04/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


04/02/2017

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This week we said goodbye to our dry January and we opened up the doors

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to a succession of low pressures and rain for the start of February,

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but there were some other interesting facts about January.

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Where you would expect the sunniest weather we had the sunniest weather,

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the longer days across the south, but unusually our windiest weather

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was across the tops of the Pennines, 94mph.

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That's because we had the inversion for a lot of the month

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and it whistled across the tops of the Pennines.

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And unusually - you'd normally expect the highest temperatures

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in the south - they were in western Scotland, which is also where

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we saw some of the wettest weather, although it was a dry January.

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But that wasn't the theme this week for the start of February -

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those weather fronts were lining up.

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Sunshine was in more limited supply but we did see plenty of it

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today in Highland Scotland.

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This was more the picture, however, further south as that low pressure,

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that potential storm we were watching,

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has been affecting southern areas.

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Gusts of wind up to 75mph through the evening in The Needles,

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so that's a severe gale.

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That's all heading northwards for Saturday and this next low pressure

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is going to batter parts of France,

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giving us some more rain in the south, we think.

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But actually, elsewhere will be some decent weather because with

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the skies clearing, ice becomes a concern for Saturday and Sunday,

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in fact, Monday morning as well. It's colder air across the country.

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This weather system has been giving some snow and that will be

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the case through Saturday in the north across Scotland.

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But not too bad Northern Ireland, northern England -

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the bulk of England and Wales, actually.

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There will be showers in the west later,

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and I mentioned earlier some rain close to southern and eastern areas

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and an overhang of cloud, so not a warm day at sixes and sevens.

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And through the evening and overnight,

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a band of showers will cross the UK.

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Again they'll fall as sleet and snow over the hills.

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It's going to be a cold, frosty, potentially foggy start to our

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Sunday morning with some ice around, but again, limited amount of showers

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with a lot of places seeing some dry,

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some reasonably bright weather, even some sunshine.

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And that theme should continue into Monday with this ridge of

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high pressure across us, but this does look ominous, doesn't it?

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Taking up much of the North Atlantic,

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that huge area of low pressure.

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But Monday itself starts quiet, patchy fog and patchy ice.

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It's really going to take its time, we think, this rain, to get in,

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and because it's a slow process eastwards,

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that means there could be a sizeable amount of rainfall with it.

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Because you can see, even as we go through Monday evening and

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into Tuesday, some snow, of course, over the hills.

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It's still quite chilly air, but it does take

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a long time to get into the east of England,

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but here then having the wet and the windy day on Tuesday.

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Brighter further west,

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but notice we're starting to pick up the easterly wind,

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almost the start of a battle zone entailing by the end of Tuesday,

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and what we think is going to happen is that easterly wind will

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push that weather front back west.

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A very weak feature but it will obviously introduce

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quite a bit of cloud.

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But once that happens we're getting back into that cold

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continental air, this Siberian high pressure starting to dominate

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and block the passage of our low pressures.

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So we're getting to somewhat of a battle zone, potentially,

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and it's where that's going to lie that's causing the headache

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for next weekend.

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So, are we going to be on the cold side of that battle zone?

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If that's the case we'll have some frosty mornings, hopefully some

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sunshine and settled weather because of the high pressure over Siberia.

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Or, if we're on the Atlantic side of that battle zone, well,

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we'll have more cloud and potentially some rain as well.

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So, all to play for for next weekend,

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but between now and then not too bad this weekend,

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then that wetter and windier weather coming through

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during the course of Monday and Tuesday,

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then it gets colder and drier until next weekend and then obviously

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we'll be looking at that in more detail and we'll keep you posted.

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The warnings are on the website.

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