Browse content similar to 31/08/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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When is a delay a defeat? It looks as if the reform of the banking | :00:12. | :00:16. | |
system, which everyone so recently agreed was urgently necessary, | :00:16. | :00:21. | |
isn't going to happen any time soon. So, economics editor, have the | :00:21. | :00:25. | |
bankers won? Jeremy, there are ten- year-old boys who play football for | :00:25. | :00:31. | |
England before any banking reforms are introduced at this rate. If the | :00:31. | :00:36. | |
coalition can't corner the bankers any time soon, what about top tax | :00:36. | :00:41. | |
payers. Getting the fabulously wealthy to shell out for just the | :00:42. | :00:48. | |
right vintage royal Royce or Bentley has never been difficult, | :00:48. | :00:52. | |
but paying taxes, not so much. That is the great battleground of | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
British politics at the moment. We ask politicians from the three main | :00:56. | :01:00. | |
parties how much tax we should all pay, and how it should be raised. | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
Before he got the prime ministerial limo, David Cameron signalled he | :01:04. | :01:09. | |
was a social liberal, but is he? What, for example, is he trying to | :01:09. | :01:15. | |
do to the abortion laws. And we go deep under the Balkans, to see the | :01:15. | :01:21. | |
finest cave wildlife in the world. Is the survival of extraordinary | :01:21. | :01:31. | |
:01:31. | :01:32. | ||
life forms put at risk by prospect of membership of the European Union. | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
It will be a couple of weeks yet until we learn what fate is | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
proposed for the banking system of this country. To the obvious | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
irritation of people like the Business Secretary, Vince Cable, | :01:43. | :01:48. | |
the bankers' advocate claim banking reform will derail the country's | :01:48. | :01:50. | |
fragile recovery, and tonight the Government has indicated it has | :01:50. | :01:57. | |
listened to them. Any ri forms won't take - reforms won't take | :01:57. | :02:02. | |
effect any time this side of the election. Our economics editor is | :02:02. | :02:05. | |
here. So just talk us through it? | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
This morning it was all war, war between Vince Cable and George | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
Osborne, the Liberal Democrats and the banks. You don't get headlines | :02:12. | :02:16. | |
like this unless somebody has rung up a few newspaper editors and | :02:16. | :02:23. | |
talked to them. The sub stafpbs Liberal Democrats want a faster | :02:23. | :02:28. | |
pace - the substance was Liberal Democrats want faster pace than the | :02:28. | :02:36. | |
Tories, and there was a split Quotes: | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
You fast forward to this afternoon, and Vince Cable goes on camera, it | :02:40. | :02:45. | |
is not so much war. There is no division, what I said to the Times | :02:45. | :02:50. | |
this morning is that given all the financial volitility and | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
instability that is in the world at the moment, it is all the more | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
important that we have reform of the banking system. How we do that, | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
we have got to await the final report of the Banking Commission, | :03:01. | :03:07. | |
that is in a couple of weeks time, that will deal with the mechanisms | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
and timing. Wonderful. What is the substance of | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
the banking reform proposals? British banks are universal banks, | :03:14. | :03:19. | |
they do investment, retail, business lending, high street | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
lending, the point of the reform is to stop them blowing up, like three | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
of them did so spectacularly in 2008. The idea behind the | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
independent Banking Commission's proposal, is first of all, you | :03:33. | :03:42. | |
cause them all to hold more capital, �10 for every �100 of risk. Then | :03:42. | :03:45. | |
there is struck tue, the ring- fencing proposal amounts to this, | :03:45. | :03:49. | |
banks that have investment arms, the risky bit, and the retail arm, | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
with the savings from the high street, you force them to treat the | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
retail bit as a separate bank. You give it enough money to survive if | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
things all go wrong. The banks they say they can't do this, look at the | :04:00. | :04:04. | |
economy, the economy is flatlining, more businesses are screaming out | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
for credit, we can't seem to provide enough of it, some | :04:08. | :04:13. | |
businesses are so busted they can't even have the credit were we to | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
provide it. It has to be postponed, and some briefings, out of the | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
banking sector, have mentioned this year, 2019, as the point at which | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
he they would like it to come in. Some people in the banking sector, | :04:25. | :04:31. | |
some experts in banking think this is a little bit is ingenious. | :04:31. | :04:37. | |
banks are playing - Disingenious. The banks are playing a canny game, | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
they know change is on the way and likely. It is in their interests to | :04:40. | :04:46. | |
delay this change for as long as possible, to defer it for as long | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
as possible, in the hope that in the end it will go away. There is a | :04:50. | :04:53. | |
hope that they are under pressure at the moment to extend credit, | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
clearly the economy is fragile, but I think there has to be a limit to | :04:57. | :05:00. | |
this, you can't keep on pushing this out forever. If we are going | :05:00. | :05:03. | |
to have meaningful banking reform it needs to happen in a reasonable | :05:03. | :05:08. | |
time frame, in my opinion. politics of all of this? | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
Banking Commission's proposal on ring-fencing is about the most | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
timid one could imagine of all the things on the table. They got very | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
annoyed when I and other journalists suggested they had been | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
nobbled, they were saying everything is still on the table. | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
The more radical proposals could still happen. Then, George Osborne | :05:25. | :05:30. | |
