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Tonight, we are in Portsmouth, a city that has built warships for 500 | :00:07. | :00:13. | |
years and last week was told ship building would end with the loss of | :00:14. | :00:18. | |
almost 1000 jobs. Welcome to Question Time. | :00:19. | :00:27. | |
Welcome to you at home, to our audience here, and to our panel. | :00:28. | :00:34. | |
From the Cabinet, the Liberal Democrat energy Secretary, Ed Davey. | :00:35. | :00:40. | |
Labour's shadow competition minister, Stella Creasy. Margaret | :00:41. | :00:45. | |
Thatcher's former Chancellor of the Exchequer, Nigel Lawson. The leader | :00:46. | :00:51. | |
of the GMB, Paul Kenny. And from Isuzu Truck 's, the first woman to | :00:52. | :00:54. | |
run a UK truck company, Nikki King. We have, in effect, three | :00:55. | :01:14. | |
generations of politicians here for you to tax with your questions. A | :01:15. | :01:21. | |
question from Mark Green. Was Portsmouth dockyard sacrificed to | :01:22. | :01:26. | |
keep Scotland in the UK? Does anybody else have views on this? I | :01:27. | :01:33. | |
think it is a terrible decision for Portsmouth and Britain, and really | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
bad for the Navy. If Scotland is independent, where will they build | :01:39. | :01:41. | |
their ships? The Royal Navy will have to buy foreign ships. A | :01:42. | :01:53. | |
terrible decision. Anybody else? Just in response to that, being a | :01:54. | :01:58. | |
Scot myself and living in Portsmouth and worried about the impact of ship | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
building stopping, you need to realise there are a lot of Scottish | :02:04. | :02:06. | |
people who do not want independence, and chances are it | :02:07. | :02:13. | |
will not happen. Well, what I would like to discuss | :02:14. | :02:25. | |
is if BAE themselves took over and moved to Portsmouth, what was their | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
plan for the future? To go up to Scotland, where they have very | :02:31. | :02:33. | |
little shipbuilding experience in small ships? And you, with the | :02:34. | :02:43. | |
beard. Ship builders do not have a job for life by divine right. This | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
is about the government ordering, or not ordering, ships for the royal | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
navy. We are still in island nation, we import 95% of our food, | :02:52. | :02:59. | |
fuel, oil, daily, by C. The decision has been made to dramatically reduce | :03:00. | :03:02. | |
the size of the Royal Navy, which is why you guys have not got any job | :03:03. | :03:06. | |
is. You cannot expect to have a job for life, all the time you have a | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
government decimating the size of the Royal Navy. The original | :03:11. | :03:19. | |
question was, was Portsmouth dockyard sacrificed to keep Scotland | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
in the UK? As we know, the work is going to Scotland. It is difficult | :03:25. | :03:30. | |
when there are people who have lost jobs, families who are worried. It | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
is not just 1000 skilled workers who will be losing their jobs, but the | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
knock-on jobs connected to that. It is extraordinary difficult, but it | :03:40. | :03:43. | |
is not to do with the Scottish referendum. There are some difficult | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
decisions in a ship building and for maybe ship building. Remember, there | :03:48. | :03:53. | |
are 800 jobs being lost in Scottish shipyards as well. What we have to | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
do as a government is to do as much as we possibly can to help the | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
people who have lost their jobs, and to help the economy here in | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
Portsmouth. That is why we are going to invest ?100 million in the | :04:07. | :04:09. | |
harbour, so when the aircraft carriers come here, they can be | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
based here and we will have those jobs, and this can continue to be | :04:14. | :04:16. | |
the home, the proud home of the Royal Navy. And then we need to do | :04:17. | :04:22. | |
more. That is why there is a city deal being struck with Portsmouth | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
and Southampton to unlock land that the Ministry of Defence had, so more | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
business can be created in future, more homes can be built, because | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
they are needed, too. We are going to try and do as much as we can. But | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
I am clear, this is a difficult decision, and it is not going to be | :04:40. | :04:44. | |
easy for Portsmouth. But as a government, we are going to be there | :04:45. | :04:50. | |
to help Portsmouth. When your Defence Secretary said he did not | :04:51. | :04:53. | |
anticipate the UK would wish to place orders for ships outside the | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
UK, and it is something people in Scotland need to think about very | :04:58. | :05:00. | |
carefully, was that not a threat about removing this building from | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
Scotland and returning it to Portsmouth, if Scotland votes for | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
