0:00:02 > 0:00:03He caught me out and I could have lost everything.
0:00:03 > 0:00:08I will go home today trying to work it out, but that's why I was at the other end of the table.
0:00:08 > 0:00:11SHE LAUGHS No way!
0:00:30 > 0:00:34Hello, you lucky punters.
0:00:34 > 0:00:37Fancy another little flutter on the David Meade Project?
0:00:37 > 0:00:39Well, here's the hot favourite now, David Meade.
0:00:39 > 0:00:41- Is that an L? L? - SHE GASPS
0:00:41 > 0:00:44- Yes!- Oh, my God!
0:00:44 > 0:00:48David plays games with the human mind, and when his gambles pay off,
0:00:48 > 0:00:50the results can be staggering.
0:00:50 > 0:00:52It's crazy. That's insane.
0:00:52 > 0:00:53How did he do it?
0:00:53 > 0:00:54How?
0:00:54 > 0:00:57Trouble is, when David gets an idea in his head,
0:00:57 > 0:01:01he's totally prepared to risk it all.
0:01:01 > 0:01:02I like to push things to the very limit,
0:01:02 > 0:01:05which is terrifying for me, but the payoff can be worth it.
0:01:09 > 0:01:13Roll up, roll up, you lucky people. Dear Lord!
0:01:13 > 0:01:17David obviously fancies himself as a Mr Top Spiv, on the lookout
0:01:17 > 0:01:21for a couple of marks, ready to risk it for a biscuit.
0:01:21 > 0:01:22Watch out, you Muppets!
0:01:22 > 0:01:24This is a mug's game,
0:01:24 > 0:01:26because not everything
0:01:26 > 0:01:27is what it seems
0:01:27 > 0:01:28with David Meade.
0:01:28 > 0:01:31It's a simple game of what I call One Card Monte.
0:01:31 > 0:01:34You've got to place one card on the table and all the participant
0:01:34 > 0:01:37needs to do is guess which card is sitting there.
0:01:37 > 0:01:40That's going to seem impossible to them, that's going to seem like a one in 52.
0:01:40 > 0:01:42Hopefully, though, they'll win.
0:01:44 > 0:01:47David is ducking and diving out on the street.
0:01:47 > 0:01:51He's looking for some random players to join him in a game of chance,
0:01:51 > 0:01:53to risk more than they can afford.
0:01:53 > 0:01:56In a moment, I'm going to ask you to make a guess
0:01:56 > 0:01:57as to what you think this card is.
0:01:57 > 0:02:00But, Perry, it's only a one in 52, so you know the odds aren't
0:02:00 > 0:02:01really stacked in your favour.
0:02:01 > 0:02:05The chances of you getting this right are very, very slim.
0:02:05 > 0:02:07This is a big risk, but what's your guess?
0:02:07 > 0:02:09- King of Hearts.- King of Hearts.
0:02:09 > 0:02:12- Now, you haven't gambled anything on this.- No.
0:02:12 > 0:02:15Which is such a shame! Such a shame!
0:02:15 > 0:02:18I'm going to ask you to make your first guess
0:02:18 > 0:02:19at what this card might be.
0:02:19 > 0:02:20- Three of Hearts.- Three of Hearts.
0:02:20 > 0:02:24You've actually done really, really well. Really well!
0:02:24 > 0:02:27- How does that feel that you got that right?- Wish I'd put money on it now.
0:02:27 > 0:02:30'Phase on is simple, I want to build up their confidence.'
0:02:30 > 0:02:32The minute that their confidence is built up,
0:02:32 > 0:02:35their perception of risk changes and they'll be willing to risk everything,
0:02:35 > 0:02:38regardless of how unlikely they are of winning.
0:02:38 > 0:02:41No, David isn't a bookie, he's a bookworm!
0:02:41 > 0:02:44You can bet your bottom dollar he's using his special skills
0:02:44 > 0:02:46to control these odds.
0:02:46 > 0:02:49His main skill is mentalism, the art of mind manipulation.
0:02:51 > 0:02:54Today, he's making people take risks.
0:02:54 > 0:02:57What I want to build in them is supreme self-confidence.
0:02:57 > 0:02:59The idea that they can't lose.
0:02:59 > 0:03:02The minute that they're there, they're exactly where I need them.
0:03:02 > 0:03:05Now, it's only one in 52, there's no way that you could know what it is.
0:03:05 > 0:03:07What do you think the chances are of getting this right?
0:03:07 > 0:03:10- One in 52.- Yeah, you're right, one in 52. It's really on.
0:03:10 > 0:03:13I'm going to ask you now, for the first time, with all of these odds
0:03:13 > 0:03:16stacked against you, Tasha, what's your guess?
0:03:16 > 0:03:19- Jack of Diamonds.- Jack of Diamonds.
0:03:19 > 0:03:21There's a really slim chance of getting this right.
0:03:21 > 0:03:24- It's so slim, you probably wouldn't gamble on it, would you?- No.
0:03:24 > 0:03:28That was really stacked against you, Tasha.
0:03:28 > 0:03:30Everything was stacked against you, but you got it right.
0:03:30 > 0:03:32Do you feel confident after last time?
