:00:00. > :00:08.and nothing -- but nothing on the scale of what we're in the USA. More
:00:09. > :01:30.details online. -- what we're getting in the USA.
:01:31. > :01:32.Hello and welcome to One Hundred Days.
:01:33. > :01:34.The Turkish President blames the Dutch
:01:35. > :01:37.for one of the worst massacres in modern European history.
:01:38. > :01:40.As the row with the Netherlands intensifies, after Turkish ministers
:01:41. > :01:43.were banned from political rallies there,
:01:44. > :01:47.President Erdogan makes this inflammatory claim.
:01:48. > :01:49.We know the Netherlands and the Dutch people
:01:50. > :01:55.We know how rotten their character is from their massacre
:01:56. > :02:04.The Prime Minister of the Netherlands says the comments
:02:05. > :02:09.The row looks set to overshadow tomorrow's Dutch election.
:02:10. > :02:12.The president of Turkey is behaving increasingly more hysterical
:02:13. > :02:16.hour by hour and I want him to tone down and to calm down.
:02:17. > :02:19.In Washington the Republican plan to replace Obamacare would increase
:02:20. > :02:23.the number of Americans without health cover by 24 million
:02:24. > :02:30.The north-eastern US states of New York, New Jersey,
:02:31. > :02:32.Pennsylvania and Virginia have declared states of emergency
:02:33. > :02:36.as a huge winter storm sweeps in, bringing heavy snow.
:02:37. > :02:40.And reliving every parent's nightmare -
:02:41. > :02:42.Professor Robert Kelly tells us what life's
:02:43. > :02:48.been like since his interview, and his family, went viral.
:02:49. > :02:55.It's been pretty unreal. We didn't expect any attention like this at
:02:56. > :03:02.all. We certainly never had anything like this in our life. That
:03:03. > :03:08.Hello I am Katty Kay in Washington, Christian Fraser is in London.
:03:09. > :03:11.Next month Turkey will hold a referendum on changes
:03:12. > :03:15.to its constitution that would grant Recep Tayyip Erdogan
:03:16. > :03:19.If he wins the vote, the position of Prime Minister
:03:20. > :03:22.will be abolished in favour of a new "executive presidency" -
:03:23. > :03:25.Polls suggest Turks are evenly divided on the issue.
:03:26. > :03:28.To win, Mr Erdogan might need the support of the millions of Turks
:03:29. > :03:31.who live in countries across Europe and can vote in the referendum.
:03:32. > :03:33.On Sunday the Dutch government, stopped Turkish ministers
:03:34. > :03:38.German states have taken similar action.
:03:39. > :03:42.In response Mr Erdogan labelled the Dutch - "Nazis" -
:03:43. > :03:44.and blocked the return of the Dutch Ambassador.
:03:45. > :03:52.Today Mr Erdogan invoked the Srebrenica massacre when,
:03:53. > :03:55.in 1995, 110 Dutch peacekeepers failed to stop the killing
:03:56. > :04:05.TRANSLATION: My dear friends,...
:04:06. > :04:09.We know the Netherlands and the Dutch people
:04:10. > :04:17.We know how rotten their character is from their massacre
:04:18. > :04:29.In the past few hours our colleague Ros Atkins got this response
:04:30. > :04:34.from the Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte.
:04:35. > :04:37.I have to say that what he said today about Srebrenica is
:04:38. > :04:39.completely unacceptable and a rewriting of history.
:04:40. > :04:42.The president of Turkey is behaving increasingly more hysterical
:04:43. > :04:50.hour by hour and I want him to tone down and to calm down.
:04:51. > :05:02.this is not helping at all and it is an acceptable. He said that people
:05:03. > :05:09.in the Netherlands should vote in the interest of Turkey. People in
:05:10. > :05:13.the Netherlands should vote in the interest of the Netherlands. The
:05:14. > :05:31.Netherlands is a very proud people and country too. What is the
:05:32. > :05:35.President playing at? It's an extraordinary escalation of
:05:36. > :05:40.inflammatory rhetoric which is designed for domestic purposes
:05:41. > :05:46.exclusively to rally his Nationalist voter base who love this sort of
:05:47. > :05:49.thing. Their strongman president standing up to Europe and presenting
:05:50. > :05:56.Turkey as a victim of oppression from Europe. That the Europeans is
:05:57. > :06:01.giving Turkey lessons on freedom of speech when actually they are
:06:02. > :06:07.abusing human rights and dispersing Turkish protesters in a very violent
:06:08. > :06:11.way. It is really something that is designed for this half of the
:06:12. > :06:19.country that supports President Erdogan. This pro-government
:06:20. > :06:26.newspaper today used a play on words, not very subtly, to talk
:06:27. > :06:31.about how Mark Rutte is a dog. That is very much taking the message
:06:32. > :06:36.literally. Another pro-government paper talking about how a simple
:06:37. > :06:41.apology is not enough from the Netherlands. Hammering home this
:06:42. > :06:48.idea that Turkey has the moral high ground here. This secular newspaper
:06:49. > :06:54.says thanks to Germany and Holland's actions, the yes campaign in the
:06:55. > :06:59.referendum held in foreign half weeks' time about boosting President
:07:00. > :07:04.Erdogan's powers will get two points more because people are really
:07:05. > :07:08.rallying behind his side on this issue. In the much more pro-European
:07:09. > :07:13.side of the country, they are recalling in horror at the way
:07:14. > :07:24.Turkey is calling out Nato alleys in this way. -- Nato allies. Let's just
:07:25. > :07:28.move it away from the row for a second and focus on this referendum.
