03/10/2011 Newsnight


03/10/2011

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Hello from Manchester. Scene of the annual gathering of the dominant

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part of our Government. Some hours ago, the Chancellor of the

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Exchequer, stood up, in this hall, and told us how he's hoping to save

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the economy. He mentioned a technique to help business, but

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even his own ministers found it hard to explain exactly what it was.

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This cabinet minister understands credit easing, as doubtless, do

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almost all of these 80-odd Tory members, they may even agree what

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it is, they certainly don't agree on Europe. Neither does this man,

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who might have been leader of the party, and this eminent Liberal

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Democrat, who is here to put the Euro-sceptics right, mix in a

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couple of irritating commentators and we ought to have the makings of

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We are not emphatically not to call the main scheme to boost the

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economy by the Chancellor today, a dodge, a wheeze, a bit of creative

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accounting, or indeed charge on the taxpayer. When he announced he was

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introducing called credit easing, even the Chancellor's own ministers

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hadn't a clear idea what he was talking about. David Grossman will

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explain it all in a moment. The prevailing tone of the Chancellor's

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speech to the 4,000 though members of his party here was somber, or

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calling a spade a spade, dull. Dull, because he didn't have much to say.

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This is no time for gagsters. Here is David Grossman with everything

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you ever wanted to know about credit easing.

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There is not so much good news to be had on the economy right now.

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The black hole of the debt crisis sits on top of the conference like

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a, black hole. Many would cheer to the rafter on things like more

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defence spending and tax cuts, but they have all been lost into the

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spinning more. But the ministers are keen that the electoral chances

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don't follow them into the abyss, so out of the back hole a little

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light emerged. To adapt PDWodehouse there is a comparison between a

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Chancellor with a a hole to fill and a ray of sunshine. The doom and

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gloom thing isn't playing well, but they don't want to give up the idea

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that they will rip up the deficit strategy. What to do, not so much

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plan B, as plan, be a bit more cheerful.

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Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome the Chancellor of the

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Exchequer, George Osborne. George Osborne gave his party a

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flash of the smile that has been absent from his speeches in recent

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years, as well as some encouraging words. I don't want anyone to

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underestimate the gravity of the situation facing the world economy.

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But he also don't want anyone to think that the situation is

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hopeless. That there is nothing we can do. Yes, the difficulties are

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great. But we should be careful not to talk ourselves into something

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worse. This being a party conference, the Chancellor's

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starting point was a pop at the Labour Party. In the process, a pop

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at one of his cabinet colleagues as well. Economic adviser to Gordon

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Brown, I'm not sure I would put that on my CV if I was Ed Balls.

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:03:59.:03:59.

It's like personal trainer to Eric Pickles! Claim - The Chancellor

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wasn't just giving out smiles and gags too, there was money too, �805

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million to pay for a council tax freeze in England only. �145

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million on new infrastructure, like spreading mobile phone coverage,

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and �50 million for research. All to be paid for by using money

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unspent from existing budgets. But this was definitely not Mr Osborne

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relaxing his fiscal grip. The overall spending will stay the same.

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Not only Labour, but some Conservatives as well, want a

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change to. That they want tax cuts, especially for businesses. Don't

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think I haven't thought hard about what more we could do, that I don't

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explore every single option. I do. But borrowing too much is the cause

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of Britain's problems, not the solution.

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APPLAUSE But perhaps the most significant

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thing the Chancellor did today was to introduce us to a new bit of

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economic jargon. I have set the Treasury to work on ways to inject

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money directly into parts of the economy that need it such as small

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business. It's known as credit easing.

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In short, this means the Treasury lending money to businesses, even

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if the banks won't. Is there a problem with this, we did have

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Project Merlin which was supposed to get lending going to businesses?

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If that was working, if Project Merlin was working really

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effectively, you might think there wasn't a great need for Government

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support to businesses. It may be, and there probably is the case that

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there are businesses out there that can't get money from banks. There

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are two sorts, one sorts where Government, or whoever lends them

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will make money because they are viable enterprise, and others not

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getting money for good reason, which is they couldn't pay it back.

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How has the speech gone down. At the weekend this senior

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Conservative MP described the Government's long-term economic

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policy as "inconsistent and incoherent". Today, well he was

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full of praise for the Chancellor. I'm greatly encouraged by the

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speech. Particularly the emphasis on making sure we protect people's

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living standards. A relentless drive to secure growth in the

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economy. But what's this? If we rewind the

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tape, we see this positive take followed a lengthy chat with Steve

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Hilton, the Prime Minister's head of strategy. Evidence, according to

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some, of a bit of political nobbling. However, if we rewind the

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tape even further, we can see that Steve Hilton, with three other

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senior Number Ten insiders, just happened past the site of the

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interview, it was the MP who wanted the chat. Steve, one point. Let's

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go in there. However, if Steve Hilton will have to put his arm

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around every critic of the Government's economic policy, well,

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he will be a very busy man. With us now is the Transport

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Secretary, Philip Hammond. Now this credit easing, how much money is

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involved? We don't know yet, there is not a fixed limit. You don't

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know? The Chancellor hasn't set a fixed limit. He has asked the

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Treasury to look at the ways in which the Treasury could use its

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balance sheet, to deliver credit directly to the parts of the

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economy that need it, and then we will estimate the quantity of

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demand for that kind of credit. much money might be available for

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it? It could be billions of pounds. How many billions, roughly? This

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isn't a totally new idea as suggested by David in the tape.