pre-empted them, by accepting this least radical of all the proposals. | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
And Vince Cable is known to want to go further. It is not just any old | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
issue for Vince Cable, he has written a book about why they | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
should go further and split the banks up. Those close to him have | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
always thought, if he doesn't get something close to what he wants on | :05:44. | :05:47. | |
this, he does begin to look a little bit like a hostage. This is | :05:47. | :05:51. | |
his issue, if he doesn't get it, what is he there to do. | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
To discuss if the bank reforms should be delayed for so long, I'm | :05:56. | :06:01. | |
joined by the former Deputy Chairman at Barclays, and external | :06:01. | :06:06. | |
director at the Bank of England, and also David Pitt-Watson, a fund | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
manager, and maybe of the cross- party Banking Commission. A | :06:09. | :06:18. | |
precursor to the Vickers Commission, which we so eagerly await. The | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
banks argue it is risky without a delay, is it? Let's be clear about | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
the problem we have here, where you have a universal bank, you have the | :06:25. | :06:30. | |
retail bank that's lend to go businesses and taking our deposits, | :06:30. | :06:36. | |
and you have what people call the casino banking. If the banks are | :06:36. | :06:43. | |
too big to fail, the tax-payers are subsidising the casino banking. The | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
aim of the ring-fencing is to stop people having to subsidise that | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
casino banking. That seems to me to be entirely reasonable. There is a | :06:50. | :06:54. | |
second reason that you want the ring-fencing, Jeremy, if people | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
think they are in institutions that are too large to fail, they will | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
keep lending and lending and lending, they will know they are | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
bailed out because they are too large to fail, the markets don't | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
work. Getting this implemented, it will take a little time, the notion | :07:10. | :07:15. | |
it will take years and years and years, I can't see why that isness | :07:15. | :07:20. | |
radio. You accept at some point - Necessary. You accept at some point | :07:20. | :07:27. | |
there will be separation? No, I don't. I we need banks to be safe, | :07:27. | :07:30. | |
but once you have the concept of "too big to fail", that doesn't | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
come from the bankers, but politicians who don't want | :07:33. | :07:39. | |
depositors to lose any money. Once you have the two big to fail | :07:39. | :07:49. | |
:07:49. | :07:49. | ||
principle, you have to have regulation to control what the | :07:49. | :07:53. | |
bankers do. The trouble with regulation in trying to run a bank | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
sensibly and prudently, is everybody behaves right up to the | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
line of regulation. As soon as that happens then you get danger. So | :08:00. | :08:09. | |
what I would do, is to try to go back to avoiding the totally too | :08:09. | :08:14. | |
big to fail presence pel, and try to ensure, if - principle, and try | :08:14. | :08:19. | |
to ensure, if bank failed, all creditors, including depositors, | :08:19. | :08:24. | |
would lose 10% of their money, and that would put a great premium on | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
running a bank safely, and that is what is needed, there would be | :08:28. | :08:32. | |
reward for those running bank safely. What do you make of that | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
argument? It is radical proposition, what is being suggested. I don't | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
think most people put their money in bank thinking it could all go | :08:39. | :08:44. | |
wrong and they will lose some of it. If we are putting money in bank it | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
is sensible that money should be ring-fenced and looked after | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
properly. But we need some how not to have the situation, and Martin | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
would agree with this, where, for years and years and years, because | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
of being too big to fail, that the investment banking activities of | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
our large banks are effectively being subsidised, in no small | :09:04. | :09:09. | |
measure, by the taxpayer, and I think Martin would agree with that. | :09:09. | :09:12. | |
They didn't ask for that subsidy, that comes from a political | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
decision not to let the banks fail. The banks that got us into this | :09:16. | :09:22. | |
trouble, in 2007, were not universal banks, they were New York, | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
Bradford & Bingley, and Lehman Brothers, none of which were | :09:25. | :09:30. | |
universal banks. The universal banks were Barclays, HSBC, and | :09:30. | :09:36. | |
Lloyd's before the merger, they did not get us into trouble. The Royal | :09:37. | :09:43. | |
Bank of Scotland though? That was nothing to do with the problem of | :09:43. | :09:49. | |
running universal banks, that was due to a series of absolutely | :09:49. | :09:54. | |
insane acquisitions, which he had made, which made it totally unsound. | :09:54. | :10:00. | |
It was not failure of a universal banking system. This is addressing | :10:00. | :10:07. | |
a problem which isn't really there. If a universal bank is run sensibly, | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
it isn't danger. What do you make of the argument that these | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
proposals really only address banking institutions in this | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
country, particularly in London, of course, and that they therefore, if | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
implemented, put this country at a serious disadvantage as regards the | :10:24. | :10:28. | |
rest of the world? Of course other countries have different model, | :10:28. | :10:33. | |
much more draconian in the United States. A different but much more | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
draconian measures in Switzerland, for example. As you said in your | :10:38. | :10:41. | |
introduction, the ring-fencing, rather than the spliting of the | :10:41. | :10:46. | |
investment bank and the retail bank, actually is one of the softer ways | :10:46. | :10:50. | |
of achieving what it is we are trying to achieve, which is that | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
