Browse content similar to 04/11/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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They told us there was six weeks to save the euro, those six weeks are | :00:09. | :00:14. | |
up, what have they to show for it? In Cannes the masters of Europe | :00:14. | :00:18. | |
have failed to find anyone to pay for their bailout. As we go on air, | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
in Greece the parliament is voting on whether to topple the Government | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
that agreed to accept it. Back there the Greek Prime Minister | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
is still fighting for his political life, many MPs have already written | :00:28. | :00:33. | |
him off, but he doesn't seem to have got the message. | :00:34. | :00:40. | |
At the G20, there is no deal, because every time they try to put | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
figures on a bait youl deal, they raun against the will of their - | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
they ran up against the will of their own electorates. The finger | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
is pointing at Germany, we have a senior member of Angela Merkel's | :00:51. | :01:01. | |
:01:01. | :01:04. | ||
Good evening. As we go on air this evening, a vote over 1,000 miles | :01:04. | :01:08. | |
away could dictate all our futures. In Athens the parliament will | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
decide if it still has confidence in the Prime Minister. Man who has | :01:13. | :01:17. | |
led his own country and other countries around the houses in a | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
series of contradictory statements in the last few days. In Cannes the | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
summit that was meant to bring definitive results, has brought | :01:25. | :01:31. | |
little but of a firmations of the blieldingly offous - affirmation of | :01:31. | :01:39. | |
the blindingly obvious. We go to Paul Mason in Athens. The | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
MPs started voting a short time ago, they were supposed to start at the | :01:43. | :01:46. | |
top of the hour, they were late. Many people said that was bound to | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
happen. This really is going to be quite an extraordinary moment when | :01:51. | :01:57. | |
we do get the result. The Prime Minister's Socialist Party, PASOK, | :01:57. | :02:06. | |
has a wafer-thin majority, but most say there are eight of his own MPs | :02:06. | :02:09. | |
who have indicated they will vote against him. In theory he should | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
lose. He's daring them almost to bring down the Government, knowing | :02:13. | :02:23. | |
:02:23. | :02:27. | ||
that would put this whole eurodeal back into crisis. He's daring that | :02:27. | :02:30. | |
hostile vote. On the other hand, there has been great deal of talk | :02:30. | :02:32. | |
today that they have received assurance that is if they do vote | :02:32. | :02:38. | |
for him and give him, dignity, as it is called, le soon step down and | :02:38. | :02:43. | |
set about negotiating a coalition Government to put that rescue | :02:43. | :02:46. | |
package through. The EU one, through the parliament, with cross- | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
party support, and then get out of the way. We still don't have that | :02:50. | :02:55. | |
result. The parliamentary dynamics are complex. He has sent a shot | :02:55. | :03:00. | |
across the boughs already this evening, that saying snap elections | :03:00. | :03:06. | |
would be a catastrophy? Absolutely, knows that, he knows his own party | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
dissenters know. That no-one wants to take responsibility for this, | :03:09. | :03:14. | |
although he got a probum from Germany and France, for his | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
referendum suggestion, that really has now collapsed as an idea, if | :03:17. | :03:21. | |
you bring down the Government here, either as the opposition or the | :03:21. | :03:31. | |
dissenters within PASOK, then you take that approbium. This is the | :03:31. | :03:36. | |
last gamble he's resting on. Most people think if it works and | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
retains his two-seat majority and scrapes through, it will be only on | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
some sort of promise to go, because he has lost the faith of so many in | :03:44. | :03:48. | |
his own party. Thank you very much. We will be | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
back to Mark a little later as things develop. Let me take you to | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
Cannes. Our economics editor is there. Most of them packed up and | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
gone home, what have they to show for it? Well, they did manage to | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
save the situation with the Greek bailout. They actually managed to | :04:06. | :04:11. | |
pull it out of the fire, 48 hours ago it was entirely possible that | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
Mr Papandreou and his ill-fated referendum proposal could have | :04:16. | :04:22. | |
scuppered the whole euro bailout deal that was agreed a week ago. As | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
