09/03/2014 Sunday Politics Wales


09/03/2014

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 09/03/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:36.:00:43.

He's a man on a mission. But is it mission impossible? Iain Duncan

:00:44.:00:46.

Smith has started the radical reform of our welfare state. No tall order.

:00:47.:00:50.

And not everything's going to plan. We'll be talking to the man himself.

:00:51.:00:54.

Nick Clegg's hosting his party's spring conference in York. He's

:00:55.:00:58.

getting pretty cosy with the party faithful. Not so cosy, though, with

:00:59.:01:02.

his Coalition partners. In fact, things are getting a wee bit nasty.

:01:03.:01:05.

We'll be talking to his right-hand man, Danny Alexander.

:01:06.:01:09.

And are all politicians self-obsessed? Don't all shout at

:01:10.:01:12.

once. We'll be examining the self-obsessed? Don't all shout at

:01:13.:01:20.

Later in the programme: Taxing questions - we talk to the local

:01:21.:01:23.

government minister about council tax.

:01:24.:01:26.

And to the Plaid Cymru leader about taxing high earners.

:01:27.:01:27.

And to the Plaid Cymru leader about Can Southwark Council really build

:01:28.:01:30.

11,000 new homes in the next three decades?

:01:31.:01:34.

And with me, as always, three of the best and the brightest political

:01:35.:01:40.

panel in the business. At least that's what it says in the Sunday

:01:41.:01:43.

Politics template. Back from the Oscars empty handed, Helen Lewis,

:01:44.:01:48.

Janan Ganesh and Iain Martin. Yes, three camera-shy hacks, who've never

:01:49.:01:52.

taken a selfie in their life. We'll be coming to that later. They just

:01:53.:01:55.

like to tweet. And they'll be doing so throughout the programme.

:01:56.:01:56.

Welcome. Now, first this morning, the Liberal

:01:57.:02:03.

Democrat Spring Conference in York. I know you speak of nothing else!

:02:04.:02:05.

The Yorkshire spring sunshine hasn't made the Lib Dems think any more

:02:06.:02:10.

kindly of their Coalition partners. Indeed, Tory bashing is now the Lib

:02:11.:02:14.

Dem default position. Here's Danny Alexander speaking yesterday.

:02:15.:02:19.

Repairing the economy on its own isn't enough. We have to do it

:02:20.:02:21.

fairly. isn't enough. We have to do it

:02:22.:02:30.

the agenda a decision to cut taxes, income taxes, for working people.

:02:31.:02:35.

Now, conference, note that word - forced. We have had to fight for

:02:36.:02:41.

this at the last election and at every budget and at every Autumn

:02:42.:02:44.

Statement since 2010 and what a fight it has been.

:02:45.:02:52.

Danny Alexander joins us now. Are we going to have to suffer 14 months of

:02:53.:02:58.

you and your colleagues desperately trying to distance yourself from the

:02:59.:03:02.

Tories? It's not about distancing ourselves. It's about saying, " this

:03:03.:03:08.

is what we as a party have achieved in government together with the

:03:09.:03:14.

Conservatives". And saying, " this is what our agenda is for the

:03:15.:03:18.

future" . It's not just about the fact that this April we reach that

:03:19.:03:24.

?10,000 income tax allowance that we promised in our manifesto in 2010

:03:25.:03:28.

but also that we want to go further in the next parliament and live that

:03:29.:03:36.

to ?12,500, getting that over a 2-term Liberal Democrat government.

:03:37.:03:39.

It's very important for all parties to set out their own agenda, ideas

:03:40.:03:43.

and vision for the future, whilst also celebrating what we're

:03:44.:03:46.

achieving jointly in this Coalition, particularly around the fact that we

:03:47.:03:50.

are, having taken very difficult decisions, seeing the economy

:03:51.:03:56.

improving and seeing jobs creation in this country, which is something

:03:57.:04:00.

I'm personally very proud and, as the Coalition, we have achieved and

:04:01.:04:03.

wouldn't have if it hadn't been for the decisions of the Liberal

:04:04.:04:08.

Democrats. Lets try and move on. You've made that point about 50

:04:09.:04:12.

times on this show alone. You now seem more interested in Rowling with

:04:13.:04:15.

each other than running the country, don't you? -- rowing with each

:04:16.:04:23.

other. I think we are making sure we take the decisions, particularly

:04:24.:04:28.

about getting our economy on the right track. Of course, there are

:04:29.:04:33.

lots of things where the Conservatives have one view of the

:04:34.:04:37.

future and we have a different view and it's quite proper that we should

:04:38.:04:41.

set those things out. There are big differences between the Liberal

:04:42.:04:43.

Democrats and the Conservatives, just as there were big differences

:04:44.:04:46.

between the Liberal Democrats and the Labour Party. I believe we're

:04:47.:04:50.

the only party that can marry that commitment delivering a strong

:04:51.:04:54.

economy, which Labour can't do, and that commitment to delivering a

:04:55.:04:57.

fairer society, which the Tories can't be trusted to do by

:04:58.:05:01.

themselves. You are going out of your way to pick fights with the

:05:02.:05:04.

Tories at the moment. It's a bit like American wrestling. It is all

:05:05.:05:09.

show. Nobody is really getting hurt. I've been compared to many things

:05:10.:05:12.

but an American wrestler is a first! I don't see it like that. It

:05:13.:05:20.

is right for us as a party to set out what we've achieved and show

:05:21.:05:24.

people that what we promised on 2010 on income tax cuts is what this

:05:25.:05:30.

government is delivering. But nobody seems convinced by these

:05:31.:05:33.

manufactured rows with the Tories. You've just come last in a council

:05:34.:05:38.

by-election with 56 votes. You were even bitten by an Elvis

:05:39.:05:43.

impersonator! Yes, that is true. -- beaten. I could equally well quote

:05:44.:05:53.

council by-elections that we've won recently, beating Conservatives, the

:05:54.:05:59.

Labour Party and UKIP. Our record on that is pretty good. You can always

:06:00.:06:02.

pick one that shows one or other party in a poor light. Our party is

:06:03.:06:07.

having real traction with the electric and the places where we

:06:08.:06:11.

have a real chance of winning. If you're not an American wrestler,

:06:12.:06:13.

maybe you should be an Elvis impersonator! You told your spring

:06:14.:06:18.

forum... You don't want to hear me sing! You want to raise the personal

:06:19.:06:24.

allowance to ?12,500 in the next Parliament. Will you refuse to enter

:06:25.:06:29.

into Coalition with any party that won't agree to that? What I said

:06:30.:06:33.

yesterday is that this will be something which is a very high

:06:34.:06:39.

priority for the Liberal Democrats. It's something that we will very

:06:40.:06:43.

much seek to achieve if we are involved... We know that - will it

:06:44.:06:49.

be a red line? If you are a number in 2010, on the front page of our

:06:50.:06:54.

manifesto, we highlighted four policies... I know all that. Will it

:06:55.:06:59.

be a red line? It will be something that is a very high priority for the

:07:00.:07:04.

Liberal Democrats to deliver. For the fifth time, will it be a red

:07:05.:07:11.

line? It will be, as I said, a very high priority for the Liberal

:07:12.:07:13.

Democrats in the next Parliament. That's my language. We did that in

:07:14.:07:18.

the next election. The number-1 promise on our manifesto with a

:07:19.:07:21.

?10,000 threshold and we've delivered that in this Parliament.

:07:22.:07:25.

People can see that when we say something is a top priority, we

:07:26.:07:32.

deliver it. Is it your claim... Are you claiming that the Tories would

:07:33.:07:35.

not have raised the starting point of income tax if it hadn't been for

:07:36.:07:40.

the Liberal Democrats? If you remember back in the leaders'

:07:41.:07:43.

debates in the 2010 election campaign, Nick Clegg was rightly

:07:44.:07:47.

championing this idea and David Cameron said it couldn't be

:07:48.:07:53.

afforded. Each step of the way in the Coalition negotiations within

:07:54.:07:59.

government, we've had to fight for that. The covert overtures have

:08:00.:08:02.

other priorities. -- the Conservatives. I don't want to go

:08:03.:08:07.

back into history. I'd like to get to the present. Have the

:08:08.:08:12.