tax-payers don't subsidise investment banking activities, and | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
the investment banking activities are subject to the market. So other | :10:57. | :11:02. | |
countries are doing this in slightly different ways. I don't | :11:02. | :11:05. | |
think there will be a such exodus from London because of this. | :11:06. | :11:09. | |
Frankly, if you were Angela Merkel, would you wish to subsidise an | :11:09. | :11:12. | |
investment bank. Why are you shaking your head so much? It would | :11:12. | :11:18. | |
be great disadvantage to London, it would make UK banks, UK-owned banks, | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
much less competitive internationally, if we weren't | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
allowed to have universal banks. you think the banking sector is too | :11:25. | :11:32. | |
big in this country? I don't think it is too big if it is sensibly run. | :11:32. | :11:38. | |
It is a bit of an "if" if you take the experience of the Royal Bank of | :11:38. | :11:42. | |
Scotland? Not to me, my approach would make them sensibly run. I | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
think Vince Cable has always been very anti-banks, and he has always | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
thought that the banking system was far too big for the rest of the | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
economy. A cure to that is to make the rest of the economy bigger. | :11:54. | :11:59. | |
Actually the banking system, not only does it employ hundreds of | :11:59. | :12:05. | |
thousands of people, which is very important, it also contributes an | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
enormous amount of tax. Our banks are regarded as world leaders. So | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
it is something which you throw away at your peril. | :12:13. | :12:20. | |
I would agree with that. One point I think is funny, which is how we | :12:20. | :12:26. | |
have managed to link the ring- fencing of the banks to growth in | :12:26. | :12:31. | |
the economy. Because I can't see where there is an economic linkage | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
there, the bit that lends to the economy, will still be within the | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
ring-fence. It will still have a low-cost of capital. This shouldn't | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
really make any difference to the growth in the economy. I don't | :12:43. | :12:45. | |
quite understand why that argument has come from. | :12:45. | :12:49. | |
Thank you both very much. The question of what to do with the | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
banks has illuminated the divisions within the coalition. When it comes | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
to managing the economy, Conservative and Liberal Democrats | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
instincts are very often completely at odds, nowhere is that more | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
starkly illustrated than when it comes to tax, who should pay it and | :13:06. | :13:11. | |
how much. The flash point is the 50%, top rate of income tax for | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
people earning more than �150,000 a year. It was brought in by the last | :13:16. | :13:21. | |
Labour Government, the Liberal Democrats are fans, plenty of | :13:21. | :13:26. | |
Tories think it is absurd and fairly unnecessary. As political | :13:26. | :13:31. | |
slogans go at the moment, tax the rich is hard to beat. Rich is one | :13:31. | :13:36. | |
of the maddeningly hard words to define, assuming you can decide who, | :13:36. | :13:40. | |
the next big problem is how. Getting the fabulously wealthy to | :13:40. | :13:45. | |
shell out for just the right vintage Rolls-Royce or Bentley, has | :13:45. | :13:50. | |
never been too difficult, paying tax, not so much. How to make them | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
pay more? Well that is one of the big battlegrounds of British | :13:53. | :13:57. | |
politics right now. Before the last election, Labour | :13:57. | :14:03. | |
set a tax trap, the Conservatives as obvious as a high-visibility | :14:04. | :14:08. | |
jacket. Introducing a new 50p tax rate on incomes above �150,000, to | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
kick in after the election. They were hoping that the Conservatives | :14:13. | :14:18. | |
would promise to scrap it. So far the Conservatives, or the coalition, | :14:18. | :14:21. | |
indeed, hasn't, but George Osborne, the Chancellor, desperately wants | :14:22. | :14:25. | |
to. If only he could find the political cover. | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
I think the only way they are going to resolve this is to swap the 50p | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
tax with something that looks just as painful, equally as painful for | :14:34. | :14:40. | |
the high earners, whether that is going to raise much money is | :14:40. | :14:42. | |
debatable, I don't think this is about taxation about raising | :14:42. | :14:46. | |
revenue, this is about taxation for political purposes not economic | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
ones. Getting the mechanics of the tax system right, so the rich pay | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
more, is notoriously difficult, people change their behaviour, and | :14:53. | :14:59. | |
there are unintended consequences, for example, you could be the | :14:59. | :15:09. | |
:15:09. | :15:10. | ||
billionare owner of a �500,000 Bentley and not pay tax. If you | :15:10. | :15:16. | |
were struggling to put a clapped out Ford on the road, that is �100 | :15:16. | :15:26. | |
:15:26. | :15:36. | ||
The public is urging the Government to lower taxes. By bringing in | :15:36. | :15:46. | |
:15:46. | :15:52. | ||
Popular tax cuts would cost the Exchequer �15.5 billion. The | :15:52. | :15:55. | |
Liberal Democrats in the coalition want to introduce a mansion tax to | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
hit the rich where they live, by hitting them where they live, or at | :15:59. | :16:03. | |
least live for a few weeks in the summer, most years. | :16:03. | :16:07. | |
In some of the more prestigious locations in London, the properties | :16:07. | :16:12. | |
are being bought by people not so much to live in, but as somewhere | :16:12. | :16:17. | |
to keep their wealth. Safe during the troubled times. These are the | :16:17. | :16:21. | |
biggest safety deposit boxes in the world. | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
True, some of the pads here could set you back tens of millions of | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
pounds, but look on the bright side w a good accountant, and the right | :16:30. | :16:34. | |
status, the only tax you will have to pay on buying, owning or selling | :16:34. | :16:41. | |
them is �26 a week in council tax. Whilst the community secretary, | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
Eric Pickles, has called a mansion tax, a big mistake, other | :16:44. | :16:50. | |
