08/11/2013 World Business Report


08/11/2013

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substance. Those are the latest headlines. Now

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it is time for the latest financial news.

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Shaping the future of China. Party leaders meet this weekend to agree

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reforms that could have a massive effect on the global economy.

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Counting the cost of deadlock in Washington. US jobs numbers may

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reveal a slump in high ring and a rise in unemployment in October. ``

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hiring. In just a moment, we will have a

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full report on the US jobs figures. First, our top story. What will

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China look like in the coming decade? It is a key moment for the

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nation as its new leaders hold a meeting this weekend to set the

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course for the next 5` ten years. Many believed that economic reforms

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agreed this year could prove as important as those under Deng

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Xiaoping, in 1978, and Jiang Zemin in 1993, which effect to be opened

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up China to capitalism and begin nearly four decades of phenomenal

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economic growth. As you saw, the potential reform of

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this. China's currency, the yuan, will be one of the areas most

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closely watched in the business world. At the moment it is strictly

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controlled. Moves to liberalise it could see it becoming one of the

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most used currencies in the world, alongside the dollar and the euro.

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Hong Kong, an international financial centre that has directly

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benefited from china's opening to the world. The reforms that have

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propelled china's rise will force launched 35 years ago. They have

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been instrumental in reshaping not just Hong Kong's famous skyline, but

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also the global economic order. That is why the meeting this weekend of

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the Communist Party's central committee is potentially so

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important. Local investors are hoping to get an indication of

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China's next age of development. The currency traders want to know how

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the Chinese currency may be freed in the coming years. They tend to be

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big picture meetings. It is principles, not details and

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timelines. We are expecting a chimp `` a continuation of the present

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trend. A quite rapid development of the capital. It would allow foreign

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investors greater access. The speed with which Shanghai's free trade

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zone was set up the sum is proof to some of the government's ``

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intentions. Other changes could include expanding the property and

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consumption taxes, allowing the market a greater say in setting

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interest rates, and further relaxing the one child policy for some

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families. With reform hopes running so high, this watcher says it is

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important to understand the limits. Xi Jinping has made it very clear

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that stability and also the protection of state interest will

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also be top priorities. What it means, there are several dozen big

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clans at the top of the party which control a big chunk of the economy.

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The western interests of the major ones, and the power blocs, will be

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protected. In the hazy world of Chinese politics, it is sometimes

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hard to see the difference between reformers and hardliners. The

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outcome of their power struggle is what will shape the country's

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future. He is a senior economist at ANZ in

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Hong Kong. Many thanks were joining us. As we went here ring from our

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reporter, we already had a taste of some of the reforms and the speed

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with which the free economic zone was set up near Shanghai. Is this a

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taste of what is to come? Or the new initiatives, including the

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free`trade zone, is clear that the new government led by Xi Jinping,

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has a determination and willingness to push China economically into the

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next age. China is no longer the world's factory. Inflation and wages

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have been rising over the past several years. It has to have a

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structural change of the underlying economic fundamentals in order to

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push the growth to a sustainable manner. Doing things such as

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allowing the currency to appreciate, giving markets more of a say in the

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setting of interest rates, but in order for all of these developments

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to take place, there needs to be a reshaping of the internal problems,

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the development of a modern welfare state, for example. Obviously it is

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not free from challenge. They run many domestic challenges that the

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new government needs to tackle, especially for the industrial

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structure of China. It has been biased towards manufacturing and

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heavy industry, but there is an overall aim and goal for the

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government to rebalance the economy to become more consumption led

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instead of investment led. From that perspective, China needs to do a

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lot, including some structural change, ranging from the changing of

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the one child policy, to cracking down some of the state dominance in

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certain economic set this. `` sectors.

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They say a week is a long time in politics, but it seems that 16 days

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can also make an huge difference in economics. Figures out on Thursday

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showed the economy was growing at a healthy pace and the three months to

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the end of September, but that was before the 16 day shutdown that

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paralysed much of the US government and saw thousands of federal workers

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are sent home. On Friday, October employment figures will give us the

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first shot of the damage. They are expected to show that US employers

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created 125,000 jobs in October. To put that into perspective, the

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monthly average sofar is 178,000. The jobless rate is also expected to

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have gone up to 7.3%, from 7.2% in September.

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Lighting up America's won me. This New Jersey company installs lighting

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and audio equipment at events, including big concerts with Elton

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and Justin Timberlake. He started the business 30 years ago in his

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parents' garage. The firm survived the recession and in recent years,

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it expanded and hired more staff. Things were starting to look up, but

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then the US government came to a standstill. To have the government

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to make it harder for you, with things such as the shutdown, and the

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sequestration, it is very challenging and frustrating. We are

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in the same boat as any small business. We are working hard,

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putting in long hour was, trying to build something, and the government

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in many ways is getting in your way. Small businesses like this are

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believed to generate two thirds of new jobs created in America's on me.

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But this is just one of many companies that are feeling slightly

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less confident about the economy because of the political deadlock in

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the capital. The deadlock resulted in much of the US government in

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paralysis, with hundreds of thousands of federal employees

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suddenly out of work for two weeks. It also took a toll on confidence

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among small business owners. The political disagreement is not yet

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fully resolved. The issue is not over. All that Congress agreed was

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to put off the issue for a few months. It is hard to gauge the

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total impact. This is the third time it has happened in three years. That

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uncertainty could make businesses think twice before hiring more

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people. The US economy still needs to replace jobs that were lost

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during the recession. Without them, the economic recovery remains murky.

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That date is having an effect on market around the world with Asian

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stocks tracking losses on the US on renewed concerns that the Fed will

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start scaling back earlier than expected.

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This is BBC News. Only two in every 100 teapots about illegal immigrants

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result in a person being removed

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