we have been hearing it is Mr Papandreou who looks more likely to | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
be history. However, to save the euro bailout deal is to save what, | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
it was always vague, never funded and never guaranteed to work. What | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
they have been trying to do is work out how to raise a trillion plus | :04:40. | :04:46. | |
euros to make the bailout deal real. They looked first to the EFSF, the | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
euro bailout fund signed off last week, China said they didn't want | :04:49. | :04:54. | |
to put money into it, it is too risky. Then they looked to the IMF, | :04:54. | :04:59. | |
here you run into problems of democracy, neither Americans or the | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
Brits could can get extra money for the IMF through their parliaments. | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
What about the ECB, there it is Germany, Mrs Merkel has been under | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
severe pressure today to do something with the ECB, she's | :05:09. | :05:13. | |
telling them she can't, there is a constitutional court, and the | :05:13. | :05:20. | |
parliament. It is just stasus. mood then, between the leaders, | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
given there is nowhere to go with any of these, what was that like? | :05:25. | :05:30. | |
It has been quite bitter. And remember the world needs | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
rebalancing, the world is in crisis and facing a growth crisis. You can | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
only rebalance the world in an orderly way at a place like this, | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
with all the leaders. That was supposed to be their agenda, | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
instead they get knocked off by Greece. But, I think, | :05:44. | :05:48. | |
psychalogically, once they have shouted at Papandreou, and it was | :05:48. | :05:54. | |
literally a balling out he was given, and then he leaves, the | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
atmosphere is soured, they spent two days sniping at each other, you | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
could pick it up in the lip reading of some of their photo | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
opportunities. At the end of the day, the problem has been, they | :06:05. | :06:12. | |
haven't got the will to come together, and go forward. In this | :06:12. | :06:16. | |
situation, as in diplomacy, in economics if you don't go forward | :06:16. | :06:20. | |
you go back wards. Last night George Osborne said to me I think | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
we will have numbers for the bailout part of the programme | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
before you go on Newsnight. They have got none. Their expectations | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
have been dashed even over the space of 24 hours. It has soured | :06:32. | :06:39. | |
things, as I have been seeing today. These are not the faces of happy | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
people. The G20 leaders left Cannes tonight knowing they have averted a | :06:43. | :06:49. | |
Greek disaster, but only stored up a wider European one maybe. As for | :06:49. | :06:52. | |
a strategic rebalancing of the world, they hardly had time to | :06:52. | :07:00. | |
think about it. There are a lot of institutions here in Europe. I | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
think, I'm not sure whether it was Sarkozy or Merkel, or Barroso, or | :07:05. | :07:10. | |
somebody, they joked with me that I had gotten a crash course in | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
European politics over the last several days. And there are a lot | :07:14. | :07:20. | |
of meetings here in Europe as well. But, for all the meetings, they | :07:20. | :07:30. | |
:07:30. | :07:31. | ||
achieved very little. The commune Kay confirmed that Italy would the | :07:31. | :07:41. | |
:07:41. | :07:52. | ||
The aim of the IMF moves was to allow the fund to get around the | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
problem that nobody's parliament, not Britain's, not the USA's, wants | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
to vote more money through for the general fund. A point Mr Cameron | :08:01. | :08:07. | |
rammed home. We are ready to expand the resources of the IMF, as that | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
becomes necessary resourcing the IMF is not a substitute for the | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
eurozone dealing with its own issues and problems. Chancellor | :08:15. | :08:18. | |
Merkel complained bitterly about the lack of outside support for the | :08:18. | :08:24. | |
EFSF, the bailout fund, and then left, early. Meanwhile, the bond | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
markets pushed Italy's borrowing costs to its crisis high, and left | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
the ECB as the only buyer. To hold the line, Governments have pushed | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
international pressure to its limits. Last week Angela Merkel | :08:38. | :08:42. | |
phoned the Italian President to express doubts about Mr | :08:42. | :08:46. | |