Conservatives think there might be something in the idea. | :16:50. | :16:56. | |
supposedly have 5% stamp duty above �1 million for house, but all those | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
houses are sold within company tax wrappers. Essentially the rich | :16:59. | :17:04. | |
people buying and selling these are paying 0.5%, rather than 5%. We | :17:04. | :17:09. | |
need to close that tax loophole. I would also like to see capital | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
gains tax applied, to overseas residents, who are currently still | :17:13. | :17:17. | |
exempt from that. Yes they should investment in business assets and | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
create jobs, but when it is UK property, I don't see why we would | :17:22. | :17:24. | |
want to encourage them pricing everyone else out of the market, | :17:24. | :17:29. | |
not living in that property, then selling it and not paying any tax. | :17:29. | :17:35. | |
Labour too has rather changed its tune. Remember how Peter Mandelson | :17:35. | :17:38. | |
once famously declared himself intensely relaxed about people | :17:38. | :17:42. | |
getting filthy rich. Well, listen to the current leader. My party | :17:42. | :17:47. | |
must change. We were intensely relaxed about what happened at the | :17:47. | :17:54. | |
top of society, I say no more. Some commentators say that now in | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
all parties the political heart is overruling the economic head. | :17:57. | :18:00. | |
are going through a period in Britain right now where people | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
aren't asking how do we get the most money out of the rich, they | :18:03. | :18:09. | |
are asking how can we be seen to hurt the rich. It is a very big | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
question, I'm concerned this will lead us back to where they were in | :18:12. | :18:16. | |
the 70 where is the very wealthy will do their business elsewhere. | :18:16. | :18:21. | |
It might be the equivalent as the Rolling Stones leaving Britain, and | :18:21. | :18:27. | |
Michael Caine not doing any films here. They are a few examples. What | :18:27. | :18:31. | |
about the entrepeneur, the scientists, the artists, who came | :18:31. | :18:36. | |
when we cut the top rate of tax, they may go now. In troubled | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
economic times there aren't many votes in speaking up for the | :18:39. | :18:44. | |
superrich. Everyone right now is competing to be the party of the | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
underdog. Here to discuss this is the Conservative MP, John Redwood, | :18:48. | :18:52. | |
Lord Newby, who speaks on Treasury issues for the Liberal Democrats, | :18:52. | :18:59. | |
and the shadow Treasury minister, Chris Leslie. What is tax for, it | :18:59. | :19:05. | |
is a force for good in itself and it pays the bills? It is to pay the | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
bills for our large and expanding public sector. We have record | :19:10. | :19:14. | |
spending every year under the coalition and as we did under | :19:14. | :19:19. | |
Labour, we need to pay those pills. Can taxing be a force for good in | :19:19. | :19:23. | |
itself? It is the price you pay for a civilised society, if you don't | :19:23. | :19:26. | |
tax people and have public service what kind of society is that. You | :19:26. | :19:30. | |
don't want to tax people to punish them, you want to tax people in a | :19:30. | :19:35. | |
way that is seen as far as possible to be fair. I think you probably | :19:35. | :19:40. | |
want to have as low tax as possible generally, but not at the expense | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
of good quality public services. We have always taken the view we want | :19:44. | :19:48. | |
progressive taxation, in other words, fairer taxation, where the | :19:48. | :19:52. | |
wealthiest people pay the greatest share. That is really the principle. | :19:52. | :19:56. | |
But ultimately you are coming together as a society, pooling | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
revenues, money, and as a society, as a community, achieving more than | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
you would achieve as individuals alone, with health insurance, for | :20:04. | :20:10. | |
example, rather than an NHS. Let's take the specific question of the | :20:10. | :20:13. | |
50p rate of tax, we don't know, and the Chancellor of the Exchequer | :20:13. | :20:16. | |
doesn't know how much this tax is raising, and won't know for a while. | :20:16. | :20:21. | |
It is said by many to be a Philing amount by comparison with the rest | :20:21. | :20:27. | |
of the - Philing amount by comparison with the rest of the | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
amounts. There is a dispute about that, HMRC are being asked to look | :20:32. | :20:35. | |
again. The last time the Chancellor gave an answer in the House of | :20:35. | :20:45. | |
:20:45. | :20:47. | ||
Commons, it was �3 billion, it is not small sum at all. I think he | :20:47. | :20:53. | |
has political motive. What I'm getting at is it a good thing? | :20:53. | :20:58. | |
all want to tax the rich more to make a bigger contribution to the | :20:58. | :21:03. | |
public sector. Because it is fairer the richest pay a bigger proportion. | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
Fairness enters into it? Of course. What are the rates you optimise to | :21:07. | :21:12. | |
get the biggest rates from the rich. When we cut it to 40% in the 1980s, | :21:12. | :21:16. | |
after a period of high tax rates, the amount the rich paid shot up, | :21:16. | :21:20. | |
both in absolute terms and as a proportion of the total. We don't | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
want to go back to brain drain Britain of the 1970s which proved | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
you were cutting off your nose to spite your face with the high rates. | :21:29. | :21:33. | |
How do you encourage rich people to pay more tax? Nobody enjoys paying | :21:33. | :21:38. | |
tax. Rich people will not pay tax. Warren Buffet, one of the richest | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
men in the world said he wanted to pay more tax? I welcome that. Quite | :21:43. | :21:47. | |
a number of his friends. Unfortunately he's not living here? | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
He needs to just send a cheque in. One of the interesting questions is | :21:51. | :21:55. | |
Warren Buffet thinks he should be paying more. A lot of French | :21:55. | :21:57. | |
industrialists are saying they should be paying more. We have | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
heard nobody in the UK suggesting that perhaps, given the | :22:01. | :22:05. | |
difficulties we are in, at the top end of the income scale, that they | :22:05. | :22:10. | |
might be paying more, it is an interesting thing. I think that tax, | :22:10. | :22:15. | |
that the rich should be paying what seems to be a fair whack. The 50p | :22:15. | :22:21. | |
rate, in my view, is completely justified as long as we have a | :22:21. | :22:26. | |
