21/10/2012 Sunday Politics Scotland


21/10/2012

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Good morning and welcome to Sunday Politics. After another shambolic

:00:39.:00:43.

week for the Government, it is fight back time. Their chosen turf

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- crimes. Ortis surprise! The Prime Minister is about to get tough on

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criminals and the elections for new police and crime commissioners are

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just three wicks away. We will talk to Theresa May about all of that.

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And about her decision not extradite Gary McKinnon to the

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United States. And with tougher regulation of the

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press, could that be good news for celebrities who abuse their fame?

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In light of the Jimmy Savile affair, Rupert Murdoch argues that point.

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But then he would, wouldn't he? We also talked to Neil Wallis.

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And another week in the thick of it for the Government. Andrew Mitchell

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and the energy policy sat -- shambles has put a smile on

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And on Sunday Politics Scotland: We'll be at the SNP conference

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asking the First Minister, Alex Salmond, what yes to NATO but no to

:01:43.:01:53.
:01:53.:01:53.

Apology for the loss of subtitles for 1700 seconds

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We have a first class lead at the moment and he is dealing with the

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issues very well indeed. A first- class Prime Minister. Home

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Secretary, thank you for being with us this morning.

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Now, the Jimmy Savile revelations have reignited the debate about the

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prospect of stronger price regulation. The question - will

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celebrities with secrets like Jimmy Savile be able to sleep more

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soundly if the press is cowled? We will debate the issue more widely

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but first, this. They are actors but the words are

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from working journalists. This is a new play about the press by the

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National Theatre of Scotland and the London Review of Books called

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Inquirer, and, yes, there is a real-life scene -- a scene about

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that real life Enquirer... Levison, what do we think will

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happen? Look at Hillsborough! always said from the beginning I do

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not want my report to end up on a dusty shelf! Earlier this year,

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Lord Justice Leveson heard from a host of witnesses who said their

:31:30.:31:34.

lives had been blighted by the media. He it just felt like such an

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intrusion... To such a sense of invasion, and my husband said, no,

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we have asked all of you to stay away. The editor said, we're going

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to use it anyway. Lord Justice Leveson is de polishing his script

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which will be published later in the year. One theory is he will

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recommend a new press regulator with the force of the law behind it.

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There is also a sense that the inquiry is already having an effect

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on real Life newspaper offices. think you can see examples way you

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might have expected there to have been more press coverage than there

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was. I take the example of Gary Speed, the Welsh soccer captain.

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You can have all kinds of speculation as to why he killed

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himself so that may be an example. What about speculation on the front

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pages now? For some, the story on Jimmy Savile is a warning of the

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Government being too tough on the price. It has been said the likes

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of Jimmy Savile will be further protected if we don't fight Cameron.

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So the fear is the press will be too scared to probe celebrities

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suspected of wrongdoing. The press is looking for any occasion where

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it can put forward reasonably tighter examples in the public

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interest. The cast and crew are going on tour to Belfast, but the

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big question is, where is the media heading after all of this?

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And Anne Diamond and former News of the World executive editor, Neil

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Wallis, joined me to go head to Before we begin, I should point out

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Neil Wallis is currently on police bail as part of the phone-hacking

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investigation so we cannot pose any questions related to that

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investigation. You can answer this, though. Why do you say regulation

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of the press would be good news for the Jimmy Saviles of this world but

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you never exposed this? I find that rather a fascinating question

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because what you're saying is, it will be easier if we put more

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restrictions on you. There are plenty of restrictions already in

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this country and frankly, libel and privacy is a huge stick with which

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the press can be beaten. The truth of the matter is, you take on

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somebody like Jimmy Savile and you try to expose him, that is a big,

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big calculation. So there is enough regulation already to inhibit

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investigative journalism? I think bringing to be -- grinning Jimmy

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Savile again after the Leveson Inquiry is a red herring. I do not

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see anything wrong at all with the price being asked, now that they

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have proved themselves of 25, 30, even more years of the inability to

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suffer Gillett, the argument now is of some sort of statutory

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regulation. -- inability to self regulate. Let's give it a go.

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problem with bringing statute in, it is a bit like losing your

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virginity. You know... You can only lose it wants. Once you let the

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politicians get their hands on the Leeds of authority whose job it is

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to hold legislative into account, they will get the press that they

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want rather than the press they deserve. I find it interesting use

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the word authority because that is what we have not had. If you are an

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owner like Rupert Murdoch it has been about money and about the

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desire to sell stories that sell newspapers. It has been about

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profit. If you have been in your position where you have been quite

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high up editorially, it is about power. Not about authority. What we

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do need now is some sort of press which actually does have integrity.

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You have had huge power, as Anne Diamond says, but you have been

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interested in titillating gossip about celebrities rather than

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uncovering real role going like Jimmy Savile. Sometimes. Lots of

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times. No. Lots of times we have exposed a whole variety of very

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unsavoury activities amongst politicians. Now, do you believe we

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should about those sorts of politicians to decide the sort of

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press we have? Just this week we have the Telegraph story about how

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MPs of renting out their own flats to each other, then hiring flats at

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the tax payer's expense. And who revealed that? The press revealed

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that. Yes, and if you believe we have too much regulation, those

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other kind of stories they will put in. They will put rules in place to

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stop that coming out. I have worked in journalism and media all my

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life... It hasn't stopped. It does a lot of investigative work.

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didn't do the expenses scandal. They have done plenty of other very

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good journalism. Yes, they have. The fundamental weakness of your

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argument is you keep saying any sort of regulation that is not self

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regulation, which, by the way, has not worked, is a form of gagging

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the press. It doesn't have to mean that. If but the broadcasters did

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hacking. The breasted hacking as well. But the point is, and you

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know this well -- the press did hacking. It is still within the

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bounds of statutory regulation. Has it worked? No, it has not. You were

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angry at Sun when you published a photograph of Anne Diamond's son's

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funeral for which you did not have permission. And then you argued it

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was part of a cot death campaign. I think most people would argue it is

:38:15.:38:25.
:38:25.:38:25.

good you should not do that. This is an unfortunate example because

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her memory of this and my memory, and I was involved in this heavily,

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are simply different. It might be because of time but how she has

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recalled what happened is very different from how I recalled it

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but I do remember that the campaign we did together that she did with

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Sun and talked about just a year ago as one of the highlights of her

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career was that it was enormously effective. It was an example of

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where the press can do real good but regulation would not have

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stopped that either. I think we need tighter regulation. I think 20

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years ago I would not have argued for statutory regulation but having

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given experience that I and others have had, I think maybe now has

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come the time. Let's try it and see. Do you think this is what Lord

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Leveson will come out with? I have sat with him twice and it is plain

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to me he had no sympathy whatsoever with the tabloid press. You have to

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remember you regulate the tabloid, you regulate the entire print media.

