10/01/2014 Daily Politics


10/01/2014

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Afternoon, folks, and welcome to The Daily Politics. EU Referendum Bill

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is back. Did you miss it? I did. This time, it is a war of attrition

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in the House of Lords. There they are, settling in on the red benches

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for the debate over the future of Europe and its relationship with the

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British public . David Cameron says the floods were down to climate

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change. His Environment Secretary does not sound quite so sure. We

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will debate the issue. And why is Ayn Rand still so influential on the

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right of politics? And the New Year is going from bad to worse for

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Francois Hollande. Has he decided to embrace austerity, as well as an

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actress, and will it do him any good?

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All of that is coming up in the next hour. With me for the generation, to

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journalists that I said I would never share the studio with again,

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until hell froze over. And I meant it. Unfortunately, the small town of

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Hell in Michigan did freeze over this week. So, here they are again,

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it is David Wooding and Helen Lewis. Happy New Year.

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. Let's start with EU migration. David Cameron began the year talking

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about restricting what he called "mass population movements" around

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the EU. Yesterday, the Vice President of the European

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Commission, Viviane Reding, who has previously called for a United

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States of Europe, said there wasn't an invasion of foreigners stealing

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jobs and draining welfare. She even said the British Government was

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destroying the future of its people. It's not just the Tories thinking

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about making it harder to move around the EU, here's Shadow

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Business Secretary Chuka Umunna speaking last night. I think low

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skill immigration, we believe that there was too much of it from the

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European Union, and I think there is one important thing about the

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European Union. The founders of the European Union had in mind free

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movement of workers, not free movement of job-seekers, and

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undoubtedly, we do have to work with our European partners to deal with

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that. I met with a number of them this week, are very open to that, if

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we constructively engage with them, and say, hey, do what we want, or we

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are going to walk. We asked the Labour spokesperson to come onto the

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show this morning to tell us more about this policy, was it made on

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the hoof, was it a new party policy, what does it mean? We were told, not

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surprisingly, that nobody was available. I suppose there are still

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working out what it means. Alan, are British politicians on the right and

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the left, having never read the Treaty of Rome -- Helen? That was

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the David Dimbleby question, can you rewrite the Treaty of Rome at 11

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o'clock on BBC One? You can't, but it is difficult, because at the

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moment, you can move somewhere and start a business, for example. If

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this was reciprocated, Britain has the fourth largest amounts of

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emigrants in the EU, and they would be affected as much as people coming

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into Britain. I am not sure that he was right that the Treaty of Rome

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was basically mainly arranged for workers to be able to move across

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borders. It is about the movement of people. It is about the movement of

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people and the other interesting thing is that when the treatment was

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signed, there were 28 countries and this has extended. What we voted for

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in the original referendum back in the 1970s was a small handful of

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Western European countries. I think what he is doing, what Chuka Umunna

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is doing, is trying to get Labour more on the side of public opinion

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on this. He's not going as far as David Cameron, by saying we want to

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have some controls, he's showing that Labour is serious about doing

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something about immigration. There were a lot of apologies about the

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transitional controls, about Polish people coming in, and that is

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something you hear a lot. Gordon Brown famously talked about British

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jobs for British workers at one stage, and then Ed Balls has kind of

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implied, in 2010, he was talking about European leaders revisiting

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the freedom of movement directive. Yvette Cooper has raised similar

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concerns, in March of last year. It is a theme that Labour bangles at

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every so often but it is very hard Yes, you are right. Yes, you are

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right, they are just showing a bit of leg. It is difficult ground for

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them. Ed Miliband is always the best looking at the data and public

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attitudes about immigration are essentially out of kilter about what

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is happening, but how do you tell the voters they are wrong? It is

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hard. And David Cameron can always throw back at Labour that they are

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the people who open the floodgates in the first place. You can be in or

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out of the EU, that is straightforward, but if you are in

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it, it involves the movement of people across borders. That is one

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of the basic club rules. Chuka Umunna did make a good point about

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the high and low skills, it is ridiculous that people are working

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copy shop say when they have a Masters degree, that is not good for

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the origin country or here. That is a society. Yes, the way the cookie

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crumbles. The one piece of good news for the Government is may have been

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attacked by the vice president of the European Commission, Viviane

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Reding, and when an unknown official attacks the country, that is when

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they will get some support. All she has done is shown have out of touch

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the European institutions are with public opinion over here. She's

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basically saying it is been stoked by politicians for their own ends,

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but there is no need for them to do that, they should be hiding it under

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the carpet. Labour are not in a good place under immigration and David

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Cameron has a big problem with it, they are not stoking it up, it is

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public opinion. Viviane Reding, if you are watching in Brussels, come

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onto the Daily Politics and have a word about these things. Being a

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European official, you would like to be held accountable. Now, if you

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would like to have a vote on staying in or coming out of the European

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Union in the next couple of years, time is not on your side. The EU

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Referendum Bill is being discussed in the Lords today, although whether

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it will get much further is another matter. It's not a Government bill,

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because the Tories couldn't get the Lib Dems to agree. So they drafted

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the legislation themselves and let the backbencher James Wharton

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introduce it in the Commons. Now it is the turn of Tory Peer Michael

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Dobbs to steering through the House of Lords. The proposed legislation

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requires a referendum to be held in December 2017 at the latest.

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However, like most Private Members Bills, there is the risk of running

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out of time and suspicions that Labour and Lib Dem peers will try

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quietly to kill it off. And if those appears that oppose the plans

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managed to pile on the amendments, it will keep the bill stuck in the

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Lords until the end of February and the bill just dies and the Tories

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will have to start all over again. If they have the stomach for it.

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Joining me now from the House of Lords is Labour Peer Donald

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Anderson. Welcome to the Daily Politics, is the plan to filibuster

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this bill? No, I have had very clear instructions from our chief whip not

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to filibuster, but we have to do what is the traditional role of the

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House of Lords, to give any bill proper scrutiny and clearly, this

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has not been given proper or sufficient scrutiny in the House of

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Commons. It cannot be steam-rollered through the second chamber. Is it

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your view that the House of Lords would like the British people to

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have a vote on European membership? I don't think the Lords would want

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this bill but at some stage, if it be necessary, for example if there

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were some substantial change, and that is already under the referendum

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Act, then there is a very strong case for a referendum, but I see no

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reason at all for saying now and trying to bind the Government which

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will be elected in 2015, there will be a referendum. Because no

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Government can bind its successor. It can only lead and the

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Conservative Party I do think they will not win the election or that

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they have no trust in Mr Cameron to honour his commitments, or both.