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you haven't had time to work it out? In opposition we talked about

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a national loan guarantee scheme, it is designed to do the same thing,

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get money to the parts of the economy that aren't been reached, a

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few tens of billions of pounds if that was the demand. When there l

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it be available? The Chancellor has tasked the Treasury with looking

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for the openings for delivering the credit easing. It is likely there

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will be different types of approach, that are appropriate for different

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types of business. So mid--cap businesses, which could act. What

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does a mid-cap business? Middle- sized companies. Companies

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employing 200-300 people, could be cable to access a bond mark. That

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could be done relatively quickly. Packaging up much smaller loans to

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smaller businesses may take a bit longer. Does this appear on the

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Government's books? If the Government uses its balance sheet

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to lend to businesses through credit easing, it wouldn't add to

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the deficit, because the Government would be buying liquid financial

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instruments in exchange. Is it similar to PFI or other wheezes

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used by the previous Government? is similar to what the Bank of

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England is doing to the quantitative easing, it is buying

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Government debt, this would be something that got credit directly

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through to private sector business that is couldn't get credit from

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the banking system. So it is an admission that project

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merllirn, the scheme to get banks to - Project Merlin, the scheme to

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get banks to lend to businesses has failed? It hasn't failed. In the

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first half of the year the banks have met their target for lending

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to small and medium enterprises. that case you set the target too

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small? The target for the banks was set to what they could deliver on

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the basis of the balance sheets they have. There is clearly more

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demand in the economy for credit than the banking system, crippled

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as it is. Than you realise? No, the banking system, because of the

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problems we have been through is able to meet. You were talking

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about this ages ago, you knew Project Merlin would not be enough?

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No, we were talking about a national loan guarantee scheme in

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opposition, as way of adding to the lending the banks could get through,

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to small and medium-sized businesses. This monetary activism,

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that the Chancellor is talking about, is that another, what he

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called, Ponzi scheme? Not at all. You could describe this as a form

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of monetary activism. What the Chancellor is keen to emphasise is

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we are not going to back down or compromise in any way, our

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commitment to closing the fiscal deficit. Eliminating the structural

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fiscal deficit over the life of this parliament. That doesn't mean

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we are powerless to act to hp business and stimulate growth. We

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can do that through monetary activism, making sure interest

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rates remain low and credit gets through to the economy. Some

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people's brains will short circuit at the moment about what is on and

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off the Government books. Is it accurate, that if you start

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investing in these small or medium enterprise companies, and they go

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belly-up, the taxpayer is exposed to the loss is that right? It is

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true that the Government would put its balance sheet at risk during

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the exercise, that is the point of the exercise. The risk has to be

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properly priced by an independent credit rating institution. Who will

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make the decision? In terms of lending, it depends on the conduit.

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If it is bonds purchased in the market they are bonds done in the

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usual way, by bond credit agencies. If it is packages of small business

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loans packaged together for the purpose, it will probably be the

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banks who have the existing relationships with those businesses

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who are charged with making the credit and lending decision. So the

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Government, and therefore the taxpayer, could lose money on this?

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Well, there is a contingent liability, but that will be priced

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for. This will not be free money. That is a way of saying yes, a

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contingent liability? That means there is a risk, of course there is

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a risk. But nobody is suggesting that there is no risk. But what we

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believe is that given the demand for credit in the economy, the

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urgent need to support small and medium-sized businesses, this is a

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risk that the Government should be prepared to take, provided it is

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properly priced and managed. Just on the broader question of how

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this party now looks to you today. A lot of people are saying this

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looks a very different kind of Tory Party to the Tory Party we were

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familiar with. Do you think it's different? No, I don't think so. If

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you are talking about credit easing this is the direct descentant of

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the national loan guarantee system. I mean the people here, and how

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they greeted George Osborne's economic strategy today, the sort

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of things they are worried about. Does it seem to you a different

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Tory Party? The party has clearly changed over the six years since

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David Cameron took the leadership. It has become younger, more diverse,

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and we're all believing that is a good thing. It has changed? Over

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the last six years, definitely. Let's go to some of the audience

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now. Let's start off with George Osborne, who is excited by credit

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easing? Three people were, four people were. Very good, you in the

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front row, go on. As an 18-year-old, I'm extremely worried by the

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structural deficit we have inherited from Labour, and

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therefore, a scheme that is a value waited risk, that will put money

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into businesses to deliver jobs and growth, has to be a good thing for

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my future and this country. Are you an economist? I did an economics A-

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level last summer. That is good enough in this Government, I

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imagine! All right, you are slightly more qualified. The lady

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at the back there, very hard to see you in the darkness. I'm a local

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councillor in Bedford, I'm really pleased that more money will come

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into local Government. Do you feel the fact the Chancellor had to

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announce this, is an indication that what has been advocated

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previously, the Project Merlin, to get the banks, allegedly, to lend,

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has succeeded or failed? pleased he has identified there is

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an extended need for small businesses to get money. I'm

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pleased he has identified that we need in local Government more money.

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That's terrific. Lady in the second row with your

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hand up? I have been working with a start-up company, and they have

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been to over 90 different avenues to get credit. This is a small-

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smedum enterprise, it is British, they can't - small-medium

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enterprise, it is British, they can't get credit. Anything for them

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I'm for. All you Tories, what you really want is tax cuts? Yes.

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Anyone not want tax cuts right now? Does anybody disappointed. You can

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have your say in a minute. Was anybody disappointed the Chancellor

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didn't say anything about tax cuts today? You're all very loyal! Go on

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then, Philip? We all want tax cuts when it is affordable. We are a

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tax-cutting party. We believe that lower taxes are the way to

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stimulate enterprise and get the economy growing. But we also know

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that we have an immediate challenge in getting rid of the deficit we

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have inherited from Labour. The Chancellor's policy was endorsed

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today by SMP, reaffirming, the ratings agency. Who have such a

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dodgy record. They reaffirmed Britain's Triple A credit rating,

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means people can go on looking forward to low cost interest rates

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and borrowing, and the Government can borrow at German rates of

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interest, even though we have a Greek level of debt. Going back to

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earlier, talking about how much this party has changed. Here we

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have about what, 80 Conservatives, and there is not one of them wants

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a tax cut now. That is a mark of how it has changed? This is

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responsible Government. Every one of these people. They are not in

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Government. Would like to see tax cuts when it is affordable and

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sustainable. The boy with the economics A-level is nodding his

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head! As the Chancellor said we don't want tax cuts for Christmas,

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Ed Balls side, that have to be reversed 18 months or a year later.

