15/01/2016

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:00:00. > :00:15.Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:16. > :00:23.Indonesia is a nation in shock after the first terrorist attack in

:00:24. > :00:33.Jakarta for six years. Led by China, it is a big weekend for the Asia

:00:34. > :00:45.infrastructure investment bank. Good morning. Glad you could join us

:00:46. > :00:47.for Asia Business Report. We start with Indonesia and South East

:00:48. > :00:51.Asia's largest economy is counting the cost of shock attacks which

:00:52. > :00:56.rocked the capital, Jakarta, yesterday. Seven people were killed,

:00:57. > :01:03.including five attackers, and 20 were injured in a gun and bomb

:01:04. > :01:07.assault in the heart of an area popular with locals and foreigners.

:01:08. > :01:11.How much damage will these developments do to the country's

:01:12. > :01:17.already weakening economy? We're joined IR business reporter. And the

:01:18. > :01:25.head of equity strategy. Thank you for joining us. The attacker was

:01:26. > :01:31.jury is still out whether this will and for the rupiah currency,

:01:32. > :01:35.jury is still out whether this will have an impact on the Indonesia

:01:36. > :01:38.economy. That's right. The stock market fell 2% immediately after the

:01:39. > :01:45.attack, but somewhat recovered afterwards, and only surplus 5% at

:01:46. > :01:50.the end of the day. That has been similar to previous attacks

:01:51. > :01:56.including after the 2009 attack in Jakarta. The bigger impact will be

:01:57. > :02:00.on the actual economy, for example the impact on tourism. We have heard

:02:01. > :02:06.from some of the region's large carriers saying that passengers can

:02:07. > :02:10.now change their flights to and from Jakarta without having

:02:11. > :02:15.fee, indicating that some people are reconsidering their trips to

:02:16. > :02:20.Jakarta. Tourism accounts for 9% of the country's economy, which is not

:02:21. > :02:23.as big as compared to Thailand, but the government has been trying to

:02:24. > :02:32.increase that. This attack would be a big blow to that. You lived in the

:02:33. > :02:37.Indonesian capital during the turbulent times of the late 1990s,

:02:38. > :02:41.the Asian financial crisis and the violence that took place during that

:02:42. > :02:46.period. Do you think this attack on Thursday will have an impact on the

:02:47. > :02:53.economy? I lived there in the 1990s, and there would earnings in those

:02:54. > :02:58.days. All kinds of things going on. At that point in time, I was

:02:59. > :03:01.surprised by the resilience of the Indonesian people and its economy.

:03:02. > :03:06.It went through a massive downturn and it was a different story. But

:03:07. > :03:13.people were able to get by and make their way through that turbulent

:03:14. > :03:16.time. My initial idea is that even though this is a tragic event,

:03:17. > :03:20.especially for the families involved, for the broader economy, I

:03:21. > :03:28.think this is a temporary issue. That is what the bank is suggesting

:03:29. > :03:37.on its website. It is a challenging time for the president. To calm

:03:38. > :03:41.investors' fears, but only around these terrorist attacks but also the

:03:42. > :03:49.economy. You could call it a test of the administration among investors,

:03:50. > :03:54.because Widodo was elected with the hope he could address issues like

:03:55. > :03:58.the economy and terrorism. Critics could argue this is yet another

:03:59. > :04:03.example that the president has not been able to address those issues.

:04:04. > :04:09.Widodo has not really lived up to expectations. What

:04:10. > :04:12.clients right now who are asking questions of what they should do

:04:13. > :04:17.with their Indonesian assets? It is true that the expectations they came

:04:18. > :04:27.straight after it is election were very high, but I'm not sure we can

:04:28. > :04:32.blame him for this, but they need to spend more money. We see that is

:04:33. > :04:36.slowly taking place. It would be nice if it was faster, but even if

:04:37. > :04:42.the money is there in Indonesia, getting things off the

:04:43. > :04:50.ground takes a bit of time. What about the cut in interest rates by

:04:51. > :04:56.the central bank? Was this able to boost the economy from where it is

:04:57. > :05:04.at the moment? It should be supportive. The rates in Indonesia

:05:05. > :05:11.have been high. There will be cuts coming through in the second quarter

:05:12. > :05:20.of this year. The deficit is there, that it is not alarming. The economy

