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Burma's campaigners. Now it is time for HARDtalk. | :00:10. | :00:17. | |
Three years ago, Iceland was on its knees. A tiny nation ruined by | :00:17. | :00:22. | |
financial hubris. Today its economy is growing again, anger and despair | :00:22. | :00:28. | |
are now tempered by tentative signs of recovery. But there is a problem. | :00:29. | :00:32. | |
Iceland has not paid the bill for the financial havoc caused by its | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
risk-addicted banks. My guest today is Iceland's finance minister, | :00:37. | :00:42. | |
Steingrimur Sigfusson. If Iceland is serious about seeking EU | :00:42. | :00:47. | |
membership, isn't it time to get serious about meeting its | :00:47. | :00:57. | |
:00:57. | :01:13. | ||
Steingrimur Sigfusson, in Reykjavik, welcome to HARDtalk. Good morning. | :01:14. | :01:17. | |
My first question for you, I referred to the meltdown in Iceland | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
three years ago, what is the state of the economy today? Are you still | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
in intensive care are ought -- for our new recovering? We're | :01:26. | :01:31. | |
definitely recovering and making a lot of progress. We successfully | :01:31. | :01:35. | |
completed the IMF standby arrangement programme this end of | :01:35. | :01:39. | |
August. We re-entered the international capital markets in | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
the June and successfully issued $1 billion. There are many signs both | :01:43. | :01:49. | |
internally and also externally proving that Iceland has come a | :01:49. | :01:54. | |
long way since October 2008. But of course the problems are not over. | :01:54. | :02:00. | |
We're not out of the woods entirely. This has not come without sacrifice | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
and cost to the Icelandic population. We will talk about | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
sacrifice and cost in a moment but sticking with the notion that you | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
have staged a remarkable recovery. You have got growth expected it of | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
2.5% this year. Many people in the EU would regard that as a triumph | :02:20. | :02:26. | |
right now. It is that contrast with the EU that I am interested in. You | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
in Iceland have taken decisions over the past three years that | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
would have been impossible inside the EU. Do you think that there is | :02:32. | :02:39. | |
a lesson there? You are right. In terms of having our own currency | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
that has devalued and created a very handsome, competitive | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
advantage for our exports and competitive industries. That is one | :02:48. | :02:55. | |
factor. Also through these the economy adapted very quickly to | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
changed circumstances. We also ran a rather UN traditional programme | :02:59. | :03:06. | |
with the IMF and did it our own way. It's we are protected our message | :03:06. | :03:13. | |
in such a way to bring the as line -- the Icelandic society as softly | :03:13. | :03:20. | |
as possible through this. We are a Nordic society after all and we | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
want to prove that. In many ways it has helped Iceland to be small, | :03:24. | :03:29. | |
independent. After all, it is quicker to turn a small boat around | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
then a big ship. And to have our own tools and beans to work | :03:33. | :03:39. | |
ourselves out of this. It has made a difference. Some would say that | :03:39. | :03:43. | |
it has helped being small and adaptable, but it has also helped | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
in a way, being irresponsible. Unlike a country like Ireland, | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
which saw an obligation as a state to take on the terrible debts of | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
his private banks, Iceland took a very different view and said to the | :03:56. | :04:03. | |
banks, you go past, we will not bail you out. This had nothing to | :04:03. | :04:08. | |
do with irresponsibility. The fact of the matter was the banks were | :04:08. | :04:13. | |
far to cook -- fight to beat for the small economy of ice plant to | :04:13. | :04:19. | |
even attempt to rescue them. -- the economy of Iceland. It was not a | :04:19. | :04:25. | |
matter of free choice. It was simply like this. The banks, with | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
