Browse content similar to 10/09/2013. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Beirut, the question of what to do about Syria is being played out | :00:12. | :00:15. | |
across the world in Washington, in Moscow, in Paris, in Damascus, but | :00:15. | :00:22. | |
if President Obama does send bombs or missiles they will strike 100 | :00:22. | :00:26. | |
miles or so across the border over there. This country is already | :00:26. | :00:29. | |
offering refuge to three-quarters of a million Syrians and in a | :00:29. | :00:35. | |
population the size of Lebanon that is like Britain sheltering nearly | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
11 million strangers. Far more than the entire population of London. In | :00:39. | :00:45. | |
Washington President Obama's plan to get strikes authorised by | :00:45. | :00:49. | |
Congress has stalled. Everybody seems to have been left behind by | :00:49. | :00:56. | |
the pace of diplomacy. Also on the show tonight. Come on move your | :00:56. | :01:00. | |
blooming arse. It is a long way show tonight. Come on move your | :01:00. | :01:08. | |
from Pygmalian, 60% of us claim to be working-class, can it be true? | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
Life on Mars, maybe in a decade, 200,000 people have signed up for a | :01:13. | :01:15. | |
one-way ticket. Who would want to? They talked in Washington, they | :01:15. | :01:32. | |
talked in Moscow, they talked at the UN and doubtless they talked in | :01:32. | :01:37. | |
many other places. The plain fact is that the military strike which | :01:37. | :01:42. | |
Obama threatened last week hasn't happened. What his officials played | :01:42. | :01:46. | |
down is a bit of vague conjecture by the American Secretary of State | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
the Russians have turned into a peace plan, although thus far it | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
has no status at the United Nations. It has, however, kiboshed President | :01:53. | :01:58. | |
Obama's attempt to get congressional endorsement. If the | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
ball is in anyone's court now it is in President Assad's. First, let's | :02:03. | :02:10. | |
go to Washington. The President came to the hill this | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
morning, his policy convoy heading one way, lobbying the Senate and | :02:14. | :02:20. | |
preparing tonight's TV address, while diplomacy was taking another. | :02:20. | :02:27. | |
To put Syria's chemical Arsenal under inter-- arsenal under | :02:27. | :02:31. | |
international control. That further undermines support here for a | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
military strike. I don't believe America's long-term credibility is | :02:34. | :02:36. | |
at stake here, President Obama's credibility is. I don't want to see | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
that shaken further if he presses a vote, which at this point in time, | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
certainly in the House, I don't believe he can succeed with. And | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
the Senate, could he even get it through the Senate given the latest | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
developments? I think it would be tough. Part of the problem is | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
President Obama has not been making the case as he should have for the | :02:54. | :02:58. | |
last two, two-and-a-half years of why Syria the events in Syria pose | :02:58. | :03:02. | |
a national security threat to America. He headed into a meeting | :03:02. | :03:08. | |
with Democratic senators, knowing that even those who at first | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
supported calls for strikes were hard at work drafting a new motion | :03:11. | :03:17. | |
that would tie such action to future Syrian violation or a new UN | :03:17. | :03:21. | |
resolution on their chemical weapons. Bob Casey was among those | :03:21. | :03:27. | |
developing the new Senate bill. I have supported the authorisation | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
for use of force, I think it is in the national security interests of | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
the United States. I think we should move forward with it. But | :03:35. | :03:43. | |
this does allow us to take away a threat if they are serious about | :03:43. | :03:49. | |
meeting all of the details of removing the chemical weapons, | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
having them secured and doing it in a very tight time frame. This is | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
not, this should be a question literally of days, not even a | :03:57. | :04:03. | |
question of weeks. In the short- term, the creation of that new | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
Senate resolution will slow everything down here. But the | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
President insists that he would still like a congressional vote | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
backing force in case diplomacy falters. I don't think that we | :04:16. | :04:20. | |
would have gotten to this point unless we had maintained a credible | :04:20. | :04:25. | |
possibility of a military strike, and I don't think now is the time | :04:25. | :04:26. | |
for us to let up on that. I want to and I don't think now is the time | :04:26. | :04:33. | |
make sure that norm, against use of chemical weapons is maintained. | :04:33. | :04:35. | |
make sure that norm, against use of That is in the national security | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
interest. If we can do that without a military strike that is | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
overwhelmingly my preference. That initiative will also tie things to | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
progress towards a new Security Council resolution in New York. | :04:47. | :04:50. | |
France tried to get that moving today. But evidence soon emerged of | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
France tried to get that moving differences of approach with Russia. | :04:54. | :04:58. | |
Russia has already quibbled with the wording of the French draft | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
resolution, and talks broke up this evening without agreement. | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
President Putin, meanwhile, has hinted that the option of US force | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
must be taken off the table. It will take time to resolve those | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
diplomatic differences during which the US military option will have | :05:17. | :05:22. | |
been stalled and people will be asking whether President Obama has | :05:22. | :05:28. | |
been sold a pup. The fact of the matter is public in opinion in | :05:28. | :05:34. | |
America is strongly against military action. I think it is very | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
