15/09/2013 Sunday Politics South


15/09/2013

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after the summer recess, and the party conference season is already

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upon us. First, the Liberal Democrats. Have a great conference.

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Nick Clegg has some convincing to do, according to our very own Sunday

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Politics poll, his troops don't like his coalition bedmates. The latest

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poll of the country also has the Lib Dems languishing behind UKIP in

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fourth place, with only 9%. Paddy Ashdown! So can the Lib Dems

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claw their way back, come the election in 2015? We will talking to

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former leader, now the party's general election commander-in-chief,

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Paddy Ashdown. George Osborne is a happy bunny

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Might affect our these days,

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now heading for the exit. We will hear from Nick Clegg on what it

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And freshly showered from the Great North Run and looking as fresh as

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daisies, the best and brightest Janan Ganesh, Helen Lewis and Iain

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Now, their leader is our Deputy Prime Minister. They are the junior

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government. They like the colour yellow and they have not won a

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general election since dinosaurs walked the earth. Now they are

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behind UKIP in the polls, so as walked the earth. Now they are

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party gathers for its annual bash this year in Glasgow, what is on

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their mind? Who are the people gathering at the Clyde this weekend?

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their mind? Who are the people Before they started drinking, we

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councillors in England and Wales, comrade. The first question we asked

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was, if the next election results in a hung parliament, which team would

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you rather go into coalition with, the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem

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councillors said Labour, two to the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem

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Tories or Labour? It is not for the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem

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to say. It is for the voters to say. We will decide depending on

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is on the table. Who would you rather play table football against?

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because I am winning. So in the winning 's which ones are heading

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popular policy was a mansion tax on house is worth more than £2 million,

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popular policy was a mansion tax on councillors. The next most popular

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policy was scrapping the Trident nuclear deterrent, supported by

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policy was scrapping the Trident of councillors. Then there was the

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reinstatement of the 50p top rate of income tax. 70% of councillors like

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the look of that. When it came to the idea of banning the burka in

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public places like schools and airports, 45% of councillors were in

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favour. Finally, a ban on topless Page three model is won the support

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of 33% of councillors. Why is it so popular, the idea of a mansion tax?

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It is a much fairer tax. We know there are people out there with

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It is a much fairer tax. We know expensive houses. Which of these is

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most important to you? Banning Trident. The cold war ended in

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1989. Another one was the idea of banning the burka in public places.

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whatever they like. If they want to banning the burka in public places.

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wear the birth or a kilt or if they anything. We are the party of jobs.

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Thank you. Last night, a fully clothed Nick Clegg rallied his

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troops, but if he was not around, who would Lib Dem councillors want

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instead? Business Secretary Vince Cable was most popular, with a third

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of the votes. In second place, the party's president, Tim Farron, with

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27%. 10% went to Danny Alexander, while the business minister Joe

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Swinson received 7%. The Energy Secretary Ed Davey scooped 6%, and

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in last place, Steve Webb, the pensions minister, who got 5%. If

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any of these councillors want to talk to me about it, I would be

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delighted to hear from them. Is talk to me about it, I would be

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certainly isn't. What do you think contenders. But our survey is not

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the only one that has got tongues wagging in Glasgow, because the

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the only one that has got tongues Dem leadership have commissioned

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their own poll which showed that 75% Dem leadership have commissioned

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of the country will never vote Dem leadership have commissioned

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the party, no matter what they do. Also meeting here this weekend,

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the party, no matter what they do. Democrats like to think they have

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got just as much va-va-voom, even if a big chunk of the country doesn't.

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Add, back in his hometown. So, the Much of their party thinks they

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Add, back in his hometown. So, the moving in the wrong direction.

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Earlier, I spoke to former party moving in the wrong direction.

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leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been put in charge of heading up the

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leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been election campaign. I asked him if

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the mood in Glasgow was grim. No. In many ways, as you know, Tory old

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commentator that you are just as I am a hoary old member at the other

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end of the camera, we have been midterm of a government, especially

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when you are in government and the country is going for in a deep

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economic crisis, has almost no relevance to where you might be

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economic crisis, has almost no the nipple come to consider how

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economic crisis, has almost no will vote in 600 days time -- when

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the people come to consider how will vote in 600 days time -- when

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, but they are a snapshot of what

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, indication of where we will be.

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, guess is, for what it is worth,

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, as we come to the election, the

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public will be in a very serious, probably frightened mood. Their

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public will be in a very serious, thoughts will be, who maintains

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public will be in a very serious, job, makes sure I don't have to

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public will be in a very serious, to higher mortgage? The coalition

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has delivered not only the required policies to make Britain's economy

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prosperous, but also its society fair. That is what people will want

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to see. I think coalition politics are here to stay and we have a role

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to play in it. But you are in a are here to stay and we have a role

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mood this morning. You tweeted that you were not happy with how the

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Observer newspaper handled your there anything we can do to help?

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There is probably something they arguments with the interview. The

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headline they chose to put on it late last night was outrageous,

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misrepresentative and in one case in Something about Ashdown wants a

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coalition with the Tories, or at Something about Ashdown wants a

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least they gave that in for us Something about Ashdown wants a

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inference. Let me make this point. election. I am in charge of the

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campaign. Any journalist who in these next two years says that any

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything else in terms of the outcome of

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything coalition but the result of the

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ballot box dictating that outcome, that any prefer one side to another

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coalition determined by the electors that any prefer one side to another

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in the votes, will get a bloody that any prefer one side to another

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time from me, no matter who they are. We take the warning. A survey

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in coalition with the Tories. That

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in clear sign that your activists want

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a change of direction. I don't think it is news that as a left-wing

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party, we find it more congenial with those on the left wing, but

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that is not the issue. You saw it election. We are servants of the

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ballot box. We do watch the British people require us to do to provide a

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of our country. I am sure you have stable government in the interests

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of our country. I am sure you have got the point by now. I have fought

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the Tories all my life. But when responsibility to amend the economic

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crisis, was this right for the determine who are going to be in any

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coalition, should there be one, determine who are going to be in any

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voters and nobody else. It is not about what we like. I understand

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that. But your own internal polls leadership are not taking the party

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with them on that. I don't think that is true. Nick Clegg has done

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what no other party leader has done. He took the coalition agreement

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what no other party leader has done. the party, and they voted for it. So

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it is not true to say that members different direction. I think we

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it is not true to say that members extraordinarily united. I did not

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expect them to be so under these pressures, but they have surprised

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me and made me joyful at the same time. The party has done what it

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done in local government for a long time. We may have our private likes

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and dislikes, but the thing that coalition is the ballot box. You

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have said that three times. I can say it again if you like. Please

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don't! What if your party votes say it again if you like. Please

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reinstate tuition fees as party policy afternoon? We will have to

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listen to that and act accordingly. You must listen to the voice of

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listen to that and act accordingly. party and take it into account in

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what you do. I am always quite answering hypothetical questions. I

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don't think it is likely to happen, but if it did, we would have to

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don't think it is likely to happen, distinguished Lib Dems was that

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don't think it is likely to happen, your party conference voted for

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something, it was in the manifesto. The manifesto is taken in its final

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form before the party for decision. The party will express views at

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form before the party for decision. stage in all sorts of ways. It did

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in my leadership, too. The manifesto is democratically agreed by the

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party at the time of the election, not before. The Tory conference

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party at the time of the election, be about how they think they have

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been vindicated, that austerity be about how they think they have

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worked, the economy is turning a corner. But Nick Clegg's conference

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announcements will be about plastic bags. Have you got the hang of this

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coalition think? Andrew, you can always be guaranteed to put things

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in the most discreditable form! always be guaranteed to put things

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is part of your charm. That was about to be a minor announcement in

