05/05/2013 Sunday Politics Scotland


05/05/2013

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:35.:00:37.

The so-called clowns had the last laugh in Thursday's local elections

:00:37.:00:41.

and now claim to be changing the shape of British politics. We'll be

:00:41.:00:47.

asking what next for Nigel Farage's UKIP. Where next for David Cameron?

:00:47.:00:51.

He's talking to a lot of men in white coats. Means they must all

:00:51.:00:54.

have gone to Eton. We'll get the thoughts of former party Chairman,

:00:54.:00:59.

David Davis. And how did young Edward fair?

:00:59.:01:02.

Average. And must do better, say some Labour folk. We'll be asking

:01:02.:01:08.

one of his biggest supporters why And coming up on Sunday Politics

:01:08.:01:11.

Scotland: What would Scotland stand to gain or lose on an international

:01:11.:01:14.

stage in the event of a "yes" vote in next year's independence

:01:14.:01:24.
:01:24.:01:24.

Apology for the loss of subtitles for 1785 seconds

:01:24.:31:10.

There are not many people with a coal miner in the Cabinet. The idea

:31:10.:31:15.

is that we get people in improvement in the country through

:31:15.:31:19.

the passion that we have. Let us see what we're in a couple of

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years' time. How did Labour fear? Not as well as they might have

:31:26.:31:34.

hoped. Labour picked up 291 council seats. That is only winning back

:31:34.:31:40.

what they lost in 2009. That was when Gordon Brown was very

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unpopular. That translated into gains in just two county councils.

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That was Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire. They hoped to take

:31:51.:31:57.

Staffordshire but that was dashed. They fell well short of the 350

:31:57.:32:05.

seats predicted. Some said that they should have won on the basis

:32:05.:32:10.

of local by-election promises. The national vote share was 29%. That

:32:10.:32:19.

is 9% down from 2012. Only the same as their actual results in 2010.

:32:19.:32:26.

On this project at national share of the vote, Labour polled 29%.

:32:26.:32:33.

That is what Gordon Brown got in 2010. Those results in at 2010 were

:32:33.:32:40.

for the entire country. No elections in Scotland, only

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Anglesey in Wales, no elections in London that is what we have been

:32:46.:32:52.

those percentages today. We did remarkable things in Government

:32:52.:33:00.

between 2007 and 2010. But we lost tens of thousands of members. We

:33:00.:33:06.

lost thousands of activists. We lost thousands of councillors. We

:33:06.:33:12.

were hollowed out by 2010. We tried to rebuild. We persuaded new

:33:12.:33:17.

members to become activists and to stand for a council in shire

:33:17.:33:25.

elections were historically we have done very well. You gained 200 and

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windy -- 291 this week. You have just came back the losses that you

:33:34.:33:38.

lost in one of the biggest losses in Labour's history. You have to

:33:38.:33:43.

remember that you have to build back from the hollow out. We had no

:33:43.:33:50.

ministers and some of these areas. We recruited a new members. We lost

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MPs in 2010. We turned members into activists and persuaded them to

:33:55.:33:59.

stand for council elections and had remarkable gains. We won

:33:59.:34:05.

councillors in seats that we are looking for it in at 2015. We did

:34:05.:34:13.

well in Stevenage, Carlisle, Crawley, we were in Lincoln. We're

:34:13.:34:20.

wanting to win backing these areas in 2015. He did well in the South

:34:20.:34:29.

and you did reasonably well in others. -- you did well in some

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areas, but all West Sussex and some areas of the South you didn't even

:34:34.:34:42.

come second, you came third. With respect, Andrew, we have over run

:34:42.:34:51.

these councils. You came third! Look at Harlow. Look how we did in

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Stevenage. We won seats in Dorset, for God's sake, he's a shire

:34:57.:35:02.

council elections. For a so-called One nation party you came third in

:35:02.:35:10.

some of these areas. People have been recruited since May 2010 and

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have been persuaded to become active and stand and they have won.

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You didn't even do that well in the North. In 1981 you want lots under

:35:21.:35:29.

Michael Foot. Under Ed Miliband did not win a lot of those. If the

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lesson you are trying to teach me is that it is good to have

:35:32.:35:39.

superficial winds in county council elections, that is not true. --

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superficial winds. We have new policies that can persuade people

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to get lost trust in 2015. If you look at the results on Thursday,

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where we needed to do well, we did remarkably well. We would have

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liked to have won more seats, but to have this one term and have

:35:59.:36:03.

these games we're very pleased. Miliband claims that the centre is

:36:03.:36:10.

moving left and he is moving with it. These elections give no grounds

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for that belief. And it Ed Miliband you were out of touch with public

:36:16.:36:26.

opinion. The reality is, the vote for UKIP wasn't just moving right.

:36:26.:36:31.

You were four points ahead. there are elections in Scotland,

:36:31.:36:36.

Wales, and in London. I except that we have to do better than we are.

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But the reason that people voted for UKIP was because people think

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that politicians have the answer is there it for the problems that they

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face. They can see that their wages are not rising as fast as their

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inflation is going. We're persuading people who vote and do

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not vote that we can make a positive difference to their life.

:36:57.:37:01.

I think Ed Miliband has shown in the last two years that he can do

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that. Can you just clarify it, you will not offer an in or out

:37:09.:37:18.

referendum on Europe? We think... Will you offer a referendum between

:37:18.:37:23.

now and the next election? That is way above Mike pay grade to draft a

:37:23.:37:30.

manifesto for at 2015. I can say that in May 2013 will were not -

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but we will not be promising a referendum. I am asking if you will

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offer a referendum between now and the general election, yes or no?

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Above my pay grade. You're in the shadow Cabinet. I cannot see what

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will be in the manifesto, but I can see just like that that it -- David

:37:54.:38:00.

Cameron, it is foolish of Alex Salmond to say that he would have

:38:00.:38:10.
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that referendum. It beats to uncertainty and it is madness.

:38:12.:38:22.
:38:22.:38:23.

is 11:30pm. You're watching The Hello and welcome to Sunday

:38:23.:38:29.

Politics Scotland. Coming up on the programme:

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Scotland's role on the world stage - an independent voice in the

:38:32.:38:35.

community of nations or staying part of the UK power base, maybe

:38:35.:38:42.

with an increased role? We will debate what we could gain or lose.