independence? If not, what did it mean? I understand it is a legal | :05:10. | :05:17. | |
requirement. If the ships were built in independent Scotland, the tender | :05:18. | :05:20. | |
would have to be across the whole of the European Union, and the rules | :05:21. | :05:23. | |
say that you can have a defence tender in your own country because | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
of security and fence interests, but as soon as those ships are built | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
outside, you have to offer it to all of the defence industry across the | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
European Union. He was stating a legal fact. Paul Kenny. I think we | :05:36. | :05:46. | |
need a dose of reality. In the last few days, the last week we have seen | :05:47. | :05:51. | |
about 10,000 jobs go out of our economy. The jobs at Portsmouth and | :05:52. | :05:55. | |
in Scotland are part of that pattern. I want to say this about | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
it. You cannot turn on and off highly skilled jobs, about building | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
ships, to protect them island nation. I will pick up the point | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
made by the gentleman in the audience. We have decimated the | :06:10. | :06:17. | |
Royal Navy. We have decimated it. We now have an entire surface fleet of | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
18 ship 's. We could not fight a Cold war, let alone go around the | :06:23. | :06:28. | |
world and protect interests. We could not fight an exclusion zone | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
around the Isle of Wight. We have run our nation into the ground. 1000 | :06:33. | :06:40. | |
highly skilled jobs from Portsmouth. Another factory down the road, | :06:41. | :06:47. | |
absolutely decimating this area. I listened carefully to what Ed Davey | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
said and I will pick him up on it. 18 months ago, our union pleaded, | :06:53. | :06:59. | |
almost begged to the government, not to give the contract for ?500 | :07:00. | :07:02. | |
million of ship welding work to Korea. These are ships, four ships, | :07:03. | :07:10. | |
that service the Royal Navy when they are at the. Four ships, and the | :07:11. | :07:15. | |
government, and the minister at the time was not you, but Philip | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
Hammond, gave that contract to Korea. And all they had to do was to | :07:20. | :07:26. | |
designate those ships as warlike. Put a catapult on the front. That is | :07:27. | :07:29. | |
something the French might have done to protect their ship holding. Was | :07:30. | :07:36. | |
it done on a money basis? They said no British company bid for those | :07:37. | :07:42. | |
jobs. There were not effectively any bids from British companies because | :07:43. | :07:45. | |
they were told it was going to Korea. That is the reality. If they | :07:46. | :07:53. | |
had been deemed as warlike, because they service the Royal Navy, the | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
truth of the matter is that that would have been work which would | :07:58. | :08:00. | |
have fitted into these yards and kept the jobs here and in Scotland. | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
This is not a battle between Portsmouth and Scotland because a | :08:06. | :08:07. | |
lot of people in Scotland will lose jobs. This is about proper support | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
for the Royal Navy and getting jobs that can be put, keeping skills in | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
this country here. You could have kept those ships in the UK. In the | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
same way that Mr Hammond sent rail carriages to do Germany instead of | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
giving them to Derby, he sent those ships to career, instead of keeping | :08:27. | :08:29. | |
British skilled workers in British yards and keeping our Royal Navy | :08:30. | :08:31. | |
afloat. Ed Davey, I will come back to you | :08:32. | :08:47. | |
later on those points. I run a small ship building yard in Portsmouth, | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
very small. We are very proud of our export record. We do not borrow any | :08:53. | :08:55. | |
money and the government has never helped us. Our landlord has now told | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
When you actually look at the we have to | :09:01. | :26:54. | |
When you actually look at the evidence, it was cold-blooded | :26:55. | :26:57. | |
murder, full-stop. I do not think there was any question that he | :26:58. | :27:09. | |
should be held accountable. She is absolutely right and I think this is | :27:10. | :27:13. | |
accepted by the Royal Marines themselves. Gillian Thompson, who | :27:14. | :27:21. | |
served in the Falklands, said that he was not going to stand around | :27:22. | :27:24. | |
bad-mouthing him, I do not condemn him, he is like a member of the | :27:25. | :27:30. | |
family who broke the law. What do you think of the Daily Telegraph's | :27:31. | :27:33. | |
petition to have the judge show leniency? Well, it might well be a | :27:34. | :27:40. | |
good journalistic stunt, but it does not alter my view, which is exactly | :27:41. | :27:52. | |
the same as that already expressed. That murder is murder? Yes, and | :27:53. | :27:59. | |
there were no circumstances to change that verdict. It was | :28:00. | :28:02. | |
