04/01/2016

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:00:07. > :00:11.This is Business Live from the BBC with Sally Bundock and Ben Thompson.

:00:12. > :00:14.A new year and fresh fears about the slowdown in China and it's

:00:15. > :00:20.sending jitters through global markets.

:00:21. > :00:34.Live from London, that's our top story on Monday 4th January.

:00:35. > :00:42.Shares in Shanghai are suspended after a 7% plunge.

:00:43. > :00:47.A slowdown in manufacturing is one of the key reasons why.

:00:48. > :00:52.And also a change to share trading rules.

:00:53. > :00:54.We'll be live in Beijing to make sense of the mayhem.

:00:55. > :00:57.Also in the programme: Takata shares rise as Japanese car companies look

:00:58. > :00:59.set to support the troubled airbag maker.

:01:00. > :01:03.Our team in Singapore has the latest.

:01:04. > :01:11.And it's the first trading day of 2016 Europe, it's a sea of red.

:01:12. > :01:18.Would you pay to watch oerts play video games? One man thinks it is.

:01:19. > :01:21.And would you pay to watch others play video games?

:01:22. > :01:24.One man thinks you will and it's proving to be a huge success.

:01:25. > :01:27.We'll meet the boss of video gaming TV channel Ginx and get

:01:28. > :01:32.the inside track on the fastest growing entertainment sector

:01:33. > :01:34.We want to know what are your financial New Year's resolutions?

:01:35. > :01:36.What are you planning to do differently with

:01:37. > :01:39.Save more, invest more, or spend more?

:01:40. > :01:45.Let us know, use the hashtag BBC BizLive.

:01:46. > :01:59.We are already talking about serious volatility on China's stock market.

:02:00. > :02:02.index, the Shanghai Composite was suspended today after the market

:02:03. > :02:06.It's been blamed on another slowdown in the manufacturing sector

:02:07. > :02:10.which contracted for a fifth straight month in December.

:02:11. > :02:13.The data suggests the Government may have to step in with more aggressive

:02:14. > :02:15.stimulus measures if it wants to avoid a more dramatic

:02:16. > :02:29.One of the biggest risks this year is a sharp depreciation

:02:30. > :02:35.Experts also fear the number of corporate debt defaults

:02:36. > :02:42.Economic policy could create turbulence ahead from the removal

:02:43. > :02:49.of capital controls to efforts to rein in debt.

:02:50. > :02:54.Even as China tempts to steer away from growth driven by its factories

:02:55. > :03:03.With me now is Qian Liu, director of access China

:03:04. > :03:13.Welcome. Some issues there and responses we have had from the

:03:14. > :03:17.Chinese Government, now it's this newly launched circuit breaker plan,

:03:18. > :03:21.the plan that's stopped trade when they fell by 7% there. Just part of

:03:22. > :03:27.a raft of measures the Government have taken to ban things like short

:03:28. > :03:30.selling. Some people saying it's worked on this occasion and stops

:03:31. > :03:35.the market falling any more but it is symptomatic of a Government

:03:36. > :03:41.trying to influence the way the stock market moves. Exactly. Now

:03:42. > :03:46.this new idea of suspending the trading is really something that

:03:47. > :03:51.started to be effective, actually from today, now that was introduced

:03:52. > :03:57.after the stock market fallout in the summer of 2015. What

:03:58. > :04:00.us is above everything else stability is the key thing that

:04:01. > :04:04.holds China together. Now one key reason that led to the stock market

:04:05. > :04:08.fallout today is from the purchase managers index. Both the Government

:04:09. > :04:13.official number from last Friday and also the private one is both of them

:04:14. > :04:19.are telling us numbers are pointing to a contraction in the Chinese

:04:20. > :04:24.economy. What we are seeing today, part of that is

:04:25. > :04:27.lack of confidence over Chinese economy overall. Depending on who

:04:28. > :04:31.you believe and what you read, some say this is actually a good sign,

:04:32. > :04:33.maybe China is over the worst, we have seen all the headlines of the

:04:34. > :04:41.last six months where we saw a big fall in the value of the stock

:04:42. > :04:47.market, we saw that in the depreciation, maybe 2016 is the year

:04:48. > :04:51.things start to stabilise. Is that the optimistic view? Well, depends

:04:52. > :04:55.on which particular sector you refer to when you say the worst is over.

