14/03/2017 Daily Politics


14/03/2017

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LineFromTo

Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics.

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The question is that the motion be agreed to. As many of that of the

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opinion site content. Not content? The bill that gives Theresa May

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the power to trigger Brexit passed its final Parliamentary

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hurdles last night. How will the Prime Minister

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wield that power and how Scotland's First Minister Nicola

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Sturgeon has called for a fresh referendum on Scottish Independence

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- but will Theresa May stop it happening before

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Brexit is completed? Last week's budget confirmed plans

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for a sharp increase in probate fees Some Tory MPs are calling

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it a "stealth tax". Is another rebellion

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brewing for the Chancellor? Well, at least I don't have to worry

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about her running off All that in the next hour

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and with us for the whole of the programme today

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the comedy impresario, founder of "The Stand" comedy clubs,

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turned SNP MP, Tommy Sheppard. So we're expecting

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the "European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill"

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to pass into law today. Last night parliament had,

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what turned out to be, its final opportunity to debate and vote

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on the bill. Here are some of the contributions

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from MPs in the Commons. Over the last five weeks,

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we have seen Parliament at its best. Honourable and Right Honourable

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members and peers have spoken with passion,

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sincerity and conviction. However, I was disappointed

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that the House of Lords This bill is just the next step

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in a long, democratic process surrounding our exit

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from the European Union. Are we prepared to use one set

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of people, those that are here, as a bargaining chip to get

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the right set of... Parliament will find

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a way to have a say, whether a deal is reached

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or whether no deal is reached. If he recognised that,

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would he agree with me that it would be better if the Government

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officially recognise that position As I said last week,

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because it is unnecessary. When a minister gives an undertaking

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at this dispatch box in this House, If we pass this today,

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we are passing this Government a blank cheque, a blank cheque

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on one of the most crucial issues that this parliament has ever

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discussed and one that will have an impact on each

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and every one of us and each The simple truth is this,

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deal or no deal, vote or no vote, positive vote or negative vote,

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this process is irreversible, we are leaving the EU and that's

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what the people want. Stubbornness can be

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a sign of suspicion Rejecting the rightful conventional

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role of the House of Commons and the Other Place to apply

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democratic accountability to the actions and decisions

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of the Executive can be a sign I shall vote against all

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of the amendments... ..on the simple basis that this bill

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has one purpose and one purpose only and it's to give legal effect

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to the decision of the people Any amendments which go beyond that

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are inappropriate for that bill. However, I would like to say

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to the Secretary of State that I look to him to give the firm

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assurances that he stop and that the first priority will be

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the rights of EU citizens. Some of the debate in the commons

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last night ending with MPs rejecting the two Lords' amendments

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passed by peers last week. So the Bill then went back to

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the Lords who had their final say. This evening is really not the time

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nor the place to return to the fray and insert terms and conditions

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to our negotiating condition, still less to force the Government

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to make a unilateral move as regards the status of EU

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nationals in the UK. We will also campaign for an early

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resolution to the plight of those caught up in a legal Neverland not

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of their making, and we will continue to press the Government

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to move on this and to provide Albeit maybe by other,

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perhaps I should say imaginative, It is a very dangerous step

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towards the doctrine that the people's will

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must always prevail. My Lords, this is the doctrine

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which has always been favoured by Hitler, by Mussolini,

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by Stalin, by Erdogan It is denial of the

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essence of democracy. I hope the noble Lords

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of all parties and none will, on this occasion, pay attention

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to their conscience rather than their party whip and join us

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in the division lobby. For the Liberal Democrats

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to press this matter is, in Parliamentary terms,

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I say nothing about any other consideration,

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but in Parliamentary terms, it is a completely

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pointless gesture. They have voted, content

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is 135, not contents 274. They have voted, contents

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135, not contents 274. Peers rejecting an attempt

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to re-introduce an amendment which would have protected

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the rights of EU Nationals Now Theresa May is due to trigger

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Article 50 by the END of the month. END "In capitals", as the Number Ten

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spokesman said yesterday. European Council president

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Donald Tusk has said he would need just 48 hours to respond to the UK

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with "draft guidelines Tusk has also said an extraordinary

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meeting of the EU27, that's all the EU countries

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minus Britain, will take place in April, or possibly May,

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where European leaders will decide a guideline for the

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negotiating mandate. Only once the mandate is agreed will

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the official negotiations begin, probably sometime in June or July,

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with citizen's rights and the Brexit divorce bill likely

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to be top priorities. Meanwhile in the UK the government

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must jump some domestic hurdles A 'great repeal bill' to revoke

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the European Communities Act 1972 and incorporate EU law into domestic

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law wherever possible, is expected Reports this morning suggests

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government departments have reportedly requested a further 13

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bills to cover areas that they believe some changes

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cannot be wrapped in under the great repeal bill, including

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on immigration, agriculture, Back in Brussels both sides need

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to reach an agreement by October 2018, leaving enough time for the UK

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and European Parliaments to sign off If parliaments don't agree

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on the deal, or if the negotiating teams reach a stalemate

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on the continent there is a chance that the UK

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could crash out of the EU. We're joined now by the Conservative

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MP, Theresa Villiers. Welcome pack to the Daily Politics.

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What price do you think the British public should accept for the

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so-called divorce settlement Bill? The commission is saying 60 billion

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pounds. What price would be acceptable? I don't think we will be

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legally obliged to pay anything. There may be a case to make some

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payments in relation to programmes we might want to take part in like

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some of the scientific programmes and the Justice. But this is the

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divorce settlement in terms of pensions and deficit payments, what

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price do you think will be acceptable. There is no doubt the

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chief negotiator is going to accept nothing? Arguably, they probably owe

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us about 9 billion in relation to the European investment bank. We

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need to be pragmatic and open to compromise. I don't believe paying

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significant sums into the EU budget on an ongoing basis is defensible.

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We need to see those big payments come to a halt. You are talking

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about an ongoing basis looking to the future. The commission have a

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stronger bargaining hand, the UK will need a divorce settlement in

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order for the negotiation on trade to go ahead of the future

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relationship between the UK and the EU can be decided. Let's park on

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going payments, but look at what you would be happy to pay just to

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extract the UK from the EU before negotiating trade relationship?