extensive international operations, and with a balance sheet about ten | :04:29. | :04:33. | |
times the economy of Iceland, it was totally impossible that we | :04:33. | :04:38. | |
could have rescued them. It was real irresponsibility of the | :04:38. | :04:43. | |
political class of a whole, of which you are a part, to let that | :04:43. | :04:49. | |
happen in the first place. You were living in a fantasy land. We did a | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
lot of mistakes in the year leading up to the collapse of the banks. We | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
have looked that in the eye. We have looked in the mirror. We had a | :04:58. | :05:00. | |
very thorough investigation launched by the parliament that | :05:00. | :05:05. | |
showed us the weaknesses, the mistakes that were done in the | :05:05. | :05:10. | |
years before. I am not saying that we are not, that we do not carry | :05:10. | :05:14. | |
responsibility. But when it comes to the banks, Iceland did not have | :05:14. | :05:20. | |
a choice. We had to do something along the lines that we dig in | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
October 2008 when we pulled the emergency law in place to avoid a | :05:23. | :05:31. | |
total meltdown of the Icelandic economy. It would not have helped | :05:31. | :05:36. | |
anybody if Iceland had completely fallen apart. The rescue operation | :05:36. | :05:41. | |
since October 2008 at the end of the day will also benefit those who | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
had lent Iceland Bunny. objected to my use of the word, | :05:46. | :05:52. | |
irresponsibility. But if you do not mind I will stick with that word. | :05:52. | :05:55. | |
You have received as a nation over the last three years billions and | :05:55. | :06:03. | |
billions of dollars in support from the IMF, the EU, the Nordic | :06:03. | :06:10. | |
countries, the UK, the Netherlands and Germany. As a result your | :06:10. | :06:15. | |
economy is showing signs of improvement. But as the economy | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
improves, you do not appear to be prepared to assume the | :06:20. | :06:25. | |
responsibilities to those people who Iceland still owes money to. | :06:25. | :06:31. | |
must correct you. We have not got a single penny from the EU. On the | :06:31. | :06:38. | |
contrary. Individual member states of the EU have given money, or at | :06:38. | :06:43. | |
least financial guarantees. It is like this. We entered the IMF | :06:43. | :06:48. | |
programme and got some funding from them, and then the Nordic countries, | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
and Poland and the Faroe Islands contributed to financing the | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
programme. Nobody has given us anything. These are loans we will | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
fully repay. When it comes to the dispute between the ice land, the | :07:00. | :07:09. | |
UK and the Netherlands, that has been a difficult case. It's but | :07:09. | :07:17. | |
what we did in October 2008 through the emergency law was to safeguard | :07:17. | :07:24. | |
the depositors of failed banks as much as possible. We made the | :07:24. | :07:30. | |
deposits the priority. The good news is that the economy -- the | :07:30. | :07:36. | |
recovery is improving. The least as -- the latest figures are 100%. It | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
is almost certain that in the coming years the whole principle | :07:41. | :07:51. | |
:07:51. | :07:52. | ||
amount will be repaid. That is not the point. There has been a report | :07:52. | :08:02. | |
:08:02. | :08:03. | ||
from the surveillance Authority. The point ears, the rules down you | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
to pay 20,000 euros compensation to any depositor who lost money in an | :08:07. | :08:13. | |
Icelandic bank. You did not do that. It fell to the British and | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
Netherlands governments because you would not do it. The EU now bio | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
millions of dollars, billions I should say, to the UK and | :08:21. | :08:31. | |
:08:31. | :08:33. | ||
Netherlands, but you are refusing to say it -- to pay. It is like | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
this. We were not in the position. The bank failed and it could not | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
pay out. We were not in the position immediately after to pay | :08:42. | :08:48. | |
out that money. The UK and the Netherlands authorities decided to | :08:48. | :08:56. | |
do so themselves. They calm things down. We have all the time being | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
willing to try to negotiate to try to find a solution to this. But we | :09:00. | :09:05. | |
