09/02/2012 Newsnight


09/02/2012

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Tonight, the Greek Government inches towards 130 billion euro

:00:10.:00:13.

deal to secure a crucial second bailout. But the protesters on the

:00:13.:00:16.

streets of Athens tonight are not buying it.

:00:16.:00:19.

What of other European countries like Germany, who have to stump up.

:00:19.:00:23.

We will be speaking to Angela Merkel's Chief Whip, and a Greek

:00:23.:00:31.

Government minister. The Syrian rebels in Homs claim

:00:31.:00:36.

Assad's bombardment, now in the sixth day, has cost dozens more

:00:36.:00:40.

lives. Is arming the rebels a serious plan.

:00:40.:00:43.

The military logic of this struggle is playing itself out on Syria's

:00:43.:00:47.

streets, I will be looking at what the rebels might achieve, and what

:00:47.:00:51.

help they need most. Fabio gets a golden goodbye, the

:00:51.:00:55.

next man to shoulder the nation's dreams will cost millions. Is money

:00:55.:00:59.

killing the game? �50 million, I think, last year,

:00:59.:01:03.

was spent on a player purchased by Chelsea. What is wrong with that if

:01:03.:01:09.

you can afford it? It is ridiculous. The game cannot afford it. In work

:01:09.:01:14.

but on benefit, the supermarkets create jobs but not on a living

:01:14.:01:18.

wage. Is it time for big business to stake the strain from tax-payers.

:01:18.:01:21.

I don't think for me in my situation, actually going out to

:01:21.:01:31.
:01:31.:01:33.

work does actually pay. Good evening. Beware of Greeks

:01:33.:01:37.

bearing news of a done deal on reforms and austerity measures

:01:37.:01:43.

which would clinch the new bailout of 130 billion euros. A deal that

:01:43.:01:46.

becomes more urgent by the minute, as the country can't make its

:01:46.:01:50.

repayments due in March without it, and is tonight being put forward in

:01:50.:01:53.

front of the EU finance ministers. The German Finance Minister said

:01:54.:01:57.

this afternoon that the Greek deal was not at a stage where it could

:01:57.:02:00.

be signed out. But Greece's political leadership, who have set

:02:00.:02:03.

a course of a big fall in living standards for most Greeks have a

:02:03.:02:08.

fight on their hands. Already the two major labour unions have called

:02:08.:02:11.

a 48-hour strike from tomorrow. What is the significance of the

:02:11.:02:15.

deal now tonight? I think it is a fork in the road. It means Greece

:02:15.:02:19.

has finally delivered what has been asked of it, since that October EU

:02:19.:02:22.

summit where it all began to go wrong for the international

:02:22.:02:27.

authorities. But if you look at the size of it, the three billion it

:02:27.:02:32.

has delivered overnight, a 20% cut in the minimum wage. What it adds

:02:32.:02:36.

up to, one analyst sent a note from one of the banks saying this, up to

:02:36.:02:41.

now Greece has cut back, fiscal austerity to the tune of 16% of its

:02:41.:02:44.

GDP in three years, what it has just signed up to will take it, by

:02:44.:02:49.

the end of this year, to 25% cutbacks. Now, there are two

:02:49.:02:53.

problems with it, one is technically, is it possible to do.

:02:53.:02:56.

Because despite the fact that they have signed up to it and gone to

:02:56.:03:00.

Brussels with it, one person inside the Greek Government told me this

:03:00.:03:04.

tonight, it will pass through the parliament, but it's not convincing,

:03:04.:03:09.

it lacks a strategy of how this country can get out of this misery.

:03:09.:03:13.

Because the European authorities know that's what most of the Greek

:03:13.:03:17.

politicians think, they have built in this trigger that says if you do

:03:17.:03:21.

fail to implement it, technically, because the tax take runs out, or

:03:21.:03:25.

there is a run on the banks, we can pull the whole thing any way. It

:03:25.:03:29.

gives the Greeks from tonight the trigger, where as the Europeans

:03:29.:03:33.

have had the trigger. So political obstacles to this? Massive, you

:03:33.:03:38.

have seen it on the streets already. We have seen the slightly more wide,

:03:38.:03:43.

populist course for things like uprising. Again, it is the fact

:03:43.:03:49.

that, at the heart of the political situation now there are unknown

:03:49.:03:57.

actors, unknown fact ors, rather, in the street, on the parliament,

:03:57.:04:02.

can the politicians who have signed up, who are a minority in the polls

:04:02.:04:05.

at the moment. The entire political establishment is in the minority,

:04:05.:04:08.

can they take their people with them, as local council after

:04:08.:04:12.

council loses to the opposition parties, who are at the right and

:04:12.:04:16.

left extremes of politics. Thank you. We will unpick some of that

:04:16.:04:19.

right now. Joining me from Athens is the Greek minister for

:04:19.:04:22.

international, sorry, your film starts before that. I have a slight

:04:22.:04:32.

summary of what the deal is. The new Greek bailout deals imposes

:04:32.:04:37.

three billion euro of cuts from a country already realing from them.

:04:37.:04:41.

They should get 130 billion in new loans and 100 billion euros of debt

:04:41.:04:44.

held by banks and pension funds, should be written off. Because the

:04:45.:04:49.

Greek economy is shrinking as a result of austerity, they now need

:04:49.:04:52.

more. The proposal is, for the European Central Bank to take

:04:52.:04:58.

losses on the value of its Greek debts, maybe up to 15 billion euros,

:04:58.:05:03.

bridging the gap. So has Greece done enough? Well,

:05:03.:05:07.

the and r action moved to Brussels tonight, action may be too strong a

:05:07.:05:12.

word, because the German Finance Minister was still lukewarm.

:05:12.:05:15.