0:03:32 > 0:03:35- Oh, aye.- Do you want to gamble some stuff on it?
0:03:35 > 0:03:39- What have you got there of value?- A phone.- A phone? I'll have your phone.
0:03:39 > 0:03:41I can't believe David's techniques are working.
0:03:41 > 0:03:46She's risking it all with nothing to win. It seems she's lost the plot when judging the odds.
0:03:46 > 0:03:49- Don't tempt me.- Give me the chain. I'll take the chain. Why not?
0:03:49 > 0:03:52We've got a combined value here of about £15.
0:03:52 > 0:03:56- As I said, I like you, so I want to make it easy for you.- Right.
0:03:56 > 0:04:00If you name any card that isn't this card, then you're a winner. OK?
0:04:00 > 0:04:05All you need to do is name any card that isn't that card. Tasha, go ahead.
0:04:05 > 0:04:08- Three of Clubs.- OK. Everything was stacked in your favour.
0:04:08 > 0:04:13You needed to name any card but the three of Clubs. Sorry, Tasha!
0:04:13 > 0:04:16Look at this! King Ding-a-ling.
0:04:16 > 0:04:17OK, you've made your point, David.
0:04:17 > 0:04:21Game over. Now give the stuff back, please.
0:04:21 > 0:04:24You get something right the first time, it always gives you a wee boost
0:04:24 > 0:04:28to do it the second time, because you always get that wee bit luckier.
0:04:28 > 0:04:31- It's always better second time round.- OK, then.
0:04:31 > 0:04:32Back to the job in hand.
0:04:32 > 0:04:35It's a little bit like the lottery. Because you know that you have very
0:04:35 > 0:04:38little chance of winning, you only play £1 or £2 a week.
0:04:38 > 0:04:42If you knew that you had a one in ten chance of winning, you might
0:04:42 > 0:04:45pay £50 a week, because your odds of winning are massively increasing.
0:04:45 > 0:04:47I want to take them to that same state,
0:04:47 > 0:04:51that point at which they feel there is virtually no risk.
0:04:51 > 0:04:53Now, the odds here are dramatically stacked in your favour.
0:04:53 > 0:04:56What is your second guess?
0:04:56 > 0:04:58- Six of Clubs.- Six of Clubs?- Yeah.
0:04:58 > 0:05:00Sorry, Aoife!
0:05:00 > 0:05:03First of all, I'd like to thank you for taking part.
0:05:03 > 0:05:06All you need to do is name any one of these cards that isn't this one.
0:05:06 > 0:05:10- Seven of Diamonds. - Seven of Diamonds?- Yeah.
0:05:10 > 0:05:12Sorry, Perry!
0:05:12 > 0:05:16First of all, I'd like to thank you for your... Oh, yeah!
0:05:16 > 0:05:21I put my purse, my bank card, my passport, my phone, everything on it.
0:05:23 > 0:05:25He caught me out.
0:05:25 > 0:05:28I could have lost everything, so don't risk it.
0:05:28 > 0:05:33Playing with risk and the odds has given David a new idea.
0:05:35 > 0:05:38Always beat the odds? That would be
0:05:38 > 0:05:39an amazing thing to pull off,
0:05:39 > 0:05:43to win every time, no matter what the risk.
0:05:43 > 0:05:47I'll bet David reckons he has an answer for it all.
0:05:47 > 0:05:50He probably thinks he's got some risk-beating system.
0:05:50 > 0:05:54I'm fascinated by how we perceive risk but, more specifically, how
0:05:54 > 0:05:57that perception affects the amount of risk we're willing to take.
0:05:57 > 0:06:00Odds are very confusing things.
0:06:00 > 0:06:03The fact is, we don't have the capability to easily
0:06:03 > 0:06:06understand what a set of odds means in real terms.
0:06:06 > 0:06:11Professional card counters in places like Las Vegas know how to
0:06:11 > 0:06:13capture all of the probability and the odds.
0:06:13 > 0:06:17It's with that information that they make what look like really risky
0:06:17 > 0:06:19decisions, but the fact is, they are not risky,
0:06:19 > 0:06:22they're well-informed decisions.
0:06:22 > 0:06:23That's why they reap huge financial rewards.
0:06:25 > 0:06:29I'd like to use all of my skills as a mentalist to see
0:06:29 > 0:06:31if they can allow me to take even bigger risks
0:06:31 > 0:06:34when I know all of the variables and all of the odds.
0:06:38 > 0:06:42David never ceases to amaze, and he's going to treat us all
0:06:42 > 0:06:45to a little bit of his favourite sport. Who knew?
0:06:46 > 0:06:48I've chosen a sport that's a real passion for me.
0:06:48 > 0:06:51I've been playing it for years now.
0:06:51 > 0:06:54Apparently, David is a keen competitor in one of the most popular
0:06:54 > 0:06:57and traditional national pastimes.
0:06:57 > 0:07:00Statisticians talk about statistics and probability,
0:07:00 > 0:07:02but gamblers talk about odds.
0:07:02 > 0:07:05I'm really interested in odds today.