:04:56. > :05:01.When we look at China as a whole I say at least the best part, the

:05:02. > :05:06.fastest growth is over, the good days of double digits and magic 8%

:05:07. > :05:13.is over. The Chinese President is targeting at no less than 6. 5% in

:05:14. > :05:20.the next five years and actually 2016 is the first year of the

:05:21. > :05:24.five-year plan. One thing we can be sure is that China is not going to

:05:25. > :05:29.have any next one or two years, there are many doubts over how much

:05:30. > :05:36.China can sustain current growth. What I can safely say is definitely

:05:37. > :05:40.not the next couple of years but there are more concerns over the

:05:41. > :05:46.medium term, that is the 3-five years down the road. There are many

:05:47. > :05:50.problems that can go wrong. For 2016 it's really managing the structural

:05:51. > :05:53.slowdown and if anything property market, export and and service

:05:54. > :06:00.sector are something that's worth paying attention and these are the

:06:01. > :06:04.three sectors that might bring us upwards pleasant surprises. Thank

:06:05. > :06:11.you for talking us through that. Remember full coverage of events in

:06:12. > :06:16.China and that suspension of shares is across the BBC.

:06:17. > :06:18.Despite China's economic slowdown, investment in the country's railways

:06:19. > :06:21.grew last year with a total of 126 billion dollars being spent

:06:22. > :06:28.A new high speed railway service in the southern Hainan province has

:06:29. > :06:30.become one of the latest to start operations.

:06:31. > :06:32.China now has 19,000km of high-speed track.

:06:33. > :06:36.More than a million private cars are being banned from Delhi's roads,

:06:37. > :06:39.as authorities begin testing drastic new measures to cut smog

:06:40. > :06:40.in the world's most polluted capital.

:06:41. > :06:42.For two weeks this month, private cars will be allowed

:06:43. > :06:46.on the roads only on alternate days depending on whether their license

:06:47. > :06:53.plates end in an even or an odd number.

:06:54. > :06:56.Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg has said he plans to build an artificial

:06:57. > :06:58.intelligence machine to help him around the house and with his work.

:06:59. > :07:01.In a Facebook post, he said his personal challenge this

:07:02. > :07:05.year would be to build what he called "simple AI" and says

:07:06. > :07:18.he plans to share his progress over the course of the year.

:07:19. > :07:33.I would like one of those as well, frankly, Mark!

:07:34. > :07:39.Gold rising by 1% today. Christmas sales down, I am guessing! Maybe.

:07:40. > :07:43.Could be. But of course when stock markets around the world are

:07:44. > :07:49.volatile, things like gold that's perceived as a safe haven tends to

:07:50. > :07:53.creep up. Up another 1% this morning. Oil price spiking, as well.

:07:54. > :07:59.We talked about China, also concern about what's happening with

:08:00. > :08:02.Arabia and Iran, tensions in the Middle East. Possibly disrupting oil

:08:03. > :08:07.supplies, there is a knee-jerk reactions today with the oil price

:08:08. > :08:12.rising, up 3%. Full details there on the live page.

:08:13. > :08:16.There is much more there too as well as oil, but also more on that news

:08:17. > :08:20.that Chinese shares were suspended as we discussed as a result of that

:08:21. > :08:21.slowdown in manufacturing but all sorts of things affecting that

:08:22. > :08:37.trade. Mariko Oi is in our Asia business

:08:38. > :08:51.hub in Singapore with the details. Shares are rising as much as 17% at

:08:52. > :08:57.the moment, up by about 14%, the biggest rise in more than a year. I

:08:58. > :09:03.should emphasise shares fell some 56% last year. It's mainly because

:09:04. > :09:09.of a newspaper report by one newspaper that Japanese, the

:09:10. > :09:11.Japanese car-makers might be putting together some financial aid for

:09:12. > :09:20.Takata, the last time they did something similar was in 2011 after

:09:21. > :09:23.that major stum and earthquawe -- time. The circumstances are

:09:24. > :09:30.different, the airbags have been linked to ten deaths and Honda has

:09:31. > :09:33.said that it's not going to investigate in Takata. It's still

:09:34. > :09:38.enough to push up share prices. Thank you. Let's look at markets in

:09:39. > :09:45.general. We talked about the fact it's not been a good start to a

:09:46. > :09:49.brand new trading year as it were. Japan closing down 3%. Hong Kong

:09:50. > :09:54.tracking, China also down. You can see the price of oil, now down

:09:55. > :09:58.actually but as we mentioned up earlier around about 2%, 3%. That's

:09:59. > :10:06.the euro. Look at how things are going in Europe today.

