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the latest European treaty. That is a summary of the headlines. | :00:02. | :00:12. | |
That's it from me. Now it is time for HARDtalk. | :00:12. | :00:17. | |
The people of Greece shocked much of Europe by their parliamentary | :00:17. | :00:23. | |
elections on May 6th when they gave no party the clear majority. The | :00:23. | :00:30. | |
radical Left was left in second place. My guest opposes the | :00:30. | :00:38. | |
memorandum which gives Greece the austerity package. My guess is a | :00:38. | :00:47. | |
top economic adviser. The question is do they believe they can stay in | :00:47. | :00:57. | |
:00:57. | :01:21. | ||
the eurozone while tearing up the Welcome to HARDtalk. Hello. | :01:21. | :01:27. | |
Professor, do you like being in the euro? Yes. We say that we would | :01:28. | :01:32. | |
like to continues to be part of the Monetary Union of the eurozone. We | :01:33. | :01:39. | |
also believe that our policies will stabilise the eurozone. They will | :01:39. | :01:48. | |
not pursue -- pursue it to disaster. So you will miss it when you have | :01:48. | :01:58. | |
:01:58. | :02:00. | ||
to leave? We would not like to leave because we now face, as a | :02:00. | :02:06. | |
country, and insoluble equation. We would have to pay 110 billion euros | :02:06. | :02:13. | |
in taxes until the year 2020. We would have to balance the budget | :02:13. | :02:20. | |
and we have to create funds to boost growth. This is an insoluble | :02:20. | :02:26. | |
equation because posterity makes things worse and worse. -- | :02:26. | :02:34. | |
austerity. The Greek debt is a barrel without a bottom. It is not | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
possible for the citizens of Europe to continue to put money into this | :02:38. | :02:44. | |
part. We would like to stop this. There are many economists who would | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
agree with your analysis of the problem that you are in a position | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
which is impossible, but they think you're solution means inevitably | :02:53. | :03:03. | |
you would have to leave. They say you must warn people responsibly, | :03:03. | :03:08. | |
not only telling them about the debt but also the road on the exit | :03:08. | :03:15. | |
of the river. You are on your way out? That man is a former member | :03:15. | :03:24. | |
and a former president of the coalition. Now we are a party... | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
But the point is there are people all over Europe who think that | :03:28. | :03:32. | |
maybe you should get out of the euro and then you can solve this | :03:32. | :03:39. | |
impossible problem. I give this option zero probability. If one | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
country least the euro then the eurozone would stop being a | :03:42. | :03:51. | |
monetary union. It would be a fixed exchange rate area. Then one | :03:51. | :03:58. | |
country after another would follow the exit path. The re-evaluation of | :03:58. | :04:06. | |
the financial risk of the Italian, Portuguese and Spanish debt would | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
lead to double digits and this would be the end of the eurozone. | :04:10. | :04:16. | |
Is that not blackmail? You are saying if you do not do what we are | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
saying been the eurozone would collapse. I think it is a form of | :04:21. | :04:31. | |
:04:31. | :04:31. | ||
blackmail in this. The forces that want to continue with the austerity | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
half, and I mean all over Europe, use this argument that either we | :04:36. | :04:42. | |
have to comply with the austerity or leave the eurozone. But the | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
meaning of the European Union is more democracy, not the | :04:47. | :04:53. | |
blackmailing of people, but we have no choice. They have to follow the | :04:53. | :04:59. | |
same policy forever. I am confident the leaders of the European Union | :04:59. | :05:05. | |
will realise that the people of any country have the right to choose an | :05:05. | :05:14. | |
alternative policy. Indeed. Indeed. But the other 400 million people in | :05:14. | :05:17. | |
the eurozone have the right to say we are not going to give you any | :05:17. | :05:22. | |
more money unless you obey the rules. A German Interior Minister | :05:22. | :05:29. | |
says that anyone who wants to see hull must show a certain amount of | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
reasonableness. David Cameron has said the people of Greece have a | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
choice, to stick with the commitments or two vote to leave. | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
So everybody has a choice, including the eurozone members to | :05:41. | :05:49. | |
think you are doing the wrong thing. I think the situation is more | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
complicated. We do not have Greece on the one hand and all the other | :05:54. | :06:02. | |
Europeans on the other. We have different policies in all parts of | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
Europe and different parties, trade unions and so on which oppose these | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