Conservatives resisted every effort to raise the starting point of

:08:13.:08:17.

income tax? As I said, we promised this in 2010, they said it couldn't

:08:18.:08:21.

be done. We've made sure it was delivered in the Coalition. Have

:08:22.:08:27.

they resisted it? We've argued for big steps along the way and forced

:08:28.:08:31.

it on to the agenda. They've wanted to deliver other things are so we've

:08:32.:08:39.

had to fight for our priority... Did the Conservatives resist every

:08:40.:08:45.

attempt? It has been resisted, overall the things I'm talking

:08:46.:08:48.

about, by Conservatives, because they have wanted to deliver other

:08:49.:08:51.

things and, of course, in a Coalition you negotiate. Both

:08:52.:08:57.

parties have their priorities. Our priority has been a very consistent

:08:58.:09:00.

one. Last year, they were arguing about tax breaks for married

:09:01.:09:05.

couples. They were arguing in 2010 for tax cuts for millionaires. Our

:09:06.:09:11.

priority in all these discussions has been a consistent one, which is

:09:12.:09:14.

to say we want cutbacks for working people. -- we want to cut tax for

:09:15.:09:23.

working people. That has been delivered by both parties in the

:09:24.:09:26.

Coalition government full top So what do you think when the Tories

:09:27.:09:31.

take credit for it? I understand why they want to try to do that. Most

:09:32.:09:34.

people understand what we have just said. Not if the polls are to be

:09:35.:09:42.

believed... You're under 10%. This is one of the things, when I talk to

:09:43.:09:50.

people, but I find they know that the Lib Dems have delivered in

:09:51.:09:54.

government. People know we promised it in 2010 and we're the ones who

:09:55.:09:57.

forced this idea onto the agenda in our election manifesto. You've said

:09:58.:10:02.

that five times in this interview alone. The reality is, this is now a

:10:03.:10:09.

squabbling, loveless marriage. We're getting bored with all your tests,

:10:10.:10:13.

the voters. Why don't you just divorced? -- all your arguments. I

:10:14.:10:21.

don't accept that. On a lot of policy areas, the Coalition

:10:22.:10:24.

government has worked very well together. We're delivering an awful

:10:25.:10:28.

lot of things that matter to this country. Most importantly, the mess

:10:29.:10:31.

that Labour made of the economy we are sorting out. We are getting our

:10:32.:10:35.

finances on the right track, making our economy more competitive,

:10:36.:10:39.

creating jobs up and down this country, supporting businesses to

:10:40.:10:43.

invest in growth. That is what this Coalition was set up to do, what it

:10:44.:10:47.

is delivering, and both myself and George Osborne are proud to have

:10:48.:10:49.

worked together to deliver that record. Danny Alexander, thanks for

:10:50.:10:54.

that. Enjoyed York. Helen, is anybody listening? I do worry that

:10:55.:11:00.

another 40 months of this might drive voter apathy up to record

:11:01.:11:04.

levels. There is a simple answer to why they don't divorced - it's the

:11:05.:11:11.

agreement that Parliament will last until 2015. MPs are bouncing around

:11:12.:11:15.

Westminster with very little to do. They are looking for things to put

:11:16.:11:19.

in the Queen's Speech and we are going to have rocks basically the 40

:11:20.:11:22.

months and very little substantial difference in policies. Do you

:11:23.:11:28.

believe Danny Alexander when he says there would have been no rise in the

:11:29.:11:31.

starting rate of income tax if not for the Lib Dems? He's gilding the

:11:32.:11:36.

lily. If you look back at papers are written in 2001 suggesting precisely

:11:37.:11:44.

this policy, written by a Tory peer, you see there are plenty of Tories

:11:45.:11:50.

which suggest there would have been this kind of move. I can see why

:11:51.:11:55.

Danny Alexander needs to do this and they need to show they've achieved

:11:56.:11:59.

something in government because they are below 10% in the polls and

:12:00.:12:02.

finding it incredibly difficult to get any traction at all. The other

:12:03.:12:08.

leg of this Lib Dem repositioning is now to be explicitly the party of

:12:09.:12:13.

Europe and to be the vanguard of the fight to be all things pro-Europe.

:12:14.:12:19.

Mr Clegg is going to debate Nigel Farage in the run-up to the European

:12:20.:12:23.

elections. If, despite that, the Lib Dems come last of the major parties,

:12:24.:12:49.

doesn't it show how out of touch different. They are targeting a

:12:50.:12:54.

section of the electorate who are a bit more amenable to their views

:12:55.:12:59.

than the rest. They wouldn't get 20% of the vote. They are targeting that

:13:00.:13:04.

one section. They have to do disproportionately well amongst

:13:05.:13:06.

those and it will payoff and they will end up with something like 15%.

:13:07.:13:11.

How many seats will the Lib Dems losing the next election? Ten. 20.

:13:12.:13:21.

15. Triangulation! We'll keep that on tape and see what actually

:13:22.:13:26.

happens! The Work and Pensions Secretary Iain

:13:27.:13:29.

Duncan Smith is a man on a mission. He's undertaken the biggest overhaul

:13:30.:13:33.

in our welfare state since it was invented way back in the

:13:34.:13:36.

black-and-white days of the late 1940s. A committed Roman Catholic,

:13:37.:13:41.

he's said he has a moral vision to reverse the previous welfare system,

:13:42.:13:45.

which he believes didn't create enough incentive for people to work.

:13:46.:13:49.

But are his reforms working? Are they fair? As he bitten off more

:13:50.:13:53.

than he can chew? In a moment, we'll speak to the man himself but first,

:13:54.:13:58.

here's Adam. Hackney in north London and we're on

:13:59.:14:01.

the road with the man who might just be the most ambitious welfare

:14:02.:14:05.

secretary there's ever been. It's a journey that started in the wind and

:14:06.:14:09.

rain on a Glasgow council estate 12 years ago when he was Tory leader.

:14:10.:14:13.

He came face-to-face with what it meant to be poor. A selection of

:14:14.:14:19.

teddy bears. It's where he discovered his recipe for reform,

:14:20.:14:23.

according to one of the advisers who was with him. There are things that

:14:24.:14:28.

if you do get a job, keep your family together, stay off drugs and

:14:29.:14:34.

alcohol, make sure you have a proper skill - that's what keeps you of

:14:35.:14:40.

poverty. He, very ambitiously, wants to redefine the nature of what it

:14:41.:14:43.

means to be poor and how you get away from poverty. Back in north

:14:44.:14:48.

London, he's come to congratulate the troops on some good news. In

:14:49.:14:52.

this borough, the number of people on job-seeker's allowance has gone

:14:53.:14:56.

down by 29% in the last year, up from around 1700 to around 1200. But

:14:57.:15:03.

the picture in his wider changes to the welfare state is a bit more

:15:04.:15:08.

mixed. A cap on the total amount of benefits a family can get, of

:15:09.:15:14.

?26,000 a year, is hugely popular but there have been howls of protest

:15:15.:15:17.

over cuts to housing benefit, labelled the bedroom tax by some.

:15:18.:15:23.

Protests, too, about assessments for people on disability benefits,

:15:24.:15:25.

inherited from the previous government. Iain Duncan Smith has

:15:26.:15:29.

been accused of being heartless and the company doing them, Atos, has

:15:30.:15:35.

pulled out. And then the big one - and universal credit, a plan to roll

:15:36.:15:38.

six benefits into one monthly payment, in a way designed to ensure

:15:39.:15:43.

that work always pays. Some of the IT has been written off and the

:15:44.:15:48.

timetable seems to be slipping. Outside the bubble of the

:15:49.:15:51.

stage-managed ministerial trip, a local Labour MP reckons he's bitten

:15:52.:15:56.

off more than he can chew. The great desire is to say, " let's have one

:15:57.:16:01.

simple one size fits all approach" . And there isn't one size of person

:16:02.:16:06.

or family out there. People need to change and they can challenge on the

:16:07.:16:10.

turn of a penny almost. One minute they are doing the right thing,

:16:11.:16:13.

working hard. Next minute, they need a level of support and if this

:16:14.:16:17.

simple system doesn't deliver that for them, they're in a difficult

:16:18.:16:21.

position. And that's the flying visit to the front line finished. He

:16:22.:16:27.

does not like to hang about and just as well do - his overhaul of the

:16:28.:16:31.

entire benefits system still has quite a long way to go. And Iain

:16:32.:16:40.

Duncan Smith joins me now. Before I come onto the interview on welfare

:16:41.:16:44.

reform, is Danny Alexander right when he claims the Lib Dems had to

:16:45.:16:51.

fight to get the Tories to raise the income tax threshold? That is not my

:16:52.:16:56.

recollection of what happened. These debates took place in the

:16:57.:17:02.