0:07:05 > 0:07:08I wonder if I study all of the variables, and I mean everything -
0:07:08 > 0:07:11the equipment, my opponent, the room, the temperature, even
0:07:11 > 0:07:16the lighting - can that increase my odds of winning at a game of skill?
0:07:22 > 0:07:26Uh-oh. Blimey. There's David's first risk of the day.
0:07:26 > 0:07:29- HIS JOINTS CRACK - Oh, no. What's he up to?
0:07:31 > 0:07:33All right, don't overdo it.
0:07:35 > 0:07:39I've chosen my participant for this test very carefully. The reason I've
0:07:39 > 0:07:41selected him is he's really competitive.
0:07:41 > 0:07:45A little bit like me. He's going to be playing a game of tiddlywinks.
0:07:48 > 0:07:51Tiddlywinks, I might have known.
0:07:51 > 0:07:53Tiddlywinks is the future.
0:07:53 > 0:07:56I'm just excited to see what's going to happen.
0:07:56 > 0:07:58The rules of this test are really simple.
0:07:58 > 0:08:02He's got a bowl of 400 or 500 tiddlywinks of various colours.
0:08:02 > 0:08:04And they're regulation colours, I'm not an amateur.
0:08:04 > 0:08:07He can choose any tiddlywinks he likes
0:08:07 > 0:08:08and play for as long as he likes,
0:08:08 > 0:08:11chipping them into the bowl, and he can stop whenever he wishes.
0:08:11 > 0:08:13I just hope that by knowing all of the variables,
0:08:13 > 0:08:16I can beat him at this game, because this is going to be tough.
0:08:16 > 0:08:19Let the tiddlywinks begin!
0:08:19 > 0:08:21David understands the odds.
0:08:21 > 0:08:25He's confident his calculated risk on the outcome will pay off.
0:08:25 > 0:08:26If not, he'll lose his shirt,
0:08:26 > 0:08:29although that might not be a bad thing.
0:08:29 > 0:08:32You're going to play tiddlywinks for as long as you like.
0:08:32 > 0:08:35Whenever you feel like you're done, just say so.
0:08:35 > 0:08:39But before that, I want to give you my lucky tiddlywink.
0:08:39 > 0:08:42Do me a favour, put that in your fist, nice and tight,
0:08:42 > 0:08:45and put that inside your pocket for me. Anywhere that you like.
0:08:45 > 0:08:47We'll come back to that, that's for luck.
0:08:47 > 0:08:49It will hopefully make your job a bit easier.
0:08:49 > 0:08:52These are the rest of my set of lucky tiddlywinks, but I'll keep them here.
0:08:52 > 0:08:55- Do you think I need luck?- I think you need luck. I mean, look at you!
0:08:55 > 0:08:58THEY LAUGH You see my style here, David?
0:08:58 > 0:09:00This is an unorthodox style.
0:09:00 > 0:09:03Between you and me, there's a camera set up under the table to check
0:09:03 > 0:09:05there's no funny business
0:09:05 > 0:09:06and David doesn't chuck in
0:09:06 > 0:09:07a few cheeky extras.
0:09:07 > 0:09:10- You are a very proficient flicker. - I'm telling you.
0:09:10 > 0:09:14I'm genuinely impressed with how well you're doing.
0:09:14 > 0:09:17- It's as well you've got safety glasses on.- This could be failure.
0:09:17 > 0:09:20La-la-la-la!
0:09:20 > 0:09:24Rules of the game, Stephen can keep tiddlywinking
0:09:24 > 0:09:26until he's decided he's had enough.
0:09:26 > 0:09:28Ah, you actually hit me in the face!
0:09:28 > 0:09:30- Are you done?- I'm out.
0:09:30 > 0:09:33Let's see how you've done.
0:09:33 > 0:09:36You've got... Let's look at the total.
0:09:36 > 0:09:40HE COUNTS
0:09:40 > 0:09:4315 in is genuinely impressive.
0:09:43 > 0:09:46- You could have went on as long as you liked.- Mm-hm. Yes.
0:09:46 > 0:09:50Do you have my lucky tiddlywink that I gave you at the start?
0:09:50 > 0:09:51- I do indeed, yes.- Can I see it?
0:09:51 > 0:09:53I'm conscious of where you put it, it may be a little sweaty.
0:09:53 > 0:09:56- Put it down?- Do you just want to
0:09:56 > 0:09:57count it for me?
0:09:57 > 0:09:59Go over and double-check.
0:09:59 > 0:10:04HE COUNTS
0:10:04 > 0:10:05- 15.- 15.- Yes.
0:10:05 > 0:10:08Whenever you're ready, Steve, I'd like you to look at the other
0:10:08 > 0:10:10side of my lucky tiddlywink.
0:10:10 > 0:10:12OK, I'll turn it over.
0:10:12 > 0:10:14HE LAUGHS
0:10:14 > 0:10:1615? You could have stopped
0:10:16 > 0:10:18- whenever you liked.- Yes.
0:10:18 > 0:10:22David wouldn't risk a thing without a few more lucky
0:10:22 > 0:10:25tiddlywinks beside him. Let's hope they don't let him down now.
0:10:25 > 0:10:28These are green, red, blue and yellow.
