26/11/2013 Reporting Scotland


26/11/2013

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That is all from BBC News At Six, I will be back with more from

:00:00.:00:00.

Edinburgh at ten. Good evening from Edinburgh and to a

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special edition of Reporting Scotland. This White Paper is the

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most details group meant that any people have been offered anywhere in

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the world. Alex Salmond launches his blueprint for independence saying

:00:36.:00:38.

that it will deliver a fairer, more prosperous country for all. We'll be

:00:39.:00:42.

joined live by the First Minister to ask him about these plans. Fear not

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- it might be a document stretching to 670 pages but our political and

:00:47.:00:50.

business editors will be on hand to guide us through what all this means

:00:51.:00:59.

for you. When you have a big decision to make about the future,

:01:00.:01:03.

sometimes it helps to reflect on the past. Today we have met up with some

:01:04.:01:09.

teenagers who at the moment do not know how they will vote in the

:01:10.:01:16.

referendum. We will, of course, be right across the country hearing

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from you and what effect today will have on how you choose to vote. We

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will bring you reactions from Imams and dads, senior citizens and

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business owners. We've long had the coulds and the

:01:30.:01:33.

shoulds regarding independence. Today we got the how - 670 pages of

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"how" to be precise. This is the weighty White Paper the SNP hopes

:01:38.:01:41.

will be enough to win a referendum and create an independent Scotland.

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It describes its contents as a game changer. The unionist opposition

:01:45.:01:47.

says it contains nothing new. Over the next hour, with input from our

:01:48.:01:51.

experts as well as hearing live from the First Minister and from the

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leader of the Better Together campaign, Alistair Darling, you can

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begin to form your own view. First our political editor Brian Taylor

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joins me. Brian, a long-awaited publication. Do the contents live up

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to the promises? It does two things. It entrenches that argument, the

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debate about why, issues about the currency and the EU but it also

:02:19.:02:25.

opens a new front which is on the issue of the policies that could be

:02:26.:02:29.

implemented by an independent parliament, issues like welfare

:02:30.:02:35.

changes. We will have more on that in this programme, we will have the

:02:36.:02:39.

contention and controversy. What people want to hear first ball is

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what is in the White Paper. It is a vision of a new Scotland or it is a

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ruinous nightmare. You choose. Either way, this is the prospectus

:02:54.:02:58.

for independence. Scotland would run her own economy, defence and

:02:59.:03:02.

security with the Queen remaining head of state. And varnished, here

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is the offer. An independent Scotland would keep the pound in a

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UK Sterling zone. Ministers seen only to increase taxes. To boost

:03:13.:03:18.

growth they would cut corporation tax by 3% and halve air passenger

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due to. Pensions will be paid in full and on time. From 2016, new

:03:25.:03:33.

pensioners would get ?160 a week. And ministers are against increasing

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the pension age to 67. And welfare it has scrapped the bedroom tax and

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hold the roll-out of universal credit and personal independent

:03:44.:03:47.

payments. They maintain free higher education but the big idea, a

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significant increase in early learning and childcare, partly to

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encourage mothers back to work. On defence they would move Trident out

:03:58.:04:01.

of Scottish waters within the first independent parliament. They would

:04:02.:04:07.

join the NATO alliance as a non-nuclear member. Scotland would

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be a member of the European Union, negotiating terms. British citizens

:04:13.:04:17.

in Scotland and Scots born citizens elsewhere would be entitled to a

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Scottish passport. Scotland would have 70 - 90 embassies. Scots would

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not face a border travelling to England or Ireland. Scotland would

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welcome more income is willing to work. We would have our own James

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Bond, our own security and intelligence agency. There will be

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an energy fund to store up for the revenue and a 5% cut in fuel bills

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with direct funding of green levies. Finally there would be a Scottish

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broadcasting service but linked to the BBC so that you would still see

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Doctor Who and other hit shows. You will be detailed negotiations

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between Edinburgh and London and alongside that, with the EU and

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NATO. Scottish ministers said that could be wrapped up by March 2016.

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The first election into an independent Scotland would be on the

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5th of May 2016. It is a vision, a nightmare. The best of times the

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worst of times. It is your choice. The day began with the launch of the

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White Paper in Glasgow and ended here at the parliament in Edinburgh.

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Glenn Campbell followed its progress.

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In the weeks before Christmas you may not have been dreaming about I

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White Paper, but if you are interested in a blueprint for

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independent Scotland, copies are available. 20,000 have been

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printed, over 670 pages, ministers set out how they think an

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independent Scotland would work in the policies they would like to

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pursue. Scotland's future is now in Scotland's hands. The first Minister

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and his deputy face questions from home and abroad. Some Westminster

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-based correspondence ( link move their status. In reality, Mr Salmond

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knows he still has much work to do to win over a majority of voters.

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People will look at what we are saying about the reality of modern

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Scotland, how we can change the fundamental tea of childcare, then

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the bedroom tax and they will see the reason for voting for an

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independent Scotland. This guide is available online way you can search

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for answers. But take currency. The Scottish government sets out reasons

:07:08.:07:13.

why the rest of the UK would want to continue to share the pound but it

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would not say what would happen if the rest of the UK said no. Much

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would depend more detailed negotiation after the referendum.

