
until hell froze over. And I meant it. Unfortunately, the small town of | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
Hell in Michigan did freeze over this week. So, here they are again, | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
it is David Wooding and Helen Lewis. Happy New Year. | :01:57. | :02:03. | |
. Let's start with EU migration. David Cameron began the year talking | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
about restricting what he called "mass population movements" around | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
the EU. Yesterday, the Vice President of the European | :02:13. | :02:14. | |
Commission, Viviane Reding, who has previously called for a United | :02:15. | :02:17. | |
States of Europe, said there wasn't an invasion of foreigners stealing | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
jobs and draining welfare. She even said the British Government was | :02:22. | :02:23. | |
destroying the future of its people. It's not just the Tories thinking | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
about making it harder to move around the EU, here's Shadow | :02:28. | :02:29. | |
Business Secretary Chuka Umunna speaking last night. I think low | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
skill immigration, we believe that there was too much of it from the | :02:34. | :02:37. | |
European Union, and I think there is one important thing about the | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
European Union. The founders of the European Union had in mind free | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
movement of workers, not free movement of job-seekers, and | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
undoubtedly, we do have to work with our European partners to deal with | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
that. I met with a number of them this week, are very open to that, if | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
we constructively engage with them, and say, hey, do what we want, or we | :02:57. | :03:02. | |
are going to walk. We asked the Labour spokesperson to come onto the | :03:03. | :03:04. | |
show this morning to tell us more about this policy, was it made on | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
the hoof, was it a new party policy, what does it mean? We were told, not | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
surprisingly, that nobody was available. I suppose there are still | :03:15. | :03:18. | |
working out what it means. Alan, are British politicians on the right and | :03:19. | :03:22. | |
the left, having never read the Treaty of Rome -- Helen? That was | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
the David Dimbleby question, can you rewrite the Treaty of Rome at 11 | :03:29. | :03:34. | |
o'clock on BBC One? You can't, but it is difficult, because at the | :03:35. | :03:37. | |
moment, you can move somewhere and start a business, for example. If | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
this was reciprocated, Britain has the fourth largest amounts of | :03:44. | :03:46. | |
emigrants in the EU, and they would be affected as much as people coming | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
into Britain. I am not sure that he was right that the Treaty of Rome | :03:51. | :03:55. | |
was basically mainly arranged for workers to be able to move across | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
borders. It is about the movement of people. It is about the movement of | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
people and the other interesting thing is that when the treatment was | :04:04. | :04:08. | |
signed, there were 28 countries and this has extended. What we voted for | :04:09. | :04:12. | |
in the original referendum back in the 1970s was a small handful of | :04:13. | :04:15. | |
Western European countries. I think what he is doing, what Chuka Umunna | :04:16. | :04:20. | |
is doing, is trying to get Labour more on the side of public opinion | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
on this. He's not going as far as David Cameron, by saying we want to | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
have some controls, he's showing that Labour is serious about doing | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
something about immigration. There were a lot of apologies about the | :04:36. | :04:38. | |
transitional controls, about Polish people coming in, and that is | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
something you hear a lot. Gordon Brown famously talked about British | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
jobs for British workers at one stage, and then Ed Balls has kind of | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
implied, in 2010, he was talking about European leaders revisiting | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
the freedom of movement directive. Yvette Cooper has raised similar | :04:56. | :05:01. | |
concerns, in March of last year. It is a theme that Labour bangles at | :05:02. | :05:08. | |
every so often but it is very hard Yes, you are right. Yes, you are | :05:09. | :05:15. | |
right, they are just showing a bit of leg. It is difficult ground for | :05:16. | :05:21. | |
them. Ed Miliband is always the best looking at the data and public | :05:22. | :05:24. | |
attitudes about immigration are essentially out of kilter about what | :05:25. | :05:27. | |
is happening, but how do you tell the voters they are wrong? It is | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
hard. And David Cameron can always throw back at Labour that they are | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
the people who open the floodgates in the first place. You can be in or | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
out of the EU, that is straightforward, but if you are in | :05:42. | :05:44. | |
it, it involves the movement of people across borders. That is one | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
of the basic club rules. Chuka Umunna did make a good point about | :05:49. | :05:55. | |
the high and low skills, it is ridiculous that people are working | :05:56. | :05:57. | |
copy shop say when they have a Masters degree, that is not good for | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
the origin country or here. That is a society. Yes, the way the cookie | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
crumbles. The one piece of good news for the Government is may have been | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
attacked by the vice president of the European Commission, Viviane | :06:13. | :06:20. | |
Reding, and when an unknown official attacks the country, that is when | :06:21. | :06:26. | |
they will get some support. All she has done is shown have out of touch | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
the European institutions are with public opinion over here. She's | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
basically saying it is been stoked by politicians for their own ends, | :06:36. | :06:38. | |
but there is no need for them to do that, they should be hiding it under | :06:39. | :06:42. | |
the carpet. Labour are not in a good place under immigration and David | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
Cameron has a big problem with it, they are not stoking it up, it is | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
public opinion. Viviane Reding, if you are watching in Brussels, come | :06:53. | :06:55. | |
onto the Daily Politics and have a word about these things. Being a | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
European official, you would like to be held accountable. Now, if you | :06:59. | :07:04. | |
would like to have a vote on staying in or coming out of the European | :07:05. | :07:06. | |
Union in the next couple of years, time is not on your side. The EU | :07:07. | :07:17. | |
Referendum Bill is being discussed in the Lords today, although whether | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
it will get much further is another matter. It's not a Government bill, | :07:22. | :07:24. | |
because the Tories couldn't get the Lib Dems to agree. So they drafted | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
the legislation themselves and let the backbencher James Wharton | :07:28. | :07:30. | |