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Normally when you leave the club, you don't pay a charge in relation

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to its assets or liabilities. We could have an argument with them

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that there are significant asset we are owed apart. I wouldn't be

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comfortable with paying any significant sum on departure from

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the EU. Do you agree, we shouldn't have to pay anything at all, in fact

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they owe us some money? On the 23rd of June, there was nothing in the

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ballot paper to say what the vote meant and nine months later we still

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haven't got the first clue as to what Brexit means. The government

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has refused every attempt to define what the post Brexit arrangements

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should be and it is going into this, I don't know what. If it thinks it

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is going to get a better trading relationship with the European Union

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for less money than it costs at the minute, it is kidding itself. It is

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pie in the sky and it will not happen. Do you agree we are no

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clearer now than we were on the 23rd of June that what Brexit would look

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like? I think we are much clearer now, it is clear we will be leaving

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the single market because that is only how we regain control of making

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our own laws and controlling our borders. We want an independent

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sovereign working with its European partners. It is not clear that

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leaving the single market is a disaster for the European kingdom.

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But we do now know the government would like to leave the single

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market and probably the same for the customs union, perhaps with some

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exemptions? That is a clear position, you may not agree with it.

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Even though that wasn't put before the people on the 23rd of June last

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year. Many people campaigning to leave the EU said explicitly it did

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not mean leaving the single market. But now there is a hard, right wing

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extreme interpretation of what Brexit means. The only body that

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stands between the government and that interpretation is Parliament.

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Parliament has been dismissed at every attempt it has made to qualify

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it, it has been voted down. I agreed with Nick Clegg, it is a sign of

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government weakness and not strength. I don't think the

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government knows where it is going and what the outcome will be. It is

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true to say Parliament is being sidelined in so far as having any

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meaningful vote. The voter will be on the deal put before them if there

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is one, or no Deal at all. Between the period of now, that being put to

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Parliament, there will be no role for Parliament in changing the

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course of Brexit? There will be a huge role for Parliament with the

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repeal bill. They different votes on different things? What Parliament

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will have the opportunity to do is make our own decisions on huge areas

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of policy because they were out of bounds before. These are the issues

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our constituents care about. For the first time, we will regain control

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over animal welfare rules, we may want to pass tougher rules than the

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EU would permit it. Is that why you wanted to leave the EU so you cook

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pasta for rules on animal welfare? It was part of why I wanted to leave

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because I think it is in our interest to take decisions in our

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own laws and our own Parliament on issues like animal welfare, where we

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in this country care very greatly about these things. What other areas

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are you interested in changing and, once EU law is changed to UK law,

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there will be a process of deciding which one you want to keep, which

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one will you get rid of? We need to reform the way agriculture is

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regulated and the way we support farmers. We need to continue those

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financial payments. In the EU, they have come with absolutely huge

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amounts of regulation, some of which hasn't been helpful at all. I think

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we need to reform the way we look at farming in this country.

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How would you feel about the UK crashing out, to use the term, of

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the EU without a deal? It would be a disaster, which is why, and I know

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we are discussing it later, we have come to the view in Scotland we need

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to go back to the Scottish people and ask their view. To take

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agriculture and fishery, some people in Scotland voted to leave the

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European Union, a big majority didn't, but some did because they

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believe somehow it would return control of Scottish agriculture and

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Scottish fisheries to Scotland. Despite many attempts to press the

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British government for a commitment, none has been given and there is now

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a suspicion that what it means is repatriation of powers from Brussels

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will mean they go to Westminster, rather than

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Scotland. This is an opportunity for decentralisation, I accept. Brexit

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could be that. You would think by now they would have published a raft

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of proposals of what new powers will be going to the Scottish Parliament

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as a result of Brexit. So, yesterday, Nicola Sturgeon told

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a press conference that, with the UK on the verge of Brexit,

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she wants a second referendum on Scottish independence to take

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place before the spring of 2019 - and she'll ask the

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Scottish Parliament A new poll would need the approval

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of MPs in Westminster too and therefore the support

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of the Government. Let's talk to our political

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correspondent, John Pienaar. What is the Prime Minister going to

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do next, John? At the moment, it feels a bit like one of those tens

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showdowns in a spaghetti western, you know there was a gunfight coming

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but no one seems in any hurry to draw. Nicola Sturgeon once a

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referendum, but not yet, she wants to have a clearer view of Britain's

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future outside European Union. Theresa May will look at this

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referendum but in her own good time. It was very clear from the

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statements put out yesterday by Number Ten that they see a

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referendum, if there has to be one, as best coming after Britain leaves

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the European Union and in that way, presenting the Scottish voter with

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the more, as they see it, an attractive choice of leaving the

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United Kingdom at the same time as going away from the European Union.

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Will Theresa May make our plans plainer? You would imagine but when,

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after the Scottish Parliament take their decision to push that the

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referendum. Because the SNP will argue that if they are blocked in

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any way, or if Westminster is seen to be blocking a second independence

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referendum, if the Scottish Parliament passes it through, that

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will pile up votes for independence. That will be the calculation.

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Theresa May, as the Prime Minister here at the Westminster Parliament,

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clearly know she has the constitutional, the legal by hand,

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you need Parliament here to agree to the referendum but the politics is

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more complicated than that and if Theresa May doesn't know that, she

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only has to ask David Cameron. He didn't want a referendum but the

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political reality was there had to be one. It is difficult to stand

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against the will of the Scottish parliament and politically

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impossible to stand against the will of the Scottish people in the weight

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of opinion is for a referendum. That is not the case yet so we are still

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in the position of tugging and pulling Scottish opinion, along tug

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of war starting now, to shift the balance in favour of a referendum

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and subsequently, if you are Nicola Sturgeon, to tilt those opinion

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polls are you have a better chance of winning the referendum itself.

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by the Scottish Labour Leader, Kezia Dugdale.

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Welcome to the Daily Politics. Nicola Sturgeon said yesterday that

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one of the reasons she is calling this referendum is the collapse of

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the Labour Party and the prospect of the Conservatives rule in Scotland

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from Westminster until 2030. So do the current Labour leaders like you

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and Jeremy Corbyn have to take some responsibility for the fact that

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Scotland their faces the possibility of another referendum? It is

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laughable that the idea of Nicola Sturgeon was scrambling around for

:18:45.:18:47.

reasons for another referendum. This is all she wanted, it is what her

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political life has been about. I understand there are people who are

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angry at the Tories, angry at Brexit and think there is justification for

:18:55.:18:57.

another independence referendum but what I would us people to focus on

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is the sheer harsh economic realities of the case for

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independence. There is no doubt that the case for independence, the

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economic case, is weaker now than it was two and a half years ago. And it

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was just two and a half years ago that we revisited this question, we

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talked about it for two and a half years, 85% of the population voted

:19:19.:19:23.

and they voted no largely because of those economic arguments around

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currency. That hasn't changed and if anything, it has got worse. You only

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have to look at the oil price for evidence. If the situation has got

:19:31.:19:34.

but much worse in the way you describe, economically, why did

:19:35.:19:38.