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We will look at how Scotland can help its farmers.

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And enter the clowns and fruitcakes - UKIP have the last laugh as their

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political opponents eat their words, but could their English election

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earthquake be felt here in Scotland?

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There are just 500 days left until the big decision on Scotland's

:38:59.:39:03.

future. Much of the debate this week has been on international

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affairs. If it is a "no", Scotland would continue to be represented in

:39:06.:39:10.

the world as part of the UK. A "yes" vote would mean Scotland

:39:10.:39:13.

speaking for itself. Would Scotland lose its diplomatic clout or would

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it gain from having its own voice? Glenn Campbell has been taking

:39:17.:39:26.
:39:27.:39:30.

soundings at the United Nations in Scotland is good at making a big

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noise in the Big Apple at least once a year. The annual Tartan Day

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parade brings a touch of Caledonian colour to 6th Avenue. But if there

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was a "yes" vote Scotland would need to make itself heard in New

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York. And that would be all year round. They would be a member of

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the United Nations. How would Scollan secure its own voice and

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its own fault here? Scotland would be very welcome at the un. It is

:40:07.:40:14.

highly in favour of self- determination. -- UN. If it is

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consensual. I do not see trouble in that, but it is a process that

:40:19.:40:27.

needs to be gone through. They should be backing to smooth the

:40:27.:40:33.

path towards a vote. Two-thirds of countries would need to support it.

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With the approval of other countries Scotland would become the

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world's 194th seed. It would sit next to Saudi Arabia and its

:40:44.:40:52.

nearest neighbour Senegal. That is where it would be alphabetically,

:40:52.:40:58.

but how would it established itself diplomatically? It would need to

:40:58.:41:02.

form alliances and partnerships, even the UK cannot do without those.

:41:02.:41:07.

The impact that the UK has would be lost to Scotland but Scotland would

:41:07.:41:12.

be speaking with the voice of Scotland. It would have to

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establish the impact through the performance of its individuals at

:41:17.:41:21.

the High Representative level, that's very important. So small

:41:21.:41:31.

countries need big hitters. The man who represents Europe's newest UN

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member is this man. We must recognise realities and to be

:41:37.:41:43.

realistic. We need to have in mind our national priorities and the

:41:43.:41:49.

strategies. Then you have to select. Any country can apply for a stint

:41:49.:41:57.

on the most powerful body. Here on the security panel, United Kingdom

:41:57.:42:03.

is one of a small number with a presence. Here at the veto

:42:03.:42:06.

decisions on War and Peace. In the event of Scottish independence, be

:42:06.:42:11.

UK Government says it would continue to occupy its seat here.

:42:11.:42:16.

But if that is legally accurate, we did also be politically acceptable

:42:16.:42:23.

to other countries? -- would it. That would depend on the nuclear

:42:24.:42:28.

submarine fleet being kept by David Cameron it in the event of Scottish

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independence. Foreign affairs committees say that the UK's place

:42:33.:42:38.

in the international order would be questioned. Otherwise this seasoned

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observer thinks that the UK would keep its clout. Some would say that

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Britain has changed, but in the case of the Soviet Union and Russia,

:42:52.:43:02.
:43:02.:43:02.

Russia all these they became a smaller entity, -- all fiercely,

:43:02.:43:07.

but I think the President is there and sit. As long as you were the

:43:07.:43:13.

official holder of bats eat it is your has no matter what you sizes.

:43:13.:43:23.
:43:23.:43:26.

-- of that seat. Mb -- in the event of independence Scotland would be

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the newest member. And it would be the challenge to make its own way

:43:32.:43:40.

in the world. Joining me now from our Edinburgh

:43:40.:43:43.

studio is the former leader of the Liberal Democrats Sir Mingis

:43:43.:43:45.

Campbell, a member of Westminster's Foreign Affairs Committee who co-

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wrote this week's report. And with me in the studio is one of the

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SNP's members of the European Parliament, Alyn Smith. He has

:43:51.:43:54.

lectured in Europe's capitals about the role of an independent Scotland

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on the world stage. Alyn Smith, it you recognise that the UK gets to

:44:02.:44:09.

inherit everything? Do you think Scotland would say it was a Co

:44:09.:44:16.

equal state? I think there is a matter of debate but we are no new

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thing in regards the United Nations. We are also an ancient democracy

:44:22.:44:26.

and nation. We are re-establishing ourselves within the world

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environment. This is as getting into the United Nations as Scotland,

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as ourselves. When you talk about Scotland becoming independent and

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having a long history of being an independent nation, the agreement

:44:41.:44:49.

was that we were Co people states in the beginning. Scotland is the

:44:50.:44:55.

new entity as regards the United Nations. We're fighting for that in

:44:55.:44:59.

the referendum. The cities of the UK in the eyes of other people as a

:44:59.:45:06.

matter for the UK, not us. He seems quite relaxed about the United

:45:06.:45:10.

Nations. How do you think it would proceed? But his effort was to

:45:10.:45:16.

become independence. I think everybody is quite relaxed about

:45:16.:45:21.

successful membership of the United Nations for Scotland. The body of

:45:21.:45:25.

opinion expressed in that package seems pretty clear that the rest of

:45:25.:45:29.

the United Kingdom would maintain the position of a permanent member

:45:29.:45:36.

of the Security Council with that important right of veto. But I do

:45:36.:45:41.

not think the United Nations would be the problem. As our report

:45:41.:45:50.

represents areas contrary reports to the SNP. Where there might be a

:45:50.:45:55.

fast track for or negotiation, there is no certainty that there

:45:55.:46:03.

would be a fast track for Accession. Many people in the business

:46:03.:46:12.

community believe it could be damaging to Scotland's interests. A

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report is based on written evidence. You will find it all on page 62.

:46:18.:46:23.

Some very distinguished professors of international relations and Lord

:46:23.:46:28.

who came and gave witness. Including Jeremy Greenstock who we

:46:28.:46:34.

saw in that package a moment or two ago. Let us stick with Pete UN

:46:34.:46:43.

right now. -- with the UN right now. Do you not think it could provoke a

:46:43.:46:48.

groundswell of opinion at the UN that the Security Council should be

:46:48.:46:54.

reformed? France and Britain -- and the UK might need to give that seat

:46:54.:47:00.

up. The question of reform of the Security Council has been on the

:47:01.:47:07.

agenda since 1988. It never gets to the top of the agenda. A new

:47:07.:47:12.

