21/02/2014 World Business Report


21/02/2014

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the latest headlines from BBC World News. Now for the latest financial

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news with World Business Report. G20 finance chiefs gather in Sydney

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- top of the agenda, the turmoil in emerging markets Plus - capturing

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your every move - we look at the booming business of lifelogging.

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Welcome to World Business Report. Coming up in the programme, Shell

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continues its sell-off of assets as it tries to win over investors. The

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meetings haven't begun but already the finger pointing has started.

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Finance Ministers and Central Bankers from the Group of 20

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developed and developing nations are gathering in Sydney over the next

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three days. Topping the agenda - the turmoil in emerging markets sparked

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by the US Federal Reserve "tapering", or beginning to wind

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down, its economic stimulus measures. In recent years,

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developing countries have been gorging on cheap borrowing.

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According to one estimate, emerging market borrowers raised almost a

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trillion dollars on international bond markets between 2010 and 2013,

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taking advantage of rock bottom borrowing costs. Since the Fed began

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to shift its policy there has been a rout in emerging markets as foreign

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investors pull their money out. Taking account of falls in the local

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currency - Indonesian shares are down 18 and a half per cent in the

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past year. By the same measure, Brazil's market has lost almost 30

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per cent. And Turkey's main index has fallen by more than a third. So

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who's to blame? Emerging market leaders have been complaining the

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Fed has paid too little attention to the impact on them. But on Thursday,

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IMF Chief Christine Lagarde said they should put their own houses in

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order and look to problems in their own economies instead of blaming

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Western monetary policy. UK Chancellor George Osborne also

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weighed in during a speech in Hong Kong. Together, we have to act now

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to ensure the emerging market problems don't contribute to a new

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crisis. And how do we do that? By each one of us putting our own

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houses in order, and by using the G20 to make sure we all confront our

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problems instead of running away from them. In recent months, we have

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seen volatility in several emerging markets, with currencies weakening

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about to 19%, bond yield spiking about to 11%, and sudden falls in

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equity markets across Latin America and Asia. Now most emerging markets

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are much more robust than they were in the late 1990s. And in many

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cases, flexible exchange rates are functioning correctly as shock

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absorbers. But if we've learned anything from the recent great

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recession, it is that this inter-connected global economy means

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one country's problems can very quickly become everyone else's

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problem. Nick Beecroft is Chairman and Senior Market Analyst at Saxo

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Capital Markets. We have heard the arguments that we heard just their.

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How much impact did US tapering have on emerging markets? Very

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significant. Whatever the US does is so important that the global

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economy. It is ironic given that a few years ago there were cries that

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the US had embarked on currency wars. It is clear from the latest

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actions of the Fed that they will not change direction, they are

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mandated with running the US economy not the global economy. We have

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heard from Christine Lagarde that you should take care of your own

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economies. How much the point she have? She has a good point. The

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turbulence has been limited to those economies with somewhat less strong

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fundamentals. Current-account deficits, high debt, high inflation.

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The message is from the IMF and from the US, behind the scenes, to try to

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address those problems. That move away from foreign policy and

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reliance on the US will have an impact on currencies? We have seen a

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weakening in a lot of these so-called fragile currencies. May

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continue -- that may continue but it will not turn into the earlier

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crises. The G 20 is always interesting. What do you expect this

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time. There are a lot of countries like Russia and China that are in

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focus. China will be making it plain that it is trying to rebalance its

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economy away from export driven growth to domestic consumption. With

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that comes a slowdown. The Western world, America and so on, will not

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complain. They have been a seachange in do that for a long time. It will

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not be a terribly contentious G 20. To the world of technology now where

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sales of smart watches, smart glasses and other wearable devices

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are set to increase five fold over the next couple of years. This could

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mean a new phase for the internet as we gather ever more data about

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ourselves - where we go, what we do, how many calories we burn up. It's

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known as Lifelogging - as Caroline Hepker has been finding out.

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This man has been capturing his entire life were nearly eight years

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with this small camera that takes photographs every few seconds. The

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IT research says that this is the next evolution of the Internet. We

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are developing a search engine for the self. Just like Google indexes

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100 billion webpages, we will index all of the data that we can get

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about a person and make a search engine available for them. They can

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query the last time they had a favourite bottle of wine, whether

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they park at the airport. It will capture your information for a

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private matter. But few places can store and analyse so much data, even

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as cameras have become smaller and more affordable. Other devices are

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popping up. This is my attempt to track my life. I wear this wristband

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which tracks my activity levels will stop I also have this, an Internet

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connected set of weighting scales. The information from these devices

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goes to my smart device. It is a great motivational tool and 20

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million wearable devices, from fitness trainers to smart watches

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and glasses will be shipped this year. The potential is vast. In the

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past we would have to write down Davies keep logs which was a lot of

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effort for people, whereas with these Lifelogging technologies you

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can automatically track these behaviours. It also raises troubling

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questions about our privacy. But tracking our every move is the new

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data gold rush. Shell has announced that it is shelling -- selling off

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its last oil refinery in Australia. What is going on with Shell? They

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have essentially agreed to sell their Australian downstream business

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to another firm for $2.6 billion. The sale includes a Shell refinery,

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780 service stations, boxed fuels, chemicals, lubricants. Shell is

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looking to dispose of assets as part of a wider strategy that will try to

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see the company changing emphasis for the new year 2014. The sales

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come at a time when profits at Shell have been declining. Posted profits

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last month were $2.9 billion. That was for the October to December

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quarter. But that is down by nearly 50%. Shell has also had a series of

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other refining sales around the world. The firm has offloaded a lot

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of its downstream businesses in Egypt, Spain, Greece, Finland, and

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lots of other countries. The majority of its staff in Australia

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will continue to work under its new owner but the deal is subject to the

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usual regular Tory approvals and expected to close this year. --

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regulatory approvals. In other news: Royal Bank of Scotland is preparing

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to withdraw from investment banking and lay off at least 30,000 staff in

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the next three to five years. That's according to a report in the

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Financial Times. According to the FT, the restructuring will see the

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bank refocus on retail, small business and corporate banking. RBS

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is 82 per cent owned by the UK Government after it received a 75

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billion dollar bailout in 2008. Let's take a look at the markets

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now. Magistrates in England and Wales

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should be based inside police stations, according to an

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influential think tank. The right-leaning group Policy Exchange

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says the move would speed up legal proceedings and save money. But the

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Magistrates Association has called the idea "backward and

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inappropriate". Our home affairs correspondent, Danny Shaw,

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