Jeremy Corbyn describe a second referendum on independence as

:19:39.:19:41.

absolutely fine? He says he has been misreported but we can listen to

:19:42.:19:43.

exactly what he did say. Well, a referendum is held and it's

:19:44.:19:45.

absolutely fine, it should be held. I don't think it's the job

:19:46.:19:48.

of Westminster or the Labour Party to prevent people holding

:19:49.:19:51.

a referendum. I do think we should set it

:19:52.:19:52.

in the context of the economic relationship with the rest

:19:53.:19:56.

of the UK, and the question of evolution of EU powers to English

:19:57.:19:59.

regions and to Scotland. What did you think when you have

:20:00.:20:16.

bad? I thought it was quite clumsy with his language, he would accept

:20:17.:20:19.

that insult but the reality is that later that day, he issued a very

:20:20.:20:22.

clear and strong statement to say not only was he opposed a second

:20:23.:20:27.

independence referendum but he was opposed to independence itself. When

:20:28.:20:30.

it comes to vote in the Scottish Parliament next Tuesday, Scottish

:20:31.:20:33.

Labour MSP is will do what the manifesto said we will do and oppose

:20:34.:20:38.

that referendum. But the reality is, the SNP and green votes mean that

:20:39.:20:41.

that is going to go through. When we look at the UK wide vote and the

:20:42.:20:48.

process around the section 30 order, it is Ruth Davison, leader of the

:20:49.:20:51.

Scottish Tories, who has been advising Theresa May for months that

:20:52.:20:54.

she shouldn't do anything to frustrate or block a second

:20:55.:20:57.

referendum. That is exactly what Jeremy was saying at the weekend and

:20:58.:21:01.

what I said several months ago. It is clumsy to say absolutely fine but

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let's be clear, Jeremy Corbyn is firmly against independence and the

:21:07.:21:09.

reason is he recognises it would mean terrible austerities in

:21:10.:21:14.

Scotland. We have Tory austerities at the moment but the gap between

:21:15.:21:18.

what Scotland races in its taxes and spend some public services will be a

:21:19.:21:23.

deficit of ?15 billion, that is less money for schools and hospitals and

:21:24.:21:25.

you will never see Jeremy Corbyn advocate that. Do you agree with

:21:26.:21:29.

Nicola Sturgeon that it would be wrong for the UK Parliament to block

:21:30.:21:33.

this referendum from happening altogether? I said several months

:21:34.:21:36.

ago that I don't think it is right for Westminster to frustrate the

:21:37.:21:40.

process. That doesn't mean that I can't be angry that we are being

:21:41.:21:43.

dragged back to a debate that many Scots want to leave behind. We are

:21:44.:21:48.

so divided as a nation, it was an incredibly divisive experience to

:21:49.:21:51.

add a half years ago and we are about to go through it all over

:21:52.:21:55.

again. It is not what the vast majority want, that is the evidence

:21:56.:21:59.

in the opinion polls. You can look at voting intentions and say it is

:22:00.:22:03.

quite close between the leave and remain sides but if you ask Scott if

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they want to go through this again, time and again you see a majority

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opposed to that. So you will be joining hands with Ruth Davison, the

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leader of the Conservative Party, and also Theresa May, because you

:22:15.:22:19.

all agree you shouldn't block this referendum from happening

:22:20.:22:21.

altogether, you can't change the vote in the Scottish parliament,

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there will be a boat and at Westminster again that you won't

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want to block going ahead, C must be joining forces with the

:22:32.:22:33.

Conservatives to put for the prounion case. I will put forward a

:22:34.:22:38.

very strong Labour case as to why we should remain part of the United

:22:39.:22:40.

Kingdom and if I can offer you an example, I just mentioned that

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deficit, that 15 billion pounds less that Scotland would have less for

:22:47.:22:50.

its services. You have Tommy Sheppard in the studio, a friend of

:22:51.:22:55.

mine and we represent a similar area, he represents Craigmillar, the

:22:56.:22:58.

back of the late one of the poorest areas of Scotland and it is the

:22:59.:23:05.

false people like Tommy the constituents that we will have a

:23:06.:23:08.

better welfare system and more money for schools and hospitals when they

:23:09.:23:13.

completely failed to address the reality that the case for

:23:14.:23:15.

independence economically has fallen apart. It is a blatant lie to the

:23:16.:23:19.

poorest in Scotland and it is time Tommy started to stop pushing it.

:23:20.:23:25.

Are you lying to your constituents? Of course not. She is trying to

:23:26.:23:31.

infer that Nicola Sturgeon will call a referendum every day of the week,

:23:32.:23:35.

issue gets the chance. It is only two and a half years...

:23:36.:23:39.

Once-in-a-lifetime, once in a generation! Let me just make this

:23:40.:23:45.

point. We are not in a situation of our own making. The reason why this

:23:46.:23:48.

is on the table is not because the people who lost the referendum in

:23:49.:23:52.

2014 don't accept the result, we did, the reason it is on the table

:23:53.:23:56.

is because the people who won the referendum had changed the deal.

:23:57.:23:59.

People voted for something in 2014 which is not going to exist any

:24:00.:24:05.

more. But there was UK wide referendum on EU membership. Not me,

:24:06.:24:12.

not Kezia Dugdale, Nicola Sturgeon, but the Scottish people themselves

:24:13.:24:19.

get a change in these -- wrote in the changed circumstances... Can you

:24:20.:24:21.

answer Kezia Dugdale's question on the economics, do you accept they

:24:22.:24:24.

are worse than they were this matter the late last time around? No, I

:24:25.:24:31.

don't. The oil price has gone down but Shazier wants to depend that the

:24:32.:24:38.

-- pretended that it was predicated last time on oil and gas. What was

:24:39.:24:45.

the SNP case? The SNP case was that there was a compelling argument for

:24:46.:24:48.

an independent Scotland to be a successful economic country and I

:24:49.:24:53.

think Kezia should look at the figures and understand them. Oil and

:24:54.:24:58.

gas would be a bonus. We are currently working, by the way, and

:24:59.:25:02.

we will come later in the year and present to people a compelling

:25:03.:25:05.

narrative as to how the economic case of Scotland stacks up. Kezia

:25:06.:25:11.

Dugdale, what do you say? I find that totally incredulous. What Tommy

:25:12.:25:15.

wasn't able to say was the white Paper was very clearly predicated on

:25:16.:25:19.

oil and for this financial year, it predicted ?11.8 billion worth of

:25:20.:25:22.

revenue coming from North Sea oil and gas. The reality is it is less

:25:23.:25:27.

than 1 billion. That is the gap in one year between what the SNP said

:25:28.:25:31.

we would get and the reality of what we would have. Tommy and I knocked

:25:32.:25:34.

the same streets and Dawson Craigmillar and he cannot possibly

:25:35.:25:38.

suggest that when he is knocking on those doors, the people behind them

:25:39.:25:41.

are asking first and foremost how we stay in the European Union, how we

:25:42.:25:45.

make sure we don't have the Euro or part of the Schengen Agreement.