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We have done the argument. Do you think it will happen? Yes, I do.

:39:39.:39:49.
:39:49.:39:51.

Good morning and welcome to Sunday Politics Scotland. Coming up on the

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programme: The SNP goes for pragmatism on a

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key conference vote. What is the wider fall-out from their no-to-

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nuclear-yes-to-NATO decision? can now be certain the independence

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referendum will take place in two years' time and the party is

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desperate to win it. How did they get on at Conference? Join me later

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to find out. We'll be speaking to the First

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Minister live in Perth. And the Lib Dems come up with a new

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Home Rule prospectus two days after the Edinburgh Agreement is signed.

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And we'll be hearing from the DUP and Plaid Cymru on the potential

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benefits or disadvantages for Stormont and Cardiff from our

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devolution debate. The Scottish National Party leader,

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Alex Salmond, has warned a No vote in the independence referendum will

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secure nothing for Scotland. The First Minister was addressing his

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Party Conference in Perth just days after signing a deal with the UK

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Government to guarantee an independence referendum takes place

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in the Autumn of 2014. Here's our political correspondent, Raymond

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Buchanan. Time is ticking. There are 24

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months ago. Scotland's constitutional destiny now has a

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date. Autumn 2014 will see the independence question asked and

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answered. And how this party uses that tie will be absolutely crucial.

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Opinion polls suggest Scotland will go for a name to vote for

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independence. This Conference has been all about seduction. Winning

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over more voters. Forwards, perhaps, but first some reassurance and

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persuasion. It Alex Salmond spent much of his speech appealing to

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voters to back more powers of Holyrood if not full independence.

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We know there are many of our fellow-citizens who remain to be

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convinced about the merits of independence. But we also know

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there is a majority for change in this country. The choice before us

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is now clear. Scotland can vote no and secure nothing. Or we can vote

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yes to get the platform we need. So we speak today to those millions of

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our fellow citizens who say yes to Scotland before and will say yes to

:42:09.:42:14.

Scotland, yes to progress once again. To help persuade them, he

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contrasted his government's performance with that of the

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coalition. Why on earth do we allow this bunch of incompetent and Lords

:42:24.:42:32.

Moody's to be in positions of a authority over our country? -- Lord

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snootys? And that has been one of the central picture. If you can

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trust the Scottish Government to run health and education, why do

:42:46.:42:54.

not tax and politics as well? contribute 9.6% of taxation but get

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back 9.3%. More than �1,000 for every household in the country is

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contributed. With access to our own resources, we can invest more,

:43:09.:43:14.

borrow less to save for the future, protect services or a combination

:43:15.:43:19.

of the three. We know he wants to borrow to spend on capital

:43:19.:43:25.

expenditure product -- projects while protecting public services

:43:25.:43:29.

and businesses. One thing they will not be investing in his atomic

:43:29.:43:36.

weapons. The party restated its belief for a nuclear-3 Scotland.

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But they backed membership of the NATO nuclear alliance. -- for a

:43:42.:43:48.

nuclear-free Scotland. It is not enough to say you believe in

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independence and then say you want to belong to NATO. As far as I am

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concerned, it is hypocritical to say we should not have these

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weapons but want to belong to NATO. How dare we say that! We are in

:44:02.:44:07.

Scotland, we will be an independent country, we don't want Trident or

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nuclear weapons, but as I've said before, if you want to go along to

:44:11.:44:21.
:44:21.:44:23.

we club that supports nuclear weapons. -- we want to go along.

:44:23.:44:27.

The leadership's new NATO policy looked in trouble. The

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reinforcements were sent in in the shape of Kenny MacAskill, the

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Justice Secretary who freed the Lockerbie bomber. I am no US poster

:44:36.:44:46.
:44:46.:44:54.

And I am certainly no US lap dog. There's probably a few senators

:44:54.:44:58.

still hunting me. But we have moved on from being a party of protest to

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a party of power. I have marched for CND, I have protested against

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Trident, I have demonstrated against the Iraq war. I am tired

:45:08.:45:12.

margin. I want a seat for our government in the situations of

:45:12.:45:17.

power. They are not there yet, though, but be in no doubt - the

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hard sell has begun. Will Mr Salmond prove a suitably success

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will salesman for the Yes campaign? We can cross live now to Perth,

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where the First Minister joins us from Conference. Thank you for

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talking to us this morning. Good morning, Isabel. I am speaking from

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the National Geographic Society in Scotland. It is a fantastic place.

:45:42.:45:46.

I did not know it was here. If you get a chance to visit, do come

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along! Thank you for that. You know this morning a sizable number of

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your supporters and ministers think you are a hypocrite and the SNP

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leadership are hypocrites who sold out a dearly held principle to

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chase boat. That must be a very uncomfortable place to be? -- to

:46:08.:46:15.

chase votes. Not in the slightest. It was refreshing to see these

:46:15.:46:18.

debates at Conference. The arguments were put and genuinely

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held and there was a democratic discussion with a democratic result.

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The result is in and I think the party is very comfortable with that,

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as witness to the reception given to my speech yesterday when I said

:46:32.:46:35.

exactly then what I have said to you now. But just to clarify the

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position, you were saying there would be, in an independent

:46:41.:46:44.

Scotland, and explicit ban on nuclear weapons being based on

:46:44.:46:50.

Scottish territory. What does that mean for NATO's subs been allowed

:46:50.:46:57.

access to Scottish territorial waters? Isabel, 25 out of the 28

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member countries of NATO are non- nuclear members of the North

:47:01.:47:06.