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Those campaigning for Scotland to stay in the UK are unimpressed. If

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it were proper, it would have the price list that comes with the wish

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list. You talk about cuts in corporation tax but that means money

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has to come from somewhere else. In parliament, opposition leaders

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questioned the SNP's commitment to better childcare. Children denied

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the chance of proper care unless their parents vote the way the SNP

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want them to. If the Deputy first minister wants to prove this is not

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retail politics, can she tell us how much this policy would cost? The

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deputy first minister said expanding free childcare would eventually pay

:08:16.:08:24.

for itself. It is an ambitious, transformational policy that

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independence gives us the ability to do. The Queen is said independence

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would give Hollywood the chance to choose its priorities. I would love

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to find a childcare revolution by scrapping the weapons of war rather

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than cutting public services. The referendum will be held next year,

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18 months before the Scottish government's proposed date for

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independence. Voters have a forest of argument and analysis as they

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decide what direction Scotland should take. It is a big decision

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and the outcome either way is for keeps. Not just for Christmas.

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The Scottish government said today independence would make Scotland a

:09:19.:09:21.

stronger, fairer society. But can they convince voters they're right?

:09:22.:09:23.

Here's our business correspondent David Henderson.

:09:24.:09:35.

It is families like this one who will decide Scotland's future. Three

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generations with a vote in next year 's referendum so what issues are on

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their minds? I am looking to find out how much taxation will stay the

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same, will we pay extra for the services? Interest rates. Lots of

:09:53.:10:00.

questions. Today the Scottish government said voters would be

:10:01.:10:04.

better off in an independent Scotland. But that claim has been

:10:05.:10:09.

challenged. North Sea oil and gas would produce billions in revenue

:10:10.:10:14.

each year. But its future strength is in dispute. The Scottish

:10:15.:10:19.

government have a different view from the Institute of fiscal studies

:10:20.:10:23.

about how much money would be derived from the North Sea and ?4

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billion is about the margin. Today's paper is designed to appeal to Scots

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living up and down the country. In it the SMP government makes the case

:10:37.:10:40.

for transformational change but at the same time, it is looking to keep

:10:41.:10:44.

many of the popular things which voters might not want to give up.

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That is a hard balance to strike. So caution is a watchword for the SNP

:10:53.:10:56.

not least on a key plank of public spending, the welfare budget. Will

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be state pension be OK? Betty is retired and relies on her state

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pension. The SNP, says she will receive a more generous pension if

:11:14.:11:17.

Scotland votes for independence and it wants to scrap changes to the

:11:18.:11:22.

welfare system brought in by Westminster. If we look at what the

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Scottish government is saying, its language and its aspirations may

:11:27.:11:31.

read the aspirations of the UK government. If there is a point in

:11:32.:11:37.

being independent, it is surely to try to establish new principles and

:11:38.:11:43.

strike out in new directions. The SNP is hoping what they have offered

:11:44.:11:48.

is the right mix of baldness and caution but we will wait ten months

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before we know if that suits voters tastes.

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Let's look in a bit more detail at the contents of the White Paper.

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Joined again by Brian Taylor and our business and economy editor Douglas

:12:02.:12:08.

Fraser. Was there anything new today? It is a tumour nation of the

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16 policies -- cumulation. The issue of childcare stands out. That is

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open to criticism by others. Rivals will say that Alex Salmond is in

:12:26.:12:29.

charge of that issue now and could get on with it if he wants by

:12:30.:12:34.

enhancing it with in a devolved Scotland rather than wait for

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independence but the objective is to attract more people, not more

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mothers back to work and enhance the tax takings. At the moment they

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flood the way to the UK Treasury rather than coming to Scotland. In

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terms of the policies, many will not happen until not only is their

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independence but the real election of a SNP government. These are

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conditional policies and some are saying there should not be the

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equivalent of SNP intentions set out in the paper. People do not just

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want to hear about the issues of the structure of the how of

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independence. They want to hear what might happen for them. Within those

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terms, there is reasonable, as long as the paper stresses that Iraq

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alternatives available and that it is about the powers available to the

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people of Scotland to choose. But there will be huge arguments about

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this childcare offer. We hear the economy is the number-1 issue. Did

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they do enough within the paper to win that battle? They have to do

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three things. One is to figure out the public finances and whether they

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are safe in Scotland. The performance of the Scottish economy

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is no less bad as the UK as a whole and could stand alone therefore.

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They need to set how these powers could Bruce growth.

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They need to set how these powers also need to prove they are getting

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the economic fundamentals right, the access to trade within the EU and

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the currency issue. That is the issue from which they are receiving

:14:36.:14:40.

the most sustained questioning. The crucial thing they are trying to get

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through is reassurance that it will be OK. Lots of promises. Do the sums

:14:47.:14:59.

add up? We have had an illustration of that. They juggled money around a

:15:00.:15:07.

bit. They cut back on defence. Not as much as they could. They are

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promising to spend more on childcare as well. The crucial element in all

:15:13.:15:18.

of this would be oil and gas. They need to keep that sustained. Even

:15:19.:15:23.

their own advisers are telling them that may not be possible in the long

:15:24.:15:30.

term. Not to depend on oil and gas coming in at the same levels. And

:15:31.:15:37.

there is a pressure from the demographic change, and ageing

:15:38.:15:41.

population. Gentlemen, thank you very much.

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We'll be back in a few minutes where I'll be speaking to the First

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Minister Alex Salmond. But let's now get a summary of the rest of the

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news with Sally McNair in Glasgow. Thank you.

:15:55.:15:57.

Three teenagers who died in a car crash near North Berwick in East

:15:58.:16:01.

Lothian last night have been named. They were 16-year-old Josh

:16:02.:16:04.