Coalition. The Conservatives are in favour of reducing the overall

:17:03.:17:06.

burden of taxation, so the question was how best do we do it? The

:17:07.:17:11.

conversation took place, they were keen on raising the threshold, there

:17:12.:17:17.

were also other ways of doing it but it is clear from the Conservatives

:17:18.:17:21.

that we always wanted to improve the quality of life of those at the

:17:22.:17:26.

bottom so raising the threshold fit within the overall plan. If it was a

:17:27.:17:31.

row, it was the kind of row you have over a cup of tea round the

:17:32.:17:40.

breakfast table. We have got a lot to cover. There are two criticisms

:17:41.:17:47.

mainly of what you are doing - will they work, and will they be fair?

:17:48.:17:54.

Leslie Roberts, one of our viewers, wants to know why so much has

:17:55.:17:58.

already been written off due to failures of the universal credit

:17:59.:18:01.

system even though it has been barely introduced. Relatively it has

:18:02.:18:10.

been a ?2 billion investment project, in the private sector

:18:11.:18:17.

programmes are written off regularly at 30, 40%. The IT is working, we

:18:18.:18:23.

are improving as we go along, the key thing is to keep your eye on the

:18:24.:18:27.

parts that don't work and make sure they don't create a problem for the

:18:28.:18:37.

programme. 140 million has been wasted! The 40 million that was

:18:38.:18:42.

written off was just do with security IT, and I took that

:18:43.:18:47.

decision over a year and a half ago so the programme continued to roll

:18:48.:18:51.

out. Those figures include the standard right down, the aggregation

:18:52.:19:02.

of cost over a period of time. The computers were written down years

:19:03.:19:07.

ago but they continue to work now. Universal credit is rolling out, we

:19:08.:19:11.

are doing the Pathfinders and learning a lot but I will not ever

:19:12.:19:15.

do this again like the last government, big band launches, you

:19:16.:19:27.

should do it phrase by phrase. Even your colleague Francis Maude says

:19:28.:19:29.

the implementation of universal credit has been pretty lamentable.

:19:30.:19:36.

He was referring back to the time when I stopped that element of the

:19:37.:19:42.

process and I agreed with that. I intervened to make the changes. The

:19:43.:19:47.

key point is that it is rolling out and I invite anyone to look at where

:19:48.:19:54.

it is being rolled out to. You were predicting that a million people

:19:55.:19:57.

would be an universal credit, this is the new welfare credit which

:19:58.:20:02.

rolls up six existing welfare benefits and you were predicting a

:20:03.:20:08.

million people would be on it by April, well it is March and only

:20:09.:20:18.

3200 are on it. I changed the way we rolled it out and there was a reason

:20:19.:20:23.

for that. Under the advice of someone we brought from outside, he

:20:24.:20:28.

said that you are better rolling it out slower and gaining momentum

:20:29.:20:32.

later on. On the timetables for rolling out we are pretty clear that

:20:33.:20:36.

it will roll out within the timescale is originally set. We will

:20:37.:20:40.

roll it out into the Northwest so that we replicate the north and the

:20:41.:20:46.

Northwest, recognise how it works properly. You will not hit 1 million

:20:47.:20:54.

by April. I have no intention of claiming that, and it is quite

:20:55.:20:57.

deliberate because that is the wrong thing to do. We want to roll it out

:20:58.:21:03.

carefully so we make sure everything about it works. There are lots of

:21:04.:21:07.

variables in this process but if you do it that way, you will not end up

:21:08.:21:13.

with the kind of debacle where in the past something like ?28 billion

:21:14.:21:17.

worth of IT programmes were written off. ?38 billion of net benefits,

:21:18.:21:26.

which is exactly what the N a O Z, so it is worth getting it right.

:21:27.:21:33.

William Grant wants to know, when will the universal credit cover the

:21:34.:21:39.

whole country? By 2016, everybody who is claiming one of those six

:21:40.:21:42.

benefits will be claiming universal credit. Some and sickness benefits

:21:43.:21:51.

will take longer to come on because it is more difficult. Many of them

:21:52.:21:56.

have no work expectations on them, but for those on working tax

:21:57.:22:01.

credits, on things like job-seeker's allowance, they will be making

:22:02.:22:06.

claims on universal credit. Many of them are already doing that now,

:22:07.:22:11.

there are 200,000 people around the country already on universal credit.

:22:12.:22:18.

You cannot give me a date as to when everybody will be on it? 2016 is

:22:19.:22:27.

when everybody claiming this benefit will be on, then you have to bring

:22:28.:22:33.

others and take them slower. Universal credit is a big and

:22:34.:22:38.

important reform, not an IT reform. The important point is that it will

:22:39.:22:43.

be a massive cultural reform. Right now somebody has to go to work and

:22:44.:22:49.

there is a small job out there. They won't take that because the way

:22:50.:22:52.

their benefits are withdrawn, it will mean it is not worth doing it.

:22:53.:22:57.

Under the way we have got it in the Pathfinders, the change is

:22:58.:23:02.

dramatic. A job-seeker can take a small part time job while they are

:23:03.:23:06.

looking for work and it means flexibility for business so it is a

:23:07.:23:12.

big change. Lets see if that is true because universal credit is meant to

:23:13.:23:16.

make work pay, that is your mantra. Let me show you a quote Minister in

:23:17.:23:23.

the last -- in the last Tory conference. It

:23:24.:23:46.

has only come down to 76%. Actually form own parents, before they get to

:23:47.:23:52.

the tax bracket it is well below that. That is a decision the

:23:53.:23:57.

Government takes about the withdrawal rate so you can lower

:23:58.:24:03.

that rate or raise it. And do your reforms, some of the poorest

:24:04.:24:07.

people, if they burn an extra pound, will pay a marginal rate of

:24:08.:24:20.

76%. -- if they earn an extra pound. The 98% he is talking about is a

:24:21.:24:24.

specific area to do with lone parents but there are specific

:24:25.:24:31.

compound areas in the process that mean people are better off staying

:24:32.:24:36.

at home then going to work. They will be able to identify how much

:24:37.:24:41.

they are better off without needing to have a maths degree to figure it

:24:42.:24:46.

out. They are all taken away at different rates at the moment, it is

:24:47.:24:52.

complex and chaotic. Under universal credit that won't happen, and they

:24:53.:24:57.

will always be better off than they are now. Would you work that bit

:24:58.:25:03.

harder if the Government was going to take away that portion of what

:25:04.:25:12.

you learned? At the moment you are going to tax poor people at the same

:25:13.:25:18.

rate the French government taxes billionaires. Millions will be

:25:19.:25:22.

better off under this system of universal credit, I promise you, and

:25:23.:25:27.

that level of withdrawal then becomes something governments have

:25:28.:25:32.

to publicly discussed as to whether they lower or raise it. But George

:25:33.:25:38.

Osborne wouldn't give you the extra money to allow for the taper, is

:25:39.:25:44.

that right? The moment somebody crosses into work under the present

:25:45.:25:49.

system, there are huge cliff edges, in other words the immediate

:25:50.:25:53.

withdrawal makes it worse for them to go into work than otherwise. If

:25:54.:25:59.

he had given you more money, you could have tapered it more gently?

:26:00.:26:09.

Of course, but the Chancellor can always ultimately make that

:26:10.:26:12.

decision. These decisions are made by chancellors like tax rates, but

:26:13.:26:18.

it would be much easier under this system for the public to see what

:26:19.:26:23.

the Government chooses as its priorities. At the moment nobody has

:26:24.:26:29.

any idea but in the future it will be. Under the Pathfinders, we are

:26:30.:26:34.

finding people are going to work faster, doing more job searches, and

:26:35.:26:40.

more likely to take work under universal credit. Public Accounts

:26:41.:26:46.

Committee said this programme has been worse than doing nothing, for

:26:47.:26:55.

the long-term credit. It has not been a glorious success, has it?

:26:56.:27:03.

That is wrong. Right now the work programme is succeeding, more people

:27:04.:27:07.

are going to work, somewhere in the order of 500,000 people have gone

:27:08.:27:11.

back into work as a result of the programme. Around 280,000 people are

:27:12.:27:17.

in a sustained work over six months. Many companies are well

:27:18.:27:22.

above it, and the whole point about the work programme is that it is

:27:23.:27:27.

setup so that we make the private sector, two things that are

:27:28.:27:30.

important, there is competition in every area so that people can be

:27:31.:27:36.

sucked out of the programme and others can move in. The important

:27:37.:27:41.

point here as well is this, that actually they don't get paid unless

:27:42.:27:45.

they sustain somebody for six months of employment. Under previous

:27:46.:27:50.

programmes under the last government, they wasted millions

:27:51.:27:54.

paying companies who took the money and didn't do enough to get people

:27:55.:27:59.

into work. The best performing provider only moved 5% of people off

:28:00.:28:06.

benefit into work, the worst managed only 2%. It is young people. That

:28:07.:28:14.

report was on the early first months of the work programme, it is a

:28:15.:28:19.

two-year point we are now and I can give you the figures for this. They

:28:20.:28:24.

are above the line, the improvement has been dramatic and the work

:28:25.:28:28.

programme is better than any other back to work programme under the

:28:29.:28:37.

last government. So why is long-term unemployment rising? It is falling.

