Yiannis Milios - economic advisor of the Syriza Party, Greece HARDtalk


Yiannis Milios - economic advisor of the Syriza Party, Greece

Similar Content

Browse content similar to Yiannis Milios - economic advisor of the Syriza Party, Greece. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

the latest European treaty. That is a summary of the headlines.

:00:02.:00:12.

That's it from me. Now it is time for HARDtalk.

:00:12.:00:17.

The people of Greece shocked much of Europe by their parliamentary

:00:17.:00:23.

elections on May 6th when they gave no party the clear majority. The

:00:23.:00:30.

radical Left was left in second place. My guest opposes the

:00:30.:00:38.

memorandum which gives Greece the austerity package. My guess is a

:00:38.:00:47.

top economic adviser. The question is do they believe they can stay in

:00:47.:00:57.
:00:57.:01:21.

the eurozone while tearing up the Welcome to HARDtalk. Hello.

:01:21.:01:27.

Professor, do you like being in the euro? Yes. We say that we would

:01:28.:01:32.

like to continues to be part of the Monetary Union of the eurozone. We

:01:33.:01:39.

also believe that our policies will stabilise the eurozone. They will

:01:39.:01:48.

not pursue -- pursue it to disaster. So you will miss it when you have

:01:48.:01:58.
:01:58.:02:00.

to leave? We would not like to leave because we now face, as a

:02:00.:02:06.

country, and insoluble equation. We would have to pay 110 billion euros

:02:06.:02:13.

in taxes until the year 2020. We would have to balance the budget

:02:13.:02:20.

and we have to create funds to boost growth. This is an insoluble

:02:20.:02:26.

equation because posterity makes things worse and worse. --

:02:26.:02:34.

austerity. The Greek debt is a barrel without a bottom. It is not

:02:34.:02:38.

possible for the citizens of Europe to continue to put money into this

:02:38.:02:44.

part. We would like to stop this. There are many economists who would

:02:44.:02:48.

agree with your analysis of the problem that you are in a position

:02:48.:02:53.

which is impossible, but they think you're solution means inevitably

:02:53.:03:03.

you would have to leave. They say you must warn people responsibly,

:03:03.:03:08.

not only telling them about the debt but also the road on the exit

:03:08.:03:15.

of the river. You are on your way out? That man is a former member

:03:15.:03:24.

and a former president of the coalition. Now we are a party...

:03:24.:03:28.

But the point is there are people all over Europe who think that

:03:28.:03:32.

maybe you should get out of the euro and then you can solve this

:03:32.:03:39.

impossible problem. I give this option zero probability. If one

:03:39.:03:42.

country least the euro then the eurozone would stop being a

:03:42.:03:51.

monetary union. It would be a fixed exchange rate area. Then one

:03:51.:03:58.

country after another would follow the exit path. The re-evaluation of

:03:58.:04:06.

the financial risk of the Italian, Portuguese and Spanish debt would

:04:06.:04:10.

lead to double digits and this would be the end of the eurozone.

:04:10.:04:16.

Is that not blackmail? You are saying if you do not do what we are

:04:16.:04:21.

saying been the eurozone would collapse. I think it is a form of

:04:21.:04:31.
:04:31.:04:31.

blackmail in this. The forces that want to continue with the austerity

:04:31.:04:36.

half, and I mean all over Europe, use this argument that either we

:04:36.:04:42.

have to comply with the austerity or leave the eurozone. But the

:04:42.:04:47.

meaning of the European Union is more democracy, not the

:04:47.:04:53.

blackmailing of people, but we have no choice. They have to follow the

:04:53.:04:59.

same policy forever. I am confident the leaders of the European Union

:04:59.:05:05.

will realise that the people of any country have the right to choose an

:05:05.:05:14.

alternative policy. Indeed. Indeed. But the other 400 million people in

:05:14.:05:17.

the eurozone have the right to say we are not going to give you any

:05:17.:05:22.

more money unless you obey the rules. A German Interior Minister

:05:22.:05:29.

says that anyone who wants to see hull must show a certain amount of

:05:29.:05:32.

reasonableness. David Cameron has said the people of Greece have a

:05:32.:05:37.

choice, to stick with the commitments or two vote to leave.

:05:37.:05:41.

So everybody has a choice, including the eurozone members to

:05:41.:05:49.

think you are doing the wrong thing. I think the situation is more

:05:49.:05:54.

complicated. We do not have Greece on the one hand and all the other

:05:54.:06:02.

Europeans on the other. We have different policies in all parts of

:06:02.:06:06.