:07:29. > :07:37.How much power is it going to vest in President Erdogan if he wins?
:07:38. > :07:43.Nothing short of the biggest political shake-up since Turkey has
:07:44. > :07:50.had since the foundation of the independent nation in 1923. It would
:07:51. > :07:56.change from a prime ministerial to a presidential republic. He would have
:07:57. > :08:00.vastly enhanced powers. He would be head of the executive as well as
:08:01. > :08:06.head of state. He would be able to elect laws by decree, point judges,
:08:07. > :08:12.prepare the budget and it would give him much bigger powers. He says that
:08:13. > :08:15.Parliament would have greater oversight of the President and would
:08:16. > :08:21.be able to answer more to the parliament but this is very much the
:08:22. > :08:24.climax of his career. He is going guns blazing for this referendum and
:08:25. > :08:27.this whole campaign with Europe is designed to that effect. Thanks very
:08:28. > :08:49.much. What is this row doing for Mark
:08:50. > :08:56.Rutte's chances? According to polls this afternoon, it seems to be doing
:08:57. > :09:04.him good. He is performing better in the polls today than he has done for
:09:05. > :09:10.months. Some people in the Netherlands had suggested that it
:09:11. > :09:15.would be in his interest to let the row escalates but that argument has
:09:16. > :09:23.evaporated today. People today have been so offended and so by what
:09:24. > :09:27.President Erdogan has said, he spoke about state terror, he made
:09:28. > :09:34.reference to the Srebrenica massacre, he called this country a
:09:35. > :09:46.banana republic. He has succeeded in unifying all politicians behind Mark
:09:47. > :09:58.-- Mark Rutte and saying he is right to reply in the way that he did.
:09:59. > :10:02.It matters because Turkey is so 'crucially' important
:10:03. > :10:05.Geographically it is, of course, one of the largest landmasses
:10:06. > :10:07.separating Europe and the Middle East.
:10:08. > :10:09.And since 2011 Turkey has been heavily involved in the conflict
:10:10. > :10:14.They have been pushing back IS from their southern border.
:10:15. > :10:16.Last month Syrian rebels - backed by Turkey - took back
:10:17. > :10:18.the northern Syrian town of al-Bab from IS.
:10:19. > :10:21.There are complicating factors - the Turkish forces have also been
:10:22. > :10:23.attacking Kurdish fighters who are armed and supported
:10:24. > :10:26.And recently they have cooperated with the Russia military,
:10:27. > :10:31.On top of all that Turkey is a hugely important partner
:10:32. > :10:33.in helping Europe deal with the migrant crisis.
:10:34. > :10:35.They have taken in just under three million people who have
:10:36. > :10:37.escaped the fighting in Syria, many of them trying
:10:38. > :10:44.The deal the EU struck with Turkey last year led to a sharp fall
:10:45. > :10:47.in the numbers making that perilous journey by sea to Greece.
:10:48. > :10:50.In return for that better policing, Turkey received a big cash hand
:10:51. > :10:52.out and some political concessions as well.
:10:53. > :10:54.With me now is the former US ambassador to Turkey
:10:55. > :11:02.When you listen to what President Erdogan has been saying, is he
:11:03. > :11:09.acting increasingly irrational, is it politics, what is going on? It
:11:10. > :11:19.has gone very bad, very fast. This is the Erdogan I know from 2008-10.
