11/04/2012 World Business Report


11/04/2012

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Obama in November. They offer the latest financial news. -- now for.

:00:13.:00:18.

Welcome to World Business Report. Balancing the books. France braces

:00:18.:00:26.

itself of spending cuts days before the presidential election. Italy

:00:26.:00:31.

forced it to raise debt just as borrowing costs to return to

:00:31.:00:37.

historic highs. Cameron's

:00:37.:00:47.
:00:47.:00:52.

Cameron's trip to Asia and his It is a question of credibility.

:00:52.:00:57.

For 30 years, France has spent more than it has raised in taxes. It was

:00:57.:01:01.

punished this year with the loss of its AAA credit rating. Now managing

:01:01.:01:06.

their finances of the eurozone's second biggest economy has become

:01:06.:01:10.

an election issue. The government will reveal tax and spending plans

:01:10.:01:14.

on Wednesday, just before France goes to the polls to elect a new

:01:14.:01:17.

president. France's economic wheels are

:01:17.:01:24.

turning. It is the only European nation to just avoid the negative

:01:24.:01:27.

growth since 2009. It is also nursing some of the largest public

:01:27.:01:33.

debt. President Sarkozy promised changes, such as the end to a 35-

:01:33.:01:38.

hour working week. The markets want a clear many of further working

:01:38.:01:48.
:01:48.:01:48.

measures. Both main contenders know that the traditional way of life is

:01:48.:01:54.

threatened by a public debt of 65% GDP and rising. Its own plans

:01:54.:01:58.

envisage getting the budget in balance by 2017. The markets know

:01:58.:02:04.

that does depend on growth of 2.5% a year or more and they think that

:02:04.:02:08.

does not achievable. France will watchers say the market will take

:02:08.:02:12.

some convincing that the incumbent ministers can balance the budget a

:02:12.:02:22.
:02:22.:02:27.

year ahead of the Courage redden their arrivals. -- a year ahead of

:02:27.:02:33.

their arrivals. It is difficult to say whether the plan will be OK. It

:02:33.:02:40.

will not stick to the same measures. So far, plans to reduce the budget

:02:40.:02:44.

deficit just one year later. Market attention has been on France as

:02:44.:02:49.

recently as last year. Government borrowing costs are rising up to

:02:49.:02:53.

four Prasad and that is something the French government will need to

:02:53.:03:03.

avoid happening again. -- 4%. badly needs faster growth. With new

:03:03.:03:07.

registrations of French cars down 1/3 in March, the road to recovery

:03:08.:03:13.

is a slow one. Prudent finances now enshrined in

:03:13.:03:21.

the eurozone's fiscal package. They have given the cost of borrowing

:03:21.:03:26.

back up to historic highs in Italy. Yields on Spanish bonds hit 6% at

:03:26.:03:32.

an auction on Tuesday. Italy faces a yield of five when 7% as it tries

:03:32.:03:42.
:03:42.:03:43.

to raise 11 billion euros. -- 5.7%. Why are we here? It is from a

:03:43.:03:47.

combination of things. We just revised down our growth forecast

:03:47.:03:52.

for Spain. Revised up Germany a little bit. Those divergences in

:03:52.:03:55.

the European economy are becoming more stark and that is really not

:03:55.:04:01.

what we want. We had payrolls last Friday in the US and employment

:04:01.:04:06.

figures. It was not as good as expected. Yesterday we had trade

:04:06.:04:12.

figures out of China. This fear that growth in the world is perhaps

:04:12.:04:17.

a little soft and these countries need growth. The concentration of

:04:17.:04:21.

the markets have been mostly on Spain. Italy has problems as well.

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Let us concentrate on Spain. Spain has to go for a bail out. It is

:04:28.:04:33.

going to happen. What do you think will happen to Spain? It is really

:04:33.:04:40.

difficult to tell. They are in an incredibly difficult position. 300

:04:40.:04:45.

% of GDP is what the private debt is. It is much bigger than the

:04:45.:04:50.

public debt and the public debt is going up. You have got problems

:04:50.:04:55.

there. One light, one little ray of light is they have dumped 45% of

:04:55.:05:00.

their funding for 2012 already. That will help them. Adding

:05:00.:05:05.

generally with Spain, it is difficult to see a way out.

