08/03/2017

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:00:12. > :00:15.As the world prepares for Brexit, the British government boasts

:00:16. > :00:20.of an economy that continues to grow.

:00:21. > :00:24.Growth forecasts are up - borrowing is down -

:00:25. > :00:29.As we start negotiations to exit the European

:00:30. > :00:31.Union, this budget takes forward our plan prepare Britain

:00:32. > :00:39.UK growth is expected to slow slightly next year but so far

:00:40. > :00:42.the economy has defied the forecasts of most economists -

:00:43. > :00:57.You don't think the IMF did get it wrong in this case?

:00:58. > :01:00.Also, after the CIA's cyber warfare secrets are revealed,

:01:01. > :01:03.we ask who are Wikileaks and what do they really want.

:01:04. > :01:05.How India's silicon valley hopes to benefit from

:01:06. > :01:14.And it is International Women's Day - the 115th

:01:15. > :01:17.celebration of its kind - we've come along way since 1911,

:01:18. > :01:31.Ten months ago, Britain stood on the edge of the precipice.

:01:32. > :01:33.A vote for Brexit - said the government -

:01:34. > :01:38.The hit to the UK economy would be so great, there would be

:01:39. > :01:40.spending cuts and tax rises, almost immediately.

:01:41. > :01:43.Well, what a difference ten months on.

:01:44. > :01:45.As the country prepares to start the Brexit process, Phillip Hammond,

:01:46. > :01:50.today's Chancellor of the Exchequer, was sounding a very different tone.

:01:51. > :01:53.I report today on an economy that has continued to confound

:01:54. > :02:06.A labour market delivering record employment and a deficit down by

:02:07. > :02:11.As we start negotiations to exit the European

:02:12. > :02:13.Union, this budget takes forward our plan to prepare Britain

:02:14. > :02:17.And the reason for this cautious optimism is the growth rate

:02:18. > :02:19.for the UK economy - for 2017 it has been revised

:02:20. > :02:22.upwards from 1.4 to 2%, while employment is forecast to grow

:02:23. > :02:31.Far from the immediate recession predicted

:02:32. > :02:34.by Remain campaigners - and Mr Hammond was one of them -

:02:35. > :02:42.Reflecting the recent strength in the economy,

:02:43. > :02:44.the OBR has upgraded its forecast for growth next

:02:45. > :02:50.And Mr Deputy Speaker, I don't see too many

:02:51. > :03:02.people on the opposition front bench doing this.

:03:03. > :03:04.In 2018-2019, growth is forecast to slow to 1.6%, before

:03:05. > :03:17.picking up to 1.7%, then 1.9%, returning to 2% in 2021.

:03:18. > :03:20.Here in the UK the spotlight is fixed on the new taxes Mr Hammond

:03:21. > :03:25.But generally speaking, the outlook is more positive

:03:26. > :03:28.than many had expected, despite those slightly lower

:03:29. > :03:31.forecasts for growth in the years in which the UK will be

:03:32. > :03:36.Which is surely some embarrassment to the IMF.

:03:37. > :03:40.They predicted a recession soon after a leave vote.

:03:41. > :03:42.I spoke to the Managing Director of the IMF,

:03:43. > :03:44.Christine Lagarde, yesterday - here's what she had

:03:45. > :03:51.The IMF had been negative, pessimistic about the prospects

:03:52. > :03:54.for the British economy post if Brexit were to take place.

:03:55. > :03:57.Actually, it hasn't panned out like that, so far at least.

:03:58. > :03:59.Are you revising your forecasts on the British

:04:00. > :04:06.We did revise in January, as we published the update

:04:07. > :04:16.And we will be very attentive to the industrial activity results,

:04:17. > :04:19.to service activity results, to the way the sterling is behaving

:04:20. > :04:28.If we get something wrong, we are the first ones to admit.

:04:29. > :04:33.You don't think the IMF did get it wrong in this case?

:04:34. > :04:39.With me now is Anand Menon, professor of European

:04:40. > :04:41.politics and foreign affairs at King's College London

:04:42. > :04:48.who specialises in issues surrounding Brexit.

:04:49. > :04:56.The remainders will course say we have not left yet. No doubt some

:04:57. > :05:01.Remainer is got it wrong. Some people said as soon as we leave

:05:02. > :05:06.George Osborne said we would need an emergency budget within weeks. But

:05:07. > :05:10.there is a longer term prediction about what happens when we beat the

:05:11. > :05:13.single market and Customs union and for that we have to wait until

:05:14. > :05:18.believe. I know you have been around Europe talking to others about

:05:19. > :05:22.Brexit, how will other countries view what is happening, do they look

:05:23. > :05:26.at it with some concern? No, I do not think it is the case that other

:05:27. > :05:31.European states want us to suffer but in terms of whether it looks as

:05:32. > :05:34.if we are benefiting from leaving, I think they will be calm because we