Security Council hat -- should have at 23 or 22 members. Any

:47:12.:47:16.

constitutional change in the Charter of the United Nations would

:47:16.:47:21.

depend on the United Kingdom's agreement. It remains a member of

:47:21.:47:25.

the Security Council, so we do not see agreement being reached that

:47:25.:47:28.

would have the effect of excluding the United Kingdom from that

:47:28.:47:34.

position. Looking at the SNP's position, despite the talk about

:47:34.:47:42.

Iraq and so-called legal war its -- wore as, giving that up would mean

:47:42.:47:48.

that the rest of the UK would not be able to match what the rest of

:47:48.:47:55.

the UK does anyway. We would be able to set our own priorities and

:47:55.:47:59.

articulate the more on the world stage. The idea that the UK is also

:47:59.:48:03.

acting in our interests is not the case, I do not think. In Brussels

:48:03.:48:08.

and see that the UK line and attitude is markedly different to

:48:08.:48:13.

her Scotland would do this. Just last week Our Home Secretary, and

:48:13.:48:16.

she is Our Home Secretary, flirted with the idea of getting rid of

:48:16.:48:23.

human rights. The idea that the UK it is representing, I do not think

:48:23.:48:29.

it is a failed state, but I do think we could do it better. Do you

:48:29.:48:34.

think it could be done better with than the United Kingdom? The report

:48:34.:48:38.

suggests an increased role for Scotland on the international stage

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but remembering -- but remaining part of the United Kingdom. I would

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say that that is delusional. International relations is binary,

:48:47.:48:51.

you are a member state or you were not. You can do all sorts of things

:48:51.:48:55.

with devolution, but the fact is, door at the top table or you were

:48:55.:48:59.

not. The whole point about independence is that we get to set

:48:59.:49:03.

our priorities and articulate them in various corners of the world.

:49:03.:49:10.

The UN needs reform, of Eastleigh, but we cannot put forward any of

:49:10.:49:19.

these points as anything but an independent state. With Labour, or

:49:19.:49:23.

Liberal Democrats and the SNP have increased the role of Scotland on

:49:23.:49:29.

the world stage. Absolutely and that will continue. Scotland has

:49:29.:49:33.

always been distinctive. But since the reforms of 1999, we have been

:49:33.:49:38.

able to give voice to that different politics. The more that

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continues and the more different we become, if we're on the right path.

:49:41.:49:47.

This is pretty much unstoppable. How much of this we did you have

:49:47.:49:52.

been putting that point in about increasing the role of Scotland's

:49:52.:49:58.

voice through the prism of the UK diplomatic affairs, a kind of

:49:58.:50:03.

federal structure when it comes to the international stage? I chaired

:50:03.:50:05.

a commission on behalf of the Liberal Democrats which made

:50:05.:50:11.

exactly that point. It was about the possibility of a federal

:50:11.:50:14.

relationship but when Scotland and the rest of United Kingdom. And

:50:14.:50:19.

also the possibility of an overall federal solution for the United

:50:19.:50:29.
:50:29.:50:29.

Kingdom's. But the reference to the board has, they were heavily

:50:30.:50:35.

affected to by the introduction of quotas. That is in America. It was

:50:35.:50:42.

all problem about cashmere goods. The reason that that was headed off

:50:42.:50:46.

was because the United Kingdom was able to go to the European Union

:50:46.:50:54.

and the strength of both bodies at the World Trade Organisation made

:50:54.:51:00.

sure that Scotland did not suffer - - which it would have done much

:51:00.:51:10.
:51:10.:51:33.

Let's that put that 0.2 Alan Smith. How would Scotland Act on the world

:51:33.:51:40.

stage? You always have to select your key issues but it is a very

:51:40.:51:48.

crowded marketplace. Look at the way we have been able to lead by

:51:48.:51:53.

example in terms of leading -- setting world leading climate

:51:53.:52:01.

change targets. You set your priorities and build alliances. She

:52:01.:52:05.

speaks about the EU intervening on or a half but we still have that as

:52:05.:52:10.

the Scottish member of the European Union. That is about what our

:52:10.:52:16.

priorities are and how we determine them and articulate them. Many

:52:16.:52:21.

smaller countries than us around Europe. Talk to them about

:52:21.:52:24.

independence and the just understand it. What we're going to

:52:24.:52:30.

debate and vote on and 2014 is that we can do this better. I do not

:52:30.:52:35.

think the UK is a failed state but we could do an awful lot better.

:52:35.:52:39.

could do a lot better than smaller states could move more quickly and

:52:39.:52:46.

focus on key issues? You will not be surprised to hear me say, not

:52:46.:52:50.

for the first time, that I think we are better together, but I think it

:52:50.:52:59.

might give us the influence of a state like Cyprus or Slovenia,

:53:00.:53:09.
:53:10.:53:11.

which I think detracts from the influence of the United Kingdom.

:53:11.:53:19.

The United Kingdom has a very sophisticated network of posts and

:53:19.:53:22.

ambassadors around the world. Scotland would not have access to

:53:22.:53:27.

that. When you take the issue of something like Scotch whisky and

:53:27.:53:32.

the importance of ensuring that is not subject to tariffs which make

:53:32.:53:38.

it difficult to export, then it is that over all diplomatic influence

:53:38.:53:44.

and a nationally which will serve us best. It will be a long time

:53:44.:53:53.

before it reaches the peak status of Whitehall. Thank you both.

:53:53.:53:55.

Scottish farmers have been left suffering by the atrocious weather

:53:55.:53:58.

conditions The NFU say almost 34,000 dead sheep had to be

:53:58.:54:01.

collected from the hills after the winter storms. This comes after the

:54:01.:54:04.

miserable, wet summer. As Laura Maxwell reports, a �6 million aid

:54:04.:54:14.
:54:14.:54:14.

package has been announced by the Scottish government.

:54:14.:54:21.

March 2012, and spring was picture- perfect. Temperatures soared to 23

:54:21.:54:27.

Celsius. March 2013 was a different picture with blizzards bringing

:54:27.:54:32.

down phone lines and cutting of entire communities four days.

:54:33.:54:38.

got up to another group just further up... Its in the claim

:54:38.:54:44.

clear of their where other victims were animals buried alive.

:54:44.:54:52.

Thousands of young lambs and sheep were lost. We are unable to get to

:54:52.:54:58.

most of these chic. My losses and in the region of 200 or 250 lambs.

:54:58.:55:04.

It is huge financially. Even before the snow thought, the Government

:55:04.:55:09.

promised have a million pounds to help remove dead livestock from the

:55:09.:55:15.

hills, and this week �6 million worth of aid has been announced

:55:15.:55:21.

targeted at those affected by the recent snow. We can meet in the

:55:21.:55:29.

coming days to look at how we can help the rest of the sector. The

:55:29.:55:32.

cost may be into tens of millions of pounds but we're still measuring

:55:32.:55:37.

the cost of the impact of the weather. It comes at the end of

:55:37.:55:43.

what has been a very difficult year. There was bricked in the Western

:55:43.:55:48.

Isles, sandstorms have covered fields, and in the Borders flooding.

:55:48.:55:54.

The weather has piled on the pressure. For most, the continual

:55:54.:55:59.

rain has been the overriding problem ruining many crops last

:55:59.:56:06.

year and making sewing this year very tricky. It has been totally

:56:06.:56:13.

impossible here to so any cereals. You always hope it will be a good

:56:13.:56:17.

year next year and that keep you going but it invariably is not. You

:56:17.:56:23.

are always hoping for. 2013 has been at devastating year for some

:56:23.:56:31.

of Scotland's livestock farmers and it is not looking much better for

:56:31.:56:35.

their arable counterparts. It is a waiting game to see if it will warm

:56:35.:56:40.

up and the rain will stop for warm enough for Scotland's farmers to

:56:40.:56:43.

see any signs of growth. I'm now joined in the studio by Nigel

:56:44.:56:51.

Miller, President of the National Farmers Union in Scotland. You are

:56:51.:56:57.

a farmer yourself, what has it been a like for you? You a piece was a

:56:57.:57:02.

very good overview of the climate and this has been that the Perfect

:57:02.:57:09.

Storm but it has gone on for I year and it has impacted on every sector.

:57:09.:57:13.

We did a survey in the winter and even then we knew it was bad,

:57:13.:57:19.

probably more than 80% of farmers had 20% less fodder than usual and

:57:19.:57:26.

when it came to winter crops, 30% had not managed to sow their usual

:57:26.:57:34.

quota. That was not a good position to be in with money running out. We

:57:34.:57:41.

had to renegotiate. A pretty difficult year and then going into

:57:41.:57:47.

2013, probably the coldest March on records. They're really

:57:47.:57:50.

overwhelming storm for a couple of days and then a difficult April as

:57:50.:57:59.

well. 2013 will not be a good year whatever we do now. We heard in the

:57:59.:58:02.

report the �6 million aid package from the Scottish government. How

:58:02.:58:08.

will you ensure that is targeted at the people that need it most?

:58:08.:58:12.

a lifeline and hopefully a bridge to help people get to the summer

:58:12.:58:19.

weather. The figures and the last few days say that of a 700 million

:58:19.:58:23.

has been stepped out in the UK terms, so it is not a huge amount

:58:23.:58:28.

of money but we think if we can target those businesses and farmers

:58:29.:58:33.

that have taken significant hits, and this is the kind of farm that

:58:33.:58:38.

might have lost 30% of their potential production, we can pause

:58:38.:58:41.

the spiralled downwards to give them a platform to become

:58:41.:58:51.

stabilised. These businesses will not begin to recover until 2014.

:58:51.:58:55.

the �6 million proportionate to what Scottish farmers contribute?

:58:55.:59:05.
:59:05.:59:07.

In many ways, we have a very close relationship with the land. A big

:59:07.:59:12.

part of the economy, we underpin the biggest manufacturing sector,

:59:12.:59:19.

food, and that generates millions of exports. It is very important

:59:19.:59:23.

and I think the Government has recognised that importance and the

:59:23.:59:26.

partnership the Government has with the food sector and farming shows

:59:26.:59:32.

how important it is to maintain, not just for food security but also

:59:32.:59:39.

to develop our industry and exports. It has been a sad and difficult

:59:39.:59:45.

time for farmers, perhaps difficult to detach yourself emotionally, but

:59:45.:59:50.

it is heavily subsidised. Many in this these would look on and say

:59:50.:59:57.

you received a lot of government support, is that there? This is the

:59:57.:00:01.

comet that comes up fairly often and the reality is the whole of

:00:02.:00:07.

Europe supports us quite heavily. They do it in different ways and it

:00:07.:00:12.

is about underpinning a core part of production. It is one thing that

:00:12.:00:17.

is vital for the whole of life and we are looking at doubling food

:00:17.:00:23.

needs over the next 20 years and that is extraordinary. Unless we

:00:23.:00:27.

look after the basic structure, we are going to find that food

:00:27.:00:31.

security becomes not just something we talk about but something that

:00:31.:00:37.

actually impacts on us every day. The Scottish government is setting

:00:37.:00:43.

up a working group with the industry. What might be discuss?

:00:43.:00:47.

That will be on Wednesday and it will be about targeting money to

:00:47.:00:55.

actually identify the ad is we know that the storms hit. We are also

:00:55.:00:58.

looking at other parts of Scotland where we know there have been

:00:58.:01:04.

significant issues. The mental health of farmers as critical as

:01:04.:01:10.

well? I have had a lot of members on the phone and these sort of

:01:10.:01:15.

losses are not easy to handle on the last year has not been easy.

:01:15.:01:20.

With the financial pressure, it is not easy and one of the telling

:01:20.:01:24.

factors is knowing that it is difficult going out and having to

:01:24.:01:29.

work until 10pm at night and being unsure. This package is a lifeline

:01:29.:01:39.
:01:39.:01:41.

for people like that. Now time for the news.

:01:41.:01:45.

Nigel Evans, the deputy Speaker of the House of Commons has said that

:01:45.:01:50.

allegations of sexual assault against him are completely false.

:01:50.:01:54.

He was released on bail last night after being questioned by police

:01:54.:02:01.

for several hours. Nigel Evans was questioned until

:02:01.:02:04.

late last night by police and emerged from his home this morning

:02:04.:02:09.

to a make this statement. I was interviewed by the police

:02:09.:02:13.

concerning two complaints, one of which dates back four years, made

:02:13.:02:18.

by two people who are well known to each other and who until yesterday

:02:19.:02:23.

I regarded as friends. The complaints are completely false and

:02:23.:02:28.

they cannot understand why they have been made especially as I have

:02:28.:02:33.

continued to socialise with one as recent play as last week. He was

:02:33.:02:38.

arrested yesterday and questioned on suspicion of sexual assault. The

:02:38.:02:41.

alleged victims are said to be men in their twenties and he was

:02:41.:02:47.

released on bail. He was selected as MP for Ribble Valley back in

:02:47.:02:54.

1992. He was elected as deputy Speaker in 2010. In the same year,

:02:54.:03:00.

he came out as gay saying he did not want another light. His

:03:00.:03:02.

colleague Philip Harman said a decision would have to be made

:03:02.:03:11.

about his future. We should treat people as innocent until proven

:03:11.:03:15.

guilty but it is difficult to carry out a high profile role under the

:03:15.:03:20.

scrutiny. He says he will not be standing down and says it is

:03:20.:03:26.

business as usual. The chairman of the BBC Trust has

:03:26.:03:30.

rejected calls for a separate inquiry into the activities of

:03:30.:03:37.

Stuart Hall at the BBC. He has admitted indecently assaulting 13

:03:37.:03:43.

girls from the 1960s until the 1980s. Lord Patten said that

:03:43.:03:46.

concerns about his behaviour could be dealt with by an inquiry already

:03:46.:03:56.
:03:56.:03:59.

been carried out by the BBC. Plainly, there was something about

:03:59.:04:04.

the celebrity culture in the 1960s and 1980s which meant people turned

:04:04.:04:09.

a blind eye to behaviour that was thoroughly unpleasant.

:04:10.:04:13.

Syrian state television said the scientific research centre has been

:04:13.:04:19.

hit by an Israeli missile strike. People in the area report hearing a

:04:19.:04:26.

massive explosion over night. What more do we know about this. There

:04:26.:04:31.

is very little hard information but what we can say fairly clearly is

:04:31.:04:35.

that there was at least one enormous explosion on the north-

:04:35.:04:43.

west edge of the city of Damascus. That is shown in footage posted on

:04:43.:04:48.

the internet by activists. The question is what was actually hit.

:04:48.:04:58.

The Syrian regime are saying it was a technical research institute.

:04:58.:05:07.

They are saying that the different kinds of targets were hit. That

:05:07.:05:12.

would be a bit surprising because Israel does not want to get

:05:12.:05:19.

involved in the conflict. They want to prevent arms from being handed

:05:19.:05:23.

over are coming through it and ran. What they're seeing off the record

:05:23.:05:29.

is there going for rockets and missiles that there may what to

:05:29.:05:34.

pass to his bluff. We are in the dark over what was actually hit.

:05:34.:05:38.

There is duty showing what they say were targets there but it includes

:05:38.:05:42.

things like chicken farms and some installations were not shown very

:05:42.:05:52.
:05:52.:06:03.

A former UK ambassador has told this programme that Scotland would

:06:03.:06:08.

be welcome as a member state to the United Nations but it would have to

:06:08.:06:15.

find its own way. Jeremy Greenstock said that the impact would be lost

:06:15.:06:19.

to an independent Scotland that it has with the UK. It would be to

:06:19.:06:24.

form alliances. The impact that the UK has would be lost to Scotland

:06:24.:06:29.

but Scotland would be speaking with the voice of Scotland, it would

:06:29.:06:33.

have the Scottish label. Impact would have to be established

:06:33.:06:38.

through the performance of its individuals at a high

:06:38.:06:46.

representative level. Two women died in a car crash yesterday.

:06:46.:06:53.

They died at the scene of this car crash near Ely. One boy and one man

:06:53.:06:58.

were also travelling by a car or and taken to hospital with serious

:06:58.:07:02.

injuries. The boy was then taken to the Southern General hospital by

:07:02.:07:07.

air ambulance in Glasgow. There were three games in the a SPL this

:07:07.:07:12.

afternoon. Celtic's game is getting under way

:07:12.:07:22.
:07:22.:07:29.

now., Nick play host to Hibernian. It will be cloudy across western

:07:29.:07:34.

Scotland. Rain will be light and patchy but become more persistent

:07:34.:07:39.

two words North Argyll later. The best of the sunshine is in eastern

:07:39.:07:45.

Scotland. Here we will see the highest temperatures, up to 18 or

:07:45.:07:51.

19 Celsius. It is quite mild but also breezy especially along the

:07:51.:08:01.
:08:01.:08:03.

West coast. We will be back at 650 Thanks, Graham.

:08:03.:08:06.

It was the revenge of the "clowns and fruitcakes", as UKIP's

:08:06.:08:08.

political opponents had characterised them. A powerful

:08:08.:08:10.

showing at this week's English local government elections means

:08:10.:08:13.

the party's influence is on the increase, down south at least. But

:08:13.:08:16.

what about the indirect impact in Scotland of UKIP's success story?

:08:16.:08:24.

Our political correspondent Niall This one celebrated, the

:08:24.:08:30.

Westminster mainstream were drowning their sorrows. UKIP's

:08:30.:08:34.

success made Nigel Farage the toast of his party. It left the Tories

:08:34.:08:40.

and Lib Dems crying into their beer. Instalment date struggle to make an

:08:40.:08:44.

impression. -- in Scotland they have struggled to make an

:08:44.:08:52.

impression. UKIP regularly finished last, in Edinburgh one of their

:08:52.:08:56.

candidates did as well as this pink when. Does that mean that Scottish

:08:56.:09:02.

people are up more pro-Europe than those down south? I don't think

:09:02.:09:12.
:09:12.:09:12.

there's the same antipathy to words the EU. We're not so worried about

:09:12.:09:18.

the loss of English identity. There is an anti-European view in

:09:18.:09:24.

