10/09/2013 Newsnight


10/09/2013

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Beirut, the question of what to do about Syria is being played out

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across the world in Washington, in Moscow, in Paris, in Damascus, but

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if President Obama does send bombs or missiles they will strike 100

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miles or so across the border over there. This country is already

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offering refuge to three-quarters of a million Syrians and in a

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population the size of Lebanon that is like Britain sheltering nearly

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11 million strangers. Far more than the entire population of London. In

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Washington President Obama's plan to get strikes authorised by

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Congress has stalled. Everybody seems to have been left behind by

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the pace of diplomacy. Also on the show tonight. Come on move your

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blooming arse. It is a long way show tonight. Come on move your

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from Pygmalian, 60% of us claim to be working-class, can it be true?

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Life on Mars, maybe in a decade, 200,000 people have signed up for a

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one-way ticket. Who would want to? They talked in Washington, they

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talked in Moscow, they talked at the UN and doubtless they talked in

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many other places. The plain fact is that the military strike which

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Obama threatened last week hasn't happened. What his officials played

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down is a bit of vague conjecture by the American Secretary of State

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the Russians have turned into a peace plan, although thus far it

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has no status at the United Nations. It has, however, kiboshed President

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Obama's attempt to get congressional endorsement. If the

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ball is in anyone's court now it is in President Assad's. First, let's

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go to Washington. The President came to the hill this

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morning, his policy convoy heading one way, lobbying the Senate and

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preparing tonight's TV address, while diplomacy was taking another.

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To put Syria's chemical Arsenal under inter-- arsenal under

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international control. That further undermines support here for a

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military strike. I don't believe America's long-term credibility is

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at stake here, President Obama's credibility is. I don't want to see

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that shaken further if he presses a vote, which at this point in time,

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certainly in the House, I don't believe he can succeed with. And

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the Senate, could he even get it through the Senate given the latest

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developments? I think it would be tough. Part of the problem is

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President Obama has not been making the case as he should have for the

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last two, two-and-a-half years of why Syria the events in Syria pose

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a national security threat to America. He headed into a meeting

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with Democratic senators, knowing that even those who at first

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supported calls for strikes were hard at work drafting a new motion

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that would tie such action to future Syrian violation or a new UN

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resolution on their chemical weapons. Bob Casey was among those

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developing the new Senate bill. I have supported the authorisation

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for use of force, I think it is in the national security interests of

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the United States. I think we should move forward with it. But

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this does allow us to take away a threat if they are serious about

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meeting all of the details of removing the chemical weapons,

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having them secured and doing it in a very tight time frame. This is

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not, this should be a question literally of days, not even a

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question of weeks. In the short- term, the creation of that new

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Senate resolution will slow everything down here. But the

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President insists that he would still like a congressional vote

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backing force in case diplomacy falters. I don't think that we

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would have gotten to this point unless we had maintained a credible

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possibility of a military strike, and I don't think now is the time

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for us to let up on that. I want to and I don't think now is the time

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make sure that norm, against use of chemical weapons is maintained.

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make sure that norm, against use of That is in the national security

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interest. If we can do that without a military strike that is

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overwhelmingly my preference. That initiative will also tie things to

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progress towards a new Security Council resolution in New York.

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France tried to get that moving today. But evidence soon emerged of

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France tried to get that moving differences of approach with Russia.

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Russia has already quibbled with the wording of the French draft

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resolution, and talks broke up this evening without agreement.

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President Putin, meanwhile, has hinted that the option of US force

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must be taken off the table. It will take time to resolve those

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diplomatic differences during which the US military option will have

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been stalled and people will be asking whether President Obama has

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been sold a pup. The fact of the matter is public in opinion in

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America is strongly against military action. I think it is very

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dangerous for an American President military action. I think it is very

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to engage in military action, you have to be committed to success.

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How can you remain committed to suck iss if you don't have the

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backing of the American public. Again we're in a very bad situation,

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I think made worse by this President's lack of action to date

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I think made worse by this on Syria. But, we have got an

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opening here. He has talked about military use, that threat obviously

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has, from my standpoint, resulted in this lifeline being tossed.

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There is diplomatic opening and we should take advantage of that

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diplomatic opening and push it and prb it hard. The President --And

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push it hard. The President left the Senate with supporters left

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uncertain about timings, wording and much else. Our schedule is

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being driven by developments. Developments that are taking place

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not some Developments that are taking place

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is why I took it off the counter last night to have a vote tomorrow

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morning. As I said last night, I will tell everybody again. It is

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important we do this well, not quickly. The diplomatic track may

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have got the President off the hook over the use of force in Syria, but

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if it fails it may also leave him with nothing, having looked to

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Congress for support but failed to get it. Look -- looking at it from

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a long way away, is a deal on these terms even remotely possible? That

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is a question they would love to have an answer to in the White

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House as President Obama prepares his prime time address to America

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later this evening. It was thought that it would be that sort of "my

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fellow Americans I'm taking force because..." type of address, but

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now it will have to accommodate all of the uncertainties raised by this

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diplomatic opening. We know that when the French move their draft

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resolution earlier today in New York it contains some terms that

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were extremely objectionable to the Russians and the Syrians. It talked

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about the Syrian Government taking responsibility for the attacks of

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the 21st of August. It talked about them destroying their chemical

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weapons, as well as placing them under supervision, and it talked

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about possible war crimes proceedings for those responsible

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for the 21st of August attacks. Now great elements of that will be

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unacceptable. The Russians have said that straight away. The real

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question is what they end up with at the end of that. John Kerry is

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going to Geneva on Thursday to have concrete discussions with Sergey

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Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, about whether

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Lavrov, the Russian Foreign find a way forward. I think the

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thing they are clinging to here is the understanding and hope that

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Russian anxiety that chemical weapons could go adrift and end up

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with militant Jihadist groupss, if the Assad regime falls, is one of

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the things that underpins their position and it is therefore a

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sincerely held position. Let's speak now to two Syrians who live

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in Beirut. We have a writer and political analyst who supports the

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Syrian army and a student here who wants to see imdeposed. Do you

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think are we -- him deposed. Do you think we are in any better position

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tonight that people are talking rather than expecting a missile

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strike, are we in a better position? I think we are advancing

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now. The current decision of the Syrian Government to put its

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chemical arsenal under the international control is sending a

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very clear message to the international community that it is

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willing to negotiate and it is willing to compromise, this is the

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first point, the second is it is not willing to use this arsenal

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against its own people as the international community claims. But

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it does mean the initiative now lies with Assad? It deficitly does.

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The concession will most probably be made by the regime because the

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recent weeks have exposed their inability to deal with an

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international initiative as strong as the one that has come in the

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last weeks, although it hasn't reached anywhere really. We were

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talking earlier and you sounded to me like a man in some despair about

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the state of his country, are you? I am, definitely, I am deeply

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concerned. It has changed the lives of many Syrians, many of which I

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know forever. Is peace any more near tonight than it was a week

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ago? It definitely isn't.Isn't? And if this initiative goes through,

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I believe that things will become as static as they were last June or

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July and whereby most of the territories have been dealt with by

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the regime and the opposition and it is more static and takes time.

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That is now how it feels to you? I think the Syrian crisis is more

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complicated on this. It depends on the will of the Americans to push

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further their allies who are fighting on their proxys in the

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Syrian territories. Any compromise other deal should put both sides on

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the table, but the Syrian regime and the opposition, and this needs

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the will of the Americans and the Russians both sides. It took this

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question of chemical weapons to get the international community

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motivated, this is a Civil War that has gone on in a horrible fashion

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and killed well over 100,000 people before there was any kind of

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energetic intervention by the west. If the chemical weapons is removed

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some how from the equation, where is Syria then? As I told you siria

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will be exactly where it was a day before August 21st whereby the

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regime has the upper hands when it comes to strategic weapons with

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artillery and fighter jets and scud missiles which have been targeting

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densely populated areas, even months before chemical weapons were

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used. You will understand why it is frankly incomprehensible to many

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people that bringing more weapons into a crisis, killing more people

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is actually going to make peace any more likely? I would like to point

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out that firstly the Syrian crisis has been in the recent weeks been

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mystified a lot, and it has been surrounded by this aura of mystery

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that we do not need to intervene because we might get inadvertantly

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get swapped into this whole mess and it is not really that messy. Of

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course it is but there is still people responsible for war crimes,

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for systematic killing of civilians for strategic or morale-related

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means. And I think to actually negotiate would be granting the

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regime a legitimacy that should by now they should be striped of that

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legitimacy. I don't believe the issue of the chemical weapons has

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anything to do with the internal conflict, this weapon is for

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deterrent purposes. The Americans are now trying to get this

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deterrent from the Syrians just like they did with Iraq and Libya

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before and then they invaded it. So this issue might be an opportunity

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for the Americans to invade in the future, not now. Because the

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Americans are not willing now to go into Syria and the Congress

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according to the recent polls and the recent reports will vote for no

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to go into Syria. Although that is the recent reports will vote for no

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kind of irrelevant at present until we know how the diplomatics out? I

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believe thatest me of the Congressmen now they are asking

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Barack Obama what is the excuse to go to Syria, it is the chemical

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weapons. If it is the chemical weapons if the Syrian regime is

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saying OK we will put the arsenal into the UN, what context do you

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have to go to Syria and strategic gain will have have to strike Syria

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and military bases. If you bombed gain will have have to strike Syria

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it, will you pave the way for the gain will have have to strike Syria

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extremists to enter into Damascus, that is the question for Barack

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Obama. We will talk about that tonight. Can I rebuttal?I have to

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move on. The Syrian civil war has lasted the best part of three years.

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For most of the time the rest of lasted the best part of three years.

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the world looked the other way and left places like Lebanon to cope

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with the consequences. It was the use of chemical weapons which

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crossed the called red line, which galvanised much of the rest of the

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planet. Russia's scheme to put the singularly reviled weapons beyond

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use and under international control would change everything. Question

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though, can it be done reliably. One for our science editor, Susan

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Watts. The images of victims of the One for our science editor, Susan

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August 21st attack in Damascus are amongst the most haunting the world

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August 21st attack in Damascus are is ever likely to see. Each side of

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the civil war in Syria blames the other. Samples gathered by the

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inspection team that visited the site are being subjected to

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forensic examination. Under the oversight of the organisation for

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the prohibition of chemical weapons, here in the Hague. The UN report on

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what their team found could come here in the Hague. The UN report on

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before the end of the week. In the meantime the proposal that Syria

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place its chemical weapons under international control may fall to

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this same inspection body. Already operating under intense pressure.

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The proposal raises numerous questions, not least about the

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practical risks of any such process. And who would carry out this task

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of finding, securing and dismantling any chemical weapons,

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in a country where a civil war still rages. Is it a wild card or a

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game-changer, so the question is how many countries would be

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prepared to send substantial numbers of personnel, probably

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mostly military, on the understanding that they would in

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turn be guarded effectively by the UN in an unpredictable and violent

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environment. That is hard to judge. Maybe there will be a kind of crowd

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contagion effect when more countries put their hands up to to

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it. Geneva is where the world first countries put their hands up to to

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tried to put serious limits on the countries put their hands up to to

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use of chemical weapons, with the Geneva protocol of 1925, following

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use of chemical weapons, with the the use of chemical agents such as

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mustard gas in the First World War. The chemical weapons convention of

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1993 went further. Banning their production too, Syria is not a

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signatory, but tonight said it may now be prepared to sign up. One

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scientist here in Geneva with 30 years experience of international

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controls on chemical weapons told us they thinks the safest way to

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dismantle Syria's weapons is by putting people physically on the

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ground. But given it is such early days in this latest round of

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diplomacy and it could yet fail, doing it militarily is still

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possible. Though messy, because of the risk of spreading chemicals

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down wind. In bunkers it is probably is the use of precision

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munition niings and the creation of high temp -- munitions and the

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creation of high temperatures within the bunkers. Whether you can

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achieve that, you shoot the hole into the structure and fire in with

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a second weapon and that create a fireball inside and you hope that

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the temperature is high enough to incinerate everything inside. If it

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is on the outside I honestly have doubt if you can do it in a safe

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way. He told us there may be clues buried in the inspectors' report

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about who was responsible for the recent attacks on civilians. From

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what he has seen published so far has him puzzled? The question about

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who fired is really the amount, it is that whole thing on the outside

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was all filled up with agent. Calculation on that it could be up

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to 50 loters of agent. To make 50 litres of chemical agent is not

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done. That is semi-industrial process. It looks like a system has

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been adapted to fire it. It doesn't look like the sort of thing I would

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expect in the chemical weapons stockpile of an army. Does it leave

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you coming down on one side or the other? I'm on the fence. Because we

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are in a situation where even parts other? I'm on the fence. Because we

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of the opposition will be able to get their hands on agent. If they

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know where it is. Whilst diplomatic of for thes to avoid military

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action proceed, the details from the inspectors' samples are crucial.

:18:54.:18:58.

In managing stockpiles and holding to account those responsible for

:18:58.:19:02.

attacks. Once the samples from Syria arrive with the organisation

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for the prohibition of chemical weapons here in the Hague, they are

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split up and sent to several sent to civil independent laboratories

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to identify the finger print of any chemicals they might obtain. Is the

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plan to rid Syria of chemical weapons for the future realistic?

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It is practical if the world wants it to work. But it is dangerous and

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difficult. You could get people out fairly fast, if the mandate and

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political will were found. But the actual destruction of the chemicals

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wouldn't be impossible but it would take month, I suspect. That's if

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you could agree that you had got them all. That might be disputes

:19:49.:19:54.

over the validity of any declaration, which could bog the

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whole thing down. If Syria really is prepared, as it has said tonight,

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to tell the world where its chemical weapons are and stop

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making them, the experts we have spoken to says the chance to put

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them beyond use is an opportunity. But for it to work dialogue on all

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sides must be sincere. Just a short time ago we spoke to

:20:18.:20:24.

the former weapons inspector Hans Blix who hold Newsnight that any

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reliable inspection by weapons inspectors under these

:20:28.:20:31.

circumstances in Syria would be more or less impossible. We are

:20:31.:20:36.

ajoined by a political analyst. First off, it has now become a

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diplomatic rather than an imminent military threat, that, how is that

:20:40.:20:44.

playing here? It plays he very well military threat, that, how is that

:20:44.:20:48.

within the Syrian regime. We know that the Syrian regime always

:20:48.:20:52.

relies on the element of time. We have seen that with the

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assassinations and along the his tro, four decades of the regime.

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Whenever -- history of the regime in the long history four decades of

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the regime. Whenever they can move forward with that agenda it works

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well for them. Shifting it from a military operation to a diplomatic

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operation, or diplomatic solution, if you want, works perfectly for

:21:15.:21:20.

the regime. Does it shift, as it were, the balance of power? It

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gives them more time, you see I always picture the Syrian regime as

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playing poker. He they always have these you know when you play poker

:21:30.:21:35.

you have different cards to play with and you always bluff. If you

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put you know the different cards that they hold with the bluffing it

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gives you a clear idea of what the that they hold with the bluffing it

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regime has always been doing and what it is doing now. It hasn't

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brought an end to the war any nearer? No and unfortunately it

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won't. What effect is the war having on the region as a whole,

:21:54.:21:57.

this is a horrible thing to see, we are 2,000 miles away and it looks

:21:57.:21:59.

horrible from are 2,000 miles away and it looks

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what effect is it having? It has been spilling over, he specially to

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Lebanon on different fronts -- especially to Lebanon on the

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different fronts, especially with the refugees. Lebanon is a small

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country with very limited resources, it has also blocked our only land

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you know border with Syria. Because we have closed it on the Israely

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side, we are land looked with what is happening. It has spilled over

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in terms of tension between the pro-Syrian camp and the anti-Syrian

:22:35.:22:41.

camp on the political level, with Hezbollah's involvement in Syria.

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camp on the political level, with Lebanon has been affected with the

:22:42.:22:49.

latest bombing in Sunni suburbs and Shia suburbs. It has been adding up

:22:49.:22:53.

to the increased tension in the country. Looking broader than

:22:53.:22:59.

Lebanon in the area as a whole, you have all these other countries,

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whether they be Iraq, Jordan or further afield, what effect is it

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having there? If you look at it on an international level, it is more

:23:09.:23:15.

of a, we are back to the Cold War. Russia supporting one side against

:23:15.:23:17.

the Americans on the other side. Then if you take it to the regional

:23:17.:23:24.

level it is Iran, Syria, part of the Iraqi regime, with Hezbollah on

:23:24.:23:31.

one side, with the gulf states and the pro-US allies on the other. So

:23:31.:23:38.

the rift between the pro-US camp and the Iranian camp it is widening

:23:38.:23:40.

and it is creating tension along and the Iranian camp it is widening

:23:40.:23:44.

sectarian lines in all the neighbouring countries. Does it

:23:44.:23:50.

feel more dangerous now? It is dangerous but it is still in a

:23:50.:23:57.

place where we are, we could manage the crisis. It not yet totally out

:23:57.:24:01.

of control. If the international community assumes its

:24:02.:24:04.

responsibility in dealing with the regime proper low in Syria and

:24:04.:24:13.

really trying to push whether a diplomatic resolution or military

:24:13.:24:17.

intervention. We know after a military intervention they were

:24:17.:24:20.

supposed to go to the Geneva II convention with all these elements

:24:20.:24:24.

on the table they might reach a diplomatic solution, a political

:24:24.:24:28.

solution, as we call it. Still the international commune toe has to

:24:28.:24:34.

push more towards that direction. We're at the 1 10,000 deaths

:24:34.:24:38.

besides the detained and the tortured and the misk. So it is

:24:38.:24:43.

really growing in numbers. Thank you.

:24:43.:24:49.

I will be reporting later this week from some And the missing. So it is

:24:49.:24:53.

really growing. I will be reporting later this week from Lebanon. We

:24:53.:25:01.

can talk to Hans Blix from Sweden, the former weapons inspector. Are

:25:01.:25:05.

you optimistic this Russia plan can work, is it possible to put the

:25:05.:25:10.

weapons beyond use? I think it is a very valuable opening that has

:25:10.:25:12.

taken place. Some things are doable very valuable opening that has

:25:12.:25:19.

and easier, but others are very difficult. If the Syrian Government

:25:19.:25:21.

is ready to make a commitment, not difficult. If the Syrian Government

:25:21.:25:29.

to use the chemical weapons, whether in the form of the

:25:29.:25:33.

ratificaton of convention or some other way, this can be done

:25:33.:25:36.

relatively fast. If the Government is also ready to give a declaration

:25:36.:25:39.

of its stocks and where it is, what qant toes and where it is, that

:25:39.:25:43.

could also -- quantities and where it is, that could also be done fast.

:25:43.:25:51.

When it comes to knowing whether it is a declaration or not that is a

:25:51.:25:55.

harder thing. We saw that in Iraq and our work and the inspection

:25:55.:26:00.

pages. Even worse, of course, is more difficulty to inspect whether

:26:00.:26:09.

the declarations are right. You can't go into every basement or

:26:09.:26:12.

store in the big countries is not easy. We did it in a country that

:26:12.:26:19.

was not at war. The inspectors didn't have a risk to be shot at,

:26:19.:26:22.

but in Syria with a raging war all around this sounds very, very hard.