policies. What we are saying is that we want to discuss with our | :06:12. | :06:17. | |
partners alternative policies about another architect of the eurozone. | :06:17. | :06:26. | |
We have a lot of voices, all over Europe, for example the leader of | :06:26. | :06:31. | |
an institute who said that it is not possible to consider the one | :06:31. | :06:37. | |
policy as the only option. That is the austerity policy. We have to | :06:37. | :06:43. | |
find a way out. This is also what the interior minister said himself. | :06:43. | :06:49. | |
Yes, OK. We have to open the discussion. You are talking in a | :06:49. | :06:54. | |
reasonable way about it seeing where we can go but another MP says | :06:55. | :06:59. | |
the abolition of the memorandum is a non negotiable and you are not | :06:59. | :07:07. | |
going to accept austerity. I have to explain this. We have to say | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
that austerity is not negotiable. Those are the by-laws which brought | :07:11. | :07:18. | |
the tensions which have destroyed the welfare state. They are going | :07:18. | :07:24. | |
to put more taxes on the poor. This is not negotiable, this has to stop | :07:24. | :07:30. | |
for some on the other hand, the Central Bank of Greece is also the | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
central bank of the other 16 eurozone members. We have to | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
discuss with the European central bank the other countries in the EU | :07:42. | :07:46. | |
and the eurozone have to find a solution about the dead. We think | :07:46. | :07:56. | |
:07:56. | :07:58. | ||
the way the German debt was regulated and was put on growth in | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
1953 is a good basis to start discussions. Everybody understands | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
that Greece is hurtling. Everybody has sympathy for Greece. -- is | :08:09. | :08:14. | |
hurting. But you are talking about a guaranteed income, medical care, | :08:14. | :08:23. | |
social protection, the 80 reduction, - you do not have the money -- VAT | :08:23. | :08:29. | |
reduction. We realise how difficult the situation is. We have said that | :08:29. | :08:35. | |
first of all, we must stop with austerity. No more cuts. Then we | :08:35. | :08:42. | |
can have growth by having a moratorium on a tax paying for some | :08:42. | :08:50. | |
years, if we agree with our partners and see growth again, we | :08:50. | :08:56. | |
have to see, from below and going up, an increase in pensions and | :08:56. | :09:03. | |
salaries and so on the people who suffered very large cuts during the | :09:03. | :09:09. | |
last three years. Just to be clear, that means you will not pay any of | :09:09. | :09:14. | |
the debt that you owe from the start because you cannot do it | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
following the policies you have just set out? We say we have to | :09:18. | :09:28. | |
:09:28. | :09:28. | ||
discuss a moratorium on paying the taxes for five years and then to | :09:28. | :09:35. | |
find a solution in paying those debts on the basis of a common | :09:35. | :09:44. | |
agreement, which will contain the level of interest paid and the debt | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
of a early payment. And also a possible haircut on some part of | :09:49. | :09:55. | |
the dead. This is a solution which would be beneficial to both sides. | :09:55. | :10:04. | |
If we cannot pay the debt as it is now, if the debt is a barrel | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
without a bottom, this is not good for both sides. But as you know the | :10:09. | :10:18. | |
lenders, and the German Foreign Minister, has said that if Greece | :10:18. | :10:22. | |
ends the process than I cannot see that the money can be paid out. So | :10:23. | :10:29. | |
you are not going to get the money? With this agreement with the German | :10:29. | :10:34. | |
leaders, we strongly believe that Europe and the eurozone is not only | :10:34. | :10:39. | |
them. But they have the money. They are the people with the money and | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
the Interior Minister has said we are not prepared to pour money into | :10:42. | :10:49. | |
a bottomless pit. That is how he sees Greece, as a bottomless pit. | :10:49. | :10:54. | |
We are a community of 17 countries. We say we have to find a solution | :10:54. | :11:03. | |
which is beneficial to all sides. We have seen that in France. What | :11:03. | :11:07. | |
Francois Hollande said during the electoral campaign and what he | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
continues to say now is something different from what we discussed | :11:11. | :11:17. | |
until this point. So we are confident that starting from Greece, | :11:17. | :11:23. | |
and in other countries, for example the Netherlands, which has | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
elections in a short time, it is not clear who the strongest party | :11:27. | :11:33. | |
will be. Indeed. We see a wind of change all over Europe and we are | :11:33. | :11:38. | |
confident we will find a solution that will help the majority of the | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
Greek people. Maybe you can explain this. In your quest for money you | :11:43. | :11:52. | |
are also talking about German World War II reparations. What is that | :11:52. | :11:57. | |
about? This is something that started from the initiatives of | :11:57. | :12:03. | |
many people and has to be discussed on a democratic and open a level. | :12:03. | :12:13. | |
:12:13. | :12:13. | ||
What we are asking now is not a conflict with Germany, we are | :12:13. | :12:17. | |
talking about a reasonable solution to the problem, which is not only a | :12:17. | :12:21. | |
Greek problem but a European problem. You have made that | :12:21. | :12:31. | |
:12:31. | :12:32. | ||
absolutely clear. But I am trying to figure out why, the government | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
of Angela Merkel is not responsible for what happened in 1942 in Greece | :12:37. | :12:42. | |
so why are you talking about what war to reparations? You think | :12:42. | :12:50. | |
Germany owes you something? No. We say that the way the German debt | :12:50. | :13:00. | |
was cut and renegotiated in the year 1953 is a good basis to | :13:00. | :13:05. | |
discuss for the present Greek and European debt. That is to combine | :13:05. | :13:10. | |
the repayment of interest with the growth of the economy. An economy | :13:10. | :13:17. | |
which is in a recession, like the recession we now face with minus | :13:17. | :13:24. | |
6.5%, in the year 2012, cannot repay its debt. This is clear. We | :13:24. | :13:34. | |
:13:34. | :13:39. | ||
I know that you have said it is not just for Germany, but they | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
effectively are the paymasters. I had just been in Germany fairly | :13:43. | :13:48. | |
recently. The Greek problem is this, some of your richest people do not | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
pay taxes, you do not work hard enough as a nation, you have a very | :13:53. | :14:00. | |
bloated state, and you paid public sector wage increases of 50% which | :14:00. | :14:08. | |
you could not afford. You have got to cut this. The actual problem is | :14:08. | :14:12. | |
the rich people do not pay taxes. We are the only party who are | :14:12. | :14:21. | |
saying this. We are the only party who has nothing to do with the | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
scandals that devastated our economy and our public sector, | :14:25. | :14:35. | |
:14:35. | :14:37. | ||
because we strongly believe there were other large corporations who | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
paid a lot of money to politicians to take some jobs. We say that | :14:41. | :14:51. | |
:14:51. | :14:52. | ||
another problem is we have to change the public sector, | :14:52. | :14:57. | |
especially the Ministry of Economics, in order to be able to | :14:57. | :15:02. | |
collect taxes, because it is not only a matter of tax coefficients, | :15:02. | :15:08. | |
it is a matter of how effective these agencies are, and we see that | :15:08. | :15:14. | |
according to the' economic data, Greece collects at least 5% less | :15:14. | :15:24. | |
:15:24. | :15:25. | ||
taxes as a percentage of the GDP, compared to the European average. | :15:25. | :15:29. | |
The poor people who should -- should not be the ones who pay | :15:29. | :15:36. | |
taxes. So you broadly agree with a French minister who say the answer | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
to the Greek problem is who -- is to stop living scandalously beyond | :15:40. | :15:47. | |
its means and to pay people to do nothing. This is not a problem of | :15:47. | :15:52. | |
the Greek people. This is a wrong way to put the problem, to put the | :15:52. | :16:00. | |
question. It is only a specific social strata of the society which | :16:00. | :16:07. | |
did this, and the financial elites, which were very closely | :16:07. | :16:13. | |
interconnected with the political elite. They are the PASOK Party and | :16:14. | :16:17. | |
the New Democracy Party, which ruled the country for decades, and | :16:17. | :16:23. | |
created this corrupt environment, they have to go. We are here to | :16:23. | :16:30. | |
make them go. I notice that Syriza's leader said that it told | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
the European Union that if you sink us, we would take you down with us. | :16:35. | :16:41. | |
That is pretty much what you think as well, isn't it? I did not | :16:41. | :16:47. | |
understand the whole of the question. Alexis Tsipras, he said | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
to the European Union, talking about the eurozone, if you sink us, | :16:51. | :16:59. | |
we will take you down with us. That is blackmail. What he said is what | :16:59. | :17:05. | |
I also said, that it is impossible according to our analysis, to have | :17:06. | :17:10. | |
a country thrown out of the eurozone, and the eurozone continue | :17:10. | :17:17. | |
to exist, because as I told you, and as many analysts say, this will | :17:17. | :17:25. | |
mean a spontaneous re-evaluation of financial rates, on the side of the | :17:25. | :17:31. | |
financial markets, and this will lead to a catastrophe, and that is | :17:31. | :17:39. | |
to interest rate of double digits, Italian and Spanish debt, first of | :17:39. | :17:44. | |
all, which cannot be implemented by any authority. You did explain that. | :17:44. | :17:50. | |
But I'm trying to get to the point. Maybe that is what Alexis Tsipras | :17:50. | :17:58. | |
said as well. He was not trying to blackmail anybody. But that is | :17:58. | :18:03. | |
blackmail. You are describing it as a fact, and you are saying that if | :18:03. | :18:09. | |
you throw us out, the eurozone will unravel. You may be right, but you | :18:09. | :18:17. | |
are saying to everybody in the eurozone, into what we tell you. | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
are saying to open the discussion because it is a crisis which | :18:21. | :18:27. | |
threatens all of us. Not only Greece, not only Ireland or | :18:28. | :18:31. | |
Portugal, who are under a bail out programme, but the whole of the | :18:31. | :18:41. | |
:18:41. | :18:44. | ||
eurozone. And we have to discuss a new role for the ECB, a new role | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
for the surplus and deficit countries, about all the problems | :18:48. | :18:54. | |
that have prevented make this eurozone they re- vulnerable to | :18:54. | :19:02. | |
speculation. -- very vulnerable. The worry that your party and | :19:02. | :19:10. | |
completely Alexis Tsipras, is out of his step in this? Your | :19:10. | :19:15. | |
government has ever been in power anywhere. -- your party. Our party | :19:15. | :19:25. | |
:19:25. | :19:27. | ||
has never governed yet, but we have very well educated candidates who | :19:27. | :19:31. | |
can play a very important role in the new government. We are going to | :19:31. | :19:36. | |
depend on the people, we are going to depend on experts, and we are | :19:36. | :19:42. | |
going to depend on ideas that come from everywhere, and we will open a | :19:42. | :19:48. | |
discussion on a European level, and maybe beyond that, and we are | :19:48. | :19:53. | |
confident that we will have a very effective programme which would | :19:53. | :19:57. | |
change the course of the country, which will stop corruption, and | :19:57. | :20:04. | |
which will boost growth again. take it you would not get on a | :20:04. | :20:09. | |
plane if the pilot said, I have never flown before, and you are | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
asking the Greek people to get on board with Alexis Tsipras, and he | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
has never been in government before. The people of Greece has realised | :20:19. | :20:25. | |
that we need a change, that the former pilot was leading deplane to | :20:25. | :20:31. | |
hit a mountain or something like that, or to drown in the sea, and | :20:31. | :20:36. | |
that has to change. That has to change. Things are more complicated. | :20:36. | :20:44. | |
We are not speaking about a pilot but a whole movement, which has the | :20:44. | :20:49. | |
experts and has the experience to change things. Alexis Tsipras also | :20:49. | :20:54. | |
said it is a war between people and capitalism, and Greece is on the | :20:54. | :21:00. | |
front line of that war. Is that how you see it? It is one way to | :21:00. | :21:07. | |
describe things. In all countries, we see that these austerity | :21:07. | :21:16. | |
policies, they benefit specific elites. The capitalist elite. On | :21:16. | :21:25. | |
the other hand, on the other side, and we see the 99% of the | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
population, the majority, they have interests which conflict with the | :21:30. | :21:36. | |
interests of the elite. It is another short way to describe the | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
situation, that all over the developed world, that is what we | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
are living in right now. Some people listening to this will think | :21:45. | :21:51. | |
it sounds like student politics, it is not serious. I told you, this | :21:51. | :21:58. | |
does not describe our programme. Our programme is very specific. It | :21:58. | :22:06. | |
speaks about social justice, a system that according to our | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
constitution, will put the burden on the ones that have to pay, | :22:10. | :22:17. | |
because they have evaded taxes for a decade, the ones who do not think | :22:17. | :22:23. | |
about the right of the people all the decisions of the people, but | :22:23. | :22:27. | |
run to move their money to speculation or outside the country, | :22:27. | :22:33. | |
thinking only about the Prophet, and the interest of the majority of | :22:33. | :22:42. | |
the people, which must at least decide what they want. Are you | :22:42. | :22:45. | |
confident that you will be the biggest party after the new | :22:45. | :22:52. | |
elections? Yes. We discuss with the people every day, we make speeches, | :22:52. | :22:59. | |
we here the people, we let people tell us what they think, and we are | :22:59. | :23:06. | |
confident that what has started a one year ago, on the squares of | :23:06. | :23:11. | |
Greece, and which expressed itself on 6th May, in the previous | :23:11. | :23:19. | |
elections, will go forward and we will be the strongest party. Do you | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
expect this summer a lot of tourists will not come to Greece | :23:23. | :23:26. | |
because they are worried about instability and thousands of | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
tourists will say they are not going there. We expect exactly the | :23:30. | :23:36. | |
opposite. We are confident that we will be able to stabilise the | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
situation within a few months, to show to the world that now a New | :23:41. | :23:47. |