:11:20. > :11:23.He exploits situations to advance his political agenda. This is
:11:24. > :11:28.working on the ground in what will be a tight referendum for him. The
:11:29. > :11:34.Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte is happy about this because his numbers
:11:35. > :11:38.are going up at the expense of Geert Wilders who Erdogan doesn't want to
:11:39. > :11:47.see win. Both sides are actually benefiting from this. What does it
:11:48. > :11:51.do to Turkey's chances of one day joining the European Union? People
:11:52. > :11:58.are not going to forget the things he has said to Germany and Holland
:11:59. > :12:02.over the last couple of days? It is going to further diminish what most
:12:03. > :12:09.people think is a slim chance that Turkey would become part of the
:12:10. > :12:15.European Union? Is it basically giving up on the ambition to join
:12:16. > :12:22.the European Union? Turkey has a greatly beneficial customs union, 1
:12:23. > :12:25.million Dutch tourists and $22 billion investment alone that they
:12:26. > :12:30.don't want to give up. Turkey doesn't want to give up the idea
:12:31. > :12:35.that it is a European Union so it will maintain the charade of wanting
:12:36. > :12:42.membership into the future. We have spoken a lot about the situation of
:12:43. > :12:46.the State Department and the fact that Rex Tillerson doesn't have a
:12:47. > :12:51.deputy of the staff to get to grips with the problems he needs to get to
:12:52. > :12:57.grips with. Is this that in normal times the Americans would be able to
:12:58. > :13:02.do something about? Would they be able to if Rex Tillerson had staff
:13:03. > :13:07.in place? Where did the United States wants to intervene in this,
:13:08. > :13:12.given the fact that we are on the ground in a very confused situation
:13:13. > :13:19.in northern Syria, I don't think so. I think the US will step out of it.
:13:20. > :13:23.Rex Tillerson and his acting deputy Tom Shannon are more than capable of
:13:24. > :13:29.acting effectively on something like this with or without the agreed
:13:30. > :13:36.pathetic situation of staffing in the State Department. So I suppose
:13:37. > :13:41.it is less of a concern, this row that might blow over, more of
:13:42. > :13:44.concern is where President Erdogan is taking the country and how
:13:45. > :13:53.unstable it might become in the future. We are worried about that.
:13:54. > :13:59.Roughly half the population want to see him sees these powers. This is
:14:00. > :14:04.not democratic. I thought, French fifth Republic and the American
:14:05. > :14:11.Constitution, we have had some experience of this, however, in the
:14:12. > :14:16.hands of someone who may not respect democracy as much as we might hear
:14:17. > :14:18.in America, that can be very problematic and people in Washington
:14:19. > :14:26.are very worried about where President Erdogan is taking the
:14:27. > :14:29.country, for sure. We are taking some time looking at populist
:14:30. > :14:39.leaders and their characters and policies. Are you suggesting that
:14:40. > :14:45.people are looking at President Trump and saying he is copying the
:14:46. > :14:53.style of people President Erdogan. People who have spoken to him say he
:14:54. > :14:58.has the ability to act rationally but some of those with nationalist
:14:59. > :15:03.ideals and played to a populist audience who can beat thin-skinned
:15:04. > :15:07.and it back at critics in a way that it seems President Erdogan is doing
:15:08. > :15:11.in language that might be outrageous but plays to their base. Is that a
:15:12. > :15:17.characteristic of populist leaders in this day and age? I wonder. We
:15:18. > :15:20.will move on and talk about health care.
:15:21. > :15:23.We've suggested before on this programme that the Trump Presidency
:15:24. > :15:25.represents a test for populist movements - today that test hit
:15:26. > :15:28.a hurdle, in the form of hard data on health care reform.
:15:29. > :15:32.Governing, it seems, is a lot harder than campaigning.
:15:33. > :15:37.Mr Trump's promise to repeal and replace Obamacare has bumped up
:15:38. > :15:40.against the cold reality of a study from the non partisan
:15:41. > :15:42.Congressional Budget Office showing the Republican's health plan
:15:43. > :15:48.The report estimates 14 million people will become uninsured by next
:15:49. > :15:56.Rising to 24 million people over the coming decade.
:15:57. > :16:00.Though that will create savings
:16:01. > :16:04.of 337 billion dollars over ten years.
:16:05. > :16:07.Rajini Vaidyanathan has been taking a closer look at how
:16:08. > :16:24.This woman has made it on her own in the way of work. She and her husband
:16:25. > :16:28.own a small jewellery business. Being self-employed, they don't have
:16:29. > :16:33.a boss to cover health care insurance. They struggle to pay
:16:34. > :16:38.medical bills until President Obama introduced his health care law. When
:16:39. > :16:42.the affordable health care act was passed, we were able to get a
:16:43. > :16:48.reasonable insurance policy that covered a lot more. The deductible
:16:49. > :16:54.went from a 10,000 family deductible down to 3000. Now they are concerned
:16:55. > :16:59.that their bills will rise as President Trump repeals Obama care.