:10:07. > :10:10.As I mentioned, pretty torrid session. I can't get the graphics

:10:11. > :10:16.there. Earlier Germany was down, Paris down, London was also down.

:10:17. > :10:21.All down around about 2% or between 1% and 3%. At one point Germany was

:10:22. > :10:25.down over 3%. There you go. It's all there.

:10:26. > :10:30.As you can see, pretty bad start to a brand new trading year.

:10:31. > :10:31.China's a big issue but also concerns about what's happening in

:10:32. > :10:39.the Middle East. James Hughes, chief market

:10:40. > :10:48.analyst at GKFX, joins me. A new year, but the same old

:10:49. > :10:53.problems when you look at the numbers there. Germany down about

:10:54. > :10:57.3%, FTSE 100 in London down significantly. Is it just China or

:10:58. > :10:58.is it the dawning reality that everyone's back in the office, and

:10:59. > :11:04.there is nothing really excited about? Yeah, there is that

:11:05. > :11:08.kind of depression feeling in the markets when you come back on the

:11:09. > :11:11.first day but it is China, I think whenever China has any kind of blip

:11:12. > :11:16.and it doesn't have to be big these days, the rest of the markets do

:11:17. > :11:21.tend to get a little bit scared and freak out a little bit and that's

:11:22. > :11:23.exactly what we are seeing. First exactly what we are seeing. First

:11:24. > :11:29.day back, bad news out of China. Big falls on the down side. Interesting

:11:30. > :11:34.to see what happens later in the US to see if it snowballs. The US

:11:35. > :11:39.markets look low, as well, it could be across the board today that we do

:11:40. > :11:47.see a negative start to the year. New rules in China. If you put a

:11:48. > :11:53.trading, it goes down 7% and we stop trading, it goes down 7% and we stop

:11:54. > :11:56.trading. 5% they put in, this isn't just in China. We have this in the

:11:57. > :12:00.UK where if markets go down a little bit too much then shares get

:12:01. > :12:02.suspended. But you put this in and it does tend to happen. That's

:12:03. > :12:06.exactly what's happened. In China what we have in the next few weeks

:12:07. > :12:09.is a lot of other measures that were put in by the Chinese Government

:12:10. > :12:15.will be lifted so there is a worry will be lifted so there is a

:12:16. > :12:20.that as more and more policies get lifted that were put in to stop this

:12:21. > :12:25.slowdown that things could get uglier in China. We talked about a

:12:26. > :12:30.new normal of slower growth, still subtanks by European standards but

:12:31. > :12:35.nonetheless slower growth -- substantial. New lower oil price. Is

:12:36. > :12:39.it the case people say we start 2016 we have to reassess what we think is

:12:40. > :12:44.year on that? Yeah, and we kind of year on that? Yeah, and

:12:45. > :12:47.go back a little bit with rates to that point, as well. We all have

:12:48. > :12:51.this obsession with moving interest rates higher but that's to take us

:12:52. > :12:55.back to the sense of what we thought was normality but that was normality

:12:56. > :12:59.pre-2008 and that world doesn't exist any more. There is a little

:13:00. > :13:04.bit of that. The oil prices aren't going too much higher in the near

:13:05. > :13:06.future, China is going to stay negative, as the last - the boom

:13:07. > :13:12.years have gone out of China are looking at a different world

:13:13. > :13:15.this time. What we are doing is creating the rules for that

:13:16. > :13:19.currently at the moment. In the next 12 months or so it's going to be

:13:20. > :13:22.interesting just to see how the landscape is at the end of this

:13:23. > :13:26.year, what rates are doing and where markets are going. We will watch

:13:27. > :13:30.closely. James, thank you very much. We will talk through the papers

:13:31. > :13:35.later. This is something James would day.

