05/01/2012 World Business Report


05/01/2012

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landslide struck. Those are the latest headlines. For

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the latest financial news it is time for World Business Report.

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The headlines: Austerity set to bite even harder in Spain as the

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new government shows its determination with a new round of

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cuts. France faces the markets. It tries

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to raise up to 9 billion euros amid warnings it could be stripped of

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its AAA credit rating. China's airlines will not pay the

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fee you carbon tax on flights to and from the region, setting the

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stage for a global trade battle. The leaders of the eurozone's most

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indebted countries are talking tough in a bid to drive through

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painful austerity measures. On Wednesday Greece's Prime Minister

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raised the stakes when he told union leaders the country faced an

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UN controlled default on its debt as soon as much unless they except

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more cuts. Spain will hope to carve -- calmed the nerves in the market

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with tax hikes and spending cuts announced days ago. Spain's

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government is keen to show it is determined to act quickly to shore

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up its finances. It is sale season and many shoppers are making the

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most of the low prices. It is still officially the holiday period here,

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but for most Spaniards there is little to celebrate. The new

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government is expected to reveal a second round of austerity measures

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on Thursday. This is less than one week after announcing a 15 billion

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euros package of cuts. The government has justified the move

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by pointing to a deficit that Sears is around 7% GDP. On taking office

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just before Christmas, the Prime Minister says Spain must restore

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its credibility in order it to escape the debt crisis. Slashing

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the deficit to 4% of GDP this year is a priority. This week the

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country's regional accounts started showing strain with the local

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government of violence here confirming it had delayed a debt

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payment. -- Valencia. They also have the highest jobless rate in

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the West. Unemployment rose for the 5th straight month in December.

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TRANSLATION: The cuts will not help generate work. They are tightening

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up on us. They increase taxes so power earnings go down. In recent

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days the government has been busy preparing a labour market reform

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that it hopes will improve the situation. Thursday's measures are

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unlikely to be the last of the year. Spaniards are expected to face more

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austerity in the spring when the delayed Budget will be presented.

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As you can imagine all of these have had quite an impact on the

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markets, particularly the comments from the Prime Minister who was

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speaking late yesterday. This is how the euro is trading right now.

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It is at an 11-year low against the Japanese yen.

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Everybody thinks the US dollar is the best place to put their cash,

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as well as the Japanese young -- Japanese yen. There is a lot of

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concern over the European debt crisis. France is hoping to raise

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seven attack 8 billion euros in an auction of long-term debt now.

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Let's talk about that with a senior economic adviser to Ernst and Young.

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There is so much going on right now that it is hard to digest. Can we

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talk about that on sale in France. Presumably it will go OK, but there

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are so many sales of sovereign debt in the early part of this year, the

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appetite will soon run out. That is right. It has been aided recorded

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here for several reasons. One is that governments in the eurozone

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need to refine that -- refinancing a lot of debt. A lot of it was in

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the first few months in the year. So far we have had fairly

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successful sales in Italy and Germany. It is quite positive.

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There seems to be some demand there. As far as France is concerned, when

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you are buying our government ones, you are buying into the French

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government story. They have an election in April. It is not clear

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what the outcome will be. There is uncertainty. There is the political

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context. There is the fact that ratings agencies have put France on

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watch. Investors buying French bonds do not know yet what affects

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this will have. This is an added uncertainty. We do expect the sale

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to go relatively well. But as we go is through the next few months,

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there will probably be a lot of volatility and some of the options

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might not go as well as the government want them to. Do you

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think France will lose its AAA credit rating? Election is

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happening in a few months' time and the Socialist opposition party

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leader is putting forward quite interesting ideas in terms of what

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he might do. That is right. It is possible that France will lose it

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is AAA rating. Credit agencies are aware of the consequences not only

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for France, but for the eurozone. The political uncertainty adds to

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this. We have to distinguish between a political statement and

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what will be implemented in the future. There is a clear trend

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towards fiscal consolidation. terms of what is happening with

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Spain, they are pushing ahead with further austerity measures.

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Greece's prime minister is telling trade unions they have to accept a

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cut in income. All of these measures are tough to implement.

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And there is nothing to fuel growth. That is the key issue. It risks

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undermining growth and could result in fiscal outcomes that are not so

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good. There needs to be a growth agenda. This is something that the

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Spanish government has talked about in terms of labour market reforms.

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That is clearly going in the right direction. Governments are torn

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between the emergency of reducing deficits and the need for growth.

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Thank you for putting that in perspective. We will keep you up-

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to-date with all of these announcements when we get them.

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Chinese airlines say they will refuse to pay a charge on carbon

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emissions imposed by the European Union. This has sparkehas sparkerow

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over the so-called pap and trade scheme. Rico Hizon is in Singapore.

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Can you talk us through what is happening.

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It is a very serious issue, because Chinese airlines are not budging.

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They have made a final decision and they are refusing to pay it any

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carbon tax under the European Union's permission trading scheme.

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The China Travel Association said they would not co-operate with the

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EU because such an initiative would impact the financial position of

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its carriers. The industry group estimates this scheme will cost its

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airlines more than 120 US dollars in the first year and will more

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than a trickle by 2020. The transport group which represents

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the country's four major carriers says they are refusing to pay and

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are also considering retaliation measures against the European Union.

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To give you some background, this was launched about six years ago.

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The law also allows some flexibility, giving countries the

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option of alternative ways to offset carbon emissions.

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Sepoy. The head of Switzerland's central bank will give a press

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