:17:00. > :17:06.The Republican replacement would cut up from subsidies and instead offer
:17:07. > :17:12.a year end tax credit. I don't think we could pay upfront costs per month
:17:13. > :17:20.that we are able to cover now. We've had good coverage of it now. We just
:17:21. > :17:27.have to stay healthy and educated about the programme. Others are glad
:17:28. > :17:34.to see the back of the Obama care plan. I didn't want to have to pay
:17:35. > :17:41.for insurance and be fined if I'd went. Frank voted for Donald Trump
:17:42. > :17:52.and backed his health care plan even though he may lose out. They may
:17:53. > :17:55.drop people of the insurance plan because they still have got health
:17:56. > :18:01.care if they go into the emergency room. This comes down to cost, how
:18:02. > :18:06.watch people pay for themselves and how much they bear the cost for
:18:07. > :18:10.others. The government plan could cut the federal deficit by hundreds
:18:11. > :18:19.of billions but some doctors are unclear how it will affect patients?
:18:20. > :18:24.I think it may change the winners and losers but it is not going to
:18:25. > :18:29.eliminate losers, it is going to change the problems people encounter
:18:30. > :18:34.but not address the problems. That has been the dilemma in American
:18:35. > :18:45.health care for decades. The system divides patients as much as it does
:18:46. > :18:46.doctors. You are fine. Your best protection against this health care
:18:47. > :18:49.system is not to get sick. Our North America Editor
:18:50. > :19:00.Jon Sopel is here. 50 or so days into the Tron
:19:01. > :19:09.presidency and his pace has stuck with him firmly. Do you think these
:19:10. > :19:12.numbers mark the beginning of this base thinking, hang on the second,
:19:13. > :19:18.you promised to look after the common man and you are giving the
:19:19. > :19:23.rich a big tax cut? It could be the issue that separates Donald Trump
:19:24. > :19:28.from his base if things go badly. This could be it for the Republican
:19:29. > :19:33.party and the leadership. There are so many layers of complexity in
:19:34. > :19:40.this. Donald Trump, it's easy, cheaper, better. In government, it's
:19:41. > :19:43.fiendishly complicated, isn't it? What does he do with House
:19:44. > :19:48.Republicans who thought they could vote for it, it might fail, I'm
:19:49. > :19:54.going to get blamed in two years in elections. No thanks. I don't want
:19:55. > :19:59.to have anything to do with it. How much political input does Donald
:20:00. > :20:05.Trump put into it? Does he want his name closely associated with it? If
:20:06. > :20:09.he goes too much in one direction, he loses the libertarian right who
:20:10. > :20:14.don't want government interference. Too much in the other direction, he
:20:15. > :20:18.loses other people. It is a really delicate balancing act and I think
:20:19. > :20:26.there are people who in private quiet moments are thinking, why have
:20:27. > :20:30.we opened this Pandora's box? Could he have a pizza and bowling night
:20:31. > :20:35.and hope to pull some of them in? That's what he's doing tonight. The
:20:36. > :20:42.budget committee meets in the house tomorrow and it is full of rogue
:20:43. > :20:46.Republicans. He is the negotiator in chief and he prides himself on
:20:47. > :20:53.bringing home the deals. If he can't does he shift the blame to them? I
:20:54. > :20:56.hate to do the only time will tell and so which is the lame answer when
:20:57. > :21:03.correspondence don't want to stick their neck out. He has put a certain
:21:04. > :21:08.amount of political capital in, he won't want to be defeated because I
:21:09. > :21:15.think it will be a huge moment in the early stage of his presidency if
:21:16. > :21:20.he had to admit, you know I promised you that thing, I can't do it. You
:21:21. > :21:23.just have to think of the toxic nature of the adverts Democrats will
:21:24. > :21:29.be able to run if they are able to say in two years' time, there could
:21:30. > :21:33.be 24 million people without insurance as a result of Republicans
:21:34. > :21:38.having supported this about. It may be unfair but who said politics was
:21:39. > :21:43.fair? Donald Trump has a very difficult job knowing which way to
:21:44. > :21:53.jump, knowing how far to commit itself, using how much political
:21:54. > :21:58.capital on this. Already talking about the midterms. Not getting into
:21:59. > :22:04.the small print about health care but this gives a very good example
:22:05. > :22:10.of how costs could go up. This is for people who earn $26,000
:22:11. > :22:14.annually. That's what they pay at the moment in premiums under Obama
:22:15. > :22:21.care. Look what happens according to this report when this new system
:22:22. > :22:30.kicks in. For 64-year-old people, it jumps dramatically. That is nearly
:22:31. > :22:36.half the salary of the 64-year old, much cheaper for the 21-year-old who
:22:37. > :22:47.never goes to the clinic. An increase of six times for the older
:22:48. > :22:50.people, who are the ones who vote in the elections. All the more
:22:51. > :22:56.incentives for the Republicans to address this. President Trump
:22:57. > :23:00.campaigned on this idea that he was going to help poor Americans and
:23:01. > :23:05.make sure they weren't forgotten. This plan, as it stands, sacrifices
:23:06. > :23:08.the needs of poor Americans and gives a tax break to wealthier
:23:09. > :23:13.Americans. Is that something that they are going to want to go into
:23:14. > :23:18.the mid-term elections supporting? It doesn't sound very populist. How
:23:19. > :23:25.did it go down in your household this morning with all of the snow?