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Just as we have been talking about the freedom of movement of people

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across Europe as a foundation stone of the Treaty of Rome, is it's not a

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foundation stone of our Constitution that this Parliament cannot bind

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another parliament --is it not? Absolutely, which is why it is

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absurd. The only motive behind this bill is that the Conservatives have

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looked over their shoulder, seen the threat from UKIP and have moved in

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that direction. They will not win the UKIP voters that way. They will

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be blown up in the flames and consume themselves, because the UKIP

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voters will demand the real thing. Are you out to amend the bill? I

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think it does deserve an amendment, it deserves serious scrutiny. For

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example the map on the question on whether the electrical -- on the

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question of whether the electoral commission, examining questions like

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this, said they were not happy with the question. The electorate needs

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to be looked at, and a whole series of other questions, otherwise it

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will be recklessly pushed through by the Government and that is against

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our Constitution. It purports to be a Private Members Bill but it is

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actually a conservative bill, three line whip, by the Conservative Party

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in the Commons. Is there not something a little bit Gilbert and

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Sullivan about an unelected chamber trying to deny the rest of us an

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election? I am not denying an election. The Government claimed

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that there will not be a referendum in any account until 2017. And that

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will depend on the negotiations. That is a long way down the road.

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Europe may change, our Government may change, and therefore there are

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so many uncertainties. It may well be that there is a case but we don't

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know. The timetable of 2017 is wholly unrealistic. Anyone who knows

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Europe will know that to have full negotiations and a ratification by

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all countries simply cannot be achieved within that period up to

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2017, said the only question possible during that time is do you

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think your Government should continue with negotiations. It is

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absurd. Donald Anderson stick with us. We are joined now by the former

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leader of the House of Lords under the Conservatives, Tom Strathclyde.

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What is this all about in the end, other than a party political move by

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the Tories? Because you cannot bind, as everyone agrees, the next

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Parliament. I think this is a tremendous symbol and a signal to

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the electorate that this Parliament is serious about giving people their

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say about the future of Europe and whether or not we should continue

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down the path of an ever closer union, which we have developed over

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the course of the last 40 years. And the public, I think, are very

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uncertain about our role in Europe. They now have an opportunity, if

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this bill goes through, to prepare themselves for a referendum which

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will take place before the end of 2017, four campaigns to get going

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for and us remaining in the EU -- the campaigns. This gives us plenty

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of time to resolve the difficulties and uncertainties so that we get a

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clear result. But it could be all over by the end of the next

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Parliament? And one of the reasons to get it in statute before the

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General Election is to give the parties that will be standing at the

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election the opportunity to say loud and clear to the people of this

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country whether they intend to continue with this legislation or to

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scrap it if they get elected. You could get the same result by asking

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people if they would support a referendum or not. But over the

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course of the last 20 years, there have been countless examples of

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where politicians have promised a referendum before general elections

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and not delivered them. Most recently, it was Tony Blair who

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promised a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, but when it came about, he

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said it wasn't what he intended it to be and therefore we didn't need a

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referendum. Wasn't it David Cameron that promised us a cast-iron

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guarantee on a referendum? Only if this treaty has not been ratified.

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It was common sense. What you're saying is you need this legislation,

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because basically, we, the voters, do not trust you, that is what

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you're saying. Lets keep the parties honest on this hugely important

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issue -- let's keep. And on this issue, we are reaching beyond

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politicians and politics and appealing directly to the people of

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the country and saying you are directly responsible for making this

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decision and we should not decide, over to you. This is a Private

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Members Bill. Could you use the Parliament Act to get it through? In

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theory. I really hope that does not apply and I made the point early on

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that it is ridiculous for an appointed house to stand not just

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against the will of the regulated House of Commons that has passed the

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bill, but also on a bill that is over all of our heads and says to

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the people of the country, you must have your say. Of what you say to

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that, Donald Anderson? I think it is absurd. The truth is they would not

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be a referendum in any event until 2017. Lord Strathclyde said it is a

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signal, only of Tory divisions and the Tories retreating before UKIP.

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Two years ago, David Cameron and William Hague ruled out and in-out

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referendum and if we were to vote out, where would we be? We do not

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know if we want a Norwegian president, if we want to somehow

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Seagate new deal with the Commonwealth -- seek out. We would

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be in insurgency, and there would be four years of uncertainty that is

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going to put off foreign investment. We have seen this with Nissan,

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Hitachi, the Japanese Government and CBI all saying that it would be

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contrary to our national interest. They got all of what you say may

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well be true and a strong argument, but that is an argument are having a

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referendum. That is not in arguing for or against. If you believe in

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these arguments, and many people do, then have the referendum and

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argue it out and let people decide. But the timing is absolutely

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crucial. There may or may not be a case for a referendum, there will be

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several questions, but we will not know about it, certainly Give us

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your best guess, what will happen to this bill in the Lords? I think

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there is a possibility that this will run into the sands, and then it

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will be a matter for the electorate in 2015 to vote or not to vote for a

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party which has a referendum at an appropriate time in its manifesto.

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Would you advise Ed Miliband not to go down this referendum route, not

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to have this in the Labour manifesto? I would say that the

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appropriate stance for the Labour Party in 2015 is to say, look, we

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already have a referendum act, having a referendum if there are

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substantial changes, new powers, to the European Union. That may or may

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not -- there may or may not be a case for an in-out referendum. That

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depends completely on the circumstances at the time. What is

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planned be, Lord Strathclyde? I am not in the government, so I do not

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know what it is, or indeed if there should be one. What we need to do

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now is to make sure that this bill... He has just said that his

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advice to the Labour Party is not to concede the principle of a

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referendum to the people of this country. He is saying to the leader

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of the Labour Party, you must not go down this route. I think that is

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complete madness. It is a clear position. It is a clear position

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from Donnell, but not from the leadership my feeling has been that

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because Ed Miliband's narrative is such as it is, that he will not go

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down the referendum route. I am seeing less and less reasons we

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could have a referendum on anything, whether David Cameron should go to

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see a hairdresser. But the trouble about this is that it becomes more

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and more clear as this bill goes through its endless, tortuous stages

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that this is a Tory obsession, it is not a national obsession. I did not

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go home at Christmas, with my family clinging to my leg, saying, when,

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oh, when are we going to have this referendum on Europe? That is the

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point, that it is not an issue which is gripping the nation, it is

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gripping a small portion of the Tory party. Well, it is and it isn't,

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because the issue of in or out may not grip the nation, but it is

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inextricably linked with the question of immigration.

