Browse content similar to 29/07/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Tonight, the long, slow, self- inflicted mess of British tabloid | :00:08. | :00:13. | |
newspapers, from the families of murder victims allegedly hacked, to | :00:13. | :00:17. | |
the disgraced private detect yef i Glenn Mulcaire, who says he was | :00:17. | :00:21. | |
acting - detective, Glenn Mulcaire, who saves acted under instruction | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
who saves acted under instruction from News of the World. | :00:24. | :00:27. | |
Now libel payments in the Joanna Yeates case. | :00:27. | :00:31. | |
And guilty of contempt of court. Can the tabloids free themselves | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
from the cycle of decline. Apologies, sackings, investigation, | :00:36. | :00:40. | |
and further falls in circulation. We will hear from the detective | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
investigating Sarah Payne's death, and why he thinks he was hacked. We | :00:44. | :00:49. | |
will debate whether the British popular press is committing suicide. | :00:49. | :00:53. | |
The New York Stock Exchange opened today, perhaps not taking the | :00:53. | :00:57. | |
prospect of debt default completely seriously, as Congress and the | :00:57. | :01:00. | |
President continued to play chicken for control of the US economy. | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
we don't come to an agreement we could lose our country's AAA credit | :01:04. | :01:08. | |
rating. Not because we don't have the capacity to pay our bills | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
wrecks do. But because we didn't have a AAA political system to | :01:13. | :01:20. | |
match. Good evening. One of the reasons | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
the British press is so vigorous is because it is probably the most | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
competitive in the world. With more or less every newspaper seeing its | :01:26. | :01:31. | |
readership getting older, younger readers not buying papers and the | :01:31. | :01:34. | |
obvious challengers from the Internet, you might they think we | :01:34. | :01:37. | |
are now witnessing the perfect storm. Phone hacking, libel case, | :01:37. | :01:41. | |
contempt of court, and that was just today. The News of the World | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
might not be, in the end, the only tabloid to close. We will hear from | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
the detective in the Sarah Payne murder investigation in a moment | :01:48. | :01:52. | |
and debate whether the popular press has a future. | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
After yesterday's revelations, that the mother of the murdered | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
schoolgirl, Sarah Payne, had her phone hacked, by the News of the | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
World investigator, Glenn Mulcaire, today, Mulcaire himself entered the | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
fray. Hinting he might now reveal all. Responding to last night's | :02:11. | :02:16. | |
claims by the paper's then editor, Rebekah Brooks, that he had acted | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
alone in hacking Sara Payne's phone. Mulcaire didn't deny he had done | :02:20. | :02:30. | |
:02:30. | :02:43. | ||
. There has been a lot of dumping on the reputation of Glenn Mulcaire, | :02:43. | :02:46. | |
rather unably I guess, given what he has done. Let's remember he | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
served time in prison for phone hacking. He's one of the few people | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
that can actually say he's taken his medicine. His statement today | :02:53. | :02:57. | |
is clearly saying to the company, if you carry on like this, I will | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
spill the beans F Mulcaire was going to speak out, this really | :03:01. | :03:05. | |
will crack this case open. I hope he does. If that's not enough for | :03:05. | :03:10. | |
the Murdoch press, today the Sun, along with seven other papers, paid | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
unknown libel damages to Chris Jefferies, lard Lord of the | :03:15. | :03:20. | |
murdered Bristol architect, Joanna Yeates. The Mirror, were also fined | :03:20. | :03:26. | |
�50,000 for contempt of court, and the Sun, �18,000. Chris Jefferies | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
is the latest victim of the regular witch-hunt and character | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
assassination, conducted by the worst elements of the British | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
tabloid media. Also today an intriguing story about Louise | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
Mensch, the Conservative, who was one of the toughest MPs at last | :03:43. | :03:49. | |
week's Murdoch hearings. She issued a statement about her | :03:49. | :03:54. | |
friendship with the violinist, Nigel Kennedy, pretty much | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
admitting she had once taken drugs with him. Mensch's statement was a | :03:59. | :04:03. | |
response to a mysterious David Jones, someone claiming to be an | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
investigative reporter, who had also sent his e-mailing inquiry to | :04:06. | :04:16. | |
:04:16. | :04:31. | ||
Look, good on Louise Mensch for dealing with this. I don't care | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
what Louise Mensch did in night cluebs in the 1990, what she has | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
