10/04/2014

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:00:00. > 3:59:59knife. Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from

:00:00. > :00:21.Singapore. All eyes on China. Fresh trade

:00:22. > :00:27.figures show a fall in exports and imports for March. And India's

:00:28. > :00:29.voters are heading to the polls in more than 14 states across the

:00:30. > :00:36.country. Hello and welcome to Asia Business

:00:37. > :00:43.Report. I'm Sharanjit Leyl. Starting with China. Fresh trade figures for

:00:44. > :00:49.the month of March show X boards have fallen 6.6%, compared to

:00:50. > :00:54.previous years. `` exports. Imports have fallen by 11%. These numbers

:00:55. > :01:01.follow a fall in exports in February as well, with fresh concerns over

:01:02. > :01:05.trade. Analysts believe trade will play a lesser role in the way the

:01:06. > :01:15.mainland's government will manage the ongoing expansion of its

:01:16. > :01:19.economy. We think this is the start of a period of adjustment for the

:01:20. > :01:23.Chinese economy, where trade starts to play a smaller role in the

:01:24. > :01:29.overall growth picture. This is partly by design and partly as a

:01:30. > :01:34.result of the downturn in the economy in China. Trade is dependent

:01:35. > :01:36.on the external picture. That picture is stable. We expect

:01:37. > :01:42.external demand to be relatively intact. Overall, policymakers in

:01:43. > :01:44.Beijing want to reduce the vulnerability of the economy and

:01:45. > :01:51.reduce the potential for shocks that they experienced in 2008 and 2009,

:01:52. > :01:54.when the financial crisis hit. You call this an adjustment by the

:01:55. > :02:00.Chinese authorities. It also announced a mini stimulus of sorts

:02:01. > :02:03.last week. They hope that will help lift some of the slowdown projected

:02:04. > :02:09.for the economy. You see that happening? I think what the stimulus

:02:10. > :02:13.really is moving some projects forward, that were scheduled for

:02:14. > :02:16.later this year, to see what that does for the coming couple of

:02:17. > :02:21.quarters. Towards the end of the year they may reassess things.

:02:22. > :02:27.Overall, they are really not keen on bailing out a lot of the accesses.

:02:28. > :02:32.They want to find a way to ease out of the previous cycle of credit and

:02:33. > :02:36.growth. These kinds of projects and infrastructure transport, these are

:02:37. > :02:40.relatively good ways to do that. I think there may be more to come

:02:41. > :02:45.later this year, if growth continues to weaken, but we don't see this as

:02:46. > :02:48.much of a stimulus, more stabilisation may be a better word

:02:49. > :02:57.to use. I think they will reassess when we get to June and July. To

:02:58. > :03:00.India, where Walmart is going head`to`head with its plans to build

:03:01. > :03:05.another 50 wholesale stores within the next five years. That's despite

:03:06. > :03:09.possible policy changes that could arise, should the new government win

:03:10. > :03:14.the election. Today could mark a turning point in those elections, as

:03:15. > :03:19.voters go to the polls in more than 14 states across the country. For

:03:20. > :03:24.more on the retail sector and how it will impact voters, we can go to our

:03:25. > :03:33.correspondent in Delhi. Good morning. Why is the retail sector so

:03:34. > :03:38.controversial in these elections? It has been one of the most politically

:03:39. > :03:43.controversial policies. India's retail sector was opened up to

:03:44. > :03:49.foreign investment 51% in multibrand retail and 100 `` 100% in single

:03:50. > :03:54.brand retail one year ago but we still haven't seen any multibrand

:03:55. > :03:58.retail stores open up shop here. Walmart exists as a wholesale store

:03:59. > :04:03.in India but it is surprising to many that they made an announcement

:04:04. > :04:08.to open 50 more stores. No one has doubt the potential of India's $500

:04:09. > :04:12.billion retail market at what has been controversial is the political

:04:13. > :04:17.opposition to this decision. Because most of India's retail sectors are

:04:18. > :04:22.organised and many of those are small corner stores, who are key

:04:23. > :04:27.voters of the opposition party, traditionally. So, in its

:04:28. > :04:31.manifesto, the BJP has already says that if it comes into power it will

:04:32. > :04:36.scrap the policy. They are pretty rigid about this. Quite surprising

:04:37. > :04:41.that Walmart has decided to go ahead with the announcement. Surprising

:04:42. > :04:47.and potentially very risky. What are the odds the BJP will be able to

:04:48. > :04:51.follow through with this manifesto? Very strong, because this is one of

:04:52. > :04:55.the key points, but they haven't budged on before. Like I said, are

:04:56. > :05:01.key voters come from this constituency, small traders, small

:05:02. > :05:07.shops, 90% of the retail sector in India. Even with the existing

:05:08. > :05:10.policy, the state has an equal say about whether they want it or not.

:05:11. > :05:17.Not just the BJP but even the latest entrant in the political scenario,

:05:18. > :05:22.even that party has a policy because their voters are small traders.