:23:26. > :23:31.The snow was very popular. My son got a day of school on his birthday.
:23:32. > :23:35.He was thrilled. I've got to intervene in this debate even though
:23:36. > :23:50.I'm not meant to be in this section. I walk my dog along from where Katty
:23:51. > :23:55.lives, and they hadn't dug out their pavement. You are very good citizen.
:23:56. > :23:59.Get Now out of the studio! Christian, I told you yesterday
:24:00. > :24:02.that it was cold here in the US - This was the view for millions
:24:03. > :24:06.of commuters across America's Winter Storm Stella has forced
:24:07. > :24:09.the closure schools, flights are cancelled,
:24:10. > :24:11.and the snow ploughs are out This is the view right
:24:12. > :24:18.now in New York. You have to say we do whether big in
:24:19. > :24:33.America. What's it like? You don't get snow
:24:34. > :24:37.like we do here in New York. We had powdery snow in the morning and it
:24:38. > :24:43.has turned into sleet and icy snow that when it hits your face is
:24:44. > :24:45.really painful. What's making the conditions worse are the rough
:24:46. > :24:50.howling winds that knock you off of your feet when they get going.
:24:51. > :24:57.Officials have said that despite the fact that New York City hasn't borne
:24:58. > :25:02.the brunt of the storm, not the 20 inches that they had forecasted, it
:25:03. > :25:06.is still icy conditions that they are worried about. Particularly on
:25:07. > :25:11.the roadways. They say it could be very treacherous. They have spent
:25:12. > :25:14.1500 ploughs throughout New York City to try and clean up for
:25:15. > :25:19.tomorrow when icy conditions could make it harder to clean up so the
:25:20. > :25:24.city can get up and running and get over the massive disruption we have
:25:25. > :25:29.seen today. Just looking at these pictures. These small buggies with
:25:30. > :25:32.ploughs on the front. If this happened in the UK, there would be
:25:33. > :25:37.all sorts of problems for weeks. They deal with it better in New
:25:38. > :25:44.York, don't they? Absolutely, Christian. We have the subways
:25:45. > :25:49.running still. The aboveground subways have been shot. The roadways
:25:50. > :25:53.are still open although speed limits have been imposed. In upstate New
:25:54. > :26:01.York where they are getting really hit, they are closing stretches.
:26:02. > :26:06.LaGuardia airport, 99% of flights have been cancelled. We are seeing
:26:07. > :26:10.the same across the New York metropolitan area airports. Even
:26:11. > :26:16.though officials are hoping that schools will reopen and companies
:26:17. > :26:21.will reopen. They are suggesting delays may last for a day or so at
:26:22. > :26:25.least in addition to that. Officials are you trying to grapple with the
:26:26. > :26:33.disruption we have seen. For the moment, thank you very much. One
:26:34. > :26:39.very quick good news story. A Democrat and Republican Congress but
:26:40. > :26:44.who had flights cancelled. Driving together from Texas to Washington to
:26:45. > :26:49.try and get to one of their votes in time. A rare bipartisan story for
:26:50. > :26:52.as. Weather-related. Well done. Voting politics aside.
:26:53. > :26:54.You're watching One Hundred Days from BBC News.
:26:55. > :26:57.Still to come for viewers on the BBC News Channel
:26:58. > :27:00.Scotland could get another independence vote
:27:01. > :27:02.but would the European partners
:27:03. > :27:04.welcome them to the fold in a post-Brexit Britain?
:27:05. > :27:06.And a leaked recording of US House Speaker Paul Ryan
:27:07. > :27:09.reveals some scathing comments about Donald Trump -
:27:10. > :27:15.what's interesting though is the timing of the leak,
:27:16. > :27:32.That's still to come on 100 Days, from BBC News.