0:10:28 > 0:10:32Whenever you're ready, turn over the yellow one for me.
0:10:32 > 0:10:34There's going to be a number on this, isn't there?
0:10:34 > 0:10:36- HE LAUGHS - What is it, three?
0:10:36 > 0:10:39- How many yellows?- Definitely three yellows.- Three there?
0:10:39 > 0:10:41How many blues?
0:10:41 > 0:10:43- Turn over the blue. - HE LAUGHS
0:10:43 > 0:10:47I think you see where this is going. You can turn over the last two.
0:10:47 > 0:10:48HE LAUGHS
0:10:48 > 0:10:51- Three.- My final wink.
0:10:51 > 0:10:54HE CONTINUES LAUGHING
0:10:55 > 0:10:58- Three, four, three, five. - Incredible.
0:10:58 > 0:11:01That's just blown me away.
0:11:01 > 0:11:04I had the lucky chip in my pocket the whole time and I didn't
0:11:04 > 0:11:06really know where he was going with it.
0:11:06 > 0:11:08I will go home today trying to work it out,
0:11:08 > 0:11:12but that's why I was at the other end of the table.
0:11:12 > 0:11:15Thank goodness that worked.
0:11:15 > 0:11:16The fact is, human beings
0:11:16 > 0:11:18are naturally really bad at judging odds.
0:11:18 > 0:11:21That's why bookies are still in business.
0:11:21 > 0:11:25People like me, mentalists, like to exploit those misunderstandings.
0:11:27 > 0:11:30Uh-oh. Looks like the biggest risk David could take right now
0:11:30 > 0:11:32is to get too overconfident.
0:11:35 > 0:11:38The trouble with all risk, it's addictive.
0:11:38 > 0:11:41David's got the bug and he wants to take bigger and bigger risks.
0:11:42 > 0:11:44I'd like to try something big.
0:11:44 > 0:11:47I'd like to try something with virtually impossible,
0:11:47 > 0:11:49maybe even improbable, odds.
0:11:49 > 0:11:53The chances of a meteor hitting Earth right now is one in 1,000.
0:11:53 > 0:11:55I think I can do better than that.
0:11:55 > 0:11:58Don't worry, the nutter can't put his hands on a meteor.
0:11:58 > 0:12:02He's going to use a dart, and he's found another reckless chancer,
0:12:02 > 0:12:07I mean, daring participant, to help him in his latest caper.
0:12:07 > 0:12:10I'm going to give my participant the opportunity to choose any
0:12:10 > 0:12:12location in the United Kingdom.
0:12:12 > 0:12:16And when I say any, I mean any. There are tens of thousands.
0:12:16 > 0:12:19My job is to see if I can predict it.
0:12:19 > 0:12:21David is going to risk it all with Joanne,
0:12:21 > 0:12:23who will throw the dart.
0:12:23 > 0:12:27To increase the risk, he's picked someone who isn't a dart player.
0:12:27 > 0:12:30- SHE LAUGHS - Oi! That's no laughing matter, missy.
0:12:30 > 0:12:33Sometimes, I think that people say that I'm not confident
0:12:33 > 0:12:37about an experiment because I'm just doing that for dramatic effect.
0:12:37 > 0:12:42I can honestly say, what I'm about to try is the riskiest thing I have ever done.
0:12:44 > 0:12:46- I'm going to take a bit of a risk today.- OK.
0:12:46 > 0:12:50In front of you, we have a huge map of the UK and Ireland.
0:12:50 > 0:12:53I'm going to have you choose one location on that map.
0:12:53 > 0:12:56How we're going to do that is, I'm going to give you a dart.
0:12:56 > 0:12:59You're going to throw that down, it's going to land on a page,
0:12:59 > 0:13:00that's going to be your chosen page.
0:13:00 > 0:13:03- OK.- But, before we do that, do me a favour, I'd like your autograph.
0:13:03 > 0:13:06If you could just sign that for me, nice and big.
0:13:08 > 0:13:12Lovely penmanship. Beautiful. Look at that Y. Excellent.
0:13:12 > 0:13:17Now, Joanne, I'm going to go down there and mix up this map.
0:13:17 > 0:13:18The reason I want to do that
0:13:18 > 0:13:20is so that you can't aim for somewhere you know,
0:13:20 > 0:13:24or somewhere that you've gone on holiday.
0:13:24 > 0:13:28- So, entertain yourself for a couple of minutes.- OK.
0:13:28 > 0:13:32- And as I'm doing this, please keep an eye on me to make sure that I don't switch any pages.- OK.
0:13:32 > 0:13:36I don't want you to keep track of where all the locations are,
0:13:36 > 0:13:37I want this to be super random.
0:13:37 > 0:13:41Let me see. I don't want you to have any specific location in mind.
0:13:41 > 0:13:42Are you thinking of anywhere?
0:13:42 > 0:13:44If you are, try and block it out of your head.
0:13:44 > 0:13:47No, I'm not thinking of anywhere.
0:13:47 > 0:13:52Excellent. I think that will just about do.
0:13:52 > 0:13:55- Joanne, are you happy that this is nicely mixed up?- Yep.- Brilliant.