:28:38.:28:43.

We have the largest number of people back in work, there is more women in

:28:44.:28:48.

work than ever before, more jobs being created, 1.6 million new jobs

:28:49.:28:53.

being created. The work programme is working, our back to work programmes

:28:54.:29:00.

are incredibly successful at below cost so we are doing better than the

:29:01.:29:04.

last government ever did, and it will continue to improve because

:29:05.:29:10.

this process is very important. The competition is what drives up

:29:11.:29:14.

performance. We want the best performers to take the biggest

:29:15.:29:18.

numbers of people. You are practising Catholic, Archbishop

:29:19.:29:25.

Vincent Nichols has attached your reforms -- attack to your reforms,

:29:26.:29:29.

saying they are becoming more punitive to the most vulnerable in

:29:30.:29:35.

the land. What do you say? I don't agree. It would have been good if

:29:36.:29:39.

you called me before making these attacks because most are not

:29:40.:29:50.

correct. For the poorest temper sent in their

:29:51.:29:54.

society, they are now spending, as a percentage of their income, less

:29:55.:29:58.

than they did before. I'm not quite sure what he thinks welfare is

:29:59.:30:03.

about. Welfare is about stabilising people but most of all making sure

:30:04.:30:07.

that households can achieve what they need through work. The number

:30:08.:30:12.

of workless households under previous governments arose

:30:13.:30:16.

consistently. It has fallen for the first time in 30 years by nearly

:30:17.:30:22.

18%. Something like a quarter of a million children were growing up in

:30:23.:30:26.

workless households and are now in households with work and they are

:30:27.:30:29.

three times more likely to grow up with work than they would have been

:30:30.:30:33.

in workless households. Let me come into something that he may have had

:30:34.:30:38.

in mind as being punitive - some other housing benefit changes. A

:30:39.:30:42.

year ago, the Prime Minister announced that people with severely

:30:43.:30:45.

disabled children would be exempt from the changes but that was only

:30:46.:30:50.

after your department fought a High Court battle over children who

:30:51.:30:55.

couldn't share a bedroom because of severe disabilities. Isn't that what

:30:56.:31:00.

the Archbishop means by punitive or, some may describe it, heartless. We

:31:01.:31:04.

were originally going to appeal that and I said no. You put it up for an

:31:05.:31:11.

appeal and I said no. We're talking about families with disabled

:31:12.:31:16.

children. There are good reasons for this. Children with conditions like

:31:17.:31:19.

that don't make decisions about their household - their parents do -

:31:20.:31:24.

so I said we would exempt them. But for adults with disabilities the

:31:25.:31:28.

courts have upheld all of our decisions against complaints. But

:31:29.:31:32.

you did appeal it. It's just that, having lost in the appeal court, you

:31:33.:31:36.

didn't then go to the Supreme Court. You make decisions about this. My

:31:37.:31:40.

view was that it was right to exempt them at that time. I made that

:31:41.:31:46.

decision, not the Prime Minister. Let's get this right - the context

:31:47.:31:50.

of this is quite important. Housing benefit under the last government

:31:51.:31:54.

doubled under the last ten years to ?20 billion. It was set to rise to

:31:55.:32:01.

another 25 billion, the fastest rising of the benefits, it was out

:32:02.:32:04.

of control. We had to get it into control. It wasn't easy but we

:32:05.:32:08.

haven't cut the overall rise in housing. We've lowered it but we

:32:09.:32:12.

haven't cut housing benefit and we've tried to do it carefully so

:32:13.:32:16.

that people get a fair crack. On the spare room subsidy, which is what

:32:17.:32:19.

this complaint was about, the reality is that there are a quarter

:32:20.:32:24.

of a million people living in overcrowded accommodation. The last

:32:25.:32:26.

government left us with 1 million people on a waiting list for housing

:32:27.:32:29.

and there were half a million people sitting in houses with spare

:32:30.:32:33.

bedrooms they weren't using. As we build more houses, yes we need more,

:32:34.:32:37.

but the reality is that councils and others have to use their

:32:38.:32:40.

accommodation carefully so that they actually improve the lot of those

:32:41.:32:43.

living in desperate situations in overcrowded accommodation, and

:32:44.:32:47.

taxpayers are paying a lot of money. This will help people get

:32:48.:32:52.

back to work. They're more likely to go to work and more likely,

:32:53.:32:55.

therefore, to end up in the right sort of housing. We've not got much

:32:56.:33:01.

time left. A centre-right think tank that you've been associated with, on

:33:02.:33:06.

job-seeker's allowance, says 70,000 job-seekers' benefits were withdrawn

:33:07.:33:13.

unfairly. A viewer wants to know, are these reforms too harsh and

:33:14.:33:19.

punitive? Those figures are not correct. The Policy Exchange is

:33:20.:33:22.

wrong? Those figures are not correct and we will be publishing corrected

:33:23.:33:30.

figures. The reality is... Some people have lost their job-seeker

:33:31.:33:33.

benefits and been forced to go to food backs and they shouldn't have.

:33:34.:33:37.

No, they're not. What he is referring to is that we allowed an

:33:38.:33:43.

adviser to make a decision if some but it is not cooperating. We now

:33:44.:33:46.

make people sign a contract, where they agree these things. These are

:33:47.:33:50.

things we do for you and if you don't do these things, you are

:33:51.:33:54.

likely to have your benefit withdrawn on job-seeker's allowance.

:33:55.:33:57.

Some of this was an fairly withdrawn. There are millions of

:33:58.:34:01.

these things that go through. This is a very small subset. But if you

:34:02.:34:06.

lose your job-seeker benefit unfairly, you have no cash flow.

:34:07.:34:11.

There is an immediate review within seven days of that decision. Within

:34:12.:34:17.

seven days, that decision is reviewed. They are able to get a

:34:18.:34:20.

hardship fund straightaway if there is a problem. We have nearly ?1

:34:21.:34:25.

billion setup to help people, through crisis, hardship funds and

:34:26.:34:32.

in many other ways. We've given more than ?200 million to authorities to

:34:33.:34:36.

do face-to-face checks. This is not a nasty, vicious system but a system

:34:37.:34:42.

that says, "look, we ask you to do certain things. Taxpayers pay this

:34:43.:34:45.

money. You are out of work but you have obligations to seek work. We

:34:46.:34:49.

simply ask that you stick to doing those. Those sanctions are therefore

:34:50.:34:54.

be but he will not cooperate" . I think it is only fair to say to

:34:55.:34:57.

those people that they make choices throughout their life and if they

:34:58.:35:00.

choose not to cooperate, this is what happens. Is child poverty

:35:01.:35:05.

rising? No, it is actually falling in the last figures. 300,000 it fell

:35:06.:35:13.

in the last... Let me show you these figures. That is a projection by the

:35:14.:35:19.

Institute of fiscal studies. It also shows that it has gone up every year

:35:20.:35:24.

and will rise by 400,000 in this Parliament, and your government, and

:35:25.:35:28.

will continue to rise. But never mind the projection. It may be

:35:29.:35:32.

right, may be wrong. It would be 400,000 up compared to when -- what

:35:33.:35:38.

you inherited when this Parliament ends. That isn't a projection but

:35:39.:35:44.

the actual figures. But the last figures show that child poverty has

:35:45.:35:48.

fallen by some 300,000. The important point is... Can I just

:35:49.:35:53.

finished this point of? Child poverty is measured against 60% of

:35:54.:35:56.

median income so this is an issue about how we measure child poverty.

:35:57.:36:03.

You want to change the measure. I made the decision not to publish our

:36:04.:36:06.

change figures at this point because we've still got a bit more work to

:36:07.:36:10.

do on them but there is a big consensus that the way we measure

:36:11.:36:13.

child poverty right now does not measure exactly what requires to be

:36:14.:36:18.

done. For example, a family with an individual parent who may be drug

:36:19.:36:21.

addicted and gets what we think is enough money to be just over the

:36:22.:36:25.

line, their children may be living in poverty but they won't be

:36:26.:36:28.

measured so we need to get a measurement that looks at poverty in

:36:29.:36:31.

terms of how people live, not just in terms of the income levels they

:36:32.:36:37.

have. You can see on that chart - 400,000 rising by the end of this

:36:38.:36:42.