effectively done today is give a finger to a low life journalist who | :04:40. | :04:44. | |
tried to dig up dirt on her years ago, probably because she's | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
involved in exposing the truth on hacking and involved in the | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
committee. She has my full support. I seriously hope whatever story is | :04:51. | :04:56. | |
trying to peddle this story will think again. Isn't it legitimate, | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
that journalists should look into the background of prominent MPs, we | :05:00. | :05:03. | |
are talking about law breaking? Context is everything. | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
This is a really miserable time for the tabloid newspapers. With their | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
methods under attack from the British public, from the police, | :05:10. | :05:16. | |
politicians and now most likely the inquiry led by Lord Justice Leveson. | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
They face testify competition, not just from traditional broadcasting, | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
but now from the Internet and other social media. And whilst nearly all | :05:25. | :05:29. | |
newspapers have seen a significant fall in circulation, in recent | :05:29. | :05:34. | |
years, for the tabloid press, the drop in sales has been particularly | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
bad. Tabloid newspapers have been in | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
decline for some time, over the last 20 years, in terms of the | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
circulation they have declined 35- 40%, more than 12 million paid | :05:44. | :05:49. | |
copies today to fewer than eight million paid copies per day. They | :05:49. | :05:51. | |
have also seen a decline in advertising, particularly in recent | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
years, on the back of the recession. That has meant that profitability | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
of tabloid newspapers has also declined. So while tabloid | :05:59. | :06:02. | |
newspapers are clearly more profitable than their quality | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
counterparts, it is also the case that it is becoming harder and | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
harder for them to achieve the kinds of big profits that they were | :06:09. | :06:16. | |
able to achieve in the past. Nine years ago Glenn Mulcaire made | :06:16. | :06:25. | |
a name for himself, by scoring the first-ever goal for the newly- | :06:25. | :06:29. | |
formed AFC Wimbledon, who next year start in the Football League. | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
honest we should have scored earlier in the game. Tonight, | :06:33. | :06:38. | |
Trigger Mulcaire threatens even more dramatic shots. Hinting he may | :06:38. | :06:48. | |
:06:48. | :06:51. | ||
yet name big names in the hacking Joining me now is Detective Chief | :06:51. | :06:58. | |
Inspector Martyn Underhill, he was the liaison officer with the Payne | :06:58. | :07:02. | |
family and investigated Sarah Payne's death. I had a lot of | :07:02. | :07:05. | |
contact with Sara Payne, and got to know her personally very well. We | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
used to speak to each other a lot on the phone, even when the case | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
finished. I remember in 2002, I got a phone call at home on Saturday | :07:13. | :07:17. | |
afternoon from a very high senior executive from News of the World, | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
who I knew. He said to me, we have got a story we are going to print | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
about you tomorrow and the Payne family, I would like you to make a | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
comment. He told me the story, which was outrageous and not true. | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
I said, I don't know where you got that from, but that is completely | :07:32. | :07:38. | |
untrue, if you print that I will sue will you - sue you. They said | :07:38. | :07:43. | |
they have a very good source you might as well admit it. I said the | :07:43. | :07:48. | |
source was wrong and I will sue. The story was never printed, Sara | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
and the family and I denied what was alleged. The matter was never | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
resolved in my mind, I never knew why that phone call took place, or | :07:56. | :08:01. | |
where the information came from. And then the phone hacking story | :08:01. | :08:04. | |
came in, and one thing that struck me about the senior executive from | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
News of the World, was that if he had a source, and he had asked me | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
for a comment, which I gave, he could have printed that story, but | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
he didn't. I think that source was illegal, I think that my phone was | :08:16. | :08:22. | |
hacked, my police phone was hacked. Because Sara used to leave me | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
messages on the answer phone and I used to leave messages. You know | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
the name of the executive, who was it? I don't want to name that | :08:29. | :08:34. | |
person, because that person hasn't had a chance to reply to what I'm | :08:34. | :08:39. | |
saying tonight. Suffice to say it was a senior member of the team of | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
the News of the World, and has been named in the scandal. Can you tell | :08:42. | :08:47. | |
us what the story was about, even though it was false? I'm only | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
talking about it now because of the hacking scandal. It has remained | :08:50. | :08:54. | |
private for eight years, and I don't want to discuss it. This was | :08:54. | :09:00. | |
a newspaper that was helping Sara Payne, she thought? So what were | :09:00. | :09:06. | |
they up to? Sara and I have a very good friendship. We have never | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
agreed on News of the World. When I was a serving police officer, and | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
now, I always told her that the News of the World saw Sara Payne as | :09:15. | :09:21. | |
a commodity, she sold newspapers. Sara was fefrently committed to | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
Sarah's Law, and still is, I respect her for that. I did try | :09:24. | :09:31. | |
after this phone call from the executive in 2002 and several times | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
since, I said the newspaper will turn on a sixpence, you are a | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
commodity and they will hurt you. Are you basically saying they were | :09:38. | :09:42. | |
double dealing, on the one hand they were helping her and on the | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
other hand digging dirt? The phone call I received in 2002 clearly | :09:47. | :09:53. | |
showed double dealing, I said to her to leave the paper. She | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
believes in Sarah's Law passionately, News of the World | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
achieved massive amount with Sarah's Law, which I'm proud to | :09:59. | :10:05. | |
have been part of. I can understand why she didn't leave, I warned her | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
saying the paper is double dealing. The events of the last few days | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
have shown that. You don't want to talk about the story because it was | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
false? It was, completely. This about your conduct as a police | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
officer, or were they looking in supposedly private matters, they | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
were digging dirt? This was private matters between myself and the | :10:25. | :10:29. | |
Payne family, which would have been embarrassing for me personally and | :10:29. | :10:32. | |
my relationship at that time and would have been terrible for the | :10:32. | :10:37. | |
Payne family as well. Did the Payne family, or Sara not say this is | :10:37. | :10:41. | |
terrible, it is clearly wrong, they shouldn't be doing this. You said | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
obviously she was committed to going ahead with Sarah's Law, and | :10:45. | :10:49. | |
being helped in that. But this is pretty awful? It was awful at the | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
time, and it still is, they were digging dirt. And clearly, in my | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
view, they were hacking phones, mine and Saras, she did challenge | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
the News of the World over it, and I did, saying I would sue. To be | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
fair I never had a good relationship with the News of the | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
World, I was a police officer dealing with the Payne family, I | :11:07. | :11:12. | |
was constantly in conflict with the news. I have met all the executive, | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
Rebekah Brooks, and others, because of the Sarah's Law campaign. | :11:15. | :11:21. | |
wouldn't name this executive tonight, but in Operation Weeting, | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
and subsequent inquiries you could? I have named the News of the World | :11:25. | :11:28. | |
executive to Operation Weeting, but I'm not prepared to name them | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
tonight. Now joining me is the academic and | :11:31. | :11:34. | |
writer, Sarah Churchwell, the Conservative MP, Jacob Rees-Mogg, | :11:34. | :11:40. | |
and the former People editor and editor of the British journal | :11:40. | :11:46. | |
review, Bill Haggerty. Is this tabloid - are the tabloids slowly | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
committing suicide? I don't think the, I think there have been very | :11:50. | :11:55. | |
disgraceful things that have gone on, these are working their way | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
through the courts and the contempt of court action, not to mention the | :11:58. | :12:03. | |
hacking trials that either have taken place or will go ahead. | :12:03. | :12:07. | |
see they still have an important role in British life. They do act | :12:07. | :12:13. | |
as a disinfectant? They sell millions of copies and are free, | :12:13. | :12:17. | |
competitive, aggressive press, and keeping British public life honest. | :12:17. | :12:21. | |
It would be great loss if we didn't have an effective and free press. | :12:21. | :12:25. | |
But they don't stick within the law. It is not that we need new laws | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
within the law of contempt and libel, and we're hearing a lot | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
about phone hacking? It is quite right the law should be applied. | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
And it is being applied. It is hard to see legally what the problem is. | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
You don't need more laws, just apply the ones that exist. Do you | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
think the tabloids are slowly unravelling, they face a lot of | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
competition, not just with each other but other sources of | :12:46. | :12:51. | |
information? I think the problem s I agree we need a free press. If we | :12:51. | :12:54. | |
needed any evidence we need a free press, the story wouldn't have | :12:54. | :13:00. | |
broken if it weren't for the Guardian. For would the MPs' | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
expenses scandal? They provide us with investigation, accountability, | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
they are providing a forum for all kinds of things we need. The | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
problem with the tabloids we have been seeing here, is they haven't | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
been behaving like journalist, but novelist, they have been saying | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
what they felt like. It is not about operating within the bounds | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
of the law, they have clearly been breaking the law. They have been | :13:19. | :13:23. | |
making things up, and they haven't operated within the boundaries of | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
journalistic ethics. Beyond that they are breaking the law. It seems | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
to me there are two problems, the law needs to be enforced, as you | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
said, it is being enforced, too often it is left to individuals to | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
try to pursue civil case, which often individuals can't do. But | :13:38. | :13:42. | |
there does need to be some kind of reckoning about journalistic ethics. | :13:42. | :13:46. | |
Not just reckoning about journalistic ethic, perhaps the | :13:46. | :13:49. | |
press has never been entirely respectable, perhaps that is a good | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
thing. But journalists used to read essential law for journalist, they | :13:54. | :13:57. | |
used to know what libel and contempt was? I think you are right. | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
It is essential they are not respectable. It isth has always cut | :14:02. | :14:05. | |
corners and been - it has always cut corners and been close to the | :14:05. | :14:09. | |
edge, but not this. It is over relatively recent years, I hope | :14:09. | :14:13. | |
that what has happened now, and there May may be more to come, will | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
stop it and put it back on track. Do you think it is the popular | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
press and it is popular because it is popular, because people want to | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
read it, do you think it is declining, it doesn't have the | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
capacity to influence things that it perhaps did a year ago? It is | :14:29. | :14:34. | |
declining b but not with what is happening now, it may decline | :14:34. | :14:39. | |
further, but the Internet gave it a terrible body blow, and the | :14:39. | :14:45. | |
industry hasn't found Outtara to harness the Internet and use it to | :14:45. | :14:49. | |
make profits. This story about Louise Mensch, we heart MP, Tom | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
Watson say it is ridiculous, but that story about what she may or | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
may not have done in her 20s, coming up now, does it suggest that | :14:56. | :15:02. | |
some people are out for revenge to try to get her? There's no evidence | :15:02. | :15:07. | |
of that. I was at Oxford with Louis when she never seemed to have more | :15:07. | :15:12. | |
than a small glass of sherry, I'm surprised by the revelations. | :15:12. | :15:18. | |
didn't dance on tables with Nigel Kennedy yourself? No I didn't, I'm | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
not a great dancer on tables. The timing is highly suspicious, I | :15:22. | :15:25. | |
would certainly agree with that. It is very odd that the papers should | :15:25. | :15:31. | |
be going back to raking up things people may or may not have done. | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
you think there is a fear in MPs, there was a fear that member who | :15:35. | :15:39. | |
talked to MPs about what the newspapers might drag up, there was | :15:39. | :15:44. | |
a degree of fear? I have never really believed that. I was only | :15:44. | :15:50. | |
afraid of Nigel Dempster thrfrbgs a worry about gossip story, it is - | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
there was a worry about gossip stories, it was never a serious | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
worry. There is too much concentration on spin, and that the | :15:57. | :16:00. | |
Government had to control the media. That lasts for a relatively short | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
time. New Labour was very good at it in its early days, and became | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
bad at it as the press saw through it. And that created a feeling that | :16:09. | :16:13. | |
the press was more powerful than it ever was. Do you think we will end | :16:13. | :16:18. | |
up with a new reinvigorated Press Complaints Commission, the boss | :16:18. | :16:22. | |
quit today, is that what we want? You need some kind of regulation. | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
You need some kind of accountability. I don't believe it | :16:25. | :16:27. | |
should come from the Government. The obvious objections to | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
Government controlling the press is precisely that you no longer have a | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
free press. You have to have the ability to criticise, investigate, | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
and not to be partisan and political. It needs to be something | :16:38. | :16:41. | |
with teeth, that can say, not just if you have broken the law, but | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
things like printing the facts matters. It matters if you make | :16:44. | :16:47. | |
things up wholesale. If you are a newspaper and claiming to tell the | :16:47. | :16:50. | |
truth t should matter and does matter. There will be more burdens | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
on newspapers from now? I think, but self-regulation has to be the | :16:54. | :16:57. | |
way forward. It hasn't worked properly, without a doubt. There is | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
not one political party that warrants statutory regulation of | :16:59. | :17:03. | |
the press. Indeed it would be very bad for democracy and the country, | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
were that to happen. But I do think there has to be major overall of | :17:08. | :17:12. | |
the Press Complaints Commission, a serious one, that is going to be | :17:12. | :17:18. | |
very difficult to. Do Do you think another newspaper - - very | :17:18. | :17:22. | |
difficult to do. Do you think another newspaper will go. I spoke | :17:22. | :17:25. | |
do you when the News of the World went? I think under these | :17:25. | :17:29. | |
circumstances no, but one could go with falling circulation and | :17:29. | :17:33. | |
inability to harness the Internet make profits. People seem to forget, | :17:33. | :17:36. | |
many people seem to think the newspapers are a public service, | :17:36. | :17:42. | |
but they are not, they have to make profits to survive. When they say | :17:42. | :17:46. | |
newspapers only want to sell papers, it is true. Did you weep when the | :17:46. | :17:50. | |
News of the World went? I didn't, I very rarely saw the News of the | :17:50. | :17:53. | |
World,ly confess it always wrote about celebrities I had never heard | :17:53. | :17:59. | |
about, it wasn't my weekend reading. I do like the Sun, however, I have | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
always thought it is a very well written, good political newspaper. | :18:02. | :18:07. | |
I would be sorry if that got into trouble. But I think newspapers | :18:07. | :18:11. | |
always have waxed and waned, this is not the first newspaper to have | :18:11. | :18:17. | |
closed. The ska Telegraph - the Telegraph incorporates any number | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
of newspapers that have closed over the years. | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
The idea of the richest country in the world, deciding not to pay its | :18:24. | :18:28. | |
debts, sound like a cross between a nightmare and a joke, but President | :18:28. | :18:32. | |
Obama was not in a jokey mood when he lectured Congress today about | :18:32. | :18:35. | |
the failures of the American political system. To get to grips | :18:35. | :18:40. | |
with raising the debt ceiling. The clock is ticking towards a possible | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
debt default next Tuesday w profound impli cakess for the | :18:44. | :18:47. | |
world's financial markets - with profound implications for the | :18:47. | :18:53. | |
world's financial markets. In the new film, Campaign America, | :18:53. | :18:59. | |
he leads the world out of crisis, who is the hero and who is the | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
villain, does he need saving from himself. Right now a $14 trillion | :19:03. | :19:07. | |
debt monster threatens to knock the financial world off course, sending | :19:07. | :19:14. | |
it into a slowdown or worse. To defeat it Republicans and Democrats | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
must unite. All they have to do is to lift the US Treasury's debt | :19:18. | :19:25. | |
limit by Tuesday. Which hero can wake the US up from a financial | :19:25. | :19:35. | |
:19:35. | :19:43. | ||
nightmare, born of political The American people have made it | :19:43. | :19:47. | |
abundantly clear, they don't want us to raise the debt limit, whether | :19:47. | :19:51. | |
it is a short-term raise or a long- term raise. It is the President who | :19:51. | :19:56. | |
doesn't seem to understand the magnitude of our national debt. | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
Taxes are too low to cover spending, and the TEA Party, won't let them | :20:00. | :20:06. | |
rise, but for every dollar the US spends it has to Moran than 30 cent, | :20:06. | :20:11. | |
old-style Republicans are angry. The idea seems to be, if the House | :20:11. | :20:16. | |
GOP refuses to raise the debt ceiling a default crisis or gradual | :20:16. | :20:21. | |
Government shutdown will ensue, and the public will turn en masse | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
against Barack Obama. Republican House that failed to raise the debt | :20:25. | :20:28. | |
ceiling would some how escape all the blame. Then Democrats would | :20:28. | :20:34. | |
have no choice but to pass a balanced budget amendment and | :20:34. | :20:37. | |
reform entitlements and the TEA Party Hobbits could return to | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
middle earth, having defeated Mordor. Today there was a renewed | :20:41. | :20:47. | |
push to get the deal done. There are plenty of ways out of this mess. | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
But we are almost out of time. We need to reach a compromise by | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
Tuesday, so that our country will have the ability to pay its bills | :20:54. | :21:00. | |
on time, as we always have. Bills that include monthly social | :21:00. | :21:02. | |
security cheques, veterans' benefits and the Government | :21:03. | :21:05. | |
contracts we have signed with thousands of businesses. Keep in | :21:05. | :21:11. | |
mind f if we don't do that, if we don't come to an agreement, we | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
could lose our country's AAA credit rating. Who actually does the US | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
Government owe money too? There are small holdings by investment funds | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
and oil exporters, of the foreign cet creditors, the biggest is China, | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
followed by Japan and the rest of the world. No wonder China is often | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
called America's credit card. The biggest lender to the US Treasury | :21:33. | :21:38. | |
is the US itself, institutions from pension funds to the Federal | :21:38. | :21:46. | |
Reserve. The sharpest critics of the United States have described it | :21:46. | :21:50. | |
as a country with Social Democratic spending and TEA Party taxes, you | :21:50. | :21:54. | |
can't go on like, that but it is still hard to believe we are | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
talking about the world's wealthiest country, perhaps not | :21:57. | :22:02. | |
being able to pay its billsment how likely is that nightmare - its | :22:02. | :22:06. | |
bills. How likely is that nightmare society? A US sovereign default, | :22:07. | :22:11. | |
even if it is technical, short lived, made good in a matter of | :22:11. | :22:18. | |
days, will cause n my view, a worldwide recession. It is going to | :22:18. | :22:22. | |
completely disrupt financial markets from here to Tokyo. | :22:22. | :22:26. | |
chances of that are now small, but not negligible. What is more likely | :22:26. | :22:31. | |
than not, that next week there will be a fudge, no default, but no | :22:31. | :22:36. | |
convincing package of reform either. If so, analysts say, the US would | :22:36. | :22:42. | |
lose the AAA credit rating that allows it to borrow cheap money. | :22:42. | :22:46. | |
Getting to that new equilibrium, where the new underline safety of | :22:46. | :22:51. | |
the dollar is less than before, where this anchor of global | :22:51. | :22:56. | |
stability is becoming more brittle, that will require higher yields and | :22:56. | :23:00. | |
a much weaker dollar, and the combination will be weaker activity | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
in the US because of the higher interest rates, and weaker activity | :23:03. | :23:10. | |
in the rest of the world, because the US will be exporting with | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
weaker demand to the exchange rate. The trouble is there are banks and | :23:13. | :23:16. | |
private institutions around the world whose rules say they must | :23:17. | :23:21. | |
invest in only AAA rated securities. If the US gets downgraded, they | :23:21. | :23:25. | |
will be holding thrillions of US debt against their own rules. | :23:25. | :23:30. | |
problem is, if the US moves away from AAA rating, what do they do? | :23:30. | :23:33. | |
Now in a small country they would sell their bonds, but in the case | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
of the United States, the bond market is so huge, it is so big, | :23:37. | :23:41. | |
and the ownerships are so large, that it is really the central banks | :23:41. | :23:44. | |
that will have to change their mandate, rather than selling these | :23:44. | :23:49. | |
bonds. Because there wouldn't be enough buyers? Well, there wouldn't | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
be enough buyers in the world really, the world's not big enough | :23:52. | :23:58. | |
to absorb the amount of debt the US has. | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
Whatever Captain America's trouble, international investors are more | :24:02. | :24:08. | |
likely to waive the rules rather than dump dollars. As the market | :24:08. | :24:16. | |
opened, investors must have been wondered if a debt-free US could | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
ever be taken seriously. My guests are with me. Would | :24:20. | :24:25. | |
Republicans rather see the richest nation on earth default on its | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
debts than raise taxes? Thank you, first of all, for the opportunity | :24:29. | :24:33. | |
to come on your show and talk about grassroots American politics, which | :24:33. | :24:37. | |
I wrote a book about, it is called Right Angle, perhaps after the | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
events of the last two days I should have called it Handbook for | :24:42. | :24:46. | |
Hobbits. We don't want to see the country default, we don't think | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
that is where it is headed. In your report you talked about paying our | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
bills and defaulting in the same sentence. They are really two | :24:53. | :24:59. | |
different things. We can pay our bills n fact we have $200 billion a | :24:59. | :25:05. | |
month coming in, our bills are $145 billion, we have enough to pay | :25:05. | :25:09. | |
bills. The world should not be concerned. We have a net safety. | :25:09. | :25:14. | |
The world is concerned and so is senator John McCain, he said it is | :25:14. | :25:18. | |
