09/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


09/02/2017

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Hello. This time of year, if you're in shelter with

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plenty of sunshine, it'll start to

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feel quite warm - dare I say it? - almost spring-like,

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and that's exactly what we had in western areas on Wednesday,

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plenty of sunshine,

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a glorious sunset in parts of Wales after a glorious day.

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But it was a different story further east - plenty of cloud.

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It was cold and grey for most of the day, and it looks likely that

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the cloud and the cold feel will win out over the next few days.

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But with that sunshine out to the west, temperatures responded -

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11 degrees under the cloud.

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With the strength of the breeze coming in off that cold North Sea,

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we barely saw temperatures above three or four Celsius.

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And, as I say, it looks as though that cloud is likely to be the story

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for the remainder of this week,

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and it's going to feel noticeably colder out there.

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Winter has not gone away,

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and some of those showers will be of sleet and snow,

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chiefly to higher ground but maybe even a dusting at lower levels,

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all due to an area of high pressure in Scandinavia

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driving in this colder flow across that cold North Sea,

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and so most of the showers are likely to be across the east coast,

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showers of rain and sleet perhaps close to the coast,

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but come just further inland and add a little bit of height,

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there will be some wintry sleet and snow showers to come.

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Further west, there'll be more cloud on Thursday drifting across to the

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west coast, and so temperatures not quite as great, two to four Celsius.

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We might see six or seven

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in the extreme south-west and the Channel Isles.

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Now, as we move out of Thursday into Friday, there's a greater

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chance of some of those showers just penetrating

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a little further inland, so we could see a couple of centimetres or

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so to higher ground and a dusting at lower levels.

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But not much change in the pressure pattern -

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the high pressure still with us on Friday and still running the risk

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of further showers across eastern Scotland and eastern England.

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A cloudy, cold day to come on Friday.

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Factor in the strength of the wind, as well,

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and it is going to feel pretty dismal out there.

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You'll need to wrap up warm.

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Friday looks likely to be the coldest day of the week,

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two to four, maybe five degrees if we're lucky.

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Not much change for the start of the weekend, either.

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Further east, you're always running the risk of seeing

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a wintry mix of showers to come, a breezy day,

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a cloudy day and temperatures really struggling.

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So, yes, you will need a couple of extra layers if you're out

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and about for any length of time as those temperatures on your

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thermometer probably sitting around four or five degrees.

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It may feel even colder.

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Sunday a different day, but the same old shade of grey. A lot of cloud.

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It's going to stay largely dry,

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rather breezy and again feeling quite cold.

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But as we go into Monday, Tuesday, this area of low pressure looks

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likely to try to spill some milder air and some wetter weather

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with it, but the high pressure starts to sink south.

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That's going to really push that area of low pressure out of the way.

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It's a real bully, and it's going to strengthen the winds,

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which will be quite important.

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So, we start off the early part of next week with

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a high across Scandinavia, this easterly flow.

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As the high then sinks south,

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it's going to centre itself potentially close to the Alps,

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and that's going to drag in the strength of the wind,

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but coming from a southerly direction.

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Now, if this was the summer, we'd have glorious warmth and

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sunshine to go with it, but don't get too excited.

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But it does mean that there's a potential for a change in the story.

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We could see some breezier weather, yes, but milder with it,

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and because the high pressure's still in that driving seat,

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it does look likely to stay mostly dry.

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More from me over the next couple of days.

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