14/11/2011 World Business Report


14/11/2011

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latest headlines from BBC World News. Let's bring you the latest

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numbers and used on the new man in charge of Italy with Sally and

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A warm welcome, you're with World Business Report. These are the

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headlines: He's an elected and highly respected. Will Mario Monti

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be able to bring Italy back from the precipice of financial ruin?

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The head of Germany's powerful Bundesbank rejects calls to use the

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European Central Bank as the lender of last resort. Japan bounces back

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from its post earthquakes slump but Mario Monti has been handed the

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task of forging a new government in Italy. They will hope he can

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restore the country's credibility and pushed through a tough

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austerity measures. Between 1994 and 2004 he was a European

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commissioner in Brussels where he developed a reputation as being a

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tough negotiator and he has always been a staunch defender of the euro.

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All eyes will be on how European markets will respond to his

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appointment in a few hours. I am joined by a professor of economics

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at the University of Sussex and also at the Open University. Are

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you pleased Monti got the job? It seems to be the one the markets

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were looking for. He was of very respectable economists. He has

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connections with very smart economists that he can bring into

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his cabinet. That will calm financial markets because he is

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very credible in terms of how he understands international economy

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and Italy's place within Europe and hopefully he can make it to the

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Crow. As long as the growth rate remains below the interest rates

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that they pay on their debt, the debt-GDP ratio will keep growing.

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Does he have a growth plan? So far we have had two big austerity

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packages pushed through Parliament in a very speedy fashion last week

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was the latest on. Mario Monti has got to implement that. You say he

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has got to bring growth. Everyone agrees that in the long-term Italy

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needs to have a growth plan but what about those austerity measures,

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will they lead to growth in Italy? It's interesting because they are

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actually quite similar to the kind of package that the UK government

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has just put through. Which is mainly about taxation. So the VAT

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will go up to 21% in Italy. There will be pension reform, they want

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Italian women to actually wait an extra five years before they get a

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pension. There's increases in the expenses that people make within

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hospitals. Little things like that. They are bringing in more money

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that way? There will also be a freeze on public sector wages. But

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if you think about what these measures will do, partly the

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problem is they will decrease demand, they cost the VAT rising...

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and this has happened in this country -- because the VAT rising.

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Nothing we have seen will increase productivity. For the last ten

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years it has had stagnant productivity. This is very

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different to other European countries. It is not true it is a

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European problem, it is an Italian problem because of under-investment

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in certain areas where Germany has been a lot smarter. There's nothing

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in this plan to do anything useful. Unless we increased Italian

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productivity the gross rate will not rise. These measures we see are

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all about decreasing the immediate debt but it is not about long-term

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growth. We have got to leave it there, thanks very much. I am sure

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we will talk again on this programme about the outlook for

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Italy and we will discuss it further in the look at the

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international press. But we have to move on because Italy may be

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stepping back from the brink but its government bond fields, its

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return and investor receives are still in the danger zone and the

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European Central Bank is being urged to stem the crisis by

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underwriting the Italian bond market. Germany are highly

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sceptical of this. On Thursday the President of the German Bundesbank

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said the ECB should not be used as a lender of last resort to European

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governments. The European Central Bank may have

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a new boss, who happens to be an Italian. But whoever's in charge

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the ECB can't be a lender of last resort to using its unlimited

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firepower to directly by the debt of governments like Italy. All you

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can do is go to the open market and buy bonds from distress countries,

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which it has done. Wholesale buying could stabilise Italy and Greece.

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Four protesters in Rome, it is a simple issue. TRANSLATION: The

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European Central Bank is the only central bank in the history of

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humanity that lends money to private banks at a rate of 1.5% and

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does not lend money to the state. We demand that the European Central

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Bank by his state bonds directly because this was stop the

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speculation. What is stopping the opening of the EU floodgates is the

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zone's largest paymaster, Germany. It aims it will risk unleashing

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chronic inflation of the kind experienced in the 1920s. But the

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senior figure advising this Bank thinks it will soon end to world

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opinion. Germany of course is in pole position here to swing the

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decisions and it really has a choice, if it sticks by its

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orthodox disciplined approach I fear there's going to be a serious

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escalation in the financial markets that will be beyond repair. Or it

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has to compromise and say, there may be certain concessions we will

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have to make in terms of what the European Central Bank is allowed to

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do so that we may leave them by some time to sort the problems out.

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That is what will happen I think. With the ECB on the sidelines it is

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still just Italy verses the markets. Japan is out of recession after its

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economy rebounded in the third quarter growing for the first time

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since the devastating earthquake in March. A rise in exports and

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consumer spending helped boost the economy after nine months of

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negative growth. Roland Berger is in Tokyo, some welcome news, tell

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us more about how they did this. is about companies recovering much

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more quickly than the common knowledge had expected. That helped

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to restore the supply chains. In the last quarter, July to September,

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the story was about companies catching up on lost production.

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Japan's economy expanded by 1.5% quarter on quarter, 6% as an annual

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rate. The fastest of any major economy. Consumers also did their

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bit because of concerns about electricity shortages in the wake

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of the Fukushima nuclear crisis, there was a bit of a Brunt on

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people buying energy-efficient appliances, trying to do their bit

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to save electricity -- a run. But can that momentum be my maintained?

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Presumably not. I presume the strong yen is playing a part and

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also the events in Europe. Those things are inextricably linked. The

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turmoil in Europe means investors look for a safe haven, somewhere

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where there is no risk of inflation so they turn to Japan. That

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prompted the government to intervene. The other big issue is

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the flooding in Thailand. Just as those supply chains were recovering

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from the earthquake they got hit by the flooding in Thailand. Many

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Japanese companies looking to escape the high yen have opened up

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factories there in recent years and they were in the way when the

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flooding happened. Thank you for joining us. Some Other stories and

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President Obama has announced the broad outline for plans to create a

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trans-Pacific free-trade zone at an annual regional summit in Hawaii.

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Nine APEC nations are involved but China has not expressed interest in

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joining the talks. APEC countries account for about 44% of global

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trade. Dubai baste Emirates Airlines has ordered $18 billion

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worth of airlines. It is the single largest aircraft order for Boeing

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