crack political thinking and called you a political Hobbit. Yes he did. | :25:18. | :25:25. | |
But what he for gth got about The Hobbit trilogy, is The Hobbits win | :25:25. | :25:31. | |
in the end. What is going on is the bill is the safety net bill, that | :25:31. | :25:35. | |
covers our paying our bills every month. What we're really talking | :25:35. | :25:40. | |
about here is the deficit spending that is going on, and how do we | :25:40. | :25:45. | |
stop the deficit spending, no-one can spend in the deficit without a | :25:45. | :25:49. | |
consequence. Our consequences are coming up right now. How does | :25:49. | :25:53. | |
defaulting on your debts help. That I think senator McCain was | :25:53. | :25:58. | |
suggesting you're living in some kind of fantasy calling you a | :25:58. | :26:03. | |
Hobbit. He wasn't suggesting you defeat Mordor? We are not living in | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
fantasy. And our demand is that we live within our means. Which is a | :26:08. | :26:12. | |
balanced budget amendment. That is what we are asking for. Balance the | :26:12. | :26:17. | |
budget. That is what we want, first of all, is for them to take that up, | :26:17. | :26:22. | |
and senior Harry Reid says he has no choice, he does, we have - | :26:23. | :26:29. | |
senator Harry Reid says he has no choices. We have said cut, and | :26:29. | :26:32. | |
balance. Senator Harry Reid defeated you. But the big point | :26:32. | :26:37. | |
surely is that this could very easily be a rerun of the mid-1990s, | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
when a Republican Congress couldn't agree with a Democrat President, | :26:41. | :26:44. | |
and Bill Clinton won the next election by landslide, because the | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
country, in the end rallied round him? I think when you talk about | :26:49. | :26:55. | |
politics in America, you need to look back at 2010. We sent a clear | :26:55. | :26:59. | |
mandate, it was over two third of our country that agrows we need to | :26:59. | :27:02. | |
balance this budget, - agrees wrecks need to send a balanced | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
budget amendment to the people. We need to quit spending like we are | :27:05. | :27:12. | |
spending. That is what we are asking them to do, deal with this. | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
We are not sending them to default. They are putting us in this | :27:16. | :27:19. | |
situation. They are in the majority, they could come up with something | :27:19. | :27:24. | |
themselves, instead, Senator Harry Reid just sits back and says no, no, | :27:24. | :27:27. | |
no. Instead of presenting something himself. Are you concerned how this | :27:27. | :27:31. | |
is seen around the world. The British business secretary, Vince | :27:31. | :27:37. | |
cable said the world economy was being held hostage by American | :27:37. | :27:40. | |
right-wing nutters? Of course we're concerned about how the world will | :27:40. | :27:44. | |
be impacted by what we do. And that's why we are taking steps to | :27:44. | :27:49. | |
make sure that we correct the course we are on. We don't want to | :27:49. | :27:53. | |
drag the whole world economy down. That is why we need to correct our | :27:53. | :27:56. | |
economy and the best way to do that is to get a balanced budget | :27:56. | :28:02. | |
amendment in place, and then deal with this situation that we're in | :28:02. | :28:06. | |
by cutting and capping. Thank you very much, we will watch with | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
interest what happens over the next few days. | :28:10. | :28:13. | |
Now Michael Crick is here on his last appearance on Newsnight to | :28:13. | :28:19. | |
help us review the papers. What have we got. The front page of the | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
Telegraph is saying MPs on the Culture Select Committee are | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
Culture Select Committee are preparing to recall James Murdoch | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
after three senior former News International executives have | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
disputed the evidence he and Rebekah Brooks gave last week. | :28:32. | :28:36. | |
Interesting story on the front page of the Guardian, they say Miliband | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
is taking his first steps towards reconciliation with his brother, by | :28:40. | :28:45. | |
agreeing to be an unofficial ambassador from the Labour Party to | :28:45. | :28:48. | |
university and college campuses. Another story that struck me on the | :28:49. | :28:56. | |
front page of the Financial Times, about our former colleague Laura | :28:56. | :29:03. | |
Kunsberg about how when she joined ITV recently she took 60,000 | :29:03. | :29:09. | |
Twitter followers with her. You're in that story? I did the same sort | :29:09. | :29:14. | |
of thing, I have a more modest band of followers. I decided not to loaf | :29:14. | :29:18. | |
them here and hope they will come with - leave them here and hope | :29:18. | :29:21. | |
they will come with me. That is all from us, it is Michael's last show | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
before he quits journalism to join channel 4 we leave you with a few | :29:25. | :29:30. | |
of the politicians he has made friends with over the past few | :29:30. | :29:38. | |
years. REPORTER: Aren't you taking the quiet man business a bit far. | :29:38. | :29:48. | |
:29:48. | :29:50. | ||
Why are all the heaviests trying to get me out of there. Wouldn't be to | :29:50. | :29:56. | |
be better to spend the next week. Jeffrey Archer, clip, clip, clip, | :29:56. | :30:01. |