01/07/2014

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:00:00. > :00:16.telephone directories. Now on BBC News all the latest business news

:00:17. > :00:18.live from Singapore. BNP Paribas pleads guilty to

:00:19. > :00:27.breaking US sanctions against blacklisted countries. Can it

:00:28. > :00:32.survive the record finds? Japan's business sentiment dips after a

:00:33. > :00:37.sales tax increase. Welcome to Asia Business Report. France's largest

:00:38. > :00:40.bank, BNP Paribas, is told it will be fined almost $9 billion for

:00:41. > :00:48.transferring funds to blacklisted countries. It is the largest penalty

:00:49. > :00:51.for a case like this in US history. It is accused of breaking sanctions

:00:52. > :00:58.against Iran, Cuba and Sudan between 2002`2009. The record fine

:00:59. > :01:12.quadruples a similar penalty imposed on HSBC a few years ago. For more, I

:01:13. > :01:15.am joined by a financial author in Sydney. What do you make of this

:01:16. > :01:19.huge fine, what will the implications be? There will be some

:01:20. > :01:22.impact but they will be relieved that the actual fine has been agreed

:01:23. > :01:25.to. There is no more uncertainty. It will impact the profits of the bank

:01:26. > :01:28.this year because, essentially, it equates to roughly what the bank

:01:29. > :01:31.makes in a year. They will have to make a substantial write`down. It

:01:32. > :01:34.will be extraordinary. The capital will be reduced. They are

:01:35. > :01:37.comfortably at 10%. We will have to wait and see what happens in the EU

:01:38. > :01:42.with their asset quality review, whether there are implications from

:01:43. > :01:45.that. The damage will come from the fact that they won't be allowed to

:01:46. > :01:52.clear US dollar transactions beginning in January next year for

:01:53. > :01:55.one year. It will have franchise issues for them. It is unclear

:01:56. > :01:59.whether it will affect all aspects of the operations of the bank. Those

:02:00. > :02:03.are some of the things affecting BNP Paribas itself. There will be wider

:02:04. > :02:11.implications for the banking industry generally. Let's look at

:02:12. > :02:15.some of those. What will they be? Banks today are looking nervously at

:02:16. > :02:20.the outcome. It won't be the last prosecution. There will be others.

:02:21. > :02:26.We have seen HSBC and ING and Standard Chartered. All foreign

:02:27. > :02:29.banks interestingly. There are wider investigations outside of these

:02:30. > :02:31.specific ones, to do with the manipulation of different rates,

:02:32. > :02:41.like the foreign exchange rates, the golden rates and so on. The bad news

:02:42. > :02:44.for the banks in terms of prosecutions and fines they will

:02:45. > :02:46.have to pay an over and this will affect the sector's profitability

:02:47. > :02:58.and ultimately their sharemarket performance. `` are not. This is the

:02:59. > :03:00.biggest fine ever by the US regulator. Are there concerns the

:03:01. > :03:06.regulator might have extraterritorial reach beyond the

:03:07. > :03:13.US? This is the biggest issue about the BNP Paribas and the previous

:03:14. > :03:16.fines. The US are taking their legislation and applying it to other

:03:17. > :03:20.banks. They are using the primacy of the US dollar and the fact that

:03:21. > :03:25.foreign banks have to clear their US dollars through New York, which has

:03:26. > :03:29.been the weapon they have used. It is a concerted area of US foreign

:03:30. > :03:36.and economic policy and we now risk seeing retaliation. Immediately, it

:03:37. > :03:43.will be in trade talks between Europe and America. Thank you. A

:03:44. > :03:46.financial expert in Sydney. The Bank of Japan's quarterly survey shows

:03:47. > :04:02.business confidence worsened among the largest manufacturers. It fell

:04:03. > :04:05.by five points in the three months to June to plus 12, below market

:04:06. > :04:08.forecast for a plus 15. Overall, there was optimism about the

:04:09. > :04:11.economy. It might be due to the PM 's economic policies, which saw

:04:12. > :04:16.inflation rise 3.4% in May, its fastest pace in 32 years. Household

:04:17. > :04:26.spending fell by 8%, and the sales tax began biting. I asked an analyst

:04:27. > :04:30.what he made of the latest figures. We are looking closely and this time

:04:31. > :04:35.it is because the sales tax and consumption tax went up. We had a

:04:36. > :04:40.boom before, but we have negative growth now. It is important what

:04:41. > :04:45.companies make out of that. We see the relief that the impact wasn't as

:04:46. > :04:48.strong as expected. The forecast, which has been negative, went down

:04:49. > :04:54.for this quarter, but they are already in terms of outlook going up

:04:55. > :04:57.again. A split between manufacturers, which has received a

:04:58. > :04:59.big hit, and the outlook on the nonmanufacturers, which are seeing

:05:00. > :05:09.households affected in the long`term. Certainly by the sales

:05:10. > :05:17.tax which took effect in April. What does this say about the PM's

:05:18. > :05:21.economics? His reform plan to restructure the economy. Is it

:05:22. > :05:25.working? It is working so far. What we see is that basically industry

:05:26. > :05:28.must take over. Last year, we had this expansion in terms of money

:05:29. > :05:33.printing and monetary expansion and fiscal expansion, optimism with talk

:05:34. > :05:37.of structural reforms. Now, implementation has to come in. This

:05:38. > :05:43.depends on investment in corporations. Companies are saying,

:05:44. > :05:49.we will invest more than 7% traditionally this year. This is

:05:50. > :05:54.close to the number. Companies are investing. They are optimistic that

:05:55. > :06:01.demand will increase again and that business conditions are improving.

