08/02/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.across England for Monday a storm imaging comes in. Dover sport has

:00:00. > :00:00.been closed because of extreme weather. Dover's port.

:00:00. > :00:17.Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:18. > :00:23.India's latest growth numbers look set to confirm the country is

:00:24. > :00:28.growing faster than China, but does it trickled down to the real

:00:29. > :00:33.economy? And it is the first day of the bin New Year. So what does the

:00:34. > :00:40.Year of the Monkey mean for business -- Lunar New Year.

:00:41. > :00:46.Good morning, Asia, hello, world. Glad you could join us for Asia

:00:47. > :00:53.Business Report. Happy Chinese New Year. I'm Rico Hizon in Singapore.

:00:54. > :00:58.Later today we will be finding out how fast India's economy grew in the

:00:59. > :01:04.last three months of 2015. Most expect a continuation of the trend

:01:05. > :01:08.seen in the last year, growth above 7%. A pace that would confirm India

:01:09. > :01:14.is the fastest-growing large economy of 2015. But there is concern that

:01:15. > :01:18.the benefits of that growth are not filtering down to the so-called real

:01:19. > :01:22.economy. The car industry has traditionally been seen as a guide

:01:23. > :01:24.to how things are going. We were there to test the mood at the Delhi

:01:25. > :01:38.auto show. Fast cars, new launches, and a

:01:39. > :01:41.hopeful industry. After years of underperformance, the expectation

:01:42. > :01:48.here is that India's growing economy will finally read our business.

:01:49. > :01:59.IndyCar cells grew by more than 7.5% last year, faster then any of the

:02:00. > :02:05.world's, gets -- India castles. Hoping to cash in on this, have

:02:06. > :02:10.already spent hundreds of hundreds of millions of dollars on factories

:02:11. > :02:15.like this one. In common with other brands, this factory is used

:02:16. > :02:20.primarily to make cars for export. It is also betting on more Indians

:02:21. > :02:26.buying cars. For now, it only has 1.5% share of the local market but

:02:27. > :02:31.is here for the long haul. The growth is outpacing the rest of the

:02:32. > :02:36.world and the auto industry seems to be following that trend. While

:02:37. > :02:40.people in cities are buying cars, any worried this rapid growth is

:02:41. > :02:45.affecting the two thirds of India's population that we've in urban

:02:46. > :02:49.areas. It is not just cars that are not being bought. Sales of

:02:50. > :02:54.motorbikes and small trucks in rural India have been weak. Back-to-back

:02:55. > :02:58.monsoons have left many farmers worse off, and wary of spending

:02:59. > :03:05.money. That has been felt by businesses like this one, the

:03:06. > :03:11.country's largest tractor maker. There was some liquidity. The ruling

:03:12. > :03:20.economy right now is a sleeping giant, one of the recent sales have

:03:21. > :03:26.not been searching is because there is a lot of ground still to cover.

:03:27. > :03:31.Cells are a good indicator of how people are feeling about the

:03:32. > :03:35.economy. Back at the car show, malefactors hope optimism about 2016

:03:36. > :03:39.will help the industry pick up speed -- manufacturers.

:03:40. > :03:47.It has been over a week since Japan's decision to push the cost of

:03:48. > :03:51.borrowing to negative. Their aim was to force companies to spend, but

:03:52. > :03:55.economists believe it will have limited impact with business

:03:56. > :03:59.investment not held back by high interest rates. As much as worries

:04:00. > :04:05.about the long-term outlook. What has been the early response to

:04:06. > :04:09.negative rates? Earlier I asked why we have not seen a sustained

:04:10. > :04:15.depreciation despite the initiative. What we're seeing in Asia is not

:04:16. > :04:21.everybody is in such good shape as India. There are big concerns, and

:04:22. > :04:25.that usually means the Japanese yen is becoming a safe haven currency,

:04:26. > :04:30.the dollar being awake does not help either. We have strong pressure this

:04:31. > :04:34.year on the yen and the bank of Japan wanted to show we have a new

:04:35. > :04:41.tour here. If this goes too far, we have a new tool and we will use it.

:04:42. > :04:48.Could this be wrong timing? No, the timing is quite good. This week we

:04:49. > :04:56.will have new data at showing prices double feather.