TRANSLATION: The negotiations have come a long way, but still not far

:05:15.:05:19.

enough. You don't need to wait around, because there will be no

:05:19.:05:27.

decision tonight. In Athens, protest, with a strike to begin

:05:27.:05:32.

tomorrow, and calls from the increasing ly popular leftist

:05:32.:05:37.

parties in politics, for pass mass resistance. TRANSLATION: This crime

:05:37.:05:40.

being committed against the Greek people, against the country, cannot

:05:40.:05:46.

be allowed to come to pass. The bankruptcy programme will not pass.

:05:46.:05:51.

The famous Greek riot dog has been quiet lately, but a showdown is

:05:51.:05:54.

coming. On Sunday the Greek parliament will vote on the deal,

:05:54.:05:58.

after that comes the task of quantifying the actual losses to

:05:58.:06:00.

actual banks, not all are yet signed up.

:06:00.:06:09.

And by the 20th of March, when Greece needs 14 billion euros, the

:06:09.:06:15.

bailout money has to be delivered. And the great unanswered question

:06:15.:06:19.

after that, can Greek Saturday bear it, and can the parties, who signed

:06:19.:06:23.

the deal today deliver it, as the upcoming election gives their

:06:23.:06:27.

voters a say? Joining me now from Athens is the

:06:27.:06:34.

Greek minister for international economic relations, Panos

:06:34.:06:38.

Papanicolaou, and the Chief Whip -- Lucas Papademos, and the Chief Whip

:06:38.:06:45.

from the German parliament. You heard what was said there, it is

:06:45.:06:49.

very doubtful you can deliver this? Good evening, can we actually

:06:50.:06:57.

deliver this, is that the question? Yes. Yes. It is a very, very tough

:06:57.:07:06.

endeavour what we are in now, since May 2010. We're called upon to

:07:06.:07:12.

transform the whole economy, from an inward looking, non-competitive

:07:12.:07:17.

economy, to an outward looking extrovert competitive economy, that

:07:17.:07:24.

requires massive transformations. One of the collateral side-effects

:07:24.:07:30.

is precisely this contraction in income. Before the economy gets on

:07:30.:07:35.

its feet again on a different basis. Do you also think that it is

:07:35.:07:39.

possible to do this with the level of protest that is starting to

:07:39.:07:44.

build, calls from big cultural heros in Greece for a resistance

:07:44.:07:49.

movement to this deal? I think you will hear all kind of things, one

:07:49.:07:55.

has to see what the vast majority of people feel in their hearts. In

:07:55.:08:00.

their hearts they are aching, but they also know that something has

:08:00.:08:05.

to change. Otherwise, we won't be able to get out of this predicament,

:08:05.:08:11.

and unless we make the sacrifices. I think this is quite plain for all

:08:11.:08:17.

to see. We heard from Germany's Finance Minister a moment ago, that

:08:17.:08:20.

they didn't think the deal was at a stage where it could be called a

:08:20.:08:25.

deal, what is your view? We are living in critical hours and

:08:25.:08:29.

moments, we are negotiating very constructively, in order to achieve

:08:29.:08:34.

a deal, the deal is not yet achieved, because we have to see,

:08:34.:08:39.

and what we have to have is a proof of sustainability, a proof of

:08:40.:08:44.

reliability. The Greek parliament on Sunday will vote on all this,

:08:44.:08:48.

and we believe it is in the interests of the Greek people to

:08:48.:08:52.

have clear facts, and on the basis of these facts, we are prepared to

:08:52.:08:58.

grant another bailout of 130 billion euros. That is probably the

:08:58.:09:02.

biggest bailout in European history. A lot of that will be shouldered by

:09:02.:09:06.

Germany, and German people know that. When they see the level of

:09:06.:09:10.

protests in Greece, and when they see the dangers that you are asking

:09:10.:09:13.

people to take, the cut in living standards and it might not work,

:09:13.:09:17.

what do the German people, on the streets, think of this? There is a

:09:18.:09:24.

lot of sympathy. In Germany, for the feelings of Greek pensioners

:09:24.:09:31.

and workers in the streets, on the other hand, groz is now confronted

:09:31.:09:34.

with a challenge that -- Greece is now confronted with a challenge

:09:34.:09:39.

that was the case in the UK, in the Netherlands, in Germany, years ago.

:09:39.:09:46.

We are very confident that at the end of this very, very difficult

:09:46.:09:53.

process, the Greek people will say it was worse, - it was worth

:09:53.:09:58.

sacrificing social benefits in order to achieve a more competitive

:09:58.:10:02.

economy. This is what German people believe. We are prepared to provide

:10:02.:10:06.

support, financial support, but we want to make sure it is effective

:10:06.:10:12.

and not lost. I will put that straight back in a

:10:12.:10:17.

minute. Just before we finish with you on that point, 130 billion

:10:17.:10:21.

euros, are you confident this would be the last bailout, there wouldn't

:10:21.:10:31.
:10:31.:10:31.

be another bailout? It is the second bailout, as you know. We

:10:31.:10:36.

have a monitoring process that has been set up, with the International

:10:36.:10:41.

Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank, and the European Commission.

:10:41.:10:46.

This monitoring process is adjusted every time, but now we are talking

:10:46.:10:51.

about private sector involvement, we are talking about the second

:10:51.:10:57.

bailout. I'm confident that markets will believe us and markets will

:10:58.:11:03.

react on us, and that will mean that Greece has a chance with this

:11:03.:11:08.

bailout to overcome the crisis. But month by month you are going to

:11:08.:11:13.

have to prove that you are on track to deliver this. But you have an

:11:13.:11:17.

election in April, so it could, you might only get to April and find

:11:17.:11:20.

that actually you cannot deliver this, there is not enough money on

:11:20.:11:24.

the streets, apart from anything else, people's fall in living

:11:24.:11:27.

standards, people can't even make their bank payments, it just

:11:27.:11:33.

physically might not work. First of all, we don't know when

:11:33.:11:37.

the next election will be. I know there are rumour about April, but

:11:37.:11:43.

let's not bank on it, we don't know yet. But, the whole point of this

:11:43.:11:49.

funding is precisely to enable the state to function and to pay out

:11:49.:11:55.

salaries and pensions et cetera. So the scenario you just described is

:11:55.:11:58.

exactly what we are trying to avoid through this assistance we are

:11:58.:12:02.

receiving from our partners. But you need to get that signed off

:12:02.:12:07.

very, very quickly, don't you? Because if you default in March,

:12:07.:12:16.

then you are in trouble? Well, last night, as you know, there was a

:12:16.:12:22.

deal with the Greek Government and the called troika, I mean, what we

:12:22.:12:27.

need now is to get it through the eurozone finance ministers, but it

:12:27.:12:32.

has been cleared by their representatives in the EU, in the

:12:32.:12:37.

ECB and the European Commission and the IMF, of course. We're on the

:12:37.:12:40.

right track. We will wait to see what happens tomorrow, thank you

:12:40.:12:45.

very much gentlemen. The Foreign Secretary, William

:12:45.:12:48.

Hague, has described President Assad's rule as the murdering

:12:48.:12:52.

regime, blunt words, which will be heard by the people of Homs under

:12:52.:12:55.

attack from Syrian forces for the sixth day in a row. What the rebels

:12:55.:13:01.

want is weapons not words. That was explicitly ruled out by the Foreign

:13:01.:13:04.

Secretary, though he added, we don't control what other countries

:13:04.:13:09.

are doing. Has the pressure been kept up on

:13:09.:13:13.

the opposition, the military pressure been kept up on the

:13:13.:13:17.

opposition? It has been another very tough day. We have assembled a

:13:17.:13:22.

whole series of maps and images here to look at the picture in

:13:22.:13:27.

detail. The reports today suggest anything between 60-11 people have

:13:27.:13:32.

died in the vie -- 60-100 people have died in the violence today.

:13:32.:13:37.

Around two-thirds of the fatalities, in and around the area of Homs, the

:13:37.:13:44.

real centre of the battle, if we look in detail. It is a protested

:13:44.:13:49.

city, not a besieged city, President Assad's supporters are in

:13:49.:13:56.

the yellow areas, the opposition have two main areas in the city the

:13:56.:14:03.

two in the blue circles. Again, two districts, Baba Amr is one of them.

:14:04.:14:07.

The second area is where our colleague was a couple of days

:14:07.:14:11.

earlier this week. The fighting has very much raged around those two

:14:11.:14:16.

areas. The Government forces, the 90th Infantry Brigade of the Syrian

:14:16.:14:20.

army, hold some positions in the centre of the town, but their main

:14:20.:14:25.

bases are at an intersection on the motorway to the south, where they

:14:26.:14:31.

have dozens of armoured vehicles and the vehicles that have been

:14:31.:14:34.

shelling over recent days. We understand the defectors from the

:14:34.:14:38.

army and guerrilla fighters in those areas, have gone out into the

:14:38.:14:42.

rural areas, fearing a Government ground push, but it hasn't happened.

:14:42.:14:46.

That is fascinating. That suggests something about the relative co-

:14:46.:14:52.

relation of forces there. That 90th brigade may be several thousand

:14:52.:14:57.

troops. Syrian security forces total perhaps 20,000 in the city,

:14:57.:15:04.

population of Homs, 800,000. They are, if you like, in an Alamo

:15:04.:15:09.

mentality, not a conquering mentality. In the neighbourhoods

:15:09.:15:12.

where there is most resistance and where Assad wants to make his

:15:12.:15:16.

presence felt, how has the army been dealing with the opposition?

:15:16.:15:20.

With a difficult situation the army has with regards to its own morale,

:15:20.:15:25.

but the advantages it has, with its heavy weapons, it has tried to use

:15:25.:15:29.

its advantages. If we go in even closer to Baba Amr, this main

:15:29.:15:34.

thorough fare marks one of the boundaries of that neighbourhood.

:15:34.:15:36.

We will put that spot around the mosque.

:15:36.:15:42.

You wouldn't think that if you had a modern self-propelled gun or

:15:42.:15:45.

artillery system that won the target or the house next door to it,

:15:45.:15:55.
:15:55.:15:55.

but look at this. That happened yesterday, the

:15:55.:15:59.

shelling of a house. The opposition say it is a terrifying tactic to

:15:59.:16:03.

keep people off the streets, scare the fighters out to the surrounding

:16:03.:16:06.

countryside, to an extent it has worked. Another example these

:16:06.:16:10.

armoured vehicles moving up the streets. Pictures taken yesterday,

:16:10.:16:13.

firing off machine guns indiscriminately, apparently.

:16:13.:16:17.

Another fascinating sign of what is going on. Neither the drivers nor

:16:17.:16:21.

the commanders seem to have their heads out of the vehicle, I have

:16:21.:16:24.

noticed this with much of the footage coming out of Syria in

:16:24.:16:28.

recent months, of when these vehicles go into contested

:16:28.:16:35.

neighbourhoods. Is it still going on in Homs? It is, the Syrian army

:16:35.:16:38.

does have advantages, but the morale is fragile, it is vulnerable

:16:38.:16:42.

to some of the weapons that defectors and arms suppliers have

:16:43.:16:46.

sent in. The standard rocket propelled grenade, if we look at

:16:46.:16:50.

the next image, in the centre of the round about, you see one of the

:16:50.:16:54.

armoured vehicles. The man with a broom is keeping a lookout, he goes

:16:54.:16:59.

to tell his friend, the coast is clear. Apart from a van that

:16:59.:17:05.

quickly flashes across, it is, he lets fire with an RPG and hits the

:17:05.:17:07.

armoured vehicle. Now we don't know exact low what happened there,

:17:07.:17:12.

whether it might have already been disabled. But let's look on at some

:17:12.:17:17.

of the other images out of Homs in the last few days. We can see quite

:17:17.:17:22.

a lot of burnt out Syrian army vehicles. The police car in the

:17:22.:17:27.

foreground, one of the same vehicles, a BNP, a Russian-made

:17:27.:17:33.

infantry carrier, we have seen it a few times, the roof blown off,

:17:33.:17:36.

internal explosions, it has either been knocked out or set on fire by

:17:36.:17:41.

its own crew. The Syrian army is losing vehicles going into those

:17:41.:17:46.

neighbourhoods and troops, either by dissertation or casualties.

:17:46.:17:54.

Another infantry carrier there, it came a cropper. Not all tanks are

:17:54.:18:00.

vulnerable to the RPG. The army can apply all sorts of tactics. This

:18:00.:18:07.

one, the T-72, these workss on the side of it are proof against

:18:07.:18:10.

exactly that kind of weapon. There are things they can't defeat. The

:18:10.:18:14.

supply of anti-tank weapons they have is limited, there are basic

:18:14.:18:18.

challenges of organisation. What do they need, we asked brigadier Ben

:18:18.:18:23.

Barry. If I was a rebel commander I would be asking for two things. One

:18:23.:18:33.

is some weapons that would enable me to deal with the vehicles.

:18:33.:18:38.

Secondly is equipment to help me communicate with other rebel

:18:38.:18:43.

military outlets, but also to allow the political elements to

:18:43.:18:46.

communicate securely, in order to better co-ordinate actions. It is

:18:46.:18:49.

about different things, it is about communications and also about

:18:49.:18:53.

weapons to hit armoured vehicles, they have, to an extent, we have

:18:53.:18:57.

RPGs, what else do they need, and where will they get it? If one

:18:57.:19:02.

looks at the Libyan model, if you like. We know that the UK, France

:19:02.:19:05.

and Qatar, put great effort into trying to organise, provide the

:19:05.:19:08.

level of organisation, giving satellite phones, giving coaching

:19:08.:19:13.

or mentoring to the leaders of the Libyan army, opposition forces, to

:19:13.:19:18.

get them to raise their game. To behave, in a co-ordinated fashion.

:19:18.:19:23.

In Syria, it is not happening yet, from the UK and French side, there

:19:23.:19:27.

are reports that Qatar and Saudi Arabia are already putting in an

:19:27.:19:32.

effort. It would seem that weapons are being bought in Lebanon, on the

:19:32.:19:36.

arms black market, and are finding their way through. We have seen

:19:36.:19:41.

certain evidence of things like RPGs, sniper rifles, one or two

:19:41.:19:46.

things. They could go a stage further up. The Qataris are thought

:19:46.:19:56.

to have supplied anti-tank weapons to the Libyans, and they could go

:19:56.:19:59.

that to the Syrians, they are a much bigger and more destructive

:19:59.:20:02.

warhead. All the other things we have been talking about as well.

:20:02.:20:07.

Command and control, radios, secure communications, all those kinds of

:20:07.:20:10.

things. You get the sense from William Hague today, there is no

:20:10.:20:14.

question, apart from anything else without a UN resolution, there is

:20:14.:20:17.

no question Britain will do anything, communications is

:20:17.:20:21.

different, but no weaponry? The UK has always found this type of thing

:20:21.:20:25.

extremely hard. We saw it in the Balkan wars in the 1990s, there

:20:25.:20:35.

were demands again and again and again, to arm the boss Bosnian

:20:35.:20:39.

Herridge army, Britain -- Bosnian army, Britain was always again that.

:20:39.:20:43.

We saw it again in Libya, France and Qatar was prepared to provide

:20:43.:20:48.

weapons and the UK was not. William Hague reminded us of that today. It

:20:48.:20:53.

is not an option that the UK wants. Even France, less restrained in

:20:53.:20:56.

Libya, it has certain legal difficulties, I would imagine,

:20:56.:21:00.

because of the EU arms embargo on Syria now. There are all sorts of

:21:00.:21:03.

obstacles, technical, military and legal, to making this happen.

:21:03.:21:09.

Particularly to making it happen quickly. From Fabio Capello's

:21:09.:21:14.

financial send-off to HMRC's spectacular failure in the case

:21:14.:21:19.

against Harry Redknapp, for millions of pounds for players, to

:21:19.:21:26.

endlessly fleesing fans for merchandise. In football nothing is

:21:26.:21:34.

cheap. Has the beautiful game become the tainted game. Everybody

:21:34.:21:37.

likes Harry, he could be king of England, but will probably settle

:21:37.:21:40.

for manager, his good character, unstained. There are wider concerns

:21:40.:21:50.
:21:50.:21:53.

about the sport in which he thrives. Former owner of Harry's current

:21:53.:21:57.

club, Tottenham, has been making that point for years. What is wrong

:21:57.:22:01.

is the quantum of the money, the amount of money spent on players,

:22:01.:22:05.

�50 million last year was spent on a player purchased by Chelsea.

:22:05.:22:09.

is wrong with that if you can afford it? It is ridiculous, the

:22:09.:22:13.

game cannot afford it. That particular club can afford it,

:22:13.:22:18.

because of its owner. But even the poorest Premier League clubs taking

:22:18.:22:23.

�35 million a season from TV rights, the richest getting �60 million,

:22:23.:22:28.

revenues are up again to �2 billion. Yet overall the clubs are losing

:22:28.:22:34.

more than ever, �445 million. It is largely because they are playing

:22:34.:22:41.

the -- paying the players �1.4 billion a season. 20-odd years ago,

:22:41.:22:45.

John Barnes, Player of the Year, was earning �10,000 a week,

:22:45.:22:49.

staggering then. Values then became so distorted, that when Ashley Cole

:22:49.:22:53.

left Arsenal, it was because they offered him only a weekly �55,000.

:22:53.:22:57.

This, he told his fans, was taking the piss. Some Premier League stars

:22:57.:23:04.

today are getting �200,000 a week. Football's finances are crazy. So

:23:04.:23:07.

what's new? What has changed is the ever-growing marketisation of the

:23:07.:23:11.

game, and the widening gulf with its traditional support. It used to

:23:11.:23:16.

be the working man's ballet, now football is far pricier than a trip

:23:16.:23:19.

to covenant garden. While the police have been raiding managers'

:23:19.:23:24.

homes at dawn, and the revenue prosecuting, some see the real

:23:24.:23:28.

scandal elsewhere. Recently I did some figures and found at Liverpool,

:23:28.:23:32.

where it was their fans who suffered in the Hillsborough

:23:32.:23:37.

disaster, which created the improvements in the stadiums, their

:23:37.:23:43.

prices have increased 1100% on the Cop, it now costs �45 a ticket on

:23:43.:23:48.

the Cop to watch oneer games. Yet we have this idea that it is

:23:48.:23:52.

corrupt, and we are looking for bungs, something really precise, we

:23:52.:23:57.

are looking for tax evasion, where as, in fact, there is a broader

:23:57.:24:01.

corruption of the concept of sport and of the ideal of football.

:24:01.:24:05.

don't think there is any particular exploitation going on. I have been

:24:05.:24:09.

a football supporter all my life, I'm prepared to pay the price it

:24:10.:24:15.

takes to have, to witness a game, to see a spectacle that has a

:24:15.:24:20.

stronger desire for myself and other football fans. You can afford

:24:20.:24:25.

it, Paul? And that continues to be a good strong level of support,

:24:25.:24:29.

across the country, not just in the Premier League, among lower

:24:29.:24:33.

divisions, attendances are higher than they have been since World War

:24:33.:24:38.

II. So while the prices rise, the excesses will go on.

:24:38.:24:44.

The ill-judged Redknapp prosecution was a hangover from HM Revenue &

:24:44.:24:47.

Customs failed bungs investigations of the past decade, they have had a

:24:47.:24:50.

bad week. Behind the scenes, it is argued the revenue have sharpened

:24:50.:24:54.

their act, quietly enforcing settlements on players and clubs,

:24:54.:24:59.

and getting their taxes. Lord Sugar, bruised but unbowed by his years in

:25:00.:25:04.

football, says law breaking is no longer the problem. The problem is

:25:04.:25:09.

greed. What's changed in the past few years that there is no more

:25:09.:25:14.

illegal action, illegal stuff going on. You know, with players being

:25:14.:25:19.

paid incorrectly and all that type of thing. You don't think so?

:25:19.:25:27.

no, no. HMRC have got so hot on this, that any owner of a football

:25:27.:25:32.

club has to be stupid or lived in among goalia, for the past five

:25:32.:25:40.

years, -- Mongolia, for the past five years! I would say it is the

:25:40.:25:43.

cleanest industry at the moment. Because they are watched so

:25:43.:25:47.

closely? Absolutely. Vigilence from the taxpayer, and fresh eyes from

:25:47.:25:54.

UEFA, their new financial fair play rules say clubs will have to break

:25:54.:25:57.

even season upon season, transgressors could be banned from

:25:57.:26:01.

lucrative European competition. Does it have teeth, or lake Harry

:26:01.:26:06.

Redknapp's late lamented Rosie, all bark and no bite.

:26:06.:26:09.

When you do your supermarket shopping you are not only paying

:26:09.:26:13.

for your provisions, your taxes are subsidising the likes of Tesco,

:26:13.:26:19.

Asda, Morrisons, and Sainsbury's, despite their whopping profits, and

:26:19.:26:22.

the huge remuneration packages for their CEOs. The Prime Minister has

:26:22.:26:25.

praised the big four for creating thousands of new jobs, what he

:26:25.:26:30.

didn't say is the wages for many of these jobs means that employees are

:26:30.:26:34.

in working poverty. That is the phrase deployed in a report by the

:26:34.:26:38.

Fair Pay Network, which reveals many supermarket staff are reliant

:26:38.:26:48.
:26:48.:27:02.

I sat at 11.00pm, and I finish at 7.00am. My job basically entails

:27:02.:27:06.

redressing sections of the store. My job can be pretty repetitive,

:27:07.:27:15.

and boring at times. But on the whole, I do enjoy it. They scan the

:27:15.:27:19.

barcodes, stack the shelves, stick the stickers on offering us two for

:27:19.:27:25.

one. Just short of a million people work for the big four supermarkets,

:27:25.:27:30.

many tell the same story. On the whole the pay, I don't think it is

:27:30.:27:37.

enough to live on. I am in arrears with my rent at the moment. Not by

:27:37.:27:44.

a lot, but it is there, and I have received letters saying that I

:27:44.:27:50.

could be thrown out of the house if I can't catch up with my acareers.

:27:50.:27:55.

I'm also behind with my council tax, I just don't even want to think

:27:55.:27:59.

about that, I'm so far behind with that, and the same with the water

:27:59.:28:04.

bill. Supermarkets pay low wages. Many on

:28:04.:28:10.

the lowest hourly rates survive only by claiming in-work benefits.

:28:10.:28:13.

Sarah, not her real name, because supermarket workers are not allowed

:28:13.:28:19.

to talk to the press, earns �200 a week working nights, and relies on

:28:19.:28:25.

�129 a week of tax credits, including Child Tax Credit to make

:28:25.:28:31.

ends meet. Soon, as her child turns 16, she will lose most of that.

:28:31.:28:35.

petrified at what is going to happen. I really don't know how I'm

:28:35.:28:40.

going to be able to continue to work on the wage that I'm actually

:28:40.:28:46.

going to be living on, basic clo, and support my son and the rest of

:28:46.:28:54.

my family, I don't think I will be able to do it. I don't know what

:28:54.:28:58.

the alternative is, except going on job seekers, which doesn't make a

:28:58.:29:03.

lot of sense. I don't think for me in my situation going out to work

:29:03.:29:10.

does actual low pay. Supermarkets have a lot of power.

:29:10.:29:14.