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Immigration, welfare, all of those are inextricably linked with Europe.

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A lot of the problems we have are related to Europe. Labour let the

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cat out of the bag today when Lord Mandelson said it is a lottery, if

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we have a referendum, in other words, we do not trust the people. I

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think what Labour are doing is trying to keep their options open. I

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do not think they want a referendum, but they are not going to say so

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just yet. We will leave it there. Thank you for joining us on The

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Daily Politics. Now, earlier this morning, a police

:19:12.:19:23.

person who falsely claimed to have seen Andrew Mitchell arguing with

:19:24.:19:26.

officers outside Downing Street has pleaded guilty to misconduct in

:19:27.:19:29.

public office. It revolves around what was said at the gates of

:19:30.:19:35.

Downing Street as Mr Mitchell tried to go through on his bike. While we

:19:36.:19:39.

have been on air, he has responded to this development, and told the

:19:40.:19:44.

press Association, I am pleased that justice has been done in the

:19:45.:19:49.

criminal court today. It is very sad and worrying for all of us that a

:19:50.:19:52.

serving police officer should have behaved in this way, and there

:19:53.:19:58.

remains many questions unanswered, in particular, why the PC wrote this

:19:59.:20:03.

e-mail, and who else was involved in this process.

:20:04.:20:07.

We will bring you any further developments on that if they happen

:20:08.:20:13.

while we are on air. When you woke up this morning, did you think, we

:20:14.:20:17.

have got some extreme weather, caused by climate change? Well, this

:20:18.:20:25.

week, David Cameron told MPs he very much suspects the recent floods are

:20:26.:20:29.

linked to climate change. His Environment Secretary has taken

:20:30.:20:33.

something of a different view. In our entirely unscientific

:20:34.:20:36.

contribution to the debate, Adam has taken his balls out for the first

:20:37.:20:40.

time in 2014 to see which way the wind is blowing. It has finally

:20:41.:20:46.

stopped raining, which means we can bring out The Daily Politics mood

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box to ask the public what they think is to blame for the extreme

:20:50.:20:53.

weather. Is it mostly climate change, or is it just the weather?

:20:54.:20:59.

With the wind, the heavy rain and the flooding, I think it is climate

:21:00.:21:08.

change. It is not something we have had before. A bit of uncertainty,

:21:09.:21:19.

just like in the real world. This is going to affect you in about 20

:21:20.:21:24.

years! Short answer, climate change, it is the melting of the

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icebergs. We have got about 25 tourists from Arkansas. How cold is

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it back home? It is very cold. They are all going for just the weather,

:21:38.:21:41.

which I think is the opposite of what President Obama thinks. It is

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the weather, it cycles in and it cycles out. So, do you think all of

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the people who voted for just the weather are wrong? Yes. You could

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plot the weather on your scarf. I know. As the strange weather been

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affect finger painting and decorating business? Yes, on the

:22:08.:22:14.

outside, it has, yes. -- has it been affecting the painting and

:22:15.:22:18.

decorating business? Thank you very much. There is actually no evidence

:22:19.:22:29.

since 1997 that the planet is warming up. It hasn't been, and I

:22:30.:22:34.

think it is just an opportunity for a lot of people do make a lot of

:22:35.:22:41.

money out of climate change. -- to make. You have been talking about it

:22:42.:22:56.

for about ten minutes. Yes, week believe it could be a meteorite

:22:57.:23:02.

disturbance in outer space. Well, it is true what they say, British

:23:03.:23:06.

people do love talking about the weather and the climate, although

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after all that, it is kind of 50-50. Certainly no warming here, I am

:23:13.:23:18.

absolutely freezing! They also think Adam is a lizard. The jury is open

:23:19.:23:25.

on that one. I am joined now by the leader of the Green Party, Natalie

:23:26.:23:29.

Bennett, and by the journalist and conservative here Matt Ridley. Is

:23:30.:23:34.

climate change to blame for the stormy weather? Of course, any

:23:35.:23:40.

individual event of weather is just that, weather. But what we are

:23:41.:23:43.

seeing around the world at the moment is an awful lot of what what

:23:44.:23:47.

we might call, in quotation marks, weather. In Australia, we have had

:23:48.:23:53.

thousands of bats falling from the trees, we have had records broken

:23:54.:23:57.

since Christmas. We have got the storms in the US, we have the

:23:58.:24:01.

cyclone in the Philippines. We have a situation where what we can expect

:24:02.:24:05.

is more extreme weather, and more of it. Therefore what we have got fits

:24:06.:24:09.

with that pattern for climate change. So, whatever happens with

:24:10.:24:14.

the weather, if it is really warm, or really cold, or really flooding

:24:15.:24:18.

in Britain, it is all down to global warming? If it is extreme weather,

:24:19.:24:22.

and we are seeing more of it, that is a result of climate change. We

:24:23.:24:26.

have had extreme weather before the idea of global warming. We have

:24:27.:24:31.

indeed, but what we are seeing is more of it. It is really quite

:24:32.:24:34.

simple, in terms of the rain we are seeing at the moment, we all know

:24:35.:24:41.

the basic frigates? -- physics, that if you have higher temperatures, you

:24:42.:24:44.

are going to get more evaporation and therefore more rain. Why did we

:24:45.:24:49.

think we were going to get limited precipitation this winter? Kos our

:24:50.:24:53.

weather predictions are still limited. But the Met Office is all

:24:54.:25:00.

part of the holy Grail, isn't it, they are completely informed by

:25:01.:25:13.

global warming, aren't they? The holy Grail, as you put it, is as

:25:14.:25:19.

backed by 97% of climate scientists, by the IPCC report, the most

:25:20.:25:22.

scrutinised science report in history. Let's just go to that

:25:23.:25:31.

report. It concludes, we have low confidence that flooding events are

:25:32.:25:38.

being caused by global warming. And we can go to the response from Ban

:25:39.:25:43.

