Browse content similar to 13/09/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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This trailer was barely noticed when it first appeared on YouTube, | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
now the American film, it seems, is creating turmoil across the Muslim | :00:18. | :00:24. | |
world. After the Libya killings, more | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
violent protests rock Egypt, Yemen, Tunisia and Bangladesh. Thousands | :00:28. | :00:35. | |
take to the streets to condemn its portrayal of Islam. We ask if the | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
Arab Spring has changed relations between the Middle East and the | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
west. Remember this, it is five years to the day since panic broke | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
out at Northern Rock, marking the start of five years of gloom. | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
quite sure in the 50s or 60s, if a Chancellor stood up and said your | :00:48. | :00:52. | |
money is safe, that would be the end of the conversation. Here in | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
2007, nobody believes the Chancellor. The Chancellor of the | :00:55. | :01:00. | |
time is with us here. We ask if he is convinced his decisions were the | :01:00. | :01:06. | |
right ones. We ask our panel what lesson it is taught us about crisis | :01:06. | :01:12. | |
management and fairness. The Hillsborough families waited 23 | :01:12. | :01:17. | |
years for truth, has the day of reckoning come. | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
Serious questions have been asked today in Liverpool today, about a | :01:21. | :01:27. | |
role played by a man who is now one of the country's most senior police | :01:27. | :01:34. | |
chiefs. Good evening. When a 40-minute -- | :01:34. | :01:40. | |
14-minute trailer of it was posted on YouTube in June, not many people | :01:40. | :01:47. | |
noticed. Now the Muslim world is in turmoil, over a film they believe | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
denigrates the Prophet Mohammed and Islam. In Cairo heavy clashes with | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
police, in Bangladesh, a thousand demonstrator gathered to burn the | :01:56. | :02:01. | |
American flag. If the Arab Spring looked like offering a chance for a | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
new kind of relationship between the Middle East and the west, the | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
events of the last week have underscored the complex reality of | :02:08. | :02:13. | |
what it has actually brought. Is this the thanks they get? The US | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
consulate in Benghazi, wrecked, a year after America and other | :02:17. | :02:21. | |
western nations did so much to help free Libya from dictatorship. The | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
ambassador, such an enthusiast for Arab democracy, and three other | :02:25. | :02:31. | |
diplomats, murdered. Today, the wave of anti-Americanism | :02:31. | :02:37. | |
rolled on through the region, in Yemen protestors tried to storm the | :02:37. | :02:41. | |
US embassy. In Iraq, they burned the stars and stripes, chanting "no | :02:41. | :02:50. | |
to America, no to Israel". Meanwhile, in Egypt, police fired | :02:50. | :02:55. | |
teargas at demonstrators on the third day of unrest. Apparently | :02:55. | :03:02. | |
sparked by an obscure, amateur American film, said to insult Islam. | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
Democracy in North Africa, supported by the space, gives space | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
to radical anti-western groups, that would have once been | :03:09. | :03:15. | |
suppressed by the ubiquitious security forces. Soon after last | :03:15. | :03:22. | |
year's uprising in Libya, Newsnight visit the liberated town of Derna, | :03:22. | :03:26. | |
famous and notorious for sending an unusually high number of Jihadis to | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
fight the Americans in Iraq. Intelligence sources believed some | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
such former Jihadis returned to the anti-American fight in their own | :03:35. | :03:39. | |
country last year. Joining the revolutionary militias, and keeping | :03:39. | :03:45. | |
the weapons, even after Gadaffi was overgrown. This reformed Libyan | :03:45. | :03:51. | |
Jihadi, once intimate with the Al- Qaeda leader, says he knows the | :03:51. | :03:56. | |
groups influenced by Al-Qaeda, were behind the attack on the US | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
consulate. Al-Qaeda is influencing them, it is, I can say I'm | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
comfortable to say, it is firsthand information, I obtained this | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
information from Al-Zawahiri himself. They believe Libya is | :04:09. | :04:15. | |
stragically can be the hub of a Jihadi struggle or conflict, -- | :04:15. | :04:21. | |
can't be the hub of Jihadi struggle or conflict, but it should be used | :04:21. | :04:28. | |
as a back yard, or logistic space for a bigger Jihadi Islamic battle, | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
which is Egypt, Algeria or both of them. America can't reverse the | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
Arab Spring, but the question now for Washington is how to respond to | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
the dangers it throws up. Should it continue, as President Obama has, | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
to be wary of intervention. Should it avoid appearing to tread too | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
heavily in the region, for fear of exacerbating further resentment. Or | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
has it become, as many Republicans feel, too indecisive, and | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
apologetic. America, they feel, needs to make | :04:55. | :05:01. | |
clearer what it stands for. What the United States needs to do is | :05:01. | :05:07. | |
take the kind of leadership that will organise the international | :05:07. | :05:11. | |
community to address these crises, it doesn't appear that is happening | :05:11. | :05:16. | |
in the way that is productive and gets the results we want. Which are | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
basically not to have to enter at the military level. I think it | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
leads to others feeling the kind of power vacuum, and often those that | :05:24. | :05:32. | |
come to fill the power vacuum are radical Islamists. | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
But while America still has widespread support in Libya, shown | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
by today's pro-western demonstration in Benghazi, some | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
think it should help the Libyan Government to track down the | :05:44. | :05:48. | |
ambassador's killers, not try to launch its own strike against the | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
terrorists. If make now is involved again, based on this strategy on | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
tactics, it means all the work done by President Obama's administration, | :05:56. | :06:03. | |
it will disappear, and go like a waste of time, and assets as well. | :06:03. | :06:09. | |
I believe America, to a certain extent, has been successful, it | :06:09. | :06:14. | |
managed to pull itself out of the "war against terror", that is very | :06:14. | :06:18. | |
important of the future for relations for America and the Arab | :06:18. | :06:24. | |
world. It is a balancing act, not just for America, but also new Arab | :06:24. | :06:29. | |
leader, like Egypt's Islamist, Mohammed Morsi, in Europe this week | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
to seek western financial help for his country. TRANSLATION: We never | :06:33. | :06:39. | |
accept, we can't agree, we stand against anyone who harbours these | :06:39. | :06:47. | |
false slogans or calls this hatred among the people, or insensitivites. | :06:47. | :06:52. | |
We cannot accept that there is such empty or aggression against | :06:52. | :06:56. | |
embassies, consulates, origins people, or the killing of anybody | :06:56. | :07:02. | |
no matter how. This evening clashing resumed in | :07:02. | :07:06. | |
Cairo, despite an attempt by Google to calm the anger by blocking | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
Egyptian access to the controversial film. Tomorrow, plans | :07:10. | :07:15. | |
for an even larger demonstration will further test the increasingly | :07:15. | :07:20. | |
ambiguous relations between America and the new Arab democracies. | :07:20. | :07:24. | |
Let's discuss this with the former British ambassador to the United | :07:24. | :07:29. | |
Nations, Sir Jeremy Greenstock, in the studio, and from Washington, | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
the former US secretary of defence, Paul Wolfowitz. Thank you very much | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
for joining me. Jeremy Greenstock, are you surprised by how much this | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
has spread, do you think the film itself had anything to do with it, | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
or is that symbolic of something else? The film is definitely the | :07:45. | :07:49. | |
immediate approximate cause, but there are people on a spring out | :07:49. | :07:55. | |
there, waiting to show their anger, or to express their resentment at | :07:55. | :08:00. | |
any insult they see coming their way. Remember, that the most | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
significant feature of the whole Arab Spring, country by country, it | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
is the same everywhere, and it goes beyond the Arab world, is that the | :08:08. | :08:14. | |
voice of the people is now more powerful political phenomenon. And | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
there are different parts of the voice of the people, they can | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
express themselves now. The security forces aren't able to deal | :08:20. | :08:28. | |
with all the emnations of that. you think it is spontaneous, and | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
one paper here in the UK is suggesting this was the result of a | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
serious security breach, and the whole thing was planned, and secure | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
documents have now gone missing from the embassy in Libya. Do you | :08:41. | :08:44. | |
know anything about that, would that surprise you? Look, I think | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
there is a lot we still don't know about who organised the | :08:48. | :08:51. | |
demonstration, how they happened. They are probably different in each | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
place. What took place in Benghazi was not a spontaneous outburst of | :08:56. | :09:01. | |
popular anger, it was a nightime attack, with mortars and heavy | :09:01. | :09:09. | |
machine guns, by probably a rather small armed group. I think There | :09:09. | :09:11. | |
are issues between the United States and the Arab world, and we | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
shouldn't expect them to be solved any time soon, this is a huge | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
upheaval. But what we are seeing, as much as anything, is a fight | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
within the Arab world, in July the Libyans had a remarkably peaceful | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
election, in which the Muslim Brotherhood came in a distant | :09:26. | :09:30. | |
second, and these extremists barely showed. The Libyan people really | :09:30. | :09:35. | |
voted for a very religiously conservative, but moderate approach | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
to politics. But the people with the guns have a different view of | :09:38. | :09:42. | |
things, this was done with guns. None the less, it was your | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
ambassador that was targeted o killed, it is the US embassies in | :09:47. | :09:50. | |
other cities that have been targeted, this is about making the | :09:50. | :09:55. | |
US the external enemy, once again, isn't it? Well, it's also about | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
terrorising people, about saying that if you stand up for reasonable | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
positions you can be killed. I think it's very important to stand | :10:02. | :10:06. | |
up to this kind of terror. It is, at least in the case of Libya, we | :10:06. | :10:11. | |
are really talking about armed extremists. Unfortunately, as much | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
as Libya owes its freedom to the United States and your country, and | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
France and others who came to their assistance, the people who did the | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
arming and training of the Libyan militias were very heavily | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
dominated by extremists, we are seeing one of the results of that. | :10:27. | :10:34. | |
It is very interesting, that line about owing your freedom, the sort | :10:34. | :10:39. | |
of Kalaban line comes in, you talk my language, and my prophet is, I | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
can curse you with it, as a paraphrase, a lot of people will | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
look at what happened in the Arab Spring and say, this is what you | :10:46. | :10:51. | |
get? I think when a space opens up, with a new political arrangement, | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
things can get worse before they get better. You can't look for a | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
steady graph of improvement, it is going to be a very jagged curve. | :10:59. | :11:03. | |
You could say things have got worse, in the sense that, this wouldn't | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
have happened under a Gadaffi, this wouldn't have happened under a | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
dictatorship? Yes, but this is a horrid period, and a horrid | :11:14. | :11:17. | |
incident against American diplomats and citizens. But, it's not going | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
to be the only thing that counts on the score of whether this was | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
worthwhile or not. It's going to be a long process. It will be a | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
generational process. Some bad things are going to happen. | :11:29. | :11:32. | |
American Embassy was attacked under Gadaffi, to be clear, except we | :11:32. | :11:37. | |
knew who was behind it. It was very clear then. What we reasonably know | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
now, it is very important to say this, is this is not a popular move | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
by the Libyan people. The Libyan people, are, for the most part, I | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
believe, we haven't taken opinion poll, shocked and disgusted by what | :11:49. | :11:52. | |
was done to somebody who was deeply committed to the future of their | :11:52. | :11:57. | |
country. And they know it. Now the question is, can that sentiment be | :11:57. | :12:01. | |
mobilised to an effective reaction against these extremists, and to | :12:01. | :12:05. | |
talk about some obscure film is a distraction in that case. What | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
would you make of Mitt Romney today, when he said American leadership is | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
still sorely needed, and American leadership is made necessary by | :12:13. | :12:17. | |
this. Do you agree with this, or is it time to take a back seat? | :12:17. | :12:22. | |
think the back seat is part of the reason we got into this situation | :12:22. | :12:26. | |
in Lybia, where the people with guns are not connected to the | :12:26. | :12:31. | |
United States. We would have been in a stronger position if they had | :12:31. | :12:34. | |
been armed and trained by the United States and the NATO allies. | :12:34. | :12:39. | |
The strategic point here, is you have 1.5 million people in the | :12:39. | :12:46. | |
Muslim world -- 1.5 billion world, I would say the high end of it, 10- | :12:46. | :12:51. | |
20% share these views. The other 80% are in danger of being | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
terrorised it into silence or some kind of complicity. It depends on | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
how you define leadership. Those people hope for the United States | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
to be there to help them, not just the United States, but Europe as | :13:01. | :13:05. | |
well. What do you make of this idea that they should have been armed? | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
The diplomats should have been armed? No, when he was talking | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
about part of that uprising and the intervention? The fact that arms | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
are awash amongst the people is extremely serious. It makes it that | :13:16. | :13:23. | |
much more difficult to defend yourselves. You need, against this | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
potential disaster, a day you can't predict, you need very large | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
security forces around an embassy then. This idea of leadingship, | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
that you can go in and change the character of what's happening in | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
the Arab Spring, is misplaced, in my view. It is the people who are | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
speaking, and it is going to go wrong in certain aspects. But we | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
can't intervene from outside. It is not taste of the leadership of | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
outside people. Last word to you, Paul Wolfowitz? The people weren't | :13:51. | :13:55. | |
speak anything Benghazi, it was a handful of harmed extremists, we | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
were told if we arm the Libyan opposition, then the country would | :13:59. | :14:02. | |
be awash in weapons, so we didn't arm them, it is awash in weapons, | :14:02. | :14:05. | |
but they are weapons in the hands of people that are not particularly | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
friendly to us, and are not friendly to the majority of the | :14:09. | :14:14. | |
Libyan people. I think that point, look maybe leadership is the wrong | :14:14. | :14:19. | |
word, but very strong supportership, the people in Libya who are | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
embattled now, need our help. agree. Five years ago today, the | :14:24. | :14:28. | |
BBC learned of a crisis at Northern Rock bank, what happened that | :14:28. | :14:33. | |
evening, and over the days to come, signalled the start of the worst | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
credit crisis this country has ever seen. The run on Northern Rock, the | :14:37. | :14:42. | |
eventual nationalisation of it and other banks, was something no-one | :14:42. | :14:45. | |
saw coming. We revisit the decisions made during that crucial | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
period, and ask if they were the right ones, and what precedent they | :14:48. | :14:52. | |
set to deal with economic crisis in the future. At the moment we speak | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
to the architect of the bank bail outs, former Chancellor, Alistair | :14:56. | :15:03. | |
Darling. First, Paul Mason's reflections. | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
I can announce today, following discussions with the Governor of | :15:07. | :15:09. | |
the Bank of England, and the chairman of the FSA, should it be | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
necessary, we, and the Bank of England, would put in place | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
arrangements that would guarantee all the existing deposits in the | :15:16. | :15:20. | |
Northern Rock bank. Of this the day Alistair Darling finally guaranteed | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
the deposits of Northern Rock savers, outside a Northern Rock | :15:24. | :15:28. | |
branch in Golders Green, it was the day a decade of political spin | :15:28. | :15:32. | |
collided with Labour's reputation on economic management. I'm quite | :15:32. | :15:37. | |
sure in the 50s or the 60s, if Chancellor stood up and said, "your | :15:37. | :15:43. | |
money is safe", that woobt end of the conversation. Here, in 2007, | :15:43. | :15:47. | |
nobody believes the Chancellor. not? Because Mr Blair has told too | :15:47. | :15:52. | |
many lies. If you look at the cuttings from 2007, not many | :15:52. | :16:02. | |
:16:02. | :16:15. | ||
predicted there would be a crash. Now who wrote that? Well, me. So, | :16:15. | :16:20. | |
why, six months later, was I surprised when Northern Rock went | :16:21. | :16:28. | |
bust? I covered the dotcom boom in the 1990s, I became convinced the | :16:28. | :16:31. | |
technology-driven upsurge it provided was real. And banks are | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
opaque, you are not supposed to know bank is going bust until it | :16:35. | :16:40. | |
does. The FSA said its supervision of Northern Rock was, basically, a | :16:40. | :16:45. | |
fiasco. It involved, "a level of engagment and oversight by | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
supervisory line management below the standard we would expect for a | :16:48. | :16:54. | |
high-impact firm". By the time RBS was going bust, one | :16:54. | :16:57. | |
year later, things had become more fluid. I was getting calls three | :16:57. | :17:02. | |
days before the event, saying RBS can't meet its overnight | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
commitments, but you can't report rumour, and they were | :17:06. | :17:10. | |
unsubstantiated. Even a year later, when Lehman Brothers went burst, if | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
I think back to what was in my head, I did not grasp the catastrophe | :17:14. | :17:19. | |
that was to come. By August 2008, I had people telling me a major bank | :17:19. | :17:25. | |
was going bust. I blogged this was being rumoured, and was greeted | :17:26. | :17:34. | |
with a storm of amuse, told to repeat fact not comment. In they | :17:34. | :17:40. | |
arey, the loss of Lehmans, on top of Meryl, and on top of fanny and | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
Freddie, and bail outs there, should provide the basis of | :17:45. | :17:48. | |
recapitalising the banking system, and in one or two years, the easing | :17:48. | :17:53. | |
of credit crunch. That is the they arey, we don't know how many big | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
nasty possibilities there are out there. Why, on the day Lehman | :17:57. | :18:01. | |
Brothers went bust, did I think we would avoid the crash? Thinking | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
back, because the experts tell you there is a technical fix that won't | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
stop a investigation, but will stop a crash, you tend to assume the | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
politicians and the regulators will do it. But they didn't. | :18:12. | :18:16. | |
We know a lot more now than then about the structural problems we | :18:16. | :18:20. | |
face. But for me, the past five years have come to seem less like a | :18:21. | :18:26. | |
deep crisis of capitalism, more like a fiasco of politics and | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
regulation. That's what the people outside | :18:29. | :18:32. | |
Northern Rock were worried about on that fateful day, and they might | :18:32. | :18:38. | |
have been right. The former Chancellor, Alistair | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
Darling, once described his life as a couple of decades in politics, | :18:42. | :18:46. | |
followed by four years as bank management. He oversaw the Northern | :18:46. | :18:50. | |
Rock crisis and he's with me now. When you revisit and see the queues | :18:50. | :18:55. | |
outside Northern Rock, the branches on Friday morning, that would have | :18:55. | :18:58. | |
been tomorrow morning, five years ago, it must have been a heart- | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
stopping moment for you and the Government. It was, you see these | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
scenes in different parts of the world, you think, someone should do | :19:06. | :19:09. | |
something about T I suddenly thought, that's me, I have to do | :19:09. | :19:13. | |
something about this, because we don't stop this then people will | :19:13. | :19:16. | |
rapidly lose faith in the Government, they will start to | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
panic. People honestly believed they ought to get their money out. | :19:19. | :19:22. | |
And the days when a politician can stand up and say, I'm a politician, | :19:22. | :19:27. | |
trust me, your money is safe, I think, are gone. We had the 24-hour | :19:27. | :19:30. | |
televise, which compounds the problem, people see the same thing | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
coming up on the screen, and think there are more and more people | :19:34. | :19:38. | |
queuing up, even though it might not necessarily be the case. We had | :19:38. | :19:43. | |
to stop it. In some ways it had to run its course, but on the Monday | :19:43. | :19:47. | |
we stopped it, when we had to guarantee every penny in Northern | :19:47. | :19:53. | |
Rock. Something unthinkable a few days earlier. Did the enormity of | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
what was happening then get to you at the time? No, that became more | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
apparent in the following year, 20008. You have to remember that | :20:00. | :20:02. | |
Northern Rock was a symptom of what was going very wrongment here you | :20:02. | :20:07. | |
had had a small bank that got above itself, you had had a very | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
aggressive policy for expanding market share. There wasn't enough | :20:11. | :20:15. | |
savers' money to lend to people taking out loan, what did they do? | :20:15. | :20:20. | |
They went to the American wholesale markets, largely funded by dodgy | :20:20. | :20:23. | |
financial instruments at that time. When people panicked in the summer | :20:23. | :20:27. | |
of 2007, Northern Rock ran out of money, and it was the first symptom | :20:27. | :20:31. | |
of a much larger problem that hit, not just us, but other countries, | :20:31. | :20:35. | |
the following year. The decisions that you made at that moment, that | :20:35. | :20:39. | |
you made the Bank of England the lender of last resort, it stepped | :20:39. | :20:44. | |
in. That moment set a precedent, a proto-type for what would happen | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
from there on? The Bank of England has always been the lender of last | :20:48. | :20:50. | |
resort, this was the first time announcing that the Bank of England | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
would step in, far from reassuring people, provoked sheer panic. What | :20:54. | :21:00. | |
it did do, and I have said this before, it made Gordon Brown and | :21:00. | :21:03. | |
myself determined it would never happened again, so when, 12 months | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
later, I was rung up by RBS and told they had two or three hours | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
worth of money left before they had to shut the doors, we had a plan. | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
Keith to it, we did far more than people expected and more quickly. | :21:15. | :21:18. | |
Something that today's European people should understand. From that | :21:18. | :21:21. | |
point you had decided that banks couldn't fail, because there | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
couldn't be a survival of the fitness strategy, you had to be | :21:24. | :21:28. | |
there, and prop up and intervene? The idea in the time of a panic, | :21:28. | :21:33. | |
that you can let any bank fail, even a small bank, and another, was | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
small in the international scheme of things. That was no longer | :21:37. | :21:40. | |
possible. Even a small bank going down, the contagion would have | :21:40. | :21:44. | |
spread. Even today, in the eurozone, where you are seeing the precise | :21:45. | :21:47. | |
opposite, where they are not doing what is necessary, you are getting | :21:47. | :21:51. | |
that panic. The only way to stop it, as I say, is learn the lessons of | :21:52. | :21:57. | |
what happened in 2008, theing year with RBS and HBOS, you do more than | :21:57. | :22:00. | |
people were expecting and immediately. I want to bring you | :22:00. | :22:04. | |
back to some of the comments, Mervyn King in 2008 said, he didn't | :22:04. | :22:07. | |
believe in a year's time people will look back and say there was | :22:07. | :22:11. | |
lasting damage to the banking system! I'm sure lots of people | :22:11. | :22:14. | |
said things at the time that doesn't look so great five years | :22:14. | :22:19. | |
later. The banking system...They Have a lot of power now, they have | :22:19. | :22:24. | |
been invested with more power, not less? There were mistakes made at | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
Government, regulatory level, the Bank of England was slow off the | :22:27. | :22:33. | |
mark, and yet 12 months later it had recovered slightly. I think the | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
idea that simply replacing the present system and putting the Bank | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
of England in charge, will automatically mean everything will | :22:39. | :22:43. | |
be fine, that is fanciful. I just hope that regulators have learned | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
their lesson, unfortunately, if you look athe channel, there is not too | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
much evidence they have. -- If you look across the channel, there is | :22:52. | :22:58. | |
not much evidence that they have. What about now, George Osborne | :22:58. | :23:06. | |
could break your rule on GDP to ratio, will he break the rules | :23:06. | :23:11. | |
there? Does he ring you up for advice? He said his current rules | :23:11. | :23:15. | |
are a golden standard of fiscal rules, that is something people | :23:16. | :23:19. | |
jump on and off for the last few years. The real problem in the | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
country, it isn't just banking crisis s you have to look at the | :23:22. | :23:26. | |
other side of things, we have a real problem in relation to the | :23:26. | :23:34. | |
economy, austerity alone won't work, it is not working in Spain or here. | :23:34. | :23:40. | |
What the Government announced in the autumn won't work. Isn't it | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
lack of trust for people in banks, institutions and politicians, that | :23:44. | :23:48. | |
is very prevalent now? Yeah, there is a problem in relation to that. | :23:48. | :23:51. | |
It is also, if you look here and other parts of the world, what is | :23:51. | :23:55. | |
really lacking is confidence. You can't be surprised that an | :23:55. | :23:57. | |
individual looking at today's landscape, or someone in business, | :23:57. | :24:02. | |
says I won't spend my money, I won't invest, because I actually | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
think the economy isn't going to recover. And the problem is, the | :24:05. | :24:09. | |
longer you leave this, the more you have to do. Frankly, I don't | :24:09. | :24:12. | |
believe that building conservatories is the road to | :24:12. | :24:16. | |
salvation of the economy of this country. The Chancellor will have | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
to announce something significant f he's going to put a firewall under | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
the problem that is growing now. You are seeing growth beginning to | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
evaporate, the borrowing rising and maybe the debt too. Before you go, | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
top job at the Bank of England, we will know tomorrow, who would you | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
put in the job? I think there are some good UK candidates. I would | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
ask the Government to make sure they look around the world. This is | :24:38. | :24:42. | |
a very big job. It will require someone with superhuman abilities. | :24:43. | :24:47. | |
Someone from outside the UK? Yes, people have been mentioned in other | :24:47. | :24:50. | |
parts of the world. I know there are good candidates in other parts | :24:51. | :24:54. | |
of the world. We need the very best. Because, frankly, there will be a | :24:54. | :24:59. | |
huge job, not just here, but if you look at what's going on with the | :24:59. | :25:03. | |
new European banking system, this will require something of a | :25:03. | :25:10. | |
superhuman, I'm not sure we have that many in this country. | :25:10. | :25:15. | |
We discuss this further with Claire Perry, adviser to George Osborne, | :25:15. | :25:19. | |
Shadow Chancellor at the time of the Northern Rock crisis. Nigel | :25:19. | :25:26. | |
Wolf is a member of the Vickers Commission on banking, Johanna | :25:26. | :25:33. | |
Kyrklund, and Giles Fraser, a parish priest in south London and | :25:33. | :25:39. | |
former canon at St Paul's. Martin, five years on, we're fighting the | :25:39. | :25:44. | |
same battle and we are not sure what we have cured, are we? I think | :25:44. | :25:50. | |
what's become very obvious in the passage of five years, is a crisis | :25:50. | :25:54. | |
was a symptom of something deeper, which was, in essence, that the | :25:54. | :25:59. | |
whole western world, we were part of that, went on a huge debt binge. | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
The financial sector grew enormously as part of that. There | :26:02. | :26:06. | |
was a colossal increase in debt in households in particular, we are | :26:06. | :26:10. | |
now on the other side of this hill. It is going down. Every year credit | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
shrinks, the economy, as a result, the private sector economy is | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
essentially flat, as Alistair Darling described T the same is | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
happening in the US, there is no demand growth. That is the core of | :26:22. | :26:25. | |
it. This is the process we have seen in Japan, if you don't stop | :26:25. | :26:30. | |
that, that can go on for decades. If you put that as a morality issue, | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
do you think we have learned anything from it t do you think? | :26:34. | :26:38. | |
The main thing everybody has learned is we should have never let | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
it happen in the first place. That is irrelevant, it did. This is not | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
something we will do for decades, we have learned our lesson. | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
Unfortunately it has left us with an enormous headache, which is how | :26:49. | :26:52. | |
do you get the private sector really growing again, spending, | :26:52. | :26:55. | |
when the banks don't want to lend, and lots of people don't want to | :26:55. | :26:59. | |
borrow, and don't dare to borrow. You see this, it is not just | :26:59. | :27:04. | |
Britain, basically, the lending machine of the western financial | :27:04. | :27:12. | |
system has frozen. Giles Fraser, what was led to the Occupy movement, | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
in your back yard at St Paul's. Do you think the banks have a social | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
conscience about any of this? think they got caught up in this, | :27:20. | :27:25. | |
particularly Northern Rock, got caught up tpwh this hugely | :27:25. | :27:32. | |
overoptimistic -- in this hugely overoptimistic, you have | :27:32. | :27:37. | |
demutualising the same team that D- reamis singing about things getting | :27:37. | :27:41. | |
better. Things will always get better, and you can borrow off the | :27:41. | :27:44. | |
future because things will be bigger. The idea is the hub bris | :27:44. | :27:48. | |
that is there, it got us into a huge amount of trouble, where the | :27:48. | :27:54. | |
bank became so big, so arrogant, a small bank on the wholesale markets, | :27:54. | :28:02. | |
hugely overleveraged itself. Then it was too big to fail. What | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
happens when it fails, it is welfare state for the rich, they | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
make their profits if they are private, and then the public | :28:10. | :28:15. | |
responsibility. �21 billion we are left with. You are nodeing to the | :28:15. | :28:21. | |
idea of hubris -- nodding along to the idea of hubris, just after | :28:21. | :28:24. | |
George Osborne went on to the Conservative Party Conference and | :28:24. | :28:30. | |
talked about inheritance tax. He completely failed to recognise the | :28:30. | :28:34. | |
crisis? I was a banker many years ago, I was sanatised by motherhood. | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
It was this sense that common sense went out the window. At the time | :28:38. | :28:42. | |
you were an advise Tory George Osborne, was there a sense that the | :28:42. | :28:46. | |
Conservatives had completely -- adviser to George Osborne, was | :28:47. | :28:51. | |
there a service that the Conservatives had completely got it | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
wrong? The regulatory regime was put in place to make sure this sort | :28:55. | :29:00. | |
of thing happened. Northern Rock was too good to be true, it was a | :29:00. | :29:03. | |
small constitution that -- institution that grew rapidly, it | :29:03. | :29:08. | |
had a business model that should have been flagged up as risky. | :29:08. | :29:11. | |
Alistair Darling, one of the few members of the last Government to | :29:11. | :29:18. | |
come out with reputation intact, when the crisis hit nobody knew who | :29:18. | :29:22. | |
was going to be in rpblg cha, there is criticism of that. One of the | :29:22. | :29:24. | |
things we have said is banking is an important thing, there is still | :29:24. | :29:28. | |
a huge need for banking services across the world, it is a very | :29:28. | :29:31. | |
important industry for Britain t has to be regulated better. There | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
has to be somebody in charge who is prepared to stand up and take | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
responsibility. We think it should be the Bank of England. That will | :29:38. | :29:43. | |
be done relatively soon when the legislation changes. Have we seen | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
that? This sense of better regulation for the banks, I know | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
your bank wasn't one that was bailed out, do you think there has | :29:49. | :29:59. | |
been a structural change for banks? Schroders is an Asset Management | :29:59. | :30:04. | |
bank, we invest money for a long- term pension scheme. From our | :30:04. | :30:07. | |
perspective, regulation is to be welcomed. Ultimately we want | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
sustainable growth. That works for people who are trying to allocate | :30:10. | :30:15. | |
capital over the long-term. If I pull you away, not just about your | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
own investment house itself, but this idea, as we heard from | :30:18. | :30:21. | |
Alistair Darling, that actually, there was no question, the banks | :30:21. | :30:25. | |
would be bailed out by the Government. At some point the City | :30:25. | :30:28. | |
has to decide whether the Government is a help or hindrance. | :30:28. | :30:32. | |
Whether they like having the Government on their back or not, | :30:32. | :30:36. | |
right? From our perspective, we think that there should have been | :30:36. | :30:39. | |
greater regulation, particularly it wasn't just a matter of | :30:39. | :30:43. | |
overoptimisim. The problem was that this classic problem of greed was | :30:43. | :30:49. | |
combined with the modern problem of excessive leverage and complexty. | :30:49. | :30:53. | |
The problem started in the United States. You had the repackaging of | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
mortgage debt into mortgage-backed securities. The complexity of the | :30:57. | :31:00. | |
system increased significantly, what seemed like a small change in | :31:01. | :31:05. | |
the default rate on mortgage debt in the United States, mult mitly | :31:05. | :31:12. | |
had catastrophic consequences. All the areas should have been done, | :31:12. | :31:19. | |
and we would prefer a smaller system. Do you think things have | :31:19. | :31:21. | |
fundamentally changed? We wouldn't have made a difference to Northern | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
Rock. Banks could fail in many ways, there was clear compensatory | :31:27. | :31:31. | |
failure. I don't think it was a structural system, it was an | :31:31. | :31:34. | |
intellectual point, we thought banks were safe and they couldn't, | :31:34. | :31:41. | |
and they couldn't manage themselves. It was a fundamental mistake. We | :31:41. | :31:44. | |
think some of the problems with the big universal banks, it is a fact | :31:44. | :31:49. | |
that RBS went down. That a bank of that stage goes down, Citigroup, | :31:49. | :31:54. | |
monstrous banks went down. Those were the real threat. Northern Rock | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
was quite manageable by comparison. We think we have a way of reducing | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
that problem significantly, and by the way the Government agrees with | :32:02. | :32:07. | |
us. The collapse of the rock has had a profound impact on the north- | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
east of England and the people who live there. We will talk to the | :32:10. | :32:14. | |
panel a little further about the psychological impact it had, we | :32:14. | :32:22. | |
went to listen to their stories. Newcastle as many symbols of which | :32:22. | :32:27. | |
it is very proud, including its Football Club and its brown ale, | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
Northern Rock was also one of the symbols. That is why most of the | :32:32. | :32:36. | |
queues outside branches to get money, were not to be found this in | :32:36. | :32:42. | |
Newcastle. In short, Northern Rock, was more than just a bank. | :32:42. | :32:48. | |