thoroughly done, it was a prosper procedure, and I'm afraid there were | :28:03. | :28:09. | |
not any mitigating circumstances. One of the major differences between | :28:10. | :28:12. | |
the Royal Marines and the Taliban are that the Royal Marines work | :28:13. | :28:15. | |
within the parameters of the law, and the Taliban does not, so what | :28:16. | :28:20. | |
that Royal Marines in question did with one shot from his pistol was to | :28:21. | :28:24. | |
blur the lines between what is right, and what the Royal Marines to | :28:25. | :28:29. | |
nine times out of ten, or even more, and what the Taliban do on a daily | :28:30. | :28:40. | |
basis. If it was your son that was at the end of that bullet, Howard | :28:41. | :28:44. | |
you feel about that situation test murder is murder and there is no | :28:45. | :28:51. | |
justification for it. Does anybody disagree? I would turn that question | :28:52. | :28:57. | |
around, what if it was your son who had been out in Afghanistan for six | :28:58. | :29:01. | |
months, and they had seen their comrades' arms and legs hanging from | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
trees as we do not know the stress they were under. I think to condemn | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
him is awful. And he was out there in our name. I would agree if you | :29:12. | :29:16. | |
had not read the dialogue that was recorded at the time. There is that | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
point about the question about the incredible stress that we put our | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
Armed Forces under in the most difficult scenarios, but let's be | :29:26. | :29:31. | |
clear about it, that standard. How do we hold up the moral line | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
effectively if what we do is to execute injured prisoners? If the | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
boot was on the other foot, we rightly would be condemning whoever | :29:41. | :29:45. | |
did that to our personnel, irrespective of what the opposition | :29:46. | :29:51. | |
is, you do not execute people like that in cold blood, you just do not | :29:52. | :30:07. | |
do it. We have just had Remembrance Sunday, a hugely important day for | :30:08. | :30:09. | |
the families of those who serve, because we ask them to make the | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
ultimate sacrifice. One of the reasons we do that is to uphold | :30:14. | :30:16. | |
those values and freedoms, so we must consistent about that. My worry | :30:17. | :30:22. | |
about this case is that it has the potential to sustain the good name | :30:23. | :30:26. | |
of so many people. I have friends and family who serve and I'm the | :30:27. | :30:29. | |
president of the Royal British Legion in my local community. I feel | :30:30. | :30:34. | |
passionately about the importance of defending the good name of those who | :30:35. | :30:38. | |
serve overseas. Part of the way we do that is that when those people | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
transgress we say, it is not acceptable, not any different. You | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
are right, sir, murder is murder. Another question. Ed Davey, I am | :30:48. | :30:56. | |
sorry. I am going to agree, but I want to make the point following | :30:57. | :31:00. | |
from what Stella was saying, that the Royal Marines have a proud | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
history. They have done this country some magnificent achievements. One | :31:05. | :31:07. | |
of the reasons we have to see this process through, allow the evidence | :31:08. | :31:11. | |
to be judged and the sentencing to go through is because of that proud | :31:12. | :31:15. | |
history of the Royal Marines. Because we do not want the | :31:16. | :31:20. | |
reputation of the Royal Marines besmirched. Getting justice seem to | :31:21. | :31:23. | |
be done is the best way to uphold the proud tradition of the Royal | :31:24. | :31:29. | |
Marines. Obviously, with this individual case it is right that | :31:30. | :31:34. | |
justice is done. But if we are talking about murder is murder, what | :31:35. | :31:37. | |
about the civilians killed when we bombed Baghdad and Libya? | :31:38. | :31:46. | |
If this is murder, and I believe it is, what do they think about the | :31:47. | :31:49. | |
drone operators that kill hundreds of people every day? And the | :31:50. | :31:55. | |
civilians who are killed? Does anybody want to come in on that. On | :31:56. | :32:01. | |
the drones, it is a serious question we have to face up to. I think, if | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
the Americans keep using drones in the way they have been doing, I | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
think everyone is going to say this is setting a very, very dangerous | :32:11. | :32:16. | |
precedent. And I think the UN and the international community has to | :32:17. | :32:19. | |
look very seriously at these weapons, that they are potentially | :32:20. | :32:26. | |
transgressing sovereignty. In the case we know about, the sovereignty | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
of Pakistan. And while drones can be, if they are not used in a | :32:33. | :32:37. | |
military way, they can be used for surveillance very effectively, which | :32:38. | :32:41. | |
is how the British use them. There are serious issues on the | :32:42. | :32:43. | |
international law of the use of drones. The American government is | :32:44. | :32:49. | |
beginning to look at that. The point is, how do you compare this one | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
Royal Marines killing the injured member of the Taliban and, one must | :32:54. | :32:58. | |
assume, with what we know are hundreds of killings of women and | :32:59. | :33:04. | |
children in Afghanistan and Pakistan by drones? And we just say, well, we | :33:05. | :33:11. | |
ought to look at that. There are lots of strict rules of | :33:12. | :33:17. | |
international engagement and conflict. My concern with drones is | :33:18. | :33:20. | |
that international law has not caught up with them, and it must do, | :33:21. | :33:25. | |
so that people using this technology actually have to abide by the law. | :33:26. | :33:31. | |
The Royal Marines do. What do you mean by abide by the law? The law is | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
not being applied to those. The law has not caught up with the | :33:37. | :33:40. | |
technology, and I'm calling for it to do that. But until then you can | :33:41. | :33:46. | |
use them with impunity? We should not, and we don't. I do not know | :33:47. | :33:51. | |
enough about how the Americans use them. The Americans in the Armed | :33:52. | :33:56. | |
Forces are saying we have got to make sure we do not set a precedent | :33:57. | :34:00. | |
so other countries start doing what we are doing with drones, because | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
that would be very dangerous. Killing innocent civilians is wrong, | :34:06. | :34:08. | |
if it is wrong, it is wrong universally, and we should have the | :34:09. | :34:13. | |
courage to say that. I do not find that a difficult problem. I think | :34:14. | :34:17. | |
the difficulty is that the drones are getting away from us because the | :34:18. | :34:20. | |
Americans are now working on robot drones. They do not even have people | :34:21. | :34:25. | |
at the end of the TV screens guiding them. They are preplanned when they | :34:26. | :34:29. | |
take off, and the basic mission is to kill people. They do not even | :34:30. | :34:34. | |
have the possibility of aborting the thing if they look and see lots of | :34:35. | :34:38. | |
civilians instead of the supposed target. Simon Frost, please. Is | :34:39. | :34:46. | |
Typhoon Haiyan further evidence of mankind creating climate change? If | :34:47. | :34:52. | |
so, what can we do to reduce the risk of further disaster? There is | :34:53. | :35:04. | |
no connection at all between this typhoon and climate change. If you | :35:05. | :35:11. | |
look at tropical is, you will find there has been no increase in the | :35:12. | :35:18. | |
amount, or the strength of tropical storms for the past 100 years. | :35:19. | :35:24. | |
Indeed, this year, Typhoon Haiyan is terrible, appalling, but I am afraid | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
these things happen in the tropics. In the Atlantic hurricane season, | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
this year has been one of the quietest seasons in the Atlantic | :35:35. | :35:42. | |
within living memory. It is the quietest, although they predicted | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
there would be more for 30 years or more. If you look at what the | :35:49. | :35:52. | |
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says, recognised as an | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
authority on this, they say there is absolutely no connection between | :35:58. | :36:01. | |
so-called climate change and tropicals or is, all tropical of all | :36:02. | :36:10. | |
kinds. -- tropicals or is. This is a scare which people latch onto but | :36:11. | :36:16. | |
there is no scientific merit in it, no statistical merit in it. There | :36:17. | :36:20. | |
has been no increase in extreme weather events at all, and this is | :36:21. | :36:30. | |
fact. Ed Davey, do you agree? I am glad to see that Lord Lawson is now | :36:31. | :36:38. | |
praising the IPCC. On this question, I think he is absolutely | :36:39. | :36:42. | |
right that there is no evidence that climate change is increasing the | :36:43. | :36:46. | |
frequency of tropical storms. There is evidence that it is increasing | :36:47. | :36:51. | |
the impact of the intensity of those storms. And this is how it is doing | :36:52. | :36:56. | |
it. Sea levels are rising. That is a fact and I hope Nigel Lawson will | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
agree. That is happening because of climate change because the ice caps | :37:02. | :37:04. | |
and glaciers are melting. With higher sea levels, islands like they | :37:05. | :37:10. | |
have in the Philippines and low-lying coastal areas are far more | :37:11. | :37:13. | |
vulnerable to these storms than they ever used to be. At is the real | :37:14. | :37:18. | |
danger of climate change. It is not always increasing extreme weather | :37:19. | :37:23. | |
events, although the IPCC says that in some cases they think it is, but | :37:24. | :37:27. | |
it is making these areas far more vulnerable. That is why these | :37:28. | :37:30. | |
disasters are on a scale we have never seen before. We have to take | :37:31. | :37:35. | |
climate change extremely seriously. We have to lead by making sure we | :37:36. | :37:39. | |
are taking measures, investing in renewables, low carbon and energy | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
efficiency. Next week I'm going to the global climate change talks in | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
Warsaw and working to sign a global deal in 2015. The world has to take | :37:49. | :37:55. | |
action. The evidence says it is more urgent than ever before and I hope | :37:56. | :37:58. | |