dangerous for an American President military action. I think it is very | :05:36. | :05:39. | |
to engage in military action, you have to be committed to success. | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
How can you remain committed to suck iss if you don't have the | :05:42. | :05:45. | |
backing of the American public. Again we're in a very bad situation, | :05:45. | :05:50. | |
I think made worse by this President's lack of action to date | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
I think made worse by this on Syria. But, we have got an | :05:52. | :05:59. | |
opening here. He has talked about military use, that threat obviously | :05:59. | :06:04. | |
has, from my standpoint, resulted in this lifeline being tossed. | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
There is diplomatic opening and we should take advantage of that | :06:09. | :06:11. | |
diplomatic opening and push it and prb it hard. The President --And | :06:11. | :06:16. | |
push it hard. The President left the Senate with supporters left | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
uncertain about timings, wording and much else. Our schedule is | :06:19. | :06:28. | |
being driven by developments. Developments that are taking place | :06:28. | :06:30. | |
not some Developments that are taking place | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
is why I took it off the counter last night to have a vote tomorrow | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
morning. As I said last night, I will tell everybody again. It is | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
important we do this well, not quickly. The diplomatic track may | :06:41. | :06:47. | |
have got the President off the hook over the use of force in Syria, but | :06:47. | :06:52. | |
if it fails it may also leave him with nothing, having looked to | :06:53. | :06:57. | |
Congress for support but failed to get it. Look -- looking at it from | :06:57. | :07:08. | |
a long way away, is a deal on these terms even remotely possible? That | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
is a question they would love to have an answer to in the White | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
House as President Obama prepares his prime time address to America | :07:16. | :07:21. | |
later this evening. It was thought that it would be that sort of "my | :07:21. | :07:26. | |
fellow Americans I'm taking force because..." type of address, but | :07:26. | :07:31. | |
now it will have to accommodate all of the uncertainties raised by this | :07:31. | :07:36. | |
diplomatic opening. We know that when the French move their draft | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
resolution earlier today in New York it contains some terms that | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
were extremely objectionable to the Russians and the Syrians. It talked | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
about the Syrian Government taking responsibility for the attacks of | :07:48. | :07:53. | |
the 21st of August. It talked about them destroying their chemical | :07:53. | :07:55. | |
weapons, as well as placing them under supervision, and it talked | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
about possible war crimes proceedings for those responsible | :07:59. | :08:04. | |
for the 21st of August attacks. Now great elements of that will be | :08:04. | :08:07. | |
unacceptable. The Russians have said that straight away. The real | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
question is what they end up with at the end of that. John Kerry is | :08:11. | :08:17. | |
going to Geneva on Thursday to have concrete discussions with Sergey | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, about whether | :08:20. | :08:21. | |
Lavrov, the Russian Foreign find a way forward. I think the | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
thing they are clinging to here is the understanding and hope that | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
Russian anxiety that chemical weapons could go adrift and end up | :08:29. | :08:35. | |
with militant Jihadist groupss, if the Assad regime falls, is one of | :08:35. | :08:40. | |
the things that underpins their position and it is therefore a | :08:40. | :08:47. | |
sincerely held position. Let's speak now to two Syrians who live | :08:47. | :08:53. | |
in Beirut. We have a writer and political analyst who supports the | :08:54. | :08:59. | |
Syrian army and a student here who wants to see imdeposed. Do you | :08:59. | :09:06. | |
think are we -- him deposed. Do you think we are in any better position | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
tonight that people are talking rather than expecting a missile | :09:10. | :09:13. | |
strike, are we in a better position? I think we are advancing | :09:13. | :09:17. | |
now. The current decision of the Syrian Government to put its | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
chemical arsenal under the international control is sending a | :09:20. | :09:24. | |
very clear message to the international community that it is | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
willing to negotiate and it is willing to compromise, this is the | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
first point, the second is it is not willing to use this arsenal | :09:30. | :09:34. | |
against its own people as the international community claims. But | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
it does mean the initiative now lies with Assad? It deficitly does. | :09:38. | :09:45. | |
The concession will most probably be made by the regime because the | :09:45. | :09:52. | |
recent weeks have exposed their inability to deal with an | :09:52. | :09:56. | |
international initiative as strong as the one that has come in the | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
last weeks, although it hasn't reached anywhere really. We were | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
talking earlier and you sounded to me like a man in some despair about | :10:03. | :10:07. | |
the state of his country, are you? I am, definitely, I am deeply | :10:07. | :10:12. | |
concerned. It has changed the lives of many Syrians, many of which I | :10:12. | :10:17. | |
know forever. Is peace any more near tonight than it was a week | :10:17. | :10:24. | |
ago? It definitely isn't.Isn't? And if this initiative goes through, | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
I believe that things will become as static as they were last June or | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
July and whereby most of the territories have been dealt with by | :10:36. | :10:41. | |
the regime and the opposition and it is more static and takes time. | :10:41. | :10:49. | |
That is now how it feels to you? I think the Syrian crisis is more | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
complicated on this. It depends on the will of the Americans to push | :10:52. | :10:58. | |
further their allies who are fighting on their proxys in the | :10:58. | :11:05. | |