Berlusconi's Government. And President Sarkozy had put massive | :08:46. | :08:51. | |
personal pressure on Greece. Prompting this question. | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
I said it is evident that he and Mrs Merkel are trying to change the | :08:55. | :08:58. | |
Governments of Italy and Greece, how is that just, and once you have | :08:58. | :09:04. | |
started, where will it stop? TRANSLATION: I'm quite sure that | :09:04. | :09:08. | |
you are wrong, very wrong. We didn't want to change the | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
Governments, either in Greece or in Italy. That's not the role that we | :09:12. | :09:18. | |
play. That's not my idea of democracy either. But it is quite | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
clear that in Europe, and the perhaps that you come from an | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
island, means you can't understand the subtlies of European | :09:25. | :09:32. | |
construction. I'm sorry to say that so frankly. | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
There are some rules to be respected, if we don't abide by | :09:36. | :09:41. | |
that rules, you have to leave Europe, it is as simple as that. | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
be fair, after a week like this, we're all struggling to understand | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
the complexties of Europe. Joining me now to discuss what we have | :09:51. | :09:58. | |
heard from both Athens and Cannes, Angela Merkel's Chief Whip in the | :09:58. | :10:02. | |
German parliament, and a former Labour minister to played a key | :10:02. | :10:06. | |
role in rescuing the international banking system in 2008, and from | :10:06. | :10:11. | |
New York, the financier who has negotiated on behalf of global | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
banks and sovereign debt crises around the world. If I can start | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
with you, we come away from a summit that was meant to be saving | :10:19. | :10:23. | |
the euro, with very little achieved? May I remind you that | :10:23. | :10:27. | |
last week, in the Brussels summit, a lot was achieved. It was a very | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
convincing package. The stock markets were jubilant, and then | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
there was the surprise in announcing a Greek referendum. We | :10:36. | :10:41. | |
have worked very hard, the last couple of days, to keep control of | :10:41. | :10:47. | |
things, going on in Greece. To make clear we are still committed to the | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
rescue package that was agreed in Brussels. There are some things | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
that you can't control, which is what's happening in the Athens | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
parliament, there are some things you can control, which is where the | :10:57. | :11:02. | |
money comes from the bailout, the G20 has dolg done nothing to agree | :11:02. | :11:06. | |
that - has done nothing to agree that? We are organising the money | :11:06. | :11:11. | |
in the most efficient way. There was one diversion of opinion as far | :11:12. | :11:17. | |
as the involvement of the ECB is concerned. From a German point of | :11:17. | :11:22. | |
view we have always maintained this is a sovereign debt crisis, and we | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
can't cure it by creating more sovereign debt. Why did Angela | :11:26. | :11:32. | |
Merkel walk out early, China said no, the ECB is refusing to do it, | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
that is surely the simplest answer to this? It is not. We have managed | :11:36. | :11:41. | |
to establish very impressive amounts of money in the European | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
financial support facility, we have agreed last week on some | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
instruments to leverage it, in order to use it more efficiently, | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
and now we have a serious debate with the IMF. This could be over if | :11:53. | :11:57. | |
the ECB stepped in. If a European Central Bank is not prepared to | :11:58. | :12:03. | |
bail out a European problem, what's it for? The problem is, however, | :12:03. | :12:10. | |
that if the ECB would do it, we would be ready to generate an | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
unlimited amount of money, potentially. This would be in | :12:14. | :12:17. | |
contradiction to our stability philosophy. What we have learned | :12:17. | :12:21. | |
from the crisis is that states have spent too much money over the last | :12:21. | :12:30. | |
30 years, and now we cannot answer it by inspiring inflation by the | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
ECB. That is why you need the Central Bank to step in? | :12:34. | :12:39. | |
Central Bank can't step in this very moment, that is why we have | :12:39. | :12:44. | |
created the European financial support facility. What do you bring | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
to this problem, what would you do with it? I think while I have a lot | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
of respect for the work that Peter does, I would disagree with the | :12:52. | :12:58. | |
point that he makes, that the EFSF brought an impressive amount of | :12:58. | :13:03. | |