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APPLAUSE. I tell you what their loyalty hasn't changed, has it!

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Let's fix the deficit w when we can - And when we can afford it, let's

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treat ourselves to a tax cut. love that dare not speak its name

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inside the conference hall is, wait for it, Europe. With the euro

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threatening to plunge the economy into intensive care, it is all over

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the fringe meetings like a nasty rash. The state of the single

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currency has made plain the extent to which anxiety over membership of

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the project has not been eradicated from the party's nervous system, it

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has just been dormant. There was a crisis in the eurozone, and can be

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seen on the streets of Greece. But the reverbations are being felt

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back here in Britain. The Chancellor is leaving the

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Conservative conference early to meet the EU finance ministers

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tomorrow. The eurozone needs to end all the speculation, decide what

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they are going to do with Greece, and then stick to that decision.

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APPLAUSE Britain is not immune to all this

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instability. And he could have said, neither is his own political party.

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In recent years the Conservatives have been relatively united on

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Europe, putting aside those divisions that characterised the

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last period in office. Now new divisions are opening up, over how

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to prevent a Greek tragedy turning into a bigger drama for Britain.

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And a rather bizarre venue has been chosen to hold some of those

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discussions. And, this is no jo, these Conservatives have come to

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take advice from a foreigner. A leader of an increasingly Euro-

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sceptic party in Finland, and doesn't see the current bailout of

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Greece as a laughing matter. He favours a referendum on EU

:18:15.:18:20.

membership. I wouldn't know know what I would want if I was British.

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What would you vote? No, get out. Only a handful of MPs believe the

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current crisis is the perfect time to hold a referendum on EU

:18:30.:18:40.
:18:40.:18:41.

The Foreign Secretary wasn't exactly rushing to respond to this,

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when invited by Newsnight. How are you doing.

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I'll give interviews at the scheduled time, thank you.

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Some MPs take up slightly more subtle approaches, they want to

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renegotiation the relationship with Europe, then put the question to

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the people. People feel we get a lousy deal with Europe, some people

:19:01.:19:05.

want to renegotiate the deal in a fundamental way, some people say

:19:05.:19:11.

why bother, just get out. I'm happy to support a referendum, but I

:19:11.:19:14.

would like our Government to engage in a renegotiation. It would be

:19:14.:19:18.

better to say to the European partners, there are terms we would

:19:18.:19:22.

consider saying, we would need the permission of the British people,

:19:22.:19:28.

negotiate the terms and ask the people. By far those on the

:19:28.:19:35.

backbenches believe the current environment provides the chance to

:19:35.:19:40.

rewrite history, without the need of a vote. Talk of referendums is

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premature, and a distraction from the important thing, what do we

:19:44.:19:48.

want the European Union to do in the 21st century. We have to do the

:19:48.:19:52.

heavy lifting and ask how do we take powers back in employment

:19:52.:19:55.

policy, social policy, health and safety policy. What do we need to

:19:55.:20:01.

do to get there. And, when we finally did catch up

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with a more talkive Foreign Secretary, seemed to be suggesting

:20:04.:20:08.

he was a prisoner of a coalition, longing to be free.

:20:08.:20:14.

I do think the European Union has too much power. We set out in our

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manifesto, if there had been an entirely Conservative Government,

:20:17.:20:21.

some of the areas that the, the Prime Minister areas, in which we

:20:22.:20:26.

believe it has - prime areas, in which we believe it has too much

:20:26.:20:29.

power. I don't believe it is up to the European Union to set the

:20:29.:20:33.

working hours of junior doctors in the hospital in my constituency. I

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don't think that has anything interest there.

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There may be no change at all when Britain's relationship with the EU,

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the great fear of many Conservatives is the influence of

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the Liberal Democrats will mean an opportunity for reform will be lost.

:20:46.:20:49.

I think they are doing too much wagging of the dog f that's what

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you mean. I think we ought to show a bit more leadership. And he had

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this message for the Foreign Secretary. I would say to William,

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listen to the views of the party. They elect us, they select us, they

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support us. It's about time we listened to them a little more.

:21:05.:21:08.

Chancellor wants to see greater stability in the eurozone, to help

:21:08.:21:13.

the world economy. That, in turn, may also help quell demands from

:21:13.:21:16.

party activist, for a more radical transformation in Britain's

:21:16.:21:23.

relationship with the rest of the Philip Hammond is still here, we

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have been joined by the Liberal Democrat MP, Don Foster, here in

:21:28.:21:32.

Manchester, making a film for a programme called The Daily Politics,

:21:32.:21:35.

and by David Davis, the former shadow Home Secretary, who has

:21:36.:21:41.

edited a book out today, that sets out the future of Conservatism.

:21:41.:21:44.

Philip Hammond, I know you have to go in a second or two. But quite

:21:44.:21:47.

clearly the vast majority of your party want to have a referendum,

:21:47.:21:51.

why can't they have it? Well, I think the pressing issue, at the

:21:51.:21:56.

moment, is to stablise the situation in the eurozone. We do

:21:56.:22:01.

50% of your trade with the EU, 40% of our trade with the eurozone, and

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the immediate threat to Britain's prosperity and British jobs is from

:22:05.:22:10.

the on going crisis in the eurozone. Let's focus on the big issues.