:26:22.:26:29.

Watching the destruction I think is harder still. Never the less, I

:26:29.:26:35.

think it is a valuable opening. What is unsatisfactory about this

:26:35.:26:40.

solution, as well as the solution of the punitive strike is that it

:26:40.:26:43.

is limited. It is like telling the parties that OK, you have to do

:26:43.:26:47.

away with this, you will be punished for it and there after you

:26:47.:26:51.

can go back to your war. I think what the Syrians need with00,000

:26:51.:26:56.

dead and the whole world -- 100,000 dead and the whole world watching

:26:56.:27:00.

is a ceasefire and end to hostilities and conference. I see

:27:00.:27:05.

this as an opening to a dialogue, to show the Security Council is not

:27:05.:27:09.

necessarily paralysed and there are things to talk about. Do you think

:27:09.:27:14.

this has any chance of technically working? The first part, as I said,

:27:14.:27:20.

they could do so, but the second part of inspection and being sure

:27:20.:27:23.

that frg has been declared, no I don't see that as working in the --

:27:24.:27:29.

everything has been declared, I don't see that working in a raging

:27:29.:27:32.

war. Thank you very much. Has Russia pulled off a remarkable fete

:27:32.:27:44.

of world diplomacy, well Russian -- feat of world diplomacy, well

:27:44.:27:53.

Russia thinks it has. We spoke to to our guest. He asked what did he

:27:53.:27:58.

imagine the timeline to be? It will depend on a number of things, it

:27:58.:28:02.

will depnd on the United Nations how quickly how soon they are ready

:28:02.:28:15.

to come to Syria. It will depend on which sites they want to visit

:28:15.:28:18.

first. It will probably depend also on the situation on the ground. As

:28:18.:28:23.

you know the war is still raging in Syria. But to my mind, and

:28:23.:28:27.

basically that's what we think in Moscow, the most important thing to

:28:27.:28:34.

have the general agreement of all sides for this solution. Two days

:28:34.:28:39.

ago, one day ago we were on the brink of a big regional war. The

:28:39.:28:43.

stake were extremely high. Today we have a working proposal by the

:28:43.:28:47.

Russian Foreign Ministry which seems to have been accepted by

:28:47.:28:55.

President Obama, by David Cameron, by the European Union, by Ban Ki-

:28:55.:29:01.

Moon the General Secretary of the United Nations and by Damascus, we

:29:01.:29:04.

have to strengthen this general agreement. We cannot allow to those

:29:04.:29:09.

who would like to strike Syria at any cost. To come back to this

:29:09.:29:15.

military plan. Let me take you back 24 hours, of this plan inspired by

:29:16.:29:20.

the words of John Kerry yesterday? As far as we can judge and as far

:29:20.:29:29.

as we can trust what President Obama said. He discussed this

:29:29.:29:32.

possible option with President Putin during their short meeting at

:29:32.:29:36.

the G20. As far as I understand this was aired even before John

:29:36.:29:43.

Kerry mentioned this possibility. As for John Kerry's remark, I have

:29:43.:29:47.

to say it was a very unconvincing remark, I would say. Because he

:29:47.:29:59.

said that if Assad agrees to bring his chemical arsenals under

:29:59.:30:01.

international control, America would consider the possibility of

:30:01.:30:03.

not striking. Then he said of course it will never happen,

:30:03.:30:07.

because we don't trust Assad and he will never do this. One hour later

:30:08.:30:14.

the state department basically denied what Kerry said, they said

:30:14.:30:20.

it was a receiptorle kal sentence. Kerry was -- rhetorical sentence.

:30:20.:30:25.

Kerry was thinking allowed the possible scenarios about which the

:30:25.:30:31.

American side is sceptical. Then Obama's assistant on national

:30:31.:30:34.

security said it will never happen, don't think it is possible, it is

:30:34.:30:38.

out of the question. Americans first aired this idea and then

:30:38.:30:45.

started to play back. They took Obama's personal appearence own ABC

:30:45.:30:52.

to hear that the American side will a gree -- agree. I will be pointing

:30:53.:31:08.

out that to John Kerry. It is force may be used if Syria doesn't

:31:08.:31:12.

complay with chemical weapons, do you accept that? I don't think

:31:12.:31:16.

Syria will not comply. I think it is absolutely in the interests of

:31:16.:31:21.

the Syrian people, of the Syrian Government. Of President Assad to

:31:21.:31:28.

bring those weapons under international control. If they

:31:28.:31:34.

don't, would it agree to a resolution? I wouldn't go that far,

:31:34.:31:39.

I wouldn't see any signs that would preclude them from doing this. I

:31:39.:31:43.

don't see an interest from the Syrian Government to do this. The

:31:43.:31:48.

French Government wants to sound very resolved and decisive and so

:31:48.:31:52.

on and so on. Actually playing a very minor role in the whole story.

:31:52.:31:57.

Paris shows himself a big worrying. It is up to them. But I think that

:31:57.:32:03.

all those assertions do not look credible for me. Because the Syrian

:32:03.:32:13.

Government wants to prevent it work, I don't think they will not apply.

:32:13.:32:16.

Let's talk about the practicalities, decommissioning on the ground,

:32:16.:32:20.

would Russian troops be prepared to go into help the process? It will

:32:20.:32:25.

be an international effort, a United Nations effort. I don't

:32:25.:32:29.

think that national troops will be brought to Syria, national

:32:29.:32:32.

contingents will be brought to Syria. It will be up to the United

:32:32.:32:34.

contingents will be brought to Nations and it will be the United

:32:34.:32:39.

Nations responsibility and United Nations operation under the

:32:39.:32:41.

auspices of the Security Council and on the basis of the Security

:32:41.:32:45.

Council resolution. But would that include Russian troops, would you

:32:45.:32:51.

be happy to see that? It is not discussed in Russia at this point.

:32:51.:32:59.

So I am really, I don't think I can answer your question because there

:32:59.:33:04.

were no statements made by neither President Putin nor Mr Lavrov, I

:33:04.:33:08.

think we are still not at the stage where this is being considered.

:33:08.:33:17.

We're all middle-class now, the then deputy PM Lord Prescott

:33:17.:33:21.

declared nearly two decades ago, before he was Lord. Tonight it

:33:21.:33:25.

would appear we are not. The latest British Association attitudes

:33:26.:33:32.

survey, a statistics-lovers manual, it shows that 60% of people think

:33:32.:33:38.

of themselves as working-class. Should your accent define your

:33:38.:33:42.

class or what you do. Why is working-class authentic and middle-

:33:42.:33:47.

class a bit lame. For all the talk of revolution in

:33:47.:33:52.

the 1960s, these North London teenagers knew their place in the

:33:52.:33:56.

social order. Do you think England is still a class-conscious country

:33:56.:34:02.

or as it is supposed to be working towards a classless society. I

:34:02.:34:05.

think England is still very definite low class conscious,

:34:05.:34:08.

speaking to myself I'm always thinking about the next rung up the

:34:08.:34:17.

ladder. In the 80s when the first British attitudes survey was done,

:34:17.:34:20.

class was still a national obsession. The BBC brought three

:34:20.:34:22.

class was still a national 17-year-olds together. One a

:34:22.:34:26.

factory worker, one from public school, one from Grammar School. Do

:34:26.:34:30.

you think there is a language barrier between any of you when it

:34:30.:34:34.

comes down to that. Well I swear a lot more. Compared with 30 years

:34:34.:34:42.

ago far fewer people have manual jobs, many more people go to

:34:42.:34:46.

college or university and generally people have more money. So you

:34:46.:34:50.

might expect that in these surveys rather more people would be

:34:50.:34:53.

decribing themselves as middle- class. But it is not the case. In

:34:53.:34:59.

the first-ever report, 60% of people described themselves as

:34:59.:35:03.

working-class. 34% middle-class. Last year those proportions were

:35:03.:35:06.

almost exactly the same. It might well be the case that being seen as

:35:06.:35:12.

middle-class is seen as a bit of an elitist label, that might well put

:35:12.:35:15.

people off using it. It is also the case that we know from other

:35:15.:35:19.

research that people do feel very strongly attached to the class they

:35:19.:35:23.

feel they were born in. It might be they feel really strongly they are

:35:23.:35:26.

working-class even though the job they have now got is a very

:35:26.:35:32.

objective low middle-class one. Even in 19 -- objectively middle-

:35:32.:35:37.

class one. Even in the 1980s class used to drive politics. That is not

:35:37.:35:41.

clear now. Looking at people's jobs, rather than how they would class

:35:41.:35:45.

themselves, shows how political affiliations have changed. In 1983

:35:45.:35:50.

professionals voted Conservative, not Labour, 30 years later the

:35:50.:35:55.

revrs. As for the traditional working-class voter, in 1983 more

:35:55.:35:59.

than half said they voted Labour, last year that fell to 41%. So what

:35:59.:36:02.

than half said they voted Labour, do modern teenagers think, we came

:36:02.:36:06.

back to the same North London college, the BBC visited in 1964,

:36:06.:36:12.

very different now, to ask the same question? Do you think England is a

:36:12.:36:19.

class-conscious society or working towards being classless? I do

:36:19.:36:24.

believe people aren't classed within society, within education

:36:24.:36:30.

and outside as well. Everything to do with how people live, how they

:36:30.:36:33.

look and speak their attitude towards everything in general. They

:36:33.:36:37.

all agreed, and then talked about the upper-class. If you are upper-

:36:38.:36:40.

class you would have that confidence as well that your

:36:40.:36:48.

parents have given you. That you are better than other people.

:36:48.:36:51.

