22/09/2014 Newsnight


22/09/2014

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Welcome to Manchester, four years ago in this place Ed Miliband saw

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off his brother to become his party's leader. But this week he

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must show he's ready to lead the country.

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We're becoming a low-productivity, low-skill, low-wage economy, we need

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to decisively break out of that. In Ed Miliband we have the first Labour

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leader since John Smith with the strength of character to do that. Ed

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Balls endeavoured to show the party's numbers add up. People are

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relying on us to deliver, conference we will not let them down. But

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constitutional wriggling after Scotland's vote has distracted minds

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here. Energy concentrated not on the election, but the birth of so called

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English Labour. We will talk to one of Labour's new generation, the

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shadow Education Secretary, Tristram Hunt.

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Good evening, party conferences may sometimes be derided as insular

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affairs. Not when there is a general election in a matter of months, and

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not when there is a general election coming that is agonisingly hard to

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predict. There are no bones about it. This week is one of Ed

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Miliband's last big opportunities to explain who he is and what he offers

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to make case, that for many members of the public has so far not

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convinced. But many of his own MPs here have spent much of the day

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tangling over whether their Scottish colleagues should be allowed to vote

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on English-only issues. A headache Mr Miliband could probably do

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without as he tries to explain what a Labour future would look like and

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escape memories of the past. So keep on winning, and do it with

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optimisim. I know what I believe, I know who I am, I know what I want to

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do in this job (Voice of Gordon Brown) The big stage can be a lonely

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place, but Labour's leader now, needs more than words. It is four

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years since Ed Miliband won the leadership so dramatically from his

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brother. Four years since he promise he had would take his party back to

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power. But with seven months now just to go until the general

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election there are still plenty of obstacles that stand in his way. Not

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least his own appeal. Labour may be ahead in the poll, but as a leader

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he's way behind. Labour in some ways has two main challenges, one is that

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the Conservatives are actually extending their lead in terms of

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their competence to run the economy. And the other is simply their

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leader, who is currently about as unpopular as William Hague was in

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the run-up to the 2001 general election, which you will remember

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that he lost. It is Ed Balls who has to make all that add up. Freezing

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child benefit for an extra year will help a little, not a lot. Yes, the

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Tories are deeply unpopular, yes the country is crying out for change,

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but even after the progress and successes of our last four years we

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have more to do, to show Labour can deliver the change people want to

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see, that we have learned from our time in Government. To show that we

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will make the tough decisions to get the deficit down, thank we can

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change our economy. Beyond getting the numbers right, this week is one

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of Ed Miliband's few formal chances to nail down what his hypothetical

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Government would do that is real. What voters beyond this hall might

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be persuaded by and what they can expect. We are becoming a

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low-productivity, low-skill, low-wage economy, you need to

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decisively break out of that. In Ed Miliband we have the first Labour

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leader since John Smith with the strength of character to do that. He

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just has to talk about the finance agenda. He has to talk about, as he

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is doing, I think he has to talk about the way that people are

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struggling. I think the majority of people don't feel like the economy

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has got better I think that most people feel like it has got worse. I

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think the party has travelled an awful long way. Look at the things

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we were talking about now, these were unheard of one election ago by

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new Labour, they wouldn't discuss any of this stuff, housing, it never

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got off the agenda. It is a better and more balanced approach. It has

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been forced. By the unions? By the fact that millions of people have

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stopped voting Labour. It is about being clear about inequality, about

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opportunity, and setting out a real alternative vision. Ed has said many

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times this is all about choice, and this is the election of choice. It

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is the most important election for a generation. An extra tax to pay more

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cash for the NHS seems will be part of the offer. But only voters will

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determine next year how that is received.

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That idea of more tax to go for the NHS is one of the ideas we sort of

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expect in the speech tomorrow, our political editor is here. What will

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he say? We do expect that extra boost for the NHS, we have had many

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reports in the last few weeks and months about it heading for a real

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cash crunch. He will boost that tomorrow. We think it will be paid

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for out of a "Mansion Tax" on houses above ?2 million. But also more

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originally something called Sin-tax, it exaggerates the polls. Labour

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polls streets ahead on the NHS, it plays to that, it paints also the

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Conservatives in a nasty place, they are the vested interests, the

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friends of big companies, don't understand how it is to live like

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real people. It is still talking about introducing new taxes, not

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always popular, will this help? Indeed, there is two big central

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questions this doesn't help at all. The first is the fiscal credibility

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question, especially talk of we were going to use "Mansion Tax" to pay

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for one thing now we are shifting it slightly, it is slightly smoke and

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mirrors. There is another central question which is Ed Miliband's own

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personal ratings, saw in a graphic that Labour is polling very well but

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Ed Miliband isn't polling so well. In the next eight months the

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question will be can the Labour brand carry the leader. That is not

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a good place for him to be in. I think to address that they are doing

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the following tomorrow, in his speech he will talk about a ten-year

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plan, what Britain will be like in 2025, people are talking about

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chairman Millie! They have set out lots of detail on six key areas

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where they want Britain to be. That is them asserting they know it is a

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credibility problem. If they have targets they have to meet people may

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believe them a bit more. We will talk about it tomorrow. What can you

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be pretty sure of is Ed Miliband's ten-year plan won't make him a

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sudden convert to the ideas of banning Scottish MPs to vote on

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English-only matters like David Cameron. Some in his party think his

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position on sorting out the devolution mess has not gone nearly

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far enough. Rather than spending time pressing the flesh here, some

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MPs scuttled off for a private meeting to talk about what could end

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up as English Labour. We were watching their every move.