Syrian territories. Any compromise other deal should put both sides on | :11:05. | :11:08. | |
the table, but the Syrian regime and the opposition, and this needs | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
the will of the Americans and the Russians both sides. It took this | :11:12. | :11:17. | |
question of chemical weapons to get the international community | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
motivated, this is a Civil War that has gone on in a horrible fashion | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
and killed well over 100,000 people before there was any kind of | :11:26. | :11:31. | |
energetic intervention by the west. If the chemical weapons is removed | :11:31. | :11:36. | |
some how from the equation, where is Syria then? As I told you siria | :11:36. | :11:45. | |
will be exactly where it was a day before August 21st whereby the | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
regime has the upper hands when it comes to strategic weapons with | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
artillery and fighter jets and scud missiles which have been targeting | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
densely populated areas, even months before chemical weapons were | :11:59. | :12:06. | |
used. You will understand why it is frankly incomprehensible to many | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
people that bringing more weapons into a crisis, killing more people | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
is actually going to make peace any more likely? I would like to point | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
out that firstly the Syrian crisis has been in the recent weeks been | :12:19. | :12:25. | |
mystified a lot, and it has been surrounded by this aura of mystery | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
that we do not need to intervene because we might get inadvertantly | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
get swapped into this whole mess and it is not really that messy. Of | :12:34. | :12:42. | |
course it is but there is still people responsible for war crimes, | :12:42. | :12:49. | |
for systematic killing of civilians for strategic or morale-related | :12:49. | :12:55. | |
means. And I think to actually negotiate would be granting the | :12:55. | :13:02. | |
regime a legitimacy that should by now they should be striped of that | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
legitimacy. I don't believe the issue of the chemical weapons has | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
anything to do with the internal conflict, this weapon is for | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
deterrent purposes. The Americans are now trying to get this | :13:15. | :13:19. | |
deterrent from the Syrians just like they did with Iraq and Libya | :13:19. | :13:24. | |
before and then they invaded it. So this issue might be an opportunity | :13:24. | :13:29. | |
for the Americans to invade in the future, not now. Because the | :13:29. | :13:33. | |
Americans are not willing now to go into Syria and the Congress | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
according to the recent polls and the recent reports will vote for no | :13:37. | :13:40. | |
to go into Syria. Although that is the recent reports will vote for no | :13:41. | :13:45. | |
kind of irrelevant at present until we know how the diplomatics out? I | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
believe thatest me of the Congressmen now they are asking | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
Barack Obama what is the excuse to go to Syria, it is the chemical | :13:53. | :13:57. | |
weapons. If it is the chemical weapons if the Syrian regime is | :13:57. | :14:03. | |
saying OK we will put the arsenal into the UN, what context do you | :14:03. | :14:08. | |
have to go to Syria and strategic gain will have have to strike Syria | :14:08. | :14:10. | |
and military bases. If you bombed gain will have have to strike Syria | :14:10. | :14:12. | |
it, will you pave the way for the gain will have have to strike Syria | :14:12. | :14:18. | |
extremists to enter into Damascus, that is the question for Barack | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
Obama. We will talk about that tonight. Can I rebuttal?I have to | :14:22. | :14:28. | |
move on. The Syrian civil war has lasted the best part of three years. | :14:28. | :14:30. | |
For most of the time the rest of lasted the best part of three years. | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
the world looked the other way and left places like Lebanon to cope | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
with the consequences. It was the use of chemical weapons which | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
crossed the called red line, which galvanised much of the rest of the | :14:41. | :14:46. | |
planet. Russia's scheme to put the singularly reviled weapons beyond | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
use and under international control would change everything. Question | :14:50. | :14:54. | |
though, can it be done reliably. One for our science editor, Susan | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
Watts. The images of victims of the One for our science editor, Susan | :14:57. | :15:03. | |
August 21st attack in Damascus are amongst the most haunting the world | :15:03. | :15:05. | |
August 21st attack in Damascus are is ever likely to see. Each side of | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
the civil war in Syria blames the other. Samples gathered by the | :15:09. | :15:14. | |
inspection team that visited the site are being subjected to | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
forensic examination. Under the oversight of the organisation for | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
the prohibition of chemical weapons, here in the Hague. The UN report on | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
what their team found could come here in the Hague. The UN report on | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
before the end of the week. In the meantime the proposal that Syria | :15:30. | :15:34. | |
place its chemical weapons under international control may fall to | :15:34. | :15:39. | |
this same inspection body. Already operating under intense pressure. | :15:39. | :15:43. | |
The proposal raises numerous questions, not least about the | :15:43. | :15:47. | |
practical risks of any such process. And who would carry out this task | :15:47. | :15:54. | |
of finding, securing and dismantling any chemical weapons, | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
in a country where a civil war still rages. Is it a wild card or a | :15:57. | :16:04. | |
game-changer, so the question is how many countries would be | :16:04. | :16:07. | |
prepared to send substantial numbers of personnel, probably | :16:07. | :16:10. | |
mostly military, on the understanding that they would in | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