Nowadays everybody has a degree, it is about who you know and how far

:36:51.:36:55.

you can get with the people you know and the information you have.

:36:55.:37:00.

Which is why while the old class war is over, social mobility is

:37:00.:37:07.

still around. I'm joined by Terry Christian, best known for

:37:07.:37:11.

presenting The Word in the 1990s. Thank you for joining us. How would

:37:11.:37:15.

you describe yourself? I come from a very solidly working-class

:37:15.:37:21.

background, you know, free school dinners, one of six kids, dad a

:37:21.:37:26.

labourer and mum a school dinner lady, I have worked in the media

:37:26.:37:32.

since I was 20, 30 years. It is many ways what has defined me. One

:37:32.:37:36.

of the reasons nowadays that so many people that aren't working-

:37:36.:37:39.

class are saying that they are working-class is because a lot of

:37:39.:37:42.

those middle-class institutions seem slightly tainted nowadays. It

:37:42.:37:47.

is like so we have this romantised version of an idea of working-

:37:47.:37:56.

classes. Del Boy Trotter looks like St Francis of Assisi compared to

:37:56.:38:00.

all the bankers. You look at the Bullingdon Club and there is that

:38:00.:38:04.

mistrust of politicians, there is the expenses scandals and everyone

:38:04.:38:07.

likes to feel they have a journey in their life. It is more

:38:07.:38:11.

impressive to say I'm a doctor and my dad was a hospital porter than

:38:11.:38:15.

it is to say I'm a brain surgeon and my dad was a brain surgeon. But

:38:15.:38:20.

is there anything that would have pushed you to call yourself middle-

:38:21.:38:24.

class in terms of your change now as an adult to how you grew up, or

:38:24.:38:29.

do you stick to how you were brought up? You still come up

:38:29.:38:33.

against a lot of subconscious prejudice in people. I work in the

:38:33.:38:39.

media, which is a very demo graphically 90% middle-class, a

:38:39.:38:43.

very high proportion of kids that go to private a everything. So

:38:43.:38:46.

often you are battling against that. There does seem to be a slight

:38:46.:38:52.

jealousy of your journey from them. It is offering the most innocuous

:38:52.:38:56.

comment you make means you have a chip on your shoulder. Everyone was

:38:56.:39:02.

discussing going skiing, somebody said to me do you ski and I said we

:39:02.:39:06.

couldn't afford it when I was a kid and they said "no need to be so

:39:06.:39:12.

chippy". It is strange. What about the numbers we are dealing with

:39:12.:39:16.

today, 60% of people asked say they are working-class. Does that

:39:17.:39:26.

surprise you, can it be true? Possibly in that there is this

:39:26.:39:28.

surprise you, can it be true? squeezed middle, a lot of people in

:39:28.:39:31.

the white collar jobs haven't the security they once had, aren't

:39:31.:39:34.

getting the money they once had. Also they look towards that idea of

:39:34.:39:39.

that solidarity. It is like the kind of juxtaposition between this

:39:39.:39:45.

kind of almost imagined honest noblity of theing classes and the

:39:45.:39:49.

of a ris of bankers and business people now -- of a ris of bankers

:39:49.:39:57.

and business people now -- avarice of bankers and business people. If

:39:57.:40:04.

you ask people they are not shy about saying how well they have

:40:04.:40:08.

done in America, and not as modest as the British are and clinging to

:40:08.:40:13.

that? In Britain you are admired for tugging your forelook a bit,

:40:13.:40:19.

and people saying "he's so humble", if you're a foopbl footballer like

:40:19.:40:24.

Paul Scholes, saying he's humble, I think he's fantastic football and

:40:24.:40:29.

he should be allowed to brag and be big headed. There is all those

:40:29.:40:35.

strange inconsistencies in us as British. We are so class-ridden in

:40:35.:40:41.

any way. Would you feel betrayed or let down if your kids described

:40:41.:40:47.

themselves as middle-class? No, not at all. What makes me laugh is

:40:47.:40:52.

people want to sequester what you have got, you have kids from

:40:52.:40:55.

privileged backgrounds who I have worked with over the years who

:40:55.:40:59.

pretend to be smart working-class, and you think that is all I have

:40:59.:41:04.

got, I have the one thing money can't buy, poverty claim Thank you

:41:04.:41:07.

very much indeed. It is the kind of present you would

:41:07.:41:10.

like to buy for someone else, the It is the kind of present you would

:41:10.:41:13.

four most annoying people in your office, the one-way ticket to Mars

:41:13.:41:18.

can only be bought for yourself. Despite that 200,000 people have

:41:18.:41:20.

can only be bought for yourself. applied to be part of a £4 billion

:41:20.:41:25.

project. It is reality TV meets the new frontier, with no ending

:41:25.:41:33.

insight. The plan -- in sight. The creator says human settlement will

:41:33.:41:38.

aid our understanding of the Solar System if we can find the right

:41:38.:41:42.

people. It is like being snowed in a cabin, if it is your best friends

:41:42.:41:46.

it is fun for a couple of days. After a month you will be annoyed

:41:46.:41:49.

with each other. We are looking for the people that no matter how long

:41:49.:41:53.

they are snowed in together in cabin they will not get annoyed

:41:53.:41:55.

with each other, that will be the most difficult part of the solution

:41:55.:42:02.

selection. Who are the right people If the next great step in humanity

:42:02.:42:07.

is this and I want to be part of it. Jo I would like to have first hand

:42:07.:42:12.

experience of planet Mars to research the conditions, learn new

:42:12.:42:16.

aspects of the planet. I want to be an inspiration of people on earth.