:25:46.:25:47.

People want to know how they will have a better start in life, how we

:25:48.:25:51.

will eradicate the Child poverty that so many in the community he

:25:52.:25:55.

represents suffer from and he is selling alive. We will be faced with

:25:56.:26:00.

a ?15 billion deficit and he cannot escape that fact -- selling a lie.

:26:01.:26:05.

Just briefly before you go, you say the Westminster Parliament shouldn't

:26:06.:26:08.

block a second independence referendum going ahead. Should

:26:09.:26:12.

Theresa May block the timing, being before the Brexit negotiations are

:26:13.:26:17.

complete? That is very difficult to answer at this stage because I

:26:18.:26:20.

listen to the First Minister very closely yesterday talk about the

:26:21.:26:23.

need for clarity. That applies as much to her as it does to the Prime

:26:24.:26:27.

Minister, so at the moment, Nicola Sturgeon is asserting that if we

:26:28.:26:30.

were to have a referendum before we leave the European Union, Scotland

:26:31.:26:35.

would be able to stay and somehow inherit the UK's membership of the

:26:36.:26:39.

European Union. I have yet to see a single scrap of evidence that that

:26:40.:26:43.

is possible. Should Theresa May stop the referendum happening before

:26:44.:26:47.

Brexit negotiations are complete? I have said clearly on this programme

:26:48.:26:51.

already I don't think it is for any Westminster politician to

:26:52.:26:55.

frustrate... So the timing should be frustrated by Theresa May. Kezia

:26:56.:26:56.

Dugdale, thank you very much. Also in Edinburgh now for us is the

:26:57.:26:57.

Conservative MSP Adam Tomkins, who is the party's Constitution

:26:58.:27:00.

Spokesman. Welcome to the Daily Politics. Good

:27:01.:27:09.

to be here, thank you. Nicola Sturgeon said yesterday the Scottish

:27:10.:27:12.

Government's mandate for another referendum is beyond doubt, that is

:27:13.:27:17.

true, isn't it? I don't think it is remotely true. Our view is there is

:27:18.:27:21.

no justification for a second independence referendum, there is no

:27:22.:27:23.

need for a second referendum and there is no mandate for it either.

:27:24.:27:28.

The SNP put some lines in their manifesto about a second

:27:29.:27:32.

independence referendum for the last Holyrood elections in May and they

:27:33.:27:36.

promptly lost their majority. They did say very clearly in their

:27:37.:27:39.

manifesto that Scotland would hold another referendum in the event of

:27:40.:27:42.

Scotland being taken out of the EU against our will. They won that

:27:43.:27:47.

election so they have a mandate. You say they won the election, they lost

:27:48.:27:53.

their majority. In 2011, Alex Salmond won an overall majority of

:27:54.:27:56.

seats in Holyrood Parliament and in 2016, Nicola Sturgeon lost that. If

:27:57.:28:04.

you are a Government that is not a majority, you have no cast-iron

:28:05.:28:07.

mandate for anything, least of all a second secession referendum.

:28:08.:28:11.

Once-in-a-lifetime, once in a generation was going to be the last

:28:12.:28:15.

independence referendum. You lost the overall majority, there are not

:28:16.:28:19.

clear polls indicating the majority of Scottish people consistently

:28:20.:28:21.

would like a second referendum. Where is the mandate? Adam is wrong

:28:22.:28:27.

on the question of mandate, the SNP was elected on a manifesto is that

:28:28.:28:32.

said in circumstances such as these, we would have a second referendum or

:28:33.:28:38.

put opposition to the Scottish parliament. The SNP was elected with

:28:39.:28:45.

47% of the constituency vote, and increased vote share, and an

:28:46.:28:46.

increased number of votes and we know form a minority Government,

:28:47.:28:51.

just. There is clearly a majority position inside the Scottish

:28:52.:28:54.

parliament to have a second independence referendum unless the

:28:55.:28:58.

British Government refuses to respect the wishes of the Scottish

:28:59.:29:01.

people, differential Brexit arrangements in Scotland. This is

:29:02.:29:06.

something you and your Government has created and I think also,

:29:07.:29:11.

viewers outside Scotland ought to be aware that Adam's party the

:29:12.:29:17.

Conservatives and Kezia's party Labour combined represent about one

:29:18.:29:21.

third of the Scottish electorate. Let me put to Adam Tomkins the idea

:29:22.:29:26.

that there hasn't been any respect for the Scottish Government. On that

:29:27.:29:30.

idea of respecting the wishes of the Scottish Government and the timing

:29:31.:29:34.

of a second independence referendum, should Theresa May decide the timing

:29:35.:29:39.

of that poll? First of all on the question of respect, what has

:29:40.:29:43.

happened is the Scottish Government published a pretty complex paper in

:29:44.:29:47.

December in which it set out a variety of views about how it

:29:48.:29:53.

thought the Scottish Government thought Brexit should unfold going

:29:54.:29:56.

forward and what has happened to that paper is it has been discussed

:29:57.:30:00.

by the Prime Minister, discussed by the Cabinet, discussed by the joint

:30:01.:30:04.

ministerial committee, and, you know, the idea that Brexit is

:30:05.:30:07.

something which is being taken forward by the UK Government without

:30:08.:30:10.

involving the devolved administrations, not only in

:30:11.:30:15.

Scotland but also Wales and Northern Ireland, is simply untrue. Should

:30:16.:30:19.

Theresa May decide the timing? Should it be when the Prime Minister

:30:20.:30:24.

decides it should be, which would be after the negotiations are complete,

:30:25.:30:28.

possibly late 2019? Or should Nicola Sturgeon be allowed to choose it in

:30:29.:30:29.

the autumn of The starting point on this, there is

:30:30.:30:40.

no justification or mandate for a second independence referendum.

:30:41.:30:46.

Unless this reckless plan is endorsed, that is where things lie.

:30:47.:30:52.

What happened in the making of the 2014 referendum was there was a

:30:53.:30:55.

bilateral agreement, a formal agreement between the Scottish

:30:56.:30:58.

Government and the UK Government that agreed a number of the

:30:59.:31:03.

parameters for the independence referendum in 2014, including the

:31:04.:31:07.

question of timing. So the lesson to draw from that, the lesson of timing

:31:08.:31:12.

should not be in the unilateral demand in either the First Minister

:31:13.:31:17.

of Scotland or the Scottish Parliament, it needs to be agreed

:31:18.:31:21.

between both governments and both parliaments if we are to have a

:31:22.:31:27.

second independence referendum. Theresa May has gone into the

:31:28.:31:31.

chamber of the House of Commons. We are expecting her to give a

:31:32.:31:36.

statement which is about last week's European Council meeting. It is also

:31:37.:31:40.

her first appearance in the Commons since the Brexit bill passed its

:31:41.:31:44.