:05:35. > :05:41.had not left yet. They will wait and see when we leave the single market

:05:42. > :05:50.or customs union. At what point do you think we will whether those

:05:51. > :05:55.forecasts put forward of lower growth and high unemployment, when

:05:56. > :05:59.will be get a sense of that? I think the real impact if there is one will

:06:00. > :06:03.be felt once we can no longer trade within the single market or customs

:06:04. > :06:07.union. Some economists are now predicting that we will see a

:06:08. > :06:11.falloff in investment as companies perhaps decide to relocate or invest

:06:12. > :06:15.less in this country because we are outside the single market. That is

:06:16. > :06:21.very much the order of prediction we have seen wrong already. It is worth

:06:22. > :06:28.picking up on an interesting thing from the budget, the OBR document.

:06:29. > :06:30.It bases predictions on growth, levels of migration that are far

:06:31. > :06:35.greater than the target the government has. If you think one of

:06:36. > :06:39.the reasons to support Brexit was to get the number down, these

:06:40. > :06:47.predictions are based on numbers that are significantly higher. Thank

:06:48. > :06:51.you. I keep hearing in the United States, you might not think people

:06:52. > :06:55.are aware of the UK growth forecast here, but I heard some people who

:06:56. > :07:00.are pro Trump saying all those experts who said the UK would go

:07:01. > :07:03.down the tubes economically after a leave vote, they were wrong. The

:07:04. > :07:10.experts were wrong and they will be wrong about Donald Trump as well. It

:07:11. > :07:14.strikes me how many people are raising that as an issue.

:07:15. > :07:18.A lot of people in the UK will think back to what Michael Gove, one of

:07:19. > :07:22.the chief architects of Brexit said at the time, we have had enough of

:07:23. > :07:26.experts. What was interesting about this speech today, which was half

:07:27. > :07:31.the size of the speech last year, there was no mention of Brexit. Once

:07:32. > :07:35.or twice he spoke of leaving the EU but of course the broad canvas is

:07:36. > :07:38.Brexit. He did not make many references as to what would happen

:07:39. > :07:43.next. The reason for that of course is the experts got it wrong. If you

:07:44. > :07:50.forecasts now probably more predictable than at any time in

:07:51. > :07:53.living memory because people just do not know what is in store over the

:07:54. > :07:55.course of the next four years. So I suppose once burned, twice shy. We

:07:56. > :07:55.will keep watching. As the world watches what Brexit

:07:56. > :07:58.will mean for the UK's economy, there are also questions

:07:59. > :08:00.about what the Trump administration's economic

:08:01. > :08:02.impact will be in the US. Since he's taken office,

:08:03. > :08:04.the stock market has made steady gains -

:08:05. > :08:06.but what's the long It's a topic I also discussed

:08:07. > :08:14.with IMF chief Christine Lagarde. You have been reasonably

:08:15. > :08:18.positive on the US economy He also talked about slashing US

:08:19. > :08:27.taxes, a $1 trillion What we have done is revised

:08:28. > :08:39.the US outlook for growth. From 1.6 in 2016, we forecast 2.3

:08:40. > :08:46.and then 2.5 in 2017-2018. There is a lot of positive news that

:08:47. > :08:49.has already been priced in, And clearly that would lead

:08:50. > :08:57.to an upside in terms If that was not to happen, in other

:08:58. > :09:06.words if there was no tax reform, no support of significant

:09:07. > :09:10.infrastructure, range of projects, if there was no fiscal spending,

:09:11. > :09:13.that would lead us to have But at the moment what we see

:09:14. > :09:19.is positive anticipations Are you concerned about trade

:09:20. > :09:36.policies from this administration because he has after all already

:09:37. > :09:39.taken the US out of the TPP and made it clear he wants to look

:09:40. > :09:45.at Nafta and revise that. What would worry me would be

:09:46. > :09:48.if leaders were not focused on securing the benefits

:09:49. > :09:49.of international trade. But at the same time making sure

:09:50. > :09:53.that those who have been left to the side of international trade,

:09:54. > :10:00.were not looked after. And if those who will be affected

:10:01. > :10:14.by technology breakthroughs, by robotisation, by their jobs

:10:15. > :10:17.being removed from the supply chains, were not looked

:10:18. > :10:19.after and not prepared to adjust Because they have been people left

:10:20. > :10:23.to the sides but there will be more, irrespective of international