:27:33. > :27:43.Fine and mild weather for the UK, not making news headlines. What is
:27:44. > :27:46.going on in North America is. That north-eastern storm dumping snow
:27:47. > :27:53.inland, away from the immediate east coast in the north east of the USA.
:27:54. > :27:56.The jet stream becoming more powerful as the cold air comes out
:27:57. > :28:05.of North America this week, that means that the jet stream becomes
:28:06. > :28:10.much more active and will affect our weather towards the end of next
:28:11. > :28:17.week. High pressure going into Wednesday. We have scenes like this
:28:18. > :28:21.today, near York, plenty of sunshine with blossoms doing well. In
:28:22. > :28:26.Northern Ireland, another lovely day. Inter to light, under clearer
:28:27. > :28:31.skies, parts of northern Britain, there will be a touch of Frost for
:28:32. > :28:34.some of those. A bit damp and drizzly, strong winds in northern
:28:35. > :28:41.Scotland, showers becoming confined to the Northern Isles. A mild night
:28:42. > :28:45.further south with plenty of cloud. The cloud will thicken from the
:28:46. > :28:51.West, for Wales, western England, for Northern Ireland, outbreaks of
:28:52. > :28:57.rain into western Scotland. Some sunshine in eastern Scotland.
:28:58. > :29:01.Elsewhere in England and Wales, there will be some sunshine. In the
:29:02. > :29:11.longer lasting spells, it will feel quite warm again. A rather cloudy
:29:12. > :29:15.story in Cheltenham as the festival continues. A strong breeze and the
:29:16. > :29:21.temperature coming down later in the week. Looking ahead to Thursday, the
:29:22. > :29:25.weather starting to become more active, a weather front through
:29:26. > :29:30.Scotland and Northern Ireland with heavy showers and strong winds.
:29:31. > :29:36.Cloudy weather into much of England and Wales. By Friday, a stronger
:29:37. > :29:40.system will take rain from north-west to south-east with the
:29:41. > :29:43.wind picking up and temperatures coming down as well. Things feeling
:29:44. > :29:47.different by the end of the week with the stronger jet stream coming
:29:48. > :31:31.into play. Cooler, wetter, and windier by then.
:31:32. > :31:35.I'm Katty Kay in Washington, Christian Fraser's in London.
:31:36. > :31:37.A reminder of our top story: The Turkish president steps
:31:38. > :31:40.up his attacks on the Netherlands, accusing the Dutch of
:31:41. > :31:42.having a rotten character and blood on their hands.
:31:43. > :31:45.And coming up: It's the interrupted interview which went viral.
:31:46. > :31:47.We speak to the family behind the famous video about how they're
:31:48. > :32:10.The First Minister of Scotland caught the British Prime Minister
:32:11. > :32:12.off guard yesterday with a demand for a second referendum.
:32:13. > :32:15.The Scottish National Party argues the vote should be held
:32:16. > :32:17.between the autumn of 2018 and the spring of 2019, when
:32:18. > :32:22.But the power to offer a referendum rests with Theresa May.
:32:23. > :32:29."The nations of the UK will leave the EU together," she says,
:32:30. > :32:31.which means it is highly likely Scotland will need to reapply
:32:32. > :32:33.for European membership if the nationalists can win
:32:34. > :32:41.He is a Labour MEP and a member of the Committee on Constitutional
:32:42. > :32:48.Affairs within the European Parliament.
:32:49. > :32:54.Would Scotland have to reapply if they get independence, could they,
:32:55. > :33:00.as Nicola Sturgeon seems to be suggesting, carry on being a member?
:33:01. > :33:08.If they become an independent state, they would have to apply to become a
:33:09. > :33:11.member. OK, so supposing Scotland gets its independence, wants to
:33:12. > :33:16.become a member again, and they are on the road to access in, is full
:33:17. > :33:23.membership guaranteed, rather conditions attached to that? They
:33:24. > :33:26.would have to negotiate and reach an agreement on an accession treaty,
:33:27. > :33:32.which would have to be approved by the European Parliament and by every
:33:33. > :33:38.Government of all the other member states, and ratified by their
:33:39. > :33:42.national parliaments. In your experience, how long does that take?