Parliamentary stages last night. We will go over there as soon as she

:31:45.:31:48.

stands up. But Tommy Sheppard, you are trying to win this referendum on

:31:49.:31:51.

the issue of Brexit and he wanted to happen before the UK leaves the EU.

:31:52.:31:57.

But if Scotland leaves the UK, it also leaves the EU, doesn't it? It

:31:58.:32:06.

is a choice of leaving one union or leaving Jo unions? We are trying to

:32:07.:32:09.

win this referendum on the question of respect. Adam is wrong in his

:32:10.:32:17.

description. You are holding a referendum on the issue of respect?

:32:18.:32:24.

We were told if we voted to stay with the European Union, we were

:32:25.:32:32.

told we would be part of the EU. A document was published called

:32:33.:32:35.

Scotland's place in Europe. It was produced by a government that

:32:36.:32:38.

believes in an independent Scotland and believes it should be part of

:32:39.:32:41.

the European Union, which argued for neither. A respected the Brexit

:32:42.:32:48.

decision. My question is, do you accept, if the referendum... Can I

:32:49.:32:56.

just be clear, in your mind if you hold a referendum before the Brexit

:32:57.:33:00.

negotiations are complete, you would be taking Scotland out of the UK,

:33:01.:33:06.

out of the union, but you would also be, in effect, leaving the EU.

:33:07.:33:11.

Nobody in the EU has said Scotland could remain part of the EU wants

:33:12.:33:17.

she leaves the UK? If Scotland were independent, we would want to

:33:18.:33:20.

negotiate membership of the European Union and that would involve looking

:33:21.:33:25.

at all of the arrangements. But it is crystal clear that if we wanted

:33:26.:33:28.

to do that, then we should signal our intention to do that before the

:33:29.:33:35.

Brexit negotiations are complete. Has anybody said Scotland could

:33:36.:33:39.

leave the UK and definitely stay in the EU? If you look at the range of

:33:40.:33:44.

political opinion in other European countries, you will find a different

:33:45.:33:49.

attitude than what we had in 2014. Which EU leader has said, yes, we

:33:50.:33:54.

would leave Scotland within the EU even if she leaves the UK? Quite a

:33:55.:34:05.

number. Who? A lot of politicians... Watt say does he have? I have tried

:34:06.:34:11.

to indicate the range of political opinion in Europe is changing

:34:12.:34:15.

towards this proposition. If you look at the European press this

:34:16.:34:19.

morning you will find a different description of what has just

:34:20.:34:23.

happened than you will get in the London press. Attitudes are changing

:34:24.:34:28.

and people realise in a post-Brexit scenario, the idea of an independent

:34:29.:34:32.

Scotland being part of the EU, is an attractive one. He has a point, why

:34:33.:34:37.

wouldn't the EU in the end, of course they will say no at the

:34:38.:34:41.

moment, particularly Spain because they have issues themselves are part

:34:42.:34:46.

of the country who would like to go independent, but EU leaders were

:34:47.:34:50.

also opposed the Brexit. The Scotland minus the UK would be a

:34:51.:34:56.

good thing? Yesterday the First Minister couldn't confirm an

:34:57.:35:01.

independent Scotland could seek full membership of the EU. She knows the

:35:02.:35:07.

people who voted to leave the European Union, including 400,000

:35:08.:35:12.

SNP supporters. The idea of an independent Scotland is necessary in

:35:13.:35:17.

order to preserve Scotland's current place in the European Union, which

:35:18.:35:22.

seems to be what Tommy Sheppard was just saying, is legally incorrect,

:35:23.:35:26.

it is constitutionally incoherent and is different to what his own

:35:27.:35:30.

leader and bass was saying yesterday. Would Scotland then apply

:35:31.:35:37.

to be a full member of the EU? If Scotland were independently would

:35:38.:35:41.

commence negotiations on that basis. Adopting the euro? It is important

:35:42.:35:46.

to signal we would want to do that and moving towards independence

:35:47.:35:51.

before Article 50 negotiations are complete. The longer we wait, the

:35:52.:35:56.

harder the process would be. Can I just make it clear to Adam, a lot of

:35:57.:36:01.

people in Scotland voted to leave the European Union. The vast

:36:02.:36:05.

majority voted to stay, but some voted to leave because they were

:36:06.:36:09.

concerned about the European Union and concerned over agricultural

:36:10.:36:16.

stuff and fisheries. The Reges ship an independent Scotland have with...

:36:17.:36:21.

Let's go straight over to the House of Commons today,

:36:22.:36:23.

where Theresa May is making statement - it's ostensibly

:36:24.:36:30.

The summit began by re-electing Donald Tusk as president of the

:36:31.:36:36.

European Council. I welcomed this because we have a close working

:36:37.:36:40.

relationship with him and recognise the strong contribution he has made

:36:41.:36:44.

in office. In the main business of the Council we discuss the challenge

:36:45.:36:49.

of managing mass migration, the threat from organised crime and

:36:50.:36:51.

instability in the Western Balkans, and the measures needed to boost

:36:52.:36:56.

your's growth and competitiveness which remain important to us as we

:36:57.:37:00.

build a new relationship between the EU and the self-governing global

:37:01.:37:04.

Britain. In each case, we were able to show how Britain will continue to

:37:05.:37:08.

play a leading role in Europe, long after we have left the European

:37:09.:37:13.

Union. First, on migration, I welcomed the progress in

:37:14.:37:16.

implementing the action plan we agreed at the informal EU summit

:37:17.:37:21.

last month. This included Italy strengthening asylum processes and

:37:22.:37:26.

increasing returns and Greece are working to implement the EU Turkey

:37:27.:37:31.

deal where the UK is providing additional staff to start

:37:32.:37:34.

interviewing Iraqi, Afghan and Eritrea nationals. We argued we must

:37:35.:37:39.

do more to dismantle the people smuggling rings who profit from the

:37:40.:37:47.

migrant's misery. Mr Speaker, with coordinated and committed action, we

:37:48.:37:51.

can make a distance. Last month, an operation between our national crime

:37:52.:37:55.

agency and the Hellenic Coastguard led to the arrest of 19 members of

:37:56.:38:00.

an organised immigration crime group in Greece. As I have argued, we need

:38:01.:38:05.

a managed, controlled and global approach and that is exactly what

:38:06.:38:11.

this council agreed. We need to help ensure refugees claim asylum in the

:38:12.:38:14.

first safe country they reach and help those countries support the

:38:15.:38:17.

refugees so they don't have to make the perilous journey to Europe. We

:38:18.:38:22.

need a better approach to managing economic migration, one which

:38:23.:38:25.

recognises all countries have the right to control their borders.