Susan Tron took out one of Northern Rock's infamous 125% "together" | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
mortgage, it seems almost laughable now that someone will be offered a | :32:51. | :32:57. | |
lon worth way more than the home they wished to bie. But financial | :32:57. | :33:03. | |
logic was a -- wished today buy. But financial logic was very | :33:03. | :33:07. | |
different now. It was Pennies From Heaven, it was a mortgage, with | :33:07. | :33:13. | |
pennies to buy things and pay your debts off. Once I got it I realised | :33:13. | :33:18. | |
it wasn't wonderful, receipt payments were massive. Like many in | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
the north-east, her inskrutable appearance belies a warm humanty. | :33:23. | :33:30. | |
She has dedicated her entire life to Stepney Banks stables, it | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
supports disadvantaged children in the area. It comes from the | :33:33. | :33:37. | |
Northern Rock Foundation. Since the demise of the bank, the charity has | :33:37. | :33:43. | |
scaled back dramatically. Susan has been told she's being made | :33:43. | :33:48. | |
redundant. I haven't come to terms with it, it is like bereavement, | :33:48. | :33:51. | |
you are in complete shock, I feel flat, I haven't really thought | :33:51. | :33:55. | |
through what the future holds. I'm sure I will feel cross, excited | :33:56. | :34:01. | |
about new doors opening. But mostly, I just feel incredibly sad. Despite | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
facing her own jobless future, Susan's thoughts turn to those in | :34:06. | :34:11. | |
the I can't remember less well off than her? I get a sense of people - | :34:11. | :34:15. | |
- in the area less well off than her? I get a sense of people | :34:15. | :34:20. | |
desperately trying to reinvent themselves and fight back. I do | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
feel there is a sense of incredible sadness, many talent, skills, staff, | :34:25. | :34:34. | |
:34:35. | :34:37. | ||
volunteer, lost forever. A few miles way in leafier parts, | :34:37. | :34:42. | |
Silva Murphy enjoys her retirement on the golf course. She wanted more | :34:42. | :34:52. | |
:34:52. | :34:56. | ||
money to spend in her dotage, and she would have had, because of the | :34:56. | :35:01. | |
speed of Northern Rock's collapse. I couldn't believe it was going to | :35:01. | :35:06. | |
collapse. Susan got a thousand shares from Northern Rock, when it | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
transformed from a boring building society into bank. The shares, once | :35:10. | :35:16. | |
valued at �12,500, are now worthless, she blames the former | :35:16. | :35:23. | |
Prime Minister and his Chancellor. Richard branson put an offer in for | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
the bank before it was nationalised. Really Gordon Brown and Alistair | :35:26. | :35:36. | |
Darling stole my shares. There's a big gap, and areas of | :35:36. | :35:43. | |
immense despair, immense isolation from the national economy, really. | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
Before being the Bishop of Durham, justice used to be a derivatives | :35:48. | :35:53. | |
trader, he will need both skills for the new parliamentary Select | :35:53. | :35:58. | |
Committee on banking scandal. banks were a new thing, I | :35:58. | :36:01. | |
associated them with the United States, but we are seeing | :36:01. | :36:05. | |
significant demand on food banks all over my diocese, all over this | :36:05. | :36:15. | |
area. Particularly in the last 18 months with a sharp increase for | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
foodbanks. One of the things we are increasingly seeing is demand from | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
people who are working, but not earning enough to actually feetd | :36:23. | :36:26. | |
the family right the way through -- feed the family, right the way | :36:26. | :36:31. | |
through the month. We are back with the panel again. | :36:31. | :36:39. | |
If I can start with you, Giles Fraser, the phrase "financial | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
logic" it was daven country, the days where you borrowed seven-times | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
your salary with nothing to show for it. This idea of progress that | :36:47. | :36:51. | |
our children would be better off than we are, doesn't exist any more, | :36:51. | :36:57. | |
for a lot of both people? No, and yet people are still, I still think | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
that optimisim, and that sort of rather gung ho thing is still about | :37:01. | :37:04. | |
in the City. I think that is a dangerous thing. When I was asked | :37:04. | :37:08. | |
to come on the programme, it was five years ago, I said is it really | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
five years it happened, it seemed so recent, because the problems | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
seem exactly the same. I think the problems are, this is as a non- | :37:16. | :37:20. | |
economist, I'm not a specialist. But for people like me, we want the | :37:20. | :37:23. | |
banks rooted in some practical reality, Northern Rock was rooted | :37:23. | :37:28. | |
in the north-east, a building site mutual, you understood T then it | :37:28. | :37:32. | |
becomes something virtual, part of the reason there were so many | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
queues outside Northern Rock s there weren't many branches. There | :37:36. | :37:41. | |
wasn't much bricks and mortar to it. This idea of progress, does your | :37:41. | :37:49. | |
Government recognise that the next generation will be worse off? | :37:49. | :37:51. | |
are important policy choices we have to make. Going back to | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
Northern Rock, where was the common sense in the Government and | :37:54. | :37:59. | |
regulators that said mortgages of 125% of somebody's asset are not | :37:59. | :38:04. | |
sensible. How did the policies fit with what is the reality now? | :38:04. | :38:08. | |
Listening to Mr Darling talking about the fact that wouldn't it be | :38:08. | :38:12. | |
lovely if we spent more money on fiscal stimulus, where does the | :38:12. | :38:18. | |
money come from. Martin is going to disagree, he always does. Is it | :38:18. | :38:26. | |
right to burden this generation with the last generation's mess. | :38:26. | :38:30. | |
Because Because of the policy decisions of Gordon Brown and | :38:30. | :38:33. | |
Alistair Darling, because the coffers were empty. We have to make | :38:33. | :38:40. | |
sure the banking industry is safe and regulated, and those who have | :38:40. | :38:44. | |
mis-sold pensions or fiddled the Libor rate, which can't happen in | :38:44. | :38:48. | |
the current system, that would be of benefit to us. We could be | :38:48. | :38:53. | |
sitting here in five years time and say we are only half way through? | :38:53. | :38:57. | |
We can grow again, underlying technology should allow to us to | :38:57. | :38:59. | |
grow again. I don't believe this generation is definitely going to | :38:59. | :39:05. | |
be poorer than the last one. It might, but that will be the result | :39:05. | :39:10. | |
of mistake policy conditions. Very bad mistakes! My view, very | :39:10. | :39:14. | |