:05:23. > :05:24.Worst of them fear loss of jobs and they fear that big retailers will

:05:25. > :05:29.come and sweet down into the retail market here. At the Congress party,

:05:30. > :05:34.which brought in the legislation, the `` believes it can improve the

:05:35. > :05:38.supply chain system. The food management is pretty poor in the

:05:39. > :05:45.country. They feel they can generate more jobs. Thank you for that.

:05:46. > :05:51.In other news making headlines, to Gotye recalling 6.4 million vehicles

:05:52. > :06:00.over five separate issues. `` Toyota. Issues include problems with

:06:01. > :06:02.the airbag, seat rails, with screenwriters and a glitch with the

:06:03. > :06:08.engine starters. That poses a fire risk. `` screen wipers. The carmaker

:06:09. > :06:14.said it wasn't aware of any injuries or crashes caused by the conditions.

:06:15. > :06:17.The Bank of America will pay $783 million in fines and refunds to

:06:18. > :06:22.settle accusations that it misled customers about its credit card

:06:23. > :06:26.services. Some $45 million of that will be paid on penalties to US

:06:27. > :06:31.regulators. The pay`out relates to the lending giant's marketing of its

:06:32. > :06:41.payment and protection services between 2012 and 2010. In a study in

:06:42. > :06:45.financial stability, the IMF, referred to as the lender of last

:06:46. > :06:49.resort, warned the issue poses a big risks to growth prospects in

:06:50. > :06:55.emerging markets. Our correspondent in Washington. She has been speaking

:06:56. > :07:00.to the IMF's director of monetary and capital markets. One topic

:07:01. > :07:04.discussed inside the headquarters of the IMF is Howard years of cheap

:07:05. > :07:12.credit has led to a rise in corporate debt. In fact, in emerging

:07:13. > :07:17.economies, its a level not seen since the financial crisis, which is

:07:18. > :07:20.worrying some people here. I was told the prospect of lower interest

:07:21. > :07:25.rates and slower growth could mean that some companies in emerging

:07:26. > :07:30.markets will have difficulty paying back some of the money they have

:07:31. > :07:35.borrowed. Bite of the corporate debt in emerging markets, a significant

:07:36. > :07:40.fraction, would be at risk. `` much of the. 35% of the corporate debt in

:07:41. > :07:44.many emerging markets, specifically, would be owned by

:07:45. > :07:50.firms which will have difficulties in servicing their obligations.

:07:51. > :07:54.Given the IMF's worries about corporate debt, I also asked what

:07:55. > :08:00.lessons could be learned from the recent failure of a Chinese company

:08:01. > :08:07.that defaulted on its debt. This led him to address another concern.

:08:08. > :08:10.China's shadow banking system. It is very important that, given the

:08:11. > :08:14.growth in the non`bank financial sector in China, the so`called

:08:15. > :08:22.shadow banking system, that it is very important that these sorts of

:08:23. > :08:27.small defaults can play in taking out the hazard and making investors

:08:28. > :08:33.and savers feel aware of the risks which are SO shade with the high

:08:34. > :08:39.returns. The IMF wants to see greater local cooperation. But as

:08:40. > :08:43.ever with countries facing different challenges and at different stages

:08:44. > :08:51.of development that will be easier said than done.

:08:52. > :08:55.The World's Largest Busk producer in China is hoping to set a new record

:08:56. > :09:02.on the Hong Kong stock exchange. `` world's largest pork producer. It

:09:03. > :09:07.has hired 29 banks to work on the initial offering, which is said

:09:08. > :09:12.could raise up to $6 million. I asked about the upcoming listing.

:09:13. > :09:18.The listing in Hong Kong is directly related to that deal. As you

:09:19. > :09:26.recall, that was a very expensive deal at the time. $4.7 billion, US,

:09:27. > :09:29.paid for the company. But if you also include the amount of debt that

:09:30. > :09:32.the Chinese company had to assume, the pricetag really balloons even

:09:33. > :09:37.further come to more than $7 billion, US. As you can imagine,

:09:38. > :09:42.that's a lot of money to be owing to creditors banks. What we understand

:09:43. > :09:47.is that the main purpose of this listing is to raise money from

:09:48. > :09:51.investors to pay down the debt, to improve its financial standing.

:09:52. > :10:00.According to the Reuters news agency, it will be offering these

:10:01. > :10:06.shares between eight dollars, Hong Kong, to $11 per share. That implies

:10:07. > :10:10.a price to earnings ratio of between 15 and 20. That's a way for

:10:11. > :10:15.investors to decide how expensive or cheap that share is. So, according

:10:16. > :10:21.to fund managers, they are saying that this price looks fairly fed

:10:22. > :10:25.because of course now this company is competing not just against

:10:26. > :10:31.Chinese companies at the biggest food makers in the world.

:10:32. > :10:39.That brings us to the end of this edition of Asia Business Report.

:10:40. > :10:47.The main stories: Oscar Pistorius has faced a tough cross`examination

:10:48. > :10:53.by the prosecution for the first time in the trial of the `` killing

:10:54. > :10:56.of his girlfriend. Internet users are advised to change their

:10:57. > :11:01.passwords under what has been described as a catastrophic floor

:11:02. > :11:02.found in a type of security