Their price wars can move inflation figure, their expansion policies

:29:14.:29:17.

can make-or-break town centres. Now they are creating tens of thousands

:29:17.:29:25.

of new jobs, when it comes to politicians, everybody wants to be

:29:25.:29:29.

the supermarkets' friend. David Cameron even used a supermarket as

:29:29.:29:35.

a stage to make a point about benefits. Are you happy that your

:29:35.:29:39.

taxes are going towards families, where no-one is working, and they

:29:39.:29:44.

are earning over �26,000 in benefits. Is that fair?

:29:44.:29:48.

That's a good question. But here is another one, why do so many people

:29:48.:29:53.

with jobs earn so little that they have to rely on in-work benefits to

:29:53.:29:58.

survive. Why do so many of them work for supermarkets?

:29:58.:30:02.

Why, in other words, does the taxpayer have to fund the pay bill

:30:03.:30:08.

of these big four employers? Well, for supermarkets, pay is a

:30:08.:30:12.

touchy question. When researchers from the Fair Pay Network tried to

:30:12.:30:17.

survey supermarket workers about their pay, they ran into a problem.

:30:17.:30:20.

We encountered, from day one, universally, across the four

:30:20.:30:25.

regions we worked, a pretty pathological fear of engagment with

:30:25.:30:31.

us. I think if you look for example, at Tesco, part of the employment

:30:31.:30:34.

contract includes forbidding discussing Tesco matters with

:30:34.:30:38.

anyone outside. We lost a lot of people that, in principle, wanted

:30:38.:30:42.

to talk to us. The fear was too great. In fact our research teams

:30:42.:30:46.

were followed, they were founded around. This was a pretty straight

:30:46.:30:51.

forward social survey. And wherever it was discovered to be going on, a

:30:51.:30:58.

culture of pro-hib Biggs went down across the bored -- prohibition

:30:58.:31:03.

went across the board. Here the words are spoken by actors. Woman

:31:04.:31:07.

that lives in private association flat with seven-year-old son, has

:31:07.:31:11.

two jobs, 16 hours a week as shelf stacker, and the rest of the time

:31:11.:31:16.

as a waitress. Without my rent cap my housing benefit, my tax credits,

:31:16.:31:21.

we would be out on the street, both of us. If I work for the

:31:21.:31:31.
:31:31.:31:32.

supermarket full-time, and not in the cafe, we would be worse. At the

:31:32.:31:38.

cafe I get tips. A mother of two, husband has two jobs, and works

:31:38.:31:45.

herself, gets benefit. At least I'm out and about with people working

:31:45.:31:49.

in the supermarket, I don't want to beg, to be honest, I would be

:31:49.:31:54.

better off on benefits. I would get the same pay on job seekers, I

:31:54.:32:00.

don't want to live that way or this way. They won't pay us any more,

:32:00.:32:04.

there are no jobs around here, if you slack, someone else can take

:32:04.:32:07.

your place after they sack you. They always say that, they could

:32:07.:32:10.

fill your job before you get your coat. Though they have been

:32:10.:32:16.

squeezed by the economic downturn, the supermarkets made �4 billion in

:32:16.:32:20.

pre-tax profits together in 2011. Campaigners acknowledge the profits

:32:20.:32:25.

might be less if the wages were higher, so too would the bill to

:32:25.:32:29.

the taxpayer. Do we as tax-payers think it is acceptable to have four

:32:29.:32:34.

employers, employing almost 900,000 people, the second-biggest employer

:32:34.:32:38.

outside the NHS, who don't pay their staff a sufficient wage,

:32:38.:32:41.

despite turning billions in profits, and paying executives tens of

:32:41.:32:45.

millions, we make up the difference. Is that fair, do tax-payers think

:32:45.:32:49.

that is fair. All the big four supermarkets pointed out they

:32:49.:32:54.

provide discount cards, bonuses and training. Morrisons and Sainsbury's

:32:54.:33:02.

refused to discuss hourly rates. Asda told us its hourry rates from

:33:02.:33:06.

above the minimum wage. None of the employers wanted to appear on

:33:06.:33:11.

camera, but were happy for their trade association to speak for them.

:33:11.:33:16.

The Government's policy is a national minimum wage, and we, not

:33:16.:33:19.

only meet, but exceed the requirements of the national

:33:19.:33:24.

minimum wage. We help a lot of people who otherwise would be

:33:24.:33:28.

dependant on benefits, because we provide flexible and part-time

:33:28.:33:33.

working that enables them to combine the world of work, with

:33:33.:33:37.

their caring and studying and other responsibilities. People who can

:33:37.:33:42.

only work part-time through illness. That is a significant benefit to

:33:42.:33:45.

those individuals who are much more independent than they otherwise

:33:45.:33:50.

might be, and to society by reducing the cost of benefits.

:33:50.:33:53.

message is be grateful you have a job, and it is not our problem if

:33:53.:34:02.

you can't live on the wages? retailers provide the rate for the

:34:02.:34:07.

job, they pay wages that are similar to other sectors, including

:34:07.:34:11.

the public sector, they meet all of their obligations and go further,

:34:11.:34:15.

and yes they provide lots of opportunities for people to develop

:34:15.:34:21.

themselves, and to further their careers into higher paid jobs in

:34:21.:34:25.

the future. What the campaigners want is something called a living

:34:25.:34:30.

wage, calculated at �7.20 outside London, �8.30 inside the capital.

:34:30.:34:35.

Banks, law firms and some public sector employers have signed living

:34:35.:34:38.

wage agreements for their lowest paid staff, and the politicians

:34:38.:34:42.

have lauded the idea. You asked for a living wage in the

:34:42.:34:47.

public sector, and as you know, I think this is a good and attractive

:34:47.:34:52.

idea. Those who have studied the existing schemes are blunt about

:34:52.:34:57.

the advantages. The living wage would be a huge benefit, mainly to

:34:57.:35:02.

the taxpayer at the present period of time. So if you moved people

:35:02.:35:07.

from the minimum wage to the living wage, the taxpayer would probably

:35:07.:35:14.

benefit by about �50 per week, per5 worker. For supermarkets employing

:35:14.:35:19.