turn be guarded effectively by the UN in an unpredictable and violent | :16:14. | :16:21. | |
environment. That is hard to judge. Maybe there will be a kind of crowd | :16:21. | :16:26. | |
contagion effect when more countries put their hands up to to | :16:26. | :16:28. | |
it. Geneva is where the world first countries put their hands up to to | :16:28. | :16:30. | |
tried to put serious limits on the countries put their hands up to to | :16:30. | :16:35. | |
use of chemical weapons, with the Geneva protocol of 1925, following | :16:35. | :16:37. | |
use of chemical weapons, with the the use of chemical agents such as | :16:37. | :16:41. | |
mustard gas in the First World War. The chemical weapons convention of | :16:41. | :16:47. | |
1993 went further. Banning their production too, Syria is not a | :16:47. | :16:50. | |
signatory, but tonight said it may now be prepared to sign up. One | :16:50. | :16:55. | |
scientist here in Geneva with 30 years experience of international | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
controls on chemical weapons told us they thinks the safest way to | :16:58. | :17:03. | |
dismantle Syria's weapons is by putting people physically on the | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
ground. But given it is such early days in this latest round of | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
diplomacy and it could yet fail, doing it militarily is still | :17:11. | :17:16. | |
possible. Though messy, because of the risk of spreading chemicals | :17:16. | :17:20. | |
down wind. In bunkers it is probably is the use of precision | :17:20. | :17:27. | |
munition niings and the creation of high temp -- munitions and the | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
creation of high temperatures within the bunkers. Whether you can | :17:30. | :17:35. | |
achieve that, you shoot the hole into the structure and fire in with | :17:35. | :17:40. | |
a second weapon and that create a fireball inside and you hope that | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
the temperature is high enough to incinerate everything inside. If it | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
is on the outside I honestly have doubt if you can do it in a safe | :17:47. | :17:52. | |
way. He told us there may be clues buried in the inspectors' report | :17:52. | :17:56. | |
about who was responsible for the recent attacks on civilians. From | :17:56. | :18:02. | |
what he has seen published so far has him puzzled? The question about | :18:02. | :18:06. | |
who fired is really the amount, it is that whole thing on the outside | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
was all filled up with agent. Calculation on that it could be up | :18:11. | :18:16. | |
to 50 loters of agent. To make 50 litres of chemical agent is not | :18:16. | :18:22. | |
done. That is semi-industrial process. It looks like a system has | :18:22. | :18:28. | |
been adapted to fire it. It doesn't look like the sort of thing I would | :18:28. | :18:33. | |
expect in the chemical weapons stockpile of an army. Does it leave | :18:33. | :18:37. | |
you coming down on one side or the other? I'm on the fence. Because we | :18:37. | :18:39. | |
are in a situation where even parts other? I'm on the fence. Because we | :18:39. | :18:44. | |
of the opposition will be able to get their hands on agent. If they | :18:44. | :18:50. | |
know where it is. Whilst diplomatic of for thes to avoid military | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
action proceed, the details from the inspectors' samples are crucial. | :18:54. | :18:58. | |
In managing stockpiles and holding to account those responsible for | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
attacks. Once the samples from Syria arrive with the organisation | :19:02. | :19:07. | |
for the prohibition of chemical weapons here in the Hague, they are | :19:07. | :19:16. | |
split up and sent to several sent to civil independent laboratories | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
to identify the finger print of any chemicals they might obtain. Is the | :19:21. | :19:26. | |
plan to rid Syria of chemical weapons for the future realistic? | :19:26. | :19:30. | |
It is practical if the world wants it to work. But it is dangerous and | :19:30. | :19:35. | |
difficult. You could get people out fairly fast, if the mandate and | :19:35. | :19:39. | |
political will were found. But the actual destruction of the chemicals | :19:39. | :19:43. | |
wouldn't be impossible but it would take month, I suspect. That's if | :19:43. | :19:49. | |
you could agree that you had got them all. That might be disputes | :19:49. | :19:54. | |
over the validity of any declaration, which could bog the | :19:54. | :19:59. | |
whole thing down. If Syria really is prepared, as it has said tonight, | :19:59. | :20:04. | |
to tell the world where its chemical weapons are and stop | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
making them, the experts we have spoken to says the chance to put | :20:07. | :20:11. | |
them beyond use is an opportunity. But for it to work dialogue on all | :20:11. | :20:18. | |
sides must be sincere. Just a short time ago we spoke to | :20:18. | :20:24. | |
the former weapons inspector Hans Blix who hold Newsnight that any | :20:24. | :20:28. | |
reliable inspection by weapons inspectors under these | :20:28. | :20:31. | |
circumstances in Syria would be more or less impossible. We are | :20:31. | :20:36. | |
ajoined by a political analyst. First off, it has now become a | :20:36. | :20:40. | |
diplomatic rather than an imminent military threat, that, how is that | :20:40. | :20:44. | |
playing here? It plays he very well military threat, that, how is that | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
within the Syrian regime. We know that the Syrian regime always | :20:48. | :20:52. | |
relies on the element of time. We have seen that with the | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
assassinations and along the his tro, four decades of the regime. | :20:56. | :21:02. | |
Whenever -- history of the regime in the long history four decades of | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
the regime. Whenever they can move forward with that agenda it works | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
well for them. Shifting it from a military operation to a diplomatic | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
operation, or diplomatic solution, if you want, works perfectly for | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
the regime. Does it shift, as it were, the balance of power? It | :21:20. | :21:27. | |
gives them more time, you see I always picture the Syrian regime as | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
playing poker. He they always have these you know when you play poker | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
you have different cards to play with and you always bluff. If you | :21:35. | :21:38. | |
put you know the different cards that they hold with the bluffing it | :21:38. | :21:40. | |
gives you a clear idea of what the that they hold with the bluffing it | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