money. The thing about the summit, the eurozone summit that was held | :13:03. | :13:08. | |
last week, was that not a single new additional cent was committed | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
by eurozone countries. The idea there was you take the money | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
already committed and you go out into the markets, or go to the | :13:15. | :13:21. | |
Chinese and you get them to lend you four or five times what you | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
yourself committed, without recourse to the stronger countries. | :13:24. | :13:27. | |
So everybody is meant to do what the eurozone countries are not | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
prepared to do themselves, which is lend to the weaker countries with | :13:31. | :13:35. | |
no recourse to the stronger countries. China was right to say | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
no? I think China was right to say no in some forms. There was a very | :13:40. | :13:45. | |
sensible proposal put forward, to be discussed at the G20, for SDRs, | :13:45. | :13:50. | |
to be lent to the EFSF, and that was, in fact, blocked by Germany, | :13:50. | :13:54. | |
because they didn't want to lend any more one to the EFSF. Briefly | :13:54. | :13:59. | |
to come back on that point? We have made a strong commitment to our | :13:59. | :14:04. | |
national parliament, that there is a limit of 211 billion euro, to be | :14:04. | :14:09. | |
lent to the EFSF, by Germany. This is an incredible amount of money to | :14:09. | :14:14. | |
support other countries. This is a very clear indication by our | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
parliament that we have to find a solution to the crisis, together. | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
There are other countries in Europe, like the UK, we are all affected, | :14:22. | :14:27. | |
if this crisis gets out of control. Therefore, we have to prove | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
solidarity, it is a global crisis, we have to provide a global | :14:30. | :14:37. | |
solution to it. Let's talk to Bill Rhodes, a global solution, | :14:37. | :14:40. | |
President Obama was shaking his head at the prospect of the IMF to | :14:40. | :14:44. | |
be involved. Is this your problem and Europe should find the | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
solution? We have to remember that the markets are more interlinked | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
than ever. What happens in Europe and Greece affects the rorld | :14:52. | :14:55. | |
markets. The Chinese are very interested in what happens, because | :14:56. | :14:59. | |
the largest export market is Europe. What they are concerned about is | :14:59. | :15:04. | |
how any money that they may put forward would be used. I think the | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
IMF is the vehicle, the anchor, that was the anchor for us in the | :15:08. | :15:14. | |
Latin American debt crisis, the Asian financial crisis, the | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
problems with Turkey in 2001 what I would like to see is a trust fund | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
set up, not just for southern Europe, but we have to remember the | :15:21. | :15:27. | |
problems of northern Africa and elsewhere. And make the IMF the | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
anchor again. What is very important that comes out of Greece | :15:30. | :15:33. | |
is a Government that is unified, and can implement the programme | :15:33. | :15:40. | |
that my colleagues are talking with about, if you cannot get a | :15:40. | :15:43. | |
Government that can convince its own people to move forward and | :15:43. | :15:47. | |
implement this programme, then we have a problem that is bigger than | :15:47. | :15:50. | |
we perceive now. Let me ask you, we are treating George Papandreou, | :15:50. | :15:55. | |
some people are treating Papandreou like he's a bit of a ranting | :15:55. | :16:00. | |
lunatic. What if the whole thing was perfectly orchestrated to get a | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
better deal from the banks, is that conceivable? I think what he's | :16:04. | :16:10. | |
trying to do is to try to get some sort of a Government, whether he be | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
involved as Prime Minister, or a unity Government, or even a | :16:14. | :16:19. | |
Government with someone like Lucas Papademos, a former vice-president | :16:19. | :16:22. | |
of the European Central Bank, that can carry forth this programme. I | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
think he should have done it earlier. As far as the banks go, I | :16:25. | :16:29. | |
think it is very important, and the stability fund has to move on this | :16:29. | :16:35. | |
very rapidly s to support and recapitalise the Greek banks. | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
Greece has gone through three years of negative growth, and projected | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
to go into a fourth. You can't expect a people of the country to | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
move forward if they don't see growth. The key to growth as far as | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
the economy goes, right now, in Greece, is the banking system. I | :16:51. | :16:55. | |
think one of the first measures that has to be taken by this newly | :16:55. | :17:00. | |
constituted stability fund, is to help recapitalise the Greek banking | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
system. How long can this kind of instability go on for? It really | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
worries the longer it goes on. The first reason is, it costs more. | :17:08. | :17:13. | |
Actually what would have been a 200 or 300 billion euro problem, is now | :17:13. | :17:17. | |
a one or two trillion euro problem of the people who will pay the | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
price of that are real people losing their jobs, investors are | :17:21. | :17:24. | |
too frightened and nervous to put in money and create jobs and | :17:24. | :17:28. | |
employment. Who do you think is the biggest obstacle for this, do you | :17:28. | :17:33. | |
think it is on the Greek side or the lack of leadership in Europe? | :17:33. | :17:36. | |
Greece is 2% of the eurozone economy. That is something we have | :17:36. | :17:39. | |
to remember, and we have to talk about the real problem as well, | :17:39. | :17:44. | |
which is Italy. Italy is too big to fail. There isn't a firewall of | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
sufficient liquidity that has been created to help Italy, and 200 | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
billion euros from Germany is not sufficient for that purpose. The | :17:51. | :17:55. | |
second thing is, it is Italy's fault, because they need to get | :17:55. | :18:02. | |
serious about reform. You need reform to, and you need liquidity | :18:02. | :18:06. | |
to bridge yourself to the reform, those two things. What is Germany | :18:06. | :18:12. | |
scared of here, is it a very emotional atavistic response thaw | :18:12. | :18:17. | |
don't want to be seen as the dominating force in Europe? On the | :18:17. | :18:22. | |
one hand we are prepared to prove solidarity. European integration is | :18:22. | :18:27. | |
a very emotional thing to us, it means the happiest years of German | :18:27. | :18:31. | |
history, the last 60 years, without devastating wars. Therefore, we are | :18:31. | :18:36. | |
prepared to provide the highest amount of money ever provided by a | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
sovereign country in order to help and support others. The second | :18:39. | :18:47. | |
point is, Germany has suffered twice from a devastating inflation. | :18:48. | :18:50. | |
That was the last 100 years. Therefore stability means something | :18:51. | :18:56. | |
to us emotional. We tried to combine both of those approach, on | :18:56. | :18:59. | |
the one hand solidarity and the other stability. As you have | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
mentioned, we have to build firewalls, we have to prove | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
solidarity. But we need these reforms, and for the time being, | :19:07. | :19:15. | |
neither in Italy, nor in Greece, unfortunately, there is a clear | :19:15. | :19:19. | |
commitment that will reform and encourage markets and remove doubts. | :19:19. | :19:23. | |
This is where we have to provide loadership France and Germany | :19:23. | :19:27. | |
together. I completely agree about the need for reform. The single | :19:27. | :19:30. | |
biggest thing to change the European crisis is Italy being | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
prepared to reform and Berlusconi being prepared to leave. However, | :19:34. | :19:38. | |
why do you deny yourself the capacity to provide the liquidity, | :19:38. | :19:42. | |
even if you don't give it to them until they reform. By saying you | :19:42. | :19:46. | |
are not prepared to have that much capacity to provide liquidity, you | :19:46. | :19:51. | |
are spooking the markets, that is the real problem? It is a clear | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
argument, we have an mechanism to provide the money. If we increase | :19:54. | :20:00. | |
the money to the fund, France would lose its triple A Tate tus as the | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
next country. As soon as - status, as the next country. Conditions | :20:04. | :20:14. | |
:20:14. | :20:14. | ||
France loses it then what. Go to the IMF. Can I get a word in | :20:14. | :20:18. | |
edgeways. That is right in the epbs of timing, we have to get on and | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
get it done, this contagion can spread even further than we are | :20:22. | :20:28. | |
seeing. It is starting to affect markets worldwide, even in Asia. We | :20:28. | :20:34. | |
need to get on and get it done. That is why I suggested the role of | :20:34. | :20:42. | |
the IMF as Anwar chore and help. - as an anchor, first help is Belo in | :20:42. | :20:47. | |
to be monitored. We will pick up with that - Berlusconi in to be | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
monitored. We will pick that up soon. Give us | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
a sense Mark of what people in Greece think George Papandreou's | :20:55. | :21:05. | |
:21:05. | :21:07. | ||
game plan has been in the saga? need wait no longer. We have heard | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
news, the votes are counted and he scraped home. We know Eva Kaili, | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
the MP from his party, that we have seen in our reports last night, for | :21:14. | :21:19. | |
example, she was a doubter, she voted with him. The interesting | :21:19. | :21:27. | |