:33:43. > :33:46.That usually takes quite a long time, but of course, other countries
:33:47. > :33:53.that have joined and had a different starting point. Scotland already
:33:54. > :33:56.applies all existing EU laws, so that part of it need not be too
:33:57. > :34:01.long, but the need for national ratification by 27 also different
:34:02. > :34:07.national parliaments, some of whom might not be in a hurry, one thinks
:34:08. > :34:11.of Spain, that part might be somewhat longer. Spain said they
:34:12. > :34:17.would go to the back of the queue, the Spanish Foreign Minister. There
:34:18. > :34:25.are many other countries that have applied to join the EU. I think it's
:34:26. > :34:28.possible probably to jump that queue, but your starting point would
:34:29. > :34:33.be at the back. You would move up a bit because you are already ready,
:34:34. > :34:38.in a way, but you would still have that fundamental problem that at the
:34:39. > :34:43.end you need national ratification by 27 National parliaments. Every
:34:44. > :34:49.other country has too agreed. To be clear, it has to be unanimous, all
:34:50. > :34:58.27 have to agree on the accession. Spain is the example you mentioned.
:34:59. > :35:02.Yesterday, we interviewed a member of the SNP who said we always raise
:35:03. > :35:06.the name of Spain, but are there other countries that might object to
:35:07. > :35:10.Scotland becoming a member? I don't know, I doubt it. I can't think of
:35:11. > :35:16.any who would have a particular objection. Spain may not be. We
:35:17. > :35:20.don't know, of course. What we do know is that the Government in
:35:21. > :35:24.Madrid is anxious not to make this an easy, matter-of-fact thing to do
:35:25. > :35:32.when it is faced with the possibility that Catalonia may
:35:33. > :35:35.declare independence to go down the same route. Plenty to think about
:35:36. > :35:37.there. Richard Corbett, thanks for your thoughts.
:35:38. > :35:40.Two of the three main candidates in the French election are now under
:35:41. > :35:42.It's a pretty extraordinary statistic.
:35:43. > :35:45.Francois Fillon, the centre-right leader campaigned as Mr Clean
:35:46. > :35:50.He denies accusations that he paid his wife and children
:35:51. > :35:53.for work they didn't carry out and promises to fight what he calls
:35:54. > :36:08.He now doesn't have the issue just a Penelopegate but of the lovely suit
:36:09. > :36:18.he was given. I suppose you would call it suitgate - 13,000 each, so
:36:19. > :36:23.they must have been fantastic, but they were given to him. Why is he
:36:24. > :36:26.not dropping out? It is a good question. There are
:36:27. > :36:39.plenty in his own party asking the same question. They spared him the
:36:40. > :36:45.walk of shame today. The media expects him -- expected him to
:36:46. > :36:53.appear tomorrow, but he nipped in today. He said he would stand down
:36:54. > :36:59.if he was formally charged, but he has said he is not going to do that
:37:00. > :37:02.because it is a left-wing conspiracy and the investigating magistrates
:37:03. > :37:06.are left-leaning. If you look at the polls, I was going to say that he
:37:07. > :37:10.doesn't look to have much of a chance, running third in all the
:37:11. > :37:20.polls, but he is only four points behind, then today we get another
:37:21. > :37:25.story about Mr Macron, who is under investigation, it looks spurious,
:37:26. > :37:30.but when he was at the economy ministry, they awarded a contract to
:37:31. > :37:35.a PR company without putting it out to tender. Does that mean he is
:37:36. > :37:40.responsible? I don't know. We started this by saying two of the
:37:41. > :37:44.three, but it now looks like potentially three out of three have
:37:45. > :37:49.clouds over them. The politicians have a tendency towards financial
:37:50. > :37:53.corruption, ordered French investigators need something to do?
:37:54. > :37:59.If you ask people in France, there is a general problem about party and
:38:00. > :38:03.campaign financing. If you are in the game long enough, it seems to
:38:04. > :38:07.me, in France you are going to be prone to some kind of investigation.
:38:08. > :38:13.Another thing I spotted today, just before we finish, is a picture that
:38:14. > :38:17.has appeared on the Twitter feed of Nigel Farage. No words, just a
:38:18. > :38:27.picture. Nigel Farage was asked about Marine Le Pen, whether he
:38:28. > :38:31.would support her in an election. He said at the time he thought she was
:38:32. > :38:35.quite brilliant as a performer but had a real problem with the party.
:38:36. > :38:41.He doesn't like the racism and anti-Semitism, and they distanced
:38:42. > :38:46.themselves from the France National in the past. The question is, will
:38:47. > :38:51.he campaign for her, go to France and campaign alongside her? He never
:38:52. > :38:54.did that as the Ukip leader. When you send out a photo of the two
:38:55. > :38:57.people together, it does look chummy.