:06:02. > :06:05.It is interesting to see where companies are headed next. Will this

:06:06. > :06:12.drive the central bank to change their policy? No. The short`term

:06:13. > :06:16.engines of growth, the government pushing the economy, talking up the

:06:17. > :06:22.economy, the Bank of Japan printing more money, lowering the exchange

:06:23. > :06:28.rate, this is done. Stable companies are expected to be stable. The

:06:29. > :06:34.question is, can they sell overseas and in Japan? It depends on if they

:06:35. > :06:41.are investing and coming up with new products. They need to put money

:06:42. > :06:47.behind their word and behind their plans. China's factory activity

:06:48. > :06:51.accelerated to a six`month high in June, showing the economy is gaining

:06:52. > :06:54.strength. The purchasing managers index rose to 51 last month,

:06:55. > :07:06.compared with 50.8 in May, which was in line with market estimates. GM is

:07:07. > :07:11.recalling more than 8 million more cars. It has already issued several

:07:12. > :07:17.major recalls which has cost the firm billions of dollars. The latest

:07:18. > :07:23.recalls are over potentially dangerous ignition switches for all

:07:24. > :07:26.car models made from 1997. In Japan, no`frills air travel is still a

:07:27. > :07:29.phenomenon which hasn't taken off. Today, the Japanese online retailer

:07:30. > :07:34.Rakuten and Air Asia are expected to announce they are teaming up to

:07:35. > :07:37.launch a new airline in the market. Our correspondent reports on what

:07:38. > :07:41.the deal would mean for the companies.

:07:42. > :07:43.Air Asia is expected to announce a less conventional approach to

:07:44. > :07:50.entering the Japanese market by throwing in its fortunes with the

:07:51. > :07:56.online retailer, Rakutan. It is the answer to Amazon and sells watches,

:07:57. > :08:02.clothing and medical supplies. It has bought dozens of companies and

:08:03. > :08:05.made a billionaire of the founder. Its most recent purchase is the

:08:06. > :08:18.Israeli messaging service, Vibr, for 900 million dollars. What might they

:08:19. > :08:23.gain by linking? It could mean a boost to the online travel site of

:08:24. > :08:27.Rakutan's, one of Japan's largest. It could mean a second chance in the

:08:28. > :08:32.lucrative Japanese market for Air Asia. It is among the world's

:08:33. > :08:40.largest. Last year, Air Asia pulled out of a venture with ANA. It is

:08:41. > :08:43.clear the company has had a different approach with Air Asia

:08:44. > :08:50.focusing on cost and 80 and ANA focusing on servers. They bought out

:08:51. > :08:56.the 33% stake and rebranded the low`cost carrier as Vanilla Air.

:08:57. > :09:05.Now, Air Asia will be in competition with their former partner. It will

:09:06. > :09:13.compete with a number of other carriers, including Jet Star Japan

:09:14. > :09:17.and Peach. The social media site Facebook caused an uproar when it

:09:18. > :09:25.was revealed that they allowed researchers to socially experiment

:09:26. > :09:33.on users. It raises concern over laws regarding what companies are

:09:34. > :09:36.able to do with the data of users. Earlier I asked a technology lawyer

:09:37. > :09:44.how significant these new rules will be. It is about protecting our data

:09:45. > :09:48.and it puts key obligations in place for companies that hold this data.

:09:49. > :09:53.They should be getting your consent before they advertise to you or use

:09:54. > :09:57.it. He should not be giving it to other people and they should be

:09:58. > :10:04.giving you rights to access your data. Common sense legislation and

:10:05. > :10:09.companies, most of them, will already be doing this. We know that

:10:10. > :10:14.the regulation came into force in 2012 and it has taken years to come

:10:15. > :10:21.into effect. I have been receiving loads of letters all about data

:10:22. > :10:25.protection. It does appear that businesses have been getting ready

:10:26. > :10:30.for this. The law was passed by Parliament in 2012 but it does not

:10:31. > :10:34.come into effect until tomorrow. It was to give companies in Singapore

:10:35. > :10:38.time to comply with the obligations and I have been receiving e`mails as

:10:39. > :10:44.well from companies getting up to speed and telling customers how they

:10:45. > :10:48.are complying with these new laws. That is it for this addition of Asia

:10:49. > :10:57.Business Report. You can follow us on Twitter. Thank you for watching.

:10:58. > :11:00.I'm Adnan Nawaz. The top stories this hour. Israel has vowed to make

:11:01. > :11:01.Hamas "pay" after three Israeli teenagers