0:13:55 > 0:13:59So, Joanne, do you think there is any way you could follow
0:13:59 > 0:14:03- or track any of those locations now? - No.- OK.
0:14:03 > 0:14:06I've made a video for you, and it was only for you.
0:14:06 > 0:14:10- I made it weeks ago.- OK.- Let's go ahead and play the video.- OK.
0:14:10 > 0:14:13'Hello, there. Thank you for coming and helping me. What's your name?'
0:14:13 > 0:14:14Joanne.
0:14:14 > 0:14:17'A bit meaningless to me, given that I've recorded this message
0:14:17 > 0:14:19'for you weeks in advance.'
0:14:19 > 0:14:20Ignore him, Joanne, he's very rude.
0:14:20 > 0:14:22'Hello David, how are you?'
0:14:22 > 0:14:23Really well, thanks.
0:14:23 > 0:14:25'I think you've put on a little weight.
0:14:25 > 0:14:28'Anyway, never mind. Let's try something. Think of a number, David.'
0:14:28 > 0:14:3114. Shhh.
0:14:31 > 0:14:33- 'Is it 14?' - HE GASPS
0:14:33 > 0:14:35So talented!
0:14:35 > 0:14:38'So talented. By now, David should have explained to you what's about
0:14:38 > 0:14:42'to happen. In front of you, there should be a jumbled-up map.
0:14:42 > 0:14:43'You should also have a dart.
0:14:43 > 0:14:46'In a moment, you're going to throw that dart, but not yet.
0:14:46 > 0:14:49'You're going to throw that dart anywhere you like towards that map.
0:14:49 > 0:14:51'Whenever you're ready, after I count to three,
0:14:51 > 0:14:54'get ready to throw that dart.
0:14:54 > 0:14:57'One, two, three, throw the dart.'
0:14:59 > 0:15:01OK, you got a page there. Good shot!
0:15:01 > 0:15:05'Right now, David, go ahead and pick up that page. Chop chop!
0:15:05 > 0:15:10'Keep an eye on him to make sure he doesn't switch that page.'
0:15:10 > 0:15:13OK, Joanne, keep a good close eye.
0:15:13 > 0:15:15You have got somewhere with quite a lot of writing.
0:15:15 > 0:15:17It could have been any of these pages.
0:15:17 > 0:15:20You've got somewhere with quite a lot of writing, but...
0:15:20 > 0:15:24Keep a good eye, make sure that I don't try to switch it.
0:15:29 > 0:15:32- This is exciting.- Yeah.
0:15:32 > 0:15:33SHE LAUGHS
0:15:33 > 0:15:34Now, let me see.
0:15:36 > 0:15:38'Now that you've got a page,
0:15:38 > 0:15:39'I want you to take a marker
0:15:39 > 0:15:42'and draw an X anywhere you like on that page.
0:15:42 > 0:15:46'Hopefully, wherever you've marked on that page,
0:15:46 > 0:15:50'is close to somewhere or something and not in the middle of the ocean.
0:15:50 > 0:15:52'Right now, for the first time,
0:15:52 > 0:15:54'I'd like you to call out loud where you've drawn that mark.'
0:15:54 > 0:15:59- Fulham.- Fulham. Have you ever been there before?- No.
0:15:59 > 0:16:03- Any particular reason why you chose it, or was it random?- Random.
0:16:03 > 0:16:05So you've said Fulham.
0:16:05 > 0:16:08I have this envelope that you signed at the very start.
0:16:08 > 0:16:11Inside this envelope is a piece of paper. Go ahead and open it up, Joanne.
0:16:13 > 0:16:15'If that has worked,
0:16:15 > 0:16:16'David should just have revealed
0:16:16 > 0:16:19'to you the precise place that you
0:16:19 > 0:16:22'selected randomly from all of those pages and all of those places.
0:16:22 > 0:16:25'Just in case you think that he's done anything funny or cheated,
0:16:25 > 0:16:29'I'm going to take this and seal it in a envelope...'
0:16:29 > 0:16:32- That's the exact same page.- No way?! - Weeks ago.- No way?!
0:16:32 > 0:16:34Weeks ago.
0:16:34 > 0:16:39'..so that you know that the me next to you isn't trying to cheat.'
0:16:39 > 0:16:41SHE SQUEALS
0:16:41 > 0:16:43'In the meantime, I've got a plane to catch...from Fulham.'
0:16:43 > 0:16:46SHE LAUGHS No way?!
0:16:46 > 0:16:49Of all the places you could have chosen!
0:16:49 > 0:16:52Even on that page that you selected from all of those pages,
0:16:52 > 0:16:55an atlas of the entire UK and Ireland,
0:16:55 > 0:16:58you chose the one place, Fulham.
0:16:58 > 0:17:00I can't believe it! You did that, that's incredible.
0:17:00 > 0:17:04I'm just amazed! I'm actually speechless.
0:17:04 > 0:17:08I threw a dart, chose a random place on a map,
0:17:08 > 0:17:11and he's done a video before and he's in Fulham.
0:17:11 > 0:17:15I can't describe the feeling, can't describe it. Absolutely amazing!