that Nigel, when he looks at the evidence from the IPCC, which he is | :37:59. | :38:03. | |
now quoting in favour, I hope he will realise the world have to take | :38:04. | :38:09. | |
action on climate change. -- the world has to. Isn't this so | :38:10. | :38:17. | |
confusing? One minute I am told I have two save my rubbish and the | :38:18. | :38:20. | |
next minute I am told it all goes to the same landfill site. One minute I | :38:21. | :38:26. | |
am told if we do not save the planet it will die in 20 years, and | :38:27. | :38:29. | |
somebody else says it is just the natural life of the planet. I wish | :38:30. | :38:33. | |
somebody would tell me exactly what is going on and then I could make a | :38:34. | :38:39. | |
decision. It is so difficult. I find it very confusing. I am in the truck | :38:40. | :38:43. | |
business. You will probably agree that the motor industry has done an | :38:44. | :38:53. | |
awful lot for climate change. Sorry, done an awful lot for climate | :38:54. | :38:59. | |
change? It has cleaned up its act, enormously. One of my trucks parked | :39:00. | :39:03. | |
in Calcutta, the air coming out of the exhaust pipe is cleaner than the | :39:04. | :39:08. | |
air going in. If you look around Calcutta, you will see thousands of | :39:09. | :39:13. | |
vehicles that are ten or 15 or 20 years old. I am not quite sure what | :39:14. | :39:18. | |
this little Europe can do when there is so much of the rest of the world | :39:19. | :39:25. | |
that needs to come up to speed. Stella Creasy. Nigel, I hope you | :39:26. | :39:35. | |
will take up the offer made by the Filipino delegate to the climate | :39:36. | :39:38. | |
change conference. I don't know if you saw his impassioned speech that | :39:39. | :39:43. | |
made a lot of people cry, about his view that there was a connection. I | :39:44. | :39:48. | |
take the scientific evidence. The evidence shows there is a 95% chance | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
that climate change is man-made. That means there is a 5% chance that | :39:54. | :39:58. | |
it is not, and it is right that we have a public policy debate about | :39:59. | :40:03. | |
that risk ratio. My sense is that 95% is a pretty good standard to | :40:04. | :40:06. | |
start thinking about what we can do to address that. That gentleman was | :40:07. | :40:11. | |
talking about trying to take dead relatives out of the rubble of | :40:12. | :40:14. | |
buildings and dealing with the consequences. We are not immune to | :40:15. | :40:18. | |
our own responsibilities about things we can do to create a more | :40:19. | :40:21. | |
sustainable way of living, and I do not want to take the risk that we | :40:22. | :40:27. | |
might be in that 5%, when the 95% of independent scientific evidence, | :40:28. | :40:33. | |
when I hear you talk, Nigel, opinion meets fact. The fact is that climate | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
change is happening. We can have different debates about how we | :40:39. | :40:41. | |
address it, but the idea that we can ignore it and make it go away, talk | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
to people in the Philippines and you will hear a very different story. I | :40:45. | :40:50. | |
think you are very confused, if I may say so. First of all, where | :40:51. | :40:54. | |
there is no scientific connection, and this is accepted by the IPCC and | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
the majority of scientists, is between global warming and | :41:00. | :41:04. | |
hurricanes and typhoons, including this terrible one in the | :41:05. | :41:07. | |
Philippines, which is particularly bad. That is what the question was | :41:08. | :41:12. | |
about. As for the 95%, what they are saying is that they are 95% certain | :41:13. | :41:19. | |
that the amount of global warming that there has been is largely due | :41:20. | :41:26. | |
to carbon emissions. But in fact, there has been very little global | :41:27. | :41:29. | |
warming. There has been none at all over the past 15 years. This is a | :41:30. | :41:34. | |
fact. If you go to The Met office, they admit this. Everybody knows | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
about this ad mitts on it. The amount of global warming is very | :41:39. | :41:43. | |
little. Ed Davey, what do you say to that? Every decade, it has been | :41:44. | :41:50. | |
getting warmer. This year will be the seventh warmest on record. It is | :41:51. | :41:53. | |
not just global temperatures, but temperatures in the oceans. The ice | :41:54. | :41:58. | |
caps are melting. It is not just that, but the sea level rising. It | :41:59. | :42:04. | |
is also the acidity in the seas. There is overwhelming evidence that | :42:05. | :42:08. | |
climate change is happening. Do not believe me as a politician. Believe | :42:09. | :42:14. | |
the scientists. The IPCC had 259 scientists from 39 countries, 50,000 | :42:15. | :42:21. | |
comments for peer review. It was the most peer-reviewed piece of science | :42:22. | :42:28. | |
in human history. I think what Nigel Lawson challenged you with was that | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
there has been no change over the past 15 years. Is that true, or not? | :42:32. | :42:42. | |
It is flat. It is not flat. When we are talking about climate change, we | :42:43. | :42:47. | |
are talking about long periods. The global warming foundation, which | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
Nigel Lawson shares, which is trying to undermine the scientific | :42:52. | :42:53. | |
consensus on climate change, they take this 15 years. Because the | :42:54. | :42:58. | |