Scotland but it is not one that UKIP are able to tap into. They

:09:24.:09:29.

want independent from Europe, not independence in Europe. They say

:09:29.:09:32.

that their numbers are at increasing its column because of

:09:32.:09:36.

disillusionment with Alex Salmond and the SNP. He would like people

:09:36.:09:40.

to think that we're going to govern our own country, but he is going to

:09:40.:09:47.

move directly under the heel of Brussels. People are fed up with

:09:47.:09:54.

the diktat from Brussels. That is coming across. You kept could do

:09:54.:09:59.

drive the Tories of their seats in Europe in the next elections.

:09:59.:10:05.

UKIP. We're confident that our support as well stand by us and we

:10:05.:10:10.

are working hard to keep our supporters. We have heard about the

:10:10.:10:13.

threat from UKIP in Scotland for a number of years, it has not

:10:13.:10:17.

materialised. We believe we will keep her supporters by giving them

:10:17.:10:22.

the best deals for Scotland. Despite strong results in local

:10:22.:10:25.

elections in England and Wales on Thursday, but party seems farther

:10:25.:10:34.

than ever to getting a foothold here in Holyrood. David Cameron's

:10:34.:10:44.
:10:44.:10:44.

commitment to hold a referendum on EU is widely seen as a reason to

:10:44.:10:49.

vote for Conservatives. It is clear that David Cameron and a Tories are

:10:49.:10:58.

running scared of UKIP. UKIP are all irrelevant thoughts to Scotland.

:10:58.:11:00.

They are dragging Scollan to the exit door rope Europe whether we

:11:00.:11:05.

want to go there are not, that is the Conservatives. The only

:11:05.:11:15.

Scotland has choice is by choosing independence. Nigel Briers has an

:11:15.:11:20.

image as an antidote to be elite of Westminster. So far that has not

:11:20.:11:29.

won many votes from the North of the border. But scholars place in

:11:29.:11:37.

the EU could still habits time cold. -- Scotland's.

:11:37.:11:40.

I'm now joined here in the studio by Dr Nicola McEwen of Edinburgh

:11:40.:11:42.

University's political department and the political commentator, Iain

:11:42.:11:50.

McWhirter is in Edinburgh. What evidence is there to say that

:11:50.:11:55.

Scotland is more pro-European? Scotland is not a nation of

:11:55.:12:00.

Europhiles but there is about more it pro-European feeling here.

:12:00.:12:04.

was recent evidence from a poll that asked exactly how it Scottish

:12:04.:12:10.

people would vote if a referendum on the UK happened over whether to

:12:10.:12:15.

withdraw from Europe or not. A comfortable majority favoured

:12:15.:12:19.

staying within the European Union. That is different from polls that

:12:19.:12:24.

take place in England. Do you agree with that? In the Sunday Herald

:12:24.:12:30.

today UKIP say that it is a problem in that Scotland's big cities. It

:12:30.:12:34.

is not. It is nothing like the antipathy towards immigration in

:12:34.:12:39.

some areas south of the border. Similarly, there is not the

:12:39.:12:45.

opposition to Europe. You do not have the transmission belts but

:12:45.:12:48.

that sort of Euro-scepticism in Scotland because the Tories are

:12:48.:12:52.

largely politically a relevant here and UKIP has made no progress

:12:52.:12:58.

whatsoever. It will upset the balance if you like of the whole

:12:58.:13:02.

debate over independence in Scotland, because the presumption

:13:02.:13:07.

this father has always been, you heard it from Sir Menzies Campbell

:13:07.:13:15.

earlier in this programme, that the SNP would damage staying in the EU,

:13:15.:13:21.

Scotland might be thrown out as a consequence of a voting "yes" in

:13:21.:13:26.

the referendum. But Scotland could find itself out of the EU by

:13:26.:13:35.

remaining with the UK. In the 2014, a few months before the referendum,

:13:35.:13:40.

we had the European elections. On this showing, UKIP are going to win

:13:40.:13:47.

it. England are put at just lurching to the right. -- are

:13:47.:13:56.

perhaps. I think UKIP will do well in the EU elections, it is their

:13:56.:14:00.

turf. So close to the referendum it will have an impact, but it is hard

:14:00.:14:05.

to see how it will have an impact. A lot depends on the parties that

:14:05.:14:11.

lose as a result of that. If a Labour Party holds up then it could

:14:11.:14:16.

make a UK election victory for them in at 2015 a little more likely.

:14:16.:14:20.

That potentially makes the union more attractive. On the other hand,

:14:20.:14:27.

if all of the mainstream parties do badly at UKIP's expense, the union

:14:28.:14:35.

looks less attractive for Scottish people. If Labour do well in people

:14:35.:14:40.

were think that the Conservatives will not be in power for too long.

:14:40.:14:44.

Could that have an influence in the referendum? It could but I think we

:14:44.:14:48.

will hear some quite Euro-sceptic noises from Labour in the next few

:14:48.:14:51.

months as well. They realise they cannot afford to stand aside from

:14:51.:14:57.

what is quite clearly a tide of opinion south of the border. Not

:14:57.:15:03.

only in terms of Europe, also on welfare reform, immigration, things

:15:03.:15:07.

like a gay marriage. We're seeing political culture south of the

:15:07.:15:11.

border moving quite rapidly towards the right. We have always -- we

:15:11.:15:15.

have already had Theresa May discussing that human rights might

:15:15.:15:20.

need to be suspended. We already have tighter immigration policies

:15:20.:15:24.

coming under way. And there is also this welfare reform agenda which

:15:24.:15:29.

has not been popular north of the border. Looking at this question a

:15:29.:15:33.

of Europe, perhaps we in Scotland ignore it slightly because we're so

:15:33.:15:39.

focused on independence. Yes, the focus on the you low mac has so far

:15:39.:15:43.

been about whether an independent Scotland would be entitled to join

:15:43.:15:51.

so far. -- EU. But this does take us on two issues of substance. If

:15:51.:15:55.

we look at the UK withdrawing from the European Union, that would

:15:55.:15:58.

create enormous challenges for Scotland whether it was independent

:15:58.:16:04.

or not. If you were looking at a vision of the independence that in

:16:04.:16:07.

bed sit in the British Isles, looking at a shared labour market

:16:07.:16:12.

and currency, that creates really big difficulties if you were

:16:12.:16:16.

looking at being within the European Union but the rest of the

:16:16.:16:23.

