03/03/2014 World Business Report


03/03/2014

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Jasmine. Those are the latest headlines. Now

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for the latest financial news with and World Business Report.

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The US confirms it will financially support the Kiev government as

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Russia plays its trump card and threatens to stops sending cheap gas

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to Ukraine. Flight to safety ` investors plough

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their money into gold, the Japanese yen, and oil as the geopolitical

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tensions ratchet up. Welcome to World Business Report.

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I'm Sally Bundock. Also in the programme: The race to become the

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European hub for trade of the Chinese currency. We'll take a look

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at the options. First, amidst calls from the

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Ukrainian Prime Minister for help as his country stands on the brink of

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disaster, the US Treasury secretary, Jack Lew, has said he will provide

:01:00.:01:08.

as much support as Ukraine needs. Ahead of the International Monetary

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Fund's trip to Kiev this week, the US confirmed it was willing to give

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whatever financial support Ukraine needs to get its economy back on

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track. The G7 have since added that they will give strong financial

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support to the Ukraine. But while the new Ukrainian government

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reiterates it is willing to do whatever it takes, including

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economic reforms in order to secure bilateral funding. Russia still has

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a big trump card it started to wield over the weekend. Russia's gas

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export monopoly Gazprom has threatened to end its supply of

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discounted gas to the Ukraine, a move that would not only mean gas

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prices would sharply increase in the Ukraine but could also impact the

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supply of gas to Western Europe if a gas price dispute begins. Most of

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the Russian gas used in Western Europe is sent via pipes that cross

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the Ukraine. And America's response to this threat? So far, the US have

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said they could impose sanctions, refuse visas, and even freeze

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Russian assets. Also the UK and US have suspended preparations plans

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for a G8 summit in Sochi. Let's get more details on how these

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economic threats are playing out in Kiev. Andriy Gubachov joins me now

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from the city. He is a banker and Ukrainian economy expert.

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Thank you for being on the programme. We have not yet mentioned

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the military intervention in Crimea which of course adds tremendously to

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that pressure on this newly formed government. Give us your take on how

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this will play out? The economy is on the brink of bankruptcy. That is

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the big issue, isn't it? Yes, of course. There are have to be drastic

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austerity measures. They have to ask the West for financial help

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otherwise we will continue to see devaluation. In the long run, that

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brings benefits to the economy by helping businesses, in the short

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run, that affects the people negatively. What is the best plan

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for this new government in terms of trying to get the aid it requires?

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It is getting promises from the West and yet it is cut off from Russia?

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There have been requirements from the IMF regarding gas prices for the

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population. This can be accomplished with compensation. They should be

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able to achieve that. As I said, in the long run, it is for the best,

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especially having seen one prominent thinker and the Minister of the

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economy who as promised to introduce investigations into how business is

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conducted in Ukraine. We hope to see positive effects from that in the

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next few months. What happens if Russia goes ahead with the threat of

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intervention when it comes to the gas situation. That will clearly

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create massive pressure on this new government. It is tricky to fix,

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isn't it? I wouldn't worry too much about that actually because

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subterranean gas tanks are afield to the brim. We are fine for the

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winter. It is a clear question for the next winter. For the short term,

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we are fine. That is actually not a problem? You can ride that for a

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while in Ukraine? Yes. All right. Thank you for clarifying that. We

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appreciate your time. It was interesting to hear that they have

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gas through to the next winter. We will see how that affects the

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threats from Russia. This geopolitical upset is not

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limited to the Ukraine today. Reports are coming from South Korea,

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claiming that North Korea has fired two short range missiles. The

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markets are reacting and investors are going to safety. People are

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pulling out of shares and going into gold and we'll? Tell us more. That

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is correct. It is mainly the Ukraine which is affecting markets here. It

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will drop into many markets in Asia. Losses in Japan and Hong Kong

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currencies as well as in Australia. Investors are retreating to save

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havens in stocks and assets. It has driven investors to the Japanese yen

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which is seen as safe haven in times of turmoil. `` Japanese and Hong

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Kong markets. That hit Japanese exporters which are lower today. The

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traditional flight to safety in gold and treasury. The economy is far too

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small to have a direct impact on the global economy but the main risk is

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that it triggers this wider Russian`Western conflict. It could

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potentially mean disruption to gas supplies in Europe. Europe gets

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about 25% of the gas from Russia through Ukraine. This could affect

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growth in the eurozone which is a big trading partner for many Asian

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countries. Ukraine is also a big grain producer so weak futures are

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being driven higher as well. Investors are at the moment are not

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liking the uncertainty around the world. Before you go, tell us about

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China. We had factory gate over the weekend and last week, the Chinese

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currency was under pressure. The biggest drop in value on record last

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week. Tell us about that. Investors were spooked by the factory activity

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index from China. The official data was out on the weekend. There was an

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eight`month low in February. The unofficial data on the index was out

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of date, showing it falling to 48.5% in February. Any reading below 50

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signifies a contraction. Manufacturing is a key driver of

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Chinese growth. The date and may have been skewed by the Chinese New

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Year. Many factories were shut and workers went home in late January

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currency had the biggest one`day currency had the biggest one`day

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fall against the US dollar last week, nearly 1%, the biggest decline

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since 2005 when China introduced the currency regime and moved away from

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the US dollar. Analysts say that this is as expected and it does not

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signify much difference in how it is supposed to be trading. Thank you

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for that. Let's focus more on the Chinese

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currency suffering suffered from its biggest seven`day loss on record

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last week. But whether it has embarked on a steady fall lower or

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not, this won't make the yuan less vital to trade around the world.

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After being a closed currency for years, the yuan has gone from being

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the 20th most traded currency to the eighth in just 12 months. It will

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doubtless soon rival the dollar or the euro and that's why the battle

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is on to see where in Europe the renminbi will be hosted, London or

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Luxembourg? Business correspondent Joe lynam went to find out which

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city is set to win this competition. Thousands of dollars worth of yuan

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are being counted. Not in Beijing or Shanghai but in the tiny print a

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house in Luxembourg. The hitherto private currencies glueing `` going

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global. Luxembourg wants to be loved. Luxembourg is the richest

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country in Europe, wealth built on the back of banking. It used to be

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where the French and German elite hid their money but nowadays,

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Luxembourg has the skilled staff and the ambition and the place within

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the eurozone to take on London in the battle for Chinese money

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overseas. It is actively courting Chinese banks to set up here at

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conventions such as this. In future, big pension funds can invest

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directly in mainland China via Luxembourg. The Chinese have managed

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the seamless way of doing business which you can have in a single

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market as a key advantage. Three of the largest Chinese banks have their

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European bases in Luxembourg. 35% of icy BC's profits are coming from

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trades here. There have been here 16 years and we find that Luxembourg

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offers attractive legal frameworks as well as social and political

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stability. London is the financial centre in Europe. Why would the

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Chinese bank anywhere else? There is a perception that there is

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difficulty in the UK compared to Luxembourg. A new global reserve

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currency is on its way into many banking cities want a piece of the

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action. `` and many banking cities. It will not be long before yuan is

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rolling off the time as easily as the macro `` as the euro or the

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dollar. We will see you soon has we review

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the papers. Two years after the death of Daniel

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Pelka,

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