regime has always been doing and what it is doing now. It hasn't | :21:45. | :21:50. | |
brought an end to the war any nearer? No and unfortunately it | :21:50. | :21:54. | |
won't. What effect is the war having on the region as a whole, | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
this is a horrible thing to see, we are 2,000 miles away and it looks | :21:57. | :21:59. | |
horrible from are 2,000 miles away and it looks | :21:59. | :22:04. | |
what effect is it having? It has been spilling over, he specially to | :22:04. | :22:09. | |
Lebanon on different fronts -- especially to Lebanon on the | :22:10. | :22:15. | |
different fronts, especially with the refugees. Lebanon is a small | :22:15. | :22:19. | |
country with very limited resources, it has also blocked our only land | :22:19. | :22:26. | |
you know border with Syria. Because we have closed it on the Israely | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
side, we are land looked with what is happening. It has spilled over | :22:30. | :22:35. | |
in terms of tension between the pro-Syrian camp and the anti-Syrian | :22:35. | :22:41. | |
camp on the political level, with Hezbollah's involvement in Syria. | :22:41. | :22:42. | |
camp on the political level, with Lebanon has been affected with the | :22:42. | :22:49. | |
latest bombing in Sunni suburbs and Shia suburbs. It has been adding up | :22:49. | :22:53. | |
to the increased tension in the country. Looking broader than | :22:53. | :22:59. | |
Lebanon in the area as a whole, you have all these other countries, | :22:59. | :23:03. | |
whether they be Iraq, Jordan or further afield, what effect is it | :23:03. | :23:09. | |
having there? If you look at it on an international level, it is more | :23:09. | :23:15. | |
of a, we are back to the Cold War. Russia supporting one side against | :23:15. | :23:17. | |
the Americans on the other side. Then if you take it to the regional | :23:17. | :23:24. | |
level it is Iran, Syria, part of the Iraqi regime, with Hezbollah on | :23:24. | :23:31. | |
one side, with the gulf states and the pro-US allies on the other. So | :23:31. | :23:38. | |
the rift between the pro-US camp and the Iranian camp it is widening | :23:38. | :23:40. | |
and it is creating tension along and the Iranian camp it is widening | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
sectarian lines in all the neighbouring countries. Does it | :23:44. | :23:50. | |
feel more dangerous now? It is dangerous but it is still in a | :23:50. | :23:57. | |
place where we are, we could manage the crisis. It not yet totally out | :23:57. | :24:01. | |
of control. If the international community assumes its | :24:02. | :24:04. | |
responsibility in dealing with the regime proper low in Syria and | :24:04. | :24:13. | |
really trying to push whether a diplomatic resolution or military | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
intervention. We know after a military intervention they were | :24:17. | :24:20. | |
supposed to go to the Geneva II convention with all these elements | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
on the table they might reach a diplomatic solution, a political | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
solution, as we call it. Still the international commune toe has to | :24:28. | :24:34. | |
push more towards that direction. We're at the 1 10,000 deaths | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
besides the detained and the tortured and the misk. So it is | :24:38. | :24:43. | |
really growing in numbers. Thank you. | :24:43. | :24:49. | |
I will be reporting later this week from some And the missing. So it is | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
really growing. I will be reporting later this week from Lebanon. We | :24:53. | :25:01. | |
can talk to Hans Blix from Sweden, the former weapons inspector. Are | :25:01. | :25:05. | |
you optimistic this Russia plan can work, is it possible to put the | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
weapons beyond use? I think it is a very valuable opening that has | :25:10. | :25:12. | |
taken place. Some things are doable very valuable opening that has | :25:12. | :25:19. | |
and easier, but others are very difficult. If the Syrian Government | :25:19. | :25:21. | |
is ready to make a commitment, not difficult. If the Syrian Government | :25:21. | :25:29. | |
to use the chemical weapons, whether in the form of the | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
ratificaton of convention or some other way, this can be done | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
relatively fast. If the Government is also ready to give a declaration | :25:36. | :25:39. | |
of its stocks and where it is, what qant toes and where it is, that | :25:39. | :25:43. | |
could also -- quantities and where it is, that could also be done fast. | :25:43. | :25:51. | |
When it comes to knowing whether it is a declaration or not that is a | :25:51. | :25:55. | |
harder thing. We saw that in Iraq and our work and the inspection | :25:55. | :26:00. | |
pages. Even worse, of course, is more difficulty to inspect whether | :26:00. | :26:09. | |
the declarations are right. You can't go into every basement or | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
store in the big countries is not easy. We did it in a country that | :26:12. | :26:19. | |
was not at war. The inspectors didn't have a risk to be shot at, | :26:19. | :26:22. | |
but in Syria with a raging war all around this sounds very, very hard. | :26:22. | :26:29. | |
Watching the destruction I think is harder still. Never the less, I | :26:29. | :26:35. | |
think it is a valuable opening. What is unsatisfactory about this | :26:35. | :26:40. | |
solution, as well as the solution of the punitive strike is that it | :26:40. | :26:43. | |
is limited. It is like telling the parties that OK, you have to do | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
away with this, you will be punished for it and there after you | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
can go back to your war. I think what the Syrians need with00,000 | :26:51. | :26:56. | |
dead and the whole world -- 100,000 dead and the whole world watching | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
is a ceasefire and end to hostilities and conference. I see | :27:00. | :27:05. | |
this as an opening to a dialogue, to show the Security Council is not | :27:05. | :27:09. | |
necessarily paralysed and there are things to talk about. Do you think | :27:09. | :27:14. | |
this has any chance of technically working? The first part, as I said, | :27:14. | :27:20. | |
they could do so, but the second part of inspection and being sure | :27:20. | :27:23. | |
that frg has been declared, no I don't see that as working in the -- | :27:24. | :27:29. | |
everything has been declared, I don't see that working in a raging | :27:29. | :27:32. | |
war. Thank you very much. Has Russia pulled off a remarkable fete | :27:32. | :27:44. | |
of world diplomacy, well Russian -- feat of world diplomacy, well | :27:44. | :27:53. | |
Russia thinks it has. We spoke to to our guest. He asked what did he | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
imagine the timeline to be? It will depend on a number of things, it | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
will depnd on the United Nations how quickly how soon they are ready | :28:02. | :28:15. | |
to come to Syria. It will depend on which sites they want to visit | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
first. It will probably depend also on the situation on the ground. As | :28:18. | :28:23. | |
you know the war is still raging in Syria. But to my mind, and | :28:23. | :28:27. | |
basically that's what we think in Moscow, the most important thing to | :28:27. | :28:34. | |
have the general agreement of all sides for this solution. Two days | :28:34. | :28:39. | |
ago, one day ago we were on the brink of a big regional war. The | :28:39. | :28:43. | |
stake were extremely high. Today we have a working proposal by the | :28:43. | :28:47. | |
Russian Foreign Ministry which seems to have been accepted by | :28:47. | :28:55. | |
President Obama, by David Cameron, by the European Union, by Ban Ki- | :28:55. | :29:01. | |
Moon the General Secretary of the United Nations and by Damascus, we | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
have to strengthen this general agreement. We cannot allow to those | :29:04. | :29:09. | |
who would like to strike Syria at any cost. To come back to this | :29:09. | :29:15. | |
military plan. Let me take you back 24 hours, of this plan inspired by | :29:16. | :29:20. | |
the words of John Kerry yesterday? As far as we can judge and as far | :29:20. | :29:29. | |
as we can trust what President Obama said. He discussed this | :29:29. | :29:32. | |
possible option with President Putin during their short meeting at | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
the G20. As far as I understand this was aired even before John | :29:36. | :29:43. | |
Kerry mentioned this possibility. As for John Kerry's remark, I have | :29:43. | :29:47. | |
to say it was a very unconvincing remark, I would say. Because he | :29:47. | :29:59. | |
said that if Assad agrees to bring his chemical arsenals under | :29:59. | :30:01. | |
international control, America would consider the possibility of | :30:01. | :30:03. | |
not striking. Then he said of course it will never happen, | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
because we don't trust Assad and he will never do this. One hour later | :30:08. | :30:14. | |
the state department basically denied what Kerry said, they said | :30:14. | :30:20. | |
it was a receiptorle kal sentence. Kerry was -- rhetorical sentence. | :30:20. | :30:25. | |
Kerry was thinking allowed the possible scenarios about which the | :30:25. | :30:31. | |
American side is sceptical. Then Obama's assistant on national | :30:31. | :30:34. | |
security said it will never happen, don't think it is possible, it is | :30:34. | :30:38. | |
out of the question. Americans first aired this idea and then | :30:38. | :30:45. | |
started to play back. They took Obama's personal appearence own ABC | :30:45. | :30:52. | |
to hear that the American side will a gree -- agree. I will be pointing | :30:53. | :31:08. | |
out that to John Kerry. It is force may be used if Syria doesn't | :31:08. | :31:12. | |
complay with chemical weapons, do you accept that? I don't think | :31:12. | :31:16. | |
Syria will not comply. I think it is absolutely in the interests of | :31:16. | :31:21. | |
the Syrian people, of the Syrian Government. Of President Assad to | :31:21. | :31:28. | |
bring those weapons under international control. If they | :31:28. | :31:34. | |
don't, would it agree to a resolution? I wouldn't go that far, | :31:34. | :31:39. | |
I wouldn't see any signs that would preclude them from doing this. I | :31:39. | :31:43. | |
don't see an interest from the Syrian Government to do this. The | :31:43. | :31:48. | |
French Government wants to sound very resolved and decisive and so | :31:48. | :31:52. | |
on and so on. Actually playing a very minor role in the whole story. | :31:52. | :31:57. | |
Paris shows himself a big worrying. It is up to them. But I think that | :31:57. | :32:03. | |
all those assertions do not look credible for me. Because the Syrian | :32:03. | :32:13. | |
Government wants to prevent it work, I don't think they will not apply. | :32:13. | :32:16. | |
Let's talk about the practicalities, decommissioning on the ground, | :32:16. | :32:20. | |
would Russian troops be prepared to go into help the process? It will | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
be an international effort, a United Nations effort. I don't | :32:25. | :32:29. | |
think that national troops will be brought to Syria, national | :32:29. | :32:32. | |
contingents will be brought to Syria. It will be up to the United | :32:32. | :32:34. | |
contingents will be brought to Nations and it will be the United | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
Nations responsibility and United Nations operation under the | :32:39. | :32:41. | |
auspices of the Security Council and on the basis of the Security | :32:41. | :32:45. | |
Council resolution. But would that include Russian troops, would you | :32:45. | :32:51. | |
be happy to see that? It is not discussed in Russia at this point. | :32:51. | :32:59. | |
So I am really, I don't think I can answer your question because there | :32:59. | :33:04. | |
were no statements made by neither President Putin nor Mr Lavrov, I | :33:04. | :33:08. | |
think we are still not at the stage where this is being considered. | :33:08. | :33:17. | |
We're all middle-class now, the then deputy PM Lord Prescott | :33:17. | :33:21. | |
declared nearly two decades ago, before he was Lord. Tonight it | :33:21. | :33:25. | |
would appear we are not. The latest British Association attitudes | :33:26. | :33:32. | |
survey, a statistics-lovers manual, it shows that 60% of people think | :33:32. | :33:38. | |
of themselves as working-class. Should your accent define your | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
class or what you do. Why is working-class authentic and middle- | :33:42. | :33:47. | |
class a bit lame. For all the talk of revolution in | :33:47. | :33:52. | |
the 1960s, these North London teenagers knew their place in the | :33:52. | :33:56. | |
social order. Do you think England is still a class-conscious country | :33:56. | :34:02. | |
or as it is supposed to be working towards a classless society. I | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
think England is still very definite low class conscious, | :34:05. | :34:08. | |
speaking to myself I'm always thinking about the next rung up the | :34:08. | :34:17. | |
ladder. In the 80s when the first British attitudes survey was done, | :34:17. | :34:20. | |
class was still a national obsession. The BBC brought three | :34:20. | :34:22. | |
class was still a national 17-year-olds together. One a | :34:22. | :34:26. | |
factory worker, one from public school, one from Grammar School. Do | :34:26. | :34:30. | |
you think there is a language barrier between any of you when it | :34:30. | :34:34. | |
comes down to that. Well I swear a lot more. Compared with 30 years | :34:34. | :34:42. | |
ago far fewer people have manual jobs, many more people go to | :34:42. | :34:46. | |
college or university and generally people have more money. So you | :34:46. | :34:50. | |
might expect that in these surveys rather more people would be | :34:50. | :34:53. | |
decribing themselves as middle- class. But it is not the case. In | :34:53. | :34:59. | |
the first-ever report, 60% of people described themselves as | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
working-class. 34% middle-class. Last year those proportions were | :35:03. | :35:06. | |
almost exactly the same. It might well be the case that being seen as | :35:06. | :35:12. | |
middle-class is seen as a bit of an elitist label, that might well put | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
people off using it. It is also the case that we know from other | :35:15. | :35:19. | |
research that people do feel very strongly attached to the class they | :35:19. | :35:23. | |
feel they were born in. It might be they feel really strongly they are | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
working-class even though the job they have now got is a very | :35:26. | :35:32. | |
objective low middle-class one. Even in 19 -- objectively middle- | :35:32. | :35:37. | |
class one. Even in the 1980s class used to drive politics. That is not | :35:37. | :35:41. | |
clear now. Looking at people's jobs, rather than how they would class | :35:41. | :35:45. | |
themselves, shows how political affiliations have changed. In 1983 | :35:45. | :35:50. | |
professionals voted Conservative, not Labour, 30 years later the | :35:50. | :35:55. | |
revrs. As for the traditional working-class voter, in 1983 more | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
than half said they voted Labour, last year that fell to 41%. So what | :35:59. | :36:02. | |
than half said they voted Labour, do modern teenagers think, we came | :36:02. | :36:06. | |
back to the same North London college, the BBC visited in 1964, | :36:06. | :36:12. | |
very different now, to ask the same question? Do you think England is a | :36:12. | :36:19. | |
class-conscious society or working towards being classless? I do | :36:19. | :36:24. | |
believe people aren't classed within society, within education | :36:24. | :36:30. | |
and outside as well. Everything to do with how people live, how they | :36:30. | :36:33. | |
look and speak their attitude towards everything in general. They | :36:33. | :36:37. | |
all agreed, and then talked about the upper-class. If you are upper- | :36:38. | :36:40. | |
class you would have that confidence as well that your | :36:40. | :36:48. | |
parents have given you. That you are better than other people. | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
Nowadays everybody has a degree, it is about who you know and how far | :36:51. | :36:55. | |
you can get with the people you know and the information you have. | :36:55. | :37:00. | |
Which is why while the old class war is over, social mobility is | :37:00. | :37:07. | |
still around. I'm joined by Terry Christian, best known for | :37:07. | :37:11. | |
presenting The Word in the 1990s. Thank you for joining us. How would | :37:11. | :37:15. | |
you describe yourself? I come from a very solidly working-class | :37:15. | :37:21. | |
background, you know, free school dinners, one of six kids, dad a | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
labourer and mum a school dinner lady, I have worked in the media | :37:26. | :37:32. | |
since I was 20, 30 years. It is many ways what has defined me. One | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
of the reasons nowadays that so many people that aren't working- | :37:36. | :37:39. | |
class are saying that they are working-class is because a lot of | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
those middle-class institutions seem slightly tainted nowadays. It | :37:42. | :37:47. | |
is like so we have this romantised version of an idea of working- | :37:47. | :37:56. | |
classes. Del Boy Trotter looks like St Francis of Assisi compared to | :37:56. | :38:00. | |
all the bankers. You look at the Bullingdon Club and there is that | :38:00. | :38:04. | |
mistrust of politicians, there is the expenses scandals and everyone | :38:04. | :38:07. | |
likes to feel they have a journey in their life. It is more | :38:07. | :38:11. | |
impressive to say I'm a doctor and my dad was a hospital porter than | :38:11. | :38:15. | |
it is to say I'm a brain surgeon and my dad was a brain surgeon. But | :38:15. | :38:20. | |
is there anything that would have pushed you to call yourself middle- | :38:21. | :38:24. | |
class in terms of your change now as an adult to how you grew up, or | :38:24. | :38:29. | |
do you stick to how you were brought up? You still come up | :38:29. | :38:33. | |
against a lot of subconscious prejudice in people. I work in the | :38:33. | :38:39. | |
media, which is a very demo graphically 90% middle-class, a | :38:39. | :38:43. | |
very high proportion of kids that go to private a everything. So | :38:43. | :38:46. | |
often you are battling against that. There does seem to be a slight | :38:46. | :38:52. | |
jealousy of your journey from them. It is offering the most innocuous | :38:52. | :38:56. | |
comment you make means you have a chip on your shoulder. Everyone was | :38:56. | :39:02. | |
discussing going skiing, somebody said to me do you ski and I said we | :39:02. | :39:06. | |
couldn't afford it when I was a kid and they said "no need to be so | :39:06. | :39:12. | |
chippy". It is strange. What about the numbers we are dealing with | :39:12. | :39:16. | |
today, 60% of people asked say they are working-class. Does that | :39:17. | :39:26. | |
surprise you, can it be true? Possibly in that there is this | :39:26. | :39:28. | |
surprise you, can it be true? squeezed middle, a lot of people in | :39:28. | :39:31. | |
the white collar jobs haven't the security they once had, aren't | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
getting the money they once had. Also they look towards that idea of | :39:34. | :39:39. | |
that solidarity. It is like the kind of juxtaposition between this | :39:39. | :39:45. | |
kind of almost imagined honest noblity of theing classes and the | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
of a ris of bankers and business people now -- of a ris of bankers | :39:49. | :39:57. | |
and business people now -- avarice of bankers and business people. If | :39:57. | :40:04. | |
you ask people they are not shy about saying how well they have | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
done in America, and not as modest as the British are and clinging to | :40:08. | :40:13. | |
that? In Britain you are admired for tugging your forelook a bit, | :40:13. | :40:19. | |
and people saying "he's so humble", if you're a foopbl footballer like | :40:19. | :40:24. | |
Paul Scholes, saying he's humble, I think he's fantastic football and | :40:24. | :40:29. | |
he should be allowed to brag and be big headed. There is all those | :40:29. | :40:35. | |
strange inconsistencies in us as British. We are so class-ridden in | :40:35. | :40:41. | |
any way. Would you feel betrayed or let down if your kids described | :40:41. | :40:47. | |
themselves as middle-class? No, not at all. What makes me laugh is | :40:47. | :40:52. | |
people want to sequester what you have got, you have kids from | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
privileged backgrounds who I have worked with over the years who | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
pretend to be smart working-class, and you think that is all I have | :40:59. | :41:04. | |
got, I have the one thing money can't buy, poverty claim Thank you | :41:04. | :41:07. | |
very much indeed. It is the kind of present you would | :41:07. | :41:10. | |
like to buy for someone else, the It is the kind of present you would | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
four most annoying people in your office, the one-way ticket to Mars | :41:13. | :41:18. | |
can only be bought for yourself. Despite that 200,000 people have | :41:18. | :41:20. | |
can only be bought for yourself. applied to be part of a £4 billion | :41:20. | :41:25. | |
project. It is reality TV meets the new frontier, with no ending | :41:25. | :41:33. | |
insight. The plan -- in sight. The creator says human settlement will | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
aid our understanding of the Solar System if we can find the right | :41:38. | :41:42. | |
people. It is like being snowed in a cabin, if it is your best friends | :41:42. | :41:46. | |
it is fun for a couple of days. After a month you will be annoyed | :41:46. | :41:49. | |
with each other. We are looking for the people that no matter how long | :41:49. | :41:53. | |
they are snowed in together in cabin they will not get annoyed | :41:53. | :41:55. | |
with each other, that will be the most difficult part of the solution | :41:55. | :42:02. | |
selection. Who are the right people If the next great step in humanity | :42:02. | :42:07. | |
is this and I want to be part of it. Jo I would like to have first hand | :42:07. | :42:12. | |
experience of planet Mars to research the conditions, learn new | :42:12. | :42:16. | |
aspects of the planet. I want to be an inspiration of people on earth. | :42:17. | :42:22. | |
I would like a more civilised world for mankind. Mars has been my dream, | :42:22. | :42:26. | |
but I know I have the skills necessary to make the mission a | :42:26. | :42:33. | |
success. Just a few of the volunteers, we didn't have room for | :42:33. | :42:37. | |
200,000. Our guest has worked with NASA and the Johnson Space Centre, | :42:37. | :42:46. | |
he's the director for the Centre of Space Medicine, and the author of | :42:46. | :42:52. | |
Extremes, a look at what Mars is regarded now. Let's look at the | :42:52. | :42:58. | |
time frame, this is projected for 2023? It is enormously ambitious. | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
That is understating it. If you were an international space agency, | :43:02. | :43:07. | |
if NASA spent ten-times what it spends now and said we are going to | :43:07. | :43:11. | |
go before this decade has elapsed - - you might think maybe. But this | :43:11. | :43:17. | |
is a $6 billion operation operated out of a small office at the moment. | :43:17. | :43:21. | |
It is ambitious to say the least. Do you understand why people have | :43:21. | :43:25. | |
applied? It is very difficult to know actually. And you look through | :43:25. | :43:29. | |
those, when I look and browse through those videos I expected to | :43:29. | :43:33. | |
see slightly cookie, odd people. But you heard some of them. Some of | :43:33. | :43:38. | |
them are rational about why they want to go.M So of them sing?. I | :43:38. | :43:43. | |
would send the singing girl one, she is my favourite. It is | :43:43. | :43:46. | |
interesting isn't it, even though space stillled holds a place in the | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
affections of people. And a generation who most people are too | :43:51. | :43:55. | |
young to remember Apollo. You make it sound very aspirational, bluntly | :43:55. | :43:59. | |
those people, the ones to be taken seriously are saying I will leave | :43:59. | :44:03. | |
my friend and family and go and die on another planet. That is what it | :44:03. | :44:08. | |
is coming down to? Yeah, and it is hard to understand that. I don't | :44:08. | :44:13. | |
know whether it is just because that is part of the human condition | :44:14. | :44:17. | |
that we want to explore, that you have to find unknown destinations. | :44:17. | :44:22. | |
I think it is so hard to d that now and find genuinely unexplored | :44:22. | :44:26. | |
destinations. The other thing I find interesting, despite the fact | :44:26. | :44:29. | |
we have all of this remote presence on Mars, despite the fact we are | :44:29. | :44:35. | |
seeing beautiful pictures from countless probes orbiting around | :44:36. | :44:43. | |
the surface people still want to go. In you have writ on the subject, | :44:43. | :44:52. | |
Galileo was laughed at and Magellin ignored. All the great explorers | :44:52. | :45:01. | |
and discoffers have been -- discoverers have been laughed at. | :45:01. | :45:09. | |
Until the hast century life and exploration were risky, 500 years | :45:09. | :45:17. | |
ago almost exactly Magellen circumnavigate the globe, he | :45:17. | :45:21. | |
doesn't survive, only 18 of 500 crew members return. So to them I | :45:21. | :45:26. | |
guess circumnavigating the globe must have felt like a mission to | :45:26. | :45:28. | |
Mars. How long do you think you must have felt like a mission to | :45:28. | :45:31. | |
could survive on Mars? I don't know, I don't know about the Mars 1 | :45:31. | :45:34. | |
expedition. The interesting thing about Mars is it is much closer to | :45:34. | :45:39. | |
being within our grsp than it has been for some -- grasp for some | :45:39. | :45:42. | |
being within our grsp than it has considerable time. There was talk | :45:42. | :45:45. | |
about going there from the earliest days of space flight. There is a | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
sense some how it is closer than it was. I don't know how you would | :45:49. | :45:52. | |
fare, the main thing about is if you want to go to Mars the main | :45:52. | :45:57. | |
thing is not worrying about whether you will survive the experience or | :45:57. | :46:00. | |
come back. Thank you very much indeed. | :46:00. | :46:01. | |
Now the papers. That's all for tonight, but before | :46:01. | :46:51. | |
we go a small service to our viewers, here is your chance to | :46:51. | :46:58. | |
avoid a 13 million victim YouTube pandemic, spawned by Ilvis, think | :46:58. | :47:06. | |
of it as old McDonald for the YouTube generation. | :47:06. | :47:12. | |
# What does the fox say # Ding ding | :47:12. | :47:21. | |
# What does the fox say Mx wapowwapowpow | :47:21. | :47:28. | |
# What the fox say # Hattithatco | :47:28. | :47:29. |