Europe and different parties, trade unions and so on which oppose these

:06:06.:06:12.

policies. What we are saying is that we want to discuss with our

:06:12.:06:17.

partners alternative policies about another architect of the eurozone.

:06:17.:06:26.

We have a lot of voices, all over Europe, for example the leader of

:06:26.:06:31.

an institute who said that it is not possible to consider the one

:06:31.:06:37.

policy as the only option. That is the austerity policy. We have to

:06:37.:06:43.

find a way out. This is also what the interior minister said himself.

:06:43.:06:49.

Yes, OK. We have to open the discussion. You are talking in a

:06:49.:06:54.

reasonable way about it seeing where we can go but another MP says

:06:55.:06:59.

the abolition of the memorandum is a non negotiable and you are not

:06:59.:07:07.

going to accept austerity. I have to explain this. We have to say

:07:07.:07:11.

that austerity is not negotiable. Those are the by-laws which brought

:07:11.:07:18.

the tensions which have destroyed the welfare state. They are going

:07:18.:07:24.

to put more taxes on the poor. This is not negotiable, this has to stop

:07:24.:07:30.

for some on the other hand, the Central Bank of Greece is also the

:07:30.:07:35.

central bank of the other 16 eurozone members. We have to

:07:35.:07:42.

discuss with the European central bank the other countries in the EU

:07:42.:07:46.

and the eurozone have to find a solution about the dead. We think

:07:46.:07:56.
:07:56.:07:58.

the way the German debt was regulated and was put on growth in

:07:58.:08:04.

1953 is a good basis to start discussions. Everybody understands

:08:04.:08:09.

that Greece is hurtling. Everybody has sympathy for Greece. -- is

:08:09.:08:14.

hurting. But you are talking about a guaranteed income, medical care,

:08:14.:08:23.

social protection, the 80 reduction, - you do not have the money -- VAT

:08:23.:08:29.

reduction. We realise how difficult the situation is. We have said that

:08:29.:08:35.

first of all, we must stop with austerity. No more cuts. Then we

:08:35.:08:42.

can have growth by having a moratorium on a tax paying for some

:08:42.:08:50.

years, if we agree with our partners and see growth again, we

:08:50.:08:56.

have to see, from below and going up, an increase in pensions and

:08:56.:09:03.

salaries and so on the people who suffered very large cuts during the

:09:03.:09:09.

last three years. Just to be clear, that means you will not pay any of

:09:09.:09:14.

the debt that you owe from the start because you cannot do it

:09:14.:09:18.

following the policies you have just set out? We say we have to

:09:18.:09:28.
:09:28.:09:28.

discuss a moratorium on paying the taxes for five years and then to

:09:28.:09:35.

find a solution in paying those debts on the basis of a common

:09:35.:09:44.

agreement, which will contain the level of interest paid and the debt

:09:44.:09:48.

of a early payment. And also a possible haircut on some part of

:09:49.:09:55.

the dead. This is a solution which would be beneficial to both sides.

:09:55.:10:04.

If we cannot pay the debt as it is now, if the debt is a barrel

:10:04.:10:09.

without a bottom, this is not good for both sides. But as you know the

:10:09.:10:18.

lenders, and the German Foreign Minister, has said that if Greece

:10:18.:10:22.

ends the process than I cannot see that the money can be paid out. So

:10:23.:10:29.

you are not going to get the money? With this agreement with the German

:10:29.:10:34.

leaders, we strongly believe that Europe and the eurozone is not only

:10:34.:10:39.

them. But they have the money. They are the people with the money and

:10:39.:10:42.

the Interior Minister has said we are not prepared to pour money into

:10:42.:10:49.

a bottomless pit. That is how he sees Greece, as a bottomless pit.

:10:49.:10:54.

We are a community of 17 countries. We say we have to find a solution

:10:54.:11:03.

which is beneficial to all sides. We have seen that in France. What

:11:03.:11:07.

Francois Hollande said during the electoral campaign and what he

:11:07.:11:11.

continues to say now is something different from what we discussed

:11:11.:11:17.

until this point. So we are confident that starting from Greece,

:11:17.:11:23.

and in other countries, for example the Netherlands, which has

:11:23.:11:27.

elections in a short time, it is not clear who the strongest party

:11:27.:11:33.

will be. Indeed. We see a wind of change all over Europe and we are

:11:33.:11:38.

confident we will find a solution that will help the majority of the

:11:38.:11:43.

Greek people. Maybe you can explain this. In your quest for money you

:11:43.:11:52.

are also talking about German World War II reparations. What is that

:11:52.:11:57.

about? This is something that started from the initiatives of

:11:57.:12:03.

many people and has to be discussed on a democratic and open a level.