0:17:15 > 0:17:17The funny thing about this game is,
0:17:17 > 0:17:19I can't believe that it didn't go wrong.
0:17:19 > 0:17:22I can't believe it! I mean, it's so improbable.
0:17:22 > 0:17:25The odds of her getting the one place that
0:17:25 > 0:17:27I had been in weeks ago is just improbable.
0:17:27 > 0:17:29It's so small, it's incalculable.
0:17:29 > 0:17:32That was undoubtedly the biggest risk I've ever taken
0:17:32 > 0:17:34in all of the games or experiments I've ever done.
0:17:34 > 0:17:36I honestly can't believe it.
0:17:41 > 0:17:43But, believe it or not, that's not the end of it.
0:17:43 > 0:17:47These jelly rings in boxes are not to satisfy David's sweet tooth. Oh, no.
0:17:47 > 0:17:51He's become addicted to risk and needs to up the dose.
0:17:51 > 0:17:54This time, adding a stronger ingredient to the mix.
0:17:55 > 0:17:58The level of risk that we feel is directly related to
0:17:58 > 0:18:01the meaningfulness of that which we are risking,
0:18:01 > 0:18:05and so the risk seems far greater when we're risking something that we care about.
0:18:05 > 0:18:08And that's what I want to play with today.
0:18:08 > 0:18:12But what have jelly rings got to do with emotional risk? Ah-ha!
0:18:12 > 0:18:16David wants to know what it's like to risk the things you really love.
0:18:16 > 0:18:18And he's chosen a couple that have everything to lose.
0:18:18 > 0:18:22- Nice to meet you.- How are you keeping?- I'm grand, how are you?
0:18:22 > 0:18:26- Ryan, isn't it?- Yes.- How's tricks? Are you nervous?- A wee bit.
0:18:26 > 0:18:27- What are you nervous about? - I don't know.
0:18:27 > 0:18:31- I understand you've gotten engaged, is that right?- Yeah.
0:18:31 > 0:18:33Can I see the ring? Oh, lovely, that is beautiful.
0:18:33 > 0:18:35I won't ask how much it cost, but I will ask you,
0:18:35 > 0:18:39- "Can I take that?" - Hmm. OK.- A little bit wary?- Yeah.
0:18:39 > 0:18:43Oh, so that's his game. You don't want to risk that one!
0:18:43 > 0:18:47I'm really excited about this one. I've got 450 ring boxes.
0:18:47 > 0:18:49Inside all those, I've placed a jelly ring,
0:18:49 > 0:18:52because that's the type of big spender I am(!)
0:18:52 > 0:18:54I've got two participants here. They're engaged.
0:18:54 > 0:18:58I'm going to borrow their engagement ring and hide it in
0:18:58 > 0:19:01one of these boxes, and then we're going to play a simple game of risk.
0:19:01 > 0:19:03All they need to do is find their ring.
0:19:03 > 0:19:06For David, this is just a game with a ring, but this
0:19:06 > 0:19:09happy couple are risking so much more.
0:19:09 > 0:19:12Lindsay had set out exactly what type of ring she wanted,
0:19:12 > 0:19:16so I hunted high and low, trying to find which was the nicest one.
0:19:16 > 0:19:21The ring means quite a lot to me because I know Ryan spent a lot
0:19:21 > 0:19:24of money and went out of his way to pick the perfect ring.
0:19:24 > 0:19:29For him to take it off me, it feels like there's something missing.
0:19:29 > 0:19:30The game is really simple.
0:19:30 > 0:19:35It only uses 450 boxes, which have taken me hours to lay out.
0:19:35 > 0:19:39450 jelly rings that are all inside. It will use their engagement ring,
0:19:39 > 0:19:44I'll be popping that inside one of the boxes. They won't know which.
0:19:44 > 0:19:46I've also got my little friend, the shovel,
0:19:46 > 0:19:48and my big friend over there.
0:19:48 > 0:19:52Yes, ladies and gentlemen, that is an industrial shredder.
0:19:52 > 0:19:55What David has failed to mention is that the groom-to-be is going
0:19:55 > 0:19:58to be shovelling all those boxes into this bad boy.
0:19:58 > 0:20:02One of those boxes could have his fiancee's precious ring in it.
0:20:02 > 0:20:04He must be off his head!
0:20:04 > 0:20:07I enjoy taking a risk, it gets a wee bit of adrenaline going.
0:20:07 > 0:20:09A bit of excitement.
0:20:09 > 0:20:11A wee bit of being unsure.
0:20:11 > 0:20:13Brave words, indeed.
0:20:13 > 0:20:16We can't show you where the ring is hidden, that would spoil it.
0:20:16 > 0:20:19But once David has hidden the ring in one of these boxes
0:20:19 > 0:20:21and all the lids are closed,
0:20:21 > 0:20:24there are no external clues as to which one's got it.
0:20:24 > 0:20:27The future missus is definitely not keen.
0:20:27 > 0:20:31I don't know. He's taken my ring and that's a big step, to take somebody's
0:20:31 > 0:20:35ring off them and not know whether you're going to get it back or not.
