09/08/2012 World Business Report


09/08/2012

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headlines from BBC World News. Now for the latest financial news with

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Alice Baxter and World Business Inflation in China hits the lowest

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level in 2.5 years. Will that prompt more stimulus from the

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government? Jaguar Land Rover - a UK success story, but cannot it

:00:25.:00:35.
:00:35.:00:40.

With sluggish growth in Europe and the United States, economists are

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looking to China to pull the global economy out of the doldrums. And

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the latest economic report from China is encouraging. Consumer

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price inflation fell to 1.8% in July - the lowest annual rate in 30

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months. Inflation has been a key concern for Chinese officials. But

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the decline over the last few months will, perhaps, allow them

:01:00.:01:06.

room to boost growth. From Beijing, I'm joined by Qian Liu, who is the

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Deputy Director for China Forecasting at the Economist

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Intelligence Unit. Will Chinese policy makers capitalise on This

:01:20.:01:27.

deceleration of price rises to boost the economy? A good question.

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We have seen the 1.8 is a 30-month low. If you look month-on-month

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a three-month consecutive negative territory for month-on-month CPI

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inflation. This month is 0.1% positive. This does give the

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government plenty of room to consider the cut in both interest

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rate and reserve requirement ratio. I would argue it is not necessary

:01:59.:02:03.

for the government to cut down interest rates, because of the

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government still aims at 7.5 GDP growth, we are confident it will be

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able to happen. What sort of measures might policy makers be

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considering in order to boost growth? Some speculation we could

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see the tiny central bank lowering lending reserve requirements again?

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I would not exclude the possibility of further requirement ratio cuts.

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I would emphasise I am not excluding the possibility of an

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interest rate cut but it will not be necessary. The Chinese

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government is a risk adverse at the moment. The global outlook is very

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weak. The political change of guard means the government needs to be

:02:50.:03:00.
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very careful to maintain its minimal % growth. If Europe

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collapses, the government can easily was -- reverse its very

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tight control over the property market. He mentioned the official

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growth target of 7.5% in 2012, who has been an economic for China in

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the last six quarters, is the economy still on track to meet that

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target? Absolutely. Even though 7.5 is the government target, usually

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there is very little linkage between what is the actual number

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and the government target. At our unit we are looking at a 0.1%

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growth for 2012. We believe for China now days, even though

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external demand is weak, the domestic market is very important.

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We think the second quarter is already the bottom and it will pick

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maker Jaguar Land Rover announces its latest results in the next few

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hours. Under its Indian owner, Tata Motors, Jaguar Land Rover has

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become the UK's most profitable car-maker, creating 8,000 new jobs

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in the last two years. But for how Jaguar had its first public outing

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last month and we had a glance at the amazing speed at which this

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company continues to grow. Can cells keep increasing when so many

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markets are slowing? One of the country's answers to that is to

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constantly re- stock its showrooms with new cars and new technology.

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on sale last September. On the Jaguar side, they are planning a

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replacement and a compact car which will compete with the BMW 3 series.

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The company is boasting it will produce 40 new models of the next

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five years, five years, including this new Land Grover and next month and

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all new land -- Range Grover. Carbines in recession-hit countries

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are still moving towards luxury brands. -- car buyers. In the UK, a

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greater share of the market has been taken by premium brands. There

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is no -- we can continue at the same rate of growth. 1,100 new jobs

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were announced at the stage upon last month in return. Agreeing to

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work Saturdays. Unions say they may not always be so flexible. Be one

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to see members have good or skills and good training opportunities. We

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will not take part in a bidding war to see how low we can go. For the

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moment, the company rides a wave of success, to keep up with demand for

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its new release, it will run its factory on Merseyside for 24 hours

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a day. Manchester United is due to set the price for its shares on

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Thursday. The club is selling a 10% stake which could raise as much as

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$330 million.. But some are saying that Manchester United is being

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overvalued. Particularly as it has hefty debts and is facing

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competition from rivals with very deep pockets. Sean Hamil, is a

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lecturer at The Birkbeck Sport Business Centre. The club's

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proposed valuation with a price tag of $ 330mn - would make it the most

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expensive sports franchise in the world - nearly double that of Real

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Madrid - investors will be asking themselves if they're getting a

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good deal. Is it really worth that much? I do not think it is worth

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that much at the mom structure is not good value for

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investors. The problem for the company the debt is so large that

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the operating profit goes to pay down the deck. Even with the

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proposed reduction in debt from the Shia issue they will still have

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substantial debt. The family which owns Manchester United, how will it

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pay down its debt power bid and? The fundamental problem is the

:07:52.:08:02.
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structure of the football industry in Europe. It has to competitors in

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England, one of them as Manchester city. They did -- expand them

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matter what they do. In order to stand still they have to spend as

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much as the competitors on salaries. The -- that will impact on the

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ability to get a pre-tax profit. This happened in the 90s. There was

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a lot of share flotations in the 90s. Fans bought the shares. The

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clubs went making any money. The sheer prices decline in the clubs

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went off the markets. I do not see any difference between there are

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now. A after the sale, the Glaser family will retain almost 99% of

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the voting control, but they are relying on the emotional appeal of

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owning a bit of Manchester United? For her done a good night

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generating promotional revenue. They could be profitable within

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three or four years' time. It is uncertain. There are so much

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uncertainty around this. There are other alternative investments

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around and this is not a good one. To conclude, ironically, if they

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went for a traditional share issue, they sold shares on equal part in

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used it as an exit strategy, there would be demand. But they want to

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take some cash and retain control. I do not think they can do both.

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Asian stocks rose after reports showed China's consumer prices

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climbed at a slower pace for a fourth month and Australian

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