increase in global temperature has been slowing down, they say climate | :42:59. | :43:03. | |
change is not happening. When you ask scientists, they say, over a | :43:04. | :43:07. | |
short period, we do not expect to bridge is always to go up. If you | :43:08. | :43:12. | |
take a longer time period, temperatures are definitely going | :43:13. | :43:15. | |
up. He chooses his periods and he should not do that. Why do you say | :43:16. | :43:21. | |
he tries to undermine scientific opinion? What do you think his | :43:22. | :43:26. | |
motive is when you say that? You suggest an ulterior motive. Nigel | :43:27. | :43:33. | |
will have two answer that. Used the verve undermine, as though there is | :43:34. | :43:40. | |
some malpractice in disagreeing. He has done it in a very open way. He | :43:41. | :43:44. | |
writes a good book about it, but I disagree with most of what is in it. | :43:45. | :43:51. | |
What he does, he puts his argument, but he denies, as far as I can see, | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
the evidence from the international scientific immunity. It is not just | :43:56. | :43:58. | |
the international scientific community. The current chief | :43:59. | :44:03. | |
scientist in Britain believes there is a problem. The previous chief | :44:04. | :44:08. | |
scientist thought so, and his predecessor as well. The scientists | :44:09. | :44:12. | |
are telling us we have to take this seriously. Wasn't the second part of | :44:13. | :44:19. | |
the question, and what are we going to do about it? What can we do to | :44:20. | :44:25. | |
reduce the risk of further disasters? Getting on to actually | :44:26. | :44:30. | |
doing something about it will be slightly more difficult. Paul | :44:31. | :44:41. | |
Kenny. Throw that one to me! I remember in the 1970s scientists | :44:42. | :44:45. | |
were telling us that the ozone layer was being depleted. I remember it | :44:46. | :44:49. | |
well. Everybody went around changing from hairspray and getting rid of | :44:50. | :44:54. | |
fridges and all sorts of things. The idea that this has not been a long, | :44:55. | :44:59. | |
long, long run into where we are now is not an honest as Isham. The | :45:00. | :45:03. | |
acidity of the oceans is rising. It is man-made. -- it is not an honest | :45:04. | :45:11. | |
position. Somebody did not leave the fridge open. The ice caps are | :45:12. | :45:14. | |
melting. I do not have the scientific knowledge of other | :45:15. | :45:20. | |
colleagues, but that is what I see. What we need to do about it, this is | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
where the argument comes about how we have two adapt, what energy we | :45:25. | :45:29. | |
use and how we use it. Nicky is right. Many car manufacturers to the | :45:30. | :45:36. | |
decision to move to lower emissions. Really low emissions. This was | :45:37. | :45:39. | |
because they recognised this was where the markets were going to be. | :45:40. | :45:42. | |
That is what we have to force other people to do. In some sense, it is | :45:43. | :45:47. | |
just good business to lower carbon emissions. It is good business to | :45:48. | :45:51. | |
take the view that there is global warming and adjust our energy use, | :45:52. | :45:56. | |
our types of energy. We have been talking about carbon capture for | :45:57. | :46:06. | |
years. What about adding to fuel bills for the development of green | :46:07. | :46:09. | |
sources and other sources, are you in favour of that? I am, but I more | :46:10. | :46:14. | |
in favour of using some of the profits which the energy company | :46:15. | :46:17. | |
makes, instead of taking it out of the pockets of the consumers. Let me | :46:18. | :46:22. | |
hear from some members of our audience. The person in the blue | :46:23. | :46:28. | |
shirt up on the left, 1st... I think these are valid points which have | :46:29. | :46:34. | |
been raised, that I think scientific data is available only for such a | :46:35. | :46:37. | |
small window, given how long the planet has been in existence. I am | :46:38. | :46:43. | |
not a scientist, I am a person who works out on the water, and I think | :46:44. | :46:46. | |
the quickest way we can make an impact is to stop carrier bags. | :46:47. | :46:50. | |
There are so many things we can do. But that pollution. Stop carrier | :46:51. | :46:59. | |
bags in supermarkets, how simple can it be? And you in the middle. We are | :47:00. | :47:03. | |
missing the point. If you went to the Philippines and said, what is | :47:04. | :47:08. | |
the single most significant thing we can do to help them survive, they | :47:09. | :47:12. | |
are not going to be saying, carbon tax and Climate Change Act, they are | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
going to be saying, help me build a house with proper foundations. And | :47:17. | :47:25. | |
the person over there on the right hand side? In answer to the | :47:26. | :47:30. | |
question, what can we do about it, things like green levies are just a | :47:31. | :47:34. | |
drop in the ocean, when you compare it to parts of Asia and China, who | :47:35. | :47:40. | |
are having a massive impact on CO2 emissions. Nigel Lawson, do you | :47:41. | :47:45. | |
approve of green levies? I think the whole policy which Ed Davey is | :47:46. | :47:54. | |
promoting is positively immoral. It is not going to work, but it is | :47:55. | :48:00. | |
positively immoral. The gentleman towards the back there who said that | :48:01. | :48:05. | |
what the Philippines people want is to rebuild their country, I want to | :48:06. | :48:09. | |
get richer, because they are poor country, which has been exacerbated | :48:10. | :48:14. | |