James-Stewart, 15-year-old David Armstrong and Jenna Barbour who was

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18. A fourth teenager, 16-year-old Robbie Gemmell, remains in a serious

:16:09.:16:11.

condition in hospital. Lisa Summers reports.

:16:12.:16:14.

Fragments of metal and plastic thrown into the nearby field.

:16:15.:16:19.

Supporting wall partially demolished. The only signs of last

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night's crash. 18-year-old Jenna Barbour, 15-year-old Josh

:16:25.:16:33.

James-Stewart, 16-year-old David Armstrong or died at the scene.

:16:34.:16:37.

16-year-old Robbie Gemmell remains in hospital with serious injuries.

:16:38.:16:47.

The Peugeot 206 appears to have lost control and swerved into the wall.

:16:48.:16:52.

There was an investigation carried out last night. And we are piecing

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together all the evidence that we have, the condition of the vehicle,

:17:00.:17:03.

a mechanical investigation of the vehicle, witness statements. The

:17:04.:17:10.

three boys were students at Dunbar Grammar School. Jenna Barbour left

:17:11.:17:18.

in the summer. There are people crying and hugging each other.

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Others are putting a brave face on. But there is real devastation and

:17:23.:17:29.

shock in the school. This is a long, straight stretch of road. It is not

:17:30.:17:37.

clear what caused the car to veer out of control. Police will be

:17:38.:17:44.

looking at whether the weather was a factor in this accident that led to

:17:45.:17:50.

the loss of three young lives. The families of those involved must now

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deal with the tragic consequences of this crash.

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Police say a gun was deliberately fired at a building in Ratho Station

:18:02.:18:05.

around 9.30 last night. No-one was injured. The main A8 route into

:18:06.:18:09.

Edinburgh from the airport was sealed off in both directions

:18:10.:18:13.

overnight and this morning while a forensic examination was carried

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out, leading to long traffic tailbacks there and other major

:18:17.:18:20.

roads in the surrounding area. A new warning system to alert

:18:21.:18:23.

Stonehaven residents to flooding dangers has been launched. Dozens of

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homes were evacuated and properties damaged after the River Carron burst

:18:28.:18:31.

its banks last December. The new system will be operated by the

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Scottish Environment Protection Agency and will take data from a

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variety of sources, including Met Office forecasts.

:18:40.:18:42.

Now, a big night for Celtic. Let's get the latest on tonight's

:18:43.:18:46.

Champions League match, and the rest of the sport, from Rhona. Good

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evening. Celtic must beat Italian club AC

:18:49.:18:52.

Milan tonight to have any chance of reaching the next round of the

:18:53.:18:57.

Champions League. The Celtic manager Neil Lennon says his players will be

:18:58.:19:01.

tense, but not nervous, going into the must win match. But can they

:19:02.:19:06.

they do it? David Currie has been gathering opinion.

:19:07.:19:10.

With one win in four matches, Celtic are bottom of their champions league

:19:11.:19:13.

group. Tonight's match will determine if they have a future in

:19:14.:19:18.

this year's competition. I am sure there are many people here debating

:19:19.:19:23.

the Scottish Government's White Paper on independence. But others

:19:24.:19:28.

have other matters on their mind. They are asking if Celtic can do it

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tonight? Let's gather some opinion. Definitely. They have been pushing

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hard this year and trying hard. They are playing for pride. I think they

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will definitely do it. It is win or bust for us in terms of

:19:50.:19:53.

qualification. That may give the players are bit of extra oomph.

:19:54.:20:08.

At the moment, it is difficult for AC Milan. There are albums inside

:20:09.:20:14.

and outside the club. -- there are problems. A little bit tense. But

:20:15.:20:26.

this could be a big motivation for us. Unlike the outcome of next's

:20:27.:20:34.

referendum, your opinions do not count here. It is all down to the

:20:35.:20:41.

players. Those questions answered with all

:20:42.:20:49.

the build-up and commentary live on sports owned. -- Sportsound, Radio

:20:50.:21:02.

Scotland 810 medium wave, the guys are already on air. Plus live text

:21:03.:21:07.

on the BBC Sport Scotland website. Now, a look at what else is

:21:08.:21:11.

happening across Scottish sport. The Alloa manager Paul Hartley will hold

:21:12.:21:15.

talks with Inverness Caledonian Thistle about their vacant manager's

:21:16.:21:19.

position. But he's not the only candidate Caley Thistle will be

:21:20.:21:21.

talking to. The Aberdeen chairman Stewart Milne

:21:22.:21:24.

has revealed talks have re-opened with the city council about a move

:21:25.:21:30.

to a new stadium at Loirston Loch near Cove.

:21:31.:21:32.

Team Muirhead maintain their 100 per cent record with six wins out of six

:21:33.:21:37.

in the round robin stages of the European Championships. Earlier

:21:38.:21:41.

today they beat Italy. The Scots are joint top of the table with

:21:42.:21:43.

Switzerland. The former Ryder Cup player and

:21:44.:21:47.

captain Bernard Gallacher is to be honoured with a Lifetime Achievement

:21:48.:21:51.

award at the Scottish Golf Awards in February.

:21:52.:21:54.

Andy Murray is the overwhelming bookies' favourite to win the BBC

:21:55.:21:57.

Sports personality of the year. The short list for this year's title

:21:58.:22:02.

will be revealed at seven o'clock. And there are more sports stories

:22:03.:22:07.

plus all the latest news, 24 hours a day on BBC Sport Scotland's website.

:22:08.:22:12.

And that is the White Paper of today's sport.

:22:13.:22:14.