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discovered beforehand. It has not the middle of his speech. But it was

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discovered beforehand. It has not been very popular in terms of how it

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has been received, but that is not the central message. That leads

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has been received, but that is not to what I think is the biggest

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election. Isn't the biggest danger that the Tories, not you, if there

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is an economic recovery, they will get the credit for it? I don't think

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think the electorate does gratitude. The only time people cast a thank

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Thatcher over the sale of council houses. We could have a different

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discussion over whether that was a good idea. But what you have done is

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the underpinning for the promise of government, we have stayed firm

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the underpinning for the promise of very tough economic policy. But

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the underpinning for the promise of you get the credit? What we have

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done by ourselves, which the Tories would never have done, is make sure

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that when the pain is felt, it is not the poor who feel it. We have

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seen the biggest shift of taxation, lifting the poorest in the country

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out of taxation, that has ever happened, including in the previous

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Labour government. You are presiding over the biggest squeeze on living

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standards in modern times. Because it is the biggest recession in

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modern times. When you speak to it is the biggest recession in

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2.5 million people who have been lifted out of taxation altogether

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because of the Liberal Democrats, tax cut. You may be able to make the

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because of the Liberal Democrats, connection, Andrew, you are a sharp

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economic crisis and difficulty for everybody. But it is clear that

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economic crisis and difficulty for the Tories had been by themselves,

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none of that would have happened. We have sought to shift the burden

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none of that would have happened. We from the poorest in this country. I

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am part of that. So when we go into the next election, the message will

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am part of that. So when we go into be that if you want to continue

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am part of that. So when we go into have a prosperous economy and a

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society, only the Liberal Democrats will deliver that. Tim Farron says

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want to diss him. Can you confirm he likes Ed Miliband and he does not

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want to diss him. Can you confirm that there will be no dissing of Ed

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Miliband? It is not much my style. I've never much liked comments about

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the other leaders. I do not intend to make it so in the future. Can I'd

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finish up on Syria? You said after the Syria vote that Britain was

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finish up on Syria? You said after hugely diminished country. Given it

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both sides on a course which could now see Syria give up chemical

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weapons without records to military action, would you like to withdraw

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these remarks and admit that you should be proud and happy with what

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Britain has done? No. You and I should be proud and happy with what

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know, because we are old observers, that that would never have happened

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underpinning of a threat to use resigned from that. We have no part

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to play in the fact that Assad and Putin have moved towards peace for

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to play in the fact that Assad and fear of military action. We decided

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exactly the opposite. Why would fear of military action. We decided

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liked to have seen our country join in with those who are serious about

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upholding an international law which has restrained even than axes and

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left others to make sure that we talent, but instead we resigned

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left others to make sure that we moved towards peace. -- even the

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Maxis and Stalin. But if it had moved towards peace. -- even the

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would not have had the time to allow this to happen. It has avoided war.

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Job done, British Parliament. That would be true if it was accurate but

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it is not. The resolution proposed a delay, that we should wait until the

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inspectors came back. That time frame was absolutely nothing to

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inspectors came back. That time with the parliamentary vote. The

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vote was going to incorporate that. I do not think you can claim what

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vote was going to incorporate that. remember that diplomacy, which was

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not reinforced by the threat of military action, does not work.

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not reinforced by the threat of is when diplomacy runs with a grain

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of military action that it works. illustration of that, look at what

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is happening over the last two weeks. By regret to say that our

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country, which has always been in disengagement, had no part to play

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And you we would get to the Balkans eventually, and we did. His biggest

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challenge is if the economy is get some credit for the Lib Dems,

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when the Tories will want to halt it all. But his position is not to

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when the Tories will want to halt it the necessary axeman. That is George

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Osborne's role. Their role is to be Osborne's role. Their role is to be

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the chaser party, taking the edge off. They will because of me going

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on about the pupil premium and That is what you will hear from

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of the cuts. Will that work? They them, how they have taken the edge

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of the cuts. Will that work? They are in a pretty good position. Even

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if they have lost two thirds of are in a pretty good position. Even

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popular support, according to the polls, I do not know anyone in

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Westminster methinks that will be matched in their parliamentary

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representation. If they have 56 matched in their parliamentary

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now, they might lose a dozen but Strategically, they are in a better

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position than the reading of the polls would tell you. I think Nick

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Clegg's survival has been one of the stories of this Parliament. He is

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looking good at the comfort -- at the conference. When he was at his

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lowest after the AV referendum, people were saying he would survive

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe and lead us into 2015 and beyond and

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe it or not... Paddy Ashdown was

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wrong, you were wrong and... I wasn't. I'm underestimated how bad

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his rivals are. If you are Lib Dem member, however aggrieved you are

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with Nick Clegg, you do not think, wouldn't it be great if Christian

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was in charge? Nick Clegg is the best they have. -- Chris Huhne was

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in charge. Of course, the people do in charge. Of course, the people do

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government and it is a consequence of the way they vote, a different

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matter. If Janan Ganesh is right, and they lose 15 seats in the next

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pivotal in the next government. It Possibly the most amusing outcome

:20:51.:20:57.

would be a Labour or Tory overall majority, which would be hilarious

:20:57.:21:00.

for the look on Paddy Ashdown's face. The danger is they get trapped

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constantly in talking about the politics of coalition and of a hung

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parliament. And they are very puffed politics of coalition and of a hung

:21:09.:21:16.

parliament. And they are very puffed up and they enjoy Parliament and

:21:16.:21:20.

there is a possibility they will not be. While they are talking about the

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Polish and themselves, they are be. While they are talking about the

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talking about the issues facing be. While they are talking about the

:21:25.:21:31.

coalition. It was interesting that he said that we are a left-wing

:21:31.:21:37.

party, not a centre-left party or a centre party, but a left-wing party.

:21:37.:21:44.

I'm going to put myself in the firing line and say that there is a

:21:44.:21:48.

big split between the Tim Farron line who say they like Ed Miliband,

:21:48.:21:52.

and another one, Jeremy Browne in the Home Office saying that Labour

:21:52.:21:56.

are intellectually lazy. The risk clearly a clique around Nick Clegg

:21:56.:22:05.

who wants to be a synthetic party, but that is not where the membership

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who wants to be a synthetic party, activists are clearly of the left,

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not just the centre-left. They are very pro-immigration and they want

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strategy has to be to take the party to the centre. The something not

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happen at some stage? The poll suggests it is a left-wing party.

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happen at some stage? The poll Very left-wing. Other think the

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happen at some stage? The poll would have yielded -- would have

:22:32.:22:33.

yielded the same results before would have yielded -- would have

:22:33.:22:40.

2010 election. This is reflected by the arithmetic. Whichever party

:22:40.:22:43.

2010 election. This is reflected by biggest will most likely be the

:22:43.:22:44.

2010 election. This is reflected by in coalition with the Lib Dems.

:22:44.:22:48.

2010 election. This is reflected by Clegg's on latitude to choose is

:22:48.:22:56.

exaggerated by us. The choice is no parliamentary arithmetic. But if you

:22:56.:23:02.

remember the structure of the Lib Dems, they can tie themselves up in

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infighting. -- the choice is not stable. And Nick Clegg has had a

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good conference last year, and will have another one this year. The

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economy is better than it was a have another one this year. The

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ago. It could still go quite well for him. Yes, it is one of the

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ago. It could still go quite well stories of this Parliament, his

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survival and the way in which he has prospered. But there are a lot of

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campaigners, labour activists who have not forgotten what he has done

:23:35.:23:38.

in government and are determined to get him. It will be a tough year and

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a half. Tougher than he imagined. Now, not so long ago they were

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writing George Osborne's political obituary. Be on the Omni shambles

:23:47.:23:53.

budget of 2012 and a lacklustre performance of the British economy

:23:53.:23:57.

meant his reputation work -- was in the dirt. -- the omnishambles. But

:23:57.:24:04.

things have changed. The Chancellor is saying he has been vindicated. If

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runway, it looks as though the British economy has taken off,

:24:12.:24:15.

quarter. Forecasts for the rest British economy has taken off,

:24:15.:24:20.

the year have been revised up words. What's more, the office for National

:24:20.:24:27.

recession never actually happened. Unemployment is down in the three

:24:27.:24:32.

months to July and the number of spasticity rate since 1997. On

:24:32.:24:42.