have pointed out that nowhere in this directive or anywhere in the | :09:05. | :09:09. | |
European regulations does it state that there is a state guarantee | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
behind this. That legal dispute has been at the core of this all the | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
time. But the rulings have gone against you. They have looked at | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
this carefully. You objected. The most recent ruling from the | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
ultimate surveillance Authority is that you were wrong and they had | :09:25. | :09:33. | |
given you three months to meet your obligations. Will you do it? | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
disagree with the surveillance Authority. Now the case rests with | :09:37. | :09:42. | |
them. But as I say, the good news is that payments will start soon | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
and the principal amount will be recovered from the bank. You do not | :09:48. | :09:54. | |
know that. You cannot be quite sure what the assets are and you cannot | :09:54. | :09:59. | |
be quite sure whether they will meet the real, huge numbers that | :09:59. | :10:04. | |
you owed to the UK and the Netherlands. And indeed to town | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
councils to the UK who are crying out for finance, and they have many | :10:09. | :10:12. | |
millions of dollars locked in Icelandic accounts which are now | :10:12. | :10:22. | |
:10:22. | :10:27. | ||
been collected and the outlook is good. We are optimistic that the | :10:27. | :10:36. | |
recovery will be 100%. The deposits are the main priority. By making | :10:36. | :10:40. | |
them priority claims, we safeguarded the depositors, | :10:40. | :10:45. | |
including the British communities and charities, including what the | :10:45. | :10:53. | |
UK and Netherlands authorities paid out, including the top pops. In all | :10:53. | :10:58. | |
fairness, this should be looked at as well. Without getting too | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
technical, you cannot even guarantee that they will be | :11:01. | :11:06. | |
priority creditors, because other creditors are now looking at that | :11:06. | :11:13. | |
pile of money that the bank will eventually have to pay back and | :11:13. | :11:18. | |
saying, why give priority to the depositors and councils and | :11:18. | :11:23. | |
charities? They want a piece of it. You cannot be sure that they will | :11:23. | :11:28. | |
not win their legal argument. are right. We will get a court | :11:28. | :11:33. | |
ruling on this any day now. All we are optimistic that it will for our | :11:33. | :11:38. | |
way. The District Court of Reykjavik will confirm the validity | :11:38. | :11:42. | |
of this law. But I would like to mention there is another side to | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
this. If we're going deeply into the contact between the UK and | :11:46. | :11:53. | |
Iceland, the actions taken against us in the UK in October 2008 were | :11:53. | :11:58. | |
very harmful for ice land. They froze out assets using anti- | :11:58. | :12:04. | |
terrorism law. We have just got a report showing what this cost the | :12:04. | :12:10. | |
general Icelandic businesses -- businesses. It's there potential | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
trade was broken. They suffered a loss of reputation. The figures | :12:15. | :12:25. | |
:12:25. | :12:26. | ||
amount to something something -- to something like $5 billion. I am | :12:26. | :12:34. | |
speaking both about... With respect, should not the Icelandic people as | :12:34. | :12:41. | |
a halt realise that they hacked to take a huge hit because of the | :12:41. | :12:46. | |
collective responsibility -- irresponsibility that believed it | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
could become a major player in international banker. Every single | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
person in your country had to pay a price for that. Yes. And there is | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
not much fairness in that. The ordinary people in Iceland and | :12:58. | :13:04. | |
guilty of nothing in this respect. But you are right. The leaders, in | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
banking, in businesses, they carry a huge responsibility for the | :13:07. | :13:13. | |
things that happened in Iceland. I am not trying to blame anybody else. | :13:13. | :13:18. | |
We must face the fact that we carry the main responsibility. I was | :13:18. | :13:22. | |
Leader of the Opposition in the years leading up to this. I tried | :13:22. | :13:27. | |
to warn and criticise but there were very few of us and we were not | :13:27. | :13:33. | |
