20/01/2017

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:00:00. > :00:15.Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:16. > :00:23.As Donald Trump gets ready to move into the White House we look at his

:00:24. > :00:31.plans to improve the US economy. And the latest growth figures in China

:00:32. > :00:38.will be scrutinised under worries of a potential trade war. Hello and

:00:39. > :00:46.welcome to Asia Business Report. The big day is finally here. Dan Norton

:00:47. > :00:51.up's inauguration and the many he is a controversial person to move into

:00:52. > :00:57.the White House and there is a lot of uncertainty as to how presidency

:00:58. > :01:11.will impact the economy. This was the moment democrats hoped

:01:12. > :01:16.would put that in check after financial crisis that led to the

:01:17. > :01:21.worst US recession since the Great Depression, President Obama and the

:01:22. > :01:24.American people were eager to see regulations that would put limits on

:01:25. > :01:29.bad behaviour and prevent US taxpayers from ever having to bail

:01:30. > :01:36.out the banks again. But Republicans have been attacking dog Frank since

:01:37. > :01:41.its inception saying it has gone too far. Now they are in power, scaling

:01:42. > :01:46.back some of those rules is finally in reach. Bank lending has been

:01:47. > :01:51.impeded. We have practically zero interest rate yet Gross domestic

:01:52. > :01:59.investment is negative or barely rising. GDP growth has not gone

:02:00. > :02:06.above 2%. Part of that reason is the overregulation. Although the

:02:07. > :02:11.incoming Trump administration says it will dismantle it, what exactly

:02:12. > :02:20.that will look like is a big unknown but the hope of what is to come has

:02:21. > :02:32.banking stocks euphoric. Supporters worry what could happen if they are

:02:33. > :02:44.repealed. A signature part was created by Paul. The rock provisions

:02:45. > :02:55.that hopefully can take care of things without disrupting the whole

:02:56. > :03:02.market. To stop the next crisis. The document is often criticised as an

:03:03. > :03:07.overly complicated one size fits all solution. With Donald Trump in his

:03:08. > :03:12.way to office, those regulations may be on the way out. The question then

:03:13. > :03:13.is whether or not it leaves the US exposed to yet another financial

:03:14. > :03:24.crisis. Rather unusually, US stocks fell

:03:25. > :03:28.ahead of the swearing in the remaining of Donald Trump. The

:03:29. > :03:34.longest losing streak since the election falling for a fifth

:03:35. > :03:42.straight day which is ironic when we saw Mr Trump's win in November had

:03:43. > :03:51.triggered a rally in US stocks. We were looking at the key 20,000

:03:52. > :04:03.level. What can we expect then in the next four years? Spoke to

:04:04. > :04:09.economists. The economy is in fine shape, unemployment is that only

:04:10. > :04:13.4.7% and as Janet Yellen said yesterday that is close to full

:04:14. > :04:19.employment and what Trump is planning to do is cut taxes and

:04:20. > :04:24.raise spending on infrastructure in particular and if he does that, he

:04:25. > :04:29.will generate quite a lot of inflation and I think bond yields

:04:30. > :04:34.will rise sharply as a result. Going back to the Labour issue, jobs

:04:35. > :04:39.coming back to the US - we have had a lot of the rhetoric, particularly

:04:40. > :04:46.with the auto company changing their outlook and strategy in a way

:04:47. > :04:54.because of Trump's push towards manufacturing in the US or else you

:04:55. > :05:01.face import tariffs. Is this all due to Trump? The US will impose a

:05:02. > :05:07.border tax adjustment and, in effect, will start subsidising

:05:08. > :05:12.exporters by exempting them from proper tax while ensuring that all

:05:13. > :05:21.important expenses will face attacks. This is supposed to be the

:05:22. > :05:26.equivalent of a VAT. It is probably not compliant but if it does go

:05:27. > :05:31.through it will have a chilling effect on global trade it was the

:05:32. > :05:42.largest economy will be moving towards a protection is a fact. The

:05:43. > :05:49.owner of the New York jets has been asked to join the Republican Party

:05:50. > :05:53.Cabinet. He has been named as ambassador. Paramount pictures is

:05:54. > :05:58.getting a $1 billion investment in cash from the Chinese firms.