:22:11.:22:15.

Nobody is saying let's have a referendum in the next few weeks,

:22:15.:22:18.

nobody is suggesting it in that time frame. Why not promise them

:22:18.:22:22.

one next year? In the long-term, what most people in this country

:22:22.:22:25.

want to see is a rebalancing of our relationship with the European

:22:25.:22:28.

Union. They want to see a guarantee that more powers will not be

:22:28.:22:33.

transferred, we have given that guarantee. And they want to see,

:22:33.:22:37.

eventually, repatriation of powers over areas like employment law,

:22:37.:22:42.

social policy. Those are the things that actually matter. Completing

:22:42.:22:46.

the single market, making sure that we can continue to benefit from

:22:46.:22:49.

free trade with Europe is the key issue. Clearly it matters to large

:22:49.:22:51.

numbers of your members, it even matters to the Liberal Democrats.

:22:51.:22:56.

The Liberal Democrats at one point, recently, wanted a referendum on

:22:56.:23:00.

membership of the euro, and the European Union. Your own

:23:00.:23:04.

backbenchers want it, why are you flying in the face of all of them?

:23:04.:23:09.

My own personal is the immediate pressing issue is to deal with the

:23:09.:23:13.

challenges the economy faces. have said all that, it is not next

:23:13.:23:16.

week. We have to see the eurozone stablising and progress on

:23:16.:23:20.

completing the single market, so Britain can get the maximum

:23:20.:23:25.

possible benefit from its membership of the EU. Let's focus

:23:25.:23:29.

on those things that deliver practical benefit to people in this

:23:29.:23:32.

country. Once we have focused on them. Then can they have a

:23:32.:23:36.

referendum? Well, these things are for the future. I think we should

:23:36.:23:40.

focus on the immediate challenges. Why are you so wriggley on it?

:23:40.:23:44.

Because I think this is not the moment to be standing back and

:23:44.:23:47.

looking at this very long-term. doesn't have to be this moment t

:23:47.:23:51.

could be next year or the year after? I think we need to focus on

:23:51.:23:55.

the real need for our own interest, to stablise what is going on in the

:23:55.:24:02.

eurozone. Chaos in the eurozone will cost jobs in Britain.

:24:03.:24:06.

Let's ask one or two members of the audience, how many of you, just a

:24:06.:24:10.

show of hands, how many of you would like to a referendum in

:24:10.:24:18.

Europe, in or out? What is that, you are impartial, you two tell us

:24:18.:24:22.

you are on different sides of the face, I would say that is about 50-

:24:22.:24:25.

50. It is not a representative audience at all, it is entirely

:24:25.:24:29.

arbitary, because these people have nothing else to do at this time of

:24:29.:24:34.

night! One of you who had your hand up, why is it that, do you think,

:24:34.:24:38.

how long can they hold the line on not giving you a referendum?

:24:39.:24:43.

wants a referendum, put your hand up again? You in the front row.

:24:43.:24:51.

What do you feel about being denied the referendum? I really do believe

:24:51.:24:54.

that we were promised a referendum, I believe. I think it would be

:24:54.:24:58.

beneficial for the country to have it and then the question could be

:24:58.:25:02.

put to rest. We would know one way or the other the will of the people.

:25:02.:25:06.

Do you understand why you are not getting one? Not really, no.

:25:06.:25:10.

Anyone else, who else wants a referendum, you in the front row?

:25:10.:25:14.

think the French dumb is very important for the UK. I would also

:25:14.:25:23.

like to say on referendums, a message to his High Excellency Alex

:25:23.:25:28.

Salmond in Scotland, that this is the only referendum that really

:25:28.:25:31.

matters. Right at the back there? think it is something that affects

:25:31.:25:36.

every single person in the UK, we should be able to have a say on it.

:25:36.:25:40.

Do you accept it is not a good time do it? Not now, but we could have

:25:40.:25:44.

one in a few years, at least say it is a possibility, rather than not

:25:44.:25:48.

answering the question at all. you unhappy not being given one?

:25:48.:25:52.

One of the reasons I lost trust with Labour is we were promised it

:25:52.:25:57.

and it was taken away. I really hope it doesn't happen again.

:25:57.:26:01.

Don Foster, you campaigned on the promise of a referendum, didn't

:26:01.:26:07.

you? Yeah. And they haven't got it? Well, what we said and what I still

:26:07.:26:12.

believe is we should have a referendum when there is any

:26:12.:26:14.

significant change in the relationship between this country

:26:15.:26:19.

and the rest of Europe. I also believe that referendum shouldn't

:26:19.:26:22.

just be about whether people accept the change, but it should be the

:26:22.:26:25.

opportunity to have a straight forward, in-out referendum, which

:26:25.:26:30.

very many people in this country do want to have, and very many people

:26:30.:26:33.

who are particularly younger people, have never had an opportunity to

:26:33.:26:37.

have a say in that particular issue. So when we have a change, in the

:26:38.:26:42.

relationship, that is the time to have it. Just for the avoidance of

:26:42.:26:46.

doubt who among you feel there ought to be a referendum? I would

:26:46.:26:52.

vote definitely for. More power to Europe? It is not, no, no, come on,

:26:52.:26:59.

Jeremy. You are trying to wind everybody up. Philip has already

:26:59.:27:03.

given us the figures. 50% of our trade is with the European Union.

:27:03.:27:09.

That is no reason to let them run our lives? �200 billion worth of

:27:09.:27:14.

trade. 3.5 million jobs in this country are dependant on our

:27:14.:27:17.

relationship with the European Union. Do you think it is

:27:17.:27:22.

legitimate to deny people a referendum indefinitely?