:12:03.:12:13.
:12:13.:12:13.

What we are asking now is not a conflict with Germany, we are

:12:13.:12:17.

talking about a reasonable solution to the problem, which is not only a

:12:17.:12:21.

Greek problem but a European problem. You have made that

:12:21.:12:31.
:12:31.:12:32.

absolutely clear. But I am trying to figure out why, the government

:12:32.:12:37.

of Angela Merkel is not responsible for what happened in 1942 in Greece

:12:37.:12:42.

so why are you talking about what war to reparations? You think

:12:42.:12:50.

Germany owes you something? No. We say that the way the German debt

:12:50.:13:00.

was cut and renegotiated in the year 1953 is a good basis to

:13:00.:13:05.

discuss for the present Greek and European debt. That is to combine

:13:05.:13:10.

the repayment of interest with the growth of the economy. An economy

:13:10.:13:17.

which is in a recession, like the recession we now face with minus

:13:17.:13:24.

6.5%, in the year 2012, cannot repay its debt. This is clear. We

:13:24.:13:34.
:13:34.:13:39.

I know that you have said it is not just for Germany, but they

:13:39.:13:43.

effectively are the paymasters. I had just been in Germany fairly

:13:43.:13:48.

recently. The Greek problem is this, some of your richest people do not

:13:48.:13:53.

pay taxes, you do not work hard enough as a nation, you have a very

:13:53.:14:00.

bloated state, and you paid public sector wage increases of 50% which

:14:00.:14:08.

you could not afford. You have got to cut this. The actual problem is

:14:08.:14:12.

the rich people do not pay taxes. We are the only party who are

:14:12.:14:21.

saying this. We are the only party who has nothing to do with the

:14:21.:14:25.

scandals that devastated our economy and our public sector,

:14:25.:14:35.
:14:35.:14:37.

because we strongly believe there were other large corporations who

:14:37.:14:41.

paid a lot of money to politicians to take some jobs. We say that

:14:41.:14:51.
:14:51.:14:52.

another problem is we have to change the public sector,

:14:52.:14:57.

especially the Ministry of Economics, in order to be able to

:14:57.:15:02.

collect taxes, because it is not only a matter of tax coefficients,

:15:02.:15:08.

it is a matter of how effective these agencies are, and we see that

:15:08.:15:14.

according to the' economic data, Greece collects at least 5% less

:15:14.:15:24.
:15:24.:15:25.

taxes as a percentage of the GDP, compared to the European average.

:15:25.:15:29.

The poor people who should -- should not be the ones who pay

:15:29.:15:36.

taxes. So you broadly agree with a French minister who say the answer

:15:36.:15:40.

to the Greek problem is who -- is to stop living scandalously beyond

:15:40.:15:47.

its means and to pay people to do nothing. This is not a problem of

:15:47.:15:52.

the Greek people. This is a wrong way to put the problem, to put the

:15:52.:16:00.

question. It is only a specific social strata of the society which

:16:00.:16:07.

did this, and the financial elites, which were very closely

:16:07.:16:13.

interconnected with the political elite. They are the PASOK Party and

:16:14.:16:17.

the New Democracy Party, which ruled the country for decades, and

:16:17.:16:23.

created this corrupt environment, they have to go. We are here to

:16:23.:16:30.

make them go. I notice that Syriza's leader said that it told

:16:31.:16:35.

the European Union that if you sink us, we would take you down with us.

:16:35.:16:41.

That is pretty much what you think as well, isn't it? I did not

:16:41.:16:47.

understand the whole of the question. Alexis Tsipras, he said

:16:47.:16:51.

to the European Union, talking about the eurozone, if you sink us,

:16:51.:16:59.

we will take you down with us. That is blackmail. What he said is what

:16:59.:17:05.

I also said, that it is impossible according to our analysis, to have

:17:06.:17:10.

a country thrown out of the eurozone, and the eurozone continue

:17:10.:17:17.

to exist, because as I told you, and as many analysts say, this will

:17:17.:17:25.

mean a spontaneous re-evaluation of financial rates, on the side of the

:17:25.:17:31.

financial markets, and this will lead to a catastrophe, and that is

:17:31.:17:39.

to interest rate of double digits, Italian and Spanish debt, first of

:17:39.:17:44.

all, which cannot be implemented by any authority. You did explain that.

:17:44.:17:50.