:13:36. > :13:38.He would pay to watch other people playing video games. He confessed

:13:39. > :13:50.that to us earlier. Would you do that? E-gaming is the fastest

:13:51. > :13:55.growing entertainment sector in the world.

:13:56. > :13:58.Now a look at some of the stories from around the UK.

:13:59. > :14:02.The UK economy finished 2015 with a burst of speed,

:14:03. > :14:14.It looks as if the CBI said overall the economy looked strong in the

:14:15. > :14:18.fourth quarter, business services did well. Those people exposed to

:14:19. > :14:23.consooner spending did well, that's the good. The bad, manufacturing

:14:24. > :14:29.shrank a little bit and the ugly is the fact that export performance was

:14:30. > :14:32.at a six-year low. Not the rebalancing that both the Government

:14:33. > :14:34.and business groups wanted to see. We won't get the official numbers

:14:35. > :14:40.until the end of looks like overall it's a good

:14:41. > :14:44.picture but not a balanced one. Simon, what about the fact that

:14:45. > :14:48.apparently this survey points to the UK companies backing EU membership

:14:49. > :14:52.has fallen a bit, is that significant or not? I think so.

:14:53. > :14:56.Deloitte, the big accountancy and consultancy firm do a survey of

:14:57. > :15:03.chief financial officers or finance directors and found back in June 74%

:15:04. > :15:06.supported Britain's membership of the EU, that's down to 62% so not a

:15:07. > :15:10.huge change but if that was an election poll which in a way it is,

:15:11. > :15:14.people would take notice. Only 6% say their companies would be bet

:15:15. > :15:18.iroff out of the European Union but that's up from 2%. A lot saying wait

:15:19. > :15:23.and see. The mood music out of Europe at the moment is pretty

:15:24. > :15:27.miserable. Assessments on growth conditions over there, the migrant

:15:28. > :15:32.shift but one that's going to make negative outlook. Not a massive

:15:33. > :15:32.shift but one that's going to make some people sit up and take notice.

:15:33. > :15:42.Thank you. The front page of today's Financial

:15:43. > :15:46.Times they had a survey of 100 economists they spoke to. Most of

:15:47. > :15:47.whom argue it is better for the UK economy to stay within the European

:15:48. > :15:52.Union. That debate is just going to Union. That debate is just going to

:15:53. > :15:53.go on and on. I have a feeling we go on and on. I have a feeling we

:15:54. > :15:57.will be talking about that a lot will be talking about that a lot

:15:58. > :16:02.this year! One story to bring you. Good news, we were talking about oil

:16:03. > :16:08.prices creeping back up. Diesel dropping to below ?1 a litre for the

:16:09. > :16:17.first time since 2009. Good news for Britain's 11 million diesel drivers.

:16:18. > :16:23.It says prices on the fore courts dropping all of this and the big

:16:24. > :16:31.supermarket chains are dropping prices. A drop in diesel.

:16:32. > :16:35.Our top story, shares in Shanghai are suspended as traders eye a sharp

:16:36. > :16:45.Stocks fell by 7% before trade was halted.

:16:46. > :16:52.Part of new rule to stop big losses on one of the most influential stock

:16:53. > :16:55.markets. The repercussions is being felt around the world.

:16:56. > :16:57.E-gaming is one of the world's fastest growing entertainment

:16:58. > :17:03.Professional players earn multi-million dollar prizes.

:17:04. > :17:03.A staggering 344 million people watched the championships

:17:04. > :17:05.for the video game League of Legends last year and there are even TV

:17:06. > :17:12.Ginx is one of them, with subscribers in Europe,

:17:13. > :17:19.It's Chief Executive Michiel Bakker knows all about running

:17:20. > :17:22.He was one of the founders of MTV Europe.

:17:23. > :17:25.Michiel spent 20 years building what is now

:17:26. > :17:30.Viacom International Media Networks, and has been Chairman

:17:31. > :17:37.After leaving MTV, he took time off to travel and learn to sail yachts.

:17:38. > :17:40.At the helm of Ginx, he has overseen its latest

:17:41. > :17:43.round of financing, via crowd funding, to meet their target

:17:44. > :17:59.Welcome to Business Live. Let's of Ginx TV, is here.

