13/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hi there. Well, after the last few days,

I'm sure many of you are crying out

for something a little bit more springlike in the forecast.

Well, I've got good news,

if you're fed up with scenes like this with some of us endured

through this weekend,

fast forward a few days and we could see a transformation

with blue skies and sunshine

and temperatures really will have leapt up again.

That's the message over the next few days,

slowly but surely

it will be turning milder.

A slow process, we still have got

those strong easterly winds,

but the source of the air is no longer Russia,

but down across the Mediterranean

and that's why the wind

isn't as cold as it has been.

Still not exactly warm, though,

quite an edge to that wind,

particularly where it says cloudy

across these more northern

and eastern parts of the UK.

Further south and west, though,

a bit of sunshine makes all the difference

compared with all the gloom of the weekend.

It will be windy, though,

no more so than across the coasts and hills

of West Wales and southwest England.

50-, 60-mile-an-hour gusts could cause some issues.

There are warnings in force from the Met Office.

So it probably won't feel as warm

as some of these numbers suggest.

Double figures across the south

with some sunshine but it will be windy,

particularly chilly where it stays cloudy

across the north and the east.

As we head into the night, and into Tuesday,

this little front here arrives

across the far southwest and

that will thicken up the cloud

and produce some showery bursts

of rain to southwest England,

southwestern parts of Wales too.

Further north and east,

it says dry, a bit of a question mark

about how much cloud there'll be.

I hope you'll see some brightness,

but still distinctly chilly

across these more northeastern areas

with the wind off the sea,

milder further south and west.

Now, that front saunters across the country

giving the odd shower,

followed by another system

which will give some heavier

and possibly thundery showers

actually, across the more western parts of the UK.

So, not entirely dry through the middle of the week,

there will be some showers around,

they should clear away by Thursday,

though, the weather settling down and look at these numbers,

much higher than we've seen recently.

So we'll be at a quiet spell,

I think, as we end the week.

A little ridge of high pressure building in,

maybe not for long, there are fronts lined up

out in the Atlantic and they'll arrive eventually,

but I think as we end the week,

it should be quite a nice day Friday

with some sunshine around.

The winds will be fairly light as well.

So it'll feel almost springlike, I think,

10 or 11 degrees quite widely.

These will be the sorts of scenes,

I think, as we end the week,

but with light winds overnight, it'll be cold,

maybe a touch of frost and there could be some fog patches around.

Some of those patches of fog could linger well into the day.

And then as we hit the weekend, it's all change,

because the jet stream wakes up,

this conveyor belt of energy coming in off the Atlantic

which carries weather systems.

It does look as if that jet stream will deliver some outbreaks

of rain particularly across the more northern and western areas.

The westerly winds will ensure

it's much milder than recently,

wettest across the northwest,

brightest across the southeast as we

go into the early part of next week.

Now if you were watching yesterday, I mentioned tropical influences

which can have a bearing on OUR weather in actual fact.

We see pulses of energy moving their way west to east across the tropics

and that tends to enhance shower activity across tropical regions

and it's known that these waves of energy can actually influence

the behaviour of our jet stream closer to home

and it does look as if, as we end the month,

that could have the effect of halting that westerly jet stream,

getting it blocked again,

deflecting weather systems and things drying up,

but also turning chillier again

as we end the month.

I'll update you again tomorrow.