:38:58. > :38:59.At least two people have been killed during a fireworks factory
:39:00. > :39:06.This amateur footage shows the moment fireworks start
:39:07. > :39:11.You can see the person behind the camera then running for cover.
:39:12. > :39:15.Some people, including children, were wounded by debris.
:39:16. > :39:18.The EU's highest court has ruled that companies can stop employees
:39:19. > :39:21.from wearing visible political or religious symbols.
:39:22. > :39:25.Courts in France and Belgium had asked the European Court of Justice
:39:26. > :39:31.to rule on discrimination cases brought by women who'd been banned
:39:32. > :39:41.from wearing Islamic headscarves at work.
:39:42. > :39:43.We knew long before November's election that Donald Trump
:39:44. > :39:46.was going to have to win without the support of many
:39:47. > :39:51.We knew that senior Republicans, like Speaker of the House Paul Ryan,
:39:52. > :39:57.So it should come as no surprise to learn there is a recording
:39:58. > :40:00.which has just been published in which the House Speaker
:40:01. > :40:02.was less than complimentary about the future president.
:40:03. > :40:04.What's more surprising is where it came from, and the timing.
:40:05. > :40:08.His comments are not anywhere in keeping with our party's
:40:09. > :40:11.There are basically two things that I want to make
:40:12. > :40:15.really clear as for myself as your Speaker.
:40:16. > :40:18.I am not going to defend Donald Trump, not now, not in the
:40:19. > :40:25.That call, leaked by Breitbart, was recorded on October
:40:26. > :40:31.And a day later, there was this from Donald Trump.
:40:32. > :40:34."Our very weak and ineffective leader, Paul Ryan, had a bad
:40:35. > :40:41.conference call where his members went wild at his disloyalty."
:40:42. > :40:50.This intrigues me. There is this huge row where Paul Ryan, a budget
:40:51. > :40:56.hawk, is trying his best with what he has been served up by Donald
:40:57. > :41:00.Trump, and then Breitbart put this out, and they are of course linked
:41:01. > :41:05.to Steve Bannon, President Trump's right-hand man, so was there a link
:41:06. > :41:09.to the White House ear? It is very curious timing, this
:41:10. > :41:14.late, because at the moment, the White House really needs Paul Ryan.
:41:15. > :41:17.He is defending them on national television programmes here,
:41:18. > :41:20.defending their health care bill, doing what he can to rally the
:41:21. > :41:24.Republican party to get the health care bill passed, and then the tape
:41:25. > :41:27.comes out and it seems to be a kick up the pants by him, and why would
:41:28. > :41:34.you do something like this to somebody that you need, if indeed
:41:35. > :41:38.those links between Steve Bannon and Breitbart are as close as they used
:41:39. > :41:43.to be? Would you do it for political
:41:44. > :41:52.covering in case it all goes wrong? You are Machiavellian, Christian!
:41:53. > :41:59.We are playing you at clip that went viral over the weekend.
:42:00. > :42:12.What will it mean for the ride -- the wider region? Shifting sands and
:42:13. > :42:21.relations with the North may change? Pardon me. My apologies... What will
:42:22. > :42:27.this mean for the region? North Korea... South Korea's policy...
:42:28. > :42:33.Still makes me laugh every time, Christian. That clip has been viewed
:42:34. > :42:36.more than 16 million times on you Tube. Professor Kelly has been
:42:37. > :42:46.inundated with media requests. Here is what he told us.
:42:47. > :42:51.This is my wife, this is my son and this is my daughter.
:42:52. > :42:59.And to be able to talk to you, rather
:43:00. > :43:15.than just seeing you running around in the background.
:43:16. > :43:18.Chung-ha, how has it been for you these past few days?
:43:19. > :43:24.The reality is, for around 48 hours, you were the most
:43:25. > :43:31.When you watched it back, which I'm sure you did,
:43:32. > :43:34.could you appreciate what a perfect piece of physical comedy it was,
:43:35. > :43:38.And we've watched it multiple times too, and
:43:39. > :43:41.Everyone seems to think it is pretty hysterical,
:43:42. > :43:44.so we understand why people find it enjoyable, catching a
:43:45. > :43:48.And of course, your wife had a major role
:43:49. > :43:50.in making it funny, flying around the room
:43:51. > :43:53.Did you find it funny watching it back?
:43:54. > :44:06.We were worried actually that the BBC would never call us
:44:07. > :44:12.That was our first response, was mortification.
:44:13. > :44:14.We thought we had completely blown our
:44:15. > :44:25.It's OK. We still love the Kelly family. Great way to end. We'll be
:44:26. > :44:29.back tomorrow. Goodbye.