100,000 workers getting tax credits, which is plausible. If each one of

:35:19.:35:22.

them got �50 a week from the employer, rather than the taxpayer,

:35:22.:35:26.

you are talking about hundreds of millions of pounds every single

:35:26.:35:28.

year. The taxpayer would be benefiting there, the Treasury

:35:28.:35:32.

would be benefiting. For those who stack the shelves,

:35:32.:35:37.

though, it is about fairness. This was our shop workers reaction when

:35:37.:35:43.

we told her that supermarket CEOs earn between �3-�7 million. I had

:35:43.:35:48.

no idea at all, I thought something around about �100,000 or something

:35:48.:35:54.

like that. But not, millions. No, that is completely wrong. In fact

:35:54.:36:00.

you have opened my eyes, greatly, I am absolutely shocked that they do

:36:00.:36:07.

get that kind of money. It is unbelievable. When surveyed,

:36:07.:36:10.

supermarket workers say they do appreciate the flexibility, the

:36:10.:36:14.

training, the management style, but if we are now reliant on these big

:36:14.:36:17.

four employers to create jobs, we may have to accept the fact that

:36:18.:36:21.

hundreds of thousands of workers do not earn enough to live on, and

:36:21.:36:28.

that the taxpayer takes up the slack. I'm joined now by Neal

:36:28.:36:33.

Lawson, the left-leaning pressure group who supports the idea of the

:36:34.:36:38.

living wage, and Sheila Lawlor. Sheila Lawlor, we heard from the

:36:38.:36:42.

women, they didn't want to beg but be in work, whether it paid more or

:36:42.:36:46.

not, they wanted to be out there. You heard from the woman saying

:36:46.:36:53.

�200 was what she earned, and �120 in benefits. That is not right, is

:36:53.:36:57.

it? Isn't it better to have some in-work benefit than entirely on

:36:58.:37:01.

benefit for having no job at all. Remember the downside of this

:37:01.:37:05.

report, which painted a very rosy picture of what the campaigners

:37:05.:37:12.

called a living wage. The downside is that the more we make employment

:37:12.:37:15.

cost money, the less productive companies will be, and they will go

:37:15.:37:20.

out of work. We have already seen unemployment go up from 8.3% last

:37:20.:37:25.

quarter to 8.4% this quarter. And we have almost 2.7 million people

:37:25.:37:30.

out of work. If it is expensive to employ people, and wages are not

:37:30.:37:35.

the only cost. There are lots of non-wage costs an employer has to

:37:35.:37:38.

meet. What is wrong with that, the wage costs are something which

:37:38.:37:42.

every single one of these supermarkets faces? We heard this

:37:42.:37:45.

argument exactly the same argument over the minimum wage. It is a

:37:45.:37:48.

crying wolf, saying that loads of people will lose their jobs, and

:37:48.:37:53.

loads of people didn't lose their jobs. On the economic argument, in

:37:53.:37:56.

fairness, I don't know how anyone manages to live and bring up a

:37:56.:38:00.

family on even �8 an hour, if you had a living wage. That seems to me

:38:00.:38:04.

an incredible burden, you have to do two shift, you have to find

:38:04.:38:07.

other work, you never see your kid, you can't read them a bed time

:38:07.:38:10.

story, you don't see your partner, it is a terrible social cost of

:38:10.:38:14.

this stuff. But even on the economics, that what we are doing

:38:14.:38:17.

is breaking the back of the state, because the state have to pick up

:38:17.:38:22.

the bill, that costs all of us huge amounts of money. The workers on

:38:22.:38:26.

these benefits, you think they should get the benefits? We have a

:38:26.:38:29.

system. I would rather, we have enough money to pay people as much

:38:29.:38:35.

as we could possibly pay them. Provided it was viable in terms of

:38:35.:38:38.

competition. Do you think the supermarkets, because the

:38:38.:38:42.

supermarkets know full well about the range of benefits, in a sense,

:38:42.:38:46.

they are relying on that cushion, they themselves know that they can

:38:46.:38:49.

pay the workers these wages, because guess what, the taxpayer

:38:49.:38:54.

can pick up the slack? That's one way of looking at it, I don't think

:38:54.:38:59.

it is the only way. If you look at wage bills, they are very, very

:38:59.:39:04.

high, because you have to take and factor in the non-wage costs of

:39:04.:39:07.

every employer. Look at the profits? You put an extra cost

:39:07.:39:10.

across the board on any company, and they will start shrinking the

:39:10.:39:14.

number of workers. In the supermarket chains they will be

:39:14.:39:19.

moving to more automatic tills, where you swipe in and out yourself.

:39:19.:39:25.

The cost of this sort of well intentioned measure is to lose jobs

:39:25.:39:28.

overall. Surely, it is the Government in the dock here not the

:39:28.:39:32.

supermarkets. The supermarkets are just capitalist? They are just

:39:32.:39:35.

capitalist, they will push wages down as far as they can, they

:39:35.:39:39.

wouldn't have a minimum wage, they would pay �4, �3, if they could get

:39:39.:39:44.

away with it. That essentially is immoral? It is both immoral, bad

:39:44.:39:48.

for the state, but actually bad for the companies and economies as well.

:39:48.:39:53.