Parliament - you are deciding over an increase. Speedier I want to

:36:43.:36:46.

change it because under the last government child poverty rose

:36:47.:36:49.

consistently from 2004 and they ended up chucking huge sums of money

:36:50.:36:55.

into things like tax credits. In tax credits, in six years before the

:36:56.:37:02.

last election, the last government spent ?175 billion chasing a poverty

:37:03.:37:05.

target and they didn't achieve what they set out to achieve. We don't

:37:06.:37:09.

want to continue down that line where you simply put money into a

:37:10.:37:14.

welfare system to alter a marginal income line. It doesn't make any

:37:15.:37:18.

sense. That's why we want to change it, not because some projection says

:37:19.:37:22.

it might be going up. I will point out again it isn't a projection up

:37:23.:37:35.

to 2013-14. You want it to make work pay but more people in poverty are

:37:36.:37:39.

now in working families than in workless families. For them, workers

:37:40.:37:45.

not paying. Those figures referred to the last government's time in

:37:46.:37:50.

government. What is interesting about it is that until 2010, under

:37:51.:37:56.

the last government, those in working families - poverty in

:37:57.:38:00.

working families rose by half a million. For the two years up to the

:38:01.:38:03.

end of those figures, it has been flat, under this government. These

:38:04.:38:08.

are figures at the last government... You inherited and it

:38:09.:38:14.

hasn't changed. The truth is, even if you are in poverty in a working

:38:15.:38:19.

family, your children, if they are in workless families, are three

:38:20.:38:22.

times more likely to be out of work and to suffer real hardship. So, in

:38:23.:38:27.

other words, moving people up the scale, into work and then on is

:38:28.:38:33.

important. The problem with the last government system with working tax

:38:34.:38:36.

credit is it locks them into certain hours and they didn't progress.

:38:37.:38:40.

We're changing that so that you progress on up and go out of poverty

:38:41.:38:44.

through work and beyond it. But those figures you're referring to

:38:45.:38:49.

refer to the last government's tenure and they spent ?175 billion

:38:50.:38:54.

on a tax credit which still left people in work in poverty. Even 20

:38:55.:38:58.

minutes isn't enough to go through all this. A lot more I'd like to

:38:59.:39:02.

talk about. I hope you will come back. I will definitely come back.

:39:03.:39:07.

Thank you for joining us. You're watching the Sunday

:39:08.:39:11.

Politics. We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now for

:39:12.:39:12.

Sunday Politics Scotland. Of Hello and on the Sunday Politics

:39:13.:39:29.

Wales. The local government minister tells

:39:30.:39:32.

me she wants councils to be reasonable on tax, and transparent

:39:33.:39:35.

on pay. Plaid Cymru's leader distances herself from a call to cut

:39:36.:39:40.

tax for high earners and. Where does the Silk Road lead? To a more

:39:41.:39:46.

powerful assembly perhaps? I'm joined by two people with opposing

:39:47.:39:49.

views. But first, Plaid Cymru's spring

:39:50.:39:53.

conference closed yesterday. Plaid leader Leanne Wood used it to attack

:39:54.:39:56.

what she calls UKIP's "ugly politics".

:39:57.:40:04.

But that in turn was a time by one of her predecessors, by Comrie

:40:05.:40:10.

member David Thomas. She has distanced herself from a call from

:40:11.:40:16.

Adam Price to lower the top rate of income tax.

:40:17.:40:24.

In your speech yesterday you talked about all sorts of things, but in

:40:25.:40:32.

particular you are very critical of the Labour government, more critical

:40:33.:40:36.

than you have been in the past. I wonder since you have been leader,

:40:37.:40:40.

you are very conciliatory at the start. Is this a change of

:40:41.:40:44.

direction? I would say that I have been quite

:40:45.:40:51.

keen to put forward by Comrie's positive role in government, but to

:40:52.:40:54.

make sure we scrutinise the government we have got. I intend for

:40:55.:41:00.

Plaid Cymru to run an excellent campaign in 2016, DFID before the

:41:01.:41:04.

people of Wales a solid programme of government that is able to meet

:41:05.:41:07.

their needs and salt people's problems, and in order to do that,

:41:08.:41:15.

that will result in hopefully a good result for us where we are

:41:16.:41:21.

government of Wales. People need to be aware of the failings of this

:41:22.:41:24.

government and there are plenty, and I pointed some of them out.

:41:25.:41:29.

You said that Labour was bidding under threat the future of

:41:30.:41:32.

devolution. A very strong thing to say, what did you mean?

:41:33.:41:37.

We have big failings in our education system, in our health

:41:38.:41:44.

system, hospitals and civilisation, which risks further exacerbating

:41:45.:41:47.

those problems, the economy is in decline. We saw the figures for West

:41:48.:41:53.

Wales and the valleys where the GDP has gone down from 65% of the EU

:41:54.:42:01.

average to 64%. There are huge problems across the range of

:42:02.:42:04.

responsibilities of the Welsh government that are not being

:42:05.:42:07.

addressed, and we have to shine a light on it.

:42:08.:42:11.

You talked about this economic recovery being hollow, and based on

:42:12.:42:20.

a spreadsheet, and yet, what is based on a spreadsheet about the

:42:21.:42:23.

unemployment rate in Wales now lower than the UK averages that is real.

:42:24.:42:33.

Yes, it is real, but it masks problems that are there. There are

:42:34.:42:37.

many people on zero hours contracts, many people who are underemployed,

:42:38.:42:43.

more people working part-time. There are 250,000 people in Wales in

:42:44.:42:47.

earning less than a living wage. There are a lot of things that need

:42:48.:42:50.

to be done in terms of turning the economy around. Where I live, youth

:42:51.:42:56.

unemployment stands at 40%. The Welsh government would try to paint

:42:57.:42:59.

a picture that everything in the garden is rosy. The recovery that we

:43:00.:43:05.

have seen is fine on paper, but what it shows to me is that there are

:43:06.:43:10.

problems being masked in Wales, and also that there is an overheating

:43:11.:43:15.

economy in London and the region around there in the south-east that

:43:16.:43:20.

is giving a picture for the whole of the UK which is very imbalanced, and

:43:21.:43:25.

Wales has lost out a lot due to austerity measures from the

:43:26.:43:28.

Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition, and all of those problems

:43:29.:43:34.

have built up over many years. The figures make sure one thing, but you

:43:35.:43:38.

need to dig underneath us to get the true picture.

:43:39.:43:42.

The main thrust of your attack was against UKIP. The former leader of

:43:43.:43:48.

the party has described what you said about UKIP as facile. What you

:43:49.:43:55.

said was that a vote for UKIP was somehow anti-Welsh, it was against

:43:56.:43:59.

the interests of Wales. He thinks that is far too simplistic, and a

:44:00.:44:05.

lot of people whether you like it or not support UKIP in Wales, and as a

:44:06.:44:08.

result you should treat them more seriously.

:44:09.:44:12.

I do treat people who support UKIP seriously, that is why I am keen to

:44:13.:44:16.

point out the risk is UKIP when. Wales faces two very different

:44:17.:44:23.

futures and they want people to have their eyes wide open. In 2017 we

:44:24.:44:28.

could be the king had a referendum which cools Wales out of the EU

:44:29.:44:33.

potentially against the will of the people of Wales. It could be that

:44:34.:44:37.

the majority of people want to go that way, but I would argue that

:44:38.:44:42.

when one in ten jobs as reliant on us being in the EU, it is against

:44:43.:44:45.

the Welsh national interest for us to polite. I vote for UKIP is

:44:46.:44:51.

therefore a vote against the Welsh national interest. -- it is against

:44:52.:44:56.

the interest are asked to call out of Europe.

:44:57.:45:04.

I faced a number of tricky tests since becoming leader of this

:45:05.:45:09.

party. We have got a job of work to do, but I can be confident now in

:45:10.:45:14.

having that these arguments forward to our activists that they will go

:45:15.:45:20.

out onto the streets and make sure that the Plaid Cymru vote gets out.

:45:21.:45:26.