much listened to. I want to stop you there. We will get two more of | :13:33. | :13:38. | |
your political thoughts in a minute. Let's focus on the immediate future | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
and the European Union. You have said that you do not recognise the | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
rules which the surveillance Authority has imposed on you when | :13:47. | :13:50. | |
it comes to paying back the debt. You say you do not recognise those | :13:50. | :13:54. | |
rules. In that context, how on earth can Iceland proceed with an | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
EU membership application when you are not even agreeing to be bound | :13:58. | :14:08. | |
:14:08. | :14:09. | ||
by the rules of the EU economic space that you currently reside in? | :14:09. | :14:11. | |
It is a disagreement about interpretation. The courts will | :14:11. | :14:18. | |
sort that out. It's that is not the first time in the world's history | :14:18. | :14:27. | |
that you disagree on interpretation Iceland is trying to convince the | :14:27. | :14:31. | |
European Union that you want membership. You need to dig a | :14:31. | :14:35. | |
little bit deeper into the Icelandic psyche. You do you want | :14:35. | :14:39. | |
to be members of the European Union at all. He wanted a bit of short- | :14:39. | :14:43. | |
term protection. You decided to appeal to the European Union for | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
membership. Now that things have gotten better people have decided | :14:48. | :14:56. | |
that they have a lot of very sticky Rolls. -- roles. The question of | :14:56. | :15:02. | |
membership has always been a very controversial one. It has nothing | :15:02. | :15:07. | |
to do with how we stand economically for the time being. It | :15:07. | :15:15. | |
will always be a very controversial case for Iceland. This is because | :15:15. | :15:21. | |
of our vital interest in the agricultural and officially sectors. | :15:21. | :15:28. | |
-- fisheries. Once you have a clear interpretation that is not disputed, | :15:28. | :15:35. | |
no-one is talking about anything else. There is a dispute. That | :15:35. | :15:42. | |
needs to be sorted out. No way in the directors' does it stand that | :15:42. | :15:52. | |
:15:52. | :15:53. | ||
there is a state guarantee behind the deposits. You explained that. | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
You try to tell me that is simply a technical difference. The European | :15:58. | :16:02. | |
Union application will go ahead. But just get down to the nitty- | :16:02. | :16:12. | |
:16:12. | :16:13. | ||
gritty. You personally believe it would be a mistake, don't you? | :16:13. | :16:22. | |
My party do not think it will be beneficial for Iceland to join. | :16:22. | :16:27. | |
That would be at the Oreste donation. This question has to be | :16:27. | :16:33. | |
solved. Havel future relations between the Iceland and the | :16:33. | :16:43. | |
:16:43. | :16:43. | ||
European Union be and in what form? We are members of the market but | :16:43. | :16:53. | |
:16:53. | :16:54. | ||
not a full member. So we can have our Fisheries and agricultural. | :16:54. | :17:03. | |
us go to the reasons for membership. Many believe it the idea isn't | :17:03. | :17:13. | |
:17:13. | :17:15. | ||
saying. -- is insane. You're talking about radical reform of the | :17:15. | :17:21. | |
banking system. You would have to play by the EU's rules. You get to | :17:21. | :17:26. | |
fisheries. 200 mile fishing limit. Exclusive rights within that zone. | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
A massively successful fishing industry. That would go to. Why | :17:31. | :17:41. | |
:17:41. | :17:43. | ||
would anyone in your country want to be in the EU? We are part of the | :17:43. | :17:52. | |
inner markets. We look at a lot of rules and regulations. We are | :17:52. | :17:59. | |
integrated in many ways. We have to make a decision on whether to go or | :17:59. | :18:05. | |
become a full member. The European Union is our biggest market. 70% of | :18:05. | :18:12. | |
our exports go to Europe. We are a European nation. How we build up | :18:12. | :18:18. | |
our contact with Europe is an important issue that we need to | :18:18. | :18:22. | |
work through. You signed up to a government which officially wanted | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
to join the European Union, not because he believed in it but | :18:25. | :18:33. | |
because he wanted a senior person Cabinet. It was pure politics. You | :18:33. | :18:39. | |
do not believe in this at all. decided to put it to Parliament, | :18:39. | :18:46. | |
whether there was a majority in parliament to apply. We were fully | :18:46. | :18:51. | |
committed to that process. At the end of the day it is up to the | :18:51. | :18:55. | |