fiscal crisis. We moved as a party, we moved off it, because we thought | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
over the long-term, once people are paying over half their income in | :22:30. | :22:35. | |
tax there are disincentives. Now we think they should be paying it. | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
socially corrosive is it, as we saw in that report, there are very | :22:39. | :22:42. | |
large numbers of extremely rich Russians and others, living | :22:42. | :22:46. | |
particularly in the capital, and not making a great contribution, as | :22:46. | :22:49. | |
far as we can see, apart from driving up property prices so other | :22:50. | :22:54. | |
people can't afford to live there. How socially corrosive is that, how | :22:54. | :22:58. | |
do you tax them? That is why we are in favour of the called mansion tax. | :22:58. | :23:05. | |
Last year 60% of all houses sold in the UK that were valued at over �2 | :23:05. | :23:10. | |
million, were bought by foreigners, they are not even non--dom, they | :23:10. | :23:16. | |
don't live here, they make no contribution. It is like a safety | :23:16. | :23:19. | |
deposit box, it is a safe haven. Our view is they should be paying | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
something for the privilege of owning property here. The reason | :23:22. | :23:26. | |
they want it has to be paid for, in part, it is the security, it is the | :23:27. | :23:35. | |
fact that it is a stable society. What would you think as a proposal? | :23:35. | :23:39. | |
It is not a proposal I'm seeking, you have to be careful with capital | :23:39. | :23:44. | |
gains tax. We have seen the increase in the rate to 28%, as a | :23:44. | :23:48. | |
result the Treasury is forecasting a �500 million revenue loss | :23:48. | :23:53. | |
compared with this year, that is the full year effect of the rate. | :23:53. | :23:58. | |
That makes point, if you overdo the rate you tax the rich less. Most of | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
the guys aren't paying any capital gains tax at all, should they? | :24:02. | :24:08. | |
Obviously one needs to look at non- dom taxation in the round and make | :24:08. | :24:10. | |
that calculation about how much contribution they do make. | :24:10. | :24:15. | |
should be looked in to at least then? Of course they need to look | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
at what contribution people are making. They are making no | :24:19. | :24:22. | |
contribution? That is an assertion, I suspect you will find that | :24:22. | :24:25. | |
foreign capital and foreign purchases coming to London is | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
making a big contribution. London has been the outperforming economy | :24:29. | :24:33. | |
in the Labour years and again under the coalition. It is something to | :24:33. | :24:36. | |
do with the vibrancy and the money being brought into London. What | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
would you do? What you have to do is make sure you have those fair | :24:40. | :24:47. | |
principle that is you apply, at a time when - principles that you | :24:47. | :24:50. | |
apply. At the time when George Osborne is increasing taxes on the | :24:50. | :24:55. | |
poor, not just VAT, but big changes to housing benefit, cutting tax | :24:55. | :25:01. | |
credits. To even talk about cutting this 50p rate on that richest 1 | :25:01. | :25:09. | |
bears in society does seem very perverse. This is the interesting | :25:09. | :25:13. | |
point about which priority to tax cuts are there. Which taxes should | :25:13. | :25:16. | |
be cut. You have said you are extremely doubtful about the 50p | :25:16. | :25:20. | |
rate of tax? I think we are collected less revenue. I want to | :25:20. | :25:24. | |
tax the rich more and poor less. I would agree with the Liberal | :25:24. | :25:27. | |
Democrats about taking more people out of tax. What is the priority | :25:27. | :25:31. | |
for tax that should be cut? I would take people out of income tax in | :25:31. | :25:34. | |
the way the Government is doing. the key issue of the day is this | :25:34. | :25:37. | |
flatlining economy we have got with no growth, you need to get some | :25:37. | :25:42. | |
money into the pockets of ordinary people, which is why we have | :25:42. | :25:45. | |
suggested a temporary VAT cut in order to kick start the recovery. | :25:45. | :25:49. | |
It has already been killed off by a Spending Review that is going way | :25:49. | :25:56. | |
too far and too fast. If we could do that and have a steadier pace of | :25:56. | :25:58. | |
Spending Review changes, that probably would be the best way to | :25:58. | :26:03. | |
get growth back in. If you get growth, you get revenue for the | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
Exchequer, that is the best way. Cutting VAT at this point is hugely | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
expensive, if you are doing anything, you should have a small | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
number of targeted tax cuts, which would immediately stimulate growth. | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
For example, the Government introduced a tax holiday on | :26:20. | :26:24. | |
National Insurance, employees in start-up, it hasn't worked because | :26:24. | :26:28. | |
not enough new companies have started. But existing companies, | :26:28. | :26:32. | |
who want to take on more people, are worried about the cost of doing | :26:32. | :26:37. | |
it, if you extended that holiday to existing small firms, you have a | :26:38. | :26:42. | |
really good targeted way of increasing employment and | :26:42. | :26:46. | |
consumption at the same time, rather than across the board, very, | :26:46. | :26:52. | |
very expensive VAT cuts. Thank you all very much indeed. | :26:52. | :26:58. | |
Last night we reported on who might in future advise women thinking of | :26:58. | :27:05. | |
having an abortion. This was intended to be unbiased, but | :27:05. | :27:07. | |
Newsnight found questions raised about how impartial soment of the | :27:07. | :27:13. | |
organisations are. Is this a move away from the social liberalism of | :27:13. | :27:18. | |
David Cameron's early days as Prime Minister, to a more morally sense | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
rouse tone. The Government said it wanted to | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
change the rules so clinics offering termination services are | :27:25. | :27:35. | |
:27:35. | :27:42. | ||
not also tasked with advising. But This is supposed to be an | :27:42. | :27:44. | |
organisation giving independent advice. Today Care Confidential | :27:45. | :27:50. | |
said the manual was no longer in use. But the very existence of this | :27:50. | :27:53. | |
advice has raised questions about whether the Government is seeking | :27:54. | :27:59. | |
to give a privileged position to a particular moral view. In response | :27:59. | :28:09. | |
:28:09. | :28:18. | ||
today, Number Ten appeared to But over recent months, senior | :28:18. | :28:23. | |
Tories have seemed increasingly comfortable talking the language of | :28:23. | :28:28. | |
morality. When the Archbishop of Canterbury attacked welfare | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