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Look familiar, Manchester Town Hall, so often a Westminster stand in for

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TV dramas through the ages, perhaps one day not the understudy, but

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parliament all of its own. This morning it is where worried Labour

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MPs are gathering. We are told there is a meeting in the corridor at the

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top here, it is to discuss Labour's response to the handover of powers

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to Scotland ostensibly, but actually it is a crisis meeting to discuss

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Labour on the English question. Some of the party's most senior figures

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will be here shortly because they think Ed Miliband isn't yet doing

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enough. Are you here for the English crisis meeting? No Are you here for

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the English identity meeting, 301, you are, right. Bit of a crisis at

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the moment isn't it? Not in the least. Are you laughing at why we

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are calling it that? Some attendee, including Labour MPs think their

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party must speak up for more English voters. We have to address the West

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Lothian problem that has been around for decades. 150 years? Longer than

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any of us have been alive. You don't solve a problem long standing in a

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few months, do you it properly and with a cool head. The people in this

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room are hopeful more powers to Scots means more powers to English

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cities and regions. Later they announce the creation of an English

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Labour Party to reach out to albion. Some think Ed Miliband must have

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more to stay on his 40 Scottish MPs. This man writing Labour's manifesto

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and expert on Englishness is put on the spot. I think there is a huge

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opportunity for Labour to put meat on the bones of the convention we

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have begun to talk about. About what constitutes the settlement for

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England and who speaks for England. We have been talking about an

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English Labour identity that we need to forge. That is a very interesting

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debate. We have to crack open this conversation now. Labour's policy

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chief there talking about who speaks for England. But others see no

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problem. What do you all think about the move

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on the Scottish MPs, is it really unfair? Barmy, we should leave the

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Scottish MPs with full voting powers. It is ridiculous, and

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Cameron playing dirty tricks and receding from his promises. Others

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are happy with Scottish MPs voting but have other problems with Ed

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Miliband's vow to Scotland? Lord Barnet is an old friend of mine, he

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told me Jim Callaghan asked him to come up with a formula for a year,

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look how long it has lasted, 30 years. The fact is, yes, let's look

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at it afresh, I want to be generous to Scotland, but I also want fair

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shares for Scotland and the other northern regions. Labour thinks it

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can see off the Tories because voters don't care about the West

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Lothian Question. So we went to an aJase seventh conference,

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Manchester's Food and Wine Fair, a mile away. How do you feel about the

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West Lothian Question? What? That is about Scottish people having power

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in the English parliament and us not having powers in their's. That is

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one proud politics teacher. Who else? English votes for English

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people. What does that mean? It means we should vote on our own laws

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and what we want in England and let Scotland do what they want in

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Scotland. How do you feel about the West Lothian Question? Is that funny

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is it? Yeah, I'm probably not great person to ask. You don't think that

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the Scottish Labour MPs are a problem? I wouldn't seen think that

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Scottish Tory MPs were a problem if it was all Tory. There is tension in

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Manchester, yes, some MPs think David Cameron has been unprincipled

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in targeting Scottish MPs voting on English laws. But then there are

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Labour MPs who agree with him, and today behind the scenes there has

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been much politicking to suppress their views. This group need Ed

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Miliband tomorrow to say something significant in his speech on the

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issue in order for them to be happy. Away from Manchester at the Prime

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Minister's Chequers residence, Tories did not back down from

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limiting Scottish voting rights. If other parties make it impossible to

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deal with this issue in tandem, then of course it will be an issue at the

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general election in May. The people of the country will decide. Two

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years ago Ed Miliband talked in Manchester of one-nation Labour,

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now, on the eve of the election, many in the hall tomorrow want him

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to talk of more powers for four nation, not one.

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The shadow education secretary, Tristram Hunt, is here with us in

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the exhibition hall, just outside the main part of the conference.

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Thank you for being with us, this should be a very big moment, we are

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just seven months out from the election. But instead today we have

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had senior figures, people like John Denham and Mr Bradshaw focus today

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on a gap in the party's response to a very old problem? I think this is

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the beginning of the debate we want to see about English identity and

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English representation. I think what we saw in Scotland was, on the one

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hand, great celebration of democracy and the artists and the musicians

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and historians involved in a debate about Scottish democracy and the

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referendum. But also a strong sense of a disconnect between the public

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and the politicians. Our fear about what's going on with the sort of

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post-referendum analysis is what we don't want to do is limit it

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conversation. So what we are seeing on the fringe today, with John

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Cruddas saying let's bring open the question and have discussion about

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where Labour is within that. That is part of the beginning of that

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conversation about Labour's place within a United Kingdom. But what is

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also part of that conversation, loud and clear, from the senior figures

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in the party, is that Labour must say and must say now, you know what,

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the situation where Scottish MPs can vote on things that don't have

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anything to do with their constituents has to come to an end?

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I mean my starting point on this is slightly different. Which is all but

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two UK Governments in the 20th century had an English majority. So

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I think what the Labour Party does on the back of this referendum and

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this conversation is make sure we work even harder to win those

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English seats in Harlow, in Stevenage, and Norwich to make sure

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we have an English majority and Scottish majority and a Welsh

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majority. But I also think we need to lean in to our Great British

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identity. You know, I saw you last in Scotland, in Glasgow, Paisley,

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fighting for the United Kingdom. We don't then want to dismantle the

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United Kingdom in Westminster. Once you beginning to down the road of

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two-tier MPs you are beginning to dismantle the British constitution

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as we know it at the moment. Except, there are already two-tier MPs,

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there are already some of your colleagues able to vote on questions

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that affect your constituents, but don't affect their constituents.