question is, is he still in the driving seat of his party? If he | :21:27. | :21:32. | |
can carry on, put together a caretaker Government, then he may | :21:32. | :21:36. | |
just last a little longer. But most people think that the price of | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
getting this vote has been to promise he will go, that now looks | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
increasingly inevitable. Thank you very much. Now a quick | :21:46. | :21:51. | |
reaction here, so he stays,'s won that vote, does that make things | :21:51. | :21:55. | |
simpler or more complicated? In the short-term it makes it simpler. | :21:56. | :21:58. | |
There is one vote that really counts, I don't think it really | :21:58. | :22:02. | |
matters about the internal politics of groz, they have to vote to | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
accept - Greece, they have to vote to accept the terms of the package, | :22:05. | :22:09. | |
and then get the funding and not default. That is the important | :22:09. | :22:13. | |
point, that has to be done after the vote of confidence. We know the | :22:13. | :22:18. | |
Greek electorate have, 90%, have no faith at all in the politicians at | :22:18. | :22:22. | |
the moment. Does it matter if he stays or goes? It matters if they | :22:22. | :22:27. | |
are able to form a cross-party Government of National Unity. That | :22:27. | :22:31. | |
is what they should do, and the Government of National Unity should | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
engage in an undoubtful commitment to implement this reform package. | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
It would be a strong signal to the markets. Then if we would have what | :22:39. | :22:42. | |
you described for Italy, it could be the second step, then we could | :22:42. | :22:47. | |
try to reorganise the process in the convincing way. Do you think | :22:47. | :22:51. | |
the specter of global recession has been pushed back in these last few | :22:51. | :22:57. | |
minutes, because of that? I don't think so. It is not sufficient | :22:57. | :23:04. | |
because, as I said, Greece is really small in the scale of things. | :23:04. | :23:08. | |
Global recession is still a threat, and therefore, we have a joint | :23:08. | :23:14. | |
responsibility to take on the challenge. We are going to to go | :23:15. | :23:20. | |
back to Paul in Cannes. Just ask him, Paul, you have heard the vote | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
come in now from Greece, Papandreou has scraped through, it would be | :23:24. | :23:30. | |
too soon to get any reaction there, what are your first thoughts? | :23:30. | :23:34. | |
scrapes through the vote. He still has an economy to run. As I | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
understand it, listening to the debate there in the Greek | :23:37. | :23:41. | |
parliament, as it was happening, as from the translation, it appeared | :23:42. | :23:46. | |
at one point in his rather long speech, he said if we now have an | :23:46. | :23:50. | |
election, our banks will have a run on them, and they will go bust. | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
That is quite a thing for a Prime Minister to say in a life-saving | :23:54. | :23:59. | |
speech. But let's start from that assertion. The Greek banking system, | :23:59. | :24:06. | |
is, effectively, bust, unless the EFSF deal comes through and saves | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
it. We have heard tonight that the Cypriot banking, the Cypriot | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
Government and state is downgraded again. But the Greek banking system | :24:14. | :24:22. | |
needs to be saved. The dynamics in Greece are not just political, as | :24:22. | :24:25. | |
we heard throughout the programme, they are also economic. Every day | :24:25. | :24:31. | |
that goes by, without a political settlement, does increase the | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
economic pressure, both on the Greek banks, the Greek sovereignty. | :24:35. | :24:40. | |
Remember, this week, the IMF and everybody said, you are not getting | :24:40. | :24:43. | |
the money, because of this referendum stunt. That, as far as | :24:43. | :24:47. | |
we know, is still the case. That money has not been given yet. It | :24:47. | :24:51. | |
needs to be given, in order for Greek civil servants draw their | :24:51. | :24:56. | |
wages and for the lights, illuminating the Acropolis, to stay | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
on. That is the situation Papandreou is in. That is the | :24:59. | :25:03. | |
situation his economy is in. I think winning the vote is one thing. | :25:03. | :25:07. | |
I'm steering that very trouble - steering that troubled economy, | :25:07. | :25:12. | |
without it blowing up Italy, which is equally troubled, will be the | :25:12. | :25:16. | |
next task of those two Governments. Thank you very much indeed. We're | :25:16. | :25:21. | |
going to talk now to someone who knows the Greek Prime Minister well, | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
Herakles Polemarchakis, thank you very much for coming in. I know you | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
have just joined us as the vote was read out. I can tell you all the | :25:28. | :25:30. | |
300 members of the parliament support the Government, but the | :25:30. | :25:34. | |
question is whether Papandreou's term as Prime Minister close to the | :25:34. | :25:41. | |