:05:59. > :06:07.Paramount has been struggling to secure money. The three-year deal

:06:08. > :06:14.with the Shanghai group gives it a foot in the second largest box

:06:15. > :06:19.office market. China will release its economic data. Vigurs attempt to

:06:20. > :06:27.come in line with the official target so we are not really

:06:28. > :06:36.expecting any huge surprises. -- data is expected to. Earlier I asked

:06:37. > :06:39.an economist in Hong Kong about it. There are always question marks

:06:40. > :06:46.about the official markets. From an investing point of view, we do not

:06:47. > :06:51.only focus on one data series, such as GDP. In the past, government

:06:52. > :06:55.officials were rewarded in terms of our fast province could grow and

:06:56. > :07:00.with the anticorruption campaign we saw a different shift in terms of

:07:01. > :07:06.how people are rewarded. Different messages coming out from Beijing and

:07:07. > :07:15.we will see the targeted GDP number come down gradually. You hurt me

:07:16. > :07:21.talking about Donald Trump as the next president and concerns that

:07:22. > :07:29.that tensions will mount with China with his protectionist style. He

:07:30. > :07:33.implements Savea tariffs. The global trade environment is quite fragile

:07:34. > :07:41.so the World Trade Organisation estimated last year that trade only

:07:42. > :07:47.group 1.7% which is slower than GDP growth. If can't implement harsh

:07:48. > :07:52.penalties towards Asian companies, the knock-on effect will be towards

:07:53. > :07:56.the US consumer because the tariffs will be passed on from the company

:07:57. > :08:02.to the consumer and I doubt that is what he will want to see. The world

:08:03. > :08:07.economic foreign is often criticised as being a talking shop for the

:08:08. > :08:15.global elite. Inequality and the backlash against globalisation have

:08:16. > :08:24.the sheer taken front stage. Our companies listening? Capitalism is

:08:25. > :08:29.the very lifeblood of the World Economic Forum in Davos. People who

:08:30. > :08:35.come here are very committed to the idea that we trade is the basis of

:08:36. > :08:41.future asperity so how are they responding to the message from some

:08:42. > :08:46.voters who feel that that prosperity has not been evenly spread. Let's

:08:47. > :08:50.start with the US and Donald Trump. The fact that he won the election is

:08:51. > :08:56.not something that surprised or not surprise me but the fact that people

:08:57. > :09:02.are unsettled, not happy, wanting change, that is a very clear. But it

:09:03. > :09:06.is not just American voices expressing concern about the

:09:07. > :09:10.consequences of free trade. I personally think we cannot stop

:09:11. > :09:14.globalisation. There is no going back, it is in their and it will

:09:15. > :09:20.continue but I think we could definitely do it in a more conscious

:09:21. > :09:24.way, in a more inclusive manner and our leaders should foster more

:09:25. > :09:28.inclusive than us and try to find the middle ground. What has become

:09:29. > :09:32.clear in the last few days in doubles is that companies

:09:33. > :09:39.desperately want to hang on to the benefits of globalisation but at the

:09:40. > :09:43.same time are increasingly realising that governments have a

:09:44. > :09:47.responsibility towards those who risk losing out. What is not yet

:09:48. > :09:57.clear is how that responsibility can take shape. A quick look at the

:09:58. > :10:17.markets before we go. The Nick a is flat at the moment. -- nikkei. We

:10:18. > :10:24.have the Chinese GDP numbers are out in just under 20 minutes and a lot

:10:25. > :10:28.of caution setting out even so 6.7% is the expected figure. Thank you

:10:29. > :10:30.for watching.