policies, Iain Duncan Smith argued that there was a moral imperative | :28:32. | :28:37. | |
to tackle worklessness. And following this month's riots, David | :28:37. | :28:45. | |
Cameron spoke of "restoring a stronger sense of morality". Well | :28:45. | :28:49. | |
tomorrow morning's Guardian is reporting that Number Ten is | :28:49. | :28:54. | |
proposing to retreat from the proposals on the abortion law | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
reform, but Downing Street is saying tonight that there are no | :28:58. | :29:02. | |
such plans, we understand that Andrew Lansley is one of the people | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
who has said he will vote against the proposal if it comes to a vote. | :29:06. | :29:16. | |
:29:16. | :29:19. | ||
With us now are my guests. What are we to make of this | :29:19. | :29:24. | |
position on the abortion laws? think Number Ten is trying to | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
distance itself from the Nadine Dorries amendment very, very fast. | :29:28. | :29:31. | |
I think you will see sunnor people in the coalition come out in the | :29:31. | :29:35. | |
next few days doing just that. Mr Cameron is comfortable to a | :29:35. | :29:38. | |
point with moral language, you think you said in your package | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
after the riots he spoke of the need to put morality back into | :29:41. | :29:45. | |
public life, but a little bit of morality in public life goes a long | :29:45. | :29:50. | |
way, in terms of its political impact. What you don't want to end | :29:50. | :29:55. | |
up with is a big argument about abortion, he didn't intend to have | :29:55. | :29:58. | |
that. It is a backbench amendment, it is interesting for those | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
preoccupied by this, and motivates them strongly, but it is not | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
something he would want to define the coalition in any way. What is | :30:06. | :30:10. | |
your response to the u-turn reports? It looks like the | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
Government was initially in favour of what is a liberal proposal to | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
extend the number of organisation who is can provide counselling to | :30:17. | :30:22. | |
women seeking abortions. When it looked like the proposal was about | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
restricting choices to the so- called independent advisers and | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
excluding the abortion providers from the pool of organisations who | :30:30. | :30:35. | |
could deliver the advice, they backed off. I think what actually | :30:35. | :30:38. | |
they believe in is quite a liberal proposal, which is to say there | :30:38. | :30:44. | |
should be as many organisations providing advice as possible, that | :30:44. | :30:49. | |
shouldn't be an exclufive list - exclusive list. You wouldn't call | :30:49. | :30:54. | |
Nadine Dorries as a liberal on this? Her original frame was to | :30:54. | :30:58. | |
widen the choice of organisations, that is quite liberal. Is it your | :30:58. | :31:02. | |
reading, then, that this is an administration that is socially | :31:02. | :31:08. | |
liberal? I think it is socially liberal. But social liberalism | :31:08. | :31:11. | |
always comes to a point where people say we know what you are | :31:11. | :31:16. | |
liberal about, and the big problem is what to do about it. That is | :31:16. | :31:21. | |
where it gets awkward for David Cameron. He wants to be seen as | :31:21. | :31:24. | |
socially caring, sometimes the things you need to do as socially | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
caring come up against socially liberalism. In the autumn he will | :31:28. | :31:33. | |
go on about care homes and wanting to have more children taken out of | :31:33. | :31:37. | |
care and adopted or fostered. You have to make stringent decisions | :31:37. | :31:40. | |
and some people disagree or take different views. Whether you call | :31:40. | :31:45. | |
that socially liberal, he would call it socially responsible. | :31:45. | :31:50. | |
he talks, as he talked after the riots about a sickness in our | :31:50. | :31:55. | |
society, what side is he coming at that from? He's being Conservative | :31:55. | :32:01. | |
there, he's recognising, firstly, the response to the riots was one | :32:01. | :32:07. | |
of imposing law once more and asserting primacy of law and order. | :32:07. | :32:11. | |
His analysis and the explanation of what is going wrong in society, it | :32:11. | :32:15. | |
is historic for him, he has been talking since he became Tory Party | :32:15. | :32:20. | |
leader in 2005 about the importance of restoring the social bond | :32:20. | :32:22. | |
between communities and family and restoring a healthy society. I | :32:22. | :32:28. | |
don't think that runs counter to a liberal world view, but it is one | :32:28. | :32:32. | |
that requires a recognition of the importance of relationships, | :32:32. | :32:35. | |
tradition, stability, and so on. There will be tensions, there are | :32:35. | :32:39. | |
tensions within all of us. We all want to be free and determine our | :32:39. | :32:44. | |
own fate and destiny and what we do with our bodies, in this question | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
about abortion, on the other hand we want to belong and be part of | :32:47. | :32:51. | |
something. We want to be part of a community that we can believe in. | :32:51. | :32:54. | |
This tension is natural one in the human heart, and one that politics | :32:54. | :33:01. | |
is all about resolving. Policy by policy. A lot of it is with people | :33:01. | :33:04. | |
talking about the role of the state. They are taiching the state to what | :33:04. | :33:09. | |
their own view is. If Mr Cameron is doing something that is seen to | :33:09. | :33:12. | |
push back the state he can't be socially responsible. That is | :33:12. | :33:17. | |
something he has to be clearer about. You can see's constantly at | :33:17. | :33:22. | |
the moment being accused of not being a moderniser. If you look at | :33:22. | :33:25. | |
the accusation it is modernising in the way of the Labour Party. Or | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
taking a solution that relies on the state in some form. He has | :33:29. | :33:36. | |
never really, despite many years, and work by people like us, he has | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
never found the clear language to say the state can't be the provider | :33:41. | :33:46. | |
of all solutions and it is better to have a lot of other providers to | :33:46. | :33:51. | |
help with things. And then with the abortion row how quickly it is | :33:52. | :33:58. | |
coming up questioning if he's an older moralising politician. It is | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
difficult for him. It is a difficult thing to prevent? Anne is | :34:02. | :34:06. | |
right, it is difficult to articulate a philosophy of freedom | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
in the context of the social obligations we have and the Prime | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