strongly, is one of the mistake, in this situation, when it was clear | :39:14. | :39:19. | |
that the private sector of going to retrench, is the public sector | :39:19. | :39:22. | |
doesn't. Where will the money come from, the Government can borrow at | :39:22. | :39:26. | |
the lowest rates of the entire history of the UK, and you are | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
telling me it cannot borrow, it is completely mad. You would borrow to | :39:30. | :39:40. | |
:39:40. | :39:41. | ||
invest in productive assets. I would borrow to show more. | :39:41. | :39:45. | |
If yesterday was about vindication for the Hillsborough families, | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
today marked the fresh start in the hunt for criminal justice. The | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
Chief Constable of South Yorkshire Police told Newsnight last night | :39:52. | :39:56. | |
that prosecutions would happen if allegations were proven. One of the | :39:56. | :40:04. | |
sources behind the Sun's ill-judged coverage said he was Sorosy, Peter | :40:04. | :40:07. | |
marshall, who was in Liverpool at the time of the tragedy sent this | :40:07. | :40:11. | |
report. Now the world knows the truth, the families renew their | :40:11. | :40:15. | |
quest for justice. Margaret Aspinall was 18, James Roberts just | :40:15. | :40:20. | |
six years older. His sister and Jamesd's mum help run the bereaved | :40:20. | :40:25. | |
Families Support Group, they are pressing for new inquests, and they | :40:25. | :40:30. | |
are convinced there must be criminal prosecution over the | :40:30. | :40:33. | |
allegations. If you look, everything that went against them | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
yesterday, it was perverting the course of justice, for a start. We | :40:38. | :40:43. | |
could never get all that evidence, it was withheld. To actually get | :40:43. | :40:51. | |
them to change their statement, it is an absolute disgrace. The South | :40:51. | :40:57. | |
Yorkshire force altered 115 of their own officers' statements, | :40:57. | :41:01. | |
deleting the mismanagement of the crowd. This passage, was removed | :41:01. | :41:11. | |
:41:11. | :41:25. | ||
Amid all the anger over the altered statements and elaborate cover-up, | :41:25. | :41:29. | |
questions are being asked about the role of one of the country's most | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
senior police chiefs. He's now Chief Constable of West Yorkshire, | :41:34. | :41:42. | |
23 years ago, Sir Norman Bettison, was a Chief Inspector, rise to go | :41:42. | :41:46. | |
superintendant of the south force. He was a key member of the unit set | :41:46. | :41:52. | |
up by the force, to handle the bills ror row fall-out. Sir Norman | :41:53. | :41:56. | |
Bettison said his duties never involved taking or opening | :41:56. | :41:59. | |
statements, Newsnight has no reason to doubt that. We found some | :41:59. | :42:05. | |
statements did pass through his hands at some point. Here are his | :42:05. | :42:09. | |
initials confirming that, there was notes suggesting he was in receipt | :42:09. | :42:12. | |
of statement. First Norman Bettison further angered Hillsborough | :42:12. | :42:15. | |
families, with his comments in a statement of his own, issued this | :42:15. | :42:25. | |
:42:25. | :42:53. | ||
Norman Bettison, we just can't believe what he's come out with and | :42:53. | :42:55. | |
said today. Totally gone against what it said in the report | :42:55. | :43:01. | |
yesterday. Why is he still trying to justify himself. Why can't he | :43:01. | :43:06. | |
just apologise. We want his resignation, now. | :43:06. | :43:10. | |
But Norman Bettison has faced doin calls from the families to re-- | :43:10. | :43:16. | |
down calls from the families to step down, he left south Yorkshire | :43:16. | :43:21. | |
and had got an and promotion on this occasion. He had become Chief | :43:21. | :43:25. | |
Constable of Merseyside. Today the families say they know Norman | :43:25. | :43:29. | |
Bettison, and he just doesn't get it. He doesn't get it at all, he | :43:30. | :43:34. | |
played he only played a peripheral road, he didn't give any order for | :43:34. | :43:39. | |
any statements to be ordered, then in that case, why were they altered, | :43:39. | :43:43. | |
he must have seen when they were looking at them that they had been | :43:43. | :43:48. | |
altered in some shape, way or form. Whilst Sir Norman Bettison is | :43:48. | :43:52. | |
adamant he did not wrong and has nothing to hide. A former | :43:52. | :43:56. | |
Conservative MP tonight issued a statement, apologising to the | :43:56. | :44:02. | |
bereaved, for adding to their pain and suffering. Sir Patrick pat was | :44:02. | :44:06. | |
revealed yesterday to be a key source behind newspaper -- Sir | :44:06. | :44:10. | |
Irvine Patnick revealed yesterday to be a key source behind the | :44:10. | :44:14. | |
newspaper. He says he wants to put on record how appalled and shocked | :44:14. | :44:21. | |
he was, to discover the extent of the cover-up. He says he accepts | :44:21. | :44:25. | |
responsibility of passing on such information, without asking further | :44:25. | :44:28. | |
questions. The Hillsborough families plan to meet this weekend | :44:28. | :44:31. | |
to discuss legal advice on their next steps. They want fresh | :44:31. | :44:38. | |
inquests and they want prosecutions. Now the front pages of tomorrow's | :44:38. | :44:48. | |
:44:48. | :44:48. | ||
Apology for the loss of subtitles for 57 seconds | :44:48. | :45:46. | |
That's all from Newsnight tonight, Gavin is back in the chair tomorrow. | :45:46. | :45:56. | |
:45:56. | :46:18. | ||
Gavin is back in the chair tomorrow. Hello, getting quite windy | :46:18. | :46:21. | |
overnight tonight, it means it won't be anything like as cold | :46:21. | :46:25. | |
first thing in the morning. It won't feel all that ples qant with | :46:25. | :46:30. | |
the strong winds, -- pleasant winds blowing lively gusts across | :46:30. | :46:34. | |
Scotland and England. The winds slowing down over the afternoon, | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
looking pleasant then, sunny spells, it will feel fresh in the breeze, | :46:38. | :46:43. | |
but temperatures getting up to 19- 20. It will brighten up after a | :46:43. | :46:46. | |
grey start across south-west England, sunny spells here for the | :46:46. | :46:50. | |
afternoon, the same goes across much of Wales. Maybe one or two | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
scattered showers across North Wales early in the day. Overall dry | :46:53. | :46:57. | |
and bright, don't forget about the wind. The wind will be particularly | :46:57. | :47:01. | |
lively across northern England and Scotland, also for Northern Ireland, | :47:01. | :47:06. | |
gusty conditions, especially early in the day. The strongest winds | :47:06. | :47:10. | |
across North West Scotland, 60 miles an hour here. That is mostly | :47:10. | :47:14. | |
by the morning, it is still a blustery day. For Saturday the | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
winds are lighter, although there will be lots of cloud in western | :47:18. | :47:22. | |
areas, generally it is dry and fine with sunny spells. Further south | :47:22. | :47:25. | |
there will be sunny spells across the east, more cloud at times | :47:25. | :47:30. |