But I'm trying to get to the point. Maybe that is what Alexis Tsipras

:17:50.:17:58.

said as well. He was not trying to blackmail anybody. But that is

:17:58.:18:03.

blackmail. You are describing it as a fact, and you are saying that if

:18:03.:18:09.

you throw us out, the eurozone will unravel. You may be right, but you

:18:09.:18:17.

are saying to everybody in the eurozone, into what we tell you.

:18:17.:18:21.

are saying to open the discussion because it is a crisis which

:18:21.:18:27.

threatens all of us. Not only Greece, not only Ireland or

:18:28.:18:31.

Portugal, who are under a bail out programme, but the whole of the

:18:31.:18:41.
:18:41.:18:44.

eurozone. And we have to discuss a new role for the ECB, a new role

:18:44.:18:48.

for the surplus and deficit countries, about all the problems

:18:48.:18:54.

that have prevented make this eurozone they re- vulnerable to

:18:54.:19:02.

speculation. -- very vulnerable. The worry that your party and

:19:02.:19:10.

completely Alexis Tsipras, is out of his step in this? Your

:19:10.:19:15.

government has ever been in power anywhere. -- your party. Our party

:19:15.:19:25.
:19:25.:19:27.

has never governed yet, but we have very well educated candidates who

:19:27.:19:31.

can play a very important role in the new government. We are going to

:19:31.:19:36.

depend on the people, we are going to depend on experts, and we are

:19:36.:19:42.

going to depend on ideas that come from everywhere, and we will open a

:19:42.:19:48.

discussion on a European level, and maybe beyond that, and we are

:19:48.:19:53.

confident that we will have a very effective programme which would

:19:53.:19:57.

change the course of the country, which will stop corruption, and

:19:57.:20:04.

which will boost growth again. take it you would not get on a

:20:04.:20:09.

plane if the pilot said, I have never flown before, and you are

:20:10.:20:14.

asking the Greek people to get on board with Alexis Tsipras, and he

:20:14.:20:19.

has never been in government before. The people of Greece has realised

:20:19.:20:25.

that we need a change, that the former pilot was leading deplane to

:20:25.:20:31.

hit a mountain or something like that, or to drown in the sea, and

:20:31.:20:36.

that has to change. That has to change. Things are more complicated.

:20:36.:20:44.

We are not speaking about a pilot but a whole movement, which has the

:20:44.:20:49.

experts and has the experience to change things. Alexis Tsipras also

:20:49.:20:54.

said it is a war between people and capitalism, and Greece is on the

:20:54.:21:00.

front line of that war. Is that how you see it? It is one way to

:21:00.:21:07.

describe things. In all countries, we see that these austerity

:21:07.:21:16.

policies, they benefit specific elites. The capitalist elite. On

:21:16.:21:25.

the other hand, on the other side, and we see the 99% of the

:21:25.:21:29.

population, the majority, they have interests which conflict with the

:21:30.:21:36.

interests of the elite. It is another short way to describe the

:21:36.:21:40.

situation, that all over the developed world, that is what we

:21:40.:21:45.

are living in right now. Some people listening to this will think

:21:45.:21:51.

it sounds like student politics, it is not serious. I told you, this

:21:51.:21:58.

does not describe our programme. Our programme is very specific. It

:21:58.:22:06.

speaks about social justice, a system that according to our

:22:06.:22:10.

constitution, will put the burden on the ones that have to pay,

:22:10.:22:17.

because they have evaded taxes for a decade, the ones who do not think

:22:17.:22:23.

about the right of the people all the decisions of the people, but

:22:23.:22:27.

run to move their money to speculation or outside the country,

:22:27.:22:33.

thinking only about the Prophet, and the interest of the majority of

:22:33.:22:42.

the people, which must at least decide what they want. Are you

:22:42.:22:45.

confident that you will be the biggest party after the new

:22:45.:22:52.

elections? Yes. We discuss with the people every day, we make speeches,

:22:52.:22:59.

we here the people, we let people tell us what they think, and we are

:22:59.:23:06.

confident that what has started a one year ago, on the squares of

:23:06.:23:11.

Greece, and which expressed itself on 6th May, in the previous

:23:11.:23:19.

elections, will go forward and we will be the strongest party. Do you

:23:19.:23:23.

expect this summer a lot of tourists will not come to Greece

:23:23.:23:26.

because they are worried about instability and thousands of

:23:26.:23:30.

tourists will say they are not going there. We expect exactly the

:23:30.:23:36.

opposite. We are confident that we will be able to stabilise the

:23:36.:23:41.

situation within a few months, to show to the world that now a New

:23:41.:23:47.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS