15/11/2012 World Business Report


15/11/2012

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electricity. It is now time for the latest

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financial news with World Business Here are the headlines: As the

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challenge his mount for China's new leaders, we ask what the changeover

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will mean for the world's number two economy.

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Bad loans are on the rise at China's banks. The worst run of

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figures since records began. And the eurozone's economic slump

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continues. Growth numbers may confirm fears it is even fizzling

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Good to have you do this. China's new Premier has been addressing the

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Chinese people following the announcement of the new leadership

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in the world's second-largest economy. He said they face serious

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challengers and strengthening the economy is top priority. New

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Saturday from China's banks indicates feeling grew that it may

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be hard. -- fuelling growth. It has been a momentous day for China.

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This news coming out about loans is not good at all, is it?

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Absolutely. It is signalling trouble to come for the country's

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new leadership. These delinquent loans increased for a fourth

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straight quarter. The longest streak of deterioration since the

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data became available eight years ago. It highlights growing

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pressures on profitability as the economy continues to weaken. Non-

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performing loans rose by a whopping $3.6 billion in the three months to

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September to about 480,000,000,001. It comes from all financial

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institutions. Chinese lenders are grappling with rising defaults and

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we can loan demand after economic growth slowed for a seventh quarter.

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Combine that income from all these banks -- combined income from all

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these banks slumped down from 23%. We are seeing a growing downturn in

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the profitability of the banks. Let's have further analysis now on

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what the challengers are for the leadership in China. We go live to

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a bureau in Beijing. We just heard that this rise in bad loans at

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China's banks is not a good sign. That is certainly not very good

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news. If we step a little bit back, today is a very exciting moment

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because we just learned who the captain and the captain's bilby for

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China's next 10 years. The government will be faced with a

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whole series of economic and political challenges. Financial

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reforms is one of the things they will have to target. Apart from

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that there will be other things they need to look at, which

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includes more liberation on immigration system. Social welfare

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is important as well. It is important to remember that the new

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government will be the one that is sitting on the seat making all

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these changes. The background is really that China is now the second

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largest economy in the world and it is going to be an economy that will

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probably have its lowest economic growth since the night -- late

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1990s. It is an exciting moment and we have just seen who is in charge,

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but we knew he would get the top job. But what about the team as a

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whole? That was shrouded in secrecy. Given that announcement, what can

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you make of their plans for the economy? Justin Howe were ago we

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saw through the final seven men are who are making into the important

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panel. We see that this is a panel that is a mixture of those who

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embrace the conservative approaches and those who would embrace the

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liberal ones. If anything, the leader is still the important one.

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We have not heard a formal work agenda from him yet, but judging

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from past experience, it is important to know that his work in

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the coastal provinces tell us that he is someone who is sympathetic to

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those who advocate for more fresh and open market reforms. That is

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always a pleasing sign. I'm glad to see you worry and read today. Will

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we will leave it there. Thank you for your time.

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As you have been hearing on Wednesday we saw a wave of petty

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austerity protests and strikes across Europe. -- NT austerity.

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Today GDP data it will be announced. In a few hours we will start to get

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a sense of the depth of the slump in the eurozone as a whole. The

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region's economy is predicted to contract again down 2.2 % when

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compared to the second quarter. When you look at it conveyed to a

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year ago, we are seeing a contraction of 0.7%. Some experts

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are warning that these predictions are wildly optimistic, given the

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factory surveys for September which prevent --. The bigger slump in

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almost three years. The big worry is that the stronger parts of

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Europe no longer hold up against the broader economic crisis. The

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figures for France come out in an hour. They are expected to show

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absolutely no growth at all in the third quarter. If we look at

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Germany, this is even more worrying, they will reveal growth slowing to

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just 0.2%. Not surprisingly the data is expected to confirm further

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contentions for the economies of Italy and Spain. We go to a senior

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economist from Brussels. Are you are in agreement with those

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figures? Some economists believe the figures will be a lot worse in

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the third quarter than what I have just spelled out. I more or less

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agree with the figures. The risk is there that they could get worse.

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The hall fear is the German economy remains rather stable and issued

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help the eurozone as a whole to mask the enormous slump in the

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southern countries. Your outlook, because this week we were focused

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on Greece with their budgets creeping through the night before

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in the Parliament. The year ahead for the eurozone will be very

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difficult, won't it? Obviously the year ahead will be a tough one. In

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the know at near-term it will probably get worse before it gets

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better. The German economy could enter a period of contraction

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towards the end of the year. This means that the eurozone economy

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will probably and the rebound in the first half of next year at the

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earliest. This puts enormous pressure on the reform agenda and

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also on the elections. A are you optimistic or you pessimistic about

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the outlook? Clearly we have the difficult year ahead and also, with

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Greece, they have more time and therefore there is a whole

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discussion going on about debt restructuring for Greece. I think

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I'm moderately pessimistic. The worst-case scenario, Greece leaving

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the eurozone or even a break-up of the eurozone, this has been

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abolished. It means the eurozone will stick together, but at the

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same time, the reforms that are undertaken in all countries, the

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slowdown of the global economy, means that the will remain in a

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very difficult economic environment, therefore growth will not return

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any time soon, but the worst case is the break-up and that will not

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happen. Most people would agree with you. When do you think we

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might see some sort of turning point when it comes to the

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following eurozone data as a region? And 2013. All we will still

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need some time to see the structural reforms. Any country

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like Spain will show some positive signs. At the same time, if the US

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and Chinese economies would be able to pick up again in the first half

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of the year, then Germany could benefit and there should also help

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stabilise the eurozone economy. There is some hope, but in terms of

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domestic developments, it is hard to see the eurozone countries

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growing again any time soon. We have third-quarter earnings

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results coming through, continuing in the US. We will hear from Wal-

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Mart today. Wall Street is expecting better profits because of

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a rush of sales on the east coast. It may also give an update on the

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plus the -- cost of its ongoing investigation into foreign bribery.

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Results from Dell. The once dominant PC maker is focusing on

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large corporate customers. The enterprise market. Wall Street will

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be looking at how hard the PC industry is being hit by the rise

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of tabloid computers. The markets are quite mixed, as you

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can see. Japan bucking the trend. Elsewhere we are seeing a bit of a

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mixed picture emerging. If we take a look at the currencies quickly.

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