:18:00. > :18:02.Welcome to Business Live. Let's start with this concept of people

:18:03. > :18:05.paying or subscribing to watch other people play video games. It is

:18:06. > :18:08.fascinating because if you are a gamer, you will know all too well

:18:09. > :18:12.about this and we were discussing this earlier, people do this, they

:18:13. > :18:15.look for tactics and strategy and how you might do better at these

:18:16. > :18:19.will not have a clue that something will not have a clue that something

:18:20. > :18:20.like your channel exists. It really like your channel exists. It really

:18:21. > :18:31.is a big growth area, isn't it? It is. You focussed a lot on e-sports

:18:32. > :18:34.in your package there. Ginx is about all video gaming and console gaming

:18:35. > :18:39.and what happened to video gaming, it moved from the preserve of the

:18:40. > :18:45.15-year-old boy in their bedroom playing games to a more massively

:18:46. > :18:52.mainstream activity. So you see all over the world stadium packed with

:18:53. > :18:55.being played between teams and it is being played between teams and it is

:18:56. > :18:58.the excitement, it is not dissimilar than watching Chelsea v Manchester

:18:59. > :19:04.United in more traditional sports if you will and that's and you say it

:19:05. > :19:10.doesn't appeal to non gamers, but in fact what I see happening is that

:19:11. > :19:14.just the dynamic environment and the tension and the commentary is

:19:15. > :19:17.drawing people that are not considering themselves to be core

:19:18. > :19:21.gamers into this excitement. A lot of it is the content, isn't

:19:22. > :19:26.it, as with any television channel, you have got to have the right thing

:19:27. > :19:31.on the channel for people to subscribe, pay to watch. How do you

:19:32. > :19:35.find content for Ginx? Where do you go? Well, we have a luxury, of

:19:36. > :19:40.course, of a flow of content coming out of the gaming publishers every

:19:41. > :19:43.year. There are thousands of games being developed. How do you find the

:19:44. > :19:51.right content? The people that content, that it is a must watch for

:19:52. > :19:53.the exclusive environment of trying the exclusive environment of trying

:19:54. > :19:58.to get a game that you can only see on Ginx or that's one way to go.

:19:59. > :20:02.Exclusivity is not a natural way to attract people. The other is to

:20:03. > :20:06.highlight games in a way that is not done usually. The video gaming world

:20:07. > :20:12.has grown up in a silo on the left and TV is in a silo on the right and

:20:13. > :20:18.Ginx it is in between. We treat video games very much

:20:19. > :20:20.entertainment and less, you know, we entertainment and less, you know, we

:20:21. > :20:28.are less about the 50 million lines of code. You can delve deeply into

:20:29. > :20:33.video gaming, but we tend to approach it as more of

:20:34. > :20:40.entertainment, broad spectrum way to make it appealing to as many people

:20:41. > :20:44.as possible. It is interesting now that mainstream sponsors, the likes

:20:45. > :20:49.of people who would have sponsored the big games are getting involved

:20:50. > :20:53.in e-gaming and television channels such as yours, they are able to

:20:54. > :20:57.access a niche gamer, a person they want to target that they can't get

:20:58. > :21:01.anywhere else? There is two types of brands that come in. You're right to

:21:02. > :21:06.point out that there are bigger brands now looking to come into this

:21:07. > :21:12.predominanty male audiences which congregation of 16

:21:13. > :21:14.predominanty male audiences which are the most elusive television

:21:15. > :21:18.audiences to attract, brands want to be there. So whenever something like

:21:19. > :21:22.this moves into the mainstream, you can see mainstream brands coming to

:21:23. > :21:27.that and that benefits everybody because it creates that sort of echo

:21:28. > :21:31.system that more investment can go into e-sports and therefore, it can

:21:32. > :21:35.become even bigger and better and broader and get more adapted around

:21:36. > :21:39.the world. So yes, it is a good thing overall. Really nice to see

:21:40. > :21:44.you. Thank you for coming in. We could talk all day about it. We have

:21:45. > :21:50.many more questions, but time has got the better of us. Thank you for

:21:51. > :21:54.coming in. Virtual reality is being billed as

:21:55. > :22:02.the next big thing in tech and it may become true. Millions of people

:22:03. > :22:08.will be able to use it in their own homes as Sony release for sale their

:22:09. > :22:12.virtual reality head-set, but beyond gaming all sorts of uses are being

:22:13. > :22:21.explored. Here is our technology expert. In a freezing cellar with

:22:22. > :22:27.fake snow under foot, I'm inching my way up the world's highest peak. I'm

:22:28. > :22:31.getting a view of Everest, a virtual reality game out later this year.