:27:22.:27:26.

indefinitely. We will have in the next coming years huge

:27:26.:27:30.

transformations in the eurozone. The euro corrections will be

:27:30.:27:35.

enormous, whether we will see a more federal or fiscal Europe is

:27:35.:27:39.

coming. It is fair to say to people, what sort of relationship will you

:27:39.:27:45.

have, I'm not as Euro-sceptic as my friend her, not necessarily in-out,

:27:45.:27:49.

do you want a trading relationship or political relationship. That is

:27:49.:27:54.

a fair thing to put to them. Euro-sceptic is David Cameron, he

:27:54.:27:58.

has used the words himself, is he sceptical about Europe? He is

:27:58.:28:01.

sceptical, I have known him 20 years and throughout that time he

:28:01.:28:06.

has been Euro-sceptic. But he is in a coalition, he has to be leader

:28:06.:28:12.

and diplomat at the same time. he imprisoned by people like Don

:28:12.:28:15.

Foster? Imprisoned it a little strong, he's shackled to them!

:28:15.:28:20.

David Cameron knows, not only the trade benefit, but he also knows we

:28:20.:28:24.

can't tackle things like pollution problems, international crime, all

:28:24.:28:27.

those sorts of issues, we need to work together. Some people will say

:28:27.:28:31.

the way we are doing it needs to be reconfigured. I would accept that's

:28:31.:28:34.

why we have to have further discussions. Put him right?

:28:34.:28:39.

Illusion problems, sure, there are international pollution problems we

:28:39.:28:42.

need treaties over. International crime, I don't think there is much

:28:42.:28:47.

use out of Europe on international crime. Most of the effects of the

:28:47.:28:51.

European Arrest Warrant have been to have miscarriages of justice and

:28:51.:28:55.

use up police time unnessly there are lots of other areas -

:28:55.:28:58.

unnecessarily. There are lots of other areas I don't think Europe

:28:58.:29:03.

should have a say. Why should they dictate how long a junior doctor

:29:03.:29:06.

works, what has that to do with Brussels? That is surely why many

:29:06.:29:09.

people want a discussion about the nature of the relationship, then if

:29:09.:29:14.

it changes, that is when you have the referendum. You certainly don't

:29:14.:29:18.

do it now? We're not talking tomorrow, in the next couple of

:29:18.:29:21.

years. Let's sort out the current crisis we have got, that is the

:29:21.:29:26.

most important thing. If you had your way we would have been in the

:29:26.:29:30.

euro, wouldn't we? We said we would have gone in if the conditions were

:29:30.:29:35.

right, they were not right. That is what we said, that was the facts,

:29:35.:29:38.

come on. How much of the audience are

:29:39.:29:43.

persuaded by the protestations of Mr Foster here, his good intentions

:29:43.:29:51.

on the euro? None of you believe him? Why don't you believe him, he

:29:51.:29:59.

seems a trustworthy chap? Well there we are.

:29:59.:30:04.

Do you feel, David Davis, that what you could do in Government on

:30:04.:30:07.

Europe is actually circumscribed by the fact that the Liberal Democrats

:30:07.:30:12.

are in Government with you? course it is, that's, a coalition.

:30:12.:30:16.

Do you resent that? No, I approve of the coalition. It is better than

:30:16.:30:19.

the alternative, if you wanted Gordon Brown sitting here.

:30:19.:30:24.

APPLAUSE The simple truth is. We found

:30:24.:30:29.

something the audience aproves of! The simple truth is there are

:30:29.:30:32.

compromises on both sides. There are things the liberals are having

:30:32.:30:37.

to do I'm sure they don't like. We have to compromise with them. If

:30:37.:30:41.

this was a Tory-only Government, we would be much more robust on Europe,

:30:41.:30:46.

and rightly so. We will talk about some of this in a moment or two,

:30:46.:30:52.

who can forget Theresa May, now Home Secretary, talking about how

:30:52.:30:55.

many people thought of the Tories as the nasty party. They are not

:30:56.:30:59.

being nasty any longer about their coalition partners, the Liberal

:30:59.:31:03.

Democrats, as you have seen, the people they were calling feckless

:31:03.:31:06.

and unfit for Government only 18 months ago. That is in contrast to

:31:06.:31:09.

the talk at the Liberal Democrats own conference, where they spent

:31:09.:31:13.

much 6 their time talking about how left of their own devices,

:31:13.:31:18.

Conservatives would be sending small children up chimneys. Liberal

:31:18.:31:21.

Democrat ministers are the guarantors of fairness in a

:31:21.:31:25.

Government that would be an absolute nightmare without them.

:31:25.:31:31.

warning to the Conservative right here, we need no Tea Party tendency

:31:31.:31:35.

in Britain. In Government, yes, it means

:31:35.:31:39.

sometimes we have to be a bit awkward. As our coalition partners

:31:39.:31:44.

are finding out on a daily basis. Nick Clegg stuck with our

:31:44.:31:49.

agreements all the same. And we should always have the generosity

:31:49.:31:52.

of spirit to recognise the contribution he makes to turning

:31:52.:32:01.

this country around. Unfortunately, unlike today, in

:32:01.:32:04.

their long battle, our predecessors did not always have the good

:32:04.:32:10.

fortune of being supported by the liberals. Well, Don Foster and

:32:10.:32:14.

David Davis are still with us, why are you so ungracious? I don't

:32:14.:32:18.

think we are. There was some jokes. These people gave you your first

:32:18.:32:22.

chance in Government for 70 years, and all we saw at the Liberal

:32:22.:32:26.

Democrats conference was a lot of people being beastly about the

:32:26.:32:29.

Conservatives? Two things I would say, the first thing I would say, I

:32:29.:32:32.

don't think we were being beastly. I told some jokes at the conference

:32:32.:32:35.

about Tories, but I also told them about Liberal Democrats. There were

:32:35.:32:41.

more about the Liberal Democrats. An equality of beastliness!