end? You know him well, what do you think is going on here? I heard the | :25:41. | :25:47. | |
remarks before the vote, if I interpret correctly what he said,'s | :25:47. | :25:53. | |
going to meet with the President tomorrow and discuss the formation | :25:53. | :25:59. | |
of a Government of National Unity. He explicitly, or almost explicitly | :25:59. | :26:05. | |
said that this would not need to include him as Prime Minister. | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
you think he will be gone by the end of the month? It is a guess, | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
but yes. What was going on this week, the call for the referendum, | :26:13. | :26:16. | |
the suggestion he was going to step down yesterday, he didn't, then the | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
referendum was gone by the night, what was all that about? Let me | :26:20. | :26:24. | |
make a side remark. Asking him to step down yesterday would have been | :26:24. | :26:32. | |
very bad. Under pressure? Don't forget, his grandfather, with the | :26:32. | :26:36. | |
same name, was elected Prime Minister on the 3rd of November, 48 | :26:36. | :26:41. | |
years ago. So the 3rd of November would have been a very bad day to | :26:41. | :26:46. | |
ask him to step down. But leaving this aside, let's talk about the | :26:46. | :26:54. | |
referendum, it was a flawed move. That is clear. Why was it flawed, | :26:54. | :26:59. | |
because it introduced the specter of uncertainty for two months at | :26:59. | :27:02. | |
that time when world markets, Europe, and groz in particular, | :27:02. | :27:06. | |
could least afford it - Greece in particular, could least afford it. | :27:06. | :27:10. | |
At the same time it compromised the credibility of Papandreou himself, | :27:10. | :27:17. | |
with his European partners, because the reaction that we got implied | :27:17. | :27:21. | |
that they had not been warned of the move. Don't forget our | :27:21. | :27:25. | |
credibility was one of his strong points, vis a vis his predecessor | :27:25. | :27:32. | |
and other politicians. Sorry to interupt, now, who do you think is | :27:32. | :27:37. | |
running Greece? We have heard from our guests that in something like | :27:37. | :27:40. | |
this, time is of the essence, and it gets more expensive by the day | :27:40. | :27:47. | |
for every day it is lost? This is true. My hope is that this vote of | :27:47. | :27:52. | |
confidence will not be in an opportunity to try and roll back | :27:52. | :27:56. | |
the tape to where we were a week ago, or a few months ago, but it | :27:56. | :28:00. | |
would be the first step in the formation of a national unity | :28:00. | :28:05. | |
Government, it is exactly what the country needs. It is the only | :28:05. | :28:08. | |
Government, the only kind of Government that can produce the | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
commitment and the clarity that European partners need from Greece. | :28:13. | :28:17. | |
A momentous week, and pretty hard, in way, to write the headlines that | :28:17. | :28:20. | |
make sense. What do you think European leaders, G20 leaders will | :28:20. | :28:25. | |
be making of this news, does this suggest that leadership is back or | :28:25. | :28:28. | |
it has gone completely? I think they will be relieved in the short- | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
term. They would actually be doing the wrong thing by being relieved. | :28:32. | :28:37. | |
As I say, you have to still win the vote that agrees the conditionality | :28:37. | :28:42. | |
on the package, that therefore allows money to be dispersed, and | :28:42. | :28:46. | |
ensures there isn't a default that is disorderly, that will lead to a | :28:46. | :28:50. | |
run on the banks, and will lead to chaos across the European banking | :28:50. | :28:54. | |
system and have contagion to other countries. Actually, Greece that is | :28:54. | :28:59. | |
to deliver a commitment to reform. Do you think that Greece will | :28:59. | :29:03. | |
accept the bailout first, and do you think it will be able to | :29:03. | :29:08. | |
reform? I'm today much more optimistic than I have been last | :29:08. | :29:10. | |
week. After this announcement of the referendum there was a serious | :29:10. | :29:19. | |
debate, not only in Europe, but also in Greece. May guess now is | :29:19. | :29:26. | |
that the increase is aware of the risk and the responsibility. | :29:26. | :29:31. | |
We have a short preview of next week on Newsnight. Our science | :29:31. | :29:36. | |
editor will report on the dramatic advances being made in how we | :29:36. | :29:39. | |
understand and treat mental illnesses. | :29:39. | :29:44. | |
For decades mental illness has been beyond our understanding. Now | :29:44. | :29:47. | |
scientists think we are on the verge of a revolution. This is what | :29:47. | :29:52. | |
it is all about, the human brain. Scientists are beginning to | :29:52. | :29:57. | |
understand how the brain works and what makes it go wrong. | :29:57. | :30:02. | |
That's all from Newsnight tonight. Bonfire Night might feel a bit | :30:02. | :30:08. | |
different this weekend, Guy Fawkes's face, as reimagined in V | :30:09. | :30:15. | |
For vendetta, has stopped being the face of a failed 17th century | :30:15. | :30:21. | |
terrorist, and into the mask of the Occupy movement. Remember, remember | :30:21. | :30:27. | |
the 5th of November, gunfire, treason, plot, I see no reason why | :30:27. | :30:34. | |
gun power treason should ever be forgot. Guy fauk, guy fauks, it was | :30:34. | :30:40. |