:22:32. > :22:35.The manufacturers believe gamers are ready to immerse themselves in

:22:36. > :22:36.virtual worlds. It is the natural progression. We have got bigger

:22:37. > :22:43.screens. We have had 3 D screens and screens. We have had 3 D screens

:22:44. > :22:45.we have had curved screens. The next we have had curved screens. The next

:22:46. > :22:47.thing is taking us into a virtual environment and locking out every

:22:48. > :22:53.bit of stimulus so we are focussed on what they are trying to tell

:22:54. > :22:58.Getting into a us. Lift, especially one as old as this, could be a scary

:22:59. > :23:04.experience for some people. So could virtual reality help them get over

:23:05. > :23:06.their phobia? I have come to see how psychologists are working with the

:23:07. > :23:10.technology. I am going to focus on technology. I am going to focus on

:23:11. > :23:12.your breathing and muscle tension. They have developed a programme that

:23:13. > :23:18.allows patients to try out the experience of getting into a lift.

:23:19. > :23:21.You sweat, your breathing changes. You get a physiological reaction

:23:22. > :23:27.which you don't get in the 2 D environment. Let's see if it worked.

:23:28. > :23:29.How does that feel now? I'm honestly quite proud that I'm doing this!

:23:30. > :23:33.LAUGHTER You should be proud. Do you think

:23:34. > :23:39.all? Honestly, I would have been all? Honestly, I would have been

:23:40. > :23:40.taking the stairs about a month ago! That's an amazing story. It really

:23:41. > :23:48.is. James Hughes, chief market analyst

:23:49. > :23:52.at GKFX, is back with us to look at what's making business

:23:53. > :23:57.headlines in the papers. Winners and losers and the FT has a

:23:58. > :23:59.piece talking about the winners, well there were nine of them and

:24:00. > :24:06.tech stocks. Yeah and these are the tech stocks. Yeah and these are the

:24:07. > :24:11.real staples of these markets. The markets 2015 was a terrible year for

:24:12. > :24:18.equity markets. Particularly in America as well? Most stocks down,

:24:19. > :24:23.but this is the first time I heard this, the fangs, Facebook, Amazon

:24:24. > :24:25.and net flick and Google. These stocks did so well and Netflix was

:24:26. > :24:30.an interesting one. One of the an interesting one. One of the

:24:31. > :24:30.year, their Chief Executive said announcements of their figures

:24:31. > :24:34.year, their Chief Executive said about the market going up so

:24:35. > :24:37.strongly, he said he had no idea why the share price keeps going up

:24:38. > :24:42.because we're not actually in that good shape where his words! He is an

:24:43. > :24:55.honest man, isn't he? They went up further on the back of that. Fangs,

:24:56. > :24:59.Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and goodbyele are the FANGS!

:25:00. > :25:04.Take back Tuesday was the Tuesday after Christmas. Did you have to

:25:05. > :25:13.take stuff back, James? I didn't take anything back because anybody

:25:14. > :25:18.that bought me gifts bought perfect. This week and next week, we see the

:25:19. > :25:22.big retailers come out and give us information on how the Christmas

:25:23. > :25:27.period... It has been raining hard. The wrong weather. Boxing Day, foot

:25:28. > :25:34.centres was up 3.9%. That's because centres was up 3.9%. That's because

:25:35. > :25:38.people need to get out of the house! After the rain, they need to be

:25:39. > :25:42.under cover! That's true. Hopefully retailers for December, which of

:25:43. > :25:45.course, is pivotal, are going to be slightly better off this year

:25:46. > :25:50.because last year, it was the first time ever that online sales beat

:25:51. > :25:54.foot fall sales. It will be so interesting to see the retail

:25:55. > :25:59.figures. Thank you, James.