:05:21. > :05:23.seems to be OK, and hopefully the impact of that fiscal spending will

:05:24. > :05:28.come through. We think a rate cut was appropriate, and the central

:05:29. > :05:33.bank thought the terror attacks were probably a temporary thing. You have

:05:34. > :05:37.attacks in Jakarta including the potential for Islamic State threads

:05:38. > :05:42.in the region, as well as the other risks, especially lower oil prices

:05:43. > :05:50.and concerns about the Chinese economy. That is the sentiment right

:05:51. > :05:53.now? Are investors starting to pull out their investors from emerging

:05:54. > :06:01.market economies in the region? I have not seen data yet. There are

:06:02. > :06:08.stories going around, but people are nervous and markets are down. That

:06:09. > :06:16.is when redemptions take place. The core of this are the changes to the

:06:17. > :06:24.rate in China. The head of equity strategy of HSBC, what are you

:06:25. > :06:29.telling them? Should they be fully invested in stocks or cash? Through

:06:30. > :06:37.the first part of this year, we will have volatility. With the exchange

:06:38. > :06:40.rate, things will be frontloaded at the beginning of this year. We'll

:06:41. > :06:46.have to deal with some of that volatility. We can equate that to

:06:47. > :06:52.events we cannot forecast like what we have seen in Jakarta. Late in the

:06:53. > :06:56.year, money flows back into markets and that will support some of the

:06:57. > :07:01.equity markets. Are there any particular sectors that stand to

:07:02. > :07:10.benefit in the midst of all of this risk? Benefit is difficult. I would

:07:11. > :07:12.say there are particular sectors which irrespective of what is

:07:13. > :07:19.happening will do well. Some of them are policy related, China related,

:07:20. > :07:23.wind and solar industries with clear policies, the Internet, which is

:07:24. > :07:30.growing in China, but also the Philippines, Indonesia, there is a

:07:31. > :07:36.growing trend. Banks reinvest the money people put in them. It is a

:07:37. > :07:38.growing trend that happens irrespective of what happens with

:07:39. > :07:49.the economy or on the political side. Those themes are something

:07:50. > :07:59.people should look at. Thank you both for your insights. Let's take a

:08:00. > :08:02.look at will rebound in in Asian trade after an eight-day drought

:08:03. > :08:10.that saw it fell to $30 a barrel -- oil. There are worries Iran will add

:08:11. > :08:22.more oil. This is how prices are now trading in Asia. Brent crude

:08:23. > :08:27.currently at $30.82 per barrel. The rebound in oil has given a boost to

:08:28. > :08:37.the Australian oil companies. Running -- man climbing -- one

:08:38. > :08:49.company has climbed 6%. The collapse in oil prices has put pressure on

:08:50. > :08:54.BHP, despite a write-down, they still have plans to invest $1.5

:08:55. > :09:07.billion in the onshore US assets this financial year. Let's have a

:09:08. > :09:16.quick look at shares. Intel plunging 5% after investors were not

:09:17. > :09:21.impressed at the fourth quarter. They have been looking for growth in

:09:22. > :09:26.the data centre in it to account for the slump in demand for chips used

:09:27. > :09:33.in computers. The Asia infrastructure investment bank

:09:34. > :09:38.ceremony this weekend. We have more in Beijing. China felt it did not

:09:39. > :09:43.have enough clout in the Washington -based institutions like the IMF and

:09:44. > :09:49.World Bank. Clout commensurate with its growing economy. It's now has

:09:50. > :09:56.its own institution in Beijing. China does not have more than 50% of

:09:57. > :10:01.the shares, but clearly, an institution in Beijing with a big

:10:02. > :10:09.save from the Chinese government will give the Chinese love and

:10:10. > :10:14.power. -- Chinese government. If countries come here

:10:15. > :10:17.expand their hydroelectric schemes are road systems, will there be

:10:18. > :10:25.political strings attached to the cash being doled out? Also, will

:10:26. > :10:31.fund is here divert funds from other institutions? There has been a broad

:10:32. > :10:35.welcome to this bank everywhere apart from the government in

:10:36. > :10:42.Washington. Allies of the US government are involved. Thank you

:10:43. > :10:45.for investing in your time with us. Goodbye for now.