:32:41.:32:44.

second thing is, the Tory Party didn't give us our opportunity to

:32:44.:32:51.

be in Government, the public decided that no one party should be

:32:51.:32:54.

in overall control of this party. We looked as a possible deal with

:32:54.:32:58.

the Labour Party, that didn't work, they didn't want it any way. For

:32:58.:33:01.

the sake of the country we came together. As David Davis

:33:01.:33:05.

acknowledges, and the vast majority of the people at the conference

:33:05.:33:07.

have acknowledged, that the two parties coming together has been in

:33:07.:33:11.

the public interest, it is actually working. Both parties are having to

:33:11.:33:14.

make compromises. Look at the problem we had over tuition fees,

:33:14.:33:19.

or the problem we are facing with the issue of for instance, police

:33:19.:33:22.

commissioners, which we are not particularly happy with, and we are

:33:22.:33:25.

accepting it as part of the deal. Both parties have made compromises

:33:25.:33:29.

for the sake of the country. Apart from keeping Gordon Brown out of

:33:29.:33:32.

Government what have the Liberal Democrats given you? Well, the

:33:32.:33:40.

votes to stay in Government! Look, there are...What Has the presence

:33:40.:33:44.

in Government given you? Some of it has been a liberal tendency. Sadly,

:33:44.:33:47.

I say they haven't been strong enough in some of their liberal

:33:48.:33:53.

tendencies. Sometimes I'm the most liberal person on the Tory benches.

:33:53.:33:57.

Crikey! The simple truth is we all have to make compromises. What you

:33:57.:34:00.

are seeing in the liberal conference is fear, fear of

:34:00.:34:03.

political extinction. Fear of what's been happening to them in

:34:03.:34:06.

local Government elections. They want to distance themselves and

:34:06.:34:10.

create a political difference. That is what's going on there. I'm

:34:10.:34:14.

afraid I wise crack on occasions that the liberals have the best

:34:14.:34:18.

seats on the aircraft but no parachutes. That is it, they feel

:34:18.:34:21.

trapped sometimes. You see people like people like Tim Farron being

:34:21.:34:24.

rude about Tories. It is no surprise, we can take it, we don't

:34:24.:34:28.

need to be rude back. We need a proper debate about what the

:34:28.:34:33.

coalition should be doing. I would be interested to hear from the

:34:33.:34:36.

audience here. What do you think the Lib Dems, leaving aside the

:34:36.:34:38.

possibility of a Labour Government or continued Labour Government,

:34:38.:34:42.

that aside, what has the presence of Liberal Democrats in a coalition

:34:42.:34:49.

Government given you guys? Can anybody think of it? Somebody has

:34:49.:34:53.

shouted not much. Can anybody think of anything positive? One hand gone

:34:53.:34:57.

up there, in the green shirt? they have done what they said. In

:34:57.:35:01.

the national interest hef come together with us, to help - they

:35:01.:35:06.

have come together with us, to form a Government, we have been able to

:35:06.:35:10.

put forward many of our manifesto commitments that we wouldn't have

:35:10.:35:13.

done in a minority Government. I'm pleased about that. Some of the tax

:35:13.:35:18.

policies aren't too bad, taking people earning less than �10,000

:35:18.:35:21.

out of the tax system completely is very effective, something we should

:35:21.:35:26.

have thought of ourselves. What do you think you could have done if

:35:26.:35:30.

you had an unfettered, free hand, anybody with any suggestions. What

:35:30.:35:33.

about the Human Rights Act, for example? They have stuck you with

:35:33.:35:43.
:35:43.:35:44.

that? You're all happy about that? Right at the back? I think one

:35:44.:35:48.

issue that troubles me is the renewable agenda coming from the

:35:48.:35:50.

Liberal Democrats is not necessarily economically viable,

:35:50.:35:54.

that was something George Osborne raised today. Our renewable agenda

:35:54.:35:58.

is important, we must get it right, but not to the detriment of

:35:58.:36:02.

economic benefit of the country. We can't go bankrupt because we must

:36:02.:36:06.

have wind turbines, we wouldn't have that if we didn't have

:36:06.:36:12.

liberals in the department. other points? This point that, take

:36:12.:36:17.

the green agenda there, and George Osborne said today that we were

:36:17.:36:20.

promising, David Cameron was promising we would be the most

:36:20.:36:23.

green Government in Europe. George Osborne says this is nuts, we will

:36:23.:36:26.

go at the pace of every other country in Europe, are you days

:36:26.:36:31.

poifrpbted by that as a Liberal Democrat? - disappointed by that as

:36:31.:36:37.

a Liberal Democrat? I am glaed you raised that. I think everybody has

:36:37.:36:40.

to come together to take action. Some of the things the coalition

:36:40.:36:43.

Government has announced that came from Liberal Democrats, for

:36:43.:36:47.

instance the green deal, insulating far more homes, afterall, our homes

:36:48.:36:52.

give off more energy, waste more energy, than in Scandinavia. The

:36:52.:36:57.

temperatures are much lower in Scandinavia. We will create 100,000

:36:57.:37:01.

jobs to get our homes insulated. Nobody would disagree with that.

:37:01.:37:06.

Very few people would disagree with the world's first, the Green

:37:06.:37:12.

Investment Bank, that will actually have �3 billion to invest in

:37:12.:37:17.

British industries, creating renewable technologies, produce

:37:17.:37:21.

turbines in some ports that are no longer building ships. I suspect

:37:21.:37:26.

very few people disagree with that. That has told you! It is

:37:26.:37:29.

interesting looking at this audience, they don't seem to me to

:37:29.:37:33.

have profound. There are some significant policy differences, but

:37:33.:37:37.

there is not a profound agravation at the presence of a restraining

:37:37.:37:41.

influence on Government, on both sides. The same was true at the

:37:41.:37:44.