Icelandic people to decide. That is the democratic way to settle their | :18:55. | :18:59. | |
question like that. Maybe I am misreading them. The poll suggests | :18:59. | :19:05. | |
that at least 60% of Icelanders have said that they do not want to | :19:05. | :19:13. | |
be in the European Union. You are right. There is strong opposition. | :19:13. | :19:19. | |
This is a controversial case. There was always bound to be so. No doubt | :19:19. | :19:24. | |
some of the recent events in Europe and in how contact with Europe have | :19:24. | :19:33. | |
not helped support membership. I am referring to the problems that the | :19:33. | :19:42. | |
euro is facing. I think that at the end of the day it, how successful | :19:42. | :19:49. | |
the euro is it will solve this problem. Why is the mood in your | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
country so sour, but in many ways you can argue that you dodge table | :19:53. | :20:02. | |
at? -- dodged a table at. Your economy is recovering. Yet the | :20:02. | :20:11. | |
public mood is angry and the sour. Why? That is a good question. This | :20:11. | :20:17. | |
was a major shock to Iceland. We thought we were very rich. The | :20:17. | :20:22. | |
standard of living was going up. We had a big party in Iceland after | :20:22. | :20:31. | |
the millennium. It was a big shock. We woke up one morning and if our | :20:31. | :20:35. | |
Prime Minister was on TV telling us that the country might become | :20:35. | :20:45. | |
:20:45. | :20:45. | ||
bankrupt. It was a big change. A lot of people were hurt. A lot of | :20:45. | :20:51. | |
innocent people that carried no responsibility, living in the house | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
and trying to deal with their finances were taking a hit. | :20:55. | :21:00. | |
keeps saying these people bear no responsibility. Is that a | :21:00. | :21:04. | |
indication that you believe it is right to push ahead with the legal | :21:04. | :21:09. | |
proceedings against the former Prime Minister, who we had in the | :21:09. | :21:13. | |
show a year or two ago and hundreds of other people, bankers, | :21:13. | :21:17. | |
politicians, civil servants who appear to be under investigation. | :21:17. | :21:27. | |
Do you personally want to see individuals put behind bars? That | :21:27. | :21:31. | |
would be according to our laws and constitution. That is the only way | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
to sort things like that out. We have to stick to the law. I'm just | :21:36. | :21:41. | |
asking a more philosophical point. Do believe it is important to get | :21:41. | :21:46. | |
rid of this sour mood, this anger in Reykjavik and Iceland, to see | :21:46. | :21:54. | |
people punished and may be imprisoned? It needs to be done. I | :21:54. | :21:58. | |
do not Lockett as a sacrifice a punishment to make people at ease | :21:58. | :22:04. | |
with things. We need to as a society work through this by | :22:04. | :22:08. | |
getting his things behind us and are focusing on the future. It will | :22:09. | :22:17. | |
take time. It was a big psychological, political shock. As | :22:17. | :22:21. | |
I analyse the situation today, our economy is definitely improving and | :22:21. | :22:28. | |
recovering. Economic way, things a looking better and better. The | :22:28. | :22:35. | |
problem that stands today is perhaps 25% economic all but 75% | :22:35. | :22:42. | |
psychological. I will quote you the words of a political scientist who | :22:42. | :22:47. | |
has been looking at the truth committee you have had. He says | :22:47. | :22:52. | |
that what we have learned is that in Iceland we have had a mix of be, | :22:52. | :22:57. | |
greed, incompetence -- incompetence, nationalism, youthful risk-taking | :22:57. | :23:00. | |
and a kind of collective superiority complex. The truth is | :23:00. | :23:08. | |
that we in Iceland lost sight of their roots and our values. There | :23:08. | :23:18. | |
is a lot of truth in that. We as a people have to honestly face that. | :23:18. | :23:24. | |
We went off track. Completely of track in many ways. It is not just | :23:24. | :23:30. | |
a question of responsibility. We as a people also need to look this in | :23:30. | :23:38. | |
the eye. That does not mean that the ordinary people are responsible. | :23:38. | :23:45. | |
But many joined in. Even the media, and the bigger parliamentary | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
investigation expenses for a while. How was this dealt with? We have to | :23:48. | :23:58. | |
:23:58. | :23:58. | ||
follow the law. We have to shoulder that responsibility. Not just | :23:58. | :24:03. | |
because we want to punish them but because that is how power law and | :24:03. | :24:11. | |
constitution works. We need to join a forces. We have not made a lot of | :24:11. | :24:20. |