:10:24. > :10:25.trade or not. Simply because technology will bring

:10:26. > :10:27.about those changes. So my clear priority

:10:28. > :10:31.and focus in two weeks' time Focus on helping people

:10:32. > :10:35.prepare for the changes. And look after those

:10:36. > :10:38.who have been affected. You are describing a world

:10:39. > :10:47.in which we had Brexit and we had Donald Trump elected,

:10:48. > :10:48.and the story that you And Chinese new plans

:10:49. > :10:51.coming into effect soon. We cannot focus the entire

:10:52. > :10:54.world around UK and US. But that story of trade and how some

:10:55. > :10:57.people have been left behind by the march of globalisation,

:10:58. > :11:00.is what has led us to populist In those two countries

:11:01. > :11:09.and to the prospect of more You can understand why

:11:10. > :11:11.voters in those countries They feel we did not get

:11:12. > :11:18.a good deal out of this. I have to look at the entire

:11:19. > :11:20.population and that is While you have I would say probably

:11:21. > :11:28.about 20 countries that are very concerned about these issues

:11:29. > :11:30.and where the media talks I have about 160 other countries

:11:31. > :11:41.that are very keen to see international trade,

:11:42. > :11:42.that want globalisation and that have benefited vastly from standard

:11:43. > :11:44.of living, If you just look at the advanced

:11:45. > :11:56.economies, the average Is it to say that everyone

:11:57. > :11:59.has benefited, no. What has not been done

:12:00. > :12:03.by policymakers and everyone is at fault, us included,

:12:04. > :12:06.is we have not focused on those who have lost out of globalisation

:12:07. > :12:25.in those advanced economies. Did you find relatively upbeat about

:12:26. > :12:28.one Donald Trump are setting out? She was positive about growth in the

:12:29. > :12:33.United States and the UK as well for that clearly she must be careful not

:12:34. > :12:37.to be political specifically on the Trump administration and domestic

:12:38. > :12:40.American politics. But the point she made was interesting, but there are

:12:41. > :12:43.countries where we are seeing Populist governments coming in and

:12:44. > :12:48.populist movement is doing well and in those countries there is a desire

:12:49. > :12:52.for protectionism. But if you look as she set at 160 countries around

:12:53. > :12:57.the world who benefited from global trade and who want to keep it, that

:12:58. > :13:00.is a different picture. For those countries economic growth,

:13:01. > :13:11.employment, economic prosperity and their future with the depend on

:13:12. > :13:14.access to balance basically the developed world and developing

:13:15. > :13:17.world. It will be very interesting. One breaking line of news, there is

:13:18. > :13:22.a European summit tomorrow in Brussels talking of course about

:13:23. > :13:26.Brexit and Donald Tusk the Council president has been speaking ahead of

:13:27. > :13:29.that and saying they intend to press on with their draft negotiations on

:13:30. > :13:34.Brexit within 48 hours. Of Theresa May triggering Brexit. He said they

:13:35. > :13:38.will then meet later in April to finalise those terms but it seems to

:13:39. > :13:42.me of course they have spoken about four months, and he said no

:13:43. > :13:46.negotiation until she triggers it but there are clear about what they

:13:47. > :13:51.want to do and we'll get on with that within 48 hours. It looks like

:13:52. > :13:54.this is going to start moving fast with article 50 is triggered.

:13:55. > :13:57.A military hospital in the Afghan capital, Kabul, has been attacked -

:13:58. > :13:59.officials say more than 30 people were killed.

:14:00. > :14:01.Three gunmen entered the compound early on Wednesday while a fourth

:14:02. > :14:04.attacker set off a bomb at the main gate.

:14:05. > :14:06.Afghan security forces brought the siege to an end

:14:07. > :14:12.So-called Islamic State says it carried out the attack.

:14:13. > :14:14.In Guatemala, firefighters say at least 19 people - including

:14:15. > :14:17.children - have died in a fire that ripped through a

:14:18. > :14:22.25 other people were injured in the blaze.

:14:23. > :14:28.It's still unclear how the fire started.

:14:29. > :14:31.But on Tuesday police had to intervene after a riot broke out at

:14:32. > :14:32.the home. The nephew of the North Korean ruler

:14:33. > :14:36.has spoken out for the first time since his father's assassination

:14:37. > :14:38.in Malaysia last month, saying that he is safe

:14:39. > :14:43.in an undisclosed country. My father was killed to days ago and

:14:44. > :14:49.I'm with my mother and sister. Kim Han Sol's father is the half

:14:50. > :14:52.brother of Kim Jong Un. The 21 year old's thought to be

:14:53. > :14:55.in danger if his uncle wishes to target any possible rivals

:14:56. > :14:58.to the North Korean leadership. Still in the region,

:14:59. > :15:01.China is warning of a looming crisis The Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi

:15:02. > :15:06.asked reporters in Beijing if the two countries really

:15:07. > :15:09.are ready for a "head-on collision". Mr Wang is proposing Pyongyang

:15:10. > :15:12.suspend testing of missile and nuclear technology and,

:15:13. > :15:15.in return, the US and South Korea should stop their annual

:15:16. > :15:18.joint military drills - which consistently

:15:19. > :15:25.infuriate the North. There've been violent clashes

:15:26. > :15:27.between police and protesting Riot police fired tear

:15:28. > :15:37.gas at demonstrators, Some of the farmers used wooden

:15:38. > :15:44.sticks and shepherd's crooks to push the authorities back and to smash

:15:45. > :15:55.police vans. The CIA's job is to steal

:15:56. > :15:58.other people's secrets. But the agency seems to find it very

:15:59. > :16:02.difficult to keep its own. Yesterday Wikileaks published over

:16:03. > :16:06.8000 documents which laid bare how the agency is hacking smartphones

:16:07. > :16:10.and digital televisions. And none too surprisingly -

:16:11. > :16:13.a number of the big tech firms whose products have allegedly been

:16:14. > :16:15.compromised by the CIA Apple said it is already addressing

:16:16. > :16:21.some of the vulnerabilities. The knock on effect of course

:16:22. > :16:24.is that hacking will presumably We are joined by Aki Peritz,

:16:25. > :16:44.a former CIA analyst. How damaging is this latest leak? I

:16:45. > :16:48.think it is damaging, it is something that you have the

:16:49. > :16:53.technology and techniques out there but there is also someone providing

:16:54. > :16:58.this information to WikiLeaks. The last of the documents came out of

:16:59. > :17:02.every last year and currently it is an investigation going on at the CIA

:17:03. > :17:06.and also run by the FBI to see if there is a mole in the system

:17:07. > :17:11.providing this information to these outside organisations. Supposing I

:17:12. > :17:15.am one of the American adversaries and this leak comes out, how much

:17:16. > :17:19.intelligence does it give me as I try to prepare my own cyber warfare

:17:20. > :17:24.techniques, does it help me keep ahead of the game? It might, some of

:17:25. > :17:29.what WikiLeaks provided was the fact that if this is all true, the CIA

:17:30. > :17:33.can actually get into certain phones. We had known that people can

:17:34. > :17:38.get into phones and access them now for a while so this lays out some of

:17:39. > :17:43.the techniques they used to do that. But if you have any smartphone the

:17:44. > :17:51.fact that you're collecting data on that device means that you are

:17:52. > :17:53.vulnerable. Remember the CIA on looks at intelligence organisations,

:17:54. > :17:58.so American citizens should not be concerned about this. But foreign

:17:59. > :18:01.adversaries should be concerned. Sean Spicer at the White House is

:18:02. > :18:07.concerned and he has been speaking about WikiLeaks and talking about

:18:08. > :18:12.how damaging it was for the US. The idea that we have these ongoing

:18:13. > :18:16.disclosures of classified information should be something that

:18:17. > :18:18.everyone is outraged that in this country. This is the kind of

:18:19. > :18:24.disclosure that undermines our country, our security and

:18:25. > :18:26.well-being. Sean Spicer speaking there and we should abolish

:18:27. > :18:31.remembered the president himself during the course of the election

:18:32. > :18:34.campaign talked about how much she liked WikiLeaks. But they were

:18:35. > :18:40.tremendous. This is in the eye of the beholder, the American public,

:18:41. > :18:45.if they like what they are leaking, and the like WikiLeaks and if not,

:18:46. > :18:50.they do not. The CIA is trying to protect the American people and

:18:51. > :18:53.American government and our state from foreign adversaries. A lot of

:18:54. > :19:00.them use cell technologies. And we would want intelligence agencies to

:19:01. > :19:04.go and try to grab that information for the United States. It is about

:19:05. > :19:12.securing this country which is more important than Cisco or Apple.

:19:13. > :19:17.Within these documents they talk about a group within the CIA who

:19:18. > :19:19.still the malware, the fingerprints of you will but have been gleaned

:19:20. > :19:23.from foreign hackers. So the theory is the CIA could make a hack look

:19:24. > :19:28.like it had come from another direction. You can see how this will

:19:29. > :19:34.start playing politically because Fox News last night said well maybe

:19:35. > :19:39.it was not the Russians that hacked the Democratic servers, maybe it was

:19:40. > :19:42.the CIA using Russian fingerprints. That is interesting. It is something

:19:43. > :19:49.that could be used for disinformation put out by WikiLeaks

:19:50. > :19:55.and then immediately picked out by Russian organisations and very

:19:56. > :19:59.conservative outlets here in the US. Saying the DNC PAC was not done by

:20:00. > :20:03.the Russians but by the CIA. So it is quite interesting that this thing

:20:04. > :20:11.is put out and is immediately picked up by this ecosystem and pushed out

:20:12. > :20:15.for a very specific narrative. I find that fascinating spot but very

:20:16. > :20:18.seriously, it then begs the question about political meaning of WikiLeaks

:20:19. > :20:22.because we know there was a lot of pressure on Donald Trump at the

:20:23. > :20:26.moment. There are questions about Russian funding behind WikiLeaks. If

:20:27. > :20:30.they're able to start selling the story then you have to question

:20:31. > :20:35.their political leanings. Of course. And remember WikiLeaks is the

:20:36. > :20:38.organisation along with a number of others that the intelligence

:20:39. > :20:44.community here in the US identified as a cutout or go-between between

:20:45. > :20:47.Russian intelligence service putting out negative and derogatory

:20:48. > :20:51.information on Hillary Clinton and her campaign and some of her

:20:52. > :20:58.colleagues. And so I think it is pretty obvious that WikiLeaks is in

:20:59. > :21:03.the assisting business of Moscow and their fellow helpers. The fact that

:21:04. > :21:07.we have, that WikiLeaks has this information that predates much of

:21:08. > :21:12.the election is rather striking because it suggests there's someone

:21:13. > :21:15.in the CIA ecosystem who might be providing this to this organisation.

:21:16. > :21:21.That is something the FBI really needs to follow what one. Thank you

:21:22. > :21:24.very much. And the Russian thing refuses to go away. The house

:21:25. > :21:28.intelligence committee saying it will look at the investigation and

:21:29. > :21:32.have public hearings on the 20th. The Republican chair of that

:21:33. > :21:36.committee, David Nunes, was asked about wiretap allegations that

:21:37. > :21:37.Donald Trump made against Barack Obama at the weekend. This was his

:21:38. > :21:38.response. The president is a neophyte

:21:39. > :21:41.to politics, he's been doing this a little over a year and I think

:21:42. > :21:45.a lot of the things that he says, you guys sometimes take literally,

:21:46. > :21:48.sometimes he doesn't have 27 lawyers and staff looking at what he does,

:21:49. > :21:54.which is I think at times refreshing and at times can also lead us

:21:55. > :21:57.to have to be sitting at a press conference like this answering

:21:58. > :22:17.questions that you guys are asking. It is remarkable. It is like we're

:22:18. > :22:23.in two different fact universes. You should not take literally what the

:22:24. > :22:27.president says, seriously? Maybe a staff should just take his Twitter

:22:28. > :22:35.machine away from him. Let's move on. Tens of thousands of Indians

:22:36. > :22:38.work in the US on short-term visas but the president has warned he is

:22:39. > :22:42.considering restricting them. Justin Rowlatt has been finding out what

:22:43. > :22:47.the software industry makes of that proposal in India.

:22:48. > :22:49.She graduated from a top US university.

:22:50. > :22:52.She's worked as a software engineer for Microsoft and Facebook.

:22:53. > :22:54.But Ridi Mattel isn't sure she would be welcome

:22:55. > :22:59.I cannot believe engineers like me are being pushed

:23:00. > :23:10.President Trump has made no bones about his intentions.

:23:11. > :23:34.And the fear is that will affect India's dream

:23:35. > :23:38.There has been talk of cutting back the 150,000 temporary work visas

:23:39. > :23:39.the US issues to professionals like computer

:23:40. > :23:46.India is overwhelmingly the biggest beneficiary of those visas,

:23:47. > :23:49.it gets 70% of the total, a key reason why the Indian

:23:50. > :23:57.IT sector is now worth $150 billion a year.

:23:58. > :24:18.That is almost 10% of India's entire GDP.

:24:19. > :24:26.Her Bangalore -based online finance business is thriving.

:24:27. > :24:32.She thinks fewer US visas will be good for her and good for India.

:24:33. > :24:35.Now I could not be happier, we are developing.

:24:36. > :24:40.We are going to grow exponentially over the next decade.

:24:41. > :24:43.It is just a confluence of macro factors and trends

:24:44. > :24:45.which is going to be wonderful, for sure.

:24:46. > :24:58.The Indian government's small business and tech champion

:24:59. > :25:00.acknowledges there will be costs in India if visas are restricted

:25:01. > :25:02.but also believes India's IT sector is strong enough

:25:03. > :25:06.India is growing at 7.6% per annum, it is an oasis

:25:07. > :25:12.of growth in the midst of a barren economic landscape.

:25:13. > :25:14.But when these people come here, India will probably start

:25:15. > :25:20.So no issue, we welcome people, but the loser will be

:25:21. > :25:30.India increasingly offers all the amenities of

:25:31. > :25:39.That makes it more likely that a visa clamp-down will backfire.

:25:40. > :25:42.Indian IT professionals who return are more likely to stay,

:25:43. > :25:44.and to develop businesses that will compete with US companies.

:25:45. > :26:03.You're watching 100 Days from BBC News.

:26:04. > :26:06.Stay with us for more including my thoughts on International Women's

:26:07. > :26:17.Day. Springlike weather will be found

:26:18. > :26:22.more widely across the UK tomorrow. Today was Northern Ireland and North

:26:23. > :26:27.East England that enjoyed the sunshine. But the UK was topped and

:26:28. > :26:31.tailed by cloud and still will be overnight. Cloud across southern

:26:32. > :26:37.England, south Wales producing some patchy rain and drizzle and some

:26:38. > :26:43.hill fog. Quite windy with showers across Scotland, some snow to the

:26:44. > :26:53.top of the hills. Not much frost around. Moving on Thursday morning,

:26:54. > :26:58.a brighter day in South Wales and southern England but still for the

:26:59. > :27:03.far south-west, parts of Cornwall going to get some further outbreaks

:27:04. > :27:07.of rain. A bit of a misty start across South Wales, the south of

:27:08. > :27:14.England but elsewhere some decent sunny weather to begin the day. And

:27:15. > :27:17.across Scotland still some showers around but these begin to fade and

:27:18. > :27:24.into the afternoon we just have a scattering of showers left. Still

:27:25. > :27:30.some outbreaks of rain at times into Cornwall, some more clout into

:27:31. > :27:33.southern coastal counties of England and South Wales but elsewhere some

:27:34. > :27:37.lovely sunshine coming through. Temperature is widely in double

:27:38. > :27:43.figures and feeling pleasant. Up to 16 degrees in some places. But the

:27:44. > :27:47.eastern of the UK going through Thursday night, they could be some

:27:48. > :27:51.frost around. Mild night in the West with cloud and outbreaks of rain.

:27:52. > :27:56.What a contrast as Friday begins. It will be the cloud and rain winning

:27:57. > :27:59.out on Friday pushing north. On Friday things look very different

:28:00. > :28:04.with plenty of cloud around but feeling similar because it will

:28:05. > :28:07.still be mild. It is more unsettled at the weekend, we bring these

:28:08. > :28:13.weather fronts across the UK but there are gaps in between. And if

:28:14. > :28:16.you are in these gaps it will be brighter for a time. The weekend

:28:17. > :28:22.starts mild but we change wind direction, and what that does is to

:28:23. > :28:28.bring temperatures down a couple of degrees by Sunday, not much it has

:28:29. > :28:30.to be said. So occasional sunshine, occasional rain and just feeling a

:28:31. > :30:09.little bit cooler by Sunday. As the world prepares for Brexit,

:30:10. > :30:19.the British Government upgrades Coming up: the President declares

:30:20. > :30:24.his tremendous respect for women, and the First Lady hosts a lunch

:30:25. > :30:27.at the White House for How equal, though,

:30:28. > :30:43.are women in the US? One of the biggest applause lines

:30:44. > :30:46.at Donald Trump's election rallies was his promise to repeal

:30:47. > :30:50.and replace Obamacare on day one. We are now Day 49 and President

:30:51. > :30:57.Trump has run into the complicated reality of delivering

:30:58. > :30:59.on that promise. The White House is mounting a full

:31:00. > :31:02.court press to try to get the new Republican plan passed,

:31:03. > :31:05.and there is the real prospect A short time ago the,

:31:06. > :31:08.Republican Speaker, Paul Ryan, stepped up to defend the bill

:31:09. > :31:11.at a news conference. We are working hand in glove

:31:12. > :31:13.with President Trump, Vice-President This is all hands on deck,

:31:14. > :31:18.because you know what, we all ran on repealing

:31:19. > :31:20.and replacing Obamacare. We know that if we just repealed it,

:31:21. > :31:27.the system collapses. This is why we have

:31:28. > :31:29.to pass it with something Look, I would just say this:

:31:30. > :31:34.Look at what this does. With me now is the Republican

:31:35. > :31:49.strategist Ron Christie, Nick Bryant is with me. That is not

:31:50. > :31:55.how conservatives feel about it? Many within his own caucus, the

:31:56. > :31:58.Republican party, especially on the Outside on Capitol Hill, don't think

:31:59. > :32:04.it is conservative, exciting or monumental. They wanted to go

:32:05. > :32:11.further and they are calling this Obamacare Light and Obamacare 2.0.

:32:12. > :32:18.In the Senate, they have a different problem. It is moderate Republicans

:32:19. > :32:22.who oppose this. They think it goes too far on the health coverage that

:32:23. > :32:26.is given to poor people, and they are worried that it will remove some

:32:27. > :32:30.of the 20 million people that got health care under Obamacare. So you

:32:31. > :32:34.have Republicans thinking it is too conservative, others thinking it is

:32:35. > :32:38.too liberal - will the White House get this through and does it want to

:32:39. > :32:42.get it through? There are two lines of thought at the moment. This is a

:32:43. > :32:48.negotiating position, they put it out and it is subject to

:32:49. > :32:53.negotiation, and they will add some Conservative sweeteners to get the

:32:54. > :33:00.freedom caucus, as it's called, the 30% of lawmakers who are opposed to

:33:01. > :33:03.this. But there are others who think this is what President Trump wants

:33:04. > :33:09.to see past, so live with it. You have all were already -- you have

:33:10. > :33:14.already seen President Trump using his Twitter feed. There was a

:33:15. > :33:20.Kentucky senator who has been a critic on twitter. If President

:33:21. > :33:28.Trump will use Twitter to attack people who oppose this law, he will

:33:29. > :33:31.be spending a lot of time on it. I am wondering about this. You can

:33:32. > :33:39.tell me if I'm wrong, but is it that there has been a fundamental shift?