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Now, why does the Labour leadership find it so difficult to say that in

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simple terms that is not fair. Every MP can vote on what is in front of

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them in the House of Commons. We have a situation where London MPs

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look after their transport facilities, they can vote on HS 2, I

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don't get to decide, as a Stoke-on-Trent MP on London

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Transport expenditure. We have Welsh, Northern Irish MPs, we have a

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multilayered constitution, and once you begin to unpick it as a sort of

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House Party at Chequers, which is what David Cameron seems to be

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doing. You are not dealing with the Combezou publicsity of it. Lots --

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Complexity of it. Lots of your own side are saying you need to accept

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this is an issue. A lot of people might agree with your analysis that

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what David Cameron is trying do is rushed and too quick and you have to

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do things gradually. On the point of principle rather than the process,

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surely it is time, why is it so difficult for the leadership to

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acknowledge it is not fair? We acknowledge there is a big issue and

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that there is a disconnect between the public and politicians, we also

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acknowledge that there has not been enough celebration and

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representation of English identity within a federal UK system. But we

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also acknowledge that the United Kingdom is a complicated federal

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structure. And once you begin to pull away all of it, over the next

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four months, to get this ready by mid-January. This is a really

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complicated issue and what we want is a constitutional convention to

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discuss it. That is not shying away from it, we accept it, we want the

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debate. But what we don't want it to be is limited to a Chequers House

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Party. We want a big public conversation about it. If you make a

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promise about a consultation that will last six years, as the party

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has suggested. Aren't you then leaving the door wide open for UKIP

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or the Conservatives to make play saying that the Labour Party doesn't

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want to pay much attention to what English people want, a new poll

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tonight for ComRes suggests 65% of people think it is the time now for

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Scottish MPs to stop voting on English-only matters. I'm happy to

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go into the election fighting for English votes. I'm also very happy

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going into the election as a Labour Party supporting Great Britain, and

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being patriotic British party. Is it unpatriotic to say what Ben Bradshaw

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and John Denham are saying and you have to address the issue? We do

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want to address the issue. But we don't want to pull apart the vital

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elements of the British constitution in four months. What we have is a

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terrible narrowing of the Tory vision. This was once the

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Conservative and Unionist Party, they seem to have lost faith in the

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union of Great Britain as well as withdrawing from Europe. What

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happened to the confidence in this country. I brief in Great Britain

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and the United Kingdom. I think we should have a UK parliament, but I

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also think we need to have a big conversation about English identity

:17:25.:17:27.

and representation within that. It is not shying away from t we think

:17:28.:17:30.

it is slightly more complicated. Again you are talking about the

:17:31.:17:34.

overall process, it maybe needs to take a longer time, we need to have

:17:35.:17:38.

a wider look at the issues. But on a simple point, for most members of

:17:39.:17:40.

the public you either think it is fair or you think it is unfair? We

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do not TRARD as a simple point -- regard it as a simple point, once

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you ask members of the public do you want to pull apart the United

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Kingdom. You might get a very different answer to English votes on

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English laws. When you begin to think about this, if you think about

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health funding and the research behind that. If you think about

:17:59.:18:03.

education funding and the allocation between England and Scotland and

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then transport, this question is more complicated and needs more

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time. The referendum conversation in Scotland took place over two years

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not four months. As a historian maybe it is your view we just have

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to accept this is a misnomer of our unwritten constitution is that

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right, you just have to accept it, it is a messy situation? There are

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disparities in our unwritten constitution, what I won't accept is

:18:31.:18:35.

resentment and the festering of resentment about an absence of

:18:36.:18:38.

respect for English identity and Englishness. I represent

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Stoke-on-Trent, the kingdom of Mercia, in the heart of England. We

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have a strong, proud, English identity about there. I'm proud to

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be an English MP in a UK parliament, we need to speak to that. Very

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briefly, would it be simpler then, once you have had the constitutional

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convention if we wrote something down and had a written constitution

:18:58.:19:00.

so everybody knew where they stood? It is one of the ironies in Great

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Britain that we have written more constitutions than anywhere in the

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world, but our ability to deliver one for ourself has held us back.

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2015 on the anniversary of the Magna Carta to begin the conversation. We

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actually have lots of documents co-defying the British constitution,

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bringing them together under the Laura Kuensberg memorandum! Beyond

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in tangle, there are two big challenges for Ed Miliband this

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week, one the question of economic credibility and also of his own

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credibility. Now four years ago he won the leadership from his brother,

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you didn't support him four years ago. What has he done since then to

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convince you he is the right leader? He has risen to the challenge of

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thinking about the kind of political economy Britain needs. We see this

:19:51.:19:53.

very worrying disconnect at the moment between a return to a model

:19:54.:19:57.

of growth which is not delivering for working people. And Ed

:19:58.:20:01.

Miliband's critque of how our modern economy is working and his policy

:20:02.:20:06.

response to that, we have announced this week raising the national

:20:07.:20:10.

minimum wage to ?8, cracking down on zero hours. Making sure we don't

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have contract workers all taken from abroad. On the one hand there is

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quite an overarching policy critque of our economy, on the other hand

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there are direct, winnable policies that I know I can go on the doorstep

:20:25.:20:28.

in Stoke-on-Trent and say this is why you vote for the Labour

:20:29.:20:32.

