04/04/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.independent review had concluded that unbranded packets would help

:00:00. > :00:00.cut smoking rates and make cigarettes less attractive to

:00:00. > :00:14.children. Now it is time for Asia Business Report. Feeding the nation.

:00:15. > :00:19.China's recent moves to secure food supplies. Can we expect better times

:00:20. > :00:33.ahead for the global shipping industry? Welcome to Asia Business

:00:34. > :00:38.Report. We start with China's efforts to provide a secure food

:00:39. > :00:42.supply for its booming population. That has led to some huge business

:00:43. > :00:45.deals. This week China's largest grain trader seals its biggest

:00:46. > :00:46.global deal to date, with the purchase of a majority stake in

:00:47. > :00:51.Singapore 's Noble Group. global deal to date, with the

:00:52. > :01:04.purchase of a They are making an initial payment of $1.5 billion.

:01:05. > :01:09.purchase of a They are making an initial payment The deal comes just

:01:10. > :01:12.weeks after they also bought a big stake in a Dutch agricultural

:01:13. > :01:15.trader. Their acquisitions will help China shore up support supplies of

:01:16. > :01:21.animal feed. I asked a law specialist what implications this

:01:22. > :01:22.will have? What is clear is that China has prioritised stockpiling

:01:23. > :01:32.agricultural commodities within its national policy.

:01:33. > :01:35.China has prioritised stockpiling agricultural commodities One, as a

:01:36. > :01:39.way of guaranteeing incomes, but also as a way of keeping food

:01:40. > :01:43.inflation in check. It has done this mainly by securing supplies

:01:44. > :01:56.domestically. There has been a subtle shift in policy recently.

:01:57. > :02:03.China has lowered the threshold. Moving to about 90% to 80%. What

:02:04. > :02:05.that means is that they are looking outside China for a supply which can

:02:06. > :02:07.help improve supplies for agricultural commodities

:02:08. > :02:10.domestically. Therefore, we see more consolidation in the industry as

:02:11. > :02:22.China looks through the supply chain and tries to acquire capability

:02:23. > :02:27.where it has seen deficits. As you say, China is doing this for a

:02:28. > :02:30.number of reasons, as you say. Insufficient funding resources they

:02:31. > :02:32.have to meet their food and so on. Will this have implications

:02:33. > :02:35.internationally? Will prices rise? There are other factors like bad

:02:36. > :02:42.weather and political tensions and so on. Absolutely. Obviously, China

:02:43. > :02:49.is an important importer of a number of key commodities, particularly

:02:50. > :02:56.feed meal like soy beans. When China goes into the market, prices move

:02:57. > :03:03.up. Apart from China, there are other issues. As you rightly

:03:04. > :03:06.mentioned, very dry weather in Brazil recently and parts of India

:03:07. > :03:10.which undermines key agricultural commodity yields. In addition to

:03:11. > :03:14.that, you have got geopolitical tensions in Ukraine which is a grey

:03:15. > :03:23.trading hub for seeds and wheat and that is adding to the momentum.

:03:24. > :03:31.Earlier this week we mentioned how China will embark on a stimulus

:03:32. > :03:37.package to boost growth. The government has said it will cut

:03:38. > :03:40.taxes on small firms and speed up infrastructure projects. What is

:03:41. > :03:43.interesting about this latest development is the way China plans

:03:44. > :03:46.to paper that stimulus. Our chief business correspondent explains. If

:03:47. > :03:49.China was not worried about hitting its growth target of 7.5%, then it

:03:50. > :03:53.would not be trying to boost growth through government spending on

:03:54. > :03:56.railways and infrastructure. What is different this time, as compared to

:03:57. > :03:58.the assistance package after the 2008 global financial crisis is that

:03:59. > :04:06.the Chinese government is borrowing from bond markets to finance it. In

:04:07. > :04:09.the past, they relied on local governments borrowing from

:04:10. > :04:16.state`owned banks to pay for the stimulus which led to concerns about

:04:17. > :04:18.a build`up of debt. Some of the government spending is just pushing

:04:19. > :04:23.forward infrastructure projects such as rail, social housing, which had

:04:24. > :04:35.been planned. The exhilaration itself as a sign of concern. ``

:04:36. > :04:38.acceleration. It is what China did in 2009 when it injected fresh

:04:39. > :04:41.stimulus to support the economy alongside planned spending on roads

:04:42. > :04:44.and railways. At the time, it was criticised for not spending enough

:04:45. > :04:47.on social welfare that could boost easier way to grow for China. As a

:04:48. > :04:59.consumption`based investment is an result, an excessive reliance on

:05:00. > :05:02.credit was another worrying legacy. So, this new stimulus is pushing

:05:03. > :05:05.output forward to help China meet its growth target this year. Many

:05:06. > :05:08.countries would not worry about coming in below an impressive 7.5%