Minister believes in. There are two forms of modernisation, there is | :34:14. | :34:17. | |
the modernisation Tony Blair epitomised, all about the fetish | :34:17. | :34:21. | |
for the future, and liberty and individual freedom. And the | :34:21. | :34:23. | |
modernisation I think David Cameron represents, which is recognising | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
what has gone wrong with society, and the need to restore the social | :34:27. | :34:31. | |
ponds and the relationships so key to social well being. That doesn't | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
always require a socially liberal set of policies, it actually | :34:35. | :34:40. | |
requires some fairly old fashioned policies, about family formation, | :34:40. | :34:44. | |
encouraging couples to stay together. That hasn't happened and | :34:44. | :34:48. | |
the coalition hasn't done. That Those who say it is an incredibly | :34:48. | :34:51. | |
right-wing Government, are wrong. Conservative backbenchers think the | :34:51. | :34:56. | |
Liberal Democrats tail is wagging the Tory dog in the Government and | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
they have had to abandon their more socially Conservative instincts. If | :34:59. | :35:04. | |
you look at what they believe in, they would like to see more of the | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
policies n tax and benefits in particular, that sustain healthy | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
families, and run something against the libertarianism that we saw in | :35:11. | :35:15. | |
the last years of Labour. You are getting slightly into pick and mix | :35:15. | :35:17. | |
here. The problem they have politically is sometimes, it is | :35:17. | :35:22. | |
hard on any given issue to guess straight away which way they are | :35:22. | :35:25. | |
going to move. You could say that is a good thing, they are thinking | :35:25. | :35:31. | |
on their feet and being flexible. But we know that politics is about | :35:31. | :35:35. | |
reckon ability and leadership, if you come back and then address the | :35:35. | :35:43. | |
riots in that tone, and I think that was a tone that would be | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
recognisably Conservative, but on the other hand you are saying you | :35:48. | :35:52. | |
are socially liberal and looking at everything with an open-mind. He | :35:52. | :35:57. | |
has to find clarity of tone in the conference season, I think the tone | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
is incoherent rather than the policies. In a couple of years time | :36:00. | :36:05. | |
Croatia will become the 28th member of the European Union. It is seen | :36:05. | :36:09. | |
there as way of finally escaping the visceral subterranean politics | :36:09. | :36:14. | |
of the Balkans. But for the real underground of the country, its | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
literal underground, and specifically the astonishing | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
variety of wildlife, membership of the EU is another proposition | :36:21. | :36:26. | |
already. The EU has strict concerns for the variety. The amazing | :36:26. | :36:30. | |
animals of the Balkan caves, the best cave wildlife in the world, | :36:30. | :36:33. | |
ought to be protected. As we report, the prospect of joining the | :36:33. | :36:43. | |
:36:43. | :36:51. | ||
European Union might actually be endangering them. | :36:51. | :36:59. | |
Welcome to the realm of the first Europeans. The last survivors of an | :36:59. | :37:05. | |
earlier earth, who found refuge below. | :37:05. | :37:08. | |
They have travelled a unique evolutionary journey, which | :37:08. | :37:18. | |
scientists are only beginning to map. Look what we have found, it is | :37:18. | :37:23. | |
a sponge. Jana Bedek and her team have just | :37:23. | :37:28. | |
won an international award for revealing the secret life of caves. | :37:28. | :37:31. | |
And championing the fact that when it comes to cave dwellers, Europe | :37:31. | :37:39. | |
has the best. The other continents have their own | :37:39. | :37:45. | |
animals, rich fauna within rainforest, Maureen ecosystems and | :37:45. | :37:49. | |
so on, in this area of Europe we have cave fawn national cirriculum | :37:49. | :37:54. | |
really important at world level. This is the only fresh water cave | :37:54. | :37:58. | |
sponge in the world. Recent scientific advances have shown us | :37:58. | :38:01. | |
just how important cave life is. It is very distinctive, there could be | :38:01. | :38:06. | |
waeb of life in this cave that is completely different from one a | :38:06. | :38:10. | |
kilometer or two down the road. And yet, just as we are realising how | :38:10. | :38:17. | |
important cave life is, it comes under particular threat. | :38:17. | :38:21. | |
These unusual entities cling to existence in a massive shard of | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
limestone, which splits Croatia and parts of its Balkan neighbours. | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
Over many millions of years, water has dissolved untold thousands of | :38:30. | :38:34. | |
caves, tunnels and rivers. Here, the underworld is much more than a | :38:34. | :38:43. | |
myth. But modern Croatia seems untroubled | :38:43. | :38:48. | |
by what lies beneath. It they are emerging from a recent turbulent | :38:48. | :38:53. | |
past, with an ardent desire to develop. Politically that means | :38:53. | :38:57. | |
joining the European Union. Economically it means lots more | :38:57. | :39:03. | |
roads, railways and power plants. The Government's view is that with | :39:03. | :39:07. | |
40% of the country undershot by cave networks, these precious | :39:07. | :39:13. | |
environments must give up some treasures. Some caves have been | :39:13. | :39:21. | |
destroyed because of a need for building some very important | :39:21. | :39:26. | |
national ij fra structure. Of course the - infrastructure. Of | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
course in nature protection we have to think first of all to protect | :39:30. | :39:34. | |
them. If some valuable caves have to go, for development, that's | :39:34. | :39:42. | |
acceptable? Probably, yes. I can agree with that. | :39:42. | :39:47. | |
Some have already gone. This is Ogulin, a small town, hiding a | :39:47. | :39:57. | |
:39:57. | :39:57. | ||
dirty secret. As you can see, unfortunately, in this cave people | :39:57. | :40:07. | |
were dumping their rubbish for dozens of years. That's disgusting | :40:07. | :40:13. | |
isn't it. Is this acceptable in the caves of Croatia? This is common. | :40:13. | :40:18. | |
Almost near every settlement we have similar scenarios. It is just | :40:18. | :40:23. | |
full of what society wants to forget. In some caves there are | :40:23. | :40:31. | |
even unexploded bombs. The train takes Jana to her favourite | :40:31. | :40:35. | |
underground stop, and the direction she would like to take with | :40:35. | :40:42. | |
Croatia's caves. This is Postonja, just across the border into | :40:42. | :40:46. | |
Slovenia. As a member of the EU, European law | :40:46. | :40:54. | |
protects the species and plentiful tourists help pay the bill. | :40:54. | :41:01. | |
