16/12/2013

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:00:00. > :00:00.Oxfordshire 13 days ago. No body has yet been found. Ben Blakeley, who is

:00:00. > :00:17.22 and from Reading, is due to appear before magistrates later this

:00:18. > :00:23.morning. The Japanese economy - a hit or a

:00:24. > :00:36.miss? To hike or not to hike, the dilemma

:00:37. > :00:42.facing India's central bank. We start off with Japan. Business

:00:43. > :00:46.confidence among manufacturers show that improvement in the three months

:00:47. > :00:54.until December stimulate -- signal that the government stimulation

:00:55. > :01:03.policies are working. Sentiment among manufacturers improved by four

:01:04. > :01:12.points to plus 16, a six-year high. We also saw a rise in the index. It

:01:13. > :01:24.comes as Shinzo Abe at Marks is one year in office. He has pledged

:01:25. > :01:29.economic reforms. The survey also showed that large companies planned

:01:30. > :01:33.to increase capital spending by just 4.6% in the financial year to March

:01:34. > :01:37.2014. That is lower than what economists were hoping for. Next

:01:38. > :01:46.year, the government hopes to go ahead with a higher sales tax, from

:01:47. > :01:51.5% to 8% starting in April. I asked if the upcoming sales tax will

:01:52. > :01:56.create a dent in the prospects for the Japanese economy.

:01:57. > :02:00.It will have an impact on spending. We will see demand being brought

:02:01. > :02:02.forwards. The first quarter will have strong consumer spending and

:02:03. > :02:09.that it will slump in the second quarter. The business outlook survey

:02:10. > :02:16.covers a forecast for two quarters and it shows that manufacturers are

:02:17. > :02:19.quite confident that we will see a mild deterioration in the second

:02:20. > :02:24.quarter. What are the three top things in your wish list that you

:02:25. > :02:35.hope that she is a bit will -- Shinzo Abe it will implement is ? .

:02:36. > :02:41.We want to see some quantitive easing. And we want to see some

:02:42. > :02:46.structural reforms. We want to see something in terms of the TBB

:02:47. > :02:52.negotiations succeeding. We want to see that agriculture protection will

:02:53. > :02:55.be lowered. For more on the progress of the

:02:56. > :02:58.Japanese economy, log onto our website. Check out the latest

:02:59. > :03:06.commentary from our chief business, -- correspondent.

:03:07. > :03:11.Singapore -based budget airline is joining forces with Thailand's

:03:12. > :03:18.low-cost airline. The two are coming together to create a new low-cost

:03:19. > :03:25.carrier. It will be based in Bangkok. The Thai company will have

:03:26. > :03:28.a 51% in the partnership, while the Singaporean one will own the

:03:29. > :03:32.remaining. Investment in the project will total just over 60 million US

:03:33. > :03:36.dollars. Austrian Prime Minister Tony Abbott

:03:37. > :03:42.has supported calls from Qantas for a level playing field -- Australian

:03:43. > :03:49.prime minister. They face a record loss and rising competition. The

:03:50. > :03:53.Qantas sale act, which came into place in 1992, limits foreign

:03:54. > :03:58.ownership of the carrier to 49% and requires Qantas to keep the majority

:03:59. > :04:02.of its maintenance operations in a straight. The airline has long

:04:03. > :04:10.complained of Virgin Australia and is major shareholders providing a

:04:11. > :04:13.virgin access to foreign funding, thereby providing an unfair playing

:04:14. > :04:18.field. India's central bank will be

:04:19. > :04:21.revealing whether or not it will be changing interest rates. In the past

:04:22. > :04:25.three months, the bank has increased the cost of borrowing twice to try

:04:26. > :04:32.to keep soaring prices in check. It is also, at a time when growth has

:04:33. > :04:40.remained slow -- it has also come at a time.

:04:41. > :04:44.This man has lived in this building all his life. In the next few

:04:45. > :04:52.months, he has to move out. Like most old buildings in the city, his

:04:53. > :04:56.home is going to be redeveloped. Even though the developer is

:04:57. > :05:00.providing him with compensation, he says it will not be enough to buy a

:05:01. > :05:06.new home. The prospect of taking a loan is not very appealing. I was

:05:07. > :05:09.looking for a home loan, but I cannot take the burden right now.

:05:10. > :05:13.The interest-rate just keeps going up and never comes down. It has to

:05:14. > :05:17.fit my budget, and that is not going to happen with the current scenario

:05:18. > :05:21.of real estate and home loan interest rates. High interest rates

:05:22. > :05:26.coupled with the slowing economy has made it difficult for consumers to

:05:27. > :05:30.buy homes. In fact, it has hit sales in a big way, forcing many real

:05:31. > :05:34.estate developers to offer discounts. That has not helped much.