Monday, George Osborne said his policies were bearing fruit. We

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Monday, George Osborne said his our nerve when many told us to

:24:45.:24:49.

abandon our plans. As a result, thanks to the efforts and sacrifices

:24:49.:24:54.

of the British people, Britain is turning a corner. The message for

:24:54.:25:01.

his Labour critics was clear. The Chancellor thinks he was right and

:25:01.:25:06.

Good afternoon. Good afternoon.Do you accept that the economy has

:25:06.:25:21.

turned a corner? I think it is good that a stalled recovery appears

:25:21.:25:27.

turned a corner? I think it is good get this in perspective. We have had

:25:27.:25:29.

three wasted years. We have the worst economic recovery in history.

:25:29.:25:34.

Debt is up and we have record youth programme if they feel better or

:25:34.:25:43.

worse off, compared to 2010, the majority will tell you they feel

:25:43.:25:47.

worse because, on average, wages are down by £1500 compared to May of

:25:47.:25:54.

2010. That is the situation. The one of the things we have seen

:25:54.:26:02.

talked about, Vince Cable has been talking about this as well, is what

:26:02.:26:06.

is happening in the housing market. It seems that much of the solution

:26:06.:26:08.

to powering the recovery in the It seems that much of the solution

:26:08.:26:14.

of George Osborne lies in sorting out the housing market but the

:26:14.:26:18.

problem is, we are at risk of being another housing bubble. Because

:26:18.:26:21.

problem is, we are at risk of being research that came out this week, we

:26:21.:26:26.

know that housing in the UK is three times more expensive than in the US.

:26:26.:26:29.

know that housing in the UK is three We know that house prices are rising

:26:29.:26:32.

five times faster than wages, but we also know that the government is

:26:32.:26:38.

five times faster than wages, but we building new housing at a slower

:26:38.:26:40.

rate, the slowest rate that we have complaining about a housing bubble,

:26:40.:26:47.

isn't that like Satan complaining about seven? -- seven. We all know

:26:47.:26:54.

that we cannot go back to business as usual. We need to build a new

:26:54.:26:57.

model of growth. But the housing bubble you talk about, it is not a

:26:57.:27:01.

bubble. It might turn into one. bubble you talk about, it is not a

:27:01.:27:06.

said the risk of a bubble. It is nothing like what happened on the

:27:06.:27:13.

I said, in 2009, we had the crash and we knew we needed to reconfigure

:27:13.:27:16.

the way that our economy works. Having an economy based on crisis is

:27:16.:27:24.

rebalance the economy. We saw the unemployment statistics this week,

:27:24.:27:28.

and it is welcomed overall, that unemployment has come down. At half

:27:28.:27:40.

up. And it went down in other parts. We know that we need to rebalance

:27:40.:27:45.

our economy, so that we do not just rely on consumption, but that we

:27:45.:27:51.

grow our productive sectors. And also that we grow our exports as

:27:51.:27:55.

well. We know we have a continuing deficit. We always have a trade

:27:55.:28:02.

deficit. There was never a trade surplus under Labour. Want to come

:28:02.:28:12.

onto what you have mentioned but would you scrap the help to buy

:28:12.:28:14.

scheme? We have not said that we would you scrap the help to buy

:28:14.:28:18.

scheme? We have not said that we would do that. Why not if it is

:28:18.:28:20.

causing the bubble? If you let me finish, on one hand what that scheme

:28:21.:28:27.

does at the moment, at the moment it is inhalation to a new scheme but

:28:27.:28:34.

tomorrow -- next year it will be in you do not sort out the supply of

:28:34.:28:38.

housing, then that is a recipe for the problems we have seen. Our

:28:38.:28:43.

argument is build more houses. Help more people to buy them by all means

:28:43.:28:45.

but if you do not have the supply more people to buy them by all means

:28:45.:28:48.

but if you do not have the supply you will end up with rising prices.

:28:48.:28:52.

That is obvious. Labour said that government austerity would prevent

:28:52.:28:54.

the return of growth. Austerity government austerity would prevent

:28:54.:29:00.

were wrong. We never said that growth would never return. What

:29:00.:29:04.

were wrong. We never said that said was that if you went for an

:29:04.:29:05.

were wrong. We never said that overly extreme deficit reduction

:29:05.:29:11.

recovery and you would choke growth. That is what we saw for three years.

:29:11.:29:17.

If you say, look at the US economy, it has grown at three times the

:29:17.:29:24.

If you say, look at the US economy, economy has grown at twice the rate.

:29:24.:29:28.

But the British economy is growing quicker than the American or German

:29:28.:29:31.

economy is now. But over time we have not seen that happen. But it is

:29:31.:29:36.

now. That may be the case. But my point is that those three years

:29:37.:29:42.

now. That may be the case. But my people undergoing huge stress and

:29:42.:29:44.

worry. It is good that we have growth back again but the question

:29:44.:29:48.

is, what kind of growth? What we have said... I'm going to come onto

:29:48.:29:54.

that but your credibility depends on your previous analysis. And there

:29:55.:29:57.

are doubts about it. This is what you said not that long ago. In

:29:57.:30:05.

You and the Labour Party said it had choked off growth. You were wrong.

:30:05.:30:33.

We were not wrong, because we had three years where the economy was

:30:33.:30:38.

not moving. Let's remind ourselves. Claude Osborne was predicting that

:30:38.:30:41.

the economy was going to grow by 6.9% between the start of this

:30:41.:30:46.

Parliament and now. It has grown by 1.8%. We did not say we would never

:30:46.:30:55.

have a return to growth. You never said that austerity would only

:30:55.:30:58.

temporarily delay growth. We have looked through your speeches and Ed

:30:58.:31:03.

Balls'. We can't find any reference to say this is simply delaying the

:31:03.:31:09.

recovery. You said austerity would choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:09.:31:13.

why has it returned now? Did we choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:13.:31:19.

it would choke off growth for ever? choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:19.:31:26.

We did not. You have changed your tune. I think your package at the

:31:26.:31:29.

top of this programme, to frame tune. I think your package at the

:31:29.:31:34.

around George Osborne, this is not a people's lives, and the people who

:31:34.:31:39.

deserve huge credit for the growth we are seeing are our country's

:31:39.:31:46.

businesses, who despite the tough economic times, have succeeded.

:31:46.:31:49.

businesses, who despite the tough are the ones who have powered this

:31:49.:31:49.

Westminster to take credit. But are the ones who have powered this

:31:49.:31:57.

blame the government for lack of growth. So therefore, when the

:31:57.:32:03.

growth comes, the government has to situation Britain is in now. We

:32:03.:32:09.

growth comes, the government has to the recovery still has to reach

:32:09.:32:12.

growth comes, the government has to parts of the country, but this is

:32:12.:32:16.

the OECD annualised growth in the G-7, the world's guest economies.

:32:16.:32:25.

That is looking pretty healthy. That is a recovery. I am not denying that

:32:25.:32:31.

That is looking pretty healthy. That we are seeing a stalled recovery,

:32:31.:32:36.

but who benefits from the growth? On average, your viewers have sustained

:32:36.:32:43.

a £1500 pay cut. That is the second biggest fall in the G20 since May

:32:43.:32:51.

2010. Because we had the biggest financial services sector and took

:32:51.:32:55.

the biggest crash. Financial services are still in decline.

:32:55.:33:00.

Financial services are about 10% of the economy. They are not the only

:33:00.:33:08.

contributor to the economy. The point is, who benefits? Unemployment

:33:08.:33:15.

is falling, but we don't just want people to have any job, we want them

:33:15.:33:18.

to have decent jobs that pay a weight you can live off and that are

:33:18.:33:23.

more secure. Let me show you the unemployment figures. Your criticism

:33:23.:33:29.

has been that all the new jobs are part-time. They are not now, they

:33:29.:33:35.

are full-time. Full-time unemployment, up -- full-time

:33:35.:33:41.

employment, up 94,000. This is a short time frame. It is since the

:33:41.:33:48.

recovery began. Half the jobs that have been created since May 2010

:33:48.:33:55.

have been part-time jobs. Roughly 107,000 people are working part-time

:33:55.:33:58.

who would like to work full-time. Over the last 20 years, people now

:33:58.:34:03.

feel more insecure at work than ever. The question is about what

:34:03.:34:06.

feel more insecure at work than kind of growth and employment you

:34:06.:34:12.

are getting. The other point is the uneven spread of this across our

:34:12.:34:19.

economy. In places like the north-east and north-west, the

:34:19.:34:23.

Humber, the east of England, they have seen unemployment increase. I

:34:23.:34:31.

agree that there was a regional imbalance, but the service sector is

:34:31.:34:37.

growing, cheering and construction are growing and financial services

:34:37.:34:41.

are in decline, so the rebalance is happening. It is not happening to

:34:41.:34:47.

the degree we need to transform our economy so that we have a

:34:47.:34:50.

long-term, sustainable model of growth. That is why we need a

:34:50.:34:54.

comprehensive industrial strategy that all of government works

:34:54.:35:00.

towards. Your party conference is coming up. I am sure you are looking

:35:00.:35:07.

forward to it. Why do Ed Miliband's approval ratings get worse the more

:35:07.:35:11.

people see of him? I don't accept that. I have given you the figures.

:35:11.:35:22.

Polls go up and down. I have said that on this programme before. But

:35:22.:35:28.

his approval rating has consistently gone down. What actually matters our

:35:28.:35:35.

votes. Under Ed Miliband's leadership, the Labour Party have

:35:35.:35:38.

votes. Under Ed Miliband's put on almost 2000 extra councillors

:35:38.:35:42.

in places like Canada case, even Whitney. What is wrong with Whitney?

:35:42.:35:53.

We have been putting on votes. Let me show you this. This is the net

:35:53.:35:59.

satisfaction rating. Your leader is now more unpopular than Gordon Brown

:35:59.:36:02.

was when he took Labour to the worst defeat in living memory. Gordon

:36:03.:36:12.

Brown did not put on anything like this number of councillors. Votes

:36:12.:36:19.

are what matter, Andrew. Few people think Ed Miliband is a capable

:36:19.:36:23.

leader. Twice as many people think over Spurs who lives on the moon.

:36:23.:36:28.

These are polls. If you are talking to me about over Spurs lit, that

:36:28.:36:34.

puts this into context, Europe session with polls! -- Elvis

:36:34.:36:43.

Presley. Since 2010, we have put on thousands of members. Compare that

:36:43.:36:46.

to the Conservative Party, which has not won a general election since

:36:46.:36:54.

1992. They will not disclose their membership figures. Why -- why won't

:36:54.:37:00.

you pledge to renationalise Royal Mail? Because that would be like

:37:00.:37:03.

writing a blank cheque. We don't know at the moment how much the

:37:03.:37:07.

government would receive for the sale of Royal Mail? So how can I

:37:07.:37:11.

judge how much it would cost to buy it back? That would be

:37:11.:37:14.

irresponsible. But the government does not need to do this right now.

:37:14.:37:22.

The entire country is against it. Sources in the City and Whitehall

:37:22.:37:25.

tell me that if Labour pledged to renationalise it, it would kill off

:37:25.:37:29.

the flotation. So if you are against it, why don't you do it? For me to

:37:29.:37:35.

pledge to renationalise Royal Mail would be like writing a blank

:37:35.:37:42.

cheque. But if you put it in the prospectus, people in the City, who

:37:42.:37:46.

know more about these things, say it would not happen, so why not do it?

:37:46.:37:52.

Because that would be irresponsible. It would be like writing a cheque

:37:52.:37:57.

for billions to renationalise Royal Mail. You would not have too right

:37:57.:38:02.

at the check if it did not happen. I have to deal with the facts. I am

:38:02.:38:07.

not good deal with the plot somebody might be speculating about in the

:38:07.:38:10.

City. We have to be careful about this. For me to pledge to

:38:10.:38:16.

renationalise it now would be like writing a bank cheque . We are going

:38:16.:38:20.

to be a fiscally responsible government. That is why I am not

:38:20.:38:25.

prepared to do that. Ed Balls will not be talking to you. You are

:38:25.:38:29.

watching the Sunday Politics. Coming up in 20 minutes,

:38:29.:38:40.

watching the Sunday Politics. Coming Welcome to Sunday politics the

:38:40.:38:42.

south. On today's show, the Conference season is in full swing,

:38:42.:38:47.

the TUC has been and gone in Bournemouth, The Greens are in

:38:47.:38:50.

Brighton and the Liberal Democrats in Glasgow. So how is the political

:38:50.:38:54.

landscape looking in the south this autumn? With me throughout the

:38:54.:38:58.

programme are two local politicians for whom that is a pressing concern.

:38:58.:39:09.

Vicky Slade, is hoping to inherit Annette Brook Brooks seat and James

:39:09.:39:15.

Cracknell is standing as a Conservative in the south—west the

:39:15.:39:19.

European elections. Vicky, first of all, you were a

:39:19.:39:25.

financial adviser. I was.You have decided to get into politics, to try

:39:25.:39:30.

and become a Liberal Democrat MP, very difficult time I would have

:39:30.:39:34.

thought for the party. I haven't just decided to get into politics, I

:39:34.:39:39.

was a financial adviser throughout my 20s. You write on your website I

:39:39.:39:47.

led a highly material sec successful life I earned more money than is

:39:47.:39:52.

ethically correct, I am not a great fan of the financial world, and when

:39:52.:39:57.

I got to my 30s I had my children, and I sort of starting realising you

:39:57.:40:05.

have got to put something back in, that is financial advice is about

:40:05.:40:10.

giving not taking. It's a reaction to having done well. That was ten

:40:10.:40:14.

years ago, I have had another career since then, the way your life

:40:14.:40:19.

progresses I think. ? You have obviously had a fascinating career.

:40:19.:40:24.

You had that awful accident in the States and had a brain injury. Yes,

:40:24.:40:28.

part of the motivation is similar to Vicky, in that I as a sportsman

:40:28.:40:33.

benefitted from the public support, and as we saw last year at the

:40:33.:40:37.

Olympics, the passion there is in this country for sport, and I think

:40:37.:40:42.

the best way to repay that support, is through politics and putting

:40:42.:40:47.

something back in to it. You want to go Europe. Are you Euro—sceptic.

:40:47.:40:52.

Europe is going to be a key area to make sure that we benefit from, as a

:40:52.:40:57.

country in the south—west as a region, benefit from membership. The

:40:58.:41:02.

chance to renegotiate is now, and that is, I think it is rather than a

:41:02.:41:08.

sit on the outside and moan about it and not thinking we can affect

:41:08.:41:11.

change, I would be rather try to effect change in a positive way for

:41:12.:41:17.

the region, the country, my kids, their kids, because the decision

:41:17.:41:20.

over the next few years affect us for decades to come. Right. Well, we

:41:20.:41:24.

are going to be looking at the Liberal Democrats conference later

:41:25.:41:28.

in the programme but let us talk about the Green Party conference in

:41:28.:41:38.

Brighton. Welcome Keith. Fracking, in the news, Balcombe, Cal that and

:41:38.:41:44.

all that ——ical ril that, I heard them say saying hydraulic fracking

:41:44.:41:51.

could be the best thing for beating climate change. If the Chinese do it

:41:51.:41:56.

they won't burn so much coal. I wonder who said that. It was a

:41:56.:41:59.

fracking person. I am November surprise. Is it not true?The point

:41:59.:42:07.

s I am representing the south—east of England, Cuadrilla have their

:42:07.:42:12.

eyes on fracking well in Balcombe, and other companies want to forensic

:42:12.:42:17.

in other parts of the region. Now, this... That will stop up from

:42:17.:42:23.

importing gas, from, it if it works from qats tar, Russia, difficult

:42:23.:42:27.

places, and if the Chinese did they wouldn't have to burn so much coal.

:42:27.:42:31.

It would be a good thing for the plant. You don't have any evidence.

:42:31.:42:38.

At best it is scant we can do it. Temperature science is a new one, in

:42:38.:42:44.

America, they have been fracking since about 2006, and they have gone

:42:44.:42:51.

completely over the top. Pence crane have a is seen fracking wells open

:42:51.:42:57.

at the rate of 200 a month. Now, this... And their gas prices have

:42:57.:43:00.

come down, even if they didn't do that here, people are fed up with

:43:00.:43:05.

energy prices. Of course they are. Let us just think about that. Just

:43:05.:43:09.

because people are worried about paying too much for energy, we don't

:43:09.:43:15.

actually have to take fossil fuel out of the ground, in fracking

:43:15.:43:21.

because simply, it is going to be more damaging in the long run, what

:43:21.:43:26.

we need to be doing, and I keep saying this, is the Government

:43:26.:43:31.

instead of throwing money at the fracking industry, we need to be

:43:31.:43:36.

investing wisely in renewable energy, because the energy in the

:43:36.:43:40.

sun and the wind and the tides is there for the taking. Isn't it just

:43:40.:43:47.

as unproven, I mean oil and gas are much better proven? The, it is the

:43:47.:43:53.

way you get it out, isn't it. And you know, if we actually look at the

:43:53.:44:01.

science of it, you have to drill deep downwards and then you drill

:44:01.:44:06.

out wards, you shatter the shale rock with water laced with toxic

:44:06.:44:11.

chemicals, and then the gas permeates up, and the idea is you

:44:11.:44:16.

have a cement casing, round the drill, round the drill. But that

:44:16.:44:24.

breaks down, and it doesn't last forever. When when that happens you

:44:24.:44:30.

get more methane coming out ands —— escaping, you get the radioactive

:44:30.:44:37.

material, which inhabit the deep in the earth, they came up too. This is

:44:37.:44:43.

just something we do not need to do. Keith Taylorer thank you for joining

:44:43.:44:48.

us from Brighton. We will talk more about tracking in the future. There

:44:48.:44:52.

has been a different sort of fracturing going on. It seemed to

:44:52.:45:00.

fisle out but for the Dorset seaside resort it was an important occasion.

:45:00.:45:04.

The return of the TUC after a quarter of a century meeting in

:45:04.:45:10.

other places Don't they understand that when trade unionist make the

:45:10.:45:13.

kation —— case for investment, for care... The nurses had won a 15% pay

:45:13.:45:21.

rise. At Bournemouth in 1988, Labour leader Neil Kinnock walked into an

:45:21.:45:25.

argument over the expulsion of the electricians union that was prepared

:45:26.:45:30.

to set its own political agenda. 25 years on, the Labour leader comes by

:45:30.:45:34.

South West Trains rather than a British Leyland car, but there is

:45:34.:45:38.

still that thorny issue of independence. You face difficult

:45:38.:45:44.

moment, and audiences who aren't going to like what you say, but the

:45:44.:45:48.

right thing to do is to say what you believe. That is what I am going to

:45:48.:45:51.

be doing. Are you going to win this battle? Yes.To reflect on what has

:45:52.:45:57.

changed since the TUC were last in Bournemouth, a quarter of a century

:45:57.:46:03.

ago, I spoke to Neil Duncan Jordan, President of a trade union council.

:46:03.:46:08.

I think we are probably more active now than we were at that stage. The

:46:08.:46:13.

council is building new recruit, affiliate, people are interested

:46:14.:46:17.

again, in standing up for their rights. I mean locally in Dorset, we

:46:17.:46:21.

are running a living wage campaign, that is particularly aimed at the

:46:21.:46:27.

private sector. So it is not all dominated by public sector worker,

:46:27.:46:31.

it is across board now a day, it is more women than men in trade unions

:46:31.:46:36.

often. It is trying to recruit young people as well as peermed and it

:46:36.:46:39.

looks as the whole range of issues that people are concerned with. Ed

:46:39.:46:43.

Miliband's speech spelled out the change he wanted but it started with

:46:43.:46:47.

an attack on the Conservative leader David Cameron. He writes you off, he

:46:47.:46:53.

writing your members off. In fact he goes further than than that. Writes.

:46:53.:47:01.

He oozes contempt for trade unionist from every pore of his being. Among

:47:01.:47:09.

the delegates, members of the probation —— pro bayion officers

:47:09.:47:13.

isdown I think the fact that the Government sees the public sector or

:47:13.:47:16.

portrays the public sector as the enemy of the state is something that

:47:16.:47:21.

galvanises many ordinary working people into looking to take action.

:47:21.:47:25.

I think the onslaught of the public sector when you think about what has

:47:25.:47:29.

happened, some 400,000 jobs lost in the Civil Service alone and more in

:47:29.:47:34.

the wider public sector is a good indicator of why people are angry

:47:34.:47:38.

and feel threatened. Bournemouth was supposed to be a new beginning for

:47:38.:47:42.

Labour's relationship with the union, at Prime Minister's Questions

:47:42.:47:47.

he was accused of folding quicker than a Bournemouth deckchair,

:47:47.:47:54.

derided for a performance that was less raging bull than chicken run.

:47:54.:48:02.

What dough you make of this idea that David Cameron has contempt for

:48:02.:48:08.

grains, oozes it as Ed Miliband was saying. The crucial thing is you are

:48:08.:48:13.

saying David rather than Ed, he needs to get them on support because

:48:13.:48:17.

the way he is trying to change the funding, which, whether he needs it

:48:17.:48:21.

now is a different question, the reason he won the leadership

:48:21.:48:24.

election is because the support from the trade union, he doesn't want to

:48:24.:48:29.

show he is, in their debt, but also, he doesn't want to lose their

:48:29.:48:34.

support, so criticising der Leader of the Opposition party to them, and

:48:34.:48:39.

saying that, you know h he not your friend, you maybe, the enemy of your

:48:39.:48:44.

enemy, is your friend, and that is, he wants to reestablish what at ——

:48:44.:48:49.

while at the aim time changing the funding. Isn't he saying it feel

:48:49.:48:56.

like it is an attack on public services?

:48:56.:49:55.

Asking if they were an animal, what kind of animal they would be? Here

:49:56.:50:02.

are the voters of form and Chichester, an this is how they

:50:02.:50:05.

perceive the Liberal Democrat Liberal Democrats. —— Portsmouth.

:50:05.:50:18.

As an ex—farmer I would see a bull, that looks good and is sometimes

:50:18.:50:24.

very placid but changes its mind quickly. Liberal Democrat.

:50:24.:50:29.

Jellyfish. Why do you think?Soft squidgy and go with the flow.

:50:30.:50:34.

Probably a chameleon because they keep changing their colours.

:50:34.:50:39.

Orangutan. Orange. I don't know what Liberal Democrats

:50:39.:50:42.

are. A cat would lay there and do nothing, bit like the Liberal

:50:43.:50:46.

Democrats. A woodlouse. I would say that would

:50:46.:50:50.

be a mouse, because they are small and feeble.

:50:50.:50:55.

A skunk because nay join the Conservative, and don't like the

:50:55.:51:01.

smell. A nice big dog. Meerkat, yeah. I voted for them when I was a

:51:01.:51:06.

student, then they shied away. A hedgehog, because Tay are spiky,

:51:06.:51:11.

naughty but they are cute and small. Don't really get very far.

:51:11.:51:19.

Some of those our guests liked but, yeah, not all of them. Not all.

:51:19.:51:23.

Maybe not quite how the leader ship would like to be seen. On Friday

:51:23.:51:26.

before he set off to Glasgow where the Liberal Democrats will be holing

:51:26.:51:33.

their conference —— holding their conference, I asked Nick Clegg what

:51:33.:51:37.

was wrong with good old southern locations like Bournemouth or

:51:37.:51:40.

Brighton or Reading? There is nothing wrong with those wonderful

:51:40.:51:44.

location, we have been there to Bournemouth, Brighton and son on in

:51:45.:51:48.

the past and we will go again... It is up many more difficult for your

:51:48.:51:53.

party members to get up to Scotland. Scottish party members would not

:51:53.:51:56.

claim that when we meet in Bournemouth or Brighton. It's a

:51:56.:51:59.

different sort of fight for Liberal Democrats in our part of the world,

:51:59.:52:03.

isn't it, in, with coalition allies when it comes to the general

:52:03.:52:05.

election, difficult choice for people? It is not that difficult in

:52:05.:52:11.

the sense of course we are in coalition together. There are

:52:11.:52:13.

obvious difference, if the coalition, if the conservatives had

:52:13.:52:19.

been in power on their own people watching this programme would be

:52:19.:52:24.

able to be fired at will with no reasons given under plans to fire at

:52:24.:52:29.

Will, we would have had a two tier, we would have gone back to a two

:52:29.:52:34.

tier exam system, separating people off on one heap or another. They

:52:34.:52:38.

would have given a huge inheritance tax cut to millionaire, they would

:52:38.:52:42.

have introduced profits into state schools. These are things we have

:52:42.:52:45.

blocked because we are in coalition with them. In the same way they have

:52:45.:52:50.

frustrated things I would like to do. That is nature of coalition, we

:52:50.:52:54.

have to be relaxed and open about the differences but equally proud of

:52:54.:52:58.

the fact what we have achieved in the coalition is hugely important,

:52:58.:53:02.

which is rescuing repairing and reforming the British economy, which

:53:02.:53:04.

was the central mission of this coalition, it is why we came into

:53:04.:53:08.

power in the first place, and I am so proud of the way in which the

:53:08.:53:12.

Liberal Democrats, we have held our nerve, we have been much more

:53:12.:53:17.

resolute and united than critics predicted we would be. There is a

:53:17.:53:22.

cons tagsal amendment talking about members bully or harassing other

:53:22.:53:27.

members, now you have had a report on Mike Hancock, he has been subject

:53:27.:53:34.

to disciplinary proprocedures but he is still a Liberal Democrat

:53:34.:53:37.

councillor He is facing allegations which are serious, which he hotly

:53:37.:53:42.

denies and strenuously and has done so always. He after discussions with

:53:42.:53:47.

me and Alistair Carmichael and others volunteered to give up the

:53:47.:53:51.

whip and said he is not going to be part of the Liberal Democrat

:53:51.:53:54.

Parliamentary party as long adds he is in the process of seeking to

:53:54.:53:58.

address the allegations and clear his name. That of course is a

:53:58.:54:02.

decision I accepted. He needs to make up his own mind, as does the

:54:02.:54:08.

council group in Portsmouth about arrangement in the council groups.

:54:08.:54:14.

Should he stand down, if he is censured? Clearly if the allegations

:54:14.:54:20.

are proved against him he will need to take responsibility for that, but

:54:20.:54:24.

as I say, he denies them, and he is in the process of seeking to clear

:54:24.:54:28.

his name. I am not going to start conferring guilt if you like on

:54:28.:54:31.

someone until that process is complete. It is not yet complete.

:54:31.:54:35.

Thank you. We didn't even talk about Chris

:54:35.:54:40.

Huhne. Of the 55 Liberal Democrat MP, % have been involved in some

:54:40.:54:46.

sort of scannedle. It is a not a good record is it? No, but at the

:54:46.:54:50.

end of the day you have to judge somebody as an individual. I don't

:54:50.:54:53.

think it is particularly sell haven't what party you —— relevant

:54:53.:54:59.

what party you are with, an individual will make mistakes and

:54:59.:55:02.

they have to take responsibility for those, whatever party they... Chris

:55:02.:55:07.

Huhne suggests the papers were digging over the dirt when hay got

:55:07.:55:12.

into Government. I think it is fair to say the newspaper, the media,

:55:12.:55:17.

always wants a story, if there is a story when somebody becomes more

:55:17.:55:21.

important, it subpoena clearly more likely that the papers are going to

:55:21.:55:25.

dig deeper than they would if you weren't in a position of power. It

:55:25.:55:29.

must have hit morale in the party Clearly it has. A third of the

:55:29.:55:34.

membership has gone since 2010. But equally the Conservatives have lost

:55:34.:55:38.

a lot of member, and obviously now Labour have got this rob with the

:55:38.:55:43.

union, so, I don't think it is a Liberal Democrat problem, think it's

:55:43.:55:48.

a disillusionment generally with the political class. The more your

:55:48.:55:53.

profile goes up in any walk of life, the more than people will be

:55:53.:55:58.

examined. You look at the way Farage has been more examined since UKIP's

:55:58.:56:04.

profile has gone up. The Liberal Democrats will be examine more, that

:56:04.:56:09.

is when people will be found wanting, you don't go into politics

:56:09.:56:14.

if you have skeletons in your cupboard. You don't have any? That

:56:14.:56:19.

That I believe is the case. They will be digging for everything on

:56:19.:56:23.

anyone. Any sort of reality of any kind, they will find something out,

:56:24.:56:28.

if you have it there. If you haven't... Let us go into the list

:56:28.:56:33.

of things Nick Clegg says he stopped the Conservatives doing. Firing

:56:33.:56:37.

people at will. The two tier exam, do you think that is a good thing to

:56:37.:56:47.

have avoided? I was the first year of GCSEs, 1998 was when I did mine.

:56:47.:56:52.

I didn't grow up in the two tier system, so I didn't really

:56:52.:56:56.

understand the point of it. It is harking back to an old age. I think

:56:57.:57:02.

it is needs to be more robust. I remember when I was taking my GCSE,

:57:02.:57:07.

because there were no past papers, and we had O—level past papers and I

:57:07.:57:15.

remember thinking ooh! Are you saying they have got easier I was

:57:15.:57:21.

grateful I didn't have to do a couple of the O—levels. A lot of

:57:21.:57:24.

teachers I talk to in the constituency are not happy with most

:57:24.:57:29.

of what Michael Gove is bringing out. We are in changing world, and

:57:29.:57:34.

there is a place for knowledge, there is a place for you know,

:57:34.:57:38.

learning things in a particular way, but more importantly it is about

:57:38.:57:42.

young people learning to adapt. Young people learning to

:57:42.:57:45.

investigate, and having those skills, that employers need. As a

:57:45.:57:50.

small employer myself, you know, I am seeing young people come out of

:57:50.:57:54.

school without the relevant skills the employers need. I think that is

:57:54.:58:00.

where our edge system needs to change. —— education system needs to

:58:00.:58:04.

change. That is why our scheme to double the number of companies

:58:04.:58:08.

bringing on apprenticeships is valuable. Rather than not everyone

:58:08.:58:15.

in life is suited to the academic path and it is important have career

:58:15.:58:20.

paths built in earlier as they do in Germany, rather than it being about

:58:20.:58:25.

the exams, but it, it need to be competitive, because it is a global

:58:25.:58:29.

race on every level, and we need to make sure we are robustly getting

:58:29.:58:34.

people prepare for that academically and in the skill skills which is

:58:34.:58:38.

important. Now, our regular round up of the

:58:38.:58:42.

political week in the south in 60 seconds.