Beautiful, and yet chilling. It feels totally alien. It is like a | :41:01. | :41:04. | |
melting ice-cream, it looks soft but it is hard. | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
These are the creatures who truly belong here. Without eyes or | :41:09. | :41:15. | |
pigment, they are totally adapted to life without light. On top of | :41:15. | :41:21. | |
the food chain, the cave salamander, presumed in the past to be a baby | :41:21. | :41:29. | |
dragon. It was proved this animal could live up to 60, 70 years, | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
perhaps even 100 years. 100 years old? It could be. Amazing. Where | :41:34. | :41:44. | |
:41:44. | :41:44. | ||
are we going now? We will go to a non-tourist part. We are now around | :41:45. | :41:52. | |
two miles into the mountain. Unseen in the waters and on the walls all | :41:52. | :41:59. | |
around us are ancient species. Over ten million years the climate of | :41:59. | :42:04. | |
Europe swung wildly with ice sheets and deserts scouring life from the | :42:04. | :42:09. | |
surface. Some animals retreated here. It was the shielded bunker | :42:09. | :42:13. | |
for life. Surviving environmental Armageddon, down here, safe in the | :42:13. | :42:19. | |
dark. Does that mean we have some of the oldest, in fact the oldest | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
animals of Europe down here? believe we can say here that these | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
cave animal, and we can prove with Monday elect later DNA that these | :42:29. | :42:34. | |
animals are older, maybe the oldest lineage of animal that is survived | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
on the European continent. They survived in these areas for some | :42:37. | :42:43. | |
million years, it is not acceptable that they will be exbe ticket | :42:43. | :42:49. | |
because of human activity. Extinct because of human activity. | :42:49. | :42:54. | |
This is the latest threatening human activity, hydroelectricity, | :42:54. | :42:57. | |
that floods caves and valleys alike. At least 20 schemes are planned | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
across the country. It may yield low carbon power, but it is high | :43:02. | :43:06. | |
impact on local wildlife. And down towards the eastern tip of the | :43:06. | :43:11. | |
country, near Dubrovnik, is the latest battle front. Right | :43:11. | :43:15. | |
underneath the border with Bosnia, and once a frontline in the Balkan | :43:15. | :43:19. | |
war. It is a struggle even to reach the mouth of the cave. Not much | :43:19. | :43:24. | |
further I'm told. But that hasn't put off engineers from planning to | :43:24. | :43:31. | |
seal the cave network with a huge concrete barrier. This river is | :43:32. | :43:35. | |
connected with subterranean passages, channels, with the | :43:35. | :43:41. | |
entrance we are near. When we calculate all the species we have | :43:41. | :43:45. | |
found in this cave, this cave is the richest with animals in | :43:45. | :43:51. | |
Croatiania. They want to put 130ms of on Crete into the cave. That | :43:51. | :43:55. | |
will completely destroyed all habitats. Croatia is expected to | :43:55. | :44:00. | |
join the European Union in two years. And tighter environmental | :44:00. | :44:06. | |
laws from then should help protect these animals. But Jana believes | :44:06. | :44:10. | |
that membership deadline is hastening the current destruction | :44:10. | :44:14. | |
deadline. They are rushing for all the permits needed, by the time we | :44:14. | :44:18. | |
will be in the European Union it would not be possible to get them. | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
Now is the only chance to get all the permits to have this power | :44:21. | :44:26. | |
plant. The EU's representative in Zagreb | :44:26. | :44:31. | |
is aware of the risk, but insists their vigilance protects habitats, | :44:32. | :44:37. | |
even prior to membership. I am my impression is this country is | :44:37. | :44:43. | |
preparing itself very well for implementing the regulatory | :44:43. | :44:46. | |
framework of the European Union, and that is a process that does not | :44:46. | :44:51. | |
happen overnight. You are sure, are you, that Croatia isn't getting its | :44:51. | :44:54. | |
dirty work over now in the two or three years before they join? | :44:54. | :44:58. | |
because in the meantime the officials of the European | :44:58. | :45:02. | |
Commission will be very close in contact with the Croatian | :45:02. | :45:08. | |
authorities. Keeping a close eye on them? Yes. Europe's surface life is | :45:08. | :45:13. | |
well documented, but down here, we're just beginning. Jana finds at | :45:13. | :45:19. | |
least one new species on every field trip, and has hundreds | :45:19. | :45:23. | |
awaiting recognition. Fears remain this scientific resource will be | :45:23. | :45:28. | |
lost in a rush to develop, and we will move straight from ignorance | :45:28. | :45:31. | |
to elimination. Radio 4 listeners can hear, | :45:31. | :45:38. | |
although not see, more of Croatia's environmental challenge in Costing | :45:38. | :45:48. | |
:45:48. | :46:05. | ||
That's all from Newsnight tonight. At sunset this evening the people | :46:05. | :46:08. | |
of would the son basset in Wiltshire marked the end of the | :46:08. | :46:12. | |
custom they have established in marking the return home of the | :46:12. | :46:14. | |
bodies of service personnel killed in action abroad. Hundreds of | :46:14. | :46:24. | |
:46:24. | :46:57. | ||
Hello there. Most of us will have another dry day on through, and | :46:57. | :47:01. | |
another fairly cloudy day. That said southern countryies of England | :47:01. | :47:06. | |
and Wales should have lovely September sun yin, by the afternoon | :47:06. | :47:15. | |
feeling warm in the country. A few breaks over Northern Ireland | :47:15. | :47:18. | |
England. Over much of East Anglia expect cloud. The southern counties | :47:18. | :47:21. | |
should brighten up, there should be good spells of sunshine. In the | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
sunshine it will be warm. A breeze picking up across the south west, | :47:25. | :47:30. | |
elsewhere in the sun it will feel pleasant, temperatures up to 21. | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
Same goes for South Wales, sunny spells and a lot of cloud. Pretty | :47:34. | :47:38. | |
grey too in Northern Ireland. Here every now and then we may get some | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
breaks in the cloud, a hint of sunshine. Threatening rain over the | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
Western Isles late in the day. The north-east of Scotland may see | :47:47. | :47:51. | |
sunshine at times. Overall northern Britain will be cloudy, but dry on | :47:51. | :47:56. | |
Thursday, that rain pushing into the Western Isles late on Thursday, | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
it spreads widely across parts of the north on Friday, in the south | :47:59. | :48:04. | |
most of England and Wales should be warmer with sunshine, temperatures | :48:04. | :48:09. | |
should well reach the mid-20s in the capital. In the south sunny | :48:09. | :48:12. |