:05:05.:05:10.

Austerity is making it worse. If they have to go to the Europeans,

:05:10.:05:20.

the IMF, are they going to get it? Have they got enough money? Long-

:05:20.:05:25.

term funding - would that help? It would probably help a bit. As we

:05:25.:05:29.

see coming it helped for a while but it was temporary. Is there and

:05:29.:05:36.

of money in the bail out fund? Nobody is quite sure. -- enough

:05:36.:05:40.

money. Spain is a big country. There has a lot of this coming up.

:05:40.:05:45.

We have the French election coming up. Another problem. And then in

:05:45.:05:52.

May, and the Irish are going to vote on a fiscal compact. Fear is

:05:52.:06:02.
:06:02.:06:04.

back in the markets. I will look at her headlines on the newspapers.

:06:04.:06:09.

Holidaymakers face more disruption in Greece. Ferry services will be

:06:09.:06:13.

halted for a second day of strikes. Tourists and passengers have been

:06:13.:06:18.

left stranded in the lead-up to Orthodox Easter. They have not been

:06:18.:06:23.

paid for months. They oppose government cuts to pension and

:06:23.:06:28.

healthcare benefits. Money is not the issue at Apple forced of the

:06:28.:06:32.

electronic giant confirmed its position as the world's richest

:06:32.:06:39.

electronic company on Monday. It outlined plans to spend some of its

:06:39.:06:43.

huge cash pile of two payments to shareholders. The world's biggest

:06:43.:06:52.

stock market is poised to create its own security exchange. Measures

:06:52.:06:59.

to open up the company's economy to foreign investments were discussed

:06:59.:07:07.

meetings earlier this month. They were set up a new exchange.

:07:07.:07:12.

Correction and they will. At the moment, the UK sells most of its

:07:12.:07:18.

good within the European Union. Demand for British products and

:07:18.:07:21.

services is weak. Exports and growth could boost national wealth

:07:21.:07:28.

and generate much-needed jobs. It needs new export markets. David

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Cameron is going to arrive in Indonesia on talks for trade ties

:07:32.:07:39.

following meetings with Japan earlier this week. What do you

:07:39.:07:44.

think Mr Cameron will get added this? I think primarily, he is

:07:44.:07:49.

looking to come and sell British business to Indonesia. The UK has

:07:49.:07:52.

historically been a big investor in the country but in the last few

:07:52.:07:55.

years, it has struggled to compete with the likes of the United States

:07:55.:08:00.

and China. It is looking to increase its presence back in South

:08:00.:08:07.

East Asia's largest economy. Some members of the delegation include

:08:07.:08:12.

representatives from sectors in the UK like financial-services, energy

:08:12.:08:17.

and construction and retail. He is likely to come and press and

:08:17.:08:21.

certainly have raised the attention of Indonesian businesses to the

:08:21.:08:25.

expertise that the UK can provide. Interestingly, he is also going to

:08:25.:08:30.

be bringing members from the defence sector, the defence

:08:30.:08:35.

industry in the UK and comments coming out from the British Prime

:08:35.:08:39.

Minister in an interview with that the Indonesian newspaper - he was

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quoted as saying that Britain has a some of the best defence equipment

:08:44.:08:50.

in the world and it is right that countries like Indonesia,

:08:50.:08:54.

responsible democracies like Indonesia, should be able to also

:08:54.:08:57.

avail of these goods. These comments are likely to be seen as

:08:57.:09:02.

quite controversial certainly by human rights groups who allege that

:09:02.:09:10.

the Indonesian military and police forces often still commit human

:09:10.:09:18.

rights violations that go unchecked. It has escaped us much of the

:09:18.:09:23.

problem of the Western economies. I think that is very much down to the

:09:23.:09:28.

fact that growth in this country is largely domestic driven. You have

:09:28.:09:33.

to remember it has a huge population. Some 245 million people

:09:33.:09:36.

and every day, millions more are being added to this country's

:09:36.:09:41.

middle class. There is also a significant portion of the

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