17/11/2011 World Business Report


17/11/2011

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bail-out money. Those are the latest headlines from BBC World

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News. Now the latest financial news with Sally and World Business

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Hello and a warm welcome, you're with World Business Report. These

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are the headlines: Contagion fears gripped Wall Streak.

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UBS reveals its new strategy but will a shift away from investment

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banking win back the confidence of Another day another stark warning

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about the wider impact the eurozone debt crisis will have on the global

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economy. Shares sunk on Wall Street after ratings agency Fitch said

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contagion could spread to the US. The report out late on Wednesday

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warns that while US banks have manageable exposure to Europe,

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further contagion poses a serious risk to the US banking sector. That

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was enough to wipe 200 points off the Dow in the last minutes of

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trade. Morgan Stanley shares plunged 9%. Fiction is concerned

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about distressed European countries's were used hitting the

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banking system. They are concerned it is the troubles that have hit

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Ireland, Portugal, and Spain spread to more nations it could put in

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jeopardy America's banking system and its exposure to the eurozone.

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In total that could be 50 billion US dollars. At the moment they say

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that the US banking system's exposure to Europe is fairly

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manageable but they are worried about the into Connectivity of

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large global banks. That only piles on the were news for banks

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including City crew, Bank of America, even JP Morgan Chase and

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Goldman Sachs. It was enough to see the Dow Jones plunge, before the

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reported was down 36 points, afterwards it fell 190. They may

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only be pointing out some of the eurozone concerns that many people

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are aware of. But their report The markets in Asia started their

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days in a pretty dire way as you can imagine but things have calmed

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down. We can go to recur in Singapore for the latest. It has

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been a roller-coaster ride -- Rico. Indeed, roller coaster, very

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volatile but so far in the early afternoon trading session regional

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shares are still under pressure, led by the financial sector feeling

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the heat and financial stocks in Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, South

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Korea, currently weakest after the rise in industry. That is the level

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that eventually forced Greece, Ireland and Portugal to seek bail-

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out programs. Asian investors will be watching closely the France and

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Spain bond auctions, and the results are keenly awaited. Overall

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analysts here don't really fear Asian banks being greatly affected

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compared to the US counterparts because exposure they say is not

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significant and minimal. But what they fear is the contagion from the

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eurozone debt crisis, which will pull the major economies into

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recession and intern impact of Asia's exports to Europe. Close to

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20% of the region's outgoing shipments are sold to the eurozone

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and this could impact the economies of the Asia-Pacific region. Thanks,

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Rico. We can speak to David Buick, or some more analysis. This news

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coming out just before the end of the day from Wall Street -- for

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some more analysis. It does not take much now, everybody's very

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neurotic. Things have fallen to a derisory new low. The markets move

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very quickly. We have to cast our mind back to 2008 when the Treasury

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Secretary said what many people thought was a logical, and he

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pulled the plug on Leeman Brothers, which exacerbated the problems for

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everybody because nobody knew how much money they might have lost

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because it was not an orderly closure. You can never necessarily

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organise something like this. But the problem with the euro debt

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crisis is the inertia on a political basis. The worst option

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is to do nothing and that is what they have chosen to. Is there a

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real worry about the impact globally, because that is kind of

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where Fitch is going. There is this underlying fear that they could be

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another credit crunch. I think that's right. They have over-

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reacted in the marketplace but as I said it does not take much. When

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you look at the damage credit default swaps can do, it is not

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just a piece of paper, the bond, that may have toxic losses on it.

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It is the counter party that may have bought it because they have

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problems and going down the line to them. It is like a pack of cards.

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David, we will talk more to you when we look through the newspapers

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in about ten minutes. But let's take a look at what is going on in

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Italy where the new Prime Minister will be presenting his austerity

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program to the Senate later today ahead of a confidence vote. On

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Wednesday Mario Monti unveiled a Cabinet of technocrats, 18 he is

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hoping will reassure investors and the Voges in Italy that he can get

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Italian debt under control -- the voters in Italy. -- a team. John,

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what is actually happening there today? It does sound very

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reminiscent of the last week or so when we have austerity measures

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being discussed and a vote of confidence. Yes that's true. There

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have been heavy discussions up to last week. This week we spent some

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time... actually the government spends some time trying to get Mr

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Monti re-elected and a whole series of meetings with members of the

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various parties and members of different interest groups. So the

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week has gone by, basically doing some kind of formal meetings and

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ritualistic meetings, which is kind of hard for the markets to

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understand. But these meetings will continue, today he should be sworn

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in, and getting a confidence vote on one of the Chambers, next week

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will be the other one. I understand the markets are kind of inflation

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find how, they are waiting to see the measures being taken --

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impatient right now. Let's talk about those measures, sorry to

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interrupt you because time is getting the better of us. When it

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comes to the austerity measures, some of the big ones like sorting

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out bureaucracy, they are not going to be in these meetings. There is a

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big concern and everybody in Italy is concerned about that. I have

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been talking to some politicians and they tell me that they like

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Monti, they like what Monti is doing, but the question is is he

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going to go to the Chambers and discuss the measures that need to

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be taken? Or is he going to take a fast approach? Is he going to

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implement the changes that need to be made? It seems the politicians

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think it will be the second thing he will do. Especially because it

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will come down the markets. Fang Q4 joining us. I am sure Mario Monti

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is looking forward to rolling up his sleeves cast thank you for

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joining us. Let's look at a presentation of a new strategy that

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will shake up a Swiss bank and caused vital change but will it

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deliver? The new chief executive is under pressure to prove he has the

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right formula as shareholders' patience is running thin. In recent

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years UBS has suffered a series of setbacks, the most recent the

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embarrassing and costly rogue trading scandal. UBS spend 150

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years building its business but it has plans to become a big player.

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Today the new chief executive will outline a future where activities

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like trading commodities or currencies are scaled back. It was

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really pummelled by its over extension into the housing market,

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property market in the US. And now private banking is under a lot of

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pressure. One has to ask what is left, it is going to abandon

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investment banking. They have already announced plans to cut more

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than 3,000 jobs, half of them at its investment banking arm.

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Investment banking has to be the smart banking operation because

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there is not enough business to sustain them if it is just

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investment banking. Retail banking is still growing, lots of people

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are getting rich even though many people are getting poor, and that

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is what they have got to focus on. Switzerland has traditional banking

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secrecy took a dent two years ago - - Switzerland's. In September, UBS

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and cover trading losses of $2.3 billion at its London operations --

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uncovered. There is no doubt the new CEO will have to restore its

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