UK not being. What you make of that? Are we ignoring the European

:16:23.:16:28.

question to her detriment? I do not think it is being a ignored. Most

:16:28.:16:32.

of the last 12 months Europe has been the dominant issue in the

:16:32.:16:36.

referendum campaign. That is ever since Alex Salmond suggested that

:16:36.:16:39.

he had legal advice saying that Scotland would remain as a

:16:39.:16:44.

succession state. That was not quite the case. That is a different

:16:44.:16:53.

aspect, though. A different aspect from what? The debate about Alex

:16:53.:16:58.

Salmon to and the regulation on the Europe and so on. That is ignoring

:16:58.:17:04.

the UK debate on Europe. I am saying that that is how the you

:17:04.:17:07.

appear debate has been conducted north of the border. Clearly the

:17:07.:17:13.

UKIP advance is going to hold to that very significantly. As far as

:17:13.:17:19.

the case for Scotland remaining in de EU, most Scott was should people

:17:19.:17:24.

probably go along with that. -- most Scottish people. I do not

:17:24.:17:30.

think there is a huge demand for Scotland to be removed. There was

:17:30.:17:35.

an issue over fisheries which still continues to rankle in the North

:17:35.:17:38.

East but I do not think it is anything like the issue it was

:17:38.:17:41.

before. It is not because Scottish people are hugely enthusiastic

:17:41.:17:46.

about Europe, it is just that you look at opinion polls only about 6%

:17:46.:17:50.

of Scottish people see it as the most important issue in any

:17:50.:17:54.

election. It does not have the same political resonance as you see

:17:55.:18:03.

south of the border. We only to leave it there.

:18:03.:18:06.

Now, a leading Scottish QC has set out a number of proposals to

:18:06.:18:09.

radically reform the Scottish justice system. Writing in The Sun,

:18:09.:18:11.

Derek Ogg says his blueprint is controversial but it will help

:18:11.:18:14.

ensure fairness. He wants to see the three traditional Scottish

:18:14.:18:17.

verdicts - guilty, not guilty, not proven - replaced with just proven

:18:17.:18:20.

or not proven. Rationally, he says, a juror can not say "not guilty".

:18:20.:18:23.

The most they can say is that beyond reasonable doubt a case has

:18:23.:18:29.

been proved or not proven. There is a suggestion to cut the size of

:18:29.:18:33.

juries from the present 15 members down to 10. The majority verdict

:18:33.:18:37.

would be kept at 8 though. Jurors would also be allowed to access the

:18:37.:18:40.

internet as they have no legal training and should be allowed to

:18:40.:18:42.

research the subject matter. His biggest fear is that corroboration

:18:42.:18:52.
:18:52.:18:58.

could be axed. The QC says it is an The Scottish Government have given

:18:58.:19:04.

us this response. We welcome any plans to improve the efficiency of

:19:04.:19:10.

Scotland's Court, we are trying to create a more modern justice system

:19:10.:19:13.

that is fair and efficient. Joining me now in the studio is

:19:13.:19:22.

Derek Ogg QC. It is a controversial move. Is it fair for someone to

:19:22.:19:29.

move out of court when they have had a not guilty verdict, not

:19:29.:19:35.

proven leaves a cloud of suspicion. Not really. I really think we all

:19:35.:19:41.

know that we're not proven. If everyone understands that that

:19:41.:19:45.

means not guilty, been everybody does understand that if they walk

:19:45.:19:51.

out of the Crown Prosecution and the Crown Prosecution has not

:19:51.:19:56.

maintained their case against them, there are not guilty. The changing

:19:56.:20:00.

the meaning of these verdicts is that explains better to a jury what

:20:00.:20:03.

they're there to do. There are not there to look into somebody's heart

:20:03.:20:08.

or conscience, they cannot do that. There are not there to remember

:20:08.:20:13.

what happened, they were not there. But the at their to say that the

:20:13.:20:17.

case that has been brought in front of them, I be satisfied?

:20:17.:20:21.

Prosecutors are being told to prove that beyond reasonable doubt. Has

:20:21.:20:29.

that been done? It easy for it proved orators not proved. -- it is

:20:29.:20:38.

either a proved or it is not proved. What about lowering the number of

:20:38.:20:45.

Jura as? He would save �0.5 million simply in administrative costs to

:20:45.:20:53.

start with. A smaller number gives that number more time to talk about

:20:53.:20:59.

issues. It simply is a more manageable number. I would say in

:20:59.:21:03.

Scotland, if you go to the beginning of the jury system around

:21:03.:21:07.

the 12th century. There was no fixed number of forgeries then. It

:21:07.:21:17.
:21:17.:21:29.

was always just locals who were a Why are you making these comments

:21:29.:21:37.

now do? The reason I make the comments now it is because of a

:21:38.:21:43.

number of things combining together. The idea we can do away with

:21:43.:21:50.

corroboration which is the biggest safeguard in Scots law. There is no

:21:50.:21:55.

duty in minor cases but still in serious cases. The corroboration

:21:55.:22:01.

issue is there. The case with Chris Huhne where the dewy word this

:22:01.:22:06.

charged because the asked too many questions which the lawyer said

:22:06.:22:11.

where rather silly questions. They were mocked for wanting to make

:22:11.:22:16.

inquiry. The jury system is valuable and important to us but we

:22:16.:22:23.

want to bring it up to date and modernise it. That includes having

:22:23.:22:27.

access to the Internet, even a website dedicated to the particular

:22:27.:22:31.

trial they are involved in, and what are some of the consequences

:22:31.:22:35.

of Scots law and self defence and provocation and acting together

:22:35.:22:43.

with others. Briefly, do you have support from legal colleagues?

:22:43.:22:51.

There is an appetite amongst the legal profession for reform.

:22:51.:22:54.