:42:17.:42:22.

I would like a more civilised world for mankind. Mars has been my dream,

:42:22.:42:26.

but I know I have the skills necessary to make the mission a

:42:26.:42:33.

success. Just a few of the volunteers, we didn't have room for

:42:33.:42:37.

200,000. Our guest has worked with NASA and the Johnson Space Centre,

:42:37.:42:46.

he's the director for the Centre of Space Medicine, and the author of

:42:46.:42:52.

Extremes, a look at what Mars is regarded now. Let's look at the

:42:52.:42:58.

time frame, this is projected for 2023? It is enormously ambitious.

:42:58.:43:02.

That is understating it. If you were an international space agency,

:43:02.:43:07.

if NASA spent ten-times what it spends now and said we are going to

:43:07.:43:11.

go before this decade has elapsed - - you might think maybe. But this

:43:11.:43:17.

is a $6 billion operation operated out of a small office at the moment.

:43:17.:43:21.

It is ambitious to say the least. Do you understand why people have

:43:21.:43:25.

applied? It is very difficult to know actually. And you look through

:43:25.:43:29.

those, when I look and browse through those videos I expected to

:43:29.:43:33.

see slightly cookie, odd people. But you heard some of them. Some of

:43:33.:43:38.

them are rational about why they want to go.M So of them sing?. I

:43:38.:43:43.

would send the singing girl one, she is my favourite. It is

:43:43.:43:46.

interesting isn't it, even though space stillled holds a place in the

:43:47.:43:51.

affections of people. And a generation who most people are too

:43:51.:43:55.

young to remember Apollo. You make it sound very aspirational, bluntly

:43:55.:43:59.

those people, the ones to be taken seriously are saying I will leave

:43:59.:44:03.

my friend and family and go and die on another planet. That is what it

:44:03.:44:08.

is coming down to? Yeah, and it is hard to understand that. I don't

:44:08.:44:13.

know whether it is just because that is part of the human condition

:44:14.:44:17.

that we want to explore, that you have to find unknown destinations.

:44:17.:44:22.

I think it is so hard to d that now and find genuinely unexplored

:44:22.:44:26.

destinations. The other thing I find interesting, despite the fact

:44:26.:44:29.

we have all of this remote presence on Mars, despite the fact we are

:44:29.:44:35.

seeing beautiful pictures from countless probes orbiting around

:44:36.:44:43.

the surface people still want to go. In you have writ on the subject,

:44:43.:44:52.

Galileo was laughed at and Magellin ignored. All the great explorers

:44:52.:45:01.

and discoffers have been -- discoverers have been laughed at.

:45:01.:45:09.

Until the hast century life and exploration were risky, 500 years

:45:09.:45:17.

ago almost exactly Magellen circumnavigate the globe, he

:45:17.:45:21.

doesn't survive, only 18 of 500 crew members return. So to them I

:45:21.:45:26.

guess circumnavigating the globe must have felt like a mission to

:45:26.:45:28.

Mars. How long do you think you must have felt like a mission to

:45:28.:45:31.

could survive on Mars? I don't know, I don't know about the Mars 1

:45:31.:45:34.

expedition. The interesting thing about Mars is it is much closer to

:45:34.:45:39.

being within our grsp than it has been for some -- grasp for some

:45:39.:45:42.

being within our grsp than it has considerable time. There was talk

:45:42.:45:45.

about going there from the earliest days of space flight. There is a

:45:45.:45:49.

sense some how it is closer than it was. I don't know how you would

:45:49.:45:52.

fare, the main thing about is if you want to go to Mars the main

:45:52.:45:57.

thing is not worrying about whether you will survive the experience or

:45:57.:46:00.

come back. Thank you very much indeed.

:46:00.:46:01.

Now the papers. That's all for tonight, but before

:46:01.:46:51.

we go a small service to our viewers, here is your chance to

:46:51.:46:58.

avoid a 13 million victim YouTube pandemic, spawned by Ilvis, think

:46:58.:47:06.

of it as old McDonald for the YouTube generation.

:47:06.:47:12.

# What does the fox say # Ding ding

:47:12.:47:21.

# What does the fox say Mx wapowwapowpow

:47:21.:47:28.

# What the fox say # Hattithatco

:47:28.:47:29.

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