We are also appealing to disillusioned Liberal Democrat and

:45:27.:45:31.

green voters who have never had an MEP in Wales and have very little

:45:32.:45:35.

chance of getting one. If they want to support policies like insuring

:45:36.:45:39.

climate changes the agenda, the Robin Hood tax, international

:45:40.:45:43.

cooperation, if those things are important to those waters, what they

:45:44.:45:49.

really need to do on May 22 is to not stay at home but go out and

:45:50.:45:59.

support Plaid Cymru and the MEPs. One of the things that has been

:46:00.:46:01.

under discussion in the last few days is what we could do with

:46:02.:46:07.

taxation. Adam Price a senior figure in the party indicated that he would

:46:08.:46:12.

lower the higher rate of income tax is that power existed to Wales. I

:46:13.:46:16.

think most people will assume you would be against that idea.

:46:17.:46:22.

I'm not appeared at this point to outline Plaid Cymru's tax policies.

:46:23.:46:29.

Recently there has been an application of sharing income tax

:46:30.:46:33.

Paris with Wales... If they come, those powers will not be with us

:46:34.:46:39.

until 2021. Nobody can predict what the state of the Welsh economy will

:46:40.:46:46.

be like in 2021. What Adam Price has put forward is for changing the top

:46:47.:46:51.

rate of tax in the event that we have those tax-raising powers

:46:52.:46:55.

without a lockstep. Are many ifs there, but it is an interesting

:46:56.:47:01.

debate. It will form part of the debate in the coming years because

:47:02.:47:06.

what we must do is raise the level of economic activity in Wales, raise

:47:07.:47:09.

the level of productivity, and ultimately maximise the take in the

:47:10.:47:16.

tax pot. There will be a range of debates about how we do that, but we

:47:17.:47:21.

will get our policy right in time for those tax-raising powers if they

:47:22.:47:23.

do ever come to Wales. Councils have set their budgets for

:47:24.:47:27.

the next financial year, and there are cuts all round. Except for

:47:28.:47:30.

council tax, which will rise by an average of ?42. Meanwhile, there's

:47:31.:47:35.

continuing criticism of the wages paid to some local authority chief

:47:36.:47:44.

executives. Cracks are showing at cash-strapped

:47:45.:47:47.

councils. That is the verdict of the Wales audit office... It says many

:47:48.:47:51.

authorities don't have clear plans to cope with austerity, so with

:47:52.:47:56.

bigger cuts about to bite, I met up with local government Minister

:47:57.:48:00.

Lesley Griffiths and asked whether councils have their house in order.

:48:01.:48:05.

Local authorities have been told that cuts are coming, and in the

:48:06.:48:10.

previous years they have had a level of funding to enable them to make

:48:11.:48:17.

transformational services, and to collaborate with each other at a

:48:18.:48:20.

level we haven't seen before. Have they done that?

:48:21.:48:25.

Some have done it better than others. But I think we all recognise

:48:26.:48:32.

that more needs to be done. This will become a reality now, a

:48:33.:48:37.

new financial year, new council tax bills. Should the burden falls on

:48:38.:48:44.

the taxpayer or the services? It is about striking a balance, it

:48:45.:48:48.

is up to each local authority to set the level that they think is right.

:48:49.:48:52.

We as a government give them the flexibility to do that. I think it

:48:53.:48:56.

is the most accountable thing that a local authority can do for its local

:48:57.:49:02.

population. I am monitoring the budgets, I don't want them to be

:49:03.:49:06.

unreasonable, and I know that they are taking the views of council

:49:07.:49:10.

taxpayers into consideration as they have gone round setting the

:49:11.:49:14.

budgets. I think they are engaging with the public.

:49:15.:49:18.

What is reasonable and unreasonable? We have seen some

:49:19.:49:23.

councils go for the maximum 5% increase.

:49:24.:49:28.

I didn't give them a figure, because I thought I'd give them a figure

:49:29.:49:31.

they would all think that was a figure they could start with. At the

:49:32.:49:35.

moment I am analysing all the increases that are coming in.

:49:36.:49:40.

I don't recall ever seen so many go right up to the limit of 5%.

:49:41.:49:49.

Badlands on your doorstep, and so council taxpayers face higher bills,

:49:50.:49:55.

don't they? It is challenging, of course. But I

:49:56.:50:02.

can only give them what I have. Our budget has been cut so significantly

:50:03.:50:06.

by the UK government, I can only give them what I have, and they can

:50:07.:50:12.

only pass on what they have. So it is really important to look at their

:50:13.:50:15.

council tax, try not to be unreasonable, try not to burden on

:50:16.:50:18.

the taxpayer, and I hope that is what they have done.

:50:19.:50:24.

As taxpayers, surely get used to seeing bigger increases in council

:50:25.:50:26.

tax bills? In Wales, the band D is lower than

:50:27.:50:33.

in England, so we do have a lower level of council tax than England.

:50:34.:50:38.

Even in Scotland's weather has been a council tax freeze since 2007, we

:50:39.:50:42.

are rolling on a par with Scotland. So we do have a significantly lower

:50:43.:50:50.

council tax in Wales. In England money has been made

:50:51.:50:53.

available to freeze or even lower council tax. In some borough 's

:50:54.:50:58.

council tax hasn't cut seven times in the last eight years. What is

:50:59.:51:02.

happening in England that is not happening in Wales were council tax

:51:03.:51:06.

bills are going up? It is not correct to say there is a

:51:07.:51:10.

freeze in England, we now 40 local authorities have had raises in the

:51:11.:51:16.

last year. It is up to each local authority to decide its council tax

:51:17.:51:19.

level. They are accountable to local population.

:51:20.:51:27.

Councils spend a lot of money on hiring senior staff. A report

:51:28.:51:30.

recently showed that Chief Executive pay ranges from around 105,000 to

:51:31.:51:37.

around ?195,000. Or do you make of that?

:51:38.:51:43.

Senior salaries are very much in the news and I notice something the

:51:44.:51:47.

public are rightly interested in. It is up to local authorities to have

:51:48.:51:53.

those statements. It is right that the public can access them and they

:51:54.:51:56.

see how decisions are being taken. When councils are setting senior

:51:57.:52:02.

salary pay, it must be transparent, the public must realise how they

:52:03.:52:06.

have come to that, we have also given against the new appointments

:52:07.:52:11.

over ?100,000 the full council should have the authority to vote on

:52:12.:52:16.

that, and within the recent democracy act, it is right that when

:52:17.:52:21.

they want to be should refer the salary to a remuneration panel.

:52:22.:52:27.

This is the result of a deal between political parties. When will we see

:52:28.:52:34.

the consequences of that? The gains will be issued in April.

:52:35.:52:45.

Chief Executive pay ranges by almost ?100,000, how has that come about?

:52:46.:52:53.

Local authorities are autonomous employers and they said their

:52:54.:52:57.

salaries and statements. Because of the concerns that I raised, many

:52:58.:53:01.

people have written to me about this, I think it is right that local

:53:02.:53:07.

authorities demonstrate how those decisions have been made and the

:53:08.:53:11.

public have access to it. And is important they can see those

:53:12.:53:18.

statements easily. You have commissioned a review into

:53:19.:53:21.

council tax benefit, the scheme that has replaced that, will that money

:53:22.:53:26.

continue into the next financial year?

:53:27.:53:32.

We have to look at it. You will appreciate the UK government

:53:33.:53:35.

completely cut council tax support. We had to pick up the bill. We have

:53:36.:53:39.

been able to protect that for two years. I want a sustainable scheme

:53:40.:53:43.

and we are in partnership with local government.

:53:44.:53:47.

When will you make a decision? Because people are worried that they

:53:48.:53:51.

may get a council tax bill for the first time ever when the scheme

:53:52.:53:54.

ends. We want to avoid that, because we

:53:55.:53:58.

know that some of these people are the most vulnerable in our society.

:53:59.:54:02.

We will conduct a review as soon as possible.

:54:03.:54:05.

No date at the moment? Not at the moment.

:54:06.:54:08.

And BBC Cymru Wales will take a closer look at the finances and

:54:09.:54:12.

services of local councils over the next couple of days.

:54:13.:54:14.

Now, the National Assembly needs more power, including over the

:54:15.:54:18.

police. That's the verdict of the Silk commission which delivered its

:54:19.:54:24.

second report last week. Jubilation three years ago when

:54:25.:54:29.