introduce it in the Commons. Now it is the turn of Tory Peer Michael | :07:31. | :07:32. | |
Dobbs to steering through the House of Lords. The proposed legislation | :07:33. | :07:35. | |
requires a referendum to be held in December 2017 at the latest. | :07:36. | :07:37. | |
However, like most Private Members Bills, there is the risk of running | :07:38. | :07:39. | |
out of time and suspicions that Labour and Lib Dem peers will try | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
quietly to kill it off. And if those appears that oppose the plans | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
managed to pile on the amendments, it will keep the bill stuck in the | :07:49. | :07:52. | |
Lords until the end of February and the bill just dies and the Tories | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
will have to start all over again. If they have the stomach for it. | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
Joining me now from the House of Lords is Labour Peer Donald | :08:01. | :08:02. | |
Anderson. Welcome to the Daily Politics, is the plan to filibuster | :08:03. | :08:09. | |
this bill? No, I have had very clear instructions from our chief whip not | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
to filibuster, but we have to do what is the traditional role of the | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
House of Lords, to give any bill proper scrutiny and clearly, this | :08:18. | :08:21. | |
has not been given proper or sufficient scrutiny in the House of | :08:22. | :08:25. | |
Commons. It cannot be steam-rollered through the second chamber. Is it | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
your view that the House of Lords would like the British people to | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
have a vote on European membership? I don't think the Lords would want | :08:35. | :08:40. | |
this bill but at some stage, if it be necessary, for example if there | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
were some substantial change, and that is already under the referendum | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
Act, then there is a very strong case for a referendum, but I see no | :08:48. | :08:54. | |
reason at all for saying now and trying to bind the Government which | :08:55. | :08:59. | |
will be elected in 2015, there will be a referendum. Because no | :09:00. | :09:02. | |
Government can bind its successor. It can only lead and the | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
Conservative Party I do think they will not win the election or that | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
they have no trust in Mr Cameron to honour his commitments, or both. | :09:13. | :09:18. | |
Just as we have been talking about the freedom of movement of people | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
across Europe as a foundation stone of the Treaty of Rome, is it's not a | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
foundation stone of our Constitution that this Parliament cannot bind | :09:28. | :09:32. | |
another parliament --is it not? Absolutely, which is why it is | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
absurd. The only motive behind this bill is that the Conservatives have | :09:38. | :09:42. | |
looked over their shoulder, seen the threat from UKIP and have moved in | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
that direction. They will not win the UKIP voters that way. They will | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
be blown up in the flames and consume themselves, because the UKIP | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
voters will demand the real thing. Are you out to amend the bill? I | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
think it does deserve an amendment, it deserves serious scrutiny. For | :10:01. | :10:04. | |
example the map on the question on whether the electrical -- on the | :10:05. | :10:11. | |
question of whether the electoral commission, examining questions like | :10:12. | :10:14. | |
this, said they were not happy with the question. The electorate needs | :10:15. | :10:17. | |
to be looked at, and a whole series of other questions, otherwise it | :10:18. | :10:20. | |
will be recklessly pushed through by the Government and that is against | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
our Constitution. It purports to be a Private Members Bill but it is | :10:26. | :10:30. | |
actually a conservative bill, three line whip, by the Conservative Party | :10:31. | :10:35. | |
in the Commons. Is there not something a little bit Gilbert and | :10:36. | :10:38. | |
Sullivan about an unelected chamber trying to deny the rest of us an | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
election? I am not denying an election. The Government claimed | :10:44. | :10:50. | |
that there will not be a referendum in any account until 2017. And that | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
will depend on the negotiations. That is a long way down the road. | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
Europe may change, our Government may change, and therefore there are | :10:59. | :11:03. | |
so many uncertainties. It may well be that there is a case but we don't | :11:04. | :11:10. | |
know. The timetable of 2017 is wholly unrealistic. Anyone who knows | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
Europe will know that to have full negotiations and a ratification by | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
all countries simply cannot be achieved within that period up to | :11:21. | :11:29. | |
2017, said the only question possible during that time is do you | :11:30. | :11:32. | |
think your Government should continue with negotiations. It is | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
absurd. Donald Anderson stick with us. We are joined now by the former | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
leader of the House of Lords under the Conservatives, Tom Strathclyde. | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
What is this all about in the end, other than a party political move by | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
the Tories? Because you cannot bind, as everyone agrees, the next | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
Parliament. I think this is a tremendous symbol and a signal to | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
the electorate that this Parliament is serious about giving people their | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
say about the future of Europe and whether or not we should continue | :12:04. | :12:07. | |
down the path of an ever closer union, which we have developed over | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
the course of the last 40 years. And the public, I think, are very | :12:13. | :12:17. | |
uncertain about our role in Europe. They now have an opportunity, if | :12:18. | :12:20. | |
this bill goes through, to prepare themselves for a referendum which | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
will take place before the end of 2017, four campaigns to get going | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
for and us remaining in the EU -- the campaigns. This gives us plenty | :12:31. | :12:34. | |
of time to resolve the difficulties and uncertainties so that we get a | :12:35. | :12:41. | |
clear result. But it could be all over by the end of the next | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
Parliament? And one of the reasons to get it in statute before the | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
General Election is to give the parties that will be standing at the | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
election the opportunity to say loud and clear to the people of this | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
country whether they intend to continue with this legislation or to | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
scrap it if they get elected. You could get the same result by asking | :13:01. | :13:05. | |
people if they would support a referendum or not. But over the | :13:06. | :13:09. | |
course of the last 20 years, there have been countless examples of | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