Atlantic treaty Organisation. There is nothing exceptional about the

:47:06.:47:10.

status we want to aspire to for Scotland. We are going to remove

:47:10.:47:15.

the Trident nuclear weapons from Scotland. The issue about the

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waters, no country ever confirms the existence of nuclear weapons of

:47:19.:47:24.

its warships. That is well known. It is an issue which all non-

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nuclear countries have to face up to and they do the exactly the same

:47:34.:47:43.

thing. So you will have no policy on nuclear weapons in Scottish

:47:43.:47:48.

waters? No. We bomb-maker to constitutional provision double

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rent Scotland having possession. -- we will make it a constitutional

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provision. We will save about �250 million a vital Scottish

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expenditure. It will be for the rest of the UK to decide whether it

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wants to station these weapons elsewhere or make a much more

:48:08.:48:12.

sensible decision, which would be to decommission them. And this is

:48:12.:48:18.

the biggest, single biggest, step towards nuclear disarmament.

:48:18.:48:22.

Certainly the people of Scotland can have and a bronze. I cannot

:48:22.:48:29.

wish away US nuclear weapons but I can legislate a way Trident nuclear

:48:29.:48:34.

weapons from Scotland. I am trying to establish how far you would be

:48:34.:48:38.

compromised in this non-nuclear stance. Will you do nothing to

:48:38.:48:42.

satisfy yourself as to whether NATO's sobs coming into Scottish

:48:42.:48:46.

territorial waters have nuclear arms, or are you saying you will

:48:46.:48:52.

allow other countries for reasons of safe haven or exercises or

:48:52.:48:58.

manoeuvres, you will allow them? am saying we will begin the same

:48:58.:49:07.

position as the other non-nuclear members of NATO. We will have the

:49:07.:49:12.

same policy as the other countries because announcement of position is

:49:12.:49:18.

just not done. So you will allow them in on exercises? I was just

:49:18.:49:24.

explain the policy to you, that no country ever confirms or denies the

:49:24.:49:28.

existence of nuclear warships. We will have the same position as

:49:28.:49:33.

other countries in NATO. If this argument has unusual or strange

:49:33.:49:39.

policy, however at -- Hull is it an unusual or strange policy for these

:49:39.:49:46.

other countries? -- how is it? An agreement is that this is a

:49:46.:49:50.

perfectly sensible policy which is practised by other countries. Other

:49:50.:49:53.

countries, incidentally, which will do us Scotland will do have

:49:53.:50:01.

according to the terms of the motion, which is that we have to

:50:01.:50:05.

advocate all countries respect the agreements they have signed and a

:50:05.:50:08.

nuclear Non-Proliferation. That will be Scott and campaigning

:50:08.:50:12.

against nuclear weapons and removing weapons of mass to squat -

:50:12.:50:22.
:50:22.:50:24.

- must destruction. -- Scotland campaigning. You are unable to say

:50:24.:50:30.

whether Scotland will do this or not and you say they will go along

:50:30.:50:36.

with what other NATO countries have? Yes, in the same way as

:50:36.:50:40.

Canada and Norway, and as you probably know, both these countries

:50:40.:50:44.

have communicated very recently their strong opposition to nuclear

:50:44.:50:48.

weapons in a very principled way, and that will be the exactly the

:50:48.:50:55.

same position Scott and aspires to. We will get rid of Trident, weapons

:50:55.:51:00.

of mass destruction, and we will do it for the economic and social

:51:00.:51:05.

benefit for the Scottish people. That seems to be a very wise policy.

:51:05.:51:09.

If we look at the relative fiscal balance between Scotland and the

:51:09.:51:14.

rest of the UK, you said every Scot would be �500 better off after

:51:14.:51:18.

independence. The fact of the matter is, we have this massive

:51:18.:51:23.

fiscal deficit and we upped our eyes in debt. This is and �500 cash

:51:23.:51:33.
:51:33.:51:43.

I have set with the fiscally it stronger position you could invest

:51:43.:51:51.

more, Baroness and say for the future and protect vital services.

:51:51.:51:58.

It is a fact that Scotland's fiscal position in the last estimation in

:51:58.:52:03.

2010 was 2.7 billion stronger than that of the UK. As First Minister

:52:03.:52:09.

now I could do with �2.7 billion by the to borrow less or invest more

:52:09.:52:14.

in the Scottish economy. You do not think this money has to go into

:52:14.:52:21.

paying down the deficit? Well, I have explained we have to 0.7

:52:21.:52:26.

billion with a range of choices, you could invest more, borrowed

:52:26.:52:31.

less and save or you could protect vital Scottish public services or a

:52:31.:52:37.

combination. What about the deficit? That would be in the

:52:37.:52:43.

borrowing less aspects of that. We pay for the deficit in the fiscal

:52:43.:52:48.

calculation. That is within the figures. This is statement of fact.

:52:48.:52:53.

On the last estimation a Scotland was in a relatively stronger

:52:53.:52:58.

position to the rest of the UK to the tune of 2.7 billion because we

:52:58.:53:06.

paid 9.6% of the UK revenue and only receive 9.3% expenditure. That

:53:06.:53:12.

is the equivalent of �500 for every man, woman and child in Scotland or

:53:12.:53:17.

a �1,000 for every family. That would be deployed by investing more,

:53:17.:53:21.

protecting public services or a combination of all of them. That

:53:21.:53:25.

would give a Scottish government more fiscal flexibility than the UK

:53:25.:53:30.

government says it possesses a prison moment. In terms of getting

:53:30.:53:35.

the borrowing rates, getting the fiscal deficit down and securing a

:53:35.:53:39.

good borrowing rate, if you're not paint and a deficit quickly the

:53:39.:53:46.

argument is the market's thump you and you get a bad credit rating. In

:53:46.:53:52.

Scotland on Sunday the Treasury's senior civil servant says an

:53:52.:53:57.

independent Scotland would pay high interest rates than the UK as it

:53:57.:54:01.

seeks to convince the world's investors it is a safe bet. Unless

:54:01.:54:06.

you pay down the deficit quickly, you feed into this idea that you're

:54:06.:54:13.

not a safe bet. No, I prefer the world where senior civil servants

:54:13.:54:22.

did not act is mouthpieces for ministers. Scotland is in a

:54:22.:54:28.

stronger fiscal position and the rest of the UK. People look at a

:54:28.:54:33.

fiscal position and a look at the prospects for the future. A major

:54:33.:54:40.

thing Scotland has relative to its size is a huge collateral of almost

:54:40.:54:43.