:04:57. > :05:04.it also means overall pressure. This is a

:05:05. > :05:06.will be used to have an impact on currency markets, and when the bank

:05:07. > :05:13.of Japan is just moving beyond the current limit of -0.1% or even

:05:14. > :05:16.further. But the main objective as well for implementing this negative

:05:17. > :05:23.interest rate policy was to force companies to spend. When do you

:05:24. > :05:31.think they will start spending? What we are seeing is that there is a

:05:32. > :05:35.strong focus on the exchange rate, on exports, on companies moving

:05:36. > :05:39.their business investment. But there you are focusing overseas

:05:40. > :05:43.investment. The domestic economy has limited growth potential, so the

:05:44. > :05:47.government is trying to help companies to invest in Asia in the

:05:48. > :05:51.longer-term, and this is a target. The exchange rate is important for

:05:52. > :05:58.that and they are focusing on it. Apart from this policy, other other

:05:59. > :06:00.options they can still implement to jumpstart the economy? -- are there

:06:01. > :06:03.other options? We will have elections this summer, and

:06:04. > :06:17.policymakers are reluctant to do big problem -- electorate. This will

:06:18. > :06:20.have an impact on the currency, buying even more time than the

:06:21. > :06:30.government the Labour side, reforms in health

:06:31. > :06:36.and agriculture, and necessary changes in the domestic

:06:37. > :06:40.economy. That is basically the idea. And in other business news: The

:06:41. > :06:44.foreign exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest level in more

:06:45. > :06:51.than three years as Beijing defends the one. China's foreign country

:06:52. > :06:57.reserve plans by about 100 billion US dollars in January -- currency

:06:58. > :07:02.reserves. It has been running down its fast currency holdings, which is

:07:03. > :07:09.more than 3 trillion US dollars in a bid to boost the UI's value. It is

:07:10. > :07:15.the Lunar New Year, and the first day of the Year of the Monkey. It is

:07:16. > :07:19.time for celebrating across Asia and an opportunity to look ahead to what

:07:20. > :07:23.the next 12 months will bring. We went out on the street in Singapore

:07:24. > :07:29.to see what's on in business are expecting. I feel in the year of the

:07:30. > :07:33.Fire monkey, I work in tech, said there will be a trend moving towards

:07:34. > :07:41.small businesses growing and social enterprise. I'm looking at the

:07:42. > :07:45.industry and I wish the Year of the Monkey would bring prosperity to the

:07:46. > :07:50.banking industry. I know there are challenges. In the Year of the

:07:51. > :07:56.Monkey, it should be quite challenging because of what is

:07:57. > :07:59.happening in the global markets. I work in performance coaching and

:08:00. > :08:05.innovation and believe that in the year of the Fire monkey, innovation

:08:06. > :08:08.will be continuously trending, not only in companies that outside of

:08:09. > :08:13.companies. I work in hospitality. For the Year of the Monkey, the

:08:14. > :08:23.economy now is not that good. I don't think people will travel that

:08:24. > :08:27.much. I am from the legal industry, and there has been a lull in the

:08:28. > :08:32.shipping industry right now, so I expect the Fire monkey to help us

:08:33. > :08:37.pick it up. Challenging times ahead, but still upbeat and positive. But

:08:38. > :08:45.what about an equity analyst who is doubling as an expert. Every year,

:08:46. > :08:50.they come up with the index. It is a tongue in cheek forecast for the

:08:51. > :08:58.lonely year. -- minute New Year. We can find out what this means for

:08:59. > :09:04.you, the investor. In Chinese culture, we love this animal, the

:09:05. > :09:09.Fire monkey, because we think the monkey has he managed to buck we

:09:10. > :09:14.don't like the monkey because of its mischievous behaviours. -- but

:09:15. > :09:19.sometimes we don't like. The Hang Seng index also has the

:09:20. > :09:27.characteristics of the monkey. It will be a rocky ride, and we believe

:09:28. > :09:35.there will be lots of ups and downs. In this year, each year, the

:09:36. > :09:42.animal, the Zodiac, and each element of the five elements rotate, and

:09:43. > :09:51.this year, you can see the monkey is sitting on top of sectors including

:09:52. > :09:59.the auto sectors and financial. We would suggest avoiding water related

:10:00. > :10:05.sectors. They often do not work well. Water related sectors include

:10:06. > :10:11.transport, gaming, consumer retail, and also healthcare. Volatile times

:10:12. > :10:16.ahead. Let's have a look at the markets. Many of them are closed for

:10:17. > :10:22.the Lunar New Year holidays, but those open for trading are in

:10:23. > :10:25.negative territory. Hong Kong, Singapore and China are closed today

:10:26. > :10:29.due to the Chinese New Year holidays. Thank you for investing

:10:30. > :10:34.your time with us. Happy New Year.