Government. Maybe some of the policies are cutting through, on

:20:33.:20:36.

schools, the party is pretty consistently, if narrowly, ahead in

:20:37.:20:40.

the polls. But again consistently Ed Miliband himself is way behind in

:20:41.:20:45.

his own ratings? Why is that do you think? I have worked with Ed

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Miliband close up now, I know first of all he's man of conviction and

:20:50.:20:53.

character, he believes deeply and passionately in this country. I

:20:54.:20:55.

think over the course of the general election we will see that. You know

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we can look at Margaret Thatcher's polling prior to her election, we

:21:00.:21:07.

can look at comments about Churchill about Clement Attlee, a modest man,

:21:08.:21:11.

and much to be modest about, created the welfare state and delivered

:21:12.:21:15.

freedom for India. I wouldn't hold too much on the polling. Except

:21:16.:21:19.

popularity ratings determine whether or not people can win elections. You

:21:20.:21:23.

can have a look at this with some of the previous ratings. This is the

:21:24.:21:27.

position of leaders of the opposition one year before an

:21:28.:21:32.

election, Cameron, Blair, Thatcher, all way ahead. Ed Miliband down

:21:33.:21:38.

there is only just ahead of Michael Foot, less popular than Michael

:21:39.:21:43.

Howard was before 2005. Less popular than Neil Kinnock in 1986 and 1991,

:21:44.:21:48.

less popular than William Hague when he was trying to be elected. Now

:21:49.:21:58.

this matters because those leaders didn't win. The great thing about

:21:59.:22:03.

being part of Ed Miliband's team is we are in the history-busting

:22:04.:22:07.

business. Going back into office after one-term in opposition is

:22:08.:22:10.

exactly what we are about. So I'm not really bothered about that. You

:22:11.:22:13.

are not bothered? I'm not bothered about. What I'm bothered about is

:22:14.:22:21.

policies to deliver for poorer people, an economy working for

:22:22.:22:24.

working people. When we have the standard of living crisis we're

:22:25.:22:28.

seeing, our policies on the national minimum wage, the NHS and schools,

:22:29.:22:32.

having qualified teachers in your kids' classes might be a good start.

:22:33.:22:36.

You can sit there this week and say as a front bencher who hopes to be

:22:37.:22:40.

the Education Secretary or any other job that might be bestowed on you if

:22:41.:22:45.

Labour won, that it doesn't bother you that Ed Miliband is less popular

:22:46.:22:49.

than Nick Clegg. Less popular than Nigel Farage. It is very easy to sit

:22:50.:22:53.

and say it doesn't matter. But it does if it means you won't win the

:22:54.:22:58.

election? We are going to win the election, because we will convince

:22:59.:23:01.

the British people that we have a long-term plan. Which is what Ed

:23:02.:23:03.

Miliband is talking about tomorrow. We are also going to show at the

:23:04.:23:08.

moment we have an economic model working for a very privileged few,

:23:09.:23:11.

and what we have to make sure is when growth returns to this country

:23:12.:23:14.

it delivers for the majority. We will come on to that in just a

:23:15.:23:19.

second. Do you think that people haven't understood Ed Miliband then.

:23:20.:23:23.

Have you sat there and made a very good argument for him, have they

:23:24.:23:28.

misunderstood him? I'm not overly concerned by this debate. I'm

:23:29.:23:32.

passionate about getting out there and selling our policies. Explaining

:23:33.:23:36.

how Ed Miliband will deliver them. Ed Miliband will be a powerful,

:23:37.:23:40.

creative, reforming Prime Minister, and it is my job as a Labour member

:23:41.:23:43.

of parliament to get him into office.

:23:44.:23:50.

He has to show he can be trusted to run the economy. And Ed Balls made a

:23:51.:23:56.

promised to on child benefit that will save only ?400 million, it

:23:57.:23:59.

sounds a lot, but in the context of what you have to do it is small

:24:00.:24:02.

beer. The economic polling, the party is way behind. Isn't it the

:24:03.:24:05.

truth that you are still very far back on the journey to show that

:24:06.:24:08.

Labour can be trusted with the economy again? I think Ed Balls's

:24:09.:24:14.

difficult announcement about child benefit in tough times shows we are

:24:15.:24:18.

very serious about dealing with the debt and deficit. And this, you

:24:19.:24:22.

know, it is not going to solve the public spending crisis that we will

:24:23.:24:26.

inherit because this Government has shot to pieces our public finances.

:24:27.:24:31.

But it is an important symbol about the rigour. It may do more to

:24:32.:24:36.

restore public finances? No, debt has been escalating. When he came to

:24:37.:24:41.

power it was a growing economy, we had three lost years pulling the rug

:24:42.:24:45.

out from the economy. In terms of what will happen after the next

:24:46.:24:48.

general election, right now they would deal with the deficit to the

:24:49.:24:53.

tune of ?37 billion that they would cut from tax or public benefit or

:24:54.:24:57.

raising tax. You are looking at only the equivalent of ?9 billion. There

:24:58.:25:00.

is a clear difference with the pace you will deal with the deficit.

:25:01.:25:04.

There is a clear difference, what we learned last time is when you have

:25:05.:25:10.

an insipient growth you don't want to pull the rug from under it. We

:25:11.:25:14.

need fairer system to deal with it, which is why we are committed to go

:25:15.:25:18.

back to the 50p tax band for the top earner. This is priorities and

:25:19.:25:24.

values. In education absolute priority, on apprenticeships, on

:25:25.:25:31.

technical and education. Will your brief, the education budget be

:25:32.:25:34.

ring-fenced? These are the discussions I have to have with Ed

:25:35.:25:38.

Balls. We will present a manifesto to the British public, but I think

:25:39.:25:41.

when you look back through the history Labour Governments, we have

:25:42.:25:44.

always looked after education budgets and health budgets. Those

:25:45.:25:48.

are absolute priorities. We sit here in Manchester where the first

:25:49.:25:52.

charter schools were founded in 1819, education has been central to

:25:53.:25:56.

Labour's message about social justice. We will certainly be

:25:57.:26:01.

prioritising it. You are hopeful of a ring-fence but don't have one yet?

:26:02.:26:07.

Ed Balls was Education Secretary and knows about that department.

:26:08.:26:10.

Finally, isn't part of this problem, and when you speak to the people in

:26:11.:26:15.

this hall, they know when they go on the doorsteps people don't trust

:26:16.:26:18.

Labour on the economy. They know that had. Isn't part of the problem

:26:19.:26:22.

there has never been a real moment when, since the last election, when

:26:23.:26:27.

the party looked the electorate in the eye and said we were part of the

:26:28.:26:33.

problem. We spent too much. David Miliband who wanted to be leader

:26:34.:26:36.

planned on saying that when he had won. Wouldn't it be better to have

:26:37.:26:40.

said it? When we go to the polls having the debates about the

:26:41.:26:45.

expenditure in laid 08 will not be what people are concerned about.

:26:46.:26:48.

They will be concerned about whether or not we have plan to deliver an

:26:49.:26:50.

economy that works for working people. At the moment we have a

:26:51.:26:54.

model of economic growth only benefitting a privileged few. The

:26:55.:26:58.

kind of detailed, attractive policies, based upon a different

:26:59.:27:02.

vision of political economy, raising the national minimum wage, cracking

:27:03.:27:06.

down on zero hours and securing the NHS. Good Labour policies meaning Ed

:27:07.:27:10.

Miliband will get into Number Ten. We will hear from Ed Miliband

:27:11.:27:12.

tomorrow. Thank you very much for joining us tonight.

:27:13.:27:17.

We know our comprehensive coverage conference will sater, ate all of

:27:18.:27:25.

your tastes. Some Newsnight viewers may want more. You know who you are.

:27:26.:27:30.

Andrew Neil has more to come from the Labour Party Conference straight

:27:31.:27:33.

after the programme. It is a crucial party conference

:27:34.:27:36.

this year with the election only seven months away, I will bring all

:27:37.:27:42.

the most important speeches from the best interviews and analysis. That

:27:43.:27:46.

is Newsnight with Today the Conference.

:27:47.:27:49.

The cheek of him. Well let's pick up on tomorrow of those themes, not

:27:50.:27:54.

Andrew's themes, but what we have been discussing with our guests,

:27:55.:27:57.

Lionel Barber from the Financial Times and Kate Pickett the author of

:27:58.:28:03.

The Spirit Level. Rachel you have been scathing about Ed Miliband in

:28:04.:28:06.

the past and also David Cameron, but Ed Miliband in the past. What do you

:28:07.:28:10.

think he has to do this week. What can he do this week? What is

:28:11.:28:16.

interesting he needs to reach out beyond the Labour tribe, can he do

:28:17.:28:20.

that? There is lots of conversation with Tristram about the called

:28:21.:28:23.

English question. I think the real question for him this week is can he

:28:24.:28:27.

win in England. There is a shocking figure that in 2010, Labour won ten

:28:28.:28:33.

seats out of 197 in the south of England outside London. If Labour

:28:34.:28:37.

wants to form a Government, Ed Miliband has to reach out to the

:28:38.:28:40.

people not natural Labour traditional supporters. Going back

:28:41.:28:45.

to the centre ground, Lionel Barber, they have also to work on the

:28:46.:28:48.

economic credibility. You are imbued with the city and talk with people

:28:49.:28:53.

in business all the time. How far is the Labour Party on that journey

:28:54.:28:56.

back to restoring trust on the economy? I would say it has moved

:28:57.:29:00.

just beyond first base. If we're going to take the baseball metaphor.

:29:01.:29:06.

I think that there has been no prawn cocktail offensive that I have

:29:07.:29:10.

detected in the City of London. I think that that there was some

:29:11.:29:17.

effort now to tone down some of what people in the business community

:29:18.:29:22.

effort now to tone down some of what have thought wasn't aity business

:29:23.:29:25.

rhetoric. I do not expect tomorrow Ed Miliband to be talking about

:29:26.:29:28.

predator capitalism. But they are already having to unpick some of the

:29:29.:29:34.

things they have done before? Part of that and what you seen today

:29:35.:29:38.

is Ed Balls's policy on child benefit, for example. But surely

:29:39.:29:43.

that doesn't sit with people on the core vote, left of the Labour Party

:29:44.:29:49.

or traditional Labour? I don't think it does, I don't think what we heard

:29:50.:29:53.

from the he Labour Party today is speaking to core voters or anyone

:29:54.:29:56.

who wants a vision of a better society in Britain today. I'm hoping

:29:57.:30:02.

and waiting and hoping that somebody over the period of the conference,

:30:03.:30:09.

maybe Ed Miliband in the leader's speech, and will pick up the ball

:30:10.:30:12.

and show us a better vision. Right here all three of you are saying he

:30:13.:30:16.

has to do three different things, you are saying reach out to the

:30:17.:30:21.

non-traditional Labour. He can walk and chew gum at the same time. It is

:30:22.:30:24.

possible to reach out to Middle England and appeal to the business

:30:25.:30:28.

community. You can do that. Is it possible to do both of those things

:30:29.:30:33.

then, and appeal and shore up the traditional Labour vote? Possibly

:30:34.:30:36.

not, I think the Labour Party needs to think about where its values are.

:30:37.:30:47.

Should it be trying to reassure the City of London or trying row strain

:30:48.:30:54.

it. The Southern voters who I think he has to win back are more worried

:30:55.:30:58.

about economic credibility and the leadership questions. They are the

:30:59.:31:03.

out in front people. He has to win them over. That does sit with the

:31:04.:31:08.

business community very well. I do think he has to make a choice. Those

:31:09.:31:13.

are small constituencies in the grand scheme of things. 80% of the

:31:14.:31:16.

British public want a more equal society. That is a huge mandate. Who

:31:17.:31:24.

what do you mean by that? It is clear in the British Association

:31:25.:31:28.

attitude survey, 80% of British public think income differences

:31:29.:31:32.

should be smaller. The evidence suggests that would improve our

:31:33.:31:37.

society, make for a more Health and Safety Executivy, cohesive society,

:31:38.:31:40.

more economic stability and growth. A lot of people understand the world

:31:41.:31:45.

has changed after the global world financial crisis. A lot of people

:31:46.:31:50.

don't want prosperity put at risk by irresponsible fiscal policies, that

:31:51.:31:54.

was the message of Ed Balls today. Tentative, a little tentative, but

:31:55.:32:03.

still in terms of his own a bold move on child benefit, politically

:32:04.:32:09.

it is big. I think most people think the exact opposite. Ed Miliband

:32:10.:32:14.

tomorrow won't talk so much, there will be the reprise about P

:32:15.:32:18.

inequality, but I think he will make the health service front and centre.

:32:19.:32:24.

Has he had such a rap on the knuckles about the energy price

:32:25.:32:29.

freeze, the predator idea he put out, so business has been rapping

:32:30.:32:35.

him? We are not talking about big business here only. We are talking

:32:36.:32:38.

about small business, where a lot of the jobs are created. People who are

:32:39.:32:43.

accustomed to taking risks, they want to hear and that is where

:32:44.:32:47.

Rachel is right. Has to appeal to that community too. Does that

:32:48.:32:52.

actually look like that though Rachel Sylvester, you say he has to

:32:53.:32:59.

reach out and win in England w what? I think the NHS is a good theme. It

:33:00.:33:04.

will be clash of two terrible brands in the general election. It will be

:33:05.:33:07.

the Conservative Party seen to be the party of the rich, not trusted

:33:08.:33:11.

on the NHS. Versus a Labour Party that isn't trust today run the

:33:12.:33:17.

economy. Actually the NHS is an area where Ed Miliband has a huge

:33:18.:33:20.

advantage over David Cameron. He Labour is trusted but also David

:33:21.:33:25.

Cameron and Andrew Lansley, in particular with the health reforms

:33:26.:33:29.

seem to have abandoned their promise on the NHS before the last election.

:33:30.:33:35.

If he just talk about the NHS isn't it just returning to core vote? It

:33:36.:33:39.

has to be a reforming vote on the NHS. It can't be more money for

:33:40.:33:44.

nurses, doctors. I think Labour has a story on that about reforming the

:33:45.:33:48.

health and social care, bringing those two very difficult things

:33:49.:33:54.

together. The FT supported Labour for a long

:33:55.:33:58.

period up to the 2010 election when they then backed the Conservatives.

:33:59.:34:01.

Can you see the paper supporting a Labour Party with Ed Miliband as the

:34:02.:34:09.

leader? I honestly think I'm going on Newsnight and answer that. I

:34:10.:34:14.

think one of the most interesting things today and I have been with an

:34:15.:34:19.

ex-cabinet minister over dinner tonight, is this sense there is a

:34:20.:34:23.

big message from Scotland here about the collapse of the Labour Party

:34:24.:34:29.

support. There is a message coming out about people being

:34:30.:34:31.

discombobulated. What do you do about those people. Is it enough, if

:34:32.:34:37.

you like, just to have this mantra of inequality. There is the populist

:34:38.:34:42.

mood in this country in Scotland, in England, Ed Miliband has to take

:34:43.:34:49.

that on board as well. That mood in Scotland is not about a mantra of

:34:50.:34:54.

inequal fee, it is about real change, real equality and real

:34:55.:35:00.

social justice. Thank you very much. How to respond to the threat

:35:01.:35:07.

of Islamic State will not be the so simple question facing over 140

:35:08.:35:11.

world leaders at the UN General Assembly today. The UN-GA, or as one

:35:12.:35:19.

senior diplomat refers to in memory of Silvio Berlusconi, the Ungi

:35:20.:35:26.

Party, kicks off on with an address of the President of the United

:35:27.:35:31.

States, Barack Obama. Tony Blair has reentered the debate. Arguing that

:35:32.:35:34.

Britain should not rule out putting boots on the ground. Our diplomatic

:35:35.:35:41.

editor is there. How far does President Obama appear to be in

:35:42.:35:49.

terms of forming a strategy now? You know there is a lot of scepticism

:35:50.:35:55.

about this. Some countries, sworn enemies how are they meant to work

:35:56.:36:03.

together. The phrase are using is "work in progress". There have been

:36:04.:36:06.

some interesting developments and some people have broken cover in

:36:07.:36:11.

recent days. If you talk about the British that is interesting, because

:36:12.:36:14.

just a few weeks ago at the NATO summit in Wales I was getting a

:36:15.:36:17.

pretty clear steer that this was the week when if there was going to be

:36:18.:36:22.

an enhanced British contribution, air strikes, perhaps a military

:36:23.:36:25.

training mission to go in and improve the performance of the Iraqi

:36:26.:36:29.

army. This would be when we would hear it. I spoke to a senior British

:36:30.:36:33.

official earlier today to push him on this point. Will we get this. I

:36:34.:36:39.

got the answer, well... Soing will happen before David Cameron speaks

:36:40.:36:44.

to the people here and attends the session of the Security Council

:36:45.:36:46.

chaired by Barack Obama on Wednesday. If there is going to be

:36:47.:36:53.

movement that is the time to look at it from the UK. On the wider

:36:54.:37:01.

coalition there are vital meetings between President Erdegon and

:37:02.:37:04.