:38:26.:38:30.

Engaging our African partners in this global approach will be crucial

:38:31.:38:33.

and this will be an important part of the discussions at the Somalia

:38:34.:38:37.

conference, which the UK will be hosting in London in May. Turning to

:38:38.:38:43.

the deteriorating situation in the Western Balkans, I made clear, my

:38:44.:38:47.

concerns about the risks this presents to the region and our wider

:38:48.:38:51.

collective security. Organised criminals and criminals are ready to

:38:52.:38:55.

exploit these vulnerabilities and we are seeing brazen interference by

:38:56.:39:02.

Russia and others. In light of the Montenegrin coup plot, I called on

:39:03.:39:07.

the council to do more to counter destabilising Russian campaigns and

:39:08.:39:11.

raise the visibility of the Western commitment to this region. The UK

:39:12.:39:15.

will lead the way. The Foreign Secretary will be visiting Russia in

:39:16.:39:19.

the coming weeks, where I expect him to set out our concerns about

:39:20.:39:23.

reports of Russian interference in the affairs of the government of

:39:24.:39:29.

Montenegro. We will provide strategic communications expertise

:39:30.:39:32.

to the EU institutions to counter this information campaigns in the

:39:33.:39:37.

region, and we will host the 2018 Western Balkans summit and in the

:39:38.:39:40.

run-up to that summit, we will enhance our security cooperation

:39:41.:39:46.

with Western Balkan partners on serious and organised crime,

:39:47.:39:51.

anti-corruption and cyber security. More broadly, I re-emphasised the

:39:52.:39:54.

importance the UK places are Nato as the bedrock of our collective

:39:55.:40:00.

defence. And I urged other member states to start investing more in

:40:01.:40:04.

line with Nato's target, so every country plays its part in sharing

:40:05.:40:10.

the burden. It is only by investing properly in our defence, we can

:40:11.:40:14.

ensure we are properly equipped to keep our people say. Turning to

:40:15.:40:18.

growth and competitiveness, I want to build a new relationship with the

:40:19.:40:26.

EU that will give our company is the maximum freedom to trade with and

:40:27.:40:29.

operate in the European market and allow European businesses to do the

:40:30.:40:32.

same here. So successful and competitive European market in the

:40:33.:40:35.

future will remain in our national interest. At this council I call for

:40:36.:40:40.

further steps to complete the single market and the digital single

:40:41.:40:52.

market. I also welcomed... I also welcomed the completion of the free

:40:53.:40:58.

trade agreement between the EU and Canada and pressed for an agreement

:40:59.:41:02.

with Japan in the coming months. For these agreements... Yes, these

:41:03.:41:14.

agreements will lay the foundation for our continued trading

:41:15.:41:16.

relationships with these countries as we leave the EU. At the same

:41:17.:41:25.

time, we will also seize the opportunity to forge our own trade

:41:26.:41:29.

deals and reach out beyond the borders of Europe to build

:41:30.:41:33.

relationships with old friends and new allies alike. This weekend

:41:34.:41:37.

renounced a two-day conference with the largest delegation to visit the

:41:38.:41:42.

UK, building on the ?5 billion of trade we already do with Qatar every

:41:43.:41:47.

year. We will also strengthen the unique and proud global

:41:48.:41:50.

relationships we have forged with the diverse and vibrant alliance of

:41:51.:41:54.

the Commonwealth, which is celebrated on Commonwealth Day

:41:55.:41:59.

yesterday. Finally, last night the bill on Article 50 successfully

:42:00.:42:02.

completed its passage through both houses are unchanged. It will now

:42:03.:42:08.

proceed to Royal assent in the coming days, so we remain on track

:42:09.:42:13.

with the timetable I set out six months ago. I will return to this

:42:14.:42:16.

House before the end of this month to notify when I have formally

:42:17.:42:21.

triggered Article 50 and begun the process through which the United

:42:22.:42:24.

Kingdom will leave the European Union. This will be a defining

:42:25.:42:28.

moment for our country, as we begin to forge a new relationship with

:42:29.:42:32.

Europe and a new role for ourselves in the world. We will be a strong,

:42:33.:42:39.

self-governing, global Britain with control once again over our borders

:42:40.:42:44.

and our laws. We will use this moment of opportunity to build a

:42:45.:42:48.

stronger economy and a fairer society, so we secure both the right

:42:49.:42:52.

deal for Britain and abroad and a better deal for ordinary working

:42:53.:42:59.

people at home. And, Mr Speaker, the new relationship with the EU that we

:43:00.:43:04.

negotiate, will work for the whole of the United Kingdom. That is why

:43:05.:43:08.

we have been working closely with the devolved administrations...

:43:09.:43:21.

Including the Scottish Government, listening to their proposals and

:43:22.:43:25.

recognising the many areas of common ground we have, such as protecting

:43:26.:43:31.

workers' rights and our security from crime and terrorism. So this is

:43:32.:43:35.

not a moment to play politics or create uncertainty... It is a moment

:43:36.:43:46.

to bring our country together, to honour the will of the British

:43:47.:43:51.

people and to shape for them, are better, brighter future and a better

:43:52.:43:55.

Britain and I commend this statement to the House. Jeremy Corbyn. I would

:43:56.:44:04.

like to thank the Prime Minister for an advanced copy of this statement.

:44:05.:44:10.

The passing into law of the EU notification of withdrawal act marks

:44:11.:44:14.

an historic step. Later this month, the triggering of Article 50, a

:44:15.:44:19.

process that will ship this country's future. There is no doubt,

:44:20.:44:23.

that if the wrong decisions are made, we will pay the price for

:44:24.:44:29.

decades to come. So, now more than ever, Britain needs an inclusive

:44:30.:44:33.

government that listens and acts accordingly. However, all the signs

:44:34.:44:41.

are we have a complacent government, complacent with our economy,

:44:42.:44:44.

complacent with people's writes and complacent about the future of this

:44:45.:44:50.

country. I urged the Prime Minister to listen to the collective wisdom

:44:51.:44:55.

of this Parliament and to give this House the full opportunity to

:44:56.:45:01.

scrutinise the Article 50 deal with meaningful vote. The people's

:45:02.:45:15.

representative... and if we are to protect jobs and living standards

:45:16.:45:21.

and the future prosperity of this country... The Government needs to

:45:22.:45:26.

secure tariff free access to the European single market. The Prime

:45:27.:45:31.

