13/03/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


13/03/2017

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Well, it's time to find out what the weather is up to over

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the next few days and I can tell you straight away that

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it's actually not looking bad at all.

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Most days this coming week will be dry.

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Not completely - there will be a little bit

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of rain around and some unsettled weather across Scotland -

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but overall, looking at the UK,

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it is looking mostly cheerful, I think.

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Now, as far as the overnight period is concerned, so into Monday,

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we've got clear skies after a pretty cloudy Saturday with some rain.

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But clear skies overnight. That means a chilly night,

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colder than what we've had for quite some time.

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In fact, in rural areas, even just outside towns and cities,

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temperatures will be very close to freezing.

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So chilly Monday on the way.

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Let's have a look at the big picture then on Monday, the weather map.

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So, high pressure close to the UK.

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It's affecting England, Wales and Northern Ireland,

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Scotland to an extent too.

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And the jet stream is to the north-west of us,

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pushing the cloud and the rain, the weather fronts, basically,

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away from us, although they will be just about clipping

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the north-west of Scotland.

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But for most of us to the south, the weather is looking dry.

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So, Monday dawns on that chilly note, sunny note for most of us

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in the afternoon, and maybe the tail ends

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of these weather fronts just about affecting

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the far north-west of Scotland.

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And mild - 16 in London,

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Belfast also getting up to around the mid-teens as well.

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So, the jet stream, if you imagine it here,

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pushing those weather fronts to the north-west of us.

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Turning quite windy, actually, across Scotland.

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Tuesday in particular very windy day

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across the northern half of Scotland.

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You know isobars - lots of them mean very strong winds

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and we could see gales up to 60 or 70mph,

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which of course we're quite used to across this part of the world,

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at least in the Northern Isles and northern Scotland.

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But blustery with showers here.

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To the south of that it'll be dry, certainly most of England and Wales,

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just a few pockets of light rain, but that's pretty much it.

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I'm going to change the scene a little bit now and show you

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what's happening across the north Atlantic and also North America.

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See these ripples between the warm and the cold?

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These are actually storms that are developing off

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the north-east coast of the United States.

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We had a look at that yesterday, we were forecasting a pretty nasty

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snowstorm for the north-east of the US, including New York.

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That remains the case.

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If you're heading in this direction, not looking good.

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There could be some disruption with travel.

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There's another one here too, but remember,

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that jet stream is pushing these lows towards the north-west.

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And what these lows are doing,

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with the wind spinning around like so, they're scooping up

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the milder air in the southern climes

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and pushing it in our direction.

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So that's why with the low, a nasty low close by,

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but not over us - we're getting the warm air coming in.

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Well, call it mild - mid-teens, probably.

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Now, a weather front, a sneaky one,

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is going to push through during the course of Thursday, I think.

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But it should be relatively weak.

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A weak front means cloud and just a few spots of rain,

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but again the winds will be pretty strong

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across the northern part of Scotland.

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So you get that message, I think, most of the UK,

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the southern two thirds staying fairly settled this week,

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but then unsettled for Scotland most of this week.

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End of the week, different story.

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The jet stream makes a beeline for the UK.

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That means it's going to be taking the weather front straight over us.

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So I think, by the time we get to Friday and next weekend,

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that high pressure with the good weather slips to the south,

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the low pressure is just that little bit closer and we start

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to see that cooler air coming in with spells of wind and rain.

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Let's summarise all of that.

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Unsettled in the north this week with those weather fronts

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clipping north-western Scotland.

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To the south of that, dryer,

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and overall I think for most of us it should be pretty mild.

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Bye-bye.

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