in a huge increase in population, fastest-growing population in the | :48:15. | :48:23. | |
world... Ed is going to try to go to Warsaw to try to get a global | :48:24. | :48:26. | |
agreement, but he is not going to get that. We are not expecting to | :48:27. | :48:36. | |
get agreement next week. And they did not get one in Copenhagen, and I | :48:37. | :48:40. | |
will tell you why. But what is the positive immorality? I will tell you | :48:41. | :48:46. | |
what it is. The reason we use carbon -based energy, fossil fuels, is | :48:47. | :48:51. | |
because it is far and away the cheapest form of energy, and will be | :48:52. | :48:54. | |
for the foreseeable future, although not for ever. But for the | :48:55. | :49:02. | |
foreseeable future. And if you move away from that, you are moving from | :49:03. | :49:05. | |
cheaper energy to more expensive energy. It is causing enough | :49:06. | :49:09. | |
problems in this country. The developing world, China, is not | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
going to do that, and quite right, too. The increase in Chinese | :49:15. | :49:20. | |
emissions in one year is bigger than the total emissions from the United | :49:21. | :49:23. | |
Kingdom. So what we do is neither here nor there, unless there is this | :49:24. | :49:29. | |
global agreement. The immorality is that if you are inhibiting their | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
economic development by forcing them or persuading them to use expensive | :49:35. | :49:40. | |
energy instead of cheaper energy, which they are not going to do, then | :49:41. | :49:45. | |
you are going to condemn hundreds of millions of people in China and | :49:46. | :49:49. | |
India and in the developing world to premature death, unnecessary | :49:50. | :49:56. | |
disease, unnecessary poverty and destitution, that is what you are | :49:57. | :50:00. | |
doing if you get them to do that. It is positively immoral. It is | :50:01. | :50:06. | |
economic growth which will solve the problems in the Philippines and | :50:07. | :50:09. | |
elsewhere, and that means using cheapest form of energy. So you are | :50:10. | :50:15. | |
preventing growth in poorer parts of the world, which is immoral. We are | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
not doing that. What we are saying is that the developed world makes | :50:21. | :50:25. | |
the biggest cut in carbon emissions, and we need to help the poorer | :50:26. | :50:29. | |
countries get a cleaner form of development than we have had. Let's | :50:30. | :50:35. | |
take China, China is investing more in low carbon technology than any | :50:36. | :50:39. | |
other country in the world. It has woken up to the problems of | :50:40. | :50:42. | |
pollution and climate change, and I will tell you why. I have just been | :50:43. | :50:46. | |
to China. If you go to their big cities, the air pollution in places | :50:47. | :50:51. | |
like Beijing is dramatic, it is appalling. Nothing whatever to do | :50:52. | :50:58. | |
with climate change humble that is not what they think. They are going | :50:59. | :51:03. | |
to tackle this seriously. They are talking about building what they | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
call an ecological civilisation. They are moving hard and fast on | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
green growth, in order to try to change their whole model of growth, | :51:13. | :51:17. | |
so as not to damage the air and the environment and the climate. You are | :51:18. | :51:21. | |
behind the times, Nigel. If you look at China, other countries, even | :51:22. | :51:26. | |
America, at what President Obama is now doing with Secretary Ceri, they | :51:27. | :51:32. | |
are moving fast to try to reduce carbon emissions. That is why I | :51:33. | :51:35. | |
think we can get a global deal, which we desperately need. We need | :51:36. | :51:41. | |
to make sure that it enables our economies to grow, as well as | :51:42. | :51:47. | |
developing countries. In my industry, the Chinese are working on | :51:48. | :51:52. | |
low emission technology to sell to the rest it is not actually | :51:53. | :51:54. | |
happening in the remote villages of China. The Chinese plan is that by | :51:55. | :52:03. | |
2020, only 5% of their energy will be generated by wind power. And for | :52:04. | :52:11. | |
solar power, it is less than 1%. They have been building | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
coal-fired... If you look at the facts, they have been building | :52:17. | :52:27. | |
coal-fired power stations at the rate of pretty well worn a month for | :52:28. | :52:30. | |
several years, and they are continuing with that. These are not | :52:31. | :52:34. | |
being billed for decoration, they are for use. You have been taken for | :52:35. | :52:48. | |
a ride. There is a big change happening. Let me give you an | :52:49. | :52:54. | |
example of solar. The costs of solar have plummeted in recent years, | :52:55. | :52:58. | |
because China is manufacturing solar panels on a massive scale. It is | :52:59. | :53:04. | |
brilliant for villages in sub Saharan Africa which cannot connect | :53:05. | :53:06. | |
to the grid. They are going to have power much cheaper than some of the | :53:07. | :53:10. | |
fossil fuels which they currently use. They are going to save money | :53:11. | :53:27. | |
and go green. I am a materials scientist and I have been involved | :53:28. | :53:31. | |
in developing materials to move away from CFCs, to reduce greenhouse | :53:32. | :53:37. | |
warming within the atmosphere, and I would say that what we really need | :53:38. | :53:40. | |
to look at, whether we have got warming or not, and I do believe it | :53:41. | :53:45. | |
is happening, is that we reduce our need for fossil fuels, resource | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
efficiency. Nikki will have been developing her vehicles to have | :53:51. | :53:56. | |
light weight and parts which are efficient, and that is what we | :53:57. | :54:00. | |
should do. China are doing it. They know that is the way to go. Do you | :54:01. | :54:04. | |
agree with Nigel on this? And usually for me, I find myself | :54:05. | :54:10. | |
agreeing with Ed. We have scarce resources, why would we encourage | :54:11. | :54:16. | |
profligate use? Whether you think climate change is happening or not, | :54:17. | :54:19. | |
surely being more efficient with what we have got makes good business | :54:20. | :54:27. | |
sense? When the evidence is there that it is 95% likely that climate | :54:28. | :54:30. | |
change is man-made, I want to see Britain leading in this, because of | :54:31. | :54:34. | |
all the jobs that will come in renewable energy, from that | :54:35. | :54:38. | |
different way of living. I do not want Nikki Tuohy cycle more, I want | :54:39. | :54:42. | |
her to have a more sustainable way of living. I am sorry, Nigel, you | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
are the one who is confused, if you think we can carry on as we are now | :54:48. | :54:51. | |
without there being any consequences. Of course there will | :54:52. | :54:55. | |
be, and it is not just the people in the Philippines who will feel it. I | :54:56. | :55:06. | |
would like to hear from one or two more. We have got to keep doing it, | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
we cannot pretend that nothing is happening. Your turn. I was going to | :55:12. | :55:17. | |
say, everybody talks about emissions and industry, but farming accounts | :55:18. | :55:22. | |
for an enormous amount of greenhouse gases. Sheep in New Zealand, cows in | :55:23. | :55:28. | |
America, I remember learning it in geography GCSE. It is arrogant of | :55:29. | :55:32. | |
human beings to think that there is anything that we can do which will | :55:33. | :55:44. | |
destroy the planet. If it goes too far, the planet is going to have | :55:45. | :55:49. | |
enough, and it will just say goodbye to us. I am not sure whether you are | :55:50. | :55:58. | |
for cows and sheep or against them? I do not really have a political | :55:59. | :56:03. | |
stance on that! Up there, you, with the spectacles on. Greater use of | :56:04. | :56:12. | |
renewable energy is also about energy security, so we are not | :56:13. | :56:18. | |
vulnerable. All prices rose massively if you years ago, and then | :56:19. | :56:26. | |
fell again. Renewable energy is probably more stable in terms of its | :56:27. | :56:29. | |
cost. We have got a big audience here, to any of you side with what | :56:30. | :56:34. | |
Nigel Lawson has been saying? I agree totally. If you think that at | :56:35. | :56:40. | |
the moment, the ice cap in the Antarctic is as big as it has ever | :56:41. | :56:45. | |
been, and the planet, since the big bang, has been going in and out of | :56:46. | :56:50. | |
cold, hot, wet, drive. It does what it does. We are not the dinosaurs, | :56:51. | :56:56. | |
do we want to be extinct? We have got no choice. The planet will do | :56:57. | :57:03. | |
what it does, and we will have no influence. So you would take no | :57:04. | :57:09. | |
action on any front? One of those things you are talking about are | :57:10. | :57:12. | |
great, but we cannot affect the climate. We cannot affect the | :57:13. | :57:17. | |
change. Cleaning up the air is a great idea, renewables are a great | :57:18. | :57:23. | |
idea, none of that is wrong, but it is arrogant to think that we can | :57:24. | :57:28. | |
actually do anything to change the world. But scientists are telling us | :57:29. | :57:32. | |
that there is a good possibility that we are responsible, so we could | :57:33. | :57:36. | |
do things to limit the damage, is it not the right thing to do? The | :57:37. | :57:47. | |
science is telling us that it is 95% likely that man is responsible for | :57:48. | :57:51. | |
climate change, so therefore, we can do something about it. Why would we | :57:52. | :57:58. | |
not? And who is a coastal city? We are, in Portsmouth. Why risk this | :57:59. | :58:08. | |
city? Well, we started with Portsmouth, and we have come back to | :58:09. | :58:11. | |
Portsmouth. Next week we are going to be in Salford, in greater | :58:12. | :58:15. | |
Manchester. We have got a rather different kind of audience. We are | :58:16. | :58:18. | |
looking for people who are either under 30 or over 60, so that we can | :58:19. | :58:23. | |
see how to Geoffrey to generations you the big issues. So, we have got | :58:24. | :58:32. | |
on the panel, at the moment, the Health Secretary, Jeremy Hunt, and | :58:33. | :58:38. | |
the broadcaster Joan Bakewell. So, that is next week, in Salford. The | :58:39. | :58:42. | |
week after that we are in Falkirk, during the week when the Scottish | :58:43. | :58:48. | |
Government will be publishing its detailed case for independence. If | :58:49. | :58:51. | |
you want to come to Salford and you are the right side of 30 or 60, or | :58:52. | :58:56. | |
if you are any age and you want to come to Falkirk, you can apply via | :58:57. | :59:01. | |
our website or call the telephone number which is on the screen. The | :59:02. | :59:11. | |
debate continues meanwhile on BBC Radio 5 Live. Thanks to our panel, | :59:12. | :59:16. | |
and to all of you who came here. Good night. | :59:17. | :59:23. |