:05:35. > :05:36.It is not only consumers that are feeling the pressure of high

:05:37. > :05:46.interest rates. Businesses are also feeling the heat. This factory based

:05:47. > :05:52.in Mumbai makes switchgears, which are used in housing apartments and

:05:53. > :05:56.industrial complexes. The economic slowdown means it is not getting

:05:57. > :06:00.many orders -- not has not been getting many orders over the last

:06:01. > :06:06.couple of years. Rising labour and energy prices have impacted its

:06:07. > :06:11.costs, which have gone up sharply over the same period. If that is not

:06:12. > :06:16.bad enough, high interest rates have squeezed its profit even further. We

:06:17. > :06:22.have to look for some ultimate way of financing. Maybe we have to look

:06:23. > :06:27.for some cheaper funding from abroad, if it is available. The

:06:28. > :06:31.banking industry here cannot provide us, and we may have to look for

:06:32. > :06:38.alternatives if we are to stay in business. It will be a big challenge

:06:39. > :06:41.for us. The Indian central bank has increased key lending rates twice in

:06:42. > :06:47.the last three months. This is mainly due to high inflation driven

:06:48. > :06:52.I rising prices. The government and industry have been clamouring for a

:06:53. > :06:56.rate cut to revive the slowing economy. But so far, the bank has

:06:57. > :07:01.shown no signs of giving in to the pressure. The rate decision from the

:07:02. > :07:07.Indian central bank is due to come out on Wednesday.

:07:08. > :07:12.December is traditionally one of the best months. Is because of the

:07:13. > :07:16.so-called Santa Claus rally. That is when share prices rise of the final

:07:17. > :07:20.ten days of training before the New year. Overall, volatility would

:07:21. > :07:25.probably best described it doesn't get it. I spoke to the Philippines

:07:26. > :07:28.stock exchange president, who told me how the stock exchange and the

:07:29. > :07:31.Philippines has performed this year. I think the year has been quite good

:07:32. > :07:37.for the Philippines and for the stock market. Good in the sense that

:07:38. > :07:45.we have a lot more activity on the exchange, more liquidity, more IPOs,

:07:46. > :07:50.and new stocks and products being launched. How have the bribery

:07:51. > :07:54.scandals and the natural calamities impacted sentiment of investors?

:07:55. > :07:58.There has always been a short-term dip. A big contributor to the

:07:59. > :08:05.volatility that you talk about. The same thing happened when the tape a

:08:06. > :08:10.story first came out. There was an overreaction. It contributes to the

:08:11. > :08:15.volatility. Overall, I would say that the basic fundamentals prevail

:08:16. > :08:20.when you take a look at trends. This year has been a milestone for the

:08:21. > :08:22.Philippines. It got an investment-grade status from some of

:08:23. > :08:30.the key ratings agencies. How much has this helped in terms of bringing

:08:31. > :08:33.in new investors into the Philippine capital markets? Tremendous. I would

:08:34. > :08:38.say that we are seeing a lot of 1st-time portfolio manner --

:08:39. > :08:41.managers who are investing in the first time because they could not

:08:42. > :08:47.invest in investment-grade investments. This rating has given a

:08:48. > :08:53.third-party cheque in terms of saying the company is OK, the

:08:54. > :08:59.financials are OK and the fundamentals are looking decent.

:09:00. > :09:07.When you take a look at who we are seeing, a big influx for example has

:09:08. > :09:11.been from Japan. An amazing amount of interest and portfolio flowing

:09:12. > :09:21.from that sector, which was not present before. What could be the

:09:22. > :09:27.big flags for the economy and the capital markets? I think how the

:09:28. > :09:32.reconstruction relating to the storm will be, in terms of how much

:09:33. > :09:35.infrastructure building will the company be able to do, something

:09:36. > :09:40.that the people have been looking forward to for some time. For the

:09:41. > :09:49.capital market, the big question is what will be the US Federal talk.

:09:50. > :09:55.That created so much volatility last year in the local market and that

:09:56. > :09:55.could be a factor in how markets are perceived, including the

:09:56. > :10:09.Philippines. Investors continue to remain on the

:10:10. > :10:13.sidelines amid concerns that the US Federal bank could change policy

:10:14. > :10:24.this week. Thank you for interesting your time

:10:25. > :10:44.with us. Goodbye for now. -- investing your time with us.

:10:45. > :10:50.The top stories this hour - the actor Peter O'Toole, renowned for

:10:51. > :10:51.playing Lawrence of Arabia in the Oscar-winning film has died, aged