$2 billion of the future estimations of the wealth of North

:54:43.:54:48.

Sea oil and gas. Two trillion dollars, that's two trillion

:54:48.:54:53.

dollars. It's a huge amount of collateral so the current stronger

:54:53.:54:57.

fiscal balance and the collateral for the future we have secured

:54:57.:55:02.

Scotland and effective credit rating. One of the agencies made a

:55:02.:55:07.

point earlier that because the price of gas and oil is high, there

:55:07.:55:13.

are uncertainties about fixing what would be a borrowing rate. Well,

:55:13.:55:23.

the point is that the estimation, $100 real oil prices, lower than at

:55:23.:55:27.

the prison moment going forward, two trillion dollars is a

:55:27.:55:30.

reasonable estimate but if people look at collateral for the future,

:55:30.:55:38.

why is that more important? Two trillion Clare Short for Scotland

:55:38.:55:44.

is roughly 10 times the collateral the UK has a prison moment. If you

:55:44.:55:49.

are talking about a stronger fiscal position and the collateral for the

:55:49.:55:54.

future you're talking about an effective and promising position

:55:54.:55:59.

for Scotland. Where Scotland ends up depends on the wisdom of the

:55:59.:56:03.

policies were pursue and our case is the austerity policies of the UK

:56:03.:56:07.

Government are not working, we eat capital investments in the economy

:56:07.:56:13.

to push growth forward, economic growth will reinforce the fiscal

:56:13.:56:18.

balance and reinforce the strength of the Scottish economy as well as

:56:18.:56:25.

benefiting every family in Scotland. But another point is if you have a

:56:25.:56:29.

currency union you cannot have too much divergence because the markets

:56:29.:56:38.

will punish up. Well, we refer to the same point, I am yet to hear a

:56:38.:56:44.

refutation of it, if you borrow the same, and reality 0.7 billion

:56:44.:56:50.

better balance, you have flexibility of �2.7 billion. It

:56:50.:56:54.

will be interesting to see what 2011 and 12 will be. It might be

:56:54.:57:00.

greater. Let's see when the figures come out. Scotland will have a

:57:00.:57:05.

range of flexibility that the UK Chancellor says he doesn't have

:57:05.:57:09.

although my argument would be he should emphasise a per capita

:57:09.:57:13.

investment into the economy to generate growth and future growth.

:57:13.:57:18.

In terms of the fiscal pact, we see it as a one-way street but it would

:57:18.:57:23.

be in Scotland's interests to have limits on borrowing and liability

:57:23.:57:29.

in case a defaults in London. If a London bank fails we want

:57:29.:57:37.

reassurances. We propose that having the sterling zone is

:57:37.:57:42.

convenient and the right policy for Scotland and the productivity rates

:57:42.:57:48.

and the things that matter about a currency zone, the productivity

:57:48.:57:52.

position between the two countries, they are roughly aligned between

:57:52.:57:59.

Scotland and England. They are basically the same. There is no

:57:59.:58:04.

doubt there are advantages for both sides. The advantage for Scotland

:58:04.:58:11.

is continuity and independence, the advantage for the rest of the UK is

:58:11.:58:15.

while the revenues from Scottish oil and gas accrue to the Scottish

:58:15.:58:19.

Exchequer, if Scotland is in a currency union the protection or

:58:19.:58:24.

oil offers to the balance of payments, �30 billion, or would

:58:24.:58:30.

accrue to the whole sterling area. Any event and government will bite

:58:30.:58:34.

our hands off to have a sterling zone given that protection. It is

:58:34.:58:39.

vital for the rest of the UK as well as being a matter of

:58:39.:58:48.

convenience. It is the case that the levels are similar but what's

:58:48.:58:54.

interesting is that not what's been punished in Europe. In Europe,

:58:54.:59:01.

Major in discipline in spending patterns. But a fair point. The

:59:01.:59:08.

underlying tension in the euro is the differences in divergence, 40%

:59:09.:59:15.

between the heart of Germany and Greece. But what makes the euro

:59:15.:59:25.
:59:25.:59:33.

Up what's important is the Fiscal Commission the SNP have

:59:33.:59:40.

commissioned which puts us to noble Moritz. Will operate in the best

:59:40.:59:48.

interests of Scotland. It is going on for the referendum as the Yes

:59:48.:59:53.

side is closing the gap. Alex Salmond, thank you for joining us

:59:53.:00:03.
:00:03.:00:08.

this morning. Now, over to London David Cameron it is to set out a

:00:08.:00:12.

new approach to law and order promising the government will be

:00:12.:00:17.

tough but intelligent the stock in a speech tomorrow he will reveal

:00:17.:00:20.

plans to increase the use of payment by results for groups

:00:20.:00:28.

hoping to rehabilitate offenders. Earlier, the Home Secretary said

:00:28.:00:33.

another airier would-be gun crime. If you look at organised crime

:00:33.:00:37.

gangs, one of the issues is there are middlemen who take firearms and

:00:37.:00:43.

rent them out to criminals who use them. There isn't an offence for

:00:43.:00:47.

somebody to possess a firearm with intent to supply it someone else.

:00:47.:00:51.

It is right we introduced the offence because does supply and the

:00:51.:00:55.

firearms are as guilty as the ones using it. Funerals are taking place

:00:55.:01:02.

of those killed in Friday's car bombing in Lebanon. The attacking a

:01:02.:01:06.

route is being blamed on Syria and there are calls for mass protests

:01:06.:01:13.

today. Live to our correspondent in Beirut.

:01:13.:01:18.

There are thousands of protesters and mourners in the heart of a

:01:18.:01:22.

routes Square. Not just to mark the passing of the country's

:01:22.:01:26.

intelligence chief who was killed in a car bomb but to protest

:01:26.:01:29.

against the excesses of what they see as the Syrian regime in

:01:29.:01:34.

Lebanese politics. Such a car bomb had not been seen here for four

:01:34.:01:37.

years and many fear what is happening in Syria is being

:01:37.:01:43.

replicated in Lebanon. There have been clashes on the streets between

:01:43.:01:47.

pro and anti- Syrian factions and fear for many is the clashes will

:01:47.:01:53.

return and Lebanon will get drawn into the politics of neigh being --

:01:53.:01:57.

neighbouring Syria. A call for serious to get out of Lebanese

:01:57.:02:04.

politics and to mourn the passing of a man he was anti- Syrian.