where politicians have promised a referendum before general elections | :13:14. | :13:16. | |
and not delivered them. Most recently, it was Tony Blair who | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
promised a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, but when it came about, he | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
said it wasn't what he intended it to be and therefore we didn't need a | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
referendum. Wasn't it David Cameron that promised us a cast-iron | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
guarantee on a referendum? Only if this treaty has not been ratified. | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
It was common sense. What you're saying is you need this legislation, | :13:40. | :13:43. | |
because basically, we, the voters, do not trust you, that is what | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
you're saying. Lets keep the parties honest on this hugely important | :13:49. | :13:52. | |
issue -- let's keep. And on this issue, we are reaching beyond | :13:53. | :13:56. | |
politicians and politics and appealing directly to the people of | :13:57. | :13:59. | |
the country and saying you are directly responsible for making this | :14:00. | :14:03. | |
decision and we should not decide, over to you. This is a Private | :14:04. | :14:10. | |
Members Bill. Could you use the Parliament Act to get it through? In | :14:11. | :14:13. | |
theory. I really hope that does not apply and I made the point early on | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
that it is ridiculous for an appointed house to stand not just | :14:19. | :14:22. | |
against the will of the regulated House of Commons that has passed the | :14:23. | :14:26. | |
bill, but also on a bill that is over all of our heads and says to | :14:27. | :14:29. | |
the people of the country, you must have your say. Of what you say to | :14:30. | :14:35. | |
that, Donald Anderson? I think it is absurd. The truth is they would not | :14:36. | :14:39. | |
be a referendum in any event until 2017. Lord Strathclyde said it is a | :14:40. | :14:46. | |
signal, only of Tory divisions and the Tories retreating before UKIP. | :14:47. | :14:49. | |
Two years ago, David Cameron and William Hague ruled out and in-out | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
referendum and if we were to vote out, where would we be? We do not | :14:54. | :14:58. | |
know if we want a Norwegian president, if we want to somehow | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
Seagate new deal with the Commonwealth -- seek out. We would | :15:03. | :15:07. | |
be in insurgency, and there would be four years of uncertainty that is | :15:08. | :15:11. | |
going to put off foreign investment. We have seen this with Nissan, | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
Hitachi, the Japanese Government and CBI all saying that it would be | :15:17. | :15:22. | |
contrary to our national interest. They got all of what you say may | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
well be true and a strong argument, but that is an argument are having a | :15:27. | :15:29. | |
referendum. That is not in arguing for or against. If you believe in | :15:30. | :15:33. | |
these arguments, and many people do, then have the referendum and | :15:34. | :15:39. | |
argue it out and let people decide. But the timing is absolutely | :15:40. | :15:42. | |
crucial. There may or may not be a case for a referendum, there will be | :15:43. | :15:47. | |
several questions, but we will not know about it, certainly Give us | :15:48. | :16:01. | |
your best guess, what will happen to this bill in the Lords? I think | :16:02. | :16:08. | |
there is a possibility that this will run into the sands, and then it | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
will be a matter for the electorate in 2015 to vote or not to vote for a | :16:13. | :16:21. | |
party which has a referendum at an appropriate time in its manifesto. | :16:22. | :16:26. | |
Would you advise Ed Miliband not to go down this referendum route, not | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
to have this in the Labour manifesto? I would say that the | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
appropriate stance for the Labour Party in 2015 is to say, look, we | :16:36. | :16:40. | |
already have a referendum act, having a referendum if there are | :16:41. | :16:45. | |
substantial changes, new powers, to the European Union. That may or may | :16:46. | :16:52. | |
not -- there may or may not be a case for an in-out referendum. That | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
depends completely on the circumstances at the time. What is | :16:57. | :17:06. | |
planned be, Lord Strathclyde? I am not in the government, so I do not | :17:07. | :17:09. | |
know what it is, or indeed if there should be one. What we need to do | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
now is to make sure that this bill... He has just said that his | :17:15. | :17:21. | |
advice to the Labour Party is not to concede the principle of a | :17:22. | :17:24. | |
referendum to the people of this country. He is saying to the leader | :17:25. | :17:28. | |
of the Labour Party, you must not go down this route. I think that is | :17:29. | :17:33. | |
complete madness. It is a clear position. It is a clear position | :17:34. | :17:40. | |
from Donnell, but not from the leadership my feeling has been that | :17:41. | :17:46. | |
because Ed Miliband's narrative is such as it is, that he will not go | :17:47. | :17:52. | |
down the referendum route. I am seeing less and less reasons we | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
could have a referendum on anything, whether David Cameron should go to | :17:58. | :18:02. | |
see a hairdresser. But the trouble about this is that it becomes more | :18:03. | :18:07. | |
and more clear as this bill goes through its endless, tortuous stages | :18:08. | :18:11. | |
that this is a Tory obsession, it is not a national obsession. I did not | :18:12. | :18:15. | |
go home at Christmas, with my family clinging to my leg, saying, when, | :18:16. | :18:20. | |
oh, when are we going to have this referendum on Europe? That is the | :18:21. | :18:25. | |
point, that it is not an issue which is gripping the nation, it is | :18:26. | :18:28. | |
gripping a small portion of the Tory party. Well, it is and it isn't, | :18:29. | :18:34. | |
because the issue of in or out may not grip the nation, but it is | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
inextricably linked with the question of immigration. | :18:38. | :18:43. | |
Immigration, welfare, all of those are inextricably linked with Europe. | :18:44. | :18:47. | |
A lot of the problems we have are related to Europe. Labour let the | :18:48. | :18:51. | |
cat out of the bag today when Lord Mandelson said it is a lottery, if | :18:52. | :18:54. | |
we have a referendum, in other words, we do not trust the people. I | :18:55. | :18:59. | |
think what Labour are doing is trying to keep their options open. I | :19:00. | :19:03. | |
do not think they want a referendum, but they are not going to say so | :19:04. | :19:09. | |
just yet. We will leave it there. Thank you for joining us on The | :19:10. | :19:11. | |
Daily Politics. Now, earlier this morning, a police | :19:12. | :19:23. | |
person who falsely claimed to have seen Andrew Mitchell arguing with | :19:24. | :19:26. | |
officers outside Downing Street has pleaded guilty to misconduct in | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
public office. It revolves around what was said at the gates of | :19:30. | :19:35. | |
Downing Street as Mr Mitchell tried to go through on his bike. While we | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
have been on air, he has responded to this development, and told the | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
press Association, I am pleased that justice has been done in the | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
criminal court today. It is very sad and worrying for all of us that a | :19:50. | :19:52. | |
serving police officer should have behaved in this way, and there | :19:53. | :19:58. | |
remains many questions unanswered, in particular, why the PC wrote this | :19:59. | :20:03. | |