:33:40. > :33:41.Obama shifted the paradigms. Is it now generally accepted in the United

:33:42. > :33:48.fundamental right, and entitlement, fundamental right, and entitlement,

:33:49. > :33:49.and is that the problem is? It is hard to take and entitlement away

:33:50. > :33:54.when you have given it in the first when you have given it in the first

:33:55. > :33:57.place, and that is a huge problem. There are 20 million uninsured

:33:58. > :34:01.people who got coverage under Obamacare. Who were they? A lot of

:34:02. > :34:05.working-class people who voted for Trump. They were annoyed with the

:34:06. > :34:10.spiralling premiums, these increases in their monthly health bills, but

:34:11. > :34:12.the modelling that has been done on these new proposals suggests that

:34:13. > :34:15.they'll be hit with even bigger rises under this new proposal, so it

:34:16. > :34:28.is politically hazardous for the Trump

:34:29. > :34:31.administration. Nick, thank you very much. It is

:34:32. > :34:33.worth saying that this is the big deal for President Trump in his

:34:34. > :34:36.first year in office. He really wants to get something done on this

:34:37. > :34:38.this year. And his first step into legislation - the real star.

:34:39. > :34:43.The White House is calling round all the local radio stations.

:34:44. > :34:47.Republicans are calling in to get Republicans are calling in to get

:34:48. > :34:50.people on board, get constituents, can you don't like this, on board as

:34:51. > :34:55.well. The First Lady, Melania Trump,

:34:56. > :34:58.has just hosted a lunch to mark International Women's Day

:34:59. > :35:00.at the White House. Her husband also greeted

:35:01. > :35:02.the day with a tweet declaring his tremendous respect

:35:03. > :35:04.for women, and another honouring Which might raise an eyebrow or two

:35:05. > :35:11.among those of us who watched that The President aside,

:35:12. > :35:15.it is pretty clear American women haven't made the progress

:35:16. > :35:23.they might have anticipated. Hillary Clinton recently declared

:35:24. > :35:25.that the future is female, but as she knows better

:35:26. > :35:27.than anyone, the present political landscape

:35:28. > :35:28.is a For the time being, it's

:35:29. > :35:32.a man's world when it comes to being boss,

:35:33. > :35:46.and not just in the US. Over 130 countries have yet

:35:47. > :35:49.to elect or appoint a woman The Congressional picture is only

:35:50. > :35:52.slightly more encouraging. Women have helped national office

:35:53. > :35:55.here for over a century since Jeannette Rankin was elected

:35:56. > :35:57.by the state of Montana in 1916. Today, 21 women are in

:35:58. > :36:00.the Senate, and 83 are It's not great, but it's better

:36:01. > :36:04.than the paltry 11 women who were And that's the story

:36:05. > :36:07.of women's progress. We have made advances,

:36:08. > :36:10.just not as big as we'd have liked Take the world of business -

:36:11. > :36:18.29 companies in the S 500 now have female

:36:19. > :36:20.chief executives. That's a third more than eight years

:36:21. > :36:23.ago, and it is better than Europe, but it's still only

:36:24. > :36:27.a pitiful 5.8% of the total. American businesses

:36:28. > :36:37.are lagging many other countries, places you might not

:36:38. > :36:39.expect, like Russia, Indonesia, Latvia and the Philippines,

:36:40. > :36:41.where women hold over 40%

:36:42. > :36:42.of senior level positions. The statistics might well depress

:36:43. > :36:45.someone like Anna Bissell. She was America's first

:36:46. > :36:47.CEO, and she blazed a trail taking charge

:36:48. > :36:50.of her family's carpet sweeper

:36:51. > :36:51.company way back in 1889. I suspect Anna would have thought

:36:52. > :36:57.the glass ceiling would not just have been cracked

:36:58. > :37:00.but completely smashed by now. We're not there yet,

:37:01. > :37:02.and in her memory, we will all keep working

:37:03. > :37:07.to make it happen soon. Well, gender equality is firmly

:37:08. > :37:11.on the mind of Christine Lagarde. Here's more of our interview

:37:12. > :37:13.with the International Wouldn't it be nice

:37:14. > :37:16.if we got to the stage International Women's Day any more

:37:17. > :37:29.than we might need an It would be terrific, but I don't

:37:30. > :37:33.think that day is about to You think we are still a way

:37:34. > :37:37.off's I think we are still a way off, and I think

:37:38. > :37:40.that we will probably be for ever a way off,

:37:41. > :37:43.because there is something that is sort of endemic, and part of our