Liberal Democrat Conference, they were rather proud of the fact they

:37:44.:37:48.

stopped you guys, as I said, sending children up chimneys?

:37:48.:37:52.

was in our manifesto, wasn't it. every manifesto, I believe!

:37:52.:37:57.

Something has changed in politics, hasn't it, do you get that sense?

:37:57.:38:01.

little bit. Let me be fair Tory the Liberal Democrats than he was

:38:01.:38:05.

initially. One area where they have actually been, I think, quite brave,

:38:05.:38:09.

given their own history, is on the whole question of the cuts agenda.

:38:09.:38:14.

The Chief Secretary last been a Lib Dem. That's quite an interesting

:38:14.:38:18.

position. You're the man in charge of all the cuts, is a Lib Dem. So

:38:18.:38:23.

there has been some interesting things. Also, of course, I had a

:38:23.:38:26.

Conservatives with David Cameron day after the election, before the

:38:26.:38:31.

negotiations started, I said to him, there are two areas where there are

:38:31.:38:36.

clear overlaps, one is the liberty agenda, and one is the green agenda.

:38:36.:38:41.

I don't particularly agree with the green agenda, but there were

:38:41.:38:45.

obvious overlaps. It is less unfom for the table than you might think.

:38:45.:38:48.

But at the end of the day there are lots of things we would rather do

:38:48.:38:53.

in a different way. The tax agenda would be different with a Tory-only

:38:53.:38:57.

Government. The European agenda would be different with a Tory-only

:38:57.:38:59.

Government. Maybe some of the balance of decisions over the cuts

:38:59.:39:03.

agenda would be different. Maybe we would have more emphasis on defence

:39:03.:39:07.

and so on than we had before. There is a whole set of areas where there

:39:07.:39:12.

are differences, none of them are deal-breakers. Not one of them is a

:39:12.:39:15.

deal-breaker. During his speech, the Chancellor

:39:15.:39:23.

talked about something called FRAPH fen, it is a brilliant discover -

:39:23.:39:29.

graphene, it is a brilliant thing, it conducts electricity brilliantly.

:39:29.:39:35.

It was discovered by a couple of scientists in Manchester using

:39:35.:39:40.

sticky tape, and they won a Nobel Peace Prize. The Chancellor said

:39:40.:39:45.

whatever we turn it into, it is a British project. To get a feel for

:39:45.:39:50.

what graphene could mean, think Stone Age, Iron Age, silicone age.

:39:50.:39:56.

Scientists think the next stage could be the graphene age, it is

:39:56.:40:01.

that remarkable. Its elagance is in its simplicity, graphite, just like

:40:01.:40:07.

the middle of a pencil, but shaved into layers a single at tomorrow

:40:07.:40:12.

thick, with at tomorrows arranged in Hexagons, once in inch-thick

:40:12.:40:16.

sheets it takes on exciting properties, hence the tag of

:40:16.:40:20.

miracle material. It is uniquely strong and conductive. It might be

:40:20.:40:24.

tweakable to produce a vast range of products, a bit like plastic, or

:40:24.:40:30.

even added to plastic to create new kinds of touch screen technologies,

:40:30.:40:33.

that avoid scarce rare earth elements. The real excitement is

:40:33.:40:39.

the potential to bring us truly fast computing, faster, cheaper,

:40:39.:40:43.

smaller electronic devices, that are also thinner and flexible.

:40:43.:40:47.

Roll-up wearable computers and smartphones, perhaps rb. So much

:40:47.:40:52.

buzz in a field less than ten years old is rare. Some scientists warn

:40:52.:40:56.

this is all just so much potential so far, with products at least five

:40:56.:41:02.

years away. They don't want to promise more than they can deliver.

:41:02.:41:07.

Here it is, the substance that will save the national economy, behold,

:41:07.:41:11.

a single crystal of graphene, surrounded by various bits of

:41:11.:41:17.

graphite. This single crystal is as big as it gets, it is worth about

:41:17.:41:21.

�10,000. We are only borrowing from the nice people at graphene

:41:21.:41:24.

industries. There is some challenges to scale it up into

:41:24.:41:28.

aircraft wings and the like. Two people who know very little indeed

:41:28.:41:36.

about graphene, but are interested in the politicians who marvel at it,

:41:36.:41:40.

are Kevin McGuire and Fraser Nelson. Were you impressed by George

:41:40.:41:44.

Osborne's speech? He didn't have a lot to say and no plan. I have

:41:44.:41:48.

never been to North Korea, I have an idea what it is like. The

:41:48.:41:53.

enforced loyalty there. I think it is voluntary loyalty? Oh yeah. I

:41:53.:41:56.

think in this bubble there is a smugness. We have had more people

:41:56.:42:01.

outside protesting than we have had actually people in this conference.

:42:01.:42:11.

I don't think that is true, is it? There is 30-odd,000 people -

:42:11.:42:15.

30,000-odd people protesting and then you have this here. I thought

:42:15.:42:20.

that would stir them up? Not effectively. Were you impressed

:42:20.:42:26.

by it, it strikes me as being a dull thing? He normally likes

:42:26.:42:31.

pyrotechniques, he's saving these ones for November, I'm sure it will

:42:31.:42:36.

be a dazzling display. Delivery was pretty good, he baffled everybody

:42:36.:42:42.

with his strange credit easing plan that he has got. But there is some

:42:42.:42:51.

uplands at the end of it, a little zipididoda. It was not one that you

:42:51.:42:55.

will remember. People will wake up tomorrow and think, Amanda Knox is

:42:55.:42:59.

free. What about the credit easing, what is that all about? Basically a

:42:59.:43:02.

rather, Government likes to print money. This is a way of doing it.