President Obama. This is all part of the mood music to ramp up the

:37:05.:37:09.

coalition and what we have seen over recent days.

:37:10.:37:15.

September brings turmoil to New York, as scores of world leaders

:37:16.:37:19.

arrive for the UN General Assembly. All sorts of diplomatic business is

:37:20.:37:23.

done on the margins and this year President Obama is mobilising

:37:24.:37:26.

support to fight the so called Islamic State.

:37:27.:37:32.

There is still doubts about what President Obama's strategy consists

:37:33.:37:36.

of, and whether it can work. You find those in Congress, the

:37:37.:37:40.

international community and even the US military. This is taking a

:37:41.:37:45.

clearer form now and we have been able to get some ideas in recent

:37:46.:37:48.

days about what the main elements are? It is meant to be a new type of

:37:49.:37:55.

coalition and a new battle plan. The administration is using big High

:37:56.:38:02.

Streets like John Kerry to persuade the doubters. They will take Sommer

:38:03.:38:24.

convincing, even within the President's own partymer convincing,

:38:25.:38:26.

even within the President's own party. I think they want them to own

:38:27.:38:32.

what is happening. And even with my experience it is very niave to think

:38:33.:38:38.

this will stop at let's get the Syrian moderates to fight the war.

:38:39.:38:45.

ISIS has to be defeated, plain and simple, end of story. We watched

:38:46.:38:49.

round one, trying to convince a Congress that knows President Obama

:38:50.:38:55.

hasn't wanted to arm the Syrian opposition or reenter Iraq, but has

:38:56.:39:02.

been forced to by circumstance. The Republican administration left this

:39:03.:39:06.

administration with big problems. I think this administration has turned

:39:07.:39:13.

a big challenge into a major crisis. But the House of Senate did vote it

:39:14.:39:17.

through, stepping up training for Syrian rebels, likely to take place

:39:18.:39:20.

in Jordan and Saudi Arabia. That is just one part of the plan. He laid

:39:21.:39:25.

out what his struggles were and inside the our comments. And

:39:26.:39:29.

listened to our comments first over two hours.

:39:30.:39:33.

The President has told trusted visitors to the White House that

:39:34.:39:38.

tackling him. Ling ISIS in Syria is said to involve states like Saudi

:39:39.:39:50.

Arabia and others. The secret sauce is in this fight a number of gulf

:39:51.:39:56.

countries, plus Saudi Arabia, plus maybe Jordan, plus maybe Egypt, plus

:39:57.:40:05.

maybe turkey will provide resources, including advisers on the ground,

:40:06.:40:08.

whether they are called combat troops or something else. Special

:40:09.:40:15.

Forces, I think there will be some friendly foreign fighters from the

:40:16.:40:20.

region. At this week's UN General Assembly,

:40:21.:40:23.

President Obama hopes to put the finishing touches to his coalition,

:40:24.:40:27.

with meeting on the sidelines and a key speech on Wednesday. But many

:40:28.:40:32.

remain to be convinced. You could say there is 40 countries

:40:33.:40:37.

but the reality is what are the countries? What are they putting

:40:38.:40:42.

into the equation. Where are the combat troops. For how long. Those

:40:43.:40:46.

very specific things that I would like to see to feel comfortable with

:40:47.:40:57.

his plan. We haven't received that. Among the leaders current and ex,

:40:58.:41:01.

gathered in New York, calls from Britain too to put the military

:41:02.:41:04.

flesh on the bones of the good intentions. You can contain,

:41:05.:41:09.

possibly, by air power, you can hem them in and Harry them, but in the

:41:10.:41:14.

end you will also have force capability on the ground. I'm not we

:41:15.:41:19.

in the west need to do this, it would be better done by those people

:41:20.:41:24.

closer to the ground who have the most immediate and direct interest

:41:25.:41:26.

in fighting them. I don't think we can in all circumstances rule it

:41:27.:41:30.

out. Afterall we do have the force capability to do this. The coalition

:41:31.:41:37.

is growing and in some meaningful ways, with the French for example

:41:38.:41:41.

starting air strikes in Iraq, Australia is set to do the same.

:41:42.:41:44.

Britain too must now show its hand on air strikes and training for the

:41:45.:41:49.

Iraqi forces. There is talk here too of a big change in position by

:41:50.:41:57.

Turkey. But the Pentagon also wants to see

:41:58.:42:01.

exactly what these commitments amount to. As the Defence Secretary

:42:02.:42:10.

hosted a meeting to honour the missing in action of previous wars,

:42:11.:42:15.

you hear Vietnam being mentioned. As an earlier example of one that

:42:16.:42:22.

started with a half-baked pledge not to get involved on the ground. This

:42:23.:42:28.

nation is immensely war weary after the experience of Iraq and

:42:29.:42:31.

Afghanistan. There is one other constituency that the President has

:42:32.:42:40.

to convince of the viability of his position. As your commander and

:42:41.:42:45.

chief I will not commit you and the rest of our Armed Forces to fighting

:42:46.:42:50.

another ground war in Iraq. The President's promise of no boots on

:42:51.:42:55.

the ground, or any second Iraq War has already rankled with military

:42:56.:42:59.

advisers, who consider it unrealistic and potentially

:43:00.:43:02.

misleading. The odds are overwhelming that they

:43:03.:43:05.

will be involved in combat operations. The question is will

:43:06.:43:10.

they be given a mission of direct combat. The answer is we don't know

:43:11.:43:15.

yet. At the moment the mission will be to advise, mentor train the Iraqi

:43:16.:43:20.

security forces, the Peshmerga in the north and the Syrian moderate

:43:21.:43:26.

opposition as they come on line. I wouldn't foreclose at all the option

:43:27.:43:31.

of ultimately needing combat operations as a mission for US

:43:32.:43:35.

troops. At the moment the mission will be train, advise and mentor, we

:43:36.:43:39.

shouldn't box ourselves in. Because we don't know what the future will

:43:40.:43:47.

hold. Elements of the President's plan are now coming together, and in

:43:48.:43:53.

ways that is surprising given about how vague it has been about its

:43:54.:44:01.

objectives. But with Congress the coalition or military, one important

:44:02.:44:08.

thing has changed. The President has given them their marching orders. We

:44:09.:44:13.

have Jack Straw, Foreign Secretary at the time of the Iraq War. We have

:44:14.:44:17.

been watching this very closely I know, the President has said they've

:44:18.:44:21.

country on earth must do something in this battle, are we doing enough?

:44:22.:44:36.

We could probably do more, there is an understandable reluctance by

:44:37.:44:39.

British Government and British parliament to do more than operate

:44:40.:44:44.

from the air, different the flat blankly the history of the Iraq War

:44:45.:44:48.

with thousands of troops on the ground. We are seeing the French

:44:49.:44:53.

already undertaking air strikes, why we the holder of the special

:44:54.:44:57.

relationship haven't acted that way. We are not looking like we are

:44:58.:45:02.

dragging their feet. I think we do as far as air strikes are concerned.

:45:03.:45:05.

Speaking for myself and nobody else I think there is a good case to be

:45:06.:45:09.

involved in air strikes. It is not so much about contributing to the

:45:10.:45:12.

capability of the Americans, they could do this all themselves. S if

:45:13.:45:19.

test about the coalition of the willing -- it is about a coalition

:45:20.:45:22.

of the willing and sending a message to those on the ground in ISIS that

:45:23.:45:27.

they are very isolated. In my judgment we have to talk to Iran. I

:45:28.:45:32.

have been calling along with some Conservatives for them to be a

:45:33.:45:39.

contract group to deal with the problem in Syria and that would

:45:40.:45:42.

involve Iran. When this was put to the Government a few months ago they

:45:43.:45:47.

came out with some ludicrous arguments that Iran had not signed

:45:48.:45:51.

up to Geneva 1. The reason they isn't was because they hadn't been

:45:52.:45:56.

in the room. Should David Cameron oughtor and talk to the Iranians on

:45:57.:46:03.

the sidelines. I have no idea if he will, I think he ought to have been

:46:04.:46:08.

talking to the Iranians last year. I know he has had one conversation,

:46:09.:46:14.

but Iran is a huge country and hugely significant. Dr Rohanny want

:46:15.:46:24.

a reprochment with the west and want to do a deal. It is not a

:46:25.:46:32.

monoculture, there is a big political space and we need to take

:46:33.:46:36.

advantage of the circumstances it operates in. How do you think the

:46:37.:46:40.

mood of the Labour Party would be if Ed Miliband were to say, yes, we

:46:41.:46:43.

have to get involved here, even perhaps as Tony Blair suggested not

:46:44.:46:51.

ruling out ground troops? I think if Ed Miliband and Douglas Alexander,

:46:52.:47:02.

and called him up. This would be great support in church. They go

:47:03.:47:08.

right across the chamber, it is very infreak there is a straight party

:47:09.:47:16.

divide. Ground troops are more problematic. In terms of ruling out

:47:17.:47:23.

the boot on the ground, our former colleague has been clear, Britain

:47:24.:47:26.

ought not to rule it out, even though it is more ideal for regional

:47:27.:47:32.

neighbours to do it. There is no point in pretending we could put

:47:33.:47:37.

infantry battalion, we lack the capacity in large numbers. You agree

:47:38.:47:42.

it would be politically impossible? Never use the word impossible,

:47:43.:47:48.

politically different, certainly Special Forces and training. The

:47:49.:47:53.

idea is our investment from the air and training in Special Forces and

:47:54.:47:57.

the major boots on the ground for the Peshmerga and other forces who

:47:58.:48:04.

want to see that. How different would Labour's foreign policy be

:48:05.:48:07.

under Ed Miliband, if in seven months time he is Prime Minister?

:48:08.:48:12.

Chaired Compared with what? Compared with you. He would not have

:48:13.:48:16.

supported, as you said, the Iraq War, but that is now history. I

:48:17.:48:22.

doubt it would have been that different. It is broadly

:48:23.:48:29.

pro-European. He, as Douglas Alexander is, stuff stand as far as

:48:30.:48:34.

the Israeli Government is and seeking a reprochment with Iran.

:48:35.:48:39.

That's all we have from here from Manchester tonight. That is it. But

:48:40.:48:43.

there will be more from us here at the Labour conference, thank you

:48:44.:48:44.

very much for watching.

:48:45.:48:51.

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