Henry Ford was a God capitalist, he knew he had to -- a good capitalist,

:39:53.:39:57.

he knew he had to pay the wages that would buy the cars. The great

:39:57.:40:01.

thing about the report, it says the people working in the figure four,

:40:01.:40:05.

don't shop in the big four, they go to Aldi and Lidl, that is where

:40:05.:40:09.

they can afford. These people are destroying their own productive

:40:09.:40:13.

base. It would generate growth if you paid people enough money that

:40:13.:40:18.

they could spend on the things their family needed, books, food,

:40:18.:40:22.

travel? Do you want an economy where we price labour out of the

:40:22.:40:26.

market, where we pay the social consequences of people having no

:40:26.:40:31.

job, you heard some of the ladies who were interviewed on this show

:40:31.:40:36.

say they would much prefer to have a job and not to be begging. What

:40:36.:40:41.

they were also saying was it was absolutely crippling them? It is,

:40:41.:40:44.

the price of living is crippling people, why is it crippling people,

:40:44.:40:49.

because already we have very, very high costs in the economy, we

:40:49.:40:53.

cannot compete globally we can't sell our goods overseas, we can't

:40:53.:40:59.

compete in a global market, our unemployment is going up, our wage

:40:59.:41:03.

costs are not competitive. Every independent economic survey will

:41:03.:41:09.

say the unit cost of production in the European Union and Britain is

:41:09.:41:14.

cripplingly high and we can't xot in a much wider market. -- Compete

:41:14.:41:18.

in a much wider market. It is surely better that Tesco and

:41:18.:41:22.

Morrisons and all the supermarkets are expanding and bringing jobs to

:41:22.:41:31.

areas where none exists? Of -- Existed? It is, but this is not a

:41:31.:41:35.

non-competitive market, -- this is a non-competitive market, this is

:41:35.:41:39.

the only place they can sell food in Britain, we have �4 billion in

:41:39.:41:43.

profit, and chief executives making �7 billion, it is abhorrent they

:41:43.:41:48.

are employing people at miserable, slave wages, if they don't do

:41:48.:41:51.

something about it, it is up to us as a society to say we will force

:41:51.:41:54.

you to pay a wage at which you can live. Can you force them? If you

:41:55.:41:59.

have a law, and you heard the people, on the programme saying, we

:41:59.:42:03.

have the minimum wage. I think it is very, very wrong and

:42:04.:42:07.

irresponsible, especially at this time, with such rapidly rising

:42:07.:42:13.

unemployment in Britain, to started a vow Kateing more cost on

:42:13.:42:17.

employers. - advocating more costs on employers. David Cameron talked

:42:17.:42:22.

about the living wage, he supported it? Politicians are very much in

:42:22.:42:25.

the market for encouraging people to think they are on their side,

:42:25.:42:29.

that is what politics is about. It is not on the side of Britain for

:42:29.:42:33.

the long-term future. Why doesn't the Government, if they think it is

:42:33.:42:37.

such a great thing, just go ahead, institute the living wage? I think

:42:37.:42:42.

they should do. But we have been locked into this 30-year, free

:42:42.:42:46.

market fundamentalism that says that the people at the bottom have

:42:46.:42:51.

to be pushed down and can't earn a decent wage, where those at the top

:42:51.:42:55.

can earn as much as possible and can all let rip. We have paid the

:42:55.:42:58.

price of that and the economy has, we need a different way of locking

:42:58.:43:02.

at it. Do you think that is immoral, that the CEOs get millions and

:43:02.:43:07.

other bonuses as well? What is immoral is the vendetta we have

:43:07.:43:10.

seen against independent, legal decisions made against companies

:43:10.:43:15.

paying out wages. This week and last week. And yes, by all means,

:43:15.:43:19.

bring in a law, if that has the support of parliament. But this

:43:19.:43:25.

sort of pressure is, as one leader of a small business has said, it

:43:25.:43:33.

was a vend det at that and witch- hunt against companies -- vendetta

:43:33.:43:36.

and witch-hunt against companies making money for this country and

:43:36.:43:39.

employing many people. Nothing will change in the foreseeable future,

:43:39.:43:43.

because as Sheila Lawlor says, there are plenty of people chasing

:43:43.:43:46.

jobs? We shouldn't be exploiting those people, we should be paying

:43:46.:43:49.

them a wage that they will then go and spend their money in the

:43:49.:43:52.

economy and help us get out of the mess we are in, and we will help

:43:52.:43:56.

them socially, morally and economically as well.

:43:56.:44:06.
:44:06.:44:06.

Apology for the loss of subtitles for 53 seconds

:44:06.:44:59.

Thank you very much. The front Harry Redknapp will get �4 million,

:44:59.:45:09.

That's all from Newsnight tonight, Gavin will be with you tomorrow,

:45:09.:45:19.
:45:19.:45:44.

from all of us here tonight, good Another wintry night out there,

:45:44.:45:47.

further know across the Midland, further counties of England

:45:47.:45:51.

drifting into the south-east of Wales. A covering in many places,

:45:51.:45:55.

5cms, maybe more in some spots. The snow clears away sharply on Friday,

:45:55.:46:02.

then things brighten up on eastern areas. Plenty of sunshine in

:46:02.:46:05.

Lincolnshire, temperatures struggling to get above freezing. A

:46:05.:46:08.

bright sparkling day for the Midlands, East Anglia and the

:46:08.:46:12.

south-east, again it is cold. After a wet start in the south west,

:46:12.:46:16.

dryer and brighter, the rain looking clinging on to Cornwall

:46:16.:46:23.

late in the day, as it does in Pembrokeshire.

:46:23.:46:26.

It will stay dull across the east of Northern Ireland, but

:46:26.:46:30.

temperatures here much higher, a mild eight or nine Celsius, some

:46:30.:46:34.

brightness across the west in Northern Ireland, western Scotland

:46:34.:46:37.

stays dull. Some brightness in parts of the north, particularly in

:46:37.:46:41.

the Moray firth. It stays cloudy in Scotland and Northern Ireland into

:46:41.:46:44.

the weekend, it crucially stays milder, there will be some rain

:46:44.:46:48.

especially in northern Scotland. For England and Wales, plenty of

:46:48.:46:52.

winter sunshine, a cold start and plenty of sunshine through the day.

:46:52.:46:57.

It will turn a bit grey by Sunday. It will also cloud across on

:46:57.:47:01.

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