Now in a moment, we'll be discussing what's making news in

:22:54.:22:57.

politics at Holyrood this week and next, but first, let's take a look

:22:57.:23:07.
:23:07.:23:08.

back at the Week in 60 seconds. Three soldiers from the Royal

:23:08.:23:11.

Regiment of Scotland where killed in Afghanistan went a vehicle was

:23:11.:23:17.

hit by a roadside bomb. Westminster's Foreign Affairs

:23:17.:23:21.

Committee say the UK's international status would suffer

:23:21.:23:28.

if Scotland became independent. Scotland's most senior prosecutor

:23:28.:23:30.

criticised the UK Business Secretary Vince Cable after he

:23:30.:23:35.

called for a quick decision on the prosecution of former bosses are at

:23:35.:23:38.

the Royal Bank of Scotland. The Scotch Whisky Association lost

:23:38.:23:41.

a legal challenge against government plans to introduce

:23:41.:23:49.

minimum unit price things. decision to appeal should not come

:23:49.:23:56.

up as a surprise. They should respect the democratic decision of

:23:56.:24:01.

these Scottish Parliament. Douglas Alexander said Scotland

:24:01.:24:06.

needs to find ways to disagree with it being disagreeable ahead of the

:24:06.:24:10.

independence referendum. That was the week that was. Let's

:24:10.:24:16.

now focus on the big stories and check out the week ahead.

:24:16.:24:19.

This week we have Peter McMahon from the Scotsman and the

:24:19.:24:29.
:24:29.:24:31.

journalist and author Kirsty Scott. Thank you for joining us. Updike

:24:31.:24:36.

issue this week has been the on line rolling story after Susan

:24:36.:24:46.
:24:46.:24:47.

Carmen was heavily criticised online. A story here about

:24:47.:24:53.

nationalism and fascism in Scotland on Sunday. For this is a very

:24:53.:24:58.

worrying that element. To have a debate in Scotland about

:24:58.:25:02.

independence and the constitutional future, it has to be conducted in a

:25:02.:25:07.

way that allows people to express strong views but where they are not

:25:07.:25:15.

vilified on either side. The point was made by Fiona Hyslop that if

:25:15.:25:25.
:25:25.:25:25.

you mention Scotland on Sunday, up a column today praises Douglas

:25:25.:25:28.

Alexander and cost are exactly the same thing. We have to have that

:25:28.:25:33.

and we have to have a civilised debate and cannot have trolling on

:25:33.:25:39.

end the side. Both sides are keen to point out that their victims are

:25:39.:25:45.

of this kind of behaviour. Most it is not fair to say that most of it

:25:45.:25:50.

is coming from the nationalist side. Nicholas Budgen said she had death

:25:50.:25:55.

threats so it is getting to a worrying level. It has always been

:25:55.:26:00.

there but it has built. It was a pretty bad couple of weeks for the

:26:00.:26:05.

Yes campaign in terms of currency and foreign affairs. A lot of

:26:06.:26:09.

issues they were on the back but about and he tends to see then that

:26:09.:26:14.

when people are just actually reporting, the end up having

:26:14.:26:22.

horrendous abuse targeted at them. They are just doing their jobs and

:26:22.:26:26.

back-up lot columns today are saying, line in the sand, this has

:26:26.:26:35.

to stop now. This kind of French is not doing anyone any favours.

:26:35.:26:44.

you see this behaviour stopping? I'd like to think it will. --

:26:45.:26:53.

fringe. You would hope perhaps that when senior figures in the SNP and

:26:53.:26:58.

the Labour Party speak out about it that those who are doing this might

:26:58.:27:04.

listen. What we have to do is focus on doing our jobs as journalists,

:27:04.:27:09.

presenting these stories as they come along. We should be analysing

:27:09.:27:17.

policies. We have to try and make sure it is a proper debate. That

:27:17.:27:22.

does not mean that people cannot have very strongly held views but

:27:22.:27:26.

we must be able to express them without these kinds of people

:27:26.:27:31.

intimidating them. We have always prided ourselves on being a

:27:31.:27:37.

tolerant nation. It is important to point out that some people within

:27:37.:27:45.

the SNP are getting similar abuse. Andrew Wilson is getting some

:27:45.:27:50.

hassle on line as a nationalist for complementing Douglas Alexander!

:27:50.:27:56.

Let's move on to the issue of UK it. Nigel Farage was in the Sunday

:27:56.:28:05.

Herald today with a clown's red nose. It is possibly been

:28:05.:28:10.

overstated. The media are very caught up in it but two-thirds of

:28:10.:28:16.

people who could what did not vote. It was a resounding success for

:28:16.:28:21.

them as they are but in terms of Scotland, we do not think they will

:28:21.:28:26.

have the same impact. The say they are now heading north and hoping to

:28:26.:28:36.
:28:36.:28:36.

set up in cities up here. England at moves to the right, what

:28:36.:28:41.

effect could that have on the independence referendum? I thought

:28:41.:28:47.

she made a very interesting point which is what about if you have

:28:47.:28:54.

independence where Scotland is tied to the pound Stirling currency and

:28:54.:28:59.

then the UK opts out of the EU? Where does that leave Scotland or

:28:59.:29:02.

any combination of Scotland voting for independence and then there is

:29:02.:29:09.

a blot on the EU. That is a huge extra dimension and I am not quite

:29:09.:29:15.

sure where they then stand on it in the SNP. Where they would stand on

:29:15.:29:21.

the pounds Stirling if the UK was moving out of Europe. The SNP may

:29:21.:29:26.

see it as quite handy to see that England is lurching to the right

:29:26.:29:31.

but why then tie yourself into a shared currency? It raises as many

:29:31.:29:38.

questions as answer has. What about the UKIP themselves making some

:29:38.:29:47.

progress in Scotland? I do not think it is as big an issue and

:29:47.:29:51.

when you look at where they did well in England it is particular ad

:29:51.:30:00.

is where they have been talking of immigration. You cannot ignore

:30:00.:30:06.

ordinary people's views that they have worries about it. I do not

:30:06.:30:10.

think Scots necessarily are that different, it is just not as bigger

:30:10.:30:15.

issue here. Up are Scots more pro- European than their English may be

:30:15.:30:20.

as? I think so and we always have been and 10 to have an

:30:20.:30:26.

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