:43:02.:43:07.

So you can go to small businesses and in a way where they can borrow

:43:07.:43:12.

where they can't from banks A year ago he and David Cameron said

:43:12.:43:17.

Britain was out of the danger zone. It was their equivalent of no more

:43:17.:43:20.

boom and bust. It is clearly not happening, the economy has slipped

:43:20.:43:27.

back, 0.% of growth in the last 10 months, he's blaming the eurozone.

:43:27.:43:31.

I remember Gordon Brown blaiming the Americans, and they would sneer

:43:31.:43:37.

and say it is not the case. Now he's using the same trick, blaming

:43:37.:43:42.

people abroad rather than taking the responsibility himself. Did you

:43:42.:43:45.

detect any qualitative difference between credit easing and some of

:43:45.:43:51.

the wheezes Gordon Brown used to get up to? Those wheezes he used to

:43:51.:43:57.

call desperate, now he's adopting them himself. We have state

:43:57.:44:01.

controlled banks, get them lending, don't get something on the back of

:44:02.:44:06.

it that nobody understands and won't help small businesses. After

:44:06.:44:09.

listening to Philip Hammond I'm not sure about that. Fraser Nelson, did

:44:09.:44:16.

you feel it was a Tory policy? Credit easing? Yes. It is something

:44:16.:44:19.

Gordon Brown could have come up with, because it involves concealed

:44:19.:44:25.

debt. You do think if Gordon Brown was watching, he would be thinking,

:44:25.:44:29.

why didn't he come up with that. I can't say I'm wild about it. If you

:44:29.:44:32.

think banks are bad at lending money, you wait until Government

:44:32.:44:37.

does it. I have a feeling this will not be the great silver bullet.

:44:37.:44:43.

What about the party as a whole, from what we see here? Huge morale.

:44:43.:44:51.

They are pretty happy. I would say. I don't know quit - quite what you

:44:52.:44:56.

expected. Look at that, they are whistling while they work. These

:44:56.:45:00.

were the guys who fought for the Conservative manifesto and seeing

:45:00.:45:03.

pretty much all of it delivered by a coalition Government. Looked a

:45:03.:45:13.

ral kal school reform and welfare reform. - radical school reform and

:45:13.:45:18.

health reform. They pay to come here. Not here, it was free. Look

:45:18.:45:22.

at that, Conservative, it doesn't mention t they have eradicated the

:45:22.:45:25.

party. You go round on the fringe and you will find a lot of

:45:25.:45:29.

complaints, you mentioned them, the Human Rights Act, about Europe.

:45:29.:45:34.

Both of which Nick Clegg has David Cameron in a headlock and won't let

:45:34.:45:36.

him go. There you hear complaints about why aren't we getting tax

:45:36.:45:40.

cuts now to get the economy going. They don't want increased

:45:40.:45:46.

investment in public service bes, they want - public services, they

:45:46.:45:54.

want tax cuts and they want them no now. Grieve grove grieve is against

:45:54.:45:57.

abortion and Human Rights Act, the Conservatives were having these

:45:57.:46:02.

arguments before coalition. They have rediscovered the trick of

:46:02.:46:06.

loyalty. Loyalty was the party's secret weapon? It has come back.

:46:06.:46:12.

There isn't that much to get really angry about. Hang on. Fraser, look

:46:12.:46:16.

at what's happening to the economy, look at what's happening to

:46:16.:46:20.

unemployment, public services, look what's happening to living

:46:20.:46:24.

standards. Before you start blaming it on Labour's structural deficit,

:46:24.:46:27.

remember that David Cameron and George Osborne were committed to

:46:27.:46:31.

Labour's spending up to 2010. It was only the global financial

:46:31.:46:35.

collapse that sent that haywire. will continue this argument

:46:35.:46:42.

tomorrow, I think. Thank you very tonight. We will have an audience

:46:42.:46:46.

of Tory women to see if the party can recover its support from that

:46:46.:46:50.

part of the country at large, and I will be speaking to Boris Johnson.

:46:50.:46:57.

will be speaking to Boris Johnson. Until then, goodnight.

:46:57.:47:01.

Hello, the weather is on the change. Through the rest of this week it

:47:01.:47:05.

will feel much more like autumn should feel. We start the day with

:47:05.:47:09.

dry weather but a lot of cloud. Limited brightness, the best across

:47:09.:47:13.

the more eastern parts of the UK. Temperatures will be as much as 10

:47:13.:47:15.

degrees lower than they have been. You notice the difference out there.

:47:15.:47:22.

A reasonable sort of day, it has to be said A small chance of a shower,

:47:22.:47:26.

generally dry, breezy, rather cloudy, but brightness from time to

:47:26.:47:31.

time. Across the more western parts of England and Wales cloud, thicker

:47:31.:47:35.

here, dampness for parts of Cornwall and western parts of Wales.

:47:35.:47:39.

To the east of the hills a better chance it will stay essentially dry.

:47:39.:47:43.

For Northern Ireland a fairly cloudy scene, but again, mostly dry.

:47:43.:47:47.

Some showers across the northern coastal areas and some more

:47:47.:47:51.

meaningful showers peppering western Scotland on a stiff breeze.

:47:51.:47:55.

Further east we will see brighter spells. For the next few days it is

:47:55.:47:58.

topsy turvy, that's for sure, wet and windy weather in northern

:47:58.:48:02.

western areas on Wednesday. Strong winds and potentially heavy rain.

:48:02.:48:06.

Further south, essentially we will see outbreaks of rain. The first

:48:06.:48:09.

significant rain many places have seen for quite a while. On

:48:09.:48:15.

Wednesday it is a story of rain initially across the north and west,

:48:15.:48:18.

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