18/11/2011 World Business Report


18/11/2011

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an some stagey for the first time. Those are the latest headlines from

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Thanks for joining us on World Business Report. The stock market

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sell-off continues amid growing signs of stress in the banking

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system and fears of a new credit Asia's stocks are down for a fourth

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The first big test will crease's new Prime Minister as he tries to

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push through tax rises to stave off a default -- Greece's Prime

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The sell-off continues on global stock markets as fears grow about

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the eurozone debt crisis. Nerves were frayed further on Thursday

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after Spain was forced to pay almost 7% interest in an auction of

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ten-year bonds, that is the highest since 1997 and around the levels

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that forced the likes of Greece and Portugal to accept a bail-out.

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Equally worrying, stresses in the money market not seen since the

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collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. Banks are increasingly reluctant to

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lend to each other and short-term borrowing costs, overnight rates,

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are soaring. More on that in a moment but first let's find out how

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those Asian markets are trading. Rico is in the Singapore office

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today. Bring us up today with those So far not a good day for Asian

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markets, Sarah. In particular for the whole week. Down for a fourth

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day in a row. The steepest falls since September, Sarah. As Europe's

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funding difficulties have intensified. Analysts are saying

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these are serious tell-tale signs that global funding problems may be

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spreading to the region. Case in point, a three-month inflation low

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in yen. Resource in a pen and Australia down today by 3.6% for

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the week and around 16% for the year. The Nikkei falling 1.6%

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heading for a third weekly loss and lower by 18% so far in 2011. Most

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emerging Asian currencies from the Singapore dollar to various others

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Thank you very much from Singapore. Justin, you heard Rico's update

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from the Asian perspective. Why are we seeing these extraordinary

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stresses in the market? You can go back to what we saw a few is ago

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when we had the Lehman Brothers crisis. -- A few years ago. The

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banks did not trust each other. They spread the dead all around the

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world and people were concerned about who had the risk -- the debt.

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They did not know who else have the debt. Without that trust, that

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interbank market started to go. Many people start looking at banks

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as piggy banks. They are not, they lend out money so they are not a

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resource of endless cash. They need to trade with other banks. If that

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freezes, the interbank market fails and this is what you see. A lack of

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trust and presumably continuing lack of uncertainty while the whole

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debt crisis remains unresolved in Europe. At the moment we are

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standing on the flanks of Vesuvius. You can feel it shaking and nobody

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is doing anything. That is why you are seeing country-by-country

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concern going up. And this is going outside the eurozone. This is

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spreading around the world. You need to have some clear decisive

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leadership not to actually deal with the symptoms of Greece and

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Italy and Spain, but to deal with the fundamental cause which is the

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euro is not working properly. If there was some statesmanlike move

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to say this is how we now run this currency, with discipline, process

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and structure. That would not solve the problem immediately but it

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would at least give the market's confidence that they are heading in

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the right direction. Thank you for joining us.

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Investor focus will once again be on Greece today when the new Prime

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Minister, Nicholas Papademos, faces his first major task. He will

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present his first austerity budget including tax increases and cuts in

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spending. Greece's national unity government must convince the EU and

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IMF lenders to release the latest instalment in bail-out money to

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avoid defaulting next month as well as a second bail-out next year. But

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the task is looking ever more A week after being installed as

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interim Prime Minister Lucas Papademos, Greece's technocrat

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Despite opposition, Lucas Papademos will unveil a budget the cheering

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controversial tax increases. The European Commission's task force or

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Greece says the country has about EUR60 billion worth of unpaid tax.

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It is about 25% of GDP. The European Commission insists better

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ways of collecting tax must be introduced. First and perhaps most

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important strengthening debt- collection. But also to have better

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tax dispute resolution mechanism to improve the taxpayer audit function

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to have better control on large taxpayers. Talks are under way

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between Greece and the banks that it owes billions to. Negotiations

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aimed at writing off 50% of the debt. The managing director of the

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Institute of International Finance reluctant to comment on the talks

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so far. Nothing for now, thank you. The prospect of higher taxes and

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severe cuts in spending provoked more protest in Athens on Thursday.

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As thousands commemorated the anniversary of the collapse of the

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military dictatorship in 1973. A poll this week showed one in three

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Greeks do not believe any Prime Minister will be able to deal with

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After Greece and Italy, Spain is the next country heading for a

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political shake-up as it prepares for elections on Sunday. If elected,

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as opinion polls suggest, the centre-right Popular Party say it

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will step up reforms to ease the borrowing costs which have left

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Spain close to the financial edge. But with one in five now unemployed,

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getting things going may prove a Spain isn't working. Scenes like

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this have become emblematic of major European country where a

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tough year of austerity and the outgoing Socialist government has

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only added to joblessness, which now stands twice the EU average.

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Economic growth could help the country's lost generation, but it

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is not happening. Without it Spain is growing its deficit. In spite of

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the country's efforts the financial markets continued to shun Spanish

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bonds, making servicing the national debt nearly unaffordable.

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Whoever gets into power, they will try to set a new tone and break

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this vicious downward spiral. The new administration faces an uphill

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struggle in trying to avoid the need for a rescue from European

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partners who are running out of money. It does have a 100 point

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reform programme and included in that is a plan to speed up the

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clean-up of the banking system. Another priority will be radical

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reform of Spain's labour laws, which experts say discourage

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enterprise and makes paying uncompetitive. We need to end with

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temporary jobs -- makes Spain uncompetitive. We need to cut down

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firing costs by at least 50%. There is a large EUR200 minimum

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contribution to social security. That is preventing part-time jobs

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in Spain. Remove that and make social security contributions

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proportional to your wages and we will seek -- we will seek things

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change. Whoever wins after Sunday's vote will inherit one of Europe's

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most troubled economies. The only small crumb of comfort might be

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that Spain doesn't face a major bond redemption until April of next

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year. Let me just show you what those

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markets have been doing. We did hear from Rico that it has been a

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very difficult day yet again in Asia with the markets down for the

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Asia with the markets down for the fourth day in a row. But there's

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how the Dow Jones finished on Thursday. Despite some pretty good

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