:02:04.:02:08.

At least 10 people are reported to have been killed when a car bomb

:02:08.:02:12.

exploded in at the Syrian capital Damascus. Syrian state media said

:02:12.:02:16.

it happened outside a police station. It came as the President

:02:16.:02:20.

was meeting the UN and Arab League envoy who has attempted to

:02:21.:02:29.

negotiate a ceasefire. The former BBC director-general Greg Dyke has

:02:29.:02:32.

criticised the corporation's handling of the allegations that

:02:32.:02:36.

Sir Jimmy Savile abused children. He said the BBC was slow to realise

:02:36.:02:43.

the seriousness of the standard. The BBC made too early mistakes,

:02:43.:02:47.

the first statements about this were not strong enough and were not

:02:47.:02:52.

saying this is a serious issue and needs to be examined. That was a

:02:52.:02:58.

mistake. The second one was when they started saying the Newsnight

:02:58.:03:04.

programme was not shown for editorial reasons, you needed to

:03:04.:03:09.

explain what they were. Why to the editor of Newsnight decided this

:03:09.:03:15.

was not a strong enough programme to be broadcast? I suspect he did

:03:15.:03:18.

not think the evidence was strong enough but someone needs to say

:03:18.:03:23.

that. Nobody did. That's all the news for now. More

:03:23.:03:33.
:03:33.:03:37.

news on BBC One at 6pm. Good afternoon. The deputy First

:03:37.:03:39.

Minister Nicola Sturgeon will challenge the Chancellor this

:03:39.:03:41.

afternoon to change tack on economic policy in an effort to

:03:41.:03:45.

stimulate growth. Ms Sturgeon will make the call on the final day of

:03:45.:03:47.

the SNP conference in Perth. Here's Laura Maxwell.

:03:47.:03:51.

The Commonwealth Games village under construction in Glasgow.

:03:51.:03:54.

Nicola Sturgeon will tell conference only more big projects

:03:54.:03:57.

at this can put a halt to Scotland's rising unemployment

:03:57.:04:02.

figures. She was a George Osborne must use his Autumn Statement to

:04:02.:04:07.

pump money into capital projects like roads, and hospitals up to

:04:07.:04:12.

offer the unemployed lights at the end of the tunnel. Critics claim

:04:12.:04:14.

the government must claimed responsibility for the latest

:04:14.:04:19.

jobless figures. Nicola Sturgeon will tell delegates ministers here

:04:19.:04:22.

are doing everything possible within the constraints of

:04:22.:04:26.

devolution. Scottish businesses are less likely to enter insolvency

:04:26.:04:30.

than those in the rest of Britain - - according to new research. Data

:04:30.:04:33.

released by Creditsafe said firms in Scotland have a 7 per cent

:04:33.:04:38.

higher average credit rating than those in England and Wales.

:04:38.:04:41.

The centenary of the death of a Greenock-born Antarctic explorer is

:04:41.:04:45.

being remembered in Inverkip. Henry 'Birdie' Bowers died with Captain

:04:45.:04:48.

Scott on their return from the South Pole in 1912. Sir Ranulph

:04:48.:04:51.

Fiennes and Scott's grandson, Falcon, will meet at Kip Marina

:04:51.:04:58.

this afternoon. Now let's take a look at the

:04:58.:05:03.

weather forecast, here's Judith. weather forecast, here's Judith.

:05:03.:05:07.

Good afternoon. A fine afternoon coming up for most of us, certainly

:05:07.:05:11.

it is dry with lovely spells of sunshine across the country. We

:05:11.:05:18.

still have patches of mist and fog in low-lying areas which may be

:05:18.:05:23.

stubborn to clear. That the cloud across student with up rates of

:05:23.:05:30.

rain later. -- outbreaks of clout across Shetland. Light wind with a

:05:30.:05:34.

fresh southerly feel. That's the forecast. That's it for the moment.

:05:34.:05:44.
:05:44.:05:48.

No sooner had the Edinburgh Agreement been signed, sealed and

:05:48.:05:51.

delivered, than the Liberal Democrats came out with their

:05:51.:05:54.

blueprint for Scottish Home Rule, or in other words, more powers if

:05:54.:05:57.

you vote No. But wasn't that what the pro-Unionist parties had just

:05:57.:05:59.

agreed not to include in the referendum? Tim Reid reports from

:05:59.:06:01.

Westminster. For the autumn colours have arrived

:06:01.:06:04.

at Westminster and with the changing season, the very real

:06:04.:06:10.

possibility of more constitutional upheaval. If the leaves change

:06:10.:06:13.

colour here in two years' time, the political landscape may look very

:06:13.:06:20.

different. With the referendum signed, we could be looking at the

:06:20.:06:29.

beginning of the end of the United Kingdom. Going there well around

:06:29.:06:33.

the bend... The former Olympic sprinter it so Ming Campbell has

:06:33.:06:43.
:06:43.:06:51.

raced ahead delivering an updated The federal UK Parliament would

:06:51.:06:57.

retain control of the defence, foreign affairs and pensions. And

:06:58.:07:01.

they say the West Lothian question is only answered by giving England

:07:01.:07:06.

similar powers over their own affairs. They are proposing a

:07:06.:07:12.

fairly modest and rather fiscally unstable package of tax devolution

:07:12.:07:19.

and they are proposing to join up the dogs by a reinvigorated

:07:19.:07:22.

emphasis on inter-governmental relations and co-ordination. This

:07:22.:07:27.

would help but does not deal with the fact that you have not decided

:07:27.:07:29.

to reopen the question of the division of powers, which is

:07:29.:07:35.

clearly what the people of Scotland want. And how will voters react

:07:35.:07:39.

given Lib Dem leadership argued against a second devo max question

:07:39.:07:47.

on the ballot paper? Opponents say the argument is flawed. Westminster

:07:47.:07:51.

would continue to pay the social security bills, which are twice the

:07:51.:07:56.

revenues. Scotland and the Scottish Parliament would decide inheritance

:07:56.:08:02.

tax, it at -- capital gains tax and that would leave Scotland has the

:08:02.:08:08.

highest taxed part of the United Kingdom. When you look at all of

:08:08.:08:12.

the powers, devo max, whatever, and realise that is contained within

:08:12.:08:15.

independence but the things they want moved from Westminster to

:08:15.:08:21.