0:20:43 > 0:20:48450 ring boxes, and I believe, given the great risk you've taken,
0:20:48 > 0:20:52giving me your ring, he will find exactly where your engagement ring is.
0:20:52 > 0:20:55- How do you feel, you feel confident about it?- Hmm.
0:20:55 > 0:20:59- Nervous, but I think he'll do it. - OK, supreme confidence there.
0:20:59 > 0:21:02What about yourself, Ryan? Are you feeling pretty good about this?
0:21:02 > 0:21:04Yeah, feeling good about it. Yeah.
0:21:04 > 0:21:07OK, I want you to go ahead and pick a box.
0:21:07 > 0:21:09Any one that you like. Bring it over and we'll have a look inside.
0:21:09 > 0:21:13Rather than open them all up just to prove there was a jelly ring
0:21:13 > 0:21:17in all 450 boxes, Ryan chooses one randomly.
0:21:17 > 0:21:21I bet Lindsay's hoping that's going to be hers, before the nightmare has even started.
0:21:21 > 0:21:25- OK, you've got one at random? - Got it, yeah.- Random, yeah?- Yeah.
0:21:25 > 0:21:29I don't want to touch it, but go ahead and open up and show us what's inside.
0:21:29 > 0:21:31- There we go, inside.- Very nice.
0:21:31 > 0:21:34Inside, we have a jelly ring, because I'm a pretty classy guy!
0:21:34 > 0:21:38- If this goes wrong, that could be your booby prize.- Great(!)
0:21:38 > 0:21:42You can keep that for me and, if this goes wrong, that is my gift to you.
0:21:42 > 0:21:46Right now, I am going to ask you, Ryan,
0:21:46 > 0:21:49to eliminate all of these boxes but one.
0:21:50 > 0:21:54Have a look at him playing around. He loves this, doesn't he?
0:21:54 > 0:21:56- Have you ever seen one of these before?- Yeah.
0:21:56 > 0:21:58Yes, Lindsay, that's a shredder!
0:21:58 > 0:22:00David seems to be enjoying this far too much.
0:22:00 > 0:22:04When operating the machine, we're going to need to keep these on,
0:22:04 > 0:22:06because safety first, DIY second.
0:22:06 > 0:22:10Lindsay, if you'd like to go back into the room. Before you go, maybe give Ryan a wee good luck kiss.
0:22:13 > 0:22:15What about me?
0:22:15 > 0:22:18I meant Ryan, but you can have one if you want. In you go, Lindsay.
0:22:18 > 0:22:23I don't know if Lindsay is being put in that room for her safety, or Ryan and David's.
0:22:23 > 0:22:27I'm not feeling very happy. I'll be happy whenever I see my ring again.
0:22:29 > 0:22:32So, Ryan, we have a pretty big room here.
0:22:32 > 0:22:35I'm going to divide the room into thirds.
0:22:35 > 0:22:38Would you like to eliminate this one third and shovel it into the
0:22:38 > 0:22:42cruncher, or would you like to eliminate the two thirds over there?
0:22:42 > 0:22:44I'll eliminate this third.
0:22:44 > 0:22:46You want to eliminate this third? OK.
0:22:46 > 0:22:49Ryan's not taking a risk too early, getting rid of a third.
0:22:49 > 0:22:52Let's hope his hunch as to where the ring is might be right.
0:22:52 > 0:22:55Would it be bad to say I'm enjoying this? Is that bad?
0:22:55 > 0:22:59- You're enjoying it, or I'm enjoying it?- Are you enjoying it, yeah?
0:22:59 > 0:23:01- Yeah, I'm enjoying it.- OK.
0:23:01 > 0:23:03I'm just a wee bit dubious about what's going to happen.
0:23:03 > 0:23:05Erm...
0:23:05 > 0:23:07That machine's scaring me.
0:23:07 > 0:23:09MOTOR STARTS
0:23:11 > 0:23:13These on. These down.
0:23:16 > 0:23:18Put them in there.
0:23:27 > 0:23:29Doing good?
0:23:32 > 0:23:36- Doing pretty good, yeah? - Yeah, yeah.- OK.
0:23:38 > 0:23:40I'll be honest with you,
0:23:40 > 0:23:43I heard something that was a little bit like metal, but we'll...
0:23:45 > 0:23:47..we'll continue.
0:23:47 > 0:23:50David said that he thought he heard metal going through the machine.
0:23:50 > 0:23:53Was he being serious?
0:23:53 > 0:23:54I don't know.
0:23:54 > 0:23:57You can either keep this side and eliminate that side,
0:23:57 > 0:24:00or you can keep this side and eliminate that side.
0:24:00 > 0:24:03It's important that you know that the choice is totally up to you.
0:24:03 > 0:24:07- I'm going to eliminate this side. - Are you sure?- Yeah.- OK, Ryan, go ahead, shovel them up.
0:24:07 > 0:24:10I can't believe this bloke is so sure of himself!
0:24:14 > 0:24:17- You're happy that these are your random choices?- Yes.
0:24:17 > 0:24:21ENGINE HUMS
0:24:23 > 0:24:25He's having a whale of a time.
0:24:25 > 0:24:27Talk about boys and their toys!
0:24:27 > 0:24:30There's a girl who's feeling well left out of the fun.
0:24:32 > 0:24:34Oh, David, you'll ruin your tea.
0:24:34 > 0:24:36Lindsay is not impressed.
0:24:36 > 0:24:41They just look like they're having fun and they're not worrying about anything.
0:24:42 > 0:24:45Whatever, it's my engagement ring at stake.
0:24:45 > 0:24:48Worst-case scenario, what would Lindsay say?
0:24:48 > 0:24:52I don't know, I think I'd have a bit of silence for a while, but...
0:24:52 > 0:24:53Because this was my idea and...
0:24:53 > 0:24:56- It was your idea to come on the show?- Yeah.
0:24:58 > 0:25:01Something tells me if Ryan shreds Lindsay's ring,
0:25:01 > 0:25:04he's going to be losing more than his valuables.
0:25:04 > 0:25:06If we were to divide it up like that, which half would you
0:25:06 > 0:25:09- like to eliminate?- This half.
0:25:09 > 0:25:10Moment of truth, mate.
0:25:10 > 0:25:13I'm not sure if it's dawned on Ryan what he's risking.
0:25:13 > 0:25:15Only eight boxes to go
0:25:15 > 0:25:19and Lindsay seems to be feeling all the pressure.
0:25:19 > 0:25:21I don't know what's going to happen. He'd better have it right.
0:25:21 > 0:25:25Don't know how he's going to get it right, but he'd better have it right.
0:25:25 > 0:25:29Only two boxes left. Come on now, Ryan, take care!
0:25:29 > 0:25:31This is your future happiness at stake.
0:25:31 > 0:25:34This might be a decision you should consider carefully.
0:25:34 > 0:25:36Oops! Or...
0:25:36 > 0:25:38just chuck it in there like a muppet.
0:25:38 > 0:25:41Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa!
0:25:41 > 0:25:43ENGINE RUMBLES
0:25:44 > 0:25:47Did you hear metal? Did you hear metal?
0:25:50 > 0:25:52Where did it throw out, Ryan?
0:25:54 > 0:25:56It was the lid of a can.
0:25:56 > 0:25:59Ryan's risking everything on this last box.
0:25:59 > 0:26:01It's where Lindsay's ring has to be.
0:26:01 > 0:26:05Happy ever after? Here goes!
0:26:05 > 0:26:08So, your choice, Ryan, do you want to go ahead and open it?
0:26:08 > 0:26:10I'll take the shovel.
0:26:14 > 0:26:16Oh, no!
0:26:16 > 0:26:18Oh, no!
0:26:23 > 0:26:25SHE EXHALES
0:26:35 > 0:26:40- Was it this particular ring that you liked, Lindsay? This one?- Yeah.
0:26:43 > 0:26:46- Whose idea was it to come on the show?- Ryan's.
0:26:51 > 0:26:56- At least you've got your booby prize that you chose at the start.- Mmm.
0:26:56 > 0:27:01- Would that go in any way to replace your ring, Lindsay?- No.
0:27:01 > 0:27:02Is that the first one that you picked?
0:27:02 > 0:27:06- The first one you decided to keep and put in your pocket?- Yeah.
0:27:06 > 0:27:09Just pull up the ring.
0:27:12 > 0:27:15SHE CLEARS HER THROAT AND LAUGHS
0:27:15 > 0:27:18Thank...God...
0:27:18 > 0:27:19HE LAUGHS
0:27:19 > 0:27:21..that...worked.
0:27:21 > 0:27:25That was the first one that you gravitated towards out of all of them?
0:27:25 > 0:27:27Yeah.
0:27:27 > 0:27:28HE LAUGHS
0:27:32 > 0:27:34The funny thing about risk is that...
0:27:34 > 0:27:37when it's the most meaningful,
0:27:37 > 0:27:41it can be the most terrifying, but...
0:27:42 > 0:27:45- How do you feel?- A lot better now. - A lot better, yeah?
0:27:45 > 0:27:47It's back on my finger, where it belongs.
0:27:47 > 0:27:50Maybe the slightest bit of doubt was starting to come into my mind,
0:27:50 > 0:27:54but I had full confidence, at the end of the day, that the ring was
0:27:54 > 0:27:56not going to be shredded, so...
0:27:56 > 0:27:59I wasn't quite as nervous as Lindsay.
0:27:59 > 0:28:00HE LAUGHS
0:28:00 > 0:28:02That would be Ryan all over.
0:28:02 > 0:28:03SHE LAUGHS
0:28:03 > 0:28:05He's very confident
0:28:05 > 0:28:07and cocky sometimes. HE LAUGHS
0:28:07 > 0:28:12Experiences like this are why I love being a mentalist.
0:28:13 > 0:28:16That was absolutely incredible!
0:28:16 > 0:28:19I think it shows, to me at least, that our perception of risk is
0:28:19 > 0:28:23massively misguided and misinformed, but if we were all just to take
0:28:23 > 0:28:26a little bit more time and study the odds, maybe we'd all be winners.
0:28:35 > 0:28:38Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd
0:28:38 > 0:28:41E-mail subtitling@bbc.co.uk