:58:42.:58:53.

Back to school, and in Southampton these blazers are recycled. Not from

:58:53.:58:57.

the second—hand shop, they are made of plastic bottles, which might help

:58:58.:59:02.

in Oxfordshire. The operators of a landfill site were refused

:59:02.:59:06.

permission to take more waste. Residents worried about lorries and

:59:06.:59:12.

machinery at night. At March wood they are recycling old vehicles from

:59:12.:59:17.

Afghanistan. The Defence Secretary say some will be overhauled before

:59:17.:59:21.

being redeployed. Anything that doesn't make it will be sold or

:59:21.:59:25.

destroyed or gifted. They won't be needed in the New Forest though,

:59:25.:59:30.

where they are spending £4 million getting people out of their vehicles

:59:30.:59:34.

We estimate nearly 200,000 private car miles are saved by customers

:59:34.:59:40.

leaving their cars at home. Finally a Portsmouth taxi driver has started

:59:40.:59:44.

a campaign to bring down the cost of license, though issued for just £11,

:59:44.:59:49.

they can resell for 35,000. Lots about recycling, and using your

:59:49.:00:01.

cars less, or more where the —— with the taxis, but the Green Party with

:00:01.:00:05.

their conference going on, and both your parties claim to be green and

:00:05.:00:09.

doing lots for the environment. What is the greenest thing you do?

:00:09.:00:14.

Personally? Yes. Well, I try to cycle when I can to my council

:00:14.:00:19.

meetings, my children cycle everywhere, we have solar panels on

:00:19.:00:24.

the roof. You have?I do and in fact a few weeks time I will be going out

:00:24.:00:28.

with the binmen in Poole to see how we can increase the recycling rates

:00:28.:00:34.

there, because they are awful. I am working hard with my colleagues on

:00:34.:00:38.

the council to improve that. I think it is washing out the cans. You

:00:38.:00:42.

don't have to do that. That is a fallacy. What is greenest thing you

:00:42.:00:50.

do? Not waste food. Because so much, take red meat. The impact on the

:00:50.:00:56.

land, the cattle take up, the methane, transporting, energy for

:00:56.:01:01.

refrigerating and we though a third of food away as a nation. We buy and

:01:01.:01:06.

eat the food we need. That cuts it down a huge amount. The other thing

:01:06.:01:13.

is if everyone lived like we do in Britain we would knee three grope

:01:13.:01:18.

globe, in America, it is ten globes. Whereas in sub—Saharan Africa you

:01:18.:01:23.

don't need a globe at all. We as a society need to change what we

:01:23.:01:27.

consume. I am going to send you over the to Brighton I think to the Green

:01:27.:01:31.

Party confrerntion see how you get on. Thanks very much to my guests.

:01:31.:01:33.

Party confrerntion see how you get deserves a programme all to itself.

:01:33.:01:44.

In a moment, more from our political Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says

:01:45.:01:51.

victory for either the Conservatives Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says

:01:51.:01:55.

or labour at the next election would put at risk the economic recovery

:01:55.:01:59.

is. Speaking in Glasgow at the Liberal Democrat annual conference,

:01:59.:02:00.

he said a coalition would allow Liberal Democrat annual conference,

:02:00.:02:04.

party to balance politics and enable the government to finish the job of

:02:04.:02:09.

repairing the economy fairly. It is my genuine belief that if we go

:02:09.:02:15.

repairing the economy fairly. It is coalition and Islands politics,

:02:15.:02:19.

repairing the economy fairly. It is dominating blood on their own, you

:02:19.:02:22.

will get a recovery which is neither fair nor sustainable. Labour would

:02:22.:02:24.

wreck the recovery, and under the fair nor sustainable. Labour would

:02:24.:02:29.

same commitment to fairness as ours, you would get the wrong kind

:02:29.:02:35.

Two 19-year-old woman arrested after a stabbing on Thursday have been

:02:35.:02:37.

released without charge. Police a stabbing on Thursday have been

:02:37.:02:41.

trying to discover if there is a link between the killing and a fire

:02:41.:02:45.

four hours later in which four Five people are being questioned in

:02:45.:02:51.

connection with that blaze. A Syrian government minister has described

:02:51.:02:54.

the agreement drawn up by America country's chemical weapons as a

:02:54.:03:01.

The minister claims the deals helps the Syrians out of a crisis and

:03:01.:03:06.

others war. The US Secretary of State John Kerry is in Israel to

:03:06.:03:08.

brief the prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, on the proposal. China

:03:08.:03:13.

and France have also welcomed the deal, which says Syria has until

:03:13.:03:17.

Friday to submit a competence of list of its chemical stockpile.

:03:17.:03:22.

Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on winning his first half marathon

:03:22.:03:27.

Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on He was taking part in the Great

:03:27.:03:29.

North Run between Newcastle and South Shields. Farrar, who was the

:03:29.:03:33.

favourite following his two gold Ethiopian's can mean many Serb

:03:33.:03:42.

favourite following his two gold Kenenisa Bekele in a sprint finish.

:03:42.:03:45.

A carnival atmosphere for the start was about the challenge. For others,

:03:45.:03:52.

walking it, so I have no time in simply dressing up for fun. I am

:03:52.:04:00.

walking it, so I have no time in mind. I just want to enjoy it and

:04:00.:04:02.

appreciate the crowds and have a fantastic time. For elite athletes,

:04:02.:04:08.

today's race was about who would be first over the line. Despite the

:04:08.:04:13.

wind and rain, large crowds turned out for the world's most popular

:04:13.:04:17.

half marathon, which attracts some of the finest women runners, two,

:04:17.:04:25.

including the Kenyan. There were high hopes for Britain's double

:04:25.:04:29.

Olympic champion Mo Farah, but after Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:29.:04:36.

Ethiopian's Kenenisa Bekele. It Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:36.:04:46.

thought I would come back and close the gap slowly. I managed to close

:04:46.:04:50.

it a little bit, but you can't take away what he has. Wheelchair athlete

:04:50.:04:56.

David Weir won his race for a fourth time. More than £200 million has

:04:56.:05:01.

been raised since the Great North That is it for now. There will be

:05:01.:05:16.

more news on BBC One at 6:35pm. So, did anything happen while we

:05:16.:05:19.

were away this summer? I thought heading now? Who better to answer

:05:19.:05:27.

than the best political panel we could cobble together for a tenner?

:05:27.:05:33.

Putting foreign affairs to one side for a moment, it seems that what

:05:33.:05:38.

happened mystically was that it became more apparent that some sort

:05:38.:05:41.

of recovery was underway at last, and that Mr Miliband still has not

:05:41.:05:48.

yet resonated with the British public. These things are a problem

:05:48.:05:54.

for Labour. Ed Miliband's mistake over the summer holiday was to take

:05:54.:05:56.

a summer holiday. And it looked over the summer holiday was to take

:05:56.:06:00.

the rest of the Labour Party had taken one too. They were not finding

:06:00.:06:04.

issues they could make their own. The only person who made an impact

:06:04.:06:09.

was Stella Creasy on online abuse. That is a huge problem, and it is

:06:09.:06:12.

partly down to the fact that there is this intense message discipline.