e-mail, and who else was involved in this process. | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
We will bring you any further developments on that if they happen | :20:08. | :20:13. | |
while we are on air. When you woke up this morning, did you think, we | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
have got some extreme weather, caused by climate change? Well, this | :20:18. | :20:25. | |
week, David Cameron told MPs he very much suspects the recent floods are | :20:26. | :20:29. | |
linked to climate change. His Environment Secretary has taken | :20:30. | :20:33. | |
something of a different view. In our entirely unscientific | :20:34. | :20:36. | |
contribution to the debate, Adam has taken his balls out for the first | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
time in 2014 to see which way the wind is blowing. It has finally | :20:41. | :20:46. | |
stopped raining, which means we can bring out The Daily Politics mood | :20:47. | :20:49. | |
box to ask the public what they think is to blame for the extreme | :20:50. | :20:53. | |
weather. Is it mostly climate change, or is it just the weather? | :20:54. | :20:59. | |
With the wind, the heavy rain and the flooding, I think it is climate | :21:00. | :21:08. | |
change. It is not something we have had before. A bit of uncertainty, | :21:09. | :21:19. | |
just like in the real world. This is going to affect you in about 20 | :21:20. | :21:24. | |
years! Short answer, climate change, it is the melting of the | :21:25. | :21:32. | |
icebergs. We have got about 25 tourists from Arkansas. How cold is | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
it back home? It is very cold. They are all going for just the weather, | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
which I think is the opposite of what President Obama thinks. It is | :21:42. | :21:45. | |
the weather, it cycles in and it cycles out. So, do you think all of | :21:46. | :21:50. | |
the people who voted for just the weather are wrong? Yes. You could | :21:51. | :22:00. | |
plot the weather on your scarf. I know. As the strange weather been | :22:01. | :22:07. | |
affect finger painting and decorating business? Yes, on the | :22:08. | :22:14. | |
outside, it has, yes. -- has it been affecting the painting and | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
decorating business? Thank you very much. There is actually no evidence | :22:19. | :22:29. | |
since 1997 that the planet is warming up. It hasn't been, and I | :22:30. | :22:34. | |
think it is just an opportunity for a lot of people do make a lot of | :22:35. | :22:41. | |
money out of climate change. -- to make. You have been talking about it | :22:42. | :22:56. | |
for about ten minutes. Yes, week believe it could be a meteorite | :22:57. | :23:02. | |
disturbance in outer space. Well, it is true what they say, British | :23:03. | :23:06. | |
people do love talking about the weather and the climate, although | :23:07. | :23:12. | |
after all that, it is kind of 50-50. Certainly no warming here, I am | :23:13. | :23:18. | |
absolutely freezing! They also think Adam is a lizard. The jury is open | :23:19. | :23:25. | |
on that one. I am joined now by the leader of the Green Party, Natalie | :23:26. | :23:29. | |
Bennett, and by the journalist and conservative here Matt Ridley. Is | :23:30. | :23:34. | |
climate change to blame for the stormy weather? Of course, any | :23:35. | :23:40. | |
individual event of weather is just that, weather. But what we are | :23:41. | :23:43. | |
seeing around the world at the moment is an awful lot of what what | :23:44. | :23:47. | |
we might call, in quotation marks, weather. In Australia, we have had | :23:48. | :23:53. | |
thousands of bats falling from the trees, we have had records broken | :23:54. | :23:57. | |
since Christmas. We have got the storms in the US, we have the | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
cyclone in the Philippines. We have a situation where what we can expect | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
is more extreme weather, and more of it. Therefore what we have got fits | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
with that pattern for climate change. So, whatever happens with | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
the weather, if it is really warm, or really cold, or really flooding | :24:15. | :24:18. | |
in Britain, it is all down to global warming? If it is extreme weather, | :24:19. | :24:22. | |
and we are seeing more of it, that is a result of climate change. We | :24:23. | :24:26. | |
have had extreme weather before the idea of global warming. We have | :24:27. | :24:31. | |
indeed, but what we are seeing is more of it. It is really quite | :24:32. | :24:34. | |
simple, in terms of the rain we are seeing at the moment, we all know | :24:35. | :24:41. | |
the basic frigates? -- physics, that if you have higher temperatures, you | :24:42. | :24:44. | |
are going to get more evaporation and therefore more rain. Why did we | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
think we were going to get limited precipitation this winter? Kos our | :24:50. | :24:53. | |
weather predictions are still limited. But the Met Office is all | :24:54. | :25:00. | |
part of the holy Grail, isn't it, they are completely informed by | :25:01. | :25:13. | |
global warming, aren't they? The holy Grail, as you put it, is as | :25:14. | :25:19. | |
backed by 97% of climate scientists, by the IPCC report, the most | :25:20. | :25:22. | |
scrutinised science report in history. Let's just go to that | :25:23. | :25:31. | |
report. It concludes, we have low confidence that flooding events are | :25:32. | :25:38. | |
being caused by global warming. And we can go to the response from Ban | :25:39. | :25:43. | |
Ki-Moon on this. He said, in response to that report, that the | :25:44. | :25:53. | |
heat is on... The IPCC report says they have low confidence that | :25:54. | :25:56. | |
flooding is being caused by climate change. That is the report! What | :25:57. | :26:02. | |
this demonstrates, and I was on one of the last trains to Oxford before | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
the line was stopped by flooding, and lots of people on the train were | :26:07. | :26:10. | |
looking out the window at seems like we have behind us. Quite a lot of | :26:11. | :26:14. | |
people were going, well, that is amazing. And there was fear and | :26:15. | :26:24. | |
surprise. So your answer to the science of the IPCC report is a | :26:25. | :26:27. | |
train journey to Oxford? All of our human life, our ability to feed | :26:28. | :26:33. | |
ourselves, how is ourselves, live safely, is dependent on the climate. | :26:34. | :26:41. | |
When you look around, there is something happening. We may not be | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
able to explain it, but Natalie Bennett is right, everywhere you | :26:46. | :26:49. | |
look, there are extreme weather events taking place. There was a | :26:50. | :26:53. | |
report in the paper this morning that the Thames has reached a record | :26:54. | :26:59. | |
level, since 2003. So, that record is only ten years old. If you look | :27:00. | :27:03. | |
at all of these storms, lots of bad weather, they are all the worst for | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
20 years, 40 years, 100 years. But what was happening then? Was that | :27:09. | :27:15. | |
climate change? Of course not. Australia seems to be hotter than | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
ever. Yes, but categorically, it is impossible to say that this is due | :27:21. | :27:27. | |
to climate change. We had a cold, calm winter last year, we are having | :27:28. | :27:31. | |
a mild, stormy winter this year. It happens. You're going to get these | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
kinds of weather events whether the climate is warming or not. We should | :27:37. | :27:43. | |
not worry so much about the trend. But the IPCC report does say, the | :27:44. | :27:48. | |
frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events overland wheel | :27:49. | :27:51. | |
likely increase on average in the near-term. It also says, confidence | :27:52. | :28:01. | |
in the trends regarding tropical cyclones since 1900 is low. The IPCC | :28:02. | :28:08. | |
say they have got 95% confidence that this climate change is | :28:09. | :28:11. | |
happening. You have got a plane, there is a 95% risk it is going to | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
crash, are you going to get on that plane? I do not think so. So | :28:16. | :28:21. | |
therefore, we have to take action against climate change to secure the | :28:22. | :28:23. | |
future of the planet of the human race. The question is, is action | :28:24. | :28:28. | |
against carbon emissions the most effective way of preventing bad | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
weather? The answer is clearly no. All sorts of other things are | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
affecting plants, like development, house-building, on flood plains. | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
Let's deal with that. That effectively is what David Cameron | :28:41. | :28:43. | |
said. He said, whatever your views, you should be doing as much as | :28:44. | :28:48. | |
possible to mitigate and plan for floods and storms, which is quite | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
right. Is their agreement on that? Entirely. One thing we need to do, | :28:52. | :28:58. | |
and he might agree with me, is that we are not doing nearly enough to | :28:59. | :29:01. | |
conserve energy, too insulated our homes. Doing that would create up to | :29:02. | :29:09. | |
200,000 jobs, drastically cut fuel poverty and cut carbon emissions but | :29:10. | :29:15. | |
we could also not charge people too much for their electricity because | :29:16. | :29:19. | |
of renewables. And of course the fault of the rising prices of bills | :29:20. | :29:23. | |
is because of the rising price of gas, not because of renewables. 95% | :29:24. | :29:28. | |
of the increase is due to gas. Not in the future, it is but I think | :29:29. | :29:33. | |
your probability of dying as a result of extreme weather is down by | :29:34. | :29:39. | |
98% since the 1920s globally. That is not because the weather got less | :29:40. | :29:44. | |
dangerous, that is because we have got better housing, communication | :29:45. | :29:46. | |
and transport, which makes storms more survivable. That is what we | :29:47. | :29:53. | |
should be focusing on. So, for a good example, we should not be | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
cutting the coastguard. Well, the amount of investment that the | :29:59. | :30:01. | |
Government is putting into floods is actually a record. I think there has | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
been a lot of debate about this, but the independent analysts say | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
spending is going down in real terms. That is not my | :30:11. | :30:14. | |
understanding, I understand there is a record amount being spent on flood | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
mitigation. Whatever it is, the Environment Agency in this country | :30:19. | :30:22. | |
actually has a gigantic budget and staff compared to most countries. | :30:23. | :30:28. | |
But not go down the coastguard route, is it your contention that | :30:29. | :30:36. | |
there is not really an increase in extreme weather events, and that | :30:37. | :30:40. | |
global warming has nothing to do with these events to mark -- these | :30:41. | :30:53. | |
events? Natalie is right that you will see more precipitation and | :30:54. | :30:56. | |
there are benefits to that, droughts have shrunk in intensity as well. | :30:57. | :31:07. | |
That is not true. It is. But in terms of her against... They cannot | :31:08. | :31:15. | |
find a trend in 30 years in the frequency of hurricanes, typhoons | :31:16. | :31:19. | |
and tornadoes hit a 30 year low in America. One-year's weather. | :31:20. | :31:27. | |
Absolutely, but we are seeing very low trends in the last 30 or 40 | :31:28. | :31:32. | |
years for any of these weather events and the IPCC says that, there | :31:33. | :31:38. | |
is no detectable incidence of global warming on extreme weather and there | :31:39. | :31:42. | |
will not be possibly for the whole of this century, they said that in | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
2011 in a report. I think we can come back to the survey that you | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
started with a note sure -- and I am sure we all understand it is a piece | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
of fun but three quarters of the British public say they believe that | :31:59. | :32:01. | |
human caused climate change is happening now and we need to act. It | :32:02. | :32:04. | |
is the wisdom of crowds and the wisdom of climate scientists. Just | :32:05. | :32:15. | |
on the politics of this, the Tories are now in a strange position. As | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
part of the rebranding of getting away from the cuddly party, the | :32:20. | :32:24. | |
nasty party, to becoming a cuddly party and not a nasty party, Mister | :32:25. | :32:27. | |
Cameron signed the Tories up to the whole global warming agenda, and so | :32:28. | :32:33. | |
he keeps on blaming Ed Miliband for the 2008 climate change act and he | :32:34. | :32:38. | |
voted for every clause in it, so did his party, but he actually leads a | :32:39. | :32:42. | |
party that most of them don't believe in it. I know, those poor | :32:43. | :32:49. | |
huskies. There is an issue here, the three main party leaders all believe | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
the same thing on climate change, but there is a big proportion of the | :32:54. | :32:56. | |
Tory party that is not signed up to that, and a big proportion of the | :32:57. | :33:00. | |
country, so there is a danger of it being a Westminster consensus that | :33:01. | :33:03. | |
does not include the rest of the country. It will be interesting to | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
see what the Tory attitude to this will be, because Labour and the Lib | :33:08. | :33:10. | |
Dems will stick with this, that is part of their approach to life but | :33:11. | :33:15. | |
it will be interesting to see what the Tory manifesto says. The big war | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
is not about climate change itself, it is about energy bells and what | :33:21. | :33:26. | |
the punter is paying to heat their homes -- energy bills. We have what | :33:27. | :33:29. | |
Labour have promised and the action by the Conservatives, that is where | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
they will focus and I think they will cut the green rubbish, if I can | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
use that word... You can use the word rubbish but you cannot use the | :33:38. | :33:44. | |
word that David Cameron said. Why I think some of this green stuff is | :33:45. | :33:48. | |
now being viewed more sceptically, I think it has been over spun by the | :33:49. | :33:53. | |
climate change lobby. We talk about global warming, that word warming | :33:54. | :33:56. | |
has gone because we are now actually freezing, and because it has over | :33:57. | :34:00. | |
spun, more and more people are beginning to viewed sceptically. In | :34:01. | :34:03. | |
the same way that the health lobby tellers to drink fewer units of wine | :34:04. | :34:07. | |
every day and then we are told, actually, you can have a glass. I | :34:08. | :34:12. | |
think the media has a problem with it, it is a huge, complicated issue. | :34:13. | :34:18. | |
It is not just the media, because in 2008, Al Gore, based on climate | :34:19. | :34:22. | |
science, told us the ice would be gone in the Arctic in 2013. Last | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
time I looked, it was higher than it was for six or seven years and | :34:28. | :34:31. | |
certainly hadn't gone. You are absolutely right, there is a | :34:32. | :34:35. | |
consensus among climate scientists that the planet is warming. There is | :34:36. | :34:40. | |
a consensus that man is playing a part in that, but there are huge | :34:41. | :34:44. | |
arguments over what the actual impact would be on temperature, | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
exactly how important man is compared to other issues and what of | :34:50. | :34:53. | |
the policy should be to combat it. On that, there is no settled view. | :34:54. | :35:00. | |
But it is worth thinking back about human history. The human race, we | :35:01. | :35:03. | |
have developed the whole of civilisation through one of the most | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
stable periods of the world's climate that we know about. We are | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
dependent on that, to grow our crops, to house ourselves, to stay | :35:12. | :35:16. | |
safe. We have no option but to live within the climate we have. But the | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
point I was trying to get you to address and we will have to move on | :35:21. | :35:24. | |
is that if you oversell the consequences, if you tell us the | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
Arctic ice will disappear by 2013 and it hasn't, if you send ships out | :35:29. | :35:33. | |
because you think there is no sea ice in the Antarctic and it turns | :35:34. | :35:39. | |
out there is so much you get stuck, if you tell us that the Himalayan | :35:40. | :35:42. | |
glacial as will disappear and they haven't, and even on current trends | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
will not for 200 years... The fundamental case may be right but if | :35:47. | :35:52. | |
you make hyperbolic predictions, you undermined your own case, is the | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
point I am making. The point I would make is the case is there, the | :35:58. | :36:01. | |
evidence is overwhelming and we have to act now. Al Gore and the | :36:02. | :36:05. | |
scientists were wrong? Speaking they got wrong on the details. Hold on, | :36:06. | :36:11. | |
it wasn't the detail but they would be no ice by 2013, it was an | :36:12. | :36:16. | |
apocalyptic prediction. We have record low levels of ice, we are | :36:17. | :36:22. | |
heading towards no ice. It is worth remembering that the Antarctic ice | :36:23. | :36:27. | |
is... It is very good to see you both, thank you. Now, if there is | :36:28. | :36:30. | |
one book every true libertarian likes a cosy up with on a cold | :36:31. | :36:34. | |
January night, it is the novel Atlas Shrugged. You think they should get | :36:35. | :36:39. | |
out a bit more. It was written by writer calmer who claimed to have | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
invented a new code of morality based on reason alone -- it was | :36:45. | :36:51. | |
written by Ayn Rand. Here is Charlie Wolf talking about Ayn Rand. | :36:52. | :37:10. | |
These days, there is a huge market for books about unleashing the power | :37:11. | :37:16. | |
of the self, the potential of the individual, and that is essentially | :37:17. | :37:19. | |
the philosophy of the American author Ayn Rand. I have come to | :37:20. | :37:24. | |
Borough market in London to meet a commentator and broadcaster who says | :37:25. | :37:27. | |
he can explain her philosophy through the medium of letters. -- | :37:28. | :37:36. | |
lettuce. So, Charlie, why do you like Ayn Rand and what does she have | :37:37. | :37:41. | |
to do with lettuce? The Fountainhead was a book that changed my life, it | :37:42. | :37:45. | |
was a book I could not put down but as for lettuce, my father was a | :37:46. | :37:49. | |
greengrocer and maybe you have had it happened when a parent says | :37:50. | :37:52. | |
something that seems so innocuous but holds great meaning. He was | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
stacking lettuce one day in a shop and said, do you know why I made a | :37:57. | :38:06. | |
pyramid? Because I can. I am my own boss, nobody tells me how to stack | :38:07. | :38:09. | |
the lettuce. So that simple act of stacking the lettuce was so like Ayn | :38:10. | :38:12. | |
Rand, in that he was the author of his own destiny, no one told him how | :38:13. | :38:16. | |
to. That was a pyramid of lettuce, let's take you to a pyramid of glass | :38:17. | :38:22. | |
and steel, the Shark, which also has a lot to do with Ayn Rand. Ayn Rand | :38:23. | :38:28. | |
was a Russian emigre, fiercely anti-Communist and unconventional in | :38:29. | :38:33. | |
her lives. Even her fans than her tricky but Doctor Elisabeth Fraser | :38:34. | :38:35. | |
of Oxford University say that her books were powerful. -- found her | :38:36. | :38:41. | |
tricky. She is inspirational. Her view of free society has inspired so | :38:42. | :38:47. | |
many people. A very, very controversial but if there were a | :38:48. | :38:51. | |
prize for the author who has got the most people saying, I read this book | :38:52. | :38:54. | |
and it changed my life, she would win it. We are now surrounded by the | :38:55. | :39:08. | |
most incredible view from the restaurant in The Shard in London. I | :39:09. | :39:13. | |
was just wondering, what was Ayn Rand's worldview? Her worldview | :39:14. | :39:16. | |
would be that the people who built this view who built The Shard, and | :39:17. | :39:23. | |
heroic amount of vision and in this building in particular, it is a | :39:24. | :39:27. | |
cathedral. Not to God, she was an atheist, but a cathedral to the | :39:28. | :39:31. | |
powers of mankind. Men were heard gods. She tended to present | :39:32. | :39:36. | |
philosophical ideas as though they were her own invention, and that is | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
strange to serious thinkers and politicians as well -- estranged. It | :39:42. | :39:48. | |
was extraordinary that she refused to cooperate politically. Including | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
with people who really liked her ideas and would have liked her to be | :39:53. | :39:57. | |
a figurehead for a new conservatism in the 20th century. She was very | :39:58. | :40:01. | |
sectarian and capable of being very nasty. However nasty, though, how | :40:02. | :40:07. | |
many other political philosophers have had their books turned into a | :40:08. | :40:13. | |
movie, with its enigmatic catchphrase, who is John Galt? It is | :40:14. | :40:26. | |
us who rule the world. Atlas Shrugged is all about railways, | :40:27. | :40:30. | |
steel and building a bridge, but not like the one we are standing next, | :40:31. | :40:37. | |
which is a ugly and grubby. But people think the philosophy of Ayn | :40:38. | :40:40. | |
Rand is the same, supremely selfish. Is that fair? Not if you | :40:41. | :40:45. | |
define it the way that Ayn Rand did, it is about being true to | :40:46. | :40:49. | |
yourself, taking care of yourself first and foremost. Not living off | :40:50. | :40:53. | |
the state or off others and it is a noble way. If you can do that, think | :40:54. | :40:58. | |
of how the roles of welfare would shrivel up, how society would be | :40:59. | :41:01. | |
better off. It is a far better philosophy than living off the | :41:02. | :41:07. | |
state. It is not just that many would not agree with that but in | :41:08. | :41:12. | |
October 2011, some were prepared to camp out on the streets in front of | :41:13. | :41:15. | |
Saint Pauls Cathedral to demonstrate their opposition to such views. But | :41:16. | :41:23. | |
actually, pain Rand -- Ayn Rand predicted all of that. We went to | :41:24. | :41:30. | |
The Shard, but here is Saint Paul's. She would not have gone in, | :41:31. | :41:35. | |
she was an atheist. There is a cathedral to man, the stock exchange | :41:36. | :41:38. | |
over there, but something here happened recently that you think | :41:39. | :41:42. | |
makes Ayn Rand River that readily to relevant to today. This is where the | :41:43. | :41:50. | |
protest as well and she described in her books this dystopian state, the | :41:51. | :41:53. | |
welfare state, the moochers, the one who want the money for | :41:54. | :42:00. | |
entitlement's sake and leeches, who demanded that on a moral imperative, | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
companies and the churches paid more money, being altruistic with other | :42:05. | :42:09. | |
people's many. This was a dystopian welfare state, collectivism that she | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
hated. But she also did say it is trade, it is, is, it is jobs. That | :42:14. | :42:19. | |
is what lifts people out of poverty, not giving them money. That is why | :42:20. | :42:24. | |
Ayn Rand is relevant to today. Either way, who is John Galt? | :42:25. | :42:33. | |
Charlie Wolf joins us in the studio now. What is the answer to the | :42:34. | :42:39. | |
question? Who is John Galt, that is the question? This is the man who | :42:40. | :42:43. | |
stopped the engine of the world in the book, went on strike and took | :42:44. | :42:46. | |
his capital with him and showed that as much as people make derisory | :42:47. | :42:50. | |
comments about the movers and shakers of the world, Starbucks and | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
Amazons and Bill Gates, these are the guys that, for want of profit, | :42:55. | :42:59. | |
are making the economy move and we need them and they are very | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
beneficial. The whole premise of their book is what if all of these | :43:04. | :43:06. | |
people took their property and their assets and just went on strike, | :43:07. | :43:10. | |
where would the rest of us be? It would be a dystopian state. But what | :43:11. | :43:20. | |
would they do? In the book, they will go to a magic island, it is a | :43:21. | :43:23. | |
bit of a science-fiction novel. It could be VI love white. It could | :43:24. | :43:28. | |
have been. -- it could have been the Isle of Wight. If you are on the | :43:29. | :43:35. | |
right, you look at Ayn Rand's critique of collectivism and Marxism | :43:36. | :43:39. | |
and people on the right thing, she got that absolutely right but when | :43:40. | :43:43. | |
she comes herself to say what kind of society we should have, it seems | :43:44. | :43:48. | |
a bit extreme. Funnily enough, when Atlas Shrugged came out, it was | :43:49. | :43:54. | |
hated on the left and the right. There were articles commissioned | :43:55. | :43:59. | |
against the book, saying she was godless on the right and the left | :44:00. | :44:04. | |
saying she was selfish. So there are extremities but I take it for what | :44:05. | :44:10. | |
it is worth, extremities in objectivism. Extremities in | :44:11. | :44:18. | |
objectivism? I think she was making, in the extreme positions, | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
and ideology. I don't believe in her atheism, her position on abortion... | :44:24. | :44:29. | |
Say she is not an icon of the social conservative right in America? No, | :44:30. | :44:34. | |
she is the libertarian icon. When she was alive, she didn't have much | :44:35. | :44:39. | |
time for libertarianism. Don't ask me why. But she wrote, "trade is the | :44:40. | :44:44. | |
only proper basis of any relationship" . Adam Smith said | :44:45. | :44:48. | |
roughly the same, that it is not from the munificence of the butcher | :44:49. | :44:54. | |
or the bread-maker, he does it because he wants to make a profit, | :44:55. | :44:59. | |
and you get it, but then she adds, including relationships with members | :45:00. | :45:01. | |
of our families! Smith would never have said that. Probably not, but if | :45:02. | :45:08. | |
you look again in Atlas Shrugged, Hank Reardon, his family was | :45:09. | :45:12. | |
mooching off him, but I agree. There is a lot of Ayn Rand that were | :45:13. | :45:20. | |
ironic streams and you take what was important. The important thing for | :45:21. | :45:25. | |
me, as the Fountainhead explained, we have the power within us to | :45:26. | :45:31. | |
accomplish anything. Her heroes were heroes and her villains were | :45:32. | :45:33. | |
villains because they were socialists. How much was she | :45:34. | :45:41. | |
influenced by the fact that her family's pharmacy business was | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
confiscated by the Bolsheviks? Probably a lot. She hated anything | :45:47. | :45:51. | |
to do with the communist state. The only thing she took with her, which | :45:52. | :45:55. | |
again I find hard to understand, from the commonest estate, was her | :45:56. | :46:00. | |
atheism. In a sense, you are almost in the mirror image position of Owen | :46:01. | :46:05. | |
Jones, when we had him on the programme, as he came on, talking | :46:06. | :46:10. | |
about Karl Marx, and of course he was not endorsing Marxism in its | :46:11. | :46:15. | |
entirety, but he said there are things we can learn from him. And | :46:16. | :46:20. | |
you have also taken a rather extreme ideology, the polar opposite to | :46:21. | :46:24. | |
Marxism, and said, I do not buy it all, but there are bits of it... It | :46:25. | :46:29. | |
is interesting you mentioned Owen Jones, because yes, we have gone | :46:30. | :46:33. | |
from left to right. But the problem with Owen Jones legal theory is that | :46:34. | :46:41. | |
it is unequivocally wrong. It does not work. Let me just explain why. A | :46:42. | :46:49. | |
very good experiment happened when the Pilgrims first came to Plymouth. | :46:50. | :46:56. | |
They practised collectivism when they first got there, and they | :46:57. | :47:01. | |
starved after 2.5 years. They have this theory that everybody would | :47:02. | :47:03. | |
take an equal portion. Nobody worked. Finally, after 2.5 years, | :47:04. | :47:10. | |
the governor got rid of it, and said, this theory of the community | :47:11. | :47:15. | |
does not work. And this is what Thatcher said. I understand that, | :47:16. | :47:20. | |
but it comes back to the Rand criticism of collectors is, it is | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
what she would have had in its place which I was asking you about, which | :47:26. | :47:30. | |
seems to me to be just as weak in its way as Marxism out to be. -- | :47:31. | :47:37. | |
criticism of collectivism. Is it under your pillow every night? | :47:38. | :47:41. | |
Everything I have learned about Ayn Rand I have found out from a | :47:42. | :47:46. | |
computer game. It is a city built under the sea, which actually | :47:47. | :47:53. | |
finally enough, quite a lot of Silicon Valley enthusiast 's want to | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
actually build. But it is all the winners of society, going and making | :47:58. | :48:02. | |
a society together. But the problem is, there is no family loyalty, | :48:03. | :48:07. | |
there is no altruism, everybody is purely therefore themselves. The | :48:08. | :48:13. | |
problem I have with Rand is the same problem I have with Marxism. They | :48:14. | :48:19. | |
are extremes. From what I know of Rand, she is Margaret Thatcher on | :48:20. | :48:23. | |
speed. She almost makes it cool to be selfish. One of the quotes today | :48:24. | :48:27. | |
was, before you can say I love you, you have to think of I. Then she | :48:28. | :48:36. | |
says, there are three key places in an argument, one is right, what is | :48:37. | :48:41. | |
wrong, and the other is the middle. -- the other is evil. People having | :48:42. | :48:47. | |
22 kids on welfare is selfish, but they rely on the generosity of | :48:48. | :48:50. | |
others, which is somewhere in the middle. You can watch the rest of | :48:51. | :48:57. | |
our series on political thinkers on our website. And thanks to Derek | :48:58. | :49:04. | |
Wilkinson, who has just tweeted to me and given a very useful section | :49:05. | :49:11. | |
on the Treaty of Rome, article three C, which calls for free movement for | :49:12. | :49:17. | |
persons. Not workers, not job-seekers. So, if you are | :49:18. | :49:23. | |
watching, Chuka Umunna, there you go. It is not unusual at this time | :49:24. | :49:27. | |
of year to try to change direction in life, you might give up smoking, | :49:28. | :49:32. | |
go to the gym, find a new job, or promise never to miss The Daily | :49:33. | :49:36. | |
Politics for a year. One person has made it his New Year 's resolution | :49:37. | :49:46. | |
to become more pro-business. The Socialist leader of France has | :49:47. | :49:48. | |
hinted that he might cut labour costs in exchange for firms hiring | :49:49. | :49:55. | |
more workers. Here he is. TRANSLATION: I propose a | :49:56. | :49:59. | |
responsibility packed with business, it is based on a simple principle, | :50:00. | :50:04. | |
lower labour charges and fewer restrictions on their activity, in | :50:05. | :50:07. | |
return for more workers and more dialogue with trade unions. First of | :50:08. | :50:12. | |
all, I want to reduce public spending. We have to make savings | :50:13. | :50:17. | |
wherever possible. I am sure we can do more by spending less. We have to | :50:18. | :50:27. | |
spend less to reduce our deficit, also to eventually lower taxes. | :50:28. | :50:32. | |
That's fiscal reform, which we are committed to. I myself take on the | :50:33. | :50:36. | |
responsible to four following this savings programme for the length of | :50:37. | :50:46. | |
this Parliament. Now, I am joined by Axelle Lemaire, a member of the | :50:47. | :50:48. | |
French parliament, representing northern Europe, and a member of | :50:49. | :50:55. | |
Francois Hollande's socialist party, and a friend of The Daily Politics. | :50:56. | :51:01. | |
We welcome you back. What is it like to be supporting the most unpopular | :51:02. | :51:05. | |
president in the history of the fifth Republic? I suppose I keep | :51:06. | :51:09. | |
thinking, well, if it is that bad, why don't we take risks? Which is | :51:10. | :51:14. | |
what we are doing. It gives us, we have local elections coming, but we | :51:15. | :51:22. | |
still have until 2017... You will be thumped in the local elections. | :51:23. | :51:32. | |
Let's talk about that when it comes because I am not convinced. We are | :51:33. | :51:38. | |
ahead in the mayoral elections, the departments, everywhere in France. | :51:39. | :51:46. | |
You run all the departments. But even if things were going well, you | :51:47. | :51:53. | |
would be losing some. Yes. But over the past 25 years, only Italy has | :51:54. | :51:58. | |
grown slower than France. Your budget deficit is bigger than that | :51:59. | :52:01. | |
of Italy, you have the largest current-account deficit in the | :52:02. | :52:06. | |
Eurozone. Since 1999, GDP per head in Germany has grown 25% more than | :52:07. | :52:10. | |
in France, your unit labour costs are now higher than Germany, and you | :52:11. | :52:14. | |
are on the brink of another recession. Where is the good news? | :52:15. | :52:22. | |
Wow! Like that, it does sound very, very bad. I am surprised you did not | :52:23. | :52:28. | |
mention the United Kingdom, because that is what we are usually compared | :52:29. | :52:31. | |
with, and that is what Mr Cameron compared his country with. But we | :52:32. | :52:36. | |
are still the fifth biggest economy, number two in Europe, behind not the | :52:37. | :52:45. | |
United Kingdom but Germany. We topped number one in the global 500 | :52:46. | :52:55. | |
index of innovative companies. We have a low inflation rate, we have | :52:56. | :53:00. | |
reduced the public deficit, and currently we are at 3.8% of GDP in | :53:01. | :53:11. | |
France. I think here it is 6.4%. It is easier for a country which can | :53:12. | :53:15. | |
print its own currency, though. The levels of debt, public and private, | :53:16. | :53:21. | |
because people do not take loans to buy cars, to buy a house. Are we | :53:22. | :53:28. | |
going through what we saw with the last socialist president, President | :53:29. | :53:31. | |
Mitterrand, who came in with a very socialist agenda, and within less | :53:32. | :53:35. | |
than two years, the whole place had gone belly up, it was a disaster, | :53:36. | :53:40. | |
and he rushed for the centre, so is that what M Hollande is now doing, | :53:41. | :53:45. | |
when he is being nice to business and talking about cutting spending? | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
Not at all. The number one priority in his programme, as a candidate, | :53:51. | :53:56. | |
was competitiveness of companies. This is how it is seen abroad, that | :53:57. | :54:02. | |
it is a U-turn, it is a pro-business U-turn, but he has always been | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
pro-business. We passed a deal with companies in March last year, and I | :54:08. | :54:12. | |
voted for it as an MP last year, to help them reduce labour costs for | :54:13. | :54:21. | |
employees when times are hard, a bit like Germany did at the beginning of | :54:22. | :54:28. | |
this century. We are doing many things. Do you think it really was a | :54:29. | :54:34. | |
good way of encouraging foreign direct investment into France, of | :54:35. | :54:39. | |
which France needs a lot, for the unions to kidnap the boss of good | :54:40. | :54:43. | |
year? I do not think so, that gave us extremely bad publicity. That was | :54:44. | :54:50. | |
a decision made by local union leaders, which was immediately | :54:51. | :54:54. | |
condemned by the government, by the minister in charge of that case. | :54:55. | :54:59. | |
They were soon released after that. But no, of course, it gave us bad | :55:00. | :55:04. | |
publicity. But that does not reflect the reality. I understand, but you | :55:05. | :55:08. | |
do not see this as a change of course? I see it as a continuation | :55:09. | :55:15. | |
of what we have been trying to do to promote business and attract foreign | :55:16. | :55:18. | |
investors, and it is working. We are doing clearly better. The level of | :55:19. | :55:26. | |
unemployment is still high, but it has been continually decreasing | :55:27. | :55:28. | |
since we got in power. Unemployment has gone up. Since we arrived in | :55:29. | :55:43. | |
power, little by little, we are decreasing it. You are decreasing | :55:44. | :55:51. | |
the rate of increase. But will it help M Hollande's popularity that he | :55:52. | :55:57. | |
now seems to have indulged in the time-honoured French President's | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
tradition of having a mistress? This sounds very French, doesn't it? | :56:02. | :56:07. | |
Except that this time we know, Mitterrand managed to hide them | :56:08. | :56:14. | |
away. It is difficult to do that with Twitter! We also have a | :56:15. | :56:20. | |
different tradition, which is, we want to respect privacy. I notice | :56:21. | :56:28. | |
that his criticism was not that it is not true, it was, you have | :56:29. | :56:36. | |
invaded my privacy. I remember when Palmerston, at the age of 60 odd, | :56:37. | :56:42. | |
did it in this country, the Tories wanted to cover it up because it | :56:43. | :56:48. | |
would make him more popular. Thanks for joining us. Next, the most | :56:49. | :56:57. | |
efficient round-up of the week's news, in only 62 seconds. Much of | :56:58. | :57:02. | |
southern Britain was underwater, as there was yet more heavy range | :57:03. | :57:08. | |
effort but the Tory MP Penny Morden will be getting even wetter. She is | :57:09. | :57:13. | |
going to star in a TV diving show. Boris Johnson made a splash on the | :57:14. | :57:17. | |
airwaves again, this time knocking Nick Clegg. He has that very | :57:18. | :57:24. | |
important ceremonial function as David Cameron's lapdog come | :57:25. | :57:30. | |
protection device. There was less knock-about in the Commons, as PMQs | :57:31. | :57:36. | |
went all proper, following Ed Miliband's concerns that it was | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
getting too rowdy. One Labour MP called for an end to slogans like | :57:41. | :57:45. | |
these. I would say the big society is an enormous opportunity. | :57:46. | :57:50. | |
Christmas is a distant memory, but some reckon Scrooge is still hanging | :57:51. | :57:55. | |
around, as the Chancellor announced another ?25 billion of cuts, much of | :57:56. | :57:59. | |
it in welfare. 2014 is the year of hard truths. | :58:00. | :58:05. | |
The year of hard truths, who writes that stuff?! Give me a thought, what | :58:06. | :58:11. | |
is going to happen this year that will surprise us? I hope that there | :58:12. | :58:16. | |
will be a lot about young people. We heard about housing benefit getting | :58:17. | :58:21. | |
taken away from the under-25s. I do not see if you are under 30 watts | :58:22. | :58:25. | |
any of the big parties can offer you. The older people tend to own | :58:26. | :58:29. | |
their houses. That is one thing I would like to see more of. For you? | :58:30. | :58:36. | |
Scottish referendum, that is going to be big. European elections in | :58:37. | :58:41. | |
May. But I think the overarching thing will be the decoupling of the | :58:42. | :58:45. | |
coalition. Interesting, you heard it here first! That is it for today. I | :58:46. | :58:50. | |
will be back with The Sunday Politics on BBC One, on Sunday, at | :58:51. | :58:53. | |
11 o'clock. Until then, have a good weekend. | :58:54. | :58:58. |