:37:44. > :37:46.cultural heritage about being either discriminated against, excluded,

:37:47. > :37:47.downgraded, undermined, and I think having an international

:37:48. > :37:49.day to actually challenge that is something

:37:50. > :37:51.that we must keep, because these discriminations, these

:37:52. > :37:53.practices of undermining, Are these practices endemic

:37:54. > :38:01.in women and how they see themselves, or are they endemic

:38:02. > :38:04.in men and how men see women? I think they tend

:38:05. > :38:06.to be endemic in both We tend to internalise

:38:07. > :38:09.a lot, too much, those characteristics, and I believe that

:38:10. > :38:26.men are afraid of women having too A lot of men might say, why should I

:38:27. > :38:31.share my jobs with women? If there are more jobs and growth in general,

:38:32. > :38:38.if there is better development, more education, everybody will benefit,

:38:39. > :38:43.not just women. And for our findings are clear about is that bringing

:38:44. > :38:48.women to the table will actually generate more growth, will create

:38:49. > :38:53.more jobs, will improve the development of countries that need

:38:54. > :39:00.it, and at the micro level, it will actually bring more to the bottom

:39:01. > :39:03.line in companies, so it is just an economic no-brainer, as many have

:39:04. > :39:08.said before, but we need to repeat it and repeat it and rehash it all

:39:09. > :39:14.the time so that people understand that it benefits all, not just

:39:15. > :39:18.women. Your report for International Women's Day talks about women's

:39:19. > :39:21.talent being underappreciated and underused - is it frustrating that

:39:22. > :39:27.we are still in this position? I think it is worse than that. It is

:39:28. > :39:33.underappreciated, underused and at the same time, exploited. If you

:39:34. > :39:40.look at low-income countries, who goes out and walks miles for water?

:39:41. > :39:48.Girls. Who misses school was my girls. However frustrated we are, we

:39:49. > :39:53.have to just keep at it. The leader of the biggest economy in the world

:39:54. > :39:59.has famously been abusive towards women. How much does that tone from

:40:00. > :40:02.the top of the US economy change the equation for women? I think what is

:40:03. > :40:09.important now is not to look at what happened in the past but to hold all

:40:10. > :40:17.leaders accountable. I have heard people say, I am not a -- I am a

:40:18. > :40:21.feminist and not demonstrate that they respect women. I am keen to see

:40:22. > :40:26.what is being done, what is being implemented, what measures will be

:40:27. > :40:33.delivered, and if President Trump puts in place at the federal level

:40:34. > :40:40.parental leave that will allow American women to continue their job

:40:41. > :40:45.without worrying about maternity, I will say bravo. He has talked about

:40:46. > :40:49.doing exactly that in his address to Congress. As I said, talking is one

:40:50. > :40:53.thing. Walking the talk is going to be decisive.

:40:54. > :40:58.Really interesting to hear from Christine Lagarde.

:40:59. > :41:00.China has given President Trump the chance to expand his brand,

:41:01. > :41:02.after approving dozens of applications to register

:41:03. > :41:14.What do you know about that? Many requests were made during the

:41:15. > :41:18.election campaign. Donald Trump already owns about 70

:41:19. > :41:29.trademarks in China. The question this raises, and which

:41:30. > :41:32.hasn't been fully addressed and unravelled in the United States, is

:41:33. > :41:34.the tricky question of conflict-of-interest? That this

:41:35. > :41:38.president have a conflict of interest?

:41:39. > :41:43.which was in the headlines. I should which was in the headlines. I should

:41:44. > :41:51.bring some clarification. I knew you would bring that up! A grabbed my

:41:52. > :41:56.attention that the president wanted to brand escorts in China. It is

:41:57. > :42:01.about protecting your trademark, which is why it is there. If you see

:42:02. > :42:12.the headlines tomorrow, you will know why. Take a look at this. This

:42:13. > :42:20.is a man who was stopped by the police. It is pictures from the

:42:21. > :42:24.dashboard camera of a patrol camera in Arkansas. He was stopped for a

:42:25. > :42:29.faulty tail light, and this is what followed. He juggled to prove that

:42:30. > :42:32.he wasn't drunk. I don't actually know what happened, whether he was

:42:33. > :42:36.allowed to get back in the car and go one. They used to make you walk

:42:37. > :42:41.the white line, didn't they? That is another way to go about it!

:42:42. > :42:48.Certainly more entertaining for the officers. And if you can get all the

:42:49. > :42:55.balls in the air, you would get let off. Juggling for you. That is 100

:42:56. > :42:58.Days. Share your thoughts with us using the hashtag.

:42:59. > :43:02.For now - from Katty Kay in Washington, and me

:43:03. > :43:05.Christian Fraser in London - goodbye.