Holyrood are not contained I think the 30% to have yet to make their

:08:21.:08:31.
:08:31.:08:35.

Welfare and defence would remain at Westminster and a written UK. --

:08:35.:08:40.

constitution has been proposed. But since William Gladstone came up

:08:41.:08:48.

with home rule there is still little backing for a federal system.

:08:48.:08:51.

It makes me feel trying to impose regional assemblies on England is

:08:51.:08:55.

not going to work. While Scottish Tories are not considering further

:08:55.:09:00.

powers yet, Labour is aware of Scotland's apparent desire for

:09:00.:09:05.

further devolution but it also opposed another devo max question

:09:05.:09:10.

on the paper. They needed clear answer. That principle decides

:09:10.:09:20.

everything else. Otherwise it will be confusing. Sir Ming Campbell's

:09:20.:09:28.

proposals would alter her radically the proposal for the United Kingdom.

:09:28.:09:32.

Of course, there are only worth the paper they're written on. With

:09:32.:09:40.

Scotland votes no to independence, they will be the central plank of

:09:40.:09:44.

the Lib Dem manifesto. Well, in our Edinburgh studio is

:09:44.:09:46.

Sir Ming Campbell, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats and

:09:46.:09:50.

member of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee. Thank you for

:09:50.:09:55.

talking to us today. How do you respond to the comments that what

:09:55.:09:58.

your commission is proposing is roaring back on where the Lib Dems

:09:58.:10:03.

have got to with the steel Commission, particularly in terms

:10:03.:10:09.

of devolving and oil and gas revenues to Scotland? We made it

:10:09.:10:13.

clear we wanted to put flesh on the bones of the traditional liberal

:10:13.:10:17.

and Lib Dem policies of home rule all round. That is what we have

:10:17.:10:23.

done. We have taken account of the changing circumstances since the

:10:23.:10:27.

still Commission reported and we have produced what he described as

:10:27.:10:33.

a blueprint. It is a rude towards federalism for the whole of the

:10:34.:10:43.
:10:44.:10:44.

United Kingdom recognising -- it is a route, recognising this is

:10:44.:10:46.

sustainable and for Northern Ireland of Wales there is a similar

:10:46.:10:49.

desire for the kind of control federalism would give over their

:10:49.:10:57.

domestic arrangements. But England seems particularly resistant to any

:10:57.:11:02.

sort of federal witch? You say that but you don't have to go very far

:11:02.:11:07.

to meet Conservative backbenchers to say that if Scotland, Wales and

:11:07.:11:11.

Northern Ireland are having much more domestic responsibility, then

:11:11.:11:14.

why should people from these parts of the United Kingdom have the

:11:14.:11:19.

right to vote on English education? It is not just the West Lothian

:11:19.:11:25.

question, it is the West Belfast question and the West Wales

:11:25.:11:30.

question. I have no doubt whatsoever there is a continuing

:11:30.:11:33.

and increasing view in England but when it comes to domestic English

:11:33.:11:36.

matters, these ought to be dealt with in a way which does not

:11:36.:11:41.

involve those of us who represent constituencies outside of England

:11:41.:11:45.

from determining policy. If we look at the sort of powers which could

:11:45.:11:49.

have come to Scotland and that could come to Scotland and the role

:11:49.:11:53.

and positioning of the Lib Dems in that, the Lib Dems could have given

:11:53.:11:59.

a party political mandate to the second question. They could have

:11:59.:12:06.

defined a proposition between something that attracts a great

:12:06.:12:16.
:12:16.:12:18.

deal of support. Not at all. The big issue is, are we going to be

:12:18.:12:22.

independent? Are we going to, and I know the nationalists don't like

:12:22.:12:26.

the word, are we going to separate ourselves from the rest of the

:12:26.:12:30.

United Kingdom? That is an issue which lies right at the heart of

:12:30.:12:34.

this debate and an issue which has to be resolved. Resolved it and in

:12:34.:12:38.

a way that I will argue we should remain part of the United Kingdom,

:12:38.:12:43.

and then you can have the kind of discussion which will question

:12:43.:12:48.

implies. Is it devo max? Is it devotes like? Is it federalism?

:12:48.:12:52.

That is the point at which you can have that discussion, and Lord

:12:52.:12:56.

Tommy McAvoy is quite right that if these multiple choices have been

:12:57.:13:03.

put in the referendum debate and in the ballot paper, which we will see

:13:03.:13:07.

in two years' time, then they might well have obscured the central

:13:07.:13:13.

issue, do we want to be separate or United? OK. You are also leader of

:13:13.:13:18.

the UK delegation to NATO's parliamentary assembly. I wanted to

:13:18.:13:24.

ask you about the SNP vote in that regard. What you think NATO's

:13:24.:13:28.

response will be to this idea that an independent Scotland can be in

:13:28.:13:33.

NATO but what have no nuclear weapons on Scottish soil? I have

:13:33.:13:37.

actually brought the piece of paper with me so I could be entirely

:13:37.:13:42.

accurate are more time going to save. Every four, five years NATO

:13:42.:13:46.

creates what it calls a strategic concept, so it sets out its

:13:46.:13:52.

objectives. In 2010, he NATO said it reconfirm satyr as long as there

:13:52.:14:00.

are nuclear weapons in the world, and a -- and NATO will remain a

:14:00.:14:03.

nuclear alliance. I understand people wholly opposed to nuclear

:14:03.:14:08.

weapons. I respect their opinion. Like the Church of Scotland. I

:14:08.:14:11.

respect those who say these weapons are immoral and we should have no

:14:11.:14:15.

part of them. What I don't understand is that those who say

:14:15.:14:19.

that is their position but then want to join an alliance which is a

:14:19.:14:23.

nuclear alliance and will remain so as long as there are nuclear

:14:23.:14:27.

weapons in the world according to its own objectives. What will the

:14:27.:14:35.

NATO response be to this? They might regard this conversion with a

:14:35.:14:39.

certain amount of reserve because I think I am correct in remembering

:14:39.:14:43.

that when Mr Salmond was asked to comment on the steps being taken by

:14:43.:14:51.