Thank you. Let's get the latest on the weather.

:22:15.:22:24.

Good evening. It has been a mild day across the country. We will see some

:22:25.:22:32.

patchy rain or drizzle across western areas. We are already seeing

:22:33.:22:36.

that at the moment. Fairly misty conditions here. Holding onto.

:22:37.:22:42.

Conditions across the Northern Isles. It will be quite breezy

:22:43.:22:46.

across northern Scotland and the West Coast as well. Further inland,

:22:47.:22:50.

lighter winds and temperatures on them mild side. In eastern Scotland,

:22:51.:22:59.

a dip in temperatures. Tomorrow starts off on a dull, damp note

:23:00.:23:04.

across western Scotland, it's an pieces of rain around. But in the

:23:05.:23:08.

east, driver some brightness coming through. Ivy afternoon, we should

:23:09.:23:15.

see some brighter PDFs for the West. -- greater periods. It will brighten

:23:16.:23:27.

up across the far north-west and Northern Isles. Those temperatures

:23:28.:23:32.

staying in double figures everywhere. The sunshine coming

:23:33.:23:35.

through but the Grampian area, Angus and across Fife and the Edinburgh

:23:36.:23:44.

area. Holding onto those mild temperatures. As we head into the

:23:45.:23:49.

evening, we start to lose the rain and drizzle across western areas. We

:23:50.:23:53.

are looking at the drying out for much of the country with even a

:23:54.:23:58.

touch of frost. This weather front crosses the country on Thursday,

:23:59.:24:04.

introducing some rain. Another one pulls in, introducing cold air.

:24:05.:24:09.

Those states are striped with some brightness. -- Thursday starts dry.

:24:10.:24:22.

Thank you. Welcome back. Today, the SNP launched their long-awaited

:24:23.:24:45.

White Paper on independence. Over the next half hour or so, we'll

:24:46.:24:49.

learn more about its contents, we'll speak live to Alistair Darling, the

:24:50.:24:53.

former Chancellor, who's leading the unionists' campaign, we'll get the

:24:54.:24:57.

view from across the border and we'll go round the country to get

:24:58.:25:02.

your first impressions about what is on offer - everything from pensions,

:25:03.:25:07.

childcare to business and beyond. But first, I'm joined by the First

:25:08.:25:10.

Minister Alex Salmond. Mr Salmond you described today as a

:25:11.:25:14.

game change in the independence debate.

:25:15.:25:17.

If you had to pick out one policy from that White Paper that

:25:18.:25:21.

encapsulates that, what would it be? The transformation on childcare on

:25:22.:25:25.

offer in the White Paper. That gets the debate on how you get to

:25:26.:25:30.

independence, but what you do with that independence, what you can do

:25:31.:25:34.

for pensioners, for childcare, getting the Scottish economy moving.

:25:35.:25:38.

That is the game changer. What we can do for Scotland with

:25:39.:25:42.

independence. But you can offer that in childcare. It is an issue you are

:25:43.:25:49.

in control of. It is already in your gift. We have gone from 400 hours to

:25:50.:25:54.

600 hours in the current bill. But to go to that transformation, we

:25:55.:26:00.

need access to the additional revenues it will generate. It could

:26:01.:26:10.

generate an extra 700 million -- ?700 million a year. If we were

:26:11.:26:16.

operating at Swedish levels. Under the current system, that would

:26:17.:26:22.

disappear down to London. Under independence, it comes into the

:26:23.:26:31.

Scottish Exchequer. Two key issues. You say you will keep the pound and

:26:32.:26:36.

there will be seamless entry into the EU. Downing Street say you can

:26:37.:26:48.

forget about keeping the pound, and any new country would have to

:26:49.:26:53.

reapply for European neighbour ship. -- membership. They are arguments

:26:54.:27:03.

that keeping our pound, which is our currency as well as London's, is

:27:04.:27:08.

good for Scotland and the rest of the UK. It is good for Scotland and

:27:09.:27:16.

the rest of the UK. That quotation from the European Commissioner does

:27:17.:27:21.

not contradict what is enough White Paper. -- what is in the White

:27:22.:27:31.

Paper. I think they can be secure about Scotland's position in Europe.

:27:32.:27:36.

There is a question about Europe. The Tories say they will have an in

:27:37.:27:44.

out referendum after the next general election. The yes campaign

:27:45.:27:50.

has been trailing in the polls, have you done enough today to overturn

:27:51.:27:56.

that? We were 9% behind at the weekend. It is not just about

:27:57.:28:07.

today. It is about what you do with the White Paper. How do we take that

:28:08.:28:13.

message to the streets of Scotland. How we articulate that vision. The

:28:14.:28:19.

thing I have learned is up in a positive campaign comes up against a

:28:20.:28:23.

negative campaign, the positive campaign will win. Today, we have

:28:24.:28:28.

got down to the issues that matter to Scots. Childcare, pensions, but

:28:29.:28:32.

positively -- that positive vision of the future that will win it.

:28:33.:28:42.

Thank you. You're watching an extended edition

:28:43.:28:46.

of Reporting Scotland. As we've just heard, the First Minister says that

:28:47.:28:49.

independence will change Scotland for the better. In a moment, we'll

:28:50.:28:55.

hear from the man who says that this prospectus is nothing more than a

:28:56.:29:00.

wish list. And what of the voters? The referendum next September will

:29:01.:29:03.

give 16-year-olds a vote on Scotland's future. Our reporter

:29:04.:29:07.

Aileen Clarke has been talking to five teenagers who will be casting

:29:08.:29:11.

their ballot, but who are unsure as yet how they will vote. With the

:29:12.:29:16.

White Paper launch taking over the futuristic Science Centre, they met

:29:17.:29:20.

up down the road at Glasgow's oldest museum.

:29:21.:29:22.

When making big decisions about the future it's often helpful to reflect

:29:23.:29:27.

on the past, so we're here at Kelvingrove Museum to meet some

:29:28.:29:31.

teenagers who, so far, don't know which way they will vote in

:29:32.:29:37.

September. He was King of Scotland. He fought for independence. But he

:29:38.:29:46.

did not win. Questions. How much will we have to pay off? We do not

:29:47.:29:52.

want to start a new country with debt. Health care and education,

:29:53.:29:57.

will that still be free? On state pensions, how will that work?

:29:58.:30:04.

Hot from the White Paper launch, some cramming for these students.

:30:05.:30:15.

Lots of points about how we could stay independent because of trade. I

:30:16.:30:22.

feel that they have been vague and what they have told us. A

:30:23.:30:28.

constitution about how we want things to run, but the Queen would

:30:29.:30:33.

still be head of state. They would like to see over 1000 hours being

:30:34.:30:39.

given out a year in childcare, free of charge. I thought that was an

:30:40.:30:51.

interesting initiative. It does make me doubt it because it is so

:30:52.:30:57.

positive. You think, what is the negative because they don't mention

:30:58.:31:03.

it a lot. Has today's paper help them form their views on that

:31:04.:31:09.

referendum vote next year? I am still undecided. Even though it was

:31:10.:31:16.

positive, it has not changed my mind. I am more towards the no side.

:31:17.:31:24.

One key area was the defence and how they would cut that. That will have

:31:25.:31:31.

an economic strain. A lot of things reassured me and I am leaning

:31:32.:31:44.

towards the yes vote. I feel the White Paper has swayed my decision

:31:45.:31:52.

towards no because of the aspects of nuclear weapons. There is that

:31:53.:31:59.

constant doubt in my mind. This explains it so you understand why

:32:00.:32:03.

people have those opinions. It has helped me. Our teenagers arrived

:32:04.:32:11.

undecided and they have left they say better informed but they still

:32:12.:32:15.

do not know how they will cast their vote in September. They are

:32:16.:32:18.

promising to do lots more reading before then.

:32:19.:32:24.

One man who has awaited the publication of the White Paper

:32:25.:32:27.

almost as eagerly as Alex Salmon is the leader of the Better Together

:32:28.:32:30.

campaign, former Chancellor Alistair Darling who's with me now. The

:32:31.:32:39.

central plank of the White Paper is Scotland keeps the pound. What would

:32:40.:32:45.

be wrong with that? It would depend on whether you could negotiate with

:32:46.:32:50.

the rest of the UK. They would have to agree whether they would pull

:32:51.:32:58.

your sovereignty, the tow your budget and you have to agree the

:32:59.:33:02.

terms and conditions, for example, how could you vary and economic

:33:03.:33:07.

policy north and south of the border. We have a lot of economic

:33:08.:33:15.

integration within the EU which is calling for more political

:33:16.:33:22.

integration. When we speak to viewers, one of the biggest

:33:23.:33:26.

criticisms is they say they cannot get a clear answer, clear response

:33:27.:33:33.

from either party. So far on the pound from the Better Together

:33:34.:33:38.

group, they say it is unlikely. If it will not happen, why can't you

:33:39.:33:44.

save the pound, not a chance. It would depend on the position. At the

:33:45.:33:51.

moment we have a UK government. If you vote for independence you will

:33:52.:33:57.

have two separate governments. They will be doing the negotiation and

:33:58.:34:01.

they have to decide whether they will enter an agreement whereby they

:34:02.:34:05.

pull their sovereignty and each has to agree their own budgets and all

:34:06.:34:11.

the terms and conditions. It is a nonstarter because I cannot see why

:34:12.:34:16.

either side would want to enter into a straitjacket which would mean they

:34:17.:34:22.

would be locked into each other as economic policies without a

:34:23.:34:26.

political union. It would be up to those then independent governments

:34:27.:34:32.

coming to agreement. Why throw away what we have at the moment with the

:34:33.:34:36.

opportunities that come from firms that can sell south of the border

:34:37.:34:43.

without impediment. They have the single currency, single market, why

:34:44.:34:49.

throw that away? What can you offer people who are unhappy with the

:34:50.:34:53.

status quo? They want something more. I don't want a Tory

:34:54.:35:02.

government, coalition government but what I am certain about when I look

:35:03.:35:08.

at what is good for Scotland, is the opportunities that come from having

:35:09.:35:12.

a larger market for firms, businesses, that is what creates

:35:13.:35:18.

jobs. The opportunities and securities that come from being a

:35:19.:35:23.

larger country. Like the fact we know we have to make the cost of a

:35:24.:35:28.

rising elderly population at a time when North Sea oil revenues are

:35:29.:35:33.

going down. You can spread that burden over a larger population. We

:35:34.:35:41.

are throwing that away. Is not the problem with disparate groups within

:35:42.:35:46.

Better Together is they do not speak with a single voice. You are not

:35:47.:35:53.

offering a message. What ever felt happens next year is not the status

:35:54.:35:58.

code but Better Together is not a political party. The Nationalists

:35:59.:36:04.

are putting forward a proposition that says we should leave the UK and

:36:05.:36:08.

they have promised today everything you want but at the same time they

:36:09.:36:13.

are saying nothing about those changes. We are saying we are

:36:14.:36:22.

entitled to question that possibly should -- proposition because we do

:36:23.:36:29.

not believe it. Yes in terms of the politics, what the political parties

:36:30.:36:33.

offer at elections subsequent to that, they do have differences but

:36:34.:36:38.

on this one issue, are we Better Together as part of the UK, then I

:36:39.:36:47.

think the answer is yes. Thank you. It's early days but what do people

:36:48.:36:50.

around Scotland think about what's been set out today? First we go to

:36:51.:36:54.

Inverness and Craig Anderson who's been talking to pensioners.

:36:55.:37:04.

The fact is that Scots are getting older. But the proportion of elderly

:37:05.:37:10.

people within the population is actually increasing so today, I took

:37:11.:37:15.

myself off to a senior citizens group to hear their hopes and fears

:37:16.:37:19.

on the day the White paper was published. Our own parliament is

:37:20.:37:31.

being sympathetic to pensioners so I have no worries that way because we

:37:32.:37:35.

seem to get more than pensioners in England. I cannot see how they can

:37:36.:37:41.

afford to pay pensions at the same level they are doing now. Things

:37:42.:37:51.

will carry on the same as they are just now with the free home care and

:37:52.:38:01.

for their medication. I wonder about the pension, whether it has been

:38:02.:38:06.

thought into. Where we have our own money, own passports? Scotland can

:38:07.:38:13.

afford anything it wants to do but it has to make its own decision to

:38:14.:38:19.

do that. There we have the difference of views here in

:38:20.:38:23.

Inverness, but that is the picture as pensioners see it here.

:38:24.:38:30.

More provision of childcare in an independent Scotland is one of the

:38:31.:38:33.

central pledges outlined today. Our reporter Steven Duff has been to a

:38:34.:38:37.

nursery in Aberdeen to find out what parents think.

:38:38.:38:43.

Playtime at the rocking horse nursery in Aberdeen. The Scottish

:38:44.:38:49.

government 's White Paper not on the minds of these children. Childcare

:38:50.:38:54.

is a costly business. I work full-time, my husband works as well.

:38:55.:39:00.

He is a bit more flexible which allows us to send the kids to

:39:01.:39:04.

nursery in the morning but it forces us to only send them in the morning

:39:05.:39:10.

because the cost is prohibitive. My wife works, she is a professional,

:39:11.:39:17.

works 30 hours a week. Pretty much her salary is wiped out by the cost

:39:18.:39:25.

of childcare. The White Paper sets out how by the end of the second

:39:26.:39:29.

Parliament in an independent Scotland, close to full-time free

:39:30.:39:35.

childcare would be in place. Does that mean more taxes? On an

:39:36.:39:42.

individual level it is a lot of money so the benefits of that money

:39:43.:39:46.

gets returned to the economy. In Norway, Sweden, Finland, childcare

:39:47.:39:53.

and encouraging both parents to work is a priority and those are

:39:54.:39:59.

societies where family is protected. The Better Together

:40:00.:40:04.

campaign points out the Scottish government already has the power to

:40:05.:40:08.

increase free childcare provision. Let's turn our attention to business

:40:09.:40:11.

now and particularly the proposals for Scotland's small and

:40:12.:40:14.

medium-sized companies. The White Paper outlines ways in which their

:40:15.:40:17.

costs might be cut along with a reduction in red tape. Andrew

:40:18.:40:20.

Anderson joins us now from Dundee where he's been seeking reaction.

:40:21.:40:29.

There is a specific section in the White Paper aimed at small and

:40:30.:40:34.

medium businesses. It talks about continuing the small business

:40:35.:40:38.

bonus, a scheme that reduces or eliminates business rates for some

:40:39.:40:44.

companies. There is also talk of looking at the juicing employers

:40:45.:40:47.

National Insurance contribution. I have been speaking to the owners of

:40:48.:40:52.

three small companies for their reaction. It is something that has

:40:53.:40:57.

to be studied in detail. It is made to look attractive to as wide a base

:40:58.:41:04.

as possible but everything has to be looked at in detail. On the face of

:41:05.:41:10.

it, with regards to small businesses, it looks attractive. I

:41:11.:41:16.

believe there will be less burden on us as far as demands from the

:41:17.:41:20.

government. This will be very beneficial. The red tape, we have to

:41:21.:41:31.

pay others to deal with that. My job as a hairdresser. Can the country

:41:32.:41:41.

afforded? I have lived in Norway and it is a wonderful place as long as

:41:42.:41:44.

you have lots of money but not everyone does. I am scared that

:41:45.:41:51.

either as a business owner or resident, it will cost us a fortune

:41:52.:41:58.

and I want more answers. The White Paper also makes a commitment to

:41:59.:42:03.

increasing the minimum wage by at least the rate of inflation and that

:42:04.:42:07.

would impact on employers payroll but the companies I spoke to said

:42:08.:42:11.

they had no problem with that, although one did say he would expect

:42:12.:42:15.

youngsters to make a full contribution in the workplace from

:42:16.:42:20.

day one. But all told me they would study the White Paper in detail in

:42:21.:42:31.

the coming days. One of the main aims of today's White Paper is to

:42:32.:42:34.

win over the "don't knows". Polls have consistently suggested the

:42:35.:42:37.

unionist campaign has a substantial lead. John Curtice is Professor of

:42:38.:42:40.

Politics at Strathclyde University. What did this White Paper have to

:42:41.:42:48.

do? There were two things. The first was to try to dispel the uncertainty

:42:49.:42:52.

that seems to surround the independence project so fell. They

:42:53.:42:59.

have not said what will happen as a result and almost say to themselves

:43:00.:43:04.

this seems too much as a risk. This white paper needed to create a sense

:43:05.:43:09.

of certainty. The second was to try to persuade Scots that independence

:43:10.:43:19.

would not -- would result in a strong and stronger Scotland. So far

:43:20.:43:22.

opinion polls are saying this seems to be the thing that matters to

:43:23.:43:28.

voters and however those who are pessimistic about the consequences

:43:29.:43:34.

of independence, economically, outnumbered those who are

:43:35.:43:42.

optimistic. It has not achieved those aims. Certainly on the

:43:43.:43:48.

economy, yes the White Paper does tell us that Scotland would over the

:43:49.:43:53.

longer run the stronger economically but there is also in this and

:43:54.:43:56.

acknowledgement that although Scotland might be relatively better

:43:57.:44:01.

off in terms of its public finances in the short-term, it would still be

:44:02.:44:05.

in deficit, we would still spend more than we are getting in terms of

:44:06.:44:13.

taxes. This paper is very conservative in what it offers

:44:14.:44:19.

voters. Yes it offers childcare and pensions but there was not much on

:44:20.:44:25.

public services. There isn't any offer to the ordinary voter of a tax

:44:26.:44:31.

cut. It is not clear that in the short run the Scottish government is

:44:32.:44:36.

going to give voters more money in their pockets and therefore it is

:44:37.:44:40.

not clear that people will say they are better off. The problem the

:44:41.:44:45.

government faces is that when we read this paper, much of what it

:44:46.:44:51.

would like to do relies on the cooperation of the UK government. It

:44:52.:44:55.

is the currency you have been talking about, Scotland's membership

:44:56.:45:01.

of the EU. How universities are funded, how the National dealt is

:45:02.:45:07.

handled. The Scottish government has to come to negotiations with either

:45:08.:45:17.

the UK and EU. It might force the UK government to be more frank but the

:45:18.:45:22.

truth is, because the answers are not entirely in the gift of the

:45:23.:45:26.

Scottish government to give on these issues, I am not sure that the

:45:27.:45:32.

uncertainty will be displayed. What does the no campaign have to do? The

:45:33.:45:42.

first thing they have to watch is they have to avoid being accused of

:45:43.:45:47.

being deliberately obfuscated dash of free skating. -- obfuscating. I

:45:48.:46:02.

have heard Alistair Darling not give quite clear answers today. Next

:46:03.:46:11.

year, in conferences, Unionist parties have to be more clear about

:46:12.:46:21.

what Scotland might be offered post the referendum vote. At the moment,

:46:22.:46:32.

I think the weakness of the no side is that it is not clear to Scotland

:46:33.:46:39.

what a no vote would mean. The no argument is arguably less clear than

:46:40.:46:43.

the yes argument. We've heard so far about the

:46:44.:46:46.

potential implications of independence for Scotland and for

:46:47.:46:50.

Scots, but what about the implications for England? Although

:46:51.:46:53.

voters south of the border don't have a say in next year's

:46:54.:46:57.

referendum, it will impact on them. Our Westminster correspondent Tim

:46:58.:47:01.

Reid has been to Runnymede in Surrey to gauge opinion.

:47:02.:47:04.

A tranquil piece of English countryside set in the heart of the

:47:05.:47:08.

busiest commuter belt in Britain. But this is not any old spot. It was

:47:09.:47:14.

public meetings here which paved the way the England's 13th century

:47:15.:47:18.

parliament. In 1215, King John signed the Mike Carter -- Magna

:47:19.:47:35.

Carta. A perfect setting . I feel the Scots will have problems

:47:36.:47:41.

economically. I think we would all be weaker for it. The pooling of

:47:42.:47:46.

talents of the whole of the United Kingdom is important for our

:47:47.:47:49.

success. The Scots have been successful in a lot of areas. 500

:47:50.:48:00.

years after the Magna Carta If you've just come in or

:48:01.:48:07.

I do not know whether it would make massive difference to England as

:48:08.:48:15.

such. I just think it is a sad thing that after being united for a so

:48:16.:48:22.

long, it becomes fragmented. I think it is up to the Scottish people. It

:48:23.:48:28.

is up to them. People here were concerned about the economic and

:48:29.:48:32.

practical implications of a break-up of the union. What the rest of the

:48:33.:48:37.

United Kingdom would be called and what would happen to the union flag.

:48:38.:48:42.

There are military issues, the harbours and submarine bases up

:48:43.:48:46.

north. North Sea oil. It is hugely complex. I would think the average

:48:47.:48:57.

Scot, how will they know what proportion of the national debt are

:48:58.:49:03.

they going to take on? Those are all questions which politicians will

:49:04.:49:07.

seek to query and answer between now and polling day. But do English

:49:08.:49:12.

voters really care? English indifference to the union is

:49:13.:49:15.

probably the greatest threat to the union. Not directly because English

:49:16.:49:23.

people do not have a vote. File voters living in Scotland get to

:49:24.:49:28.

choose their nation state, those in England have to watch and wait and

:49:29.:49:32.

do with any potential consequences for the rest of the United Kingdom

:49:33.:49:41.

after that. If you've just come in or you'd like

:49:42.:49:46.

to take your time digesting today's events, you can get full details of

:49:47.:49:50.

the Scottish Government's White Paper on Independence, including a

:49:51.:49:54.

summary of each area by BBC experts, by visiting our website.