:05:09. > :05:14.growth rate but, for Chinese officials, targets are not to be

:05:15. > :05:16.missed. It certainly is a sign that they are worried that financing the

:05:17. > :05:19.fiscal stimulus measures by the Central government and bond markets,

:05:20. > :05:35.rather than local governments and bank lending. It is progress. The US

:05:36. > :05:37.is urging Japan to open up its farm and auto markets to overseas

:05:38. > :05:39.competition. US trade representatives told US lawmakers

:05:40. > :05:45.that the reluctance to lower trade barriers is holding up the agreement

:05:46. > :05:54.on the ambitious 12`nation TPP. All eyes are on Japan, not just Europe

:05:55. > :05:57.but all of us. Japan needs to provide competitive access to their

:05:58. > :06:02.market, both the agricultural side and other sides. We are reminding

:06:03. > :06:06.Japan what it and all TPP members agreed to when they joined TPP. This

:06:07. > :06:17.is intended to be a high standard, ambitious, conference agreement. ``

:06:18. > :06:20.comprehensive agreement. One country cannot feel entitled to take off the

:06:21. > :06:23.table and exclude vast areas of market access while other countries

:06:24. > :06:27.are putting more ambitious offers on the table. Barack Obama will press

:06:28. > :06:29.on the case for the TPP deal to go through with the Japanese prime

:06:30. > :06:33.ministers when he visits Japan later this month. Washington had hoped to

:06:34. > :06:38.complete the trade deal by the end of last year but the timetable has

:06:39. > :06:44.now moved to sometime this year. The CEO of Mozilla has stepped down. He

:06:45. > :06:48.was appointed last month but came in for heavy criticism about his views

:06:49. > :06:51.on same`sex marriage. He had made a $1000 donation in 2008 to

:06:52. > :07:06.organisations supporting an anti`gay marriage law. His resignation comes

:07:07. > :07:13.days after online dating site OKCupid called for a boycott of

:07:14. > :07:19.Mozilla. For more on that and other corporate headlines from around the

:07:20. > :07:22.world, you can go to our website. The shipping industry offers a good

:07:23. > :07:25.gauge of the state of the global economy as a way of tracking demand

:07:26. > :07:32.through movement of traded goods. After a downturn last year there are

:07:33. > :07:35.now some glimmers of hope. The fourth`largest port operator in the

:07:36. > :07:43.world earned a higher net profit last year in Dubai. Is there a more

:07:44. > :07:49.rosy outlook? In the near term? Earlier we spoke to an expert on

:07:50. > :07:59.shipping. We expect 2014 to be a better year than 2013 in terms of

:08:00. > :08:04.the fundamental market values. `` balance. Pressure will be put on the

:08:05. > :08:07.commercial market. Demand will outstrip supply, and most major

:08:08. > :08:15.shipping segments will grow. We are confident of earnings that will go

:08:16. > :08:18.higher. You say that demand will outstrip supply, but that will not

:08:19. > :08:22.be what we have seen from the major port operators, for example in Dubai

:08:23. > :08:28.and China. They have not had great results recently, so this does not

:08:29. > :08:32.suggest that demand will pick up. We see definitely that the exports will

:08:33. > :08:38.go from Far East Asia to Europe, and they will become stronger. We also

:08:39. > :08:41.heard that the Chinese Prime Minister said that he is looking at

:08:42. > :08:51.strong exports even though China is on track for a softer landing and

:08:52. > :08:59.rebalancing of the economy. Towards more private consumption, as

:09:00. > :09:03.compared to previous years when there was more investment and public

:09:04. > :09:10.demand. You talk about this switch in the Chinese economy moving away

:09:11. > :09:15.from exports. A lot of those are on ships to the rest of the world. How

:09:16. > :09:19.will China's moving away from that alter sense of growth and trajectory

:09:20. > :09:23.of the shipping industry? Shipping demand will be negatively affected,

:09:24. > :09:34.but it will come as a pricetag. The Chinese economy will be more

:09:35. > :09:39.sustainable. In the growth model in coming years. When you compare that

:09:40. > :09:45.to the growth now seen in the US and Europe, the counterbalancing should

:09:46. > :09:49.be positive for the global economy. And for the shipping industry as

:09:50. > :09:52.such. When you look at the world from the widest perspective, we see

:09:53. > :09:55.it as economies are taking a smaller share of the global GDP even though

:09:56. > :10:05.more trade is generated in advanced economies. We are foreseeing a new

:10:06. > :10:22.normal in global trade and a slower demand growth going forward. A quick

:10:23. > :10:26.look at the markets. Mostly lower. Most markets here in Asia are down.

:10:27. > :10:29.The US jobs report is due out later today. That is partly why there is

:10:30. > :10:39.caution in the markets today. That's it from us at Asia Business Report.

:10:40. > :10:42.You are watching BBC News. These are our top stories.