Minister has already made the threat to our negotiating partners to turn

:45:32.:45:35.

Britain into a deregulated tax haven. Is that what she means by

:45:36.:45:39.

global Britain? When the Foreign Secretary says no deal with the EU

:45:40.:45:46.

would be perfectly OK, it simply isn't good enough. And far from

:45:47.:45:53.

taking back control, leaving Britain to World Trade Organisation rules

:45:54.:45:58.

would mean losing control, jobs and, frankly, losing out. So when the

:45:59.:46:01.

Prime Minister says a bad deal is better than no deal, led the be

:46:02.:46:10.

clear, no deal is a bad deal. -- let me be clear. Such a complacent

:46:11.:46:14.

strategy would punish business, hit jobs and devastate public services

:46:15.:46:21.

on which people rely. The Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn they're

:46:22.:46:25.

responding to Theresa May, the Prime Minister, who has reported back to

:46:26.:46:28.

the House of Commons on her EU summit last week. She also

:46:29.:46:32.

underlined the fact that the EU notification of withdrawal bill,

:46:33.:46:37.

which passed through both houses of Parliament last night, will get the

:46:38.:46:39.

royal assent, in other words passed into law in the coming days and at

:46:40.:46:44.

that point, she will then fired the starting gun on starting two years

:46:45.:46:48.

of negotiations. In other words, she will trigger Article 50, certainly

:46:49.:46:51.

before the end of the month, which was the deadline she set herself.

:46:52.:46:53.

Tucked into the Budget documents last week was confirmation

:46:54.:46:55.

that the Government is pushing ahead with planned rises to the cost

:46:56.:46:58.

of applying for probate - the legal process of giving

:46:59.:47:00.

authority to distribute someone's estate after their death.

:47:01.:47:03.

But the sizable increases have caused an outcry amongst

:47:04.:47:06.

Conservative backbenchers, who labelled the changes

:47:07.:47:08.

a "stealth tax" during last week's Budget debates.

:47:09.:47:11.

Probate fees are currently capped at ?215 for estates worth over

:47:12.:47:16.

?5,000, unless there is no property involved.

:47:17.:47:20.

That is paid to the Probate Registry.

:47:21.:47:24.

But from May, a sliding scale of fees is being introduced,

:47:25.:47:27.

starting at ?300 for estates worth between ?50,000-?300,000.

:47:28.:47:35.

And rising to ?20,000 for estates worth over ?2million.

:47:36.:47:40.

And rising to ?20,000 for estates worth over ?2 million.

:47:41.:47:42.

Budget documents estimate that the changes will raise

:47:43.:47:44.

I'm joined now by the former Minister of State for Pensions,

:47:45.:47:51.

Is this a stealth tax, in your mind? It is a stealth tax and a death tax,

:47:52.:48:02.

they have rolled the two into one. The death tax was originally put

:48:03.:48:08.

forward, suggested under Gordon Brown's Government but criticised by

:48:09.:48:11.

the Conservatives at the time. We have had a number of death tax is

:48:12.:48:14.

being proposed, particularly to raise money for example the social

:48:15.:48:18.

care. Suddenly we are finding that this one has been snuck in by the

:48:19.:48:22.

back door and there is no question that this is a tax revenue raising

:48:23.:48:26.

measure, because the Ministry of Justice has said that the probate

:48:27.:48:32.

registry is self funding, so the current fees cover the costs of

:48:33.:48:36.

finding probate. What they are trying to do is raise an extra ?300

:48:37.:48:41.

million to subsidise other parts of the court system. The Government

:48:42.:48:45.

argues that this sliding scale makes payments fairer and no state will

:48:46.:48:49.

pay more than 1% of its value. Why isn't that better? -- no estate. We

:48:50.:48:57.

only fixed the costs of probate in 2015 and suddenly we are coming

:48:58.:49:00.

along with this massive increase in taxes. Who gets the massive increase

:49:01.:49:07.

in taxes? 58% of all estates in England and Wales will pay nothing.

:49:08.:49:12.

Yes, that those who do pay and particularly people in the

:49:13.:49:15.

south-east, who have any kind of property, if you have any property

:49:16.:49:19.

there you will have do face this potential tax, but in terms of the

:49:20.:49:27.

way it works, with probate, you have to pay the money upfront. So if you

:49:28.:49:31.

have an executor of your well, maybe a friend or someone who isn't a

:49:32.:49:35.

beneficiary of the will, they will have to find money in their own

:49:36.:49:39.

pocket to pay perhaps ?20,000 before they can release the assets. So if

:49:40.:49:45.

you haven't got cash, if you have got property and shares in your

:49:46.:49:49.

estate, and a lot of people do, where is the money going to come

:49:50.:49:53.

from? Choosing those sort of increases are there? They are very

:49:54.:49:58.

high, admittedly, on the better of Estates, do you think it is fair?

:49:59.:50:02.

They don't apply in Scotland but personally I don't have a problem

:50:03.:50:06.

with it. I think the people really clobbered by it will be people with

:50:07.:50:10.

estates more than ?1 million and those are the very people who will

:50:11.:50:14.

benefit from George Osborne's changes to inheritance tax, which

:50:15.:50:18.

made the 26,000 richest households in the country even richer. So I am

:50:19.:50:21.

guessing the Government is doing this as a way to compensate the

:50:22.:50:25.

difficult as it will have by not getting inheritance tax it had

:50:26.:50:29.

planned for. I think if we are going to do something like this, it should

:50:30.:50:33.

be done fairly and properly. The sudden Draconian increases in the

:50:34.:50:37.

level of tax, and from a practical perspective, expecting executors to

:50:38.:50:43.

find the money when there is no money to use, they may have to take

:50:44.:50:47.

out a personal loan or they can't get the probate. Jee think there

:50:48.:50:52.

will be a backlash? I suspect so, to maybe phase it in. I think it makes

:50:53.:50:58.

sense to have some kind of tax on estates but it has to be done

:50:59.:51:02.

fairly, with proper consultation. 97% of people who responded to this

:51:03.:51:08.

consultation were against it. We did ask the Ministry of Justice for an

:51:09.:51:11.

interview that no minister was available.

:51:12.:51:13.

Now, our guest of the day Tommy Sheppard is almost as famous

:51:14.:51:16.

for being a politician as he is for founding The Stand

:51:17.:51:18.

comedy clubs in Edinburgh, Glasgow and Newcastle.

:51:19.:51:20.

But has the impresario recognised any comic talent on the benches

:51:21.:51:23.

Let's have a look at some of his political colleagues

:51:24.:51:26.

attempting to make us laugh, starting with Tony Blair making

:51:27.:51:29.

light of his wife Cherie's spat with Gordon Brown.

:51:30.:51:31.