NATO to deal with the terrible, barbaric ethnic cleansing in Kosovo,

:14:51.:14:56.

my recollection is that Mr Salmond described that as an act of

:14:56.:15:06.
:15:06.:15:07.

unparalleled for leave. -- unparalleled folly. Article 5 of

:15:07.:15:11.

the North Atlantic treaty, which is the basis of NATO, says quite

:15:11.:15:15.

expressly that an attack upon one is to be treated as an attack on

:15:15.:15:21.

all members of NATO. Is the Scottish National Party willing to

:15:21.:15:25.

accept that? They only have to accept it if it is UN-sanctioned as

:15:25.:15:34.

well. That is what they say but what the treaty says, it doesn't

:15:34.:15:39.

have any qualification about the UN sanctions and responsibilities or

:15:39.:15:43.

even authority. It certainly says an attack upon one will be treated

:15:43.:15:49.

as an attack upon all. It is something they will accept? If not,

:15:49.:15:58.

you have to ask yourselves whether NATO would be willing to accept

:15:58.:16:08.
:16:08.:16:10.

their application of? As we have been hearing, there, reform is not

:16:10.:16:20.
:16:20.:16:20.

just a Scotland-England issue. The referendum is big news in

:16:20.:16:25.

Scotland but it is also hitting the headlines in Wales. What does it

:16:25.:16:32.

mean for us in Wales? Well, it is a big debate... The National

:16:32.:16:35.

Assembly's First Minister says he would regret seeing Scotland leave

:16:35.:16:41.

the union. He is worried Wales would be dominated by English MPs

:16:41.:16:44.

at Westminster. Meanwhile, Plaid Cymru said they could have their

:16:44.:16:49.

own referendum if they win the next two elections. But that might be

:16:49.:16:55.

somewhere off. A reason poll but support for separating Wales at

:16:55.:17:05.
:17:05.:17:06.

just 7%. It is now up to him and this House to unite in a campaign

:17:06.:17:15.

to maintain sustained and support the Union and keep McNeill and him

:17:15.:17:20.

with us forever! I hope politicians of all parties will agree to share

:17:20.:17:24.

platforms together. I have always wanted to share a platform with Ian

:17:24.:17:29.

Paisley. Maybe I'll get my chance! Stormont appear to be staying out

:17:29.:17:35.

of the debate at the moment. Gerry Adams once a date set on Irish

:17:35.:17:37.

unity, saying the Scottish referendum puts a whole structure

:17:38.:17:43.

of the UK are up for debate. We can now speak to Ian Paisley

:17:44.:17:52.

Junior, who represents North Antrim for the Democratic Unionist Party.

:17:52.:17:55.

And then signed as Thomas's constituency is in Mid and West

:17:55.:18:05.
:18:05.:18:07.

Wales. Here -- and then Simon Thomas. Does this mean the soaked -

:18:07.:18:14.

- status quo for Wales is no longer an option? Last year, we won a

:18:14.:18:17.

referendum hands out of other powers and we see now with the

:18:17.:18:20.

Scottish independence referendum that the days of the current UK

:18:20.:18:24.

government set out events in Ireland 90 years ago and that is at

:18:24.:18:27.

an end. We have to rig a bigger the relationship between the

:18:27.:18:37.
:18:37.:18:48.

constituent parts of the UK. -- we Her we look forward to that debate

:18:48.:18:52.

and we are having a debate which has taken Wales forward and take

:18:52.:18:56.

different place but it is the same kind of debate. Let me ask you

:18:56.:19:00.

about some of the practical repercussions for Northern Ireland.

:19:00.:19:05.

Winner instalment we have agreement that the one corporation tax

:19:05.:19:15.
:19:15.:19:19.

devolved to Stormont. -- with the re-install mind. -- with a real

:19:19.:19:28.

I take issue. The United Kingdom is only as strong as each component

:19:28.:19:38.
:19:38.:19:43.

part. -- I take this view. We share a land border with the -- with

:19:43.:19:48.

another country that has the lowest tax. Those peculiarities have to be

:19:48.:19:55.

adapted. If each is strong then we are together strong. I do not want

:19:55.:20:00.

to be part of a wee Northern Ireland as I do not think people

:20:00.:20:06.

want to be part of a wee Scotland or a wee Wales. We have the vision

:20:06.:20:09.

and things have to be done differently in each area to make

:20:09.:20:13.

the family work but a nation nonetheless of peoples that make us

:20:13.:20:18.

strong and diverse. Do you think there is a problem in arguing your

:20:19.:20:27.

case at the moment? No, and I will tell you why. And we get an amount

:20:27.:20:31.

of money to out run of an island. Because of the legacy of 40 years

:20:31.:20:41.
:20:41.:20:43.

of terrorist violence, -- to run Northern Ireland. To do the similar

:20:43.:20:49.

deal in Scotland would cost them multiples of billions of pounds

:20:49.:20:53.

because their economy is so much stronger than ours, so wouldn't it

:20:53.:20:59.

be worth their while? And Scotland would want to see corporation tax

:20:59.:21:04.

reduced. We want to compete with a country that has the same land

:21:04.:21:08.

border of corporation tax at 12%. The idea is to reduce the

:21:08.:21:13.

corporation tax of hold of the United Kingdom so we can compete

:21:13.:21:19.

across the borders with Europe and the world. Let me ask you where

:21:19.:21:28.

Trident has got to with Wales. Some of the party members said

:21:28.:21:34.

absolutely not. What is going on with that now? I stood with Labour

:21:34.:21:38.

Party members outside Parliament last week to address a crowd

:21:38.:21:43.

protesting Trident. The mood of Wales is very much against renewing

:21:43.:21:47.

nuclear weapons. But more importantly, people are rusting why

:21:47.:21:54.

we are spending billions on nuclear weapons at a time of austerity cuts.

:21:54.:22:03.

-- people are asking fulls DUP they want to see -- people are asking

:22:03.:22:09.

why. They want to see the end of nuclear weapons. This is really

:22:09.:22:14.

about what the constituent parts of the UK should be now or in Europe,

:22:14.:22:20.

a Western European type of defence capability and also within NATO. It

:22:20.:22:24.

is clear the people of Wales and my constituency, an area which has

:22:24.:22:34.
:22:34.:22:36.

been mentioned for Dryden, are very much against. I do not the nuclear

:22:36.:22:43.

weapons with gas and oil really mix. Will the DUP... I know you have

:22:43.:22:48.

considered coming in for the referendum campaign for the better

:22:48.:22:53.

to get the campaign, and where have you got on that now? I do not want

:22:53.:23:03.
:23:03.:23:05.

to be part of a country where one are part becomes foreigners and my

:23:05.:23:09.