:49:55.:49:57.

Julie Peacock can tell us more. At 680 pages long, not everyone will

:49:58.:50:04.

want to read this from cover to cover. But our online team have been

:50:05.:50:18.

crunching the details day. The redder the story, the more popular

:50:19.:50:24.

it is. There has been more than 1 million hits to the BBC website

:50:25.:50:29.

today. Elsewhere online, this is proving a big story. The web page

:50:30.:50:36.

where you can get these has had a huge amount of traffic, of people

:50:37.:50:40.

trying to download their own versions. If you want the latest

:50:41.:50:44.

news and analysis, remember to come here.

:50:45.:50:51.

And for some final thoughts we're now joined by two political

:50:52.:50:55.

commentators, our very own Brian Taylor, and Nick Robinson.

:50:56.:51:01.

What is your analysis, Brian? It is striking that it opens up a new

:51:02.:51:06.

front in this debate. We have had a structural debate about issues like

:51:07.:51:11.

the currency, we will certainly have that again, it is germane and

:51:12.:51:18.

salient debate. There is this new issue, and enhanced issue of the

:51:19.:51:25.

offer of what they would do with regard to welfare. Particularly this

:51:26.:51:30.

offer on childcare. This opens up the debate on two France. On

:51:31.:51:43.

childcare, if -- on two fronts. Alex Salmond is arguing that the tax

:51:44.:51:53.

revenues , if they were to do this now, would go to Westminster. Can it

:51:54.:52:02.

be afforded? Could the money be found? That opens up into the wider

:52:03.:52:08.

economy. Alex Salmond believes the welfare of is the way of going over

:52:09.:52:17.

their heads of his opponents to the issues that concern the voters. And

:52:18.:52:25.

if you from the international press? I came over domestic media badge,

:52:26.:52:33.

but some of my colleagues were given international media badge is. What I

:52:34.:52:38.

have noticed is the town. There was the chance that this would feel like

:52:39.:52:43.

the birth of a new nation, or the first looked at us can be new baby.

:52:44.:52:52.

-- first look at the scan. But it was a low-key, corporate sales job.

:52:53.:53:00.

Almost a rebranding exercise. It was as much about reassurance to

:53:01.:53:04.

voters. I think all sides in this argument now that there is a group

:53:05.:53:10.

that have made up their minds in favour, or against it, and there is

:53:11.:53:16.

a very a group in the middle. What Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon are

:53:17.:53:21.

seeing is that we have the answers, being reassuring. In one sense,

:53:22.:53:30.

everything changes, but on the other hand, all those things you might

:53:31.:53:37.

worry about, will the Queen still be there? Will EastEnders still be

:53:38.:53:42.

there? Don't worry, it will Steve the same. The debate now is whether

:53:43.:53:49.

the Better Together campaign can pull that apart. What about the

:53:50.:53:57.

thinking in Downing Street? There is as much chance of you hearing

:53:58.:54:02.

tonight from an English conservative, Southern voice from

:54:03.:54:07.

Downing Street as of me playing the bagpipes. They do not want to see a

:54:08.:54:14.

single word. They want this to be a Scottish debate. They know that it

:54:15.:54:20.

suits Scottish -- it suits Alex Salmond if he is portrayed in any

:54:21.:54:25.

other way. But that appeal on welfare, I agree with Brian on that.

:54:26.:54:34.

Is the ball now in the Court of the Better Together campaign? The better

:54:35.:54:40.

together campaign will be casting doubt on the offer on welfare, can

:54:41.:54:48.

it be afforded? The offer of joining the European Union, but what would

:54:49.:54:55.

happen if there were objections? Reassurance comes from the Scottish

:54:56.:55:00.

government. Alex Salmond could paint his face blue, cry Freedom and with

:55:01.:55:07.

a kilt, but would only attract a certain section of the audience that

:55:08.:55:12.

are already committed. What he has to have is a pragmatic campaign as

:55:13.:55:20.

well as one about passion. For many, the idea of Scottish

:55:21.:55:28.

independence is a given. What he has to do is make the economic,

:55:29.:55:32.

pragmatic argument and address those concerns, and those concerns are

:55:33.:55:38.

real. They are down to earth economic concerns. Not concerns

:55:39.:55:45.

about the European Union. They are concerns about welfare, pensions.

:55:46.:55:55.

The opposition may feel that it is bogus, in I get it -- in accurate,

:55:56.:56:02.

but I think they are concerned that it may be populist. It is a battle

:56:03.:56:08.

between two agendas. I thought it was very striking that when the

:56:09.:56:16.

first minister was being asked about big issues, he wanted to talk about

:56:17.:56:28.

jobs and childcare. It will be a tussle between the two agendas as

:56:29.:56:36.

both sides try to say we are talking about the thing that really matters.

:56:37.:56:43.

In the end, if you had a hope that he would get all the answers here,

:56:44.:56:48.

you were always going to be disappointed. This is a debate and

:56:49.:56:55.

there are answers on both sides. And you can see an extended

:56:56.:56:59.

interview with the First Minister on Newsnight Scotland tonight on BBC

:57:00.:57:03.

Two at 11 o'clock. And that's all from Holyrood on yet another

:57:04.:57:07.

significant milestone on the road to the referendum. If you haven't yet

:57:08.:57:12.

made up your mind, the good news is you still have another 295 days left

:57:13.:57:19.

to do so. From everyone on the Reporting Scotland team around the

:57:20.:57:20.

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