And - just by way of warning - there's some flash photography.

:51:32.:51:34.

Well, at least I don't have to worry

:51:35.:51:49.

about her running off with the bloke next door.

:51:50.:51:51.

The Shadow Chancellor literally stood at the dispatch box and read

:51:52.:52:00.

Oh, look, it's his personal signed copy.

:52:01.:52:16.

The problem is, half the Shadow Cabinet have been

:52:17.:52:18.

If you are a passionate Yes Campaigner, by definition

:52:19.:52:25.

therefore you are also very intelligent, in my view...

:52:26.:52:27.

I am the Minister of State for Children and Families

:52:28.:52:32.

Now that's a bit of a mouthful, but I want to assure you that

:52:33.:52:37.

however much he begs, neither Lynne Featherstone

:52:38.:52:39.

or myself will let George Osborne call us Louise.

:52:40.:52:45.

Do you know, you guys are really slow.

:52:46.:52:54.

His Shadow Chancellor was asked on the television,

:52:55.:53:02.

could he think of one single business leader?

:53:03.:53:05.

Do you know what he said, Mr Speaker?

:53:06.:53:09.

Mr Speaker, Bill somebody is not a person, "bill

:53:10.:53:15.

We are producing more varieties of cheese than the French.

:53:16.:53:22.

"My Government will make it easier for people

:53:23.:53:43.

It must be the first instance of something being put

:53:44.:53:57.

in the Queen's Speech entirely as a joke.

:53:58.:54:01.

But if he's finding it so difficult,

:54:02.:54:05.

Why doesn't he split the job of Mayor of London?

:54:06.:54:09.

The former Health Secretary can run as his day mayor

:54:10.:54:11.

and the Honourable Member for Brent East

:54:12.:54:13.

I'm joined now in the studio by Gyles Brandreth,

:54:14.:54:25.

who has spent time on the green benches as a Conservative MP,

:54:26.:54:28.

but is now more likely to be found in the green room of a TV studio.

:54:29.:54:35.

Or indeed at the stand in Edinburgh, where I go quite regularly. To

:54:36.:54:44.

perform, or to watch? To perform. You allow him to perform? Of course,

:54:45.:54:52.

we have Eddie is next week. William Hague is there one of the

:54:53.:54:56.

highest-paid speakers on the circuit because Hezbollah. David Cameron two

:54:57.:55:00.

is still very amusing. I came across the other day and asked him the all

:55:01.:55:04.

that has been happening whether he sleeps at night out and he replied,

:55:05.:55:10.

immediately, "Yes, I sleep like a baby. Every hour, I wake up crying

:55:11.:55:14.

mummy, mummy!" Maybe shouldn't have shared that. You should definitely

:55:15.:55:21.

share everything. It works when it is well timed and when it rings a

:55:22.:55:27.

bell. Vince Cable's wonderful line to Gordon Brown, within three days

:55:28.:55:30.

he has gone from Stalin to Mr Bean was a joy to listen to. Why did that

:55:31.:55:36.

work? Because it was of the moment and it rang true. When it feels

:55:37.:55:40.

real, it works. But you have to realise why these guys do it in

:55:41.:55:45.

Parliament. It is on to appeal to us viewers. It is to boost the morale

:55:46.:55:48.

within the House, to show you are confident and competent. What

:55:49.:55:53.

happens when it falls flat and the jokes don't work? It is awful, that

:55:54.:56:00.

moment, the Tumbleweed moment. I had one, almost the first question I

:56:01.:56:03.

asked, I was set up for it by the whips. The whips give what they

:56:04.:56:08.

think of funny questions to obliging backbench MPs and the present Brexit

:56:09.:56:13.

secretary, David Davis, who was a very frightening person in those

:56:14.:56:16.

days in the whips office, I nicknamed him DD of the SS, he gave

:56:17.:56:20.

me this question which I duly performed and it died on its feet, I

:56:21.:56:26.

died on my feet. It is terrifying. Better not to do it than to get it

:56:27.:56:29.

wrong. Theresa May this morning could have, there was a moment when

:56:30.:56:34.

she should have done a put down to the opposition and she chose not to

:56:35.:56:37.

because she isn't very good at them. She couldn't think of them. She's

:56:38.:56:43.

not... How do you find the chamber parliament, is it a funny place? I

:56:44.:56:49.

don't been funny strange. I have never once tried to make a joke. Why

:56:50.:56:56.

not? You are the comedian. No, I hire comedians to entertain other

:56:57.:56:59.

people. One reason I do that is because I have never been any good

:57:00.:57:04.

jokes. I think when it works it can be brilliant but when it is forced

:57:05.:57:07.

and scripted, quite often it falls flat. If people are doing it

:57:08.:57:11.

off-the-cuff and in an improvised way, it can work and be of the

:57:12.:57:16.

moment. It is risky and I think Mrs May is wise to pull back. She has

:57:17.:57:20.

made jokes, one unfortunate one at the expense of an MP named Mr bone

:57:21.:57:26.

that didn't quite come off. I think people are trying to be funny and

:57:27.:57:30.

usually they end up not being. What about the Tony Blair joke about not

:57:31.:57:33.

running off with the bloke next door. It was forced. Did you not

:57:34.:57:40.

think it was funny? Speaking I thought it was funny. It rang true.

:57:41.:57:46.

And it is a matter of confidence of doing it, as sometimes Theresa May

:57:47.:57:52.

get away with somewhat lame lines, because the people behind wanted to

:57:53.:57:57.

work. Is it about timing? You saw that in the clips. It is also about

:57:58.:58:03.

perspective. I have been rereading the speeches of George W. Bush, who

:58:04.:58:07.

I thought was appalling. Why are you reading them? While I was very

:58:08.:58:15.

interested in a man who said, the French don't have a word for

:58:16.:58:20.

entrepreneur. In retrospect, Bush was Cicero combined with Martin

:58:21.:58:22.

Luther King and a touch of Jack Benny. What a concoction. But a

:58:23.:58:30.

great time for satire. Indeed, and thankfully, satire is coming back in

:58:31.:58:33.

a big way, which is good entertainment. Is Nicola Sturgeon

:58:34.:58:38.

good jokes? I don't think she's a natural comedian, she takes itself

:58:39.:58:42.

seriously. Ruth Davidson is stronger on the jokes. I am not good on the

:58:43.:58:46.

jokes but will say goodbye at this point, thank you to the guests. The

:58:47.:58:51.

one o'clock News is starting on BBC One and I will be back tomorrow for

:58:52.:58:52.

Prime Minister's Questions. Goodbye. It took us once to get through

:58:53.:59:08.

the novel Anna Karenina. It was used to help my friend

:59:09.:59:13.

with depression,

:59:14.:59:17.

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