Scottish counterparts become foreign to me. My grandmother and

:23:09.:23:19.
:23:19.:23:26.

brother-in-law of Scottish. We have Will the DUP be coming in to

:23:26.:23:34.

complain? What we have to do is have a debate which is framed in a

:23:34.:23:38.

way that is respectful and, more importantly, addresses the issues

:23:38.:23:42.

and so of being pejorative about people you do not actually like.

:23:42.:23:46.

And I think this debate will affect my future and all our futures in

:23:46.:23:50.

awe of the United Kingdom and we have all got the right to have a

:23:50.:23:58.

voice. -- all of the United Kingdom. Scottish nationalists have invited

:23:58.:24:06.

me to speak on this so why do -- so what I do not see why we would be

:24:06.:24:15.

having a debate in this way. As the Unionist I want to maintain and

:24:15.:24:18.

strengthen the Union. I can do it without being part of a platform

:24:18.:24:22.

and do it as being a member of his kingdom and making that argument

:24:22.:24:32.
:24:32.:24:32.

but we hope we do not need to have What is in store for the next few

:24:33.:24:38.

days as Westminster and Holyrood settled back to the grindstone

:24:38.:24:48.
:24:48.:24:54.

And for some analysis, I am joined this week by its Lord John McFall

:24:54.:25:03.

and the former SNP treasurer Ian Blackford. Sorry for my

:25:03.:25:13.
:25:13.:25:16.

pronunciation. Thank you for coming If we look at the papers, all

:25:16.:25:21.

looking at the SNP Conference and NATO. Where you stand on that?

:25:21.:25:29.

think it is a very important position. We have to recognise the

:25:29.:25:31.

obligations we will house an independent nation to work together

:25:31.:25:41.
:25:41.:25:55.

with our allies. A from Alex Salmond's speech, we have this idea

:25:55.:26:04.

that this is the next stage in the home rule journey. We want people

:26:04.:26:09.

to reflect on the kind of nation we would now like Scotland to be, so

:26:09.:26:14.

he is trying to reach out so many people. Who has he got in mind?

:26:14.:26:17.

think what yesterday showed is that democracy is alive and kicking and

:26:17.:26:22.

the SNP itself and I think the iron grip Alex Salmond has has now

:26:22.:26:26.

loosened and people saying, we do minute, what is this vision of

:26:26.:26:36.

independence will signing up for? For example, we have others saying

:26:36.:26:40.

one of the guarantees going into NATO would be to keep Trident, so

:26:40.:26:48.

forget about Trident going to promote from elsewhere. I think the

:26:48.:26:52.

SNP realises that now. They also realise in terms of their monetary

:26:52.:26:56.

union in keeping the pound that they are not going to have the

:26:56.:27:00.

fiscal independence they had before and their tax rates will vary. So

:27:00.:27:04.

the reality is catching up at the SNP and Alex Salmond has opened the

:27:04.:27:07.

door to add to be saying, we to minute, what does independence mean

:27:07.:27:17.
:27:17.:27:24.

We understand the practicalities of where we are, it's about how we

:27:24.:27:27.

grow the economy in Scotland and present the aspiration we have to

:27:28.:27:31.

present a better future and there is no question that remain the with

:27:31.:27:36.

the pound is a decent way of doing that over the next few years. We

:27:36.:27:40.

have to grow economically and productivity and we need to create

:27:40.:27:45.

Scotland people want to invest in, whether domestic capital or

:27:45.:27:48.

indigenous capital to turn the country around and get away from

:27:48.:27:52.

austerity. To stay with the pound and the Bank of England is the

:27:52.:27:59.

sensible thing to do at this time to stop realistically, how much

:27:59.:28:03.

divergence can there be in fiscal policy and military policy in terms

:28:03.:28:09.

of practical terms, how much divergence can it be? I am a member

:28:09.:28:12.

of the economic affairs committee and we are in Scotland are looking

:28:12.:28:17.

at the situation of the economy post referendum. We asked Alex

:28:17.:28:21.

Salmond to meet us but he's too busy to come along on the issue.

:28:21.:28:26.

Every time we've had a witness before us, I've asked of our fiscal

:28:26.:28:32.

independence, how much will there be and unanimously people say if

:28:32.:28:36.

they signed up to being a member of the Military Policy Committee, the

:28:36.:28:42.

room for fiscal independence under an agreement is very very limited.

:28:42.:28:48.

People are beginning to realise these issues. Alex has been good at

:28:48.:28:52.

keeping the emotional temperature high but now we have two years to

:28:52.:28:59.

the referendum it will have to be lowered. What kind of debate will

:28:59.:29:05.

be heart over the next two years? The prospectus is in 2012 for the

:29:05.:29:14.

SNP. It is starting to happen and the case was put clearly the stock

:29:14.:29:19.

they have to be rules that have to be stuck to it in terms of what is

:29:19.:29:23.

permissible under the arrangements will have the Bank of England but

:29:23.:29:27.

the obligation we have is to show the people of Scotland we can

:29:27.:29:31.

accelerate growth in Scotland to allow us to loosen the purse

:29:31.:29:38.

strings. As a clear difference on policy and tuition fees and bus

:29:38.:29:43.

passes and so on. How we pay for these things and how we shape the

:29:43.:29:49.

debate is going to be an important one. I'm interested in how the

:29:49.:29:53.

debate is shaped, the prospectus isn't out until autumn next year,

:29:54.:29:59.

does it hang in the air or what you think filters through now? Had the

:29:59.:30:05.

debate progress? The programme has been interesting with people from

:30:05.:30:11.

different areas. The big issue facing us all is in a global world

:30:11.:30:18.

of uncertainty, how do we shape the future and how do we preserve our

:30:18.:30:23.

security individually and collectively? I can feel the debate

:30:23.:30:28.

is now coming onto the stage and there will be wider questions asked

:30:28.:30:33.

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