:06:12.:06:14.

They don't want to say anything is this intense message discipline.

:06:15.:06:18.

of line until they have got all their ducks in a row. It makes the

:06:18.:06:21.

party do at the moment. The terms of party do at the moment. The terms of

:06:21.:06:26.

trade have swung in David Cameron's favour, but the political rhetoric

:06:26.:06:30.

look at this headline from the is still with Mr Miliband. Let's

:06:30.:06:39.

look at this headline from the Sunday Telegraph. That headline

:06:39.:06:44.

might not be right, but the story is significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:44.:06:46.

still in danger on his right flank significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:46.:06:51.

doesn't need an enormous share of the vote to get an overall majority?

:06:51.:06:59.

Westminster group think. Of course Ed Miliband is in trouble. The

:06:59.:07:04.

Tories are reserved and. They are better organised, the economy is

:07:04.:07:08.

recovering. That poses difficulties for Labour, but if you look at what

:07:08.:07:15.

is happening on the ground, UKIP still pose a danger to Cameron.

:07:15.:07:18.

is happening on the ground, UKIP don't need to poll 15% in a lot

:07:18.:07:19.

is happening on the ground, UKIP those marginal seats, they just

:07:19.:07:22.

is happening on the ground, UKIP to get five or 6% of the vote, and

:07:22.:07:24.

that could potentially destroy the Tory lead. Lots of commentators

:07:24.:07:33.

that could potentially destroy the to say, this guy will never be prime

:07:34.:07:39.

minister, but it is possible that by default or by accident, in a very

:07:39.:07:45.

Miliband could end up as prime minister. It is still all to play

:07:45.:07:50.

for on both sides. If UKIP remains a threat to the Tory right flank and

:07:50.:07:55.

the Tories themselves are not really a national party any more, I am

:07:56.:07:59.

the Tories themselves are not really they will only target a few seats in

:07:59.:08:02.

Scotland, they don't get any big seats in the big cities of the north

:08:02.:08:05.

any more, they don't get the Ulster vote they used to get, so it is

:08:05.:08:09.

possible that Labour, which is more nationally based and has seats in

:08:09.:08:12.

the Midlands and the north and in Wales, so they could get in. I

:08:12.:08:18.

agree. The advantage of having a bad summer is that Ed Miliband can go to

:08:18.:08:25.

expectations. All he has to do is not dribble on the lectern, and

:08:25.:08:29.

expectations. All he has to do is will be written up as spectacular.

:08:29.:08:31.

expectations. All he has to do is He might not even use a lectin.

:08:31.:08:38.

position. The electoral vagaries of the system work in his favour. He

:08:38.:08:44.

still has a narrow poll lead, he is not out of the game at all. Of the

:08:44.:08:47.

three main party leaders, the only one who can be confident about being

:08:47.:08:54.

three main party leaders, the only in government after 2015 is Nick

:08:54.:09:00.

electorally. But if it is this bad for Labour at the moment, what will

:09:00.:09:06.

it be like if this recovery turns out to be real? It depends how much

:09:06.:09:14.

they succeed. Chuka Umunna was shifting the debate are living

:09:14.:09:16.

standards. They don't want to keep arguing about who called it right.

:09:16.:09:19.

Do people feel richer than they arguing about who called it right.

:09:20.:09:24.

in 2010? The data suggests that people don't feel richer than in

:09:24.:09:27.

2010. Because they are not.That people don't feel richer than in

:09:28.:09:33.

the basis on which Labour will fight the next election. It is clear that

:09:33.:09:38.

Labour are unclear on what to say or do next. They have just got to hope

:09:38.:09:42.

and pray that the economy is not as soundly based as it appears to be

:09:42.:09:45.

and that George Osborne is Tony Barber, who thought he fixed the

:09:45.:09:53.

just before the next crash. There are all sorts of uncertainties

:09:53.:09:57.

just before the next crash. There China, the bond market, the housing

:09:57.:10:00.

bubble might be blown up, and Labour just had to hope something goes

:10:00.:10:01.

wrong for Osborne. Chuka Umunna just had to hope something goes

:10:01.:10:07.

he would not get rid of help to just had to hope something goes

:10:07.:10:11.

There are all these criticisms about just had to hope something goes

:10:11.:10:14.

artificial schemes pumping up house prices, but he would not say that.

:10:14.:10:19.

It is tortuous. You see this again and again. When asked if Labour

:10:19.:10:27.

would repeal the bedroom tax, or the same thing with Royal Mail, it

:10:27.:10:29.

happens again. They will be falling on people who have not had a meal in

:10:29.:10:41.

coming out of the Labour Party. There is a kind and Gillette in

:10:41.:10:45.

coming out of the Labour Party. them to a politician's career. When

:10:45.:10:47.

they are under attack for a long time, the media get bored after

:10:47.:10:51.

they are under attack for a long while and switch the story. It

:10:51.:10:55.

happened to Osborne, who had a horrific 2012 and has recovered

:10:55.:11:00.

bad press as he is getting at the moment, because people find it

:11:00.:11:08.

tedious. Syria has been the big foreign-policy event this summer. It

:11:08.:11:10.

has remarkably led to a Soviet- American initiative to get Syria to

:11:10.:11:19.

give up its chemical weapons. The world will now expect the Assad

:11:19.:11:24.

regime to live up to its public commitments. As I said at the outset

:11:24.:11:27.

anything less than full compliance. John Kerry. Is this too good to

:11:27.:11:44.

anything less than full compliance. true? Even superficially, it is

:11:44.:11:46.

anything less than full compliance. very good. The only people who

:11:46.:11:49.

emerge with any sense of triumph are the Russians, who have had their

:11:49.:11:53.

emerge with any sense of triumph are biggest diplomatic coup. They are

:11:53.:11:56.

back on the stage again. B if you want to know why Putin even has

:11:56.:12:02.

back on the stage again. B if you because of moments like this. They

:12:02.:12:04.

were humiliated after the end of the Cold War, and a Nou Camp is a great

:12:04.:12:09.

power again. Then you have the Obama situation, because he has ended

:12:09.:12:13.

power again. Then you have the Obama where he wanted to end up. He has

:12:13.:12:16.

power again. Then you have the Obama concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:16.

he got there was so embarrassing. It concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:21.

made him look weak and erratic as a leader. There were contradictions

:12:21.:12:25.

between himself and his Secretary of State last week, and it has not

:12:25.:12:32.

between himself and his Secretary of him any good. I was in the States,

:12:32.:12:37.

and it was open season on him. I have never understood the idea of

:12:37.:12:41.

chemical weapons as a red line when you can massacre people in their

:12:41.:12:45.

thousands through other means. But chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:45.:12:50.

pale. The rebels are miserable. chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:50.:12:57.

have run out of time. I will have to ask you what you think about Syria

:12:57.:12:59.

next week, which gives you time ask you what you think about Syria

:12:59.:13:05.

prepare. Your book on Fred the shred is going well? It is.I am back

:13:05.:13:10.

tomorrow at noon with the Daily Politics at noon on BBC Two, where

:13:11.:13:14.

we will have more from the Liberal Democrat conference in Glasgow.

:13:14.:13:18.

we will have more from the Liberal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:18.

conference coverage. Next week, is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:21.

will be back here at our normal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:21.:13:24.

of 11am, when we will be joined is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:24.:13:30.

Grant Shapps. Remember, if it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:30.:13:50.

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