Wales voted for more devolution. The referendum of 2011 boosted the

:54:30.:54:35.

lawmaking powers of the assembly. It was a resounding Yes vote, albeit on

:54:36.:54:42.

a small turnout. What a contrast to 1997 when the assembly squeaked into

:54:43.:54:47.

existence. Since then, reports and enquiries have asked whether we have

:54:48.:54:49.

the right system of evolution. The latest, the Silk commission, has

:54:50.:54:54.

paved the way to tax and borrowing powers for the Welsh government. It

:54:55.:54:59.

says we should go further still, with youth justice and policing

:55:00.:55:03.

devolved to a bigger assembly with more members. The commission priced

:55:04.:55:07.

offer a sustainable settlement. Have attracted? Or how long will it be

:55:08.:55:13.

before we're back here again asking whether the assembly needs more

:55:14.:55:14.

power? Here to discuss that question and

:55:15.:55:17.

others are Cathy Owens, a former Welsh government special adviser who

:55:18.:55:20.

campaigned for a Yes vote in 2011, and Rachel Banner, who led the No

:55:21.:55:36.

vote. Cathy, the group that Rachel represents one of a slippery slope

:55:37.:55:39.

of more powers and more devolution, they were writes, when they?

:55:40.:55:45.

What they were right about is that this commission will not put aside

:55:46.:55:49.

any discussions about constitutional change. This is not a stable

:55:50.:55:54.

settlement that will last for 30 years we will continually discuss

:55:55.:56:00.

constitutional change. Why is that? Why can't we get it

:56:01.:56:05.

right and put it to bed? Because we are part of a continuum.

:56:06.:56:09.

There is a small number one in the wonderful sensation, there is a

:56:10.:56:12.

small number of the other end of what to get rid of the assembly

:56:13.:56:15.

altogether. Most people are around the middle, only to find a balance,

:56:16.:56:19.

and that might shift over time. There will not be a moment when we

:56:20.:56:23.

don't talk about constitutional matters any more. A lot of people

:56:24.:56:28.

say we have to focus on delivery, and that is absolutely the case. I

:56:29.:56:32.

think this piece of work stands together very well. There are some

:56:33.:56:37.

elements that could be interviews tomorrow without changing very

:56:38.:56:41.

much. It recognises that the settlement is a bit odd and that the

:56:42.:56:45.

UK government has not really grasp it and other organisations could do

:56:46.:56:51.

more. It says that the BBC should recognise Welsh voices a bit more.

:56:52.:56:58.

Rachel Banner, the statement he released when the report came out,

:56:59.:57:01.

you were appalled at the extent of radical changes. Isn't that a bit

:57:02.:57:09.

over the top? If the assembly is responsible for educating children

:57:10.:57:11.

and running hospitals, why not use dusters and police?

:57:12.:57:16.

At the moment we have an economy in crisis, education and health in deep

:57:17.:57:23.

trouble, and would like to see the assembly focusing on that rather

:57:24.:57:25.

than constitutional change. We were told in 2011 that the referendum was

:57:26.:57:32.

about a tidying up exercise, and here we are just two years on, we

:57:33.:57:36.

have the Silk commission which was set up by the UK government in the

:57:37.:57:42.

event of a Yes vote. We were not told of the consequences that we

:57:43.:57:48.

would see talk about devolution of criminal Justice and tax powers. We

:57:49.:57:53.

never had a discussion about that, and here we are, and it is likely to

:57:54.:57:57.

be introduced to manifestoes, not even a second referendum.

:57:58.:58:02.

That is the opportunity to have a debate about the next ages of

:58:03.:58:08.

devolution. With respect, when you set up a group of politicians and

:58:09.:58:10.

the new system there will always be debate about more powers, she do not

:58:11.:58:15.

have expected this? There will never be a proper

:58:16.:58:19.

debate. If there was going to be a debate it would be in 2011. Here we

:58:20.:58:24.

are in 2014 and what we see is comments and promises about the Silk

:58:25.:58:29.

commission recommendations being tucked away in the back of

:58:30.:58:32.

manifestoes. We won't have a proper debate about us, and people of Wales

:58:33.:58:37.

are now seeing radical devolution without a mandate for it.

:58:38.:58:45.

Democratically elected mandates of democratically elected politicians

:58:46.:58:49.

in our present that democracy. That is a bit of an issue, True Wales did

:58:50.:58:56.

lose, and I think we have to respect with the people of Wales are. And I

:58:57.:59:00.

think that the next discussion is around policing because even though

:59:01.:59:10.

you might have an issue on health, and I think that has very good job

:59:11.:59:13.

of seeing some of these figures aren't right, I think most people in

:59:14.:59:17.

Wales will recognise if we are to reconfigure hospitals with a grab

:59:18.:59:21.

somebody in Cardiff working on that and making a decision rather than

:59:22.:59:26.

Jeremy Hunt or Andy Burnham for that matter.

:59:27.:59:29.

The argument that Rachel Banner makes is that the Welsh government

:59:30.:59:34.

hasn't done a very good job with the responsibilities and has now. Is it

:59:35.:59:37.

fair that we should expect the assembly to earn the right for more

:59:38.:59:40.

powers? Not only with the Welsh government

:59:41.:59:44.

disagree with that point of view, but the Welsh government that is

:59:45.:59:46.

represented by the Labour Party keeps getting re-elected in a

:59:47.:59:52.

democratically accountable system. It is wrong to say that nobody

:59:53.:59:57.

agrees with what is going on here. The Welsh government keeps getting

:59:58.:00:00.

re-elected in various different forms, but most people in Wales

:00:01.:00:06.

really do think that health and education should be decided in

:00:07.:00:09.

Wales, and that is an argument that Rachel has lost.

:00:10.:00:15.

No, because I have not argued that health and education should be taken

:00:16.:00:18.

back to Westminster, although there is now an argument about the

:00:19.:00:23.

overview of the NHS. They have done a bad job, the Welsh government, on

:00:24.:00:27.

both of these issues. There is time for it to do better, but it must

:00:28.:00:31.

start looking at those things because there is a crisis.

:00:32.:00:38.

Do you say a blanket no to any more powers, or do you distinguish

:00:39.:00:40.

between some of the things on offer?

:00:41.:00:45.

I would agree with Cathy on the BBC, that there should be a Welsh voice

:00:46.:00:50.

from the BBC which currently is not strong enough.

:00:51.:00:56.

That's not really about the assembly, is it?

:00:57.:01:03.

True Wales would not support further devolution, and there is no mandate

:01:04.:01:07.

for further devolution of crime and policing. It would have to go to

:01:08.:01:10.

referendum. Also tax-raising powers. We argued that a Yes vote

:01:11.:01:17.

would lead to tax-raising powers. The yes campaign have continually

:01:18.:01:21.

said that the referendum was not about these things.

:01:22.:01:26.

I want to move on to the recommendation for more members of

:01:27.:01:34.

the assembly. Will anyone grasp the nettle and say, we have more power,

:01:35.:01:38.

we need more members? Lets not forget that constitutional

:01:39.:01:44.

powers are not devolved. It is something we have to agree as a UK

:01:45.:01:51.

level. If a package is great to change the constitution and we have

:01:52.:01:53.

to scrutinised police and criminal justice, you could argue there needs

:01:54.:01:58.

to be better scrutiny here. Rachel Banner, is that your fair?

:01:59.:02:03.

Yes, that is what we predicted. We don't need more members, we have

:02:04.:02:09.

members who have already lost their responsibilities who could come down

:02:10.:02:11.

to the assembly and help to scrutinise legislation.

:02:12.:02:15.

We're out of time, I'm sorry to say.

:02:16.:02:16.

And that's Now, without further ado, more from

:02:17.:02:36.

our political panel. Iain Martin, what did you make of Iain Duncan

:02:37.:02:40.

Smith's response to the Danny Alexander point I'd put to him? I

:02:41.:02:45.

thought it was a cheekily put response but actually, on Twitter,

:02:46.:02:49.

people have been tweeting while on air that there are lots of examples

:02:50.:02:52.

where the Tories have demanded the raising of the threshold. The 2006

:02:53.:02:58.

Forsyth tax omission is another example. Helen, on the bigger issue

:02:59.:03:05.

of welfare reforms, is welfare reform, as we head into the

:03:06.:03:10.

election, despite all the criticisms, still a plus for the

:03:11.:03:15.

government? I don't think so. Whatever the opposite of a Midas

:03:16.:03:18.

touch is, Iain Duncan Smith has got it. David Cameron never talks about

:03:19.:03:24.

universal credit any more. The record on personal independence

:03:25.:03:26.

payment, for example... We didn't get onto that. Only one in six of

:03:27.:03:33.

those notes have been paid. A toss pulling out of their condiment has

:03:34.:03:41.

been a nightmare. It's a very big minus point for the Secretary of

:03:42.:03:44.