Ki-Moon on this. He said, in response to that report, that the

:25:44.:25:53.

heat is on... The IPCC report says they have low confidence that

:25:54.:25:56.

flooding is being caused by climate change. That is the report! What

:25:57.:26:02.

this demonstrates, and I was on one of the last trains to Oxford before

:26:03.:26:06.

the line was stopped by flooding, and lots of people on the train were

:26:07.:26:10.

looking out the window at seems like we have behind us. Quite a lot of

:26:11.:26:14.

people were going, well, that is amazing. And there was fear and

:26:15.:26:24.

surprise. So your answer to the science of the IPCC report is a

:26:25.:26:27.

train journey to Oxford? All of our human life, our ability to feed

:26:28.:26:33.

ourselves, how is ourselves, live safely, is dependent on the climate.

:26:34.:26:41.

When you look around, there is something happening. We may not be

:26:42.:26:45.

able to explain it, but Natalie Bennett is right, everywhere you

:26:46.:26:49.

look, there are extreme weather events taking place. There was a

:26:50.:26:53.

report in the paper this morning that the Thames has reached a record

:26:54.:26:59.

level, since 2003. So, that record is only ten years old. If you look

:27:00.:27:03.

at all of these storms, lots of bad weather, they are all the worst for

:27:04.:27:08.

20 years, 40 years, 100 years. But what was happening then? Was that

:27:09.:27:15.

climate change? Of course not. Australia seems to be hotter than

:27:16.:27:20.

ever. Yes, but categorically, it is impossible to say that this is due

:27:21.:27:27.

to climate change. We had a cold, calm winter last year, we are having

:27:28.:27:31.

a mild, stormy winter this year. It happens. You're going to get these

:27:32.:27:36.

kinds of weather events whether the climate is warming or not. We should

:27:37.:27:43.

not worry so much about the trend. But the IPCC report does say, the

:27:44.:27:48.

frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events overland wheel

:27:49.:27:51.

likely increase on average in the near-term. It also says, confidence

:27:52.:28:01.

in the trends regarding tropical cyclones since 1900 is low. The IPCC

:28:02.:28:08.

say they have got 95% confidence that this climate change is

:28:09.:28:11.

happening. You have got a plane, there is a 95% risk it is going to

:28:12.:28:15.

crash, are you going to get on that plane? I do not think so. So

:28:16.:28:21.

therefore, we have to take action against climate change to secure the

:28:22.:28:23.

future of the planet of the human race. The question is, is action

:28:24.:28:28.

against carbon emissions the most effective way of preventing bad

:28:29.:28:32.

weather? The answer is clearly no. All sorts of other things are

:28:33.:28:36.

affecting plants, like development, house-building, on flood plains.

:28:37.:28:40.

Let's deal with that. That effectively is what David Cameron

:28:41.:28:43.

said. He said, whatever your views, you should be doing as much as

:28:44.:28:48.

possible to mitigate and plan for floods and storms, which is quite

:28:49.:28:51.

right. Is their agreement on that? Entirely. One thing we need to do,

:28:52.:28:58.

and he might agree with me, is that we are not doing nearly enough to

:28:59.:29:01.

conserve energy, too insulated our homes. Doing that would create up to

:29:02.:29:09.

200,000 jobs, drastically cut fuel poverty and cut carbon emissions but

:29:10.:29:15.

we could also not charge people too much for their electricity because

:29:16.:29:19.

of renewables. And of course the fault of the rising prices of bills

:29:20.:29:23.

is because of the rising price of gas, not because of renewables. 95%

:29:24.:29:28.

of the increase is due to gas. Not in the future, it is but I think

:29:29.:29:33.

your probability of dying as a result of extreme weather is down by

:29:34.:29:39.

98% since the 1920s globally. That is not because the weather got less

:29:40.:29:44.

dangerous, that is because we have got better housing, communication

:29:45.:29:46.

and transport, which makes storms more survivable. That is what we

:29:47.:29:53.

should be focusing on. So, for a good example, we should not be

:29:54.:29:58.

cutting the coastguard. Well, the amount of investment that the

:29:59.:30:01.

Government is putting into floods is actually a record. I think there has

:30:02.:30:06.

been a lot of debate about this, but the independent analysts say

:30:07.:30:10.

spending is going down in real terms. That is not my

:30:11.:30:14.

understanding, I understand there is a record amount being spent on flood

:30:15.:30:18.

mitigation. Whatever it is, the Environment Agency in this country

:30:19.:30:22.

actually has a gigantic budget and staff compared to most countries.

:30:23.:30:28.

But not go down the coastguard route, is it your contention that

:30:29.:30:36.

there is not really an increase in extreme weather events, and that

:30:37.:30:40.

global warming has nothing to do with these events to mark -- these

:30:41.:30:53.

events? Natalie is right that you will see more precipitation and

:30:54.:30:56.

there are benefits to that, droughts have shrunk in intensity as well.

:30:57.:31:07.

That is not true. It is. But in terms of her against... They cannot

:31:08.:31:15.

find a trend in 30 years in the frequency of hurricanes, typhoons

:31:16.:31:19.

and tornadoes hit a 30 year low in America. One-year's weather.

:31:20.:31:27.

Absolutely, but we are seeing very low trends in the last 30 or 40

:31:28.:31:32.

years for any of these weather events and the IPCC says that, there

:31:33.:31:38.

is no detectable incidence of global warming on extreme weather and there

:31:39.:31:42.

will not be possibly for the whole of this century, they said that in

:31:43.:31:47.

2011 in a report. I think we can come back to the survey that you

:31:48.:31:53.

started with a note sure -- and I am sure we all understand it is a piece

:31:54.:31:58.

of fun but three quarters of the British public say they believe that

:31:59.:32:01.

human caused climate change is happening now and we need to act. It

:32:02.:32:04.

is the wisdom of crowds and the wisdom of climate scientists. Just

:32:05.:32:15.

on the politics of this, the Tories are now in a strange position. As

:32:16.:32:19.

part of the rebranding of getting away from the cuddly party, the

:32:20.:32:24.

nasty party, to becoming a cuddly party and not a nasty party, Mister

:32:25.:32:27.

Cameron signed the Tories up to the whole global warming agenda, and so

:32:28.:32:33.

he keeps on blaming Ed Miliband for the 2008 climate change act and he

:32:34.:32:38.

voted for every clause in it, so did his party, but he actually leads a

:32:39.:32:42.

party that most of them don't believe in it. I know, those poor

:32:43.:32:49.

huskies. There is an issue here, the three main party leaders all believe

:32:50.:32:53.

the same thing on climate change, but there is a big proportion of the

:32:54.:32:56.

Tory party that is not signed up to that, and a big proportion of the

:32:57.:33:00.

country, so there is a danger of it being a Westminster consensus that

:33:01.:33:03.

does not include the rest of the country. It will be interesting to

:33:04.:33:07.

see what the Tory attitude to this will be, because Labour and the Lib

:33:08.:33:10.

Dems will stick with this, that is part of their approach to life but

:33:11.:33:15.

it will be interesting to see what the Tory manifesto says. The big war

:33:16.:33:20.

is not about climate change itself, it is about energy bells and what

:33:21.:33:26.

the punter is paying to heat their homes -- energy bills. We have what

:33:27.:33:29.

Labour have promised and the action by the Conservatives, that is where

:33:30.:33:33.

they will focus and I think they will cut the green rubbish, if I can

:33:34.:33:37.

use that word... You can use the word rubbish but you cannot use the

:33:38.:33:44.

word that David Cameron said. Why I think some of this green stuff is

:33:45.:33:48.

now being viewed more sceptically, I think it has been over spun by the

:33:49.:33:53.

climate change lobby. We talk about global warming, that word warming

:33:54.:33:56.

has gone because we are now actually freezing, and because it has over

:33:57.:34:00.

spun, more and more people are beginning to viewed sceptically. In

:34:01.:34:03.

the same way that the health lobby tellers to drink fewer units of wine

:34:04.:34:07.

every day and then we are told, actually, you can have a glass. I

:34:08.:34:12.

think the media has a problem with it, it is a huge, complicated issue.

:34:13.:34:18.

It is not just the media, because in 2008, Al Gore, based on climate

:34:19.:34:22.

science, told us the ice would be gone in the Arctic in 2013. Last

:34:23.:34:27.

time I looked, it was higher than it was for six or seven years and

:34:28.:34:31.

certainly hadn't gone. You are absolutely right, there is a

:34:32.:34:35.

consensus among climate scientists that the planet is warming. There is

:34:36.:34:40.

a consensus that man is playing a part in that, but there are huge

:34:41.:34:44.

arguments over what the actual impact would be on temperature,

:34:45.:34:49.

exactly how important man is compared to other issues and what of

:34:50.:34:53.

the policy should be to combat it. On that, there is no settled view.

:34:54.:35:00.

But it is worth thinking back about human history. The human race, we

:35:01.:35:03.

have developed the whole of civilisation through one of the most

:35:04.:35:07.

stable periods of the world's climate that we know about. We are

:35:08.:35:11.

dependent on that, to grow our crops, to house ourselves, to stay

:35:12.:35:16.

safe. We have no option but to live within the climate we have. But the

:35:17.:35:20.

point I was trying to get you to address and we will have to move on

:35:21.:35:24.

is that if you oversell the consequences, if you tell us the

:35:25.:35:28.

Arctic ice will disappear by 2013 and it hasn't, if you send ships out

:35:29.:35:33.

because you think there is no sea ice in the Antarctic and it turns

:35:34.:35:39.

out there is so much you get stuck, if you tell us that the Himalayan

:35:40.:35:42.

glacial as will disappear and they haven't, and even on current trends

:35:43.:35:46.

will not for 200 years... The fundamental case may be right but if

:35:47.:35:52.

you make hyperbolic predictions, you undermined your own case, is the

:35:53.:35:57.

point I am making. The point I would make is the case is there, the

:35:58.:36:01.

evidence is overwhelming and we have to act now. Al Gore and the

:36:02.:36:05.

scientists were wrong? Speaking they got wrong on the details. Hold on,

:36:06.:36:11.

it wasn't the detail but they would be no ice by 2013, it was an

:36:12.:36:16.

apocalyptic prediction. We have record low levels of ice, we are

:36:17.:36:22.

heading towards no ice. It is worth remembering that the Antarctic ice

:36:23.:36:27.

is... It is very good to see you both, thank you. Now, if there is

:36:28.:36:30.

one book every true libertarian likes a cosy up with on a cold

:36:31.:36:34.

January night, it is the novel Atlas Shrugged. You think they should get

:36:35.:36:39.

out a bit more. It was written by writer calmer who claimed to have

:36:40.:36:44.

invented a new code of morality based on reason alone -- it was

:36:45.:36:51.

written by Ayn Rand. Here is Charlie Wolf talking about Ayn Rand.

:36:52.:37:10.

These days, there is a huge market for books about unleashing the power

:37:11.:37:16.

of the self, the potential of the individual, and that is essentially

:37:17.:37:19.

the philosophy of the American author Ayn Rand. I have come to

:37:20.:37:24.

Borough market in London to meet a commentator and broadcaster who says

:37:25.:37:27.

he can explain her philosophy through the medium of letters. --

:37:28.:37:36.

lettuce. So, Charlie, why do you like Ayn Rand and what does she have

:37:37.:37:41.

to do with lettuce? The Fountainhead was a book that changed my life, it

:37:42.:37:45.

was a book I could not put down but as for lettuce, my father was a

:37:46.:37:49.

greengrocer and maybe you have had it happened when a parent says

:37:50.:37:52.

something that seems so innocuous but holds great meaning. He was

:37:53.:37:56.

stacking lettuce one day in a shop and said, do you know why I made a

:37:57.:38:06.

pyramid? Because I can. I am my own boss, nobody tells me how to stack

:38:07.:38:09.

the lettuce. So that simple act of stacking the lettuce was so like Ayn

:38:10.:38:12.

Rand, in that he was the author of his own destiny, no one told him how

:38:13.:38:16.

to. That was a pyramid of lettuce, let's take you to a pyramid of glass

:38:17.:38:22.

and steel, the Shark, which also has a lot to do with Ayn Rand. Ayn Rand

:38:23.:38:28.

was a Russian emigre, fiercely anti-Communist and unconventional in

:38:29.:38:33.

her lives. Even her fans than her tricky but Doctor Elisabeth Fraser

:38:34.:38:35.

of Oxford University say that her books were powerful. -- found her

:38:36.:38:41.

tricky. She is inspirational. Her view of free society has inspired so

:38:42.:38:47.

many people. A very, very controversial but if there were a

:38:48.:38:51.

prize for the author who has got the most people saying, I read this book

:38:52.:38:54.

and it changed my life, she would win it. We are now surrounded by the

:38:55.:39:08.

most incredible view from the restaurant in The Shard in London. I

:39:09.:39:13.

was just wondering, what was Ayn Rand's worldview? Her worldview

:39:14.:39:16.

would be that the people who built this view who built The Shard, and

:39:17.:39:23.

heroic amount of vision and in this building in particular, it is a

:39:24.:39:27.

cathedral. Not to God, she was an atheist, but a cathedral to the

:39:28.:39:31.

powers of mankind. Men were heard gods. She tended to present

:39:32.:39:36.

philosophical ideas as though they were her own invention, and that is

:39:37.:39:41.

strange to serious thinkers and politicians as well -- estranged. It

:39:42.:39:48.

was extraordinary that she refused to cooperate politically. Including

:39:49.:39:52.

with people who really liked her ideas and would have liked her to be

:39:53.:39:57.

a figurehead for a new conservatism in the 20th century. She was very

:39:58.:40:01.

sectarian and capable of being very nasty. However nasty, though, how

:40:02.:40:07.

many other political philosophers have had their books turned into a

:40:08.:40:13.

movie, with its enigmatic catchphrase, who is John Galt? It is

:40:14.:40:26.

us who rule the world. Atlas Shrugged is all about railways,

:40:27.:40:30.

steel and building a bridge, but not like the one we are standing next,

:40:31.:40:37.

which is a ugly and grubby. But people think the philosophy of Ayn

:40:38.:40:40.

Rand is the same, supremely selfish. Is that fair? Not if you

:40:41.:40:45.

define it the way that Ayn Rand did, it is about being true to

:40:46.:40:49.

yourself, taking care of yourself first and foremost. Not living off

:40:50.:40:53.

the state or off others and it is a noble way. If you can do that, think

:40:54.:40:58.

of how the roles of welfare would shrivel up, how society would be

:40:59.:41:01.

better off. It is a far better philosophy than living off the

:41:02.:41:07.

state. It is not just that many would not agree with that but in

:41:08.:41:12.

October 2011, some were prepared to camp out on the streets in front of

:41:13.:41:15.

Saint Pauls Cathedral to demonstrate their opposition to such views. But

:41:16.:41:23.

actually, pain Rand -- Ayn Rand predicted all of that. We went to

:41:24.:41:30.

The Shard, but here is Saint Paul's. She would not have gone in,

:41:31.:41:35.

she was an atheist. There is a cathedral to man, the stock exchange

:41:36.:41:38.

over there, but something here happened recently that you think

:41:39.:41:42.

makes Ayn Rand River that readily to relevant to today. This is where the

:41:43.:41:50.

protest as well and she described in her books this dystopian state, the

:41:51.:41:53.

welfare state, the moochers, the one who want the money for

:41:54.:42:00.

entitlement's sake and leeches, who demanded that on a moral imperative,

:42:01.:42:04.

companies and the churches paid more money, being altruistic with other

:42:05.:42:09.

people's many. This was a dystopian welfare state, collectivism that she

:42:10.:42:13.

hated. But she also did say it is trade, it is, is, it is jobs. That

:42:14.:42:19.

is what lifts people out of poverty, not giving them money. That is why

:42:20.:42:24.

Ayn Rand is relevant to today. Either way, who is John Galt?

:42:25.:42:33.

Charlie Wolf joins us in the studio now. What is the answer to the

:42:34.:42:39.

question? Who is John Galt, that is the question? This is the man who

:42:40.:42:43.

stopped the engine of the world in the book, went on strike and took

:42:44.:42:46.

his capital with him and showed that as much as people make derisory

:42:47.:42:50.

comments about the movers and shakers of the world, Starbucks and

:42:51.:42:54.

Amazons and Bill Gates, these are the guys that, for want of profit,

:42:55.:42:59.

are making the economy move and we need them and they are very

:43:00.:43:03.

beneficial. The whole premise of their book is what if all of these

:43:04.:43:06.

people took their property and their assets and just went on strike,

:43:07.:43:10.

where would the rest of us be? It would be a dystopian state. But what

:43:11.:43:20.

would they do? In the book, they will go to a magic island, it is a

:43:21.:43:23.

bit of a science-fiction novel. It could be VI love white. It could

:43:24.:43:28.

have been. -- it could have been the Isle of Wight. If you are on the

:43:29.:43:35.

right, you look at Ayn Rand's critique of collectivism and Marxism

:43:36.:43:39.

and people on the right thing, she got that absolutely right but when

:43:40.:43:43.

she comes herself to say what kind of society we should have, it seems

:43:44.:43:48.

a bit extreme. Funnily enough, when Atlas Shrugged came out, it was

:43:49.:43:54.

hated on the left and the right. There were articles commissioned

:43:55.:43:59.

against the book, saying she was godless on the right and the left

:44:00.:44:04.

saying she was selfish. So there are extremities but I take it for what

:44:05.:44:10.

it is worth, extremities in objectivism. Extremities in

:44:11.:44:18.

objectivism? I think she was making, in the extreme positions,

:44:19.:44:23.

and ideology. I don't believe in her atheism, her position on abortion...

:44:24.:44:29.

Say she is not an icon of the social conservative right in America? No,

:44:30.:44:34.

she is the libertarian icon. When she was alive, she didn't have much

:44:35.:44:39.

time for libertarianism. Don't ask me why. But she wrote, "trade is the

:44:40.:44:44.

only proper basis of any relationship" . Adam Smith said

:44:45.:44:48.

roughly the same, that it is not from the munificence of the butcher

:44:49.:44:54.

or the bread-maker, he does it because he wants to make a profit,

:44:55.:44:59.

and you get it, but then she adds, including relationships with members

:45:00.:45:01.

of our families! Smith would never have said that. Probably not, but if

:45:02.:45:08.

you look again in Atlas Shrugged, Hank Reardon, his family was

:45:09.:45:12.

mooching off him, but I agree. There is a lot of Ayn Rand that were

:45:13.:45:20.

ironic streams and you take what was important. The important thing for

:45:21.:45:25.

me, as the Fountainhead explained, we have the power within us to

:45:26.:45:31.

accomplish anything. Her heroes were heroes and her villains were

:45:32.:45:33.

villains because they were socialists. How much was she

:45:34.:45:41.

influenced by the fact that her family's pharmacy business was

:45:42.:45:46.

confiscated by the Bolsheviks? Probably a lot. She hated anything

:45:47.:45:51.

to do with the communist state. The only thing she took with her, which

:45:52.:45:55.

again I find hard to understand, from the commonest estate, was her

:45:56.:46:00.

atheism. In a sense, you are almost in the mirror image position of Owen

:46:01.:46:05.

Jones, when we had him on the programme, as he came on, talking

:46:06.:46:10.

about Karl Marx, and of course he was not endorsing Marxism in its

:46:11.:46:15.

entirety, but he said there are things we can learn from him. And

:46:16.:46:20.

you have also taken a rather extreme ideology, the polar opposite to

:46:21.:46:24.

Marxism, and said, I do not buy it all, but there are bits of it... It

:46:25.:46:29.

is interesting you mentioned Owen Jones, because yes, we have gone

:46:30.:46:33.

from left to right. But the problem with Owen Jones legal theory is that

:46:34.:46:41.

it is unequivocally wrong. It does not work. Let me just explain why. A

:46:42.:46:49.

very good experiment happened when the Pilgrims first came to Plymouth.

:46:50.:46:56.

They practised collectivism when they first got there, and they

:46:57.:47:01.

starved after 2.5 years. They have this theory that everybody would

:47:02.:47:03.

take an equal portion. Nobody worked. Finally, after 2.5 years,

:47:04.:47:10.

the governor got rid of it, and said, this theory of the community

:47:11.:47:15.

does not work. And this is what Thatcher said. I understand that,

:47:16.:47:20.

but it comes back to the Rand criticism of collectors is, it is

:47:21.:47:25.

what she would have had in its place which I was asking you about, which

:47:26.:47:30.

seems to me to be just as weak in its way as Marxism out to be. --

:47:31.:47:37.

criticism of collectivism. Is it under your pillow every night?

:47:38.:47:41.

Everything I have learned about Ayn Rand I have found out from a

:47:42.:47:46.

computer game. It is a city built under the sea, which actually

:47:47.:47:53.

finally enough, quite a lot of Silicon Valley enthusiast 's want to

:47:54.:47:57.

actually build. But it is all the winners of society, going and making

:47:58.:48:02.

a society together. But the problem is, there is no family loyalty,

:48:03.:48:07.

there is no altruism, everybody is purely therefore themselves. The

:48:08.:48:13.

problem I have with Rand is the same problem I have with Marxism. They

:48:14.:48:19.

are extremes. From what I know of Rand, she is Margaret Thatcher on

:48:20.:48:23.

speed. She almost makes it cool to be selfish. One of the quotes today

:48:24.:48:27.

was, before you can say I love you, you have to think of I. Then she

:48:28.:48:36.

says, there are three key places in an argument, one is right, what is

:48:37.:48:41.

wrong, and the other is the middle. -- the other is evil. People having

:48:42.:48:47.

22 kids on welfare is selfish, but they rely on the generosity of

:48:48.:48:50.

others, which is somewhere in the middle. You can watch the rest of

:48:51.:48:57.

our series on political thinkers on our website. And thanks to Derek

:48:58.:49:04.

Wilkinson, who has just tweeted to me and given a very useful section

:49:05.:49:11.

on the Treaty of Rome, article three C, which calls for free movement for

:49:12.:49:17.

persons. Not workers, not job-seekers. So, if you are

:49:18.:49:23.

watching, Chuka Umunna, there you go. It is not unusual at this time

:49:24.:49:27.

of year to try to change direction in life, you might give up smoking,

:49:28.:49:32.

go to the gym, find a new job, or promise never to miss The Daily

:49:33.:49:36.

Politics for a year. One person has made it his New Year 's resolution

:49:37.:49:46.

to become more pro-business. The Socialist leader of France has

:49:47.:49:48.

hinted that he might cut labour costs in exchange for firms hiring

:49:49.:49:55.

more workers. Here he is. TRANSLATION: I propose a

:49:56.:49:59.

responsibility packed with business, it is based on a simple principle,

:50:00.:50:04.

lower labour charges and fewer restrictions on their activity, in

:50:05.:50:07.

return for more workers and more dialogue with trade unions. First of

:50:08.:50:12.

all, I want to reduce public spending. We have to make savings

:50:13.:50:17.

wherever possible. I am sure we can do more by spending less. We have to

:50:18.:50:27.

spend less to reduce our deficit, also to eventually lower taxes.

:50:28.:50:32.

That's fiscal reform, which we are committed to. I myself take on the

:50:33.:50:36.

responsible to four following this savings programme for the length of

:50:37.:50:46.

this Parliament. Now, I am joined by Axelle Lemaire, a member of the

:50:47.:50:48.

French parliament, representing northern Europe, and a member of

:50:49.:50:55.

Francois Hollande's socialist party, and a friend of The Daily Politics.

:50:56.:51:01.

We welcome you back. What is it like to be supporting the most unpopular

:51:02.:51:05.

president in the history of the fifth Republic? I suppose I keep

:51:06.:51:09.

thinking, well, if it is that bad, why don't we take risks? Which is

:51:10.:51:14.

what we are doing. It gives us, we have local elections coming, but we

:51:15.:51:22.

still have until 2017... You will be thumped in the local elections.

:51:23.:51:32.

Let's talk about that when it comes because I am not convinced. We are

:51:33.:51:38.

ahead in the mayoral elections, the departments, everywhere in France.

:51:39.:51:46.

You run all the departments. But even if things were going well, you

:51:47.:51:53.

would be losing some. Yes. But over the past 25 years, only Italy has

:51:54.:51:58.

grown slower than France. Your budget deficit is bigger than that

:51:59.:52:01.

of Italy, you have the largest current-account deficit in the

:52:02.:52:06.

Eurozone. Since 1999, GDP per head in Germany has grown 25% more than

:52:07.:52:10.

in France, your unit labour costs are now higher than Germany, and you

:52:11.:52:14.

are on the brink of another recession. Where is the good news?

:52:15.:52:22.

Wow! Like that, it does sound very, very bad. I am surprised you did not

:52:23.:52:28.

mention the United Kingdom, because that is what we are usually compared

:52:29.:52:31.

with, and that is what Mr Cameron compared his country with. But we

:52:32.:52:36.

are still the fifth biggest economy, number two in Europe, behind not the

:52:37.:52:45.

United Kingdom but Germany. We topped number one in the global 500

:52:46.:52:55.

index of innovative companies. We have a low inflation rate, we have

:52:56.:53:00.

reduced the public deficit, and currently we are at 3.8% of GDP in

:53:01.:53:11.

France. I think here it is 6.4%. It is easier for a country which can

:53:12.:53:15.

print its own currency, though. The levels of debt, public and private,

:53:16.:53:21.

because people do not take loans to buy cars, to buy a house. Are we

:53:22.:53:28.

going through what we saw with the last socialist president, President

:53:29.:53:31.

Mitterrand, who came in with a very socialist agenda, and within less

:53:32.:53:35.

than two years, the whole place had gone belly up, it was a disaster,

:53:36.:53:40.

and he rushed for the centre, so is that what M Hollande is now doing,

:53:41.:53:45.

when he is being nice to business and talking about cutting spending?

:53:46.:53:50.

Not at all. The number one priority in his programme, as a candidate,

:53:51.:53:56.

was competitiveness of companies. This is how it is seen abroad, that

:53:57.:54:02.

it is a U-turn, it is a pro-business U-turn, but he has always been

:54:03.:54:07.

pro-business. We passed a deal with companies in March last year, and I

:54:08.:54:12.

voted for it as an MP last year, to help them reduce labour costs for

:54:13.:54:21.

employees when times are hard, a bit like Germany did at the beginning of

:54:22.:54:28.

this century. We are doing many things. Do you think it really was a

:54:29.:54:34.

good way of encouraging foreign direct investment into France, of

:54:35.:54:39.

which France needs a lot, for the unions to kidnap the boss of good

:54:40.:54:43.

year? I do not think so, that gave us extremely bad publicity. That was

:54:44.:54:50.

a decision made by local union leaders, which was immediately

:54:51.:54:54.

condemned by the government, by the minister in charge of that case.

:54:55.:54:59.

They were soon released after that. But no, of course, it gave us bad

:55:00.:55:04.

publicity. But that does not reflect the reality. I understand, but you

:55:05.:55:08.

do not see this as a change of course? I see it as a continuation

:55:09.:55:15.

of what we have been trying to do to promote business and attract foreign

:55:16.:55:18.

investors, and it is working. We are doing clearly better. The level of

:55:19.:55:26.

unemployment is still high, but it has been continually decreasing

:55:27.:55:28.

since we got in power. Unemployment has gone up. Since we arrived in

:55:29.:55:43.

power, little by little, we are decreasing it. You are decreasing

:55:44.:55:51.

the rate of increase. But will it help M Hollande's popularity that he

:55:52.:55:57.

now seems to have indulged in the time-honoured French President's

:55:58.:56:01.

tradition of having a mistress? This sounds very French, doesn't it?

:56:02.:56:07.

Except that this time we know, Mitterrand managed to hide them

:56:08.:56:14.

away. It is difficult to do that with Twitter! We also have a

:56:15.:56:20.

different tradition, which is, we want to respect privacy. I notice

:56:21.:56:28.

that his criticism was not that it is not true, it was, you have

:56:29.:56:36.

invaded my privacy. I remember when Palmerston, at the age of 60 odd,

:56:37.:56:42.

did it in this country, the Tories wanted to cover it up because it

:56:43.:56:48.

would make him more popular. Thanks for joining us. Next, the most

:56:49.:56:57.

efficient round-up of the week's news, in only 62 seconds. Much of

:56:58.:57:02.

southern Britain was underwater, as there was yet more heavy range

:57:03.:57:08.

effort but the Tory MP Penny Morden will be getting even wetter. She is

:57:09.:57:13.

going to star in a TV diving show. Boris Johnson made a splash on the

:57:14.:57:17.

airwaves again, this time knocking Nick Clegg. He has that very

:57:18.:57:24.

important ceremonial function as David Cameron's lapdog come

:57:25.:57:30.

protection device. There was less knock-about in the Commons, as PMQs

:57:31.:57:36.

went all proper, following Ed Miliband's concerns that it was

:57:37.:57:40.

getting too rowdy. One Labour MP called for an end to slogans like

:57:41.:57:45.

these. I would say the big society is an enormous opportunity.

:57:46.:57:50.

Christmas is a distant memory, but some reckon Scrooge is still hanging

:57:51.:57:55.

around, as the Chancellor announced another ?25 billion of cuts, much of

:57:56.:57:59.

it in welfare. 2014 is the year of hard truths.

:58:00.:58:05.

The year of hard truths, who writes that stuff?! Give me a thought, what

:58:06.:58:11.

is going to happen this year that will surprise us? I hope that there

:58:12.:58:16.

will be a lot about young people. We heard about housing benefit getting

:58:17.:58:21.

taken away from the under-25s. I do not see if you are under 30 watts

:58:22.:58:25.

any of the big parties can offer you. The older people tend to own

:58:26.:58:29.

their houses. That is one thing I would like to see more of. For you?

:58:30.:58:36.

Scottish referendum, that is going to be big. European elections in

:58:37.:58:41.

May. But I think the overarching thing will be the decoupling of the

:58:42.:58:45.

coalition. Interesting, you heard it here first! That is it for today. I

:58:46.:58:50.

will be back with The Sunday Politics on BBC One, on Sunday, at

:58:51.:58:53.

11 o'clock. Until then, have a good weekend.

:58:54.:58:58.

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