State. -- Atos pulling out of bed contract. Welfare cuts are an

:03:45.:03:56.

unambiguous point for the government but other points more ambiguous. I

:03:57.:04:01.

don't think it's technical complexity that makes IDS's reform a

:04:02.:04:06.

problem. The IT gets moved out with time. But even if it's in fermented

:04:07.:04:12.

perfectly, what it will achieve has been slightly oversold, I think, and

:04:13.:04:16.

simplified incredibly. All it does is improve incentives to work for

:04:17.:04:21.

one section of the income scale and diminishes it at another. Basically,

:04:22.:04:26.

you are encouraged to go from working zero hours to 16 hours but

:04:27.:04:30.

your incentive to work beyond 16 goes down. That's not because it's a

:04:31.:04:34.

horrendous policy but because in work benefits systems are

:04:35.:04:37.

imperceptible. Most countries do worse than we do. -- benefits

:04:38.:04:47.

systems cannot be perfected. They need to tone down how much this can

:04:48.:04:50.

achieve even if it all goes flawlessly. There are clearly

:04:51.:04:53.

problems, particularly within limitation, but Labour is still wary

:04:54.:04:59.

of welfare reform. -- with implementation. Polls suggest it is

:05:00.:05:05.

rather popular. People may not know what's involved were like the sound

:05:06.:05:11.

of it. I think Janan is right to mark out the differences between

:05:12.:05:15.

welfare cuts and welfare reforms. They are related but distinct. Are

:05:16.:05:21.

we saying cuts are more popular than reform? They clearly are. The

:05:22.:05:28.

numbers, when you present people numbers on benefit reductions, are

:05:29.:05:36.

off the scale. Reform, for the reasons you explored in your

:05:37.:05:40.

interview, is incredibly compensated. What's interesting is

:05:41.:05:45.

that Labour haven't really definitively said what their

:05:46.:05:51.

position is on this. I think they like - despite what they may see in

:05:52.:05:56.

public occasionally - some of what universal credit might produce but

:05:57.:05:58.

they don't want to be associated with it. We probably won't know

:05:59.:06:06.

until if Ed Miliband is Prime Minister precisely what direction

:06:07.:06:12.

Labour will go. Immigration is still a hot topic in Westminster and

:06:13.:06:16.

throughout the country. This new Home Office minister, James

:06:17.:06:18.

Brokenshire, made an intervention. Let's see what he had to say. For

:06:19.:06:24.

too long, the benefits of immigration went to employers who

:06:25.:06:28.

wanted an easy supply of cheap labour or to the wealthy

:06:29.:06:32.

metropolitan elite who wanted cheap tradesmen and services, but not to

:06:33.:06:35.

the ordinary hard-working people of this country. With the result that

:06:36.:06:40.

the Prime Minister and everyone else has to tell us all whether they've

:06:41.:06:44.

now got Portuguese or whatever it is Nanny is. Is this the most

:06:45.:06:49.

cack-handed intervention on an immigration issue in a long list? I

:06:50.:06:53.

think it is and when I saw this being trailed the night before, I

:06:54.:07:00.

worried for him. As soon as a minister of the Crown uses the

:07:01.:07:02.

phrase "wealthy metropolitan elite" more likely we see it in recession.

:07:03.:07:38.

We've just had the worst recession in several decades. It's no small

:07:39.:07:44.

problem but compared to what ministers like James Brokenshire has

:07:45.:07:49.

been saying for the past few years and also the reluctance to issue the

:07:50.:07:52.

report earlier, I thought that, combined with the speech, made it

:07:53.:07:58.

quite a bad week for the department. Was this a cack-handed attempt to

:07:59.:08:01.

appeal to the UKIP voters? I think so and he's predecessor had to leave

:08:02.:08:06.

the job because of having a foreign cleaner. It drew attention to the

:08:07.:08:10.

Tories' biggest problem, the out of touch problem. Most people around

:08:11.:08:15.

the country probably don't have a Portuguese nanny and you've just put

:08:16.:08:21.

a big sign over David Cameron saying, this man can afford a

:08:22.:08:25.

Portuguese Nanny. It is not the finest political operation ever

:08:26.:08:27.

conducted and the speech was definitely given by the Home Office

:08:28.:08:32.

to Number Ten but did Number Ten bother to read it? It was a complete

:08:33.:08:38.

shambles. The basic argument that there is a divide between a wealthy

:08:39.:08:42.

metropolitan elite and large parts of Middle Britain or the rest of the

:08:43.:08:47.

country I think is basically sound. It is but they are on the wrong side

:08:48.:08:53.

of it. What do you mean by that? The Tory government is on the wrong

:08:54.:08:57.

side. This is appealing to UKIP voters and we know that UKIP is

:08:58.:09:02.

appealing to working-class voters who have previously voted Labour and

:09:03.:09:05.

Tory. If you set up that divide, make sure you are on the right side

:09:06.:09:11.

stop When you talk about metropolitan members of the media

:09:12.:09:14.

class, they say that it is rubbish and everyone has a Polish cleaner.

:09:15.:09:20.

No, they don't. I do not have a clean! I don't clean behind the

:09:21.:09:26.

fridge, either! Most people in the country don't have a cleaner. The

:09:27.:09:31.

problem for the Tories on this is, why play that game? You can't

:09:32.:09:41.

out-UKIP UKIP. After two or three years of sustained Tory effort to do

:09:42.:09:44.

that, they will probably finish behind UKIP. Do we really want a

:09:45.:09:52.

political system where it becomes an issue of where your nanny or your

:09:53.:09:56.

cleaner is from, if you've got one? Unless, of course, they're illegal.

:09:57.:10:01.

But Portuguese or Italian or Scottish... And intervention was

:10:02.:10:06.

from Nick Clegg who said his wife was Dutch -- his mum was Dutch and

:10:07.:10:14.

his wife was Spanish. Not communism but who your cleaner is! It's the

:10:15.:10:20.

McCarthy question! Where does your cleaner come from. A lot of people

:10:21.:10:25.

will say are lucky to have a cleaner. I want to move onto selfies

:10:26.:10:31.

but first, on the Nigel Farage - Nick Clegg debate, let's stick with

:10:32.:10:35.

the TV one. Who do you think will win? Nigel Farage. Clegg. He is a

:10:36.:10:43.

surprisingly good in debates and people have forgotten. I think Clegg

:10:44.:10:47.

is going to win. I think Farage has peaked. We're going to keep that on

:10:48.:10:56.

tape as well! Two 214 Clegg there. Selfies. Politicians are attempting

:10:57.:11:03.

to show they're down with the kids. Let's look at some that we've seen

:11:04.:11:04.

in recent days. Why are they doing this, Helen? I'm

:11:05.:11:51.

so embarrassed you call me reading the SNP manifesto, as I do every

:11:52.:11:56.

Saturday! They do it because it makes them seem authentic and that's

:11:57.:11:59.

the big Lie that social media tells you - that you're seeing the real

:12:00.:12:04.

person. You're not, you're seeing a very carefully manicured, more witty

:12:05.:12:07.

person. That doesn't work for politicians. It looks so fake and

:12:08.:12:14.

I'm still suffering the cringe I see every time I see Cameronserious

:12:15.:12:19.

phone face. Does Mr Cameron really think it big Sim up because he's on

:12:20.:12:24.

the phone to President Obama? Obama is not the personality he once was.

:12:25.:12:33.

There is an international crisis in Ukraine - of course we are expecting

:12:34.:12:37.

to be speaking to Obama! And if you were in any doubt about what a man

:12:38.:12:40.

talking on the telephone looks like, here's a photo. I must confess, I

:12:41.:12:46.

didn't take my own selfie. Did your nanny? My father-in-law took it.

:12:47.:12:53.

Where is your father-in-law from? Scotland. Just checking. Janan, I

:12:54.:13:07.

think we've got one of you. The 1%! What a great telephone! Where did

:13:08.:13:14.

you get that telephone? It looks like Wolf Of Wall Street! That's

:13:15.:13:20.

what I go to bed in. It showed how excited Cameron was to be on the

:13:21.:13:25.

phone to Obama. All our politicians think they are living a mini version

:13:26.:13:29.

of US politics. President Obama goes on a big plane and we complain when

:13:30.:13:33.

George Osborne goes first class on first Great Western. They want to be

:13:34.:13:36.

big and important like American politics but it doesn't work. We'll

:13:37.:13:42.

see your top at next week! That's it for this week. Faxed all

:13:43.:13:47.

our guests. The Daily Politics is on all this week at lunchtime on BBC

:13:48.:13:51.

Two. We'll be back here